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Hurricane Ono Consequence Projections Hurricane Ono Consequence

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					 Hurricane Ono Consequence Projections




Hurricane Ono Consequence Projections
        Version 3, April 13, 2007
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


                                        TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION                                                                                                                   1

THE FLCP SCENARIO                                                                                                              1

DIKE BREACHES AND STRUCTURE FAILURES                                                                                           2
  Building Damage                                                                                                              2

  Critical Facilities                                                                                                          3

  Flooded Roads                                                                                                                7

  Possible Hazardous Chemical Sites                                                                                            9


THE BROADER SOUTH FLORIDA SCENARIO                                                                                             9
  Evacuation and Sheltering                                                                                                    9
  Special Needs Populations                                                                                                   15

  Mass Care                                                                                                                   16

  Medical Issues                                                                                                              18
  Casualties                                                                                                                  18
  Additional Medical Topics                                                                                                   19

  Infrastructure Damage                                                                                                       20
  Wind Damage                                                                                                                 20
  Storm Surge Damage                                                                                                          28
  Combined Damage                                                                                                             30
  Critical Infrastructure                                                                                                     32
  Emergency Facilities                                                                                                        35
  Transportation                                                                                                              37
  Port Everglades                                                                                                             38
  Electric Power                                                                                                              39
  Nuclear Power Plants                                                                                                        40
  Water Control System                                                                                                        41
  Telecommunications                                                                                                          41

  Volunteer and Donations Management                                                                                          42
  Types of Volunteers                                                                                                         42

                                                                                                                          Page i

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections

  Past Volunteer Figures                                                                                                      42
  Past Donations                                                                                                              43
  Other Issues                                                                                                                43


APPENDIX A: POPULATION PROFILES OF MUNICIPALITIES                                                                            44




Page ii

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections



Introduction
         To help drive Florida Catastrophic Planning (FLCP) development of target capabilities,
         identification of gaps in current plans, and collaboration for planning solutions, a
         hypothetical catastrophic scenario has been created that combines a Herbert Hoover Dike
         (HHD) failure with a major South Florida hurricane. Although the scenario is fictitious, it
         has been developed by Subject Matter Experts to be plausible. It provides a realistic set of
         consequences to facilitate the catastrophic planning process.

         The consequence projections summarized in this document are intended to provide a
         basis for discussion by depicting the catastrophic outcomes of the FLCP scenario, thus
         establishing the necessary capacity of the plans that resulting discussions will inform.
         They are derived from this scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research.
         However, while the figures in this document are used to facilitate conversations in the
         planning process, assumptions should not be limited by the consequences contained
         herein. No single scenario can incorporate all possible catastrophic outcomes, and plans
         should be designed to provide comprehensive preparation for all issues, whether or not
         they are a part of the FLCP scenario. Additionally, the consequence projections will
         continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes
         available and specific planning needs are defined.

         The consequences in this document are broken into three parts. The first portrays the
         FLCP scenario in greater detail. The second provides an in-depth depiction of the
         inundation of residences and critical facilities that occurs as a result of the HHD
         breaches. The final section describes the effects of Hurricane Ono on all of South Florida,
         ranging from numbers of evacuees to damage to critical infrastructure, and incorporates
         some information about the dike breaches.

The FLCP Scenario
         After a winter of drought conditions and a summer during which several lingering
         tropical depressions have saturated central and southern Florida, the level of Lake
         Okeechobee has reached eighteen feet.

         Hurricane Ono, a large Category 5 hurricane, makes landfall at 11 a.m. EDT on Monday,
         September 10, just north of Fort Lauderdale. The storm travels northwestward across the
         state, maintaining Category 4 strength as it grazes the southwest reaches of Lake
         Okeechobee. The surge on the lake causes a breach of Reach 2 of the HHD in the vicinity
         of Clewiston. Tornadoes spawned by the hurricane also touch down on the dike, causing
         breaches in Reaches 1B and 1C near the towns of Pahokee and Bell Glade. Wind and
         flood control actions also cause the S80 structure on the St. Lucie Canal to fail. Ono
         continues across the state and, after spending 36 hours over land, exits into the Gulf of
         Mexico at Pinellas County.



                                                                                                                         Page 1

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


          Appendix B contains figures that show the storm track of Hurricane Ono overlaid with
          maps of the maximum sustained winds and population density of South Florida.

Dike Breaches and Structure Failures
          Tornadoes and lake storm surge resulting from Hurricane Ono cause breaches in Reaches
          1B, 1C, and 2 of the Herbert Hoover Dike. Water flow at the breaches is roughly six
          miles per hour, and decreases quickly further from the lake.

          Floodwaters from breaches in Reaches 1B and 1C inundate a contiguous area, including
          Pahokee and part of Belle Glade, with as much as 13 feet of water. The Reach 2 breach
          floods the town of Clewiston and the surrounding areas, which are at a higher elevation,
          with one to four feet of water.

          Secondary levees in the area hold, limiting the extent of the inundation, but also
          preventing the water from dissipating further. As a result, floodwaters could linger in the
          areas inundated by the breaches for 22 days or longer, depending on the availability of
          resources needed to repair the breaches.

          Failure of the S80 structure on the St. Lucie Canal results in significant flooding in the
          areas of Martin County downstream from the structure. This flooding closes the Florida
          Turnpike north of the I-95 interchange and State Road 76 east of the structure.

          The Herbert Hoover Dike Breach Inundation Areas map in Appendix B shows the extent
          of the inundation caused by the HHD breaches and the S80 failure.

Building Damage
          The damage in this section results only from breaches of the HHD. This discussion does
          not consider the damage caused by wind, which is covered in the section on The Broader
          South Florida Scenario, or the effects of lake surge or precipitation.

                 Table 1: Percent of Building Stock Affected by HHD Breach Flood

                                                                               Percent
                       Percent        Percent with         Percent with                                         Percent
                                                                                with          Percent
      County           with No           Minor              Moderate                                            With Any
                                                                               Severe        Destroyed
                       Damage           Damage               Damage                                             Damage
                                                                               Damage

       Glades            94.4%             0.0%                 1.0%             0.0%            4.6%             94.4%
       Hendry            68.9%             0.0%                 8.4%             0.0%           22.7%             68.9%
    Palm Beach           99.0%             0.0%                 0.0%             0.0%            1.0%             99.0%
         Total           98.1%             0.0%                 0.3%             0.0%            1.7%             98.1%




Page 2

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                  Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                      Consequence Projections


                         Table 2: Number of Structures Affected by HHD Breach Flood

                                                                                           Number of         Number of
                                                      Number of         Number of
                 Number of            Total                                                Structures        Structures         Number of
                                                      Structures        Structures
 County          Structures        Structures                                                 with              with            Structures
                                                       with No          with Minor
                 in County          Affected                                               Moderate            Severe           Destroyed
                                                       Damage            Damage
                                                                                            Damage            Damage

  Glades            5,279               298              4,981                0                 53                 0                244
  Hendry            11,599             3,602             7,997                0                973                 0               2,629
Palm Beach         397,425             4,082            393,343               0                 19                 71              3,992

  Total            414,303             7,982            406,321               0               1,045                71              6,865



                Table 3: Property Damage due to HHD Breach Flood, in Millions of Dollars

                                                                                                  Total Percent
                                                                                 Total
                                          Structure          Contents                              Loss due to
                        County                                                  Property
                                          Damage             Damage                               Storm Surge
                                                                                Damage
                                                                                                    Damage

                         Glades                13                 10                23                  3.7%
                         Hendry                171               144               315                 14.9%
                      Palm Beach               361               301               662                  0.5%

                          Total                545               455              1,000                 0.7%


               In Reach 1 (Palm Beach County), the residences of approximately 4,700 households are
               flooded to a depth of five to thirteen feet. In Reach 2 (Glades, Hendry, and Palm Beach
               County), the homes of approximately 4,800 households are within the area that would be
               covered by one to six feet of water. Since these homes are flooded for at least 22 days,
               they would sustain severe damage or be destroyed due to structural rotting and black
               mold.

