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					текущ знач
              1.758035
ADF Test Statistic          1% Critical Value*        -2.628                         3.092581
                                                                         PP Test Statistic
                            5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                            10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.   *MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hy


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation                                    Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Dependent Variable: D(TEKZNACH)                                          Residual variance with no correction
Method: Least Squares                                                    Residual variance with correction
Date: 03/13/07 Time: 23:56
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints
                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Variable      Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.                   Dependent Variable: D(TEKZNACH)
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
           0.035995 0.020474 1.758035
TEKZNACH(-1)                                          0.0886             Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:22
           -0.06763 0.165274 -0.40917
D(TEKZNACH(-1))                                       0.6852             Sample(adjusted): 1996:2 2006:1
           -0.12255 0.16047 -0.76371
D(TEKZNACH(-2))                                       0.4508             Included observations: 40 after adjusting end
           -0.16262 0.162511 -1.00068
D(TEKZNACH(-3))                                       0.3247
           0.508847 0.16653 3.055592
D(TEKZNACH(-4))                                       0.0046             Variable   Coefficient

R-squared      0.344212     Mean dependent var      97.41944                      0.034849
                                                                         TEKZNACH(-1)
               0.259594
Adjusted R-squared          S.D. dependent var      243.0094
               209.1019
S.E. of regression          Akaike info criterion   13.65177             R-squared 0.02509
                1355432
Sum squared resid           Schwarz criterion        13.8717                            0.02509
                                                                         Adjusted R-squared
Log likelihood -240.732     Durbin-Watson stat       1.68509                          234.2625
                                                                         S.E. of regression
                                                                                        resid
                                                                         Sum squared2140278
                                                                         Log likelihood-274.509
              -0.82965
ADF Test Statistic          1% Critical Value*        -2.628
                            5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                            10% Critical Value       -1.6206                          -7.28185
                                                                         PP Test Statistic

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.

                                                                         *MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hy
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(TEKZNACH,2)
Method: Least Squares                                                    Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Date: 03/13/07 Time: 23:59                                               Residual variance with no correction
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1                                          Residual variance with correction
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

Variable      Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
           -0.22909
D(TEKZNACH(-1))            0.276121     -0.82965      0.4129             Dependent Variable: D(TEKZNACH,2)
           -0.66826
D(TEKZNACH(-1),2)          0.246128     -2.71507      0.0106             Method: Least Squares
           -0.63726
D(TEKZNACH(-2),2)          0.211317     -3.01565       0.005             Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:23
           -0.65372
D(TEKZNACH(-3),2)          0.149363     -4.37671      0.0001             Sample(adjusted): 1996:3 2006:1
                                                                         Included observations: 39 after adjusting end
R-squared      0.668373     Mean dependent var 5.883333
               0.637283
Adjusted R-squared          S.D. dependent var      358.3578             Variable   Coefficient
               215.8246
S.E. of regression          Akaike info criterion   13.69125
                1490568
Sum squared resid           Schwarz criterion       13.86719                      -1.16903
                                                                         D(TEKZNACH(-1))
Log likelihood -242.443     Durbin-Watson stat      1.728143             C        -56.3917
                                                                         #VALUE! 7.494018

                                                                         R-squared 0.582941
              -10.5738
ADF Test Statistic          1% Critical Value*        -2.628                          0.559771
                                                                         Adjusted R-squared
                            5% Critical Value        -1.9504                          231.4229
                                                                         S.E. of regression
                            10% Critical Value       -1.6206                            resid
                                                                         Sum squared1928037
                                                                         Log likelihood-266.103
*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.                2.053466
                                                                         Durbin-Watson stat


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(TEKZNACH,3)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:01
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

Variable      Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

           -3.33369 0.315277 -10.5738
D(TEKZNACH(-1),2)                                           0
            1.48858 0.236428 6.296126
D(TEKZNACH(-1),3)                                           0
          0.723211 0.123084 5.875759
D(TEKZNACH(-2),3)                                           0

R-squared      0.887463     Mean dependent var      2.341667
               0.880643
Adjusted R-squared          S.D. dependent var      621.7503
                 214.803
S.E. of regression          Akaike info criterion   13.65697
                1522631
Sum squared resid           Schwarz criterion       13.78893
Log likelihood -242.826     Durbin-Watson stat      1.770628
                 1% Critical Value*       -2.6211
                 5% Critical Value        -1.9492
                 10% Critical Value       -1.6201

on critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


               ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
variance with no correction       53506.95
variance with correction          39262.73



erron Test Equation
nt Variable: D(TEKZNACH)
 east Squares
14/07 Time: 00:22
djusted): 1996:2 2006:1
observations: 40 after adjusting endpoints

              Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

               0.013518 2.578082           0.0138

                 Mean dependent var       87.9875
                 S.D. dependent var      237.2578
                 Akaike info criterion   13.77544
                 Schwarz criterion       13.81767
                 Durbin-Watson stat      2.237746


                 1% Critical Value*       -4.2092
                 5% Critical Value        -3.5279
                 10% Critical Value       -3.1949

on critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


               ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
variance with no correction       49436.84
variance with correction          37768.75



erron Test Equation
nt Variable: D(TEKZNACH,2)
 east Squares
14/07 Time: 00:23
djusted): 1996:3 2006:1
observations: 39 after adjusting endpoints
Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

 0.164802     -7.0935            0
 78.80648    -0.71557       0.4789
 3.462559      2.1643       0.0372

  Mean dependent var      -5.46154
  S.D. dependent var      348.7925
  Akaike info criterion   13.80017
  Schwarz criterion       13.92814
  F-statistic             25.15936
  Prob(F-statistic)              0
           1.758035
ADF Test Statistic        1% Critical Value*        -2.628
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(BAZISNY)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:31
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

          0.035995 0.020474 1.758035
BAZISNY(-1)                                         0.0886
            -0.06763 0.165274 -0.40917
D(BAZISNY(-1))                                      0.6852
            -0.12255 0.16047 -0.76371
D(BAZISNY(-2))                                      0.4508
            -0.16262 0.162511 -1.00068
D(BAZISNY(-3))                                      0.3247
          0.508847 0.16653 3.055592
D(BAZISNY(-4))                                      0.0046

R-squared 0.344212        Mean dependent var       6.20506
             0.259594
Adjusted R-squared        S.D. dependent var      15.47831
             13.31859
S.E. of regression        Akaike info criterion   8.144445
             5498.934
Sum squared resid         Schwarz criterion       8.364379
Log likelihood -141.6     Durbin-Watson stat       1.68509


            -0.82965
ADF Test Statistic        1% Critical Value*        -2.628
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(BAZISNY,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:32
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

           -0.22909
D(BAZISNY(-1))           0.276121     -0.82965      0.4129
           -0.66826
D(BAZISNY(-1),2)         0.246128     -2.71507      0.0106
           -0.63726
D(BAZISNY(-2),2)         0.211317     -3.01565       0.005
           -0.65372
D(BAZISNY(-3),2)         0.149363     -4.37671      0.0001

R-squared 0.668373        Mean dependent var 0.374735
             0.637283
Adjusted R-squared      S.D. dependent var      22.82534
             13.74679
S.E. of regression      Akaike info criterion   8.183927
             6047.176
Sum squared resid       Schwarz criterion       8.359873
             -143.311
Log likelihood          Durbin-Watson stat      1.728143
            3.092581
PP Test Statistic         1% Critical Value*       -2.6211
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9492
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6201

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         217.0755
Residual variance with correction            159.2873



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(BAZISNY)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:33
Sample(adjusted): 1996:2 2006:1
Included observations: 40 after adjusting endpoints

Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

          0.034849 0.013518 2.578082
BAZISNY(-1)                                         0.0138

R-squared 0.02509         Mean dependent var      5.604299
               0.02509
Adjusted R-squared        S.D. dependent var      15.11196
             14.92118
S.E. of regression        Akaike info criterion   8.268122
             8683.022
Sum squared resid         Schwarz criterion       8.310344
Log likelihood-164.362    Durbin-Watson stat      2.237746


             -7.28185
PP Test Statistic         1% Critical Value*       -4.2092
                          5% Critical Value        -3.5279
                          10% Critical Value       -3.1949

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         200.5633
Residual variance with correction            153.2263



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(BAZISNY,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:34
Sample(adjusted): 1996:3 2006:1
Included observations: 39 after adjusting endpoints
Variable   Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

           -1.16903 0.164802
D(BAZISNY(-1))                      -7.0935             0
C          -3.59183 5.019521       -0.71557        0.4789
#VALUE! 0.477326 0.220545            2.1643        0.0372

R-squared 0.582941       Mean dependent var      -0.34787
             0.559771
Adjusted R-squared       S.D. dependent var      22.21608
             14.74031
S.E. of regression       Akaike info criterion   8.292853
             7821.967
Sum squared resid        Schwarz criterion       8.420819
Log likelihood-158.711   F-statistic             25.15936
             2.053466
Durbin-Watson stat       Prob(F-statistic)              0
            -2.25651
ADF Test Statistic        1% Critical Value*       -3.6228               PP Test Statistic
                          5% Critical Value        -2.9446
                          10% Critical Value       -2.6105

