Wind Forecast Performance
Operations Planning March 17th, 2008
February 21st was the only day without an OOME or VDI
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Av erag e Wind Output, Wind P ower F orec as ts , and Day-Ahead R es ourc e P lan MW by Hour (14 Days )
MAP E 50% WP F : 23.26% 80% WP F : 21.21%
Hour Aver. Actual O utput * 50% Wind P ower F orecas t * 80% Wind P ower F orecas t R es ource P lan MW from WGR s in Day-Ahead
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Wind Output, T wo Wind P ower F orec as ts , and Day-Ahead R es ourc e P lan MW for MAP E 2/28/08 50% WP F : (Day with L owes t MAP E for both F orec as ts ) 12.82%
80% WP F : 6.94%
Hour Aver. Actual O utput * 50% Wind P ower F orecas t * 80% Wind P ower F orecas t R es ource P lan MW from WGR s in DayAhead
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Hour E nding
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Wind Output, T wo Wind P ower F orec as ts , and Day-A head R es ourc e P lan MW for 2/26/08 MAP E
50% WP F : 20.80% 80% WP F : 25.32%
Hour Aver. Ac tual O utput * 50% W ind P ower F orec as t * 80% W ind P ower F orec as t R es ourc e P lan MW from W GR s in D ay-Ahead
MW
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Hour E nding
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Wind Output, T wo Wind P ower F orec as ts , and Day-A head R es ourc e P lan MW for 2/21/08 MAP E (Day with Hig hes t MA P E for both F orec as ts ) 50% WP F : 342.01%
80% WP F : 245.55%
Hour Aver. Ac tual O utput * 50% W ind P ower F orec as t * 80% W ind P ower F orec as t R es ourc e P lan MW from W GR s in D ay-Ahead
MW
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Hour E nding
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