               Approximately 130 homes are flooded and some 600 more are surrounded by water as a
               result of the failure of the S80 structure in Martin County.1 The latter homes are cut off
               from normal access routes, making access to supplies or emergency services more
               difficult.

    Critical Facilities
               This list of critical facilities includes only those facilities critical to a disaster response
               that are located within the extents of the flooding resulting from the HHD breaches or
               S80 structure failure. Additional facilities in the inundation areas that are not listed
               include agricultural and chemical facilities.

    1
        Number of homes determined by comparison of flood extent maps with aerial photographs
                                                                                                                              Page 3

      These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
     Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
        be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


          The elevations for each facility, which were used to calculate inundation depth, were
          derived from the U.S. Geological Services (USGS) National Elevation Dataset (NED).
          Facilities list with a depth of zero fall within the inundation extents, but are located on
          high enough ground to avoid flooding. Access to these facilities may be limited, however,
          due to nearby floodwaters.

            Table 4: Airports/Aviation Facilities in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Facility                                 County                   Inundation Depth (ft)
                    Hilliard’s Private                            Glades                              2.63
                   Clewiston Airport                              Hendry                                0
                     Air Crop Care                             Palm Beach                             7.66
              Belle Glade State Airport                        Palm Beach                             7.66
                     Bryant Airstrip                           Palm Beach                             4.38
         Palm Beach County Glades Airport                      Palm Beach                             4.38


               Table 5: Shelters (Not Schools) in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                  Facility                                 County                          Depth of Flooding (ft)
          American Legion Hall                              Glades                                    1.10
           John Boy Auditorium                              Glades                                    4.38
         Harlem Community Civic                             Hendry                                      0


                  Table 6: Schools (Shelters) in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                     School                                     County                      Depth of Flooding (ft)
         Clewiston Central Elementary                           Hendry                                      0
                 Clewiston High                                 Hendry                                      0
               Clewiston Middle                                 Hendry                                      0




Page 4

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


        Table 7: Schools (Not Currently Shelters) in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                           Name                                     Location                 Depth of Flooding (ft)
                    Belle Glade Elem                              Belle Glade                           7.66
                  Glades Central H.S.                             Belle Glade                           1.10
                  Glades Day School                               Belle Glade                           7.66
                 Partnership Academy                              Belle Glade                           7.66
         West Technical Educational Center                        Belle Glade                           7.66
           Clewiston Eastside Elementary                           Clewiston                                0
                   Clewiston Primary                               Clewiston                                0
           Clewiston Westside Elementary                           Clewiston                                0
    Clewiston Youth Developmental Academy                          Clewiston                                0
                 Pahokee Elementary                                 Pahokee                             1.10
             Pahokee Middle-Senior High                             Pahokee                             4.38
       Pahokee Youth Developmental Center                           Pahokee                             7.66


         Table 8: Public Health/Medical Facilities in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                      Name                                   Location                      Depth of Flooding (ft)
        Clewiston Healthcare Center                          Clewiston                                  0
            FMC Dialysis Services                            Clewiston                                2.58
               Grace Healthcare                              Clewiston                                  0
             Hendry County EMS                               Clewiston                                  0
        Hendry County Public Health                          Clewiston                                  0
           Hendry General Hospital                           Clewiston                                  0
       Everglades Memorial Hospital                          Pahokee                                  4.38
          Glades Healthcare Center                           Pahokee                                    0


Table 9: Medical Support/Home Healthcare Facilities in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
                 Family Home Care                              Clewiston                                0
             Pharmacy Solutions, Inc.                          Clewiston                                0
          Lakeside Quality Home Health                          Pahokee                               4.38




                                                                                                                         Page 5

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


           Table 10: Law Enforcement Facilities in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                       Agency                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
          Belle Glade Police Department                       Belle Glade                             4.38
           Clewiston Police Department                         Clewiston                              2.63
          Hendry Co. Sheriff Sub-Office                        Clewiston                              2.63
           Pahokee Police Department                            Pahokee                               1.10
     Royal Palm Beach Police Department                   Royal Palm Beach                            7.66


                     Table 11: Prisons/Jails in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
         FL Dept/Corrections – Glades C.I.                    Belle Glade                             4.38
                Glades Work Camp                              Belle Glade                             7.66


                  Table 12: Fire Departments in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
             Clewiston Volunteer F.D.                          Clewiston                                0
                    Pahokee F.D.                                Pahokee                               4.38
                Fire Station 71, PBC                       Palm Beach Co.                             4.38
              Royal Palm Beach F.D.                       Royal Palm Beach                            7.66


Table 13: Drinking Water Treatment/Waste Water Treatment in the HHD or S80 Inundation
                                        Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
          City of Clewiston Waste Water
                                                               Clewiston                              2.63
             Treatment Plant (WWTP)
                 Hooker Pt. WWTP                               Clewiston                              2.63
                 South Shore Water                            Hendry Co.                                0
              City of Pahokee WWTP                              Pahokee                               4.38
           City of Pahokee Water Plant                          Pahokee                               1.10




Page 6

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


            Table 14: Communication Facilities in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
                        WSWN                                  Belle Glade                             7.66
              Sprint Communications                            Clewiston                              2.63
                   WAFC-AM/FM                                  Clewiston                              2.63
                BellSouth Telecom.                              Pahokee                               1.10


               Table 15: Utilities (Gas/Electric) in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
             Glades Gas and Electric                          Belle Glade                             7.66
               Clewiston Substation                            Clewiston                              2.63
           Clewiston Switching Station                         Clewiston                              2.63
                  Gator Generating                              Pahokee                               4.38
              Osceola Co-generation                             Pahokee                               4.38


                Table 16: Government Centers in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
                  City of Clewiston                            Clewiston                                0
                   City of Pahokee                              Pahokee                               1.10


                   Table 17: Other Structures in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                         Name                                  Location                    Depth of Flooding (ft)
    Florida DOT – Belle Glade Maint.                   Belle Glade                                    4.38
    Hunter Ice and Fuel                                 Pahokee                                       4.38


Flooded Roads
         Roads are submerged by standing water for 22 days or more, causing severe damage to
         the roadways. Routes that run along the dike, such as U.S. Highways 441 and 98 and
         State Roads 715 and 80 may be destroyed by moving water.