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.   *MacKinnon critical values for rejec


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation                                    Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Dependent Variable: D(ZEPNOY)                                            Residual variance with no correctio
Method: Least Squares                                                    Residual variance with correction
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:39
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints
                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.                     Dependent Variable: D(ZEPNOY)
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
ZEPNOY(-1) -0.87443      0.387513 -2.25651          0.0312               Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:42
           -0.22199
D(ZEPNOY(-1))            0.311541 -0.71255          0.4815               Sample(adjusted): 1996:3 2006:1
            -0.2698
D(ZEPNOY(-2))            0.244638 -1.10285          0.2786               Included observations: 39 after adj
           -0.44035
D(ZEPNOY(-3))            0.155977 -2.82318          0.0082
C         90.84903       40.05825 2.267923          0.0305               Variable

R-squared 0.732647        Mean dependent var      0.353169               ZEPNOY(-1)
               0.69815
Adjusted R-squared        S.D. dependent var      15.95922               C
               8.76814
S.E. of regression        Akaike info criterion   7.308373
             2383.289
Sum squared resid         Schwarz criterion       7.528306               R-squared
             -126.551
Log likelihood            F-statistic             21.23788               Adjusted R-squared
             1.569636
Durbin-Watson stat        Prob(F-statistic)              0               S.E. of regression
                                                                         Sum squared resid
                                                                         Log likelihood
            -9.99962
ADF Test Statistic        1% Critical Value*        -2.628               Durbin-Watson stat
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(ZEPNOY,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:41
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

          -3.25246 0.325258 -9.99962
D(ZEPNOY(-1))                                             0
         1.381076 0.248017 5.568465
D(ZEPNOY(-1),2)                                           0
         0.669558 0.123775 5.40946
D(ZEPNOY(-2),2)                                           0

R-squared 0.904956        Mean dependent var 0.347532
             0.899196
Adjusted R-squared      S.D. dependent var      28.93127
             9.185598
S.E. of regression      Akaike info criterion   7.352806
             2784.382
Sum squared resid       Schwarz criterion       7.484766
             -129.351
Log likelihood          Durbin-Watson stat      1.677421
               -7.7999    1% Critical Value*       -3.6067
                          5% Critical Value        -2.9378
                          10% Critical Value       -2.6069

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         91.17276
Residual variance with correction            86.91215



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(ZEPNOY)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:42
Sample(adjusted): 1996:3 2006:1
Included observations: 39 after adjusting endpoints

            Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

             -1.23178 0.158807 -7.75643                   0
             127.2592 16.52191 7.702451                   0

             0.619193     Mean dependent var      -0.31208
             0.608901     S.D. dependent var      15.67548
             9.803113     Akaike info criterion   7.453197
             3555.738     Schwarz criterion       7.538508
             -143.337     F-statistic             60.16218
             1.992406     Prob(F-statistic)              0
               -5.23297
ADF Test Statistic           1% Critical Value*       -4.2605            PP Test Statistic
                             5% Critical Value        -3.5514
                             10% Critical Value       -3.2081

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.   *MacKinnon critical values for re


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation                                    Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel:
Dependent Variable: D(KPREDGODU)                                         Residual variance with no correc
Method: Least Squares                                                    Residual variance with correction
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:43
Sample(adjusted): 1998:1 2006:1
Included observations: 33 after adjusting endpoints
                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Variable      Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.                   Dependent Variable: D(KPREDG
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
          -0.78574
KPREDGODU(-1)              0.150152    -5.23297             0            Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:45
           0.31457
D(KPREDGODU(-1))           0.142241    2.211533        0.0357            Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
          0.552811
D(KPREDGODU(-2))           0.151514    3.648569        0.0011            Included observations: 36 after a
          0.363564
D(KPREDGODU(-3))            0.16961     2.14353        0.0412
C         66.96577         13.84816    4.835717             0            Variable
  #VALUE! 0.905536         0.207879    4.356075        0.0002
                                                                         KPREDGODU(-1)
R-squared      0.541972      Mean dependent var      -0.00876
               0.457153
Adjusted R-squared           S.D. dependent var      10.68027            R-squared
               7.869028
S.E. of regression           Akaike info criterion   7.126712            Adjusted R-squared
               1671.883
Sum squared resid            Schwarz criterion       7.398804            S.E. of regression
Log likelihood -111.591      F-statistic             6.389685            Sum squared resid
                stat
Durbin-Watson2.129792        Prob(F-statistic)       0.000489            Log likelihood


                                                                         PP Test Statistic



                                                                         *MacKinnon critical values for re


                                                                         Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel:
                                                                         Residual variance with no correc
                                                                         Residual variance with correction



