South African Retail Industry - PDF

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South African Retail Industry Forecast (2007-2011)

Description:    The "South African Retail Industry Forecast (2007-2011)” report provides extensive research and
                rational analysis of South Africa Retail Industry. This report helps clients to analyze the
                opportunities and factors critical to the success of retail industry in South Africa.

                Key Findings
                - In South Africa, convenience store format continues to register the highest growth in comparison
                to other retail formats, as the market for other formats has already reached saturation. Another
                reason for the growth of C-store format is changing consumer patterns that have compelled
                retailers to take this format to consumers. The franchise model will also be used more extensively
                to attain a faster conversion of unorganized retail sector into organized one cost-effectively.
                - Retail key sectors such as motor vehicles, furniture, clothing, media, property, and cellular phone
                - all are benefiting from the booming middle-class and will continue to reap benefits in the future as
                well.
                - Real disposable income is the core driver for consumer spending and it is expected to grow at a
                moderate rate during the review period (2007-2011).
                - Although the demand for durable goods (furniture and appliances) and semi-durable goods should
                remain buoyant over the forecast period (2007-2011), but the greatest opportunities for retail sales
                growths are likely to be in the food and groceries sector.
                - Organic food market, the fastest growing segment in the food sector after baby food market, will
                grow with a CAGR of 30% during the next four years (2007-2010).

                Key Issues and Facts Analyzed
                The research report also takes into account the issues and facts that are critical to success of South
                Africa retail industry, like:

                - What is the market size and scope of growth of the retail industry in South Africa?
                - What are the growth prospects and issues related to the industry?
                - What are the factors driving growth in this sector?
                - What is the size of segment-wise organized market & what are its growth prospects?
                - Who are the major players in South African retail industry, their strategies for growth, and their
                position in the market?
                - What are the emerging trends in the South African retail industry?
                - What are the opportunities & challenges before the retailers in South Africa?

                Key Players Analyzed
                This section covers the key facts about players currently operating in the South Africa retail
                industry. The section includes overview on market players like Pick n Pay Holding Ltd., Shoprite
                Holdings Ltd., Spar Group Ltd., Massmart Holdings Ltd., Woolworths Holdings Ltd., Metcash Ltd.
                and Edgars Stores.

                Research Methodology Used
                Information Sources
                Information has been sourced from various sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and
                white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news
                and developments, and through access to access to more than 3000 paid databases.

                Analysis Methods
                The analysis methods include Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis
                using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.



Contents:       1. Analyst View

                2. Research Overview
3. Industry Overview
 3.1 Global - Retail Sales
 3.2 Global - Retail Sales by Geographical Regions
 3.3 Africa & Middle East - Retail Sales
 3.4 South Africa - Retail Industry

4. Industry Performance
 4.1 South Africa Retail Sales - By Composition
 4.1.1 Food Retail Sales
 4.1.2 Non-food Retail Sales
 4.2 South Africa Retail Sales - By Non-food Product
 4.2.1 Personal Computers
 4.2.2 Clothing & Footwear
 4.2.3 Cosmetics & Toiletries
 4.2.4 Furniture
 4.2.5 Household Cleansing Products
 4.2.6 Refrigerator
 4.3 South Africa Retail Sales - By Store Format
 4.3.1 Convenience Stores
 4.3.2 Supermarkets
 4.3.3 Traditional Markets

5. Industry Analysis
 5.1 Drivers
 5.1.1 Emergence of Black Middle Class
 5.1.2 Decrease in Prime Overdraft Interest Rate
 5.1.3 Higher Consumer Confidence
 5.1.4 Personal Disposable Income
 5.1.5 Credit Sales
 5.1.6 Negative Saving Level
 5.1.7 GDP per Head
 5.1.8 Population Growth
 5.1.9 Imports from China
 5.2 Opportunities
 5.2.1 Organic Food & Beverages
 5.2.2 Non-food Retail Products
 5.2.3 Ready-to-Eat Products
 5.2.4 Online Retailing
 5.2.5 Rapid Growth in Estate Ownership
 5.2.6 Credit Demand
 5.2.7 Tourism & Western Style Food Outlets
 5.2.8 “Proudly South African” Campaign for Local Manufacturers
 5.2.9 Demand for Household Products
 5.2.10 Foreign Investment
 5.2.11 2010 Soccer World Cup
 5.3 Challenges
 5.3.1 High Unemployment
 5.3.2 Widespread Poverty
 5.3.3 Negative Population Growth
 5.3.4 Personal Disposable Income
 5.3.5 Prime Overdraft Interest Rate on Cards
 5.3.6 Quota on Chinese Import
 5.3.7 HIV/AIDS
 5.4 Future Outlook (2007-2011)
 5.4.1 Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.2 Food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.3 Non-food Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.4 Personal Computer Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.5 Clothing & Footwear Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.6 Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.7 Furniture Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.8 Household Cleansing Product Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
 5.4.9 Refrigerator Retail Sales Forecast (2007-2011)
6. Key Players
 6.1 Pick 'n Pay Holdings Ltd.
 6.2 Shoprite Holdings Ltd.
 6.3 Metcash Ltd.
 6.4 Massmart Holdings Ltd.
 6.5 Woolworths Holdings Ltd.
 6.6 Spar Group Ltd.
 6.7 Edgars Stores