                                                                                                                         Page 7

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                     Table 18: Streets/Roads in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

                  Name                                    Location                          Depth of Flooding (ft)
                 16th St.                     Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              6.02
           Bacom Point Rd.                    Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              5.75
            Belle Glade Rd.                   Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              4.38
                Canal St.                     Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              5.47
          Conners Highway                     Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              4.38
         County Highway 720                      Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                2.11
         County Highway 832                      Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                  0
         County Highway 880                   Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              7.66
           County Road 720                       Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                2.11
           County Road 835                       Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                2.72
          Florida’s Turnpike                     North of I-95 Interchange                              2.52
           Francisco Street                      Near Clewiston Reach 2                                   0
           Hooker Highway                     Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              5.13
           Kanner Highway                           Near S80 Structure                                 10.72
                Lake Rd.                      Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                               5.8
                Main St.                      Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              2.65
           Palm Beach Rd.                     Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                               5.2
            Southern Blvd.                    Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              17.5
          State Highway 717                   Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              7.66
           State Market Rd.                   Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              4.38
         Sugarland Highway                       Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                2.75
           U.S. Highway 27                       Near Clewiston, Reach 2                                4.38
          U.S. Highway 441                    Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              0.27
           U.S. Highway 98                    Vicinity of Pahokee, Reach 1                              0.74


                   Table 19: Railroad Tracks in the HHD or S80 Inundation Areas

               Railroad Co.                               Location                         Depth of Flooding (ft)
         Florida East Coast RR                   Near Clewiston, Reach 2                              5.91
         Florida East Coast RR                Vicinity of/Pahokee, Reach 1                            4.82
       Sea Board Coast Line RR                   Near Clewiston, Reach 2                              1.21




Page 8

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


Possible Hazardous Chemical Sites
         A variety of facilities in the area potentially contain hazardous chemicals that could be
         released as a result of this storm, including sugar mills, water and wastewater treatment
         plants, farms, incinerators, and chemical plants.

The Broader South Florida Scenario
         The previous section focused solely on the effects of the breaches of the Herbert Hoover
         Dike and the failure of the S80 structure. This section describes the effects of Hurricane
         Ono on all of South Florida, ranging from numbers of evacuees to damage to critical
         infrastructure and incorporates, where applicable, information about the dike breaches.

Evacuation and Sheltering
         Evacuee estimates were established based on the most recent Hurricane Evacuation
         Studies for those areas. The Florida Division of Emergency Management is currently in
         the process of updating all 11 Hurricane Evacuation Studies as part of the Regional
         Evacuation Studies initiative. When available, all new results will be incorporated into
         the Hurricane Ono consequence projections.




                                                                                                                         Page 9

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                                          Table 20: Evacuees by County

                                            Storm
                                    2       Surge             Shadow            Total          Population          Clearance
     County           Population
                                          Vulnerable         Evacuees         Evacuees         Remaining4          Time (hr)5
                                          Evacuees3
     Broward           1,776,825            369,304           335,588           704,892          1,071,933            13.75
      Glades             11,198              10,040               0              10,040             1,158                8
      Hendry             40,742              14,586             5,896            20,482            20,260                6
       Lee              585,539             266,916            67,880           334,796           250,743              16.5
      Martin            139,803              83,945            10,261            94,206            45,597             12.75
    Miami-Dade         2,401,599            585,923           428,070          1,013,993         1,387,606             17.5
     Monroe              76,114              89,085               0              89,085               0                 36
    Okeechobee           38,833              17,927             4,436            22,363            16,470               10
    Palm Beach         1,288,281            361,774           215,666           577,440           710,841             15.25
      Total            6,358,934           1,799,500         1,067,795         2,867,297         3,504,608




2
  County population totals are from a 2006 dataset from Synergos Technologies.
3
  Storm surge vulnerable populations taken from the most recent hurricane evacuation study for each county. The
storm surge vulnerable (SSV) population includes permanent residents, migrant workers, tourists, and part-time
residents, while the population by county includes only permanent residents, allowing for a larger number of SSV
evacuees than total population in some counties.
4
  The population remaining data does accurately reflect the likelihood that non-permanent population segments
(migrant workers, tourists, and part-time residents) will not evacuate. The population remaining could be far larger if
portions of these populations remain in the area. The evacuation behavior of these populations will be evaluated for
inclusion in the next version of the Consequence Projections document.
5
  Clearance times represent the time required for evacuation of all storm surge vulnerable population in a county,
assuming 100% compliance rates. However, clearance times for a given county do not consider vehicles that might
be evacuating from other counties. As a result, regional clearance times are often much higher than those for a single
county.
Page 10

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


                          Table 21: Persons Seeking Public Shelter Pre-Storm

                                                                            Persons Seeking               Percent Seeking
            County                            Population
                                                                             Public Shelter                Public Shelter

           Broward                             1,776,825                          192,516                         11%
            Glades                               11,198                            2,953                          26%
            Hendry                               40,742                            5,764                          14%
              Lee                               585,539                            95,475                         16%
             Martin                             139,803                            27,255                         19%
         Miami-Dade                            2,401,599                          279,348                         12%
            Monroe                               76,114                            26,202                         34%
         Okeechobee                              38,833                            6,381                          16%
         Palm Beach                            1,288,281                          160,321                         12%
             Total                             6,358,934                          796,214



              Some shelters may be rated for 130–140 mph winds, which is exceeded by Hurricane
              Ono. This may prompt some emergency management officials not to open shelters.




                                                                                                                        Page 11

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                                 Table 22: Vulnerable Population Segments6

                                                                                                                Percent
                                                                           Percent         Households
                                                         Population                                           Households
                                                                          Population           with
     County          Population       Households           65 and                                                 with
                                                                            65 and           Income
                                                            older                                               Income
                                                                             older          <$15,0007
                                                                                                               <$15,0007
     Broward          1,776,825          708,047           286,255           16.1%             87,264             12.3%
      Glades           11,198             4,074             2,442            21.8%               662              16.2%
      Hendry           40,742             12,245            4,753            11.7%              1,861             15.2%
       Lee             585,539           245,553           156,279           26.7%             25,709             10.5%
      Martin           139,803            60,931            40,643           29.1%              5,770              9.5%
    Miami-Dade        2,401,599          825,765           345,124           14.4%            141,541             17.1%
      Monroe           76,114             33,670            13,573           17.8%              3,930             11.7%
    Okeechobee         38,833             13,618            7,082            18.2%              2,219             16.3%
    Palm Beach        1,288,281          535,773           305,914           23.7%             54,510             10.2%
      Total           6,358,934         2,439,676         1,162,065          18.3%            323,466             13.3%


          Low income populations
               Due to a number of reasons including lack of financial resources for staying in a hotel
               or traveling great distances, low income evacuees are more likely to seek public
               shelter. The 1991 Florida Hurricane Evaluation Study reported that 35% of low
               income populations intended to seek public shelter in a serious hurricane scenario.8
               Following Hurricane Andrew, a survey found that lower income households are three
               times more likely to seek shelter within the area than persons from upper income
               households.9




6
  Figures calculated from 2006 estimates by Synergos Technologies, Inc.
7
  The poverty threshold for a family of two parents and one child is $16,227, according to the 2006 U.S. Census
Bureau Poverty Thresholds.
8
  Lower Southeast Florida Hurricane Evacuation Study, Technical Assessment, Palm Beach County. 1991.
9
  Walter Peacock and Hugh Gladwin. “Assessing the Likelihood of Evacuation Next Time: Some Preliminary
Findings from the FIU Hurricane Andrew Survey.” International Hurricane Center, Preliminary Report #3.
Page 12

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                                Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                    Consequence Projections


                                                         Table 23: Vulnerable Population Segments10

                                                                                                    Households with
                                                                                                       at least one
                                                                                                     person needing                                  Percent
                                                                                  Percent                                        Renter
                                                             Households                                   public                                     Renter
                                             Housing                            Households                                      Occupied                               Homeless
     County            Households                             without a                             transportation to                               Occupied
                                              Units                              without a                                      Housing                               Population12
                                                                 Car                                  shelter due to                                Housing
                                                                                    Car                                          Units
                                                                                                       non-income                                     Units
                                                                                                     related special
                                                                                                          need11
     Broward              708,047            766,391            64,663               9.1%                  51,687                 215,321              28.1%               2,286
     Glades                 4,074              4,957              263                6.5%                    297                    742                15.0%                 7
     Hendry                12,245             13,097              951                7.8%                    894                   3,383               25.8%                218
      Lee                 245,553            280,659            12,779               5.2%                  17,925                 57,324               20.4%               2,056
     Martin                60,931             66,819             3,181               5.2%                   4,448                  12,326              18.4%                495
 Miami-Dade               825,765            876,104            115,002             13.9%                  60,281                 345,950              39.5%               5,160
     Monroe                33,670             41,458             2,996               8.9%                   2,458                  12,553              30.3%                981
Okeechobee                 13,618             15,277             1,054               7.7%                    994                   3,419               22.4%                 28
 Palm Beach               535,773            592,137            39,803               7.4%                  39,111                 134,685              22.7%               2,697
      Total              2,439,676          2,656,899           240,692              9.9%                 178,096                 785,703              29.6%              13,928




