Higher Education and the Skills Agenda - Aim Higher March 2008 Powerpoint Presentation

Higher Education and the Skills Agenda Professor Deian Hopkin Chair, UniversitiesUK Skills Task Force Joint Chair, HE Engagement Board (DCFS/DIUS) Aim Higher Conference, Sunderland 6 March 2008 CONTEXTS 20 YEARS OF SKILLS REFORM • • • • • • • • 1988 1990 1992 1994 1997 1998 1999 2001 Enterprise in Higher Education Investors in People FE and HE Act Modern Apprenticeships New Deal for Young People Learning Accounts – UFI Learning and Skills Councils Cabinet Office Workforce Development Project Skills for Business Network – SSDA and SSC “Success for All “ COVEs. Launch of Skills Strategy Foster Review 14-19 White Paper Skills Strategy White Paper Leitch Review of Skills Further Education Act • • • • 2002 2003 2004 2005 • 2006 SOME RECENT PUBLICATIONS Degrees of Skill: Student Employability Profiles A Guide for Employers UK Population 2006 18 year old cohort in 2020 National Statistics, 2007 Participation of 16-18 year olds in education and training NEET DFES 2006 The declining 18 year old cohort 2100.0 2050.0 2000.0 Thousands 1950.0 1900.0 1850.0 1800.0 1750.0 20 06 20 07 07 20 -08 08 20 -09 09 20 10 10 20 -11 11 20 -12 12 20 13 13 20 -14 14 20 -15 15 20 16 16 20 -17 17 20 -18 18 20 19 19 20 -20 20 20 -21 21 20 22 22 20 -23 23 20 -24 24 20 25 25 20 -26 26 20 -27 27 20 28 28 -2 9 Source: HEPI, Demand for Higher Education to 2020 and beyond (2007); ONS and Government Actuary's Department (2005 based projections, published in August 2006), adjusted by DfES for academic years. The alternative demographic scenario PROJECTED CHANGE IN AGE GROUPS 2004-2020 Government Actuary’s Department Age and Distribution of Qualifications Leitch Review of Skills Key Facts • 70% of the 2020 workforce are already beyond school-leaving age. • Only 63% of 16-17 year olds in full time education; 37% in work or in NEET • 50% of those in full time education studying level 3; but 50% below level 3. • Only 32% of 15-year olds expect to go on to university- the lowest in the OECD DEMAND AND SUPPLY The skills demand Qualifications profiles across the UK, 2004 Leitch Review of Skills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 150 200 250 300 50 Who goes to 2004 university? UCAS Profile (Total Base) 0 Mosaic Type / Group - Higher Age Profile Alex Singleton, University College London: www.spatial-literacy.org Rural Isolation Grey Perspectives Tw ilight Subsistence Global Connections Cultural Leadership Corporate Chieftains Golden Empty Nesters Provincial Privilege High Technologists Semi-Rural Seclusion Just Moving In Fledgling Nurseries Upscale New Owners Families Making Good Middle Rung Families Burdened Optimists In Military Quarters Close to Retirement Conservative Values Small Time Business Sprawling Subtopia Original Suburbs Asian Enterprise Respectable Rows Affluent Blue Collar Industrial Grit Coronation Street Town Centre Refuge South Asian Industry Settled Minorities Counter Cultural Mix City Adventurers New Urban Colonists Caring Professionals Dinky Developments Town Gown Transition University Challenge Bedsit Beneficiaries Metro Multiculture Upper Floor Families Tower Block Living Dignified Dependency Sharing a Staircase Families on Benefits Low Horizons Ex-industrial Legacy Rustbelt Resilience Older Right to Buy White Van Culture New Town Materialism Old People in Flats Low Income Elderly Cared for Pensioners Sepia Memories Childfree Serenity High Spending Elders Bungalow Retirement Small Town Seniors Tourist Attendants Summer Playgrounds Greenbelt Guardians Parochial Villagers Pastoral Symphony Upland Hill Farmers Key Widening Participation Groups Happy Families Urban Intelligence Ties of Community Suburban Comfort Welfare Borderline Symbols of Success Blue Collar Enterprise Municipal Dependency 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 Average Distance from applicant home to accepting institution (2004) Average Distance Travelled to University 2004 (All Home Acceptances) Mosaic Type / Group Key WP groups Alex Singleton, University College London: www.spatial-literacy.org Rural Isolation Happy Families Urban Intelligence Ties of Community Suburban Comfort Grey Perspectives Welfare Borderline Symbols of Success Tw ilight Subsistence Blue Collar Enterprise Municipal Dependency