List of Tables
Table 3-1: Global - Top 10 Retailers by Net Sales (in Billion US$), 2005
Table 3-2: Africa & Middle East - Top 30 Grocery Retailers by Sale (in Million US$), 2005E
Table 4-1: South Africa - Major Retail Chains Profile (2005-06)
Table 4-2: South Africa - Major Convenience Stores (in Numbers), 2005-06
Table 5-1: South Africa - Mobility of Black Middle Class (%), 2000 & 2005
Table 6-1: Pick 'n Pay Holdings Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Rand), 2004 & 2005
Table 6-2: Shoprite Holdings Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Rand), 2005 & 2006
Table 6-3: Massmart Holdings Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Rand), 2004 & 2005
Table 6-4: Woolworths Holdings Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Rand), 2004 & 2005
Table 6-5: Spar Group Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Rand), 2004 & 2005

List of Figures
Figure 3-1: Global - Retail Sales (in Trillion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 3-2: Global - Retail Sales by Geographical Regions (in Trillion US$), 2006E
Figure 3-3: South Africa - Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-1: South Africa - Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-2: South Africa - Non-food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-3: South Africa - Personal Computer Retail Sales (in Million), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-4: South Africa - Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-5: South Africa - Footwear Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-6: South Africa - Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-7: South Africa - Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-8: South Africa - Household Cleansing Products Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-9: South Africa - Refrigerator Retail Sales (in Thousand), 2001-2006E
Figure 5-1: South Africa - Prime Overdraft Interest Rate (%), 1990 to 2005
Figure 5-2: South Africa - Consumer Confidence Index (in Points), 1983 to 2003
Figure 5-3: South Africa - Personal Disposable Income (in Million US$), 2001-2006
Figure 5-4: South Africa - Value of Credit Sales (in Million Rand), 2004 to 2006
Figure 5-5: South Africa - Saving to Income & Debt to Income Ratio (%), Q1 1994 to Q2 2005
Figure 5-6: South Africa - GDP per Head (in US$), 2001-2006
Figure 5-7: South Africa - Population (in Million), 2001-2006
Figure 5-8: South Africa - Textile Import from China (in Billion Rand), 2001-2005 & Jan-Aug ‘06
Figure 5-9: South Africa - Organic Food Market (in Million US$), 2003-2006E
Figure 5-10: South Africa - Forecast for Organic Food Market (in Million US$), 2007-2010
Figure 5-11: South Africa - Urbanization (%), 2006, 2015F & 2030F
Figure 5-12: South Africa - Single Person Households (%), 1990, 2005 & 2015F
Figure 5-13: South Africa - Online Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2003-2005
Figure 5-14: South Africa - Credit Demand (%), 1996 to 2006
Figure 5-15: South Africa - Forecast for International Tourist Arrival (in Thousand), 2007-2011
Figure 5-16: South Africa - Number of Households (in Million), 2006 & 2008F
Figure 5-17: South Africa - Forecast for GDP per Head (in US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-18: South Africa - Forecast for Employment (in Million), 2007-2011
Figure 5-19: South Africa - Forecast for Population (in Million), 2007-2011
Figure 5-20: South Africa - Forecast for Personal Disposable Income (in Million US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-21: South Africa - Forecast for Prime Overdraft Interest Rate (%), 1990 to 2008
Figure 5-22: South Africa - Forecast for Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-23: South Africa - Forecast for Food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-24: South Africa - Forecast for Non-food Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-25: South Africa - Forecast for Personal Computer Retail Sales (in Million), 2007-2011
Figure 5-26: South Africa - Forecast for Clothing Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-27: South Africa - Forecast for Footwear Retail Sales (in Million US$), 2007-2011
Figure 5-28: South Africa - Forecast for Cosmetics & Toiletries Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-
            2011
            Figure 5-29: South Africa - Forecast for Furniture Retail Sales (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
            Figure 5-30: South Africa - Forecast for Household Cleansing Products (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
            Figure 5-31: South Africa - Forecast for Refrigerator Retail Sales (in Million), 2007-2011



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Description: South African Retail Industry document sample