10
   Unless otherwise noted, table figures calculated from 2006 estimates by Synergos Technologies, Inc.
11
   Calculated based upon the Lower Southeast Florida Hurricane Evacuation Study, Technical Data Report
12
   “Annual Report on Homeless Conditions in Florida,” Florida Office on Homelessness. 2005. Retrieved April 10, 2007 from the Florida Department of
Children and Families; http://www.dcf.state.fl.us/homelessness/docs/2005reportweb.pdf.
                                                                                                                                                                          Page 13

   These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
 scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                             planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections



          Evacuation Support
              Persons within a number of population segments including households without a car,
              special needs populations with special transportation requirements, homeless
              populations, low income populations, and some tourists, will require evacuation
              support including public transportation to shelter sites.

          Homeless Persons Remaining in Hurricane Areas
              Homeless persons remaining in hurricane areas are especially vulnerable to injury and
              death as a result of the storm. Special planning is required to identify and evacuate
              local homeless populations.

          Tourists
              Tourists make up a unique population segment and may be less likely to know about
              evacuation orders or have their own vehicles, may require assistance evacuating, and
              may place extraordinary pressure on airports and other transit hubs.

                          Table 24: Average September Day Visitors in County

                                                                     Average Visitors in
                                         County
                                                                   County, September Day
                                         Broward                              93,64113
                                       Miami-Dade                            104,34814
                                         Monroe                               7,37115
                                       Palm Beach                             39,74216
                                           Total                              245,101




13
   Estimated from an annual visitor figure from the Greater Fort Lauderdale Convention and Visitors Bureau
14
   Estimated from an quarterly visitor figure from the Greater Miami Convention and Visitors Bureau
15
   Estimate based on monthly figures from the Key West Chamber of Commerce
16
   Estimated from monthly figures from the Tourist Development Council of Palm Beach County
Page 14

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                  Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                      Consequence Projections



              Special Needs Populations
                                           Table 25: Special Needs Populations

                                Population         Percent
                                 Speaking        Population
                                                  Speaking                                                                 Population
                                  English                                                                                  Undergoing
 County        Population                          English
                                Less Than                                              Percent         Population         Tuberculosis
                                 Very Well       Less Than
                                                  Very Well         Disabled           Disabled            on                 (TB)
                                (ages 5+)17                        Population18       Population        Dialysis19       Chemotherapy20
                                                  (ages 5+)
 Broward        1,776,825         228,611            13.8%            360,696            20.3%             1,949               25-101
  Glades          11,198             754             7.1%              3,090             27.6%               12                  0-1
  Hendry          40,742            8,501            22.2%             9,248             22.7%               45                  1-5
   Lee           585,539           52,143            9.4%             128,818            22.0%              642                  4-17
  Martin         139,803            6,959            5.2%              29,638            21.2%              153                  2-7
Miami-Dade      2,401,599         767,264            34.4%            463,508            19.3%             2,635               56-226
  Monroe          76,114            5,949            8.3%              18,039            23.7%               83                  1-6
Okeechobee        38,833            3,561            9.7%              10,640            27.4%               43                  1-4
Palm Beach      1,288,281         155,101            12.8%            273,115            21.2%             1,413                23-93
  Total         6,358,934        1,228,842           20.7%           1,296,793           20.4%             6,976              115-460


              Patients Requiring Dialysis
                   These patients will require special transport, sheltering, and care.
                   If an extended evacuation is likely, additional planning and support will be needed to
                   ensure dialysis patients are relocated within an appropriate distance from treatment
                   facilities and transportation may need to be provided for patients to get to treatment
                   facilities regularly.
                   Dialysis treatments can vary widely between patients. For this reason, patient
                   records—which are often unavailable in a disaster—can be very important in
                   determining the proper treatment.

              Tuberculosis (TB) Patients
                   Standard treatment for TB lasts between 3 and 12 months depending on case
                   specifics.


     17
        Based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau
     18
        Based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau
     19
        Based on data from the U.S. Renal Data System
     20
        Based on data from the Florida Department of Health. Standard TB treatment varies in length so a range is
     presented. The true point prevalence should fall somewhere within the given range.
                                                                                                                            Page 15

      These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
     Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
        be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


              Patients receiving TB chemotherapy will require special tracking and tracing to
              ensure there are no gaps in their treatment and to prevent disease recurrence or drug
              resistance.
              Following Hurricane Katrina, identifying and locating patients who had been
              undergoing directly-observed therapy required intense effort.

          Pets
              Between 60–70% of U.S. households have pets. The majority of pet owners consider
              their pets to be family members, feeling the same sense of responsibility for their
              safety as they do any other family member.
              The Pet Evacuation Transportation Standards (PETS) Act of 2006 requires that State
              and local governments include household pets in emergency evacuation plans. The
              act authorizes the use of funds to “procure, construct, or renovate emergency shelter
              facilities and materials that will temporarily accommodate people with pets and
              service animals,” as well as provide “rescue, care, shelter, and essential needs...to
              such pets and animals.”
                                         Table 26: Households with Pets

                                                                                          Households with
                          County                            Households
                                                                                              Pets21

                         Broward                               708,047                          424,828
                          Glades                                4,074                            2,444
                          Hendry                               12,245                            7,347
                            Lee                               245,553                           147,332
                           Martin                              60,931                            36,559
                       Miami-Dade                              825,765                          495,459
                          Monroe                               33,670                            20,202
                       Okeechobee                              13,618                            8,171
                       Palm Beach                              535,773                          321,464
                           Total                             2,439,676                         1,463,806


Mass Care
          Mass care has two basic functions:
              Food, medical care, clothing, and other essential life support needs must be provided
              to persons seeking shelter.



21
   The American Veterinary Medical Association estimates between 60-70% of United States households have pets.
It is assumed that 60% of households will have at least one pet.
Page 16

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


                Mobile feeding and water must be provided to those who are not displaced, but are
                without clean water or electricity due to the storm.