                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
                                                                         Dependent Variable: D(KPREDG
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
                                                                         Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:47
                                                                         Sample(adjusted): 1997:3 2006:1
                                                                         Included observations: 35 after a
Variable

D(KPREDGODU(-1))

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
              0.03828     1% Critical Value*        -2.628
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         107.9232
Residual variance with correction            134.5666



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(KPREDGODU)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:45
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

            Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

             0.001697 0.015399 0.110216             0.9129

             -0.00387     Mean dependent var      0.673529
             -0.00387     S.D. dependent var      10.51564
             10.53597     Akaike info criterion   7.574852
             3885.234     Schwarz criterion       7.618839
             -135.347     Durbin-Watson stat         1.7079


               -5.1743    1% Critical Value*          -2.63
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9507
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6208

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         106.2381
Residual variance with correction            111.3521



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(KPREDGODU,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:47
Sample(adjusted): 1997:3 2006:1
Included observations: 35 after adjusting endpoints
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

 -0.88457 0.171599        -5.1549           0

 0.438682     Mean dependent var       0.06397
 0.438682     S.D. dependent var      13.95822
 10.45767     Akaike info criterion   7.560703
 3718.334     Schwarz criterion       7.605141
 -131.312     Durbin-Watson stat      2.017007
            -5.08446
ADF Test Statistic        1% Critical Value*       -4.2605               PP Test Statistic
                          5% Critical Value        -3.5514
                          10% Critical Value       -3.2081

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.   *MacKinnon critical values for rejec


Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation                                    Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Dependent Variable: D(NARASTITOGOM)                                      Residual variance with no correctio
Method: Least Squares                                                    Residual variance with correction
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:48
Sample(adjusted): 1998:1 2006:1
Included observations: 33 after adjusting endpoints
                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Variable    Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.                     Dependent Variable: D(NARASTIT
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
          -0.71375
NARASTITOGOM(-1) 0.140379            -5.08446            0               Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:50
         0.309228 0.147333
D(NARASTITOGOM(-1))                  2.098832       0.0453               Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
         0.513226 0.155221
D(NARASTITOGOM(-2))                  3.306426       0.0027               Included observations: 36 after adj
         0.452659 0.168962
D(NARASTITOGOM(-3))                  2.679057       0.0124
C        62.26785 12.96612            4.80235       0.0001               Variable
#VALUE! 0.757902 0.180838            4.191047       0.0003
                                                                         NARASTITOGOM(-1)
R-squared 0.508312        Mean dependent var 0.290572
            0.417259
Adjusted R-squared        S.D. dependent var 8.752277                    R-squared
                                                                         Adjusted R-squared
                                                                         S.E. of regression
                                                                         Sum squared resid
                                                                         Log likelihood


                                                                         PP Test Statistic



                                                                         *MacKinnon critical values for rejec


                                                                         Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
                                                                         Residual variance with no correctio
                                                                         Residual variance with correction



                                                                         Phillips-Perron Test Equation
                                                                         Dependent Variable: D(NARASTIT
                                                                         Method: Least Squares
                                                                         Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:52
                                                                         Sample(adjusted): 1997:3 2006:1
                                                                         Included observations: 35 after adj
Variable

D(NARASTITOGOM(-1))

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
             0.183421     1% Critical Value*        -2.628
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9504
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6206

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction         70.10375
Residual variance with correction            86.44623



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(NARASTITOGOM)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:50
Sample(adjusted): 1997:2 2006:1
Included observations: 36 after adjusting endpoints

            Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

             0.003191 0.012497 0.255385             0.7999

             -0.00463     Mean dependent var      0.673529
             -0.00463     S.D. dependent var      8.471982
             8.491567     Akaike info criterion   7.143409
             2523.735     Schwarz criterion       7.187396
             -127.581     Durbin-Watson stat      1.753001


             -5.19635     1% Critical Value*          -2.63
                          5% Critical Value        -1.9507
                          10% Critical Value       -1.6208

*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root.


                          ( Newey-West suggests: 3 )
Lag truncation for Bartlett kernel: 2
Residual variance with no correction           70.5381
Residual variance with correction            74.77867



Phillips-Perron Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(NARASTITOGOM,2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/14/07 Time: 00:52
Sample(adjusted): 1997:3 2006:1
Included observations: 35 after adjusting endpoints
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

 -0.89525 0.173137      -5.17073            0

 0.440129     Mean dependent var      0.130127
 0.440129     S.D. dependent var       11.3884
 8.521311     Akaike info criterion   7.151173
 2468.833     Schwarz criterion       7.195611
 -124.146     Durbin-Watson stat      1.999916

				
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