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Quinnipiac 092111 NY ISSUES

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Quinnipiac 092111 NY ISSUES Powered By Docstoc
					Maurice Carroll, Director,
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
  FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 21, 2011

         UPSTATE NEW YORK VOTERS DIVIDED ON GAS DRILLING,
                 QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
           VOTERS STATEWIDE SUPPORT VEGAS-STYLE CASINOS
  While New York State voters support by a thin 45 – 41 percent margin drilling for natural gas in
  the Marcellus Shale because they think economic benefits outweigh the environmental concerns,
  upstate voters are divided, with 47 percent opposed because they are more worried about the
  environment and 43 percent in support, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
          New York City voters split on drilling 41 – 41 percent and suburban voters support
  drilling 56 – 31 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
  Support is 69 – 20 percent among Republicans and 47 – 42 percent among independent voters
  while Democrats are opposed 52 – 35 percent.
          There is a gender gap as men support drilling 52 – 39 percent while women are opposed
  44 – 39 percent.
          Tax the companies that drill for natural gas, New York State voters say 51 – 36 percent.
          By a strong 74 – 19 percent, New Yorkers believe drilling will create jobs. Support
  among upstate, New York City and suburban voters is similar.
          But voters believe 51 – 13 percent, with 35 percent who don’t know, that hydro-fracking
  will damage the environment. There is strong concern about the environment, 54 – 16 percent,
  among upstate voters.
          “Would hydro-fracking produce jobs? Overwhelmingly voters say yes. Would it
  damage the environment? Another yes – but less emphatically,” said Maurice Carroll, director
  of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
          “Upstate voters, who have the most to gain in terms of jobs and the most to lose in terms
  of the environment, oppose natural gas drilling, while suburban voters support it.”
                                                -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/September 21, 2011 – page 2
       New York State voters support 56 – 37 percent the creation of casinos “similar to those in
Atlantic City and Las Vegas.” Support is 56 – 37 percent in New York City, 58 – 36 percent in
the suburbs and 54 – 37 percent upstate. All groups support casinos with the strongest support,
61 – 32 percent, among voters with a union member in the household.
       Casinos would be good for the economy, voters say 64 – 31 percent, with all groups
agreeing.
       By a similar 63 – 33 percent, voters say casinos will lead to an increase in gambling
addiction, also with agreement among all groups.
       “Roll the dice. Spin the wheel. Hit me. New Yorkers of every stripe say what stays in
Vegas should stay in the Empire State as well,” Carroll said.
       “Casinos would be good for the economy, voters think, but they also think there’d be an
increase in gambling addiction.”
       From September 13 – 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,016 registered voters with a
margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
       The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia
and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.




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21. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale
because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas
in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your
point of view?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Drilling             45%      69%       35%   47%      52%   39%
No drilling          41       20        52    42       39    44
DK/NA                13       12        13    11        9    17

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Drilling             43%      41%       56%   48%
No drilling          47       41        31    41
DK/NA                10       18        13    11

TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale
because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas
in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your
point of view?

                     Sep 21    Aug 11
                     2011      2011

Drilling             45        47
No drilling          41        42
DK/NA                13        12


22. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the
state's Marcellus Shale?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Support              51%      35%       61%   55%      52%   51%
Oppose               36       52        28    32       40    33
DK/NA                12       13        11    12        8    16

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Support              49%      54%       52%   55%
Oppose               39       32        38    34
DK/NA                12       14        11    12

TREND: Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the
state's Marcellus Shale?

                     Sep 21    Aug 11
                     2011      2011

Support              51        59
Oppose               36        29
DK/NA                12        12




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23. Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create
jobs or not?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Yes                  74%      86%       71%   74%      78%   70%
No                   19        8        22    19       17    21
DK/NA                 7        6         8     7        5     9

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Yes                  75%      71%       77%   74%
No                   20       20        15    19
DK/NA                 5        9         8     7

TREND: Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will
create jobs or not?

                     Sep 21    Aug 11
                     2011      2011

Yes                  74        75
No                   19        17
DK/NA                 7         8


24. Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Yes                  53%      57%       45%   61%      61%   45%
No                   46       43        54    38       38    54
DK/NA                 1        1         1     1        1     1

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Yes                  73%      35%       45%   56%
No                   25       64        55    43
DK/NA                 1        1         1     1

TREND: Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?

                     Sep 21    Aug 11
                     2011      2011

Yes                  53        57
No                   46        42
DK/NA                 1         1




                                                                                        4
25. Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State.
Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high
pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then
collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't
you know?

                                                                   HEARD Q24
                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom   Yes    No

Yes/Will damage     51%       33%       65%   47%      45%   56%   55    47
No/Won't Damage     13        26         5    15       18     8    19     6
Don't Know          35        39        30    38       36    35    25    47
REFUSED              -         1         -     1        -     -     -     -

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Yes/Will damage     54%       54%       40%   49%
No/Won't Damage     16         9        15    16
Don't Know          29        37        45    34
REFUSED              -         -         -     -

TREND: Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State.
Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high
pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then
collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't
you know?

                     Sep 21    Aug 11
                     2011      2011

Yes/Will damage     51         52
No/Won't Damage     13         15
Don't Know          35         33
REFUSED              -          -


31. Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State,
similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Support             56%       60%       52%   61%      60%   52%
Oppose              37        35        42    33       35    39
DK/NA                7         5         6     6        6     8

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Support             54%       56%       58%   61%
Oppose              37        37        36    32
DK/NA                8         6         6     7




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32. Do you think the creation of these casinos would be good for the economy or not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

Yes                  64%    67%    61%    69%      66%   62%
No                   31     28     34     27       30    32
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5        4     6

                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

Yes                  62%    67%    63%    71%
No                   32     28     33     25
DK/NA                 6      5      4      4


33. Do you think the creation of these casinos would lead to an increase in gambling
addiction or not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

Yes                  63%    57%    66%    62%      65%   61%
No                   33     37     30     35       31    35
DK/NA                 4      6      4      2        3     4

                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

Yes                  67%    62%    57%    57%
No                   30     34     37     39
DK/NA                 3      3      6      4




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