                    Table 27: Households and Population with Homes Destroyed22

                                                                                                                 Percent
                                                                             Percent          Population
                                         Total             HHs with                                             Population
                      Total                                                  HHs with           with
       County                         Households          Residence                                               with
                    Population                                              Residence         Residence
                                        (HHs)             Destroyed                                             Residence
                                                                            Destroyed         Destroyed
                                                                                                                Destroyed
      Broward        1,776,825          708,047             496,443             70%            1,245,809             70%
       Glades          11,198             4,074              2,332              57%               6,411              57%
       Hendry          40,742            12,245              6,224              51%              20,708              51%
         Lee          585,539           245,553               520                0%               1,241               0%
       Martin         139,803            60,931              9,171              15%              21,042              15%
     Miami-Dade      2,401,599          825,765             538,613             65%            1,566,466             65%
       Monroe          76,114            33,670                28                0%                 64                0%
 Okeechobee            38,833            13,618              5,521              41%              15,745              41%
     Palm Beach      1,288,281          535,773             394,812             74%             949,336              74%
        Total        6,358,934         2,439,676          1,453,665             60%            3,826,822             60%


                        Table 28: Households and Population without Electricity

                                                                             Percent
                                        Total                HHs                               Persons            Percent
                      Total                                                    HHs
      County                         Households            Without                             Without            Without
                    Population                                               Without
                                       (HHs)              Electricity                         Electricity        Electricity
                                                                            Electricity
      Broward        1,776,825          708,047            708,047             100%            1,776,825            100%
       Glades          11,198             4,074              1,724              42%              4,738               42%
      Hendry           40,742            12,245              5,181              42%              17,238              42%
        Lee           585,539           245,553            103,894              42%             247,744              42%
       Martin         139,803            60,931             25,780              42%              59,151              42%
 Miami-Dade          2,401,599          825,765            440,000              53%            1,279,666             53%
      Monroe           76,114            33,670             14,246              42%              32,204              42%
 Okeechobee            38,833            13,618              5,762              42%              16,430              42%
 Palm Beach          1,288,281          535,773            440,000              82%            1,057,992             82%
       Total         6,358,934         2,439,676          1,744,634             72%            4,491,989             71%


22
     Includes destruction by wind, HHD breach, or S80 structure failure
                                                                                                                       Page 17

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


Medical Issues

          Casualties
                                   Table 29: Estimated Fatalities by County


                             County         Total Population            Estimated Fatalities23


                            Broward              1,776,825                           7
                             Glades                11,198                            1
                             Hendry                40,742                            1
                               Lee                585,539                           n/a
                              Martin              139,803                            1
                          Miami-Dade             2,401,599                           3
                             Monroe                76,114                            1
                          Okeechobee               38,833                           n/a
                          Palm Beach             1,288,281                           7
                              Total              6,358,934                          21


          Fatalities
              The number of directly attributable hurricane deaths from major hurricanes in the
              United States since 1989 ranges from a low of 5 for Hurricane Jeanne (2004,
              Category 3 at landfall in Florida) to a high of 1,817 for Hurricane Katrina (2005,
              Category 1 at landfall in Florida, Category 3 at landfall in Louisiana). The mean
              number of fatalties occuring in major storms since 1989 is 194.9; however, without
              Hurricane Katrina included, the mean number of deaths drops to 37.1.
              Common hurricane related causes of death include: drowning, electrocution,
              crushing, head trauma, and natural causes exacerbated by the storm (storm stress
              induced heart attack).
              Improper use of portable generators has led to excess morbidity and mortality
              following hurricanes. During the period of power outages related to the four major
              Florida hurricanes in 2004, 167 persons were treated for accidental carbon monoxide
              poisoning as a result of improper use of portable generators. Six deaths were reported.



23
  Fatalities were estimated using the “Emergency Management Scale” from the Southeast Louisiana Storm Surge
Atlas. This scale provides an estimated casualty rate per foot of storm surge inundation in one foot increments,
ranging from one fatality per 5,000,000 exposed persons with less than one foot of surge to one death per 100
exposed to 20 feet for surge.
Page 18

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


         Injuries
              Injuries and illnesses observed in previous Florida hurricane events include blunt
              trauma, lacerations, muscle strains and pulls, insect and animal bites, puncture
              wounds, burns, infection, gastrointestinal illness, sunburn, exposure, psychosocial
              distress, and carbon monoxide exposure.

         Additional Medical Topics

         Environmental Health
         Storm surge can inundate extant water systems, including wells and water mains, causing
         breakage and contamination. Loss of electricity will prevent water and sewage pumping
         in much of South Florida. All water for human and pet use will require boiling. Public
         health authorities will have to coordinate public notification of boil water notices. Excess
         gastrointestinal illnesses may be observed if contaminated water is consumed.

         While stressful and disturbing, the presence of corpses in floodwaters or in storm debris
         does not create a risk of infectious disease epidemics in flood or storm affected areas.
         However, according to the World Health Organization, should dead bodies enter the
         water supply there is a small risk of contamination that could lead to gastrointestinal
         infections. Health officials must work with the media to educate the public on these
         issues.

         Medical Records
         Loss of medical records resulting in patient treatment challenges is likely as a result of
         hurricane events.

         Prescription Drugs
              Although access to traditional prescription drug outlets will be disrupted, access to
              prescription drugs will be provided by emergency response teams, mobile medical
              units, and private/voluntary organizations such as AmeriCares and others that focus
              on distributing prescription drugs and medical equpment following disasters.
              Drugs may have been lost in the event or left behind while evacuating. People will
              have difficulty refilling prescriptions and collecting the cost of replacing them from
              their insurance companies.
              Special needs patients on multiple medications may have difficulty recalling specific
              medications and doses. Lack of accessible medical records will make it difficult to
              look up medication information for patients. Medical intervention will be required to
              determine patients’ prescription needs.

         Mental Health
         Following all hurricane events, members of the affected population will experience some
         level of distress. While most people return to normal levels of psychological functioning,

                                                                                                                       Page 19

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


          some will exhibit symptoms of Post Traumatic Stress Disorder, depression, or other
          illnesses. Psychosocial support will be one of the most lasting needs.

          Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA)
          To facilitate patient treatment, HIPAA elements will be suspended or modified as
          provided for within the HIPAA policy. There may be confusion about what elements of
          HIPAA must be maintained in an emergency.

          Medical Licensing
          Planned and spontaneous medical volunteers, including doctors and nurses, will require
          reciprocal licensing. This will be an urgent need.

Infrastructure Damage

          Wind Damage
          Wind damage calculations were performed using the HAZUS Hurricane Model. All
          building stock numbers and values are from the HAZUS regional database.

                   Table 30: Percent of Building Stock by Wind Damage Category

                                                                               Percent
                       Percent        Percent with         Percent with                                         Percent
                                                                                with          Percent
      County           with No           Minor              Moderate                                            With Any
                                                                               Severe        Destroyed
                       Damage           Damage               Damage                                             Damage
                                                                               Damage

      Broward            0.08%             1.36%               8.56%           36.05%          53.95%            99.92%
       Collier          94.96%             3.87%               1.04%            0.10%           0.03%             5.04%
       Glades            4.33%             9.98%              22.40%           23.75%          39.54%            95.67%
       Hendry            8.72%            14.74%              21.13%           19.74%          35.66%            91.28%
          Lee           90.82%             7.55%               1.45%            0.14%           0.04%             9.18%
       Martin           32.32%            32.61%              22.24%            8.73%           4.10%            67.68%
    Miami-Dade           1.78%             5.87%              14.47%           36.28%          41.60%            98.22%
      Monroe            96.95%             2.56%               0.46%            0.03%           0.01%             3.05%
   Okeechobee           16.45%            17.24%              22.58%           16.82%          26.90%            83.55%
    Palm Beach           0.30%             2.46%               9.57%           33.47%          54.20%            99.70%
        Total           18.72%             4.91%               9.81%           27.88%          38.68%            81.28%




Page 20

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                   Consequence Projections


                       Table 31: Number of Buildings by Wind Damage Category

                                                                                     Number of        Number of
                                                  Number of         Number of
                Number of           Total                                            Structures       Structures       Number of
                                                  Structures        Structures
 County         Structures       Structures                                             with             with          Structures
                                                   with No          with Minor
                in County         Affected                                           Moderate           Severe         Destroyed
                                                   Damage            Damage
                                                                                      Damage           Damage

