Clayton College _ State University by liuqingyan

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									                                            Clayton State University
                                               School of Business

                               BUSA 6100 Decision Making under Uncertainty
                                       CRN 25143 and CRN 25146

                            Course Syllabus and Schedule: Spring Semester 2010

                          Alternate Saturdays from January 9, 2010 to May 1, 2010
                       CRN 25143 08:00 hrs. to 12:00 hrs., Clayton Campus, room G-114
                         CRN 25146 13:00 hrs. to 17:00 hrs., Peachtree City Campus

Professor:            Dr. H. Charles Ralph
Office:               School of Business T-247 (New Business Building)
Office Hours:         Mondays and Fridays 11:00 to 13:00
                      Wednesdays 11:00 to 14:00
                      Other times by appointment
Phone:                (678) 466-4565
Home Phone:           (678) 272-8089
E-mail:               charlesralph@clayton.edu
Unofficial email address: hcralph@gmail.com
Home Page / Bio:      http://business.clayton.edu/cralph

Course Description:
BUSA 6100 Quantitative and statistical methods are examined as analytic tools for understanding and solving
business problems, and for supporting business decision making. Extensive use is made of both applied
business scenarios to illustrate concepts, and computer software for data analysis. The successful student will
finish this course with an ability to effectively evaluate and act upon quantitative and statistical reports and data
relating to applications in business. In addition, the successful student will have the tools to make decisions
under uncertainty.

Prerequisite(s): Admission to the Clayton State University MBA Program.

Course Methods:
Lecture, discussion, case analysis, group work, oral presentations and exercises are utilized to convey the
content of the course.

Required Course Materials:
Textbooks:
   1. Title: Managerial Statistics: A Case Based Approach
       (with CD and Harvard Business Cases)              Edition: 1st (2006).
      Authors: Klibanoff, Sandroni, Moselle and Saraniti
      Publisher: Thomson Southwestern (Cengage)
      ISBN: 0324226470

   2. Title: The Cartoon Guide to Statistics          Edition: 1st (2005).
      Authors: Gonick and Smith
      Publisher: Collins
      ISBN: 0062731025


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Course Objectives:

1. Have a working knowledge of concepts and methods in the business research process

2. Translate management problems into feasible research questions

3. Apply basic quantitative skills to solving business problems

4. Ability to use a computer software to analyze and interpret the results

5. Ability to effectively communicate the results of a research project (oral presentation and written paper).


Required Computer Competencies:
BUSA 6100 requires extensive use of the Microsoft Office Software Suite®. Each CCSU student is required to
have ready access throughout the semester to a notebook computer that meets faculty-approved hardware and
software requirements for the student’s academic program. See http://itpchoice.clayton.edu for full details of
this policy. Each student must have Internet access and a Clayton State University email account along with
access to GaView instructional tool.

Attendance Policy:
Attendance is expected in all sessions. Due to the nature of the part-time MBA program, you will have
substantial amount of readings outside of the class, and in each session I will cover a lot of subjects. If you fail
to attend a class you will remain responsible for all the material covered and all assignments due that session. If
you know in advance that you will miss a class, please contact me via email and let me know.

Course Requirements and Expectations:
There will be a mid-term exam plus a final examination. All of the exams in this course will be given on the
days and times as it is scheduled in this course syllabus. No make-up exams will be given unless it is pre-
approved by the instructor. Contact me well before the test if you will miss a test for a legitimate reason (then I
will decide if it is acceptable and what shall be done). Failure to take an exam will result in a grade of zero for
that exam.
Exams will be partly multiple-choice and may also include short answer/essay questions (ten or less essay-type
questions). Problem solving skills will be required. Exams may include material from all reading assignments,
all lectures, and other Internet assignments (see below). Important points will be emphasized in class. Do your
own work. You may not use your book or notes during “in class” exams. If you need assistance, talk to me. I
am happy to help, even during an exam. You must have a calculator to use during exams/quizzes. Make sure to
carry your calculator and a few #2 pencils with you, everyday you come to class and especially on exam days.
Cell phones will not be accepted to be used as a calculator and all cell phones and other electronic devices
shall be off or set on silent during the class. Simple calculators are available at most dollar stores.




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                                                   Course Outline

                   Introduction, Team Project Information, Orientation.
Week 1, 01/09/10   Readings:
                   Chapter 1, MS, Basic Statistical Analysis
                   Chapter 1, CGTS, What is statistics?
                   Chapter 2, CGTS, Data Description
                   Chapter 3, CGTS, Probability

                   Introduction to Excel Add-in
Week 2, 01/23/10   Readings:
                   Chapter 2, MS, Hypothesis Testing
                   Chapter 4, CGTS, Random Variable
                   Chapter 5, CGTS, A Tale of Two Distributions

                   Readings:
Week 3, 02/06/10   Chapter 3, MS, Introduction to Regression
                   Chapter 6, CGTS, Sampling
                   Chapter 7, CGTS, Confidence Intervals