Global Connections Cultural Leadership Corporate Chieftains Golden Empty Nesters Provincial Privilege High Technologists Semi-Rural Seclusion Just Moving In Fledgling Nurseries Upscale New Owners Families Making Good Middle Rung Families Burdened Optimists In Military Quarters Close to Retirement Conservative Values Small Time Business Sprawling Subtopia Original Suburbs Asian Enterprise Respectable Rows Affluent Blue Collar Industrial Grit Coronation Street Town Centre Refuge South Asian Industry Settled Minorities Counter Cultural Mix City Adventurers New Urban Colonists Caring Professionals Dinky Developments Town Gown Transition University Challenge Bedsit Beneficiaries Metro Multiculture Upper Floor Families Tower Block Living Dignified Dependency Sharing a Staircase Families on Benefits Low Horizons Ex-industrial Legacy Rustbelt Resilience Older Right to Buy White Van Culture New Town Materialism Old People in Flats Low Income Elderly Cared for Pensioners Sepia Memories Childfree Serenity High Spending Elders Bungalow Retirement Small Town Seniors Tourist Attendants Summer Playgrounds Greenbelt Guardians Parochial Villagers Pastoral Symphony Upland Hill Farmers Graduation rates of 20-21 year olds OECD comparisons 2005 Australia Iceland New Zealand Finland Denmark Poland Netherlands Norway Italy United Kingdom OECD AVERAGE 59% 56% 51% 47% 46% 45% 42% 41% 41% 39% 36% The growth in demand 5 yr Total TfL Resource Demand - Rail includes LUL (PPP's and PFI's), London Rail & DLR - excludes Crossrail 7000 6000 Saf ety & Security Engineering Assurance Engineering Premises Engineering Fire Engineering** Nos of People (FTE) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 Systems Engineering** E & M Engineering** Communications Engineering Pow er Engineering** Signals Engineering** Rolling Stock Engineering** Civils & Structures Engineering Track Engineering** Commercial Management Project Management TRANSPORT FOR LONDON – POTENTIAL SKILLS SHORTAGES Streets, Surface Congestion Charging and Major Projects • • • • • • Traffic Signalling Engineers CCTV Engineers Communication engineers Certain types of IT engineers Traffic engineering skills in general Project Managers/ Engineering Project Managers Network Assessment Engineers Environmental teams Transport Planning and modelling Behavioural response modelling Revenue and timetable modelling Land use planning Case management skills associated with TWA bills etc London Underground, Crossrail and Major Projects • Specialist Tunnelling Resource • Permanent Way Engineers • Project Managers/ Engineering Project Managers • Signalling Engineers • Line Upgrade Engineers • Communication Engineers • Power Engineers • Rolling Stock Engineers • Systems Engineers • Fire Engineers • M&E Engineers • Specialist Tramway engineering and operations resource • • • • • • • Chartered Engineers – Age Profile 1988-2005 30000 25000 20000 Over 60 1988 2004 15000 10000 5000 0 21-2 4 24-2 9 30-3 4 35-3 9 40-4 4 45-4 9 50-5 4 55-5 9 60-6 4 65-6 9 70-7 4 75-7 9 80-8 4 85-8 9 90+ Percentage change in enrolments by subject area, 1996/7 to 2005/06 Foundation Degrees available 2005/6 Law Retail History etc Performing Arts Media Sport Hospitality/Tourism Health Art/Design Computing Business Education 11 20 22 120 127 153 156 218 222 294 330 336 0 100 200 300 400 No of courses Source: FDF 2006 MEETING THE DEMAND What are HEIs already doing? • 90% offer tailor-made courses for business on their campuses • 80% offer education on companies’ premises • 78% report that employers are actively engaged in the development of the curriculum • Nearly all HEIs have a dedicated enquiry point for business • And yet…. Only 2% of business in recent survey said they rate universities as an important source of information What are employers looking for? GCSE A/C A level Degree Special skills Quality Fluency (Eng) B/Literacy Employability 0 20 40 60 80 100 London Skills and Employment Board, 2007 A different kind of learner? Gateway Applications for 2009 Applications have been made by 357 Consortia, for 1020 lines, and covering 141 Local Authorities .       