 Broward          464,079          463,711             368             6,330           39,702           167,294          250,384
  Collier          92,935            4,686           88,249            3,595             968               95               29
  Glades            5,279            5,051             228              527             1,182            1,254            2,087
  Hendry           11,599           10,588            1,011            1,710            2,451            2,290            4,137
   Lee            193,979           17,802          176,177           14,652            2,813             265               71
  Martin           53,274           36,055           17,219           17,373           11,847            4,651            2,183
Miami-Dade        531,131          521,667            9,464           31,188           76,840           192,677          220,962
  Monroe           43,366            1,324           42,042            1,109             200               12                3
Okeechobee         14,526           12,136            2,390            2,505            3,280            2,443            3,908
Palm Beach        397,425          396,227            1,198            9,776           38,022           133,020          215,409

  Total          1,807,593        1,469,245         338,348           88,766           177,305          504,002          699,173




                                                                                                                        Page 21

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
 Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
    be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
   Florida Catastrophic Planning
   Consequence Projections


                               Table 32: Wind Damage to Residential Structures

                                  Pre-Storm
                                                                  Percent       Percent        Percent                        Percent
                Number of         Residential       Percent
                                                                   with           with          with          Percent          With
 County         Residential       Structures        with No
                                                                   Minor        Moderate       Severe        Destroyed         Any
                Structures        Value ($1         Damage
                                                                  Damage        Damage         Damage                         Damage
                                   Million)

 Broward          455,395            87,569           0.1%          1.4%           8.6%          35.4%          54.5%           99.9%

  Collier          91,405            16,492          94.9%          3.9%           1.0%           0.1%           0.0%           5.1%

  Glades            5,272              385            4.3%         10.0%          22.4%          23.7%          39.6%           95.7%

  Hendry           11,498             1,122           8.7%         14.8%          21.1%          19.5%          35.9%           91.3%

   Lee            192,007            26,855          90.8%          7.6%           1.4%           0.1%           0.0%           9.2%

  Martin           52,597             8,060          32.2%         32.7%          22.2%           8.7%           4.1%           67.8%

Miami-Dade        519,550            96,441           1.8%          6.0%          14.7%          35.6%          42.0%           98.2%

  Monroe           42,777             5,972          97.0%          2.6%           0.5%           0.0%           0.0%           3.0%

Okeechobee         14,406             1,207          16.4%         17.3%          22.6%          16.7%          27.1%           83.6%

Palm Beach        390,925            70,620           0.3%          2.5%           9.6%          32.9%          54.7%           99.7%

  Total          1,775,832          314,723          18.8%          5.0%           9.9%          27.4%          39.0%           81.2%




   Page 22

    These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
   Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
      be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                 Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                     Consequence Projections


                                Table 33: Wind Damage to Commercial Structures

                                    Pre-Storm
                                                                    Percent       Percent         Percent                       Percent
                Number of          Commercial         Percent
                                                                     with           with           with         Percent          with
 County         Commercial         Structures         with No
                                                                     Minor        Moderate        Severe       Destroyed         Any
                Structures          Value ($1         Damage
                                                                    Damage        Damage          Damage                        Damage
                                     Million)

 Broward            7,401              14,770           0.4%          0.6%           4.7%          67.5%          26.9%           99.6%

  Collier           1,261              2,208           97.0%          2.2%           0.6%           0.2%           0.0%            3.0%

  Glades               5                 15             5.4%          8.2%          25.3%          55.9%           5.2%           94.6%

  Hendry              77                134             9.1%         11.3%          23.4%          47.4%           8.7%           90.9%

   Lee              1,705              3,204           92.3%          5.9%           1.6%           0.2%           0.0%            7.7%

  Martin             567               1,149           38.5%         22.4%          24.3%          14.1%           0.6%           61.5%

Miami-Dade          9,901              20,758           0.9%          1.2%           5.9%          65.2%          26.7%           99.1%

  Monroe             529               1,027           96.1%          2.6%           1.1%           0.1%           0.0%            3.9%

Okeechobee           100                201            17.4%         14.6%          26.3%          37.4%           4.2%           82.6%

Palm Beach          5,629              10,849           0.6%          1.1%           6.3%          65.6%          26.3%           99.4%

  Total             27,175             54,315          13.6%          1.9%           5.6%          56.3%          22.6%           86.4%




                                                                                                                           Page 23

     These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
    Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
       be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
  Florida Catastrophic Planning
  Consequence Projections


                                 Table 34: Wind Damage to Industrial Structures

                                  Pre-Storm
                                                                 Percent       Percent         Percent
                Number of         Industrial       Percent                                                                    Percent
                                                                  with           with           with          Percent
 County         Industrial        Structures       with No                                                                     with
                                                                  Minor        Moderate        Severe        Destroyed
                Structures        Value ($1        Damage                                                                      Any
                                                                 Damage        Damage          Damage
                                   Million)                                                                                   Damage

 Broward             727             2,251            0.4%          0.7%          3.8%          75.4%           19.7%          99.6%

  Collier            107               312           97.9%          1.9%          0.1%           0.0%            0.0%           2.1%

  Glades               0                0              0%            0%             0%            0%              0%             0%

  Hendry               5               27             7.1%          8.7%          22.0%         55.9%            6.4%          92.9%

   Lee               152               482           92.1%          6.3%          1.3%           0.3%            0.0%           7.9%

  Martin              58               174           32.1%         21.1%          24.7%         20.6%            1.4%          67.9%

Miami-Dade           982             2,707            0.8%          1.0%          4.6%          72.5%           21.2%          99.2%

  Monroe               9               89            99.5%          0.5%          0.0%           0.0%            0.0%           0.5%

Okeechobee             1               15            12.8%         13.4%          27.9%         42.2%            3.8%          87.2%

Palm Beach           333             1,247            0.7%          1.1%          5.3%          75.0%           17.8%          99.3%

  Total             2,374            7,308           12.0%          1.8%          4.5%          64.3%           17.4%          88.0%




  Page 24

    These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
   Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
      be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


           Economic Impacts of Wind Damage24
          Table 35: Pre-Storm Structure Values by Building Type, in Millions of Dollars

                                           Number of               Structures Value
             Occupancy Type                                                                    Percent of Total
                                           Structures                 ($1 Million)

                 Residential                1,775,832                    314,723                     82.3%

                 Commercial                   27,175                      54,315                     14.2%

                  Industrial                   2,374                       7,308                      1.9%

                 Agricultural                   140                         651                       0.2%

                  Religious                    1,249                       3,119                      0.8%

                Government                      733                         778                       0.2%

                  Education                      90                        1,390                      0.4%

                    Total                   1,807,593                    382,284                     100.0%



               Table 36: Pre-Storm Structure Values by County, in Millions of Dollars

                   County               Structures Value            Contents Value               Total Value

                   Broward                    106,144                     64,082                   170,226

                    Collier                    19,330                     11,261                    30,591

                    Glades                       407                        216                       623

                    Hendry                      1,329                       786                      2,115

                     Lee                       30,892                     17,764                    48,656

                    Martin                      9,532                      5,632                    15,164

                 Miami-Dade                   121,883                     76,118                   198,001

                   Monroe                       7,212                      4,288                    11,500

                 Okeechobee                     1,471                       889                      2,360

                 Palm Beach                    84,084                     49,951                   134,035

                     Total                    382,284                    230,987                   613,271




24
     All value figures taken from the HAZUS regional database
                                                                                                                       Page 25

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


  Table 37: Building-related Economic Loss due to Wind Damage, in Millions of Dollars

          Area          Residential         Commercial              Industrial            Others               Total

                                                     Property Damage

        Building           201,126              33,720                 4,627               3,210              242,683

        Content            90,363               32,415                 5,745               2,864              131,387

       Inventory               0                  940                  1,039                 39                2,019

       Subtotal            291,490              67,076                11,411               6,113              376,090