                   Midterm Exam
Week 4, 02/20/10   Readings:
                   Chapter 4, MS, Using Regression Equation and Making Predictions
                   Chapter 8, CGTS, Hypothesis Testing
                   Chapter 9, CGTS, Comparing Two Populations


                   Readings:
                   Chapter 5, MS, Using Dummy Variables in Regressions
Week 5, 03/06/10   Chapter 6, MS, Graphical Analysis to Supplement Regression, non-linear Regression, Spurious
                   Regression
                   Chapter 10, CGTS, Experimental Design
                   Chapter 11, CGTS, Regression
                   Chapter 12, CGTS, Conclusion


                   Readings:
                   Chapter 6, MS, Graphical Analysis to Supplement Regression, non-linear Regression,
Week 6, 03/20/10   Spurious Regression (cont.)
                   Chapter 7, MS, Multiple Regression Analysis and Generalized F-test
                   Chapter 8, MS, Heteroskedasticity and Logarithms



                   Readings:
Week 7, 04/03/10   Chapter 8, MS, Heteroskedasticity and Logarithms (cont.)
                   Chapter 9, MS, Dealing with seasonality and time series




Week 8, 04/17/10   Team Presentations
                   Readings:
                   Chapter 9, MS, Dealing with seasonality and time series (cont.)




                                                        Page 3
                     Review of the course
 Week 9, 05/01/10    Team Presentations & Final Exam




 Grading System:
 Homework and Quizzes:                                           200 pts
 Midterm Exam                                                    250 pts
 Project (Presentation and Paper):                               300 pts
 Participation (including attendance):                           100 pts (Extra Credit)
 Final Comprehensive Exam                                        250 pts
 Total                                                          1000 pts

 Please keep all of your assignments after they have been returned to insure you have been given proper
 credit for each.


Grading Scale:
             A = at least 900 points
             B = at least 800 points
             C = at least 700 points
             D = at least 600 points
             F = Fewer than 600 points.
             W = Withdrawal from the course by March 5, 2010
             WF = Withdrawal from the course after deadline

Supplemental Material:
       I strongly recommend each student read newspapers and periodicals that report on economic issues using
       data and statistics. In particular, I recommend Atlanta Journal of Constitution, The Wall Street Journal,
       The New York Times, Washington Post, USA Today, Chicago Tribune, The American Prospect,
       Fortune, Business Week and The Economist.

          The motivated student may wish to read the following books:

          For undergraduate level Statistics (for review):
          Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics, by Lind, Marchal, Wathen
          Undergraduate Econometrics, by Hill, Griffiths, Judge
          Statistics for Business and Economics, by Anderson, Sweeney, Williams
          Essentials of Modern Business Statistics, by Anderson, Sweeney, Williams
          Statistics for Business and Economics, McClave, Benson, Sincich



                                                       Page 4
         For graduate level Statistics
         Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, by Wooldridge
         Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics, by Judge, Hill, Griffiths, Lutkepohl, Lee
         Probability Theory and Statistical Inference, by Spanos

         Each book provides a broader view of econometrics and statistics than the text.



The Mission of the School of Business
   Our mission is to prepare a diverse student body for business and professional careers by providing a quality
education; to provide a student-centered environment, using technology to enhance student learning; to support
faculty in applied and instructional research and service to the profession; and to serve primarily the
metropolitan Atlanta area.

University Policy Reminders:
 Notebook Computer Policy: Every student shall own or have ready, on demand access to a notebook
   computer to use for academic assignments and communications.
 Computer Skills: Students will be responsible for having or obtaining basic computer skills include email,
   Web Surfing, and word processing. Higher level skills will be expected for many courses (i.e., Vista).
 Academic Integrity: Academic integrity is of paramount importance at Clayton State University. Students
   are expected to abide by the Student Code of Conduct as outlined in the University’s official Student
   Handbook.
 Disability Services: Any Clayton State student who can provide appropriate documentation of one or more
   disabilities may be eligible for services according to the Americans with Disabilities Act, 1990.
 Student Policies: Students are expected to abide by all policies in the University Catalog, Student
   Handbook, and the list of Basic Student Responsibilities posted on the Registrar’s Web site:
   http://adminservices.clayton.edu/registrar/.
 Special Accommodations: Individuals with disabilities who need to request accommodations or obtain this
   document in an alternative format, please contact the Disability Services Coordinator, Student Center 214,
   770-961-3719.
 The CSU policy concerning children in classes and on-campus:
   Children are not permitted in classrooms.
   Faculty will not allow children to be present in their classrooms. If a student brings children to class, the
    student and children must be told to leave the classroom.
   Unattended children will not be permitted on-campus (in hallways, the gym, the library, outside of
    buildings, etc.).
   Public Safety (770 961-3540) will be notified if unattended children are observed on campus. If faculty or
    staff observe unattended children on-campus, they are responsible for informing Public Safety. The
    campus police will take any unattended children to the classroom of the parent, and will get the parent out
    of class. The parent will not be permitted to bring such children into the classroom.
   Parents are referred to Campus Life (UC Room 258, 770 961-3510) for information concerning childcare
    facilities off-campus.




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