2406 Secondary schools 61 Academies 277 special schools + 7 non-maintained special schools 4 independent schools 332 colleges 108 Universities  3332 discrete institutions are partners in at least one consortium from G1 or G2, of which 2502 are secondary schools. Gateway Applications for 2009 Regional Distribution Region No of LAs Number of consortia applying Eastern England East Midlands London (9 LAs) (8 LAs) (31 LAs) 39* 32 36 North East North West (12 LAs) (22 LAs) 26 37 South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside (16 LAs) (14 LAs) (14 LAs) 61 37 56 (15 LAs) (141 LAs) 33 357 TOTAL learner numbers Gateway Applications for 2009 No of students by level L1 Pre16 L1 L2 Post- Pre16 16 L2 L3 Post- Pre16 16 L3 Post16 Total TOTAL 23830 7001 29678 13256 1876 20444 96085 Gateway Applications for 2009 Number of applications per Diploma line Diploma Line Applications Construction and the Built Environment Creative and Media Engineering Information Technology 69 96 54 90 Society, Health and Development Business Administration and Finance Hair and Beauty Studies Hospitality Environmental and Land Based Studies 100 165 151 142 111 Manufacturing and Product Design 42 1020 Higher Education and the Diplomas Current FE-HE partnership work • • • • • • • • Lifelong Learning Partnerships Aim Higher Foundation Degrees Train to Gain Plan for Growth 14-19 Diploma Consortia LSC-HEFCE Complementary Investment Decisions Work on credit transfer and progression LSC Higher Education Strategy (2006) and DIUS Higher Education Strategy (2008) • New Standard for Employer Responsiveness. The HE Engagement Board Universities, schools and Colleges Ministers UCAS QAA Foundation Degree Forward QCA DFES officers Joint Chairs And DFES secretariat UVAC Specialist advisers UUK Higher Education Academy Employers and SSCs GuildHE Mission Groups Students and parents The conclusions of the 1994 report • Strong enthusiasm for the Extended project • Doubts about the introduction of A* grade • 62% of admissions tutors in relevant undergraduate areas felt it was very likely, quite likely or possible that they would be admitting Advanced Diploma students to undergraduate courses from 2010. • All 19 universities committed • Among 1994 Group universities working closely with 14- 19 projects in their own localities are Lancaster, Loughborough and York CHALLENGES FOR HE and FE Projections of demand for HE HEPI 2005 Projections of demand for HE The Links in the Chain • Improved Advice and Guidance • Raise aspirations e.g. Aim Higher; Lifelong Learning networks • New progression routes to HE for younger students e.g. 14-19 Diploma; Apprenticeships • Foundation Degrees and Work-based learning • Enhanced CPD in the workplace • Train To Gain for level 3 and above • Employer co-funded programmes KEY QUESTIONS • How will employer-engagement be funded? • How do universities deal effectively with workbased learning? SMEs? • Is FE not better suited for e.g. Train to Gain? • How can the HE/FE workforce be developed? • Is the current quality assurance regime appropriate? Especially for bite-sized provision and customised courses? • Is employer demand the same as student demand? • How can the skills landscape be made simpler? FUNDING THE RIGHT PRIORITIES • Gap between HE funding (£11 bn) and FE Adult Skills (£3 bn) • Continued focus on 18-30 for widening participation • Part-time HE less well funded and supported than full-time HE. • Even bigger gap between full time HE and full time adult FE (e.g. £1 bn for adult level 3: £11 bn for level 4) • Removal of support for ELQ (“second degrees”) • Review of HE funding due 2009: FE funding? • A comprehensive skills funding system? Alternative modes of provision To whom do Employers turn for education and training? LSEB 2007 The Web 2.0 Revolution Learning in the Workplace The onward march of the private sector “Higher Education Institutions play a huge role in developing the nation’s skills. However, while about £33bn is spent by employers annually on training, higher education accounts for £5 bn. Just 17 universities have over 50% of the £290m actually spent by business in HEIs. So why doesn’t business spend more on higher education? Employers may not be aware of what HEIs can offer. And what HEIs offer may not be what employers need. What’s required is not only investment, but a shared sense of purpose as HEIs and employers, through their SSCs work together to grow the higher-level skills market.” Skills for Business Network Advertisement, Nov 2007 Thank you deian.hopkin@lsbu.ac.uk