                                              Business Interruption Loss

        Income               313                 6,420                   91                  49                6,874

      Relocation           21,393                4,687                  251                 545               26,877

          Rental           10,285                3,197                   64                  68               13,614

          Wage               734                 7,065                  151                 149                8,099

       Subtotal            32,727               21,369                  557                 811               55,463

          Total            324,217             324,217                11,968               6,923              431,553




Page 26

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


                     Table 38: Property Damage due to Wind, in Millions of Dollars

                                                                                                    Total Percent
                           Structure       Contents        Inventory       Total Property
          County                                                                                  Loss due to Wind
                           Damage          Damage           Damage            Damage
                                                                                                      Damage

          Broward            85,854          46,270            710             132,835                    78.0%

           Collier             102             25              0.3                127                     0.4%

          Glades               231             103              1                 334                     53.6%

          Hendry               642             314              5                 961                     45.4%

            Lee                274             46              0.3                320                     0.7%

           Martin            1,210             469              6                1,686                    11.1%

       Miami-Dade            87,488          48,908            896             137,291                    69.3%

          Monroe               21               3               0                  24                     0.2%

       Okeechobee              550             257              3                 810                     34.3%

       Palm Beach            66,311          34,992            397             101,701                    75.9%

           Total            242,683         131,387          2,019             376,090                    61.3%




                                                                                                                       Page 27

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


   Table 39: Business Interruption (Income) Losses due to Wind Damage, in Millions of
                                         Dollars

                                              Capital                                               Total Business
                          Relocation                           Wages             Rental
          County                              Related                                                Interruption
                            Loss                               Losses         Income Loss
                                               Loss                                                     Losses

          Broward             9,202             2,226            2,657             4,686                  18,772

          Collier               9                  1               1                  5                      15

          Glades                37                 1               2                 11                      51

          Hendry                93                14               16                34                     157

            Lee                 29                 2               2                 14                      45

           Martin              184                18               21                71                     294

       Miami-Dade             9,900             2,826            3,337             5,274                  21,338

          Monroe                2                  0               0                  1                      3

      Okeechobee                87                13               18                31                     149

       Palm Beach             7,334             1,773            2,046             3,486                  14,639

           Total             26,877             6,874            8,099            13,614                  55,463


          Storm Surge Damage
          Storm surge damage is calculated from SLOSH models for the Palm Beach and Miami
          (Biscayne Bay) basins. Results for the remaining affected basins, including Florida Bay
          and the west coast of the Florida Peninsula, will be added in future versions of the
          Consequence Projections.

             Table 40: Percent of Building Stock by Storm Surge Damage Category

                                                                               Percent
                       Percent           Percent           Percent with                                           Percent
                                                                                with          Percent
      County           with No          with Minor          Moderate                                              With Any
                                                                               Severe        Destroyed
                       Damage            Damage              Damage                                               Damage
                                                                               Damage

      Broward             85%               <1%                  6%               3%              5%                15%
       Martin             70%               <1%                 18%               5%              8%                30%
    Miami-Dade            92%               <1%                  6%               1%              1%                8%
      Monroe              88%               <1%                  7%               2%              3%                12%
    Palm Beach            84%               <1%                  8%               2%              6%                16%


Page 28

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                    Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                        Consequence Projections


                        Table 41: Number of Buildings by Storm Surge Damage Category

                                                                                             Number of         Number of
                                                        Number of         Number of
                   Number of            Total                                                Structure         Structures         Number of
                                                        Structures        Structures
    County         Structures        Structures                                                 with              with            Structures
                                                         with No          with Minor
                   in County          Affected                                               Moderate            Severe           Destroyed
                                                         Damage            Damage
                                                                                              Damage            Damage

   Broward           464,079            70,688            393,390             1,045            30,056             15,735            23,849
    Martin            53,274            16,149             37,125              136              9,487              2,439              728
  Miami-Dade         531,131            44,747            486,383             1,540            33,689              6,848             2,670
    Monroe            43,366             5,002             38,364               37              2,937               868              1,159
  Palm Beach         397,425            62,946            334,478             1,163            32,531              6,124            23,127

     Total          1,489,275          199,533           1,289,742            3,874            108,700            32,039            54,919



                              Table 42: Storm Surge Damage to Residential Structures

                                   Pre-Storm
                                                                    Percent          Percent        Percent
                Number of          Residential       Percent                                                                        Percent
                                                                     with              with          with           Percent
   County       Residential        Structures        with No                                                                        With Any
                                                                     Minor           Moderate       Severe         Destroyed
                Structures          Value ($1        Damage                                                                         Damage
                                                                    Damage           Damage         Damage
                                     Million)

  Broward          455,395            87,569            85%            0%              6%               3%              5%                 15%
   Martin          52,597              8,059            70%            0%              18%              5%              8%                 30%
 Miami-Dade        519,550            96,440            92%            0%              6%               1%             <1%                 8%
   Monroe          42,777              5,971            88%            0%              7%               2%              3%                 12%
 Palm Beach        390,925            70,620            84%            0%              8%               2%              6%                 16%


                             Table 43: Storm Surge Damage to Commercial Structures

                                   Pre-Storm
                                                                      Percent         Percent         Percent
                Number of         Commercial          Percent                                                                         Percent
                                                                       with             with           with           Percent
 County        Commercial         Structures          with No                                                                         With Any
                                                                       Minor          Moderate        Severe         Destroyed
               Structures          Value ($1          Damage                                                                          Damage
                                                                      Damage          Damage          Damage
                                    Million)

 Broward           7,401              14,770             75%            13%              7%              0%               6%                25%
  Martin            567                1,149             72%            22%              3%              0%               3%                28%
Miami-Dade         9,901              20,757             83%            14%              2%              0%               1%                17%
 Monroe             529                1,026             89%             7%              2%              0%               3%                11%
Palm Beach         5,629              10,849             71%            18%              3%              0%               8%                29%

                                                                                                                               Page 29

        These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
       Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
          be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
     Florida Catastrophic Planning
     Consequence Projections


                              Table 44: Storm Surge Damage to Industrial Structures

                                   Pre-Storm
                                                                   Percent        Percent          Percent
                Number of          Industrial        Percent                                                                       Percent
                                                                    with            with            with           Percent
 County         Industrial         Structures        with No                                                                       With Any
                                                                    Minor         Moderate         Severe         Destroyed
                Structures         Value ($1         Damage                                                                        Damage
                                                                   Damage         Damage           Damage
                                    Million)

 Broward            727               2,251            96%            0%              0%              2%               2%                 4%
  Martin             58                173            100%            0%              0%              0%               0%                 0%
Miami-Dade          982               2,707            99%            0%              0%              1%               0%                 1%
 Monroe               9                 89            100%            0%              0%              0%               0%                 0%
Palm Beach          333               1,247            98%            0%              1%              0%               1%                 2%


                    Table 45: Property Damage due to Storm Surge, in Millions of Dollars

                                                                                                   Total Percent
                                                                                  Total
                                             Structure        Contents                              Loss due to
                          County                                                 Property
                                             Damage           Damage                               Storm Surge
                                                                                 Damage
                                                                                                     Damage

                          Broward             10,088             6,204            16,292                 10%
                          Martin              1,266               723              1,989                 13%
                       Miami-Dade             4,303              2,685             6,988                  4%
                          Monroe               218                141               359                   4%
                       Palm Beach             8,107              4,917            13,024                 10%

                           Total              23,981            14,670            38,652                  7%


               Combined Damage
               The following table summarizes the combined damage resulting from wind damage,
               storm surge damage, and HHD inundation damage.




     Page 30

       These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
      Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
         be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                  Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                      Consequence Projections


                          Table 46: Combined Property Damage, in Millions of Dollars

                 Pre-Storm            Total             Percent            Total            Percent            Total             Percent
                  Building          Property           Property           Property          Property         Combined           Combined
 County
                   Stock            Damage             Damage             Damage            Damage            Property           Property
                   Value           from Wind          from Wind         from Flood        from Flood          Damage             Damage

 Broward           170,226           132,835             78.0%             16,292              10%             142,000             85.0%
  Collier           30,591              127               0.4%                0                 0%                127              0.4%
  Glades              623               334              53.6%                12                4%                337              55.0%
  Hendry            2,115               961              45.4%               315               15%               1,150             55.0%
   Lee              48,656              320               0.7%                0                 0%                320              0.7%
  Martin            15,164             1,686             11.1%              1,989              13%               2,500             18.0%
Miami-Dade         198,001           137,291             69.3%              6,988               4%             141,000             71.0%
  Monroe            11,500               24               0.2%               359                4%                365              4.0%
Okeechobee          2,360               810              34.3%                0                 0%                810              34.3%
Palm Beach         134,035           101,701             75.9%             13,686              12%             110,000             82.0%

  Total            613,271           376,090             61.3%             38,652               7%             398,609              65%




                                                                                                                            Page 31

      These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
     Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
        be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
 Florida Catastrophic Planning
 Consequence Projections



           Critical Infrastructure
           All critical infrastructure data was taken from the Florida Division of Emergency
           Management’s critical facilities database.

               Table 47: Hospitals and Medical Facilities by Wind Damage Category

                                                                      Percent with           Percent with
                      Number of              Percent with                                                            Percent
  County                                                               Moderate                Severe
                      Facilities            Minor Damage                                                            Destroyed
                                                                        Damage                 Damage

 Broward                   84                       2%                     24%                    63%                   11%

  Collier                  30                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Hendry                    3                      13%                     33%                    35%                    3%

    Lee                    56                       4%                      1%                     0%                    0%

  Martin                   16                      21%                     14%                     2%                    0%

Miami-Dade                 114                      5%                     26%                    54%                    9%

  Monroe                    6                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

Okeechobee                  3                      26%                     21%                     3%                    0%

Palm Beach                 95                       3%                     23%                    60%                   12%

   Total                   407                      4%                     19%                    42%                    8%




 Page 32

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
 Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
    be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                              Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                  Consequence Projections


                           Table 48: Nursing Homes by Wind Damage Category

                                                                      Percent with           Percent with
                      Number of              Percent with                                                            Percent
  County                                                               Moderate                Severe
                      Facilities            Minor Damage                                                            Destroyed
                                                                        Damage                 Damage

 Broward                   124                      5%                     28%                    63%                    3%

  Collier                   8                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Hendry                    4                      20%                     26%                    28%                    1%

    Lee                    76                       3%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Martin                   29                      22%                      9%                     2%                    0%

Miami-Dade                 102                      9%                     27%                    56%                    3%

  Monroe                    5                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

Okeechobee                  1                      32%                     18%                     4%                    0%

Palm Beach                 140                      6%                     25%                    64%                    5%

   Total                   489                      7%                     21%                    46%                    3%



                                 Table 49: Schools by Wind Damage Category

                                                                      Percent with           Percent with
                      Number of              Percent with                                                            Percent
  County                                                               Moderate                Severe
                      Facilities            Minor Damage                                                            Destroyed
                                                                        Damage                 Damage

 Broward                   386                      4%                     24%                    66%                    5%

  Collier                  97                       4%                      1%                     0%                    0%

  Glades                    4                      28%                     35%                    17%                    0%

  Hendry                   24                      22%                     26%                    25%                    1%

    Lee                    203                      3%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Martin                   53                      21%                     12%                     4%                    0%

Miami-Dade                1952                      9%                     26%                    54%                    4%

  Monroe                   73                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

Okeechobee                 17                      24%                     29%                    17%                    0%

Palm Beach                 536                      5%                     24%                    64%                    6%

   Total                  3345                      7%                     22%                    50%                    4%

                                                                                                                        Page 33

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
 Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
    be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


Table 50: School Capacity/Functionality from Landfall to 7 Days Post-landfall as a Result
                                  of Wind Damage

                                            County            Percent of Schools

                                            Broward                     0%

                                             Collier                   81%

                                             Glades                     0%

                                             Hendry                     0%

                                               Lee                     68%

                                             Martin                     0%

                                          Miami-Dade                    0%

                                            Monroe                     84%

                                         Okeechobee                     0%

                                          Palm Beach                    0%

                                              Total                     8%




Page 34

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                              Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                  Consequence Projections



           Emergency Facilities

                           Table 51: Police Stations by Wind Damage Category

                                                                      Percent with           Percent with
                     Number of               Percent with                                                            Percent
  County                                                               Moderate                Severe
                   Police Stations          Minor Damage                                                            Destroyed
                                                                        Damage                 Damage

 Broward                   51                       3%                     22%                    70%                    5%

  Collier                  13                       3%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Glades                    1                      27%                     36%                    18%                    0%

  Hendry                    4                      19%                     27%                    32%                    1%

    Lee                    29                       3%                      0%                     0%                    0%

  Martin                    6                      21%                     17%                     7%                    0%

Miami-Dade                 91                       5%                     21%                    65%                    6%

  Monroe                   16                       0%                      0%                     0%                    0%

Okeechobee                  2                      26%                     28%                    16%                    0%

Palm Beach                 56                       5%                     22%                    66%                    6%

   Total                   269                      5%                     17%                    50%                    4%




                                                                                                                        Page 35

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
 Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
    be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
 Florida Catastrophic Planning
 Consequence Projections


                             Table 52: Fire Stations by Wind Damage Category

                                                                      Percent with           Percent with
                   Number of Fire            Percent with                                                            Percent
  County                                                               Moderate                Severe
                     Stations               Minor Damage                                                            Destroyed
                                                                        Damage                 Damage

 Broward                   98                       3%                     21%                    70%                    5%

  Collier                  29                       3%                      1%                     0%                    0%

  Glades                   10                      23%                     37%                    23%                    0%

  Hendry                    7                      25%                     30%                    20%                    0%

    Lee                    58                       4%                      1%                     0%                    0%

  Martin                   17                      20%                     16%                     7%                    0%

Miami-Dade                 89                       7%                     23%                    60%                    5%

  Monroe                   18                       1%                      0%                     0%                    0%

Okeechobee                  4                      24%                     23%                    11%                    0%

Palm Beach                 90                       5%                     22%                    66%                    6%

   Total                   420                      6%                     17%                    44%                    4%




 Page 36

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
 Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
    be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


Table 53: Emergency Facility Capacity/Functionality Immediately After Landfall to 7 Days
                      Post-landfall as a Result of Wind Damage

                                                                                          Percent of
                                             Percent of             Percent of            Emergency
                         County
                                           Police Stations         Fire Stations          Operations
                                                                                           Centers

                         Broward                   0%                     0%                   0%

                          Collier                 77%                    72%                  100%

                          Glades                   0%                     0%                   0%

                          Hendry                   0%                     0%                   0%

                            Lee                   62%                    64%                   0%

                          Martin                   0%                     0%                   0%

                      Miami-Dade                   0%                     0%                   0%

                         Monroe                  100%                    83%                  100%

                      Okeechobee                   0%                     0%                   0%

                      Palm Beach                   0%                     0%                   0%

                           Total                  16%                    17%                   18%



         Transportation
              Early heavy rainfalls cause flooding of intersections and stretches of roadways in
              low-lying areas and areas prone to flooding.
              Runaway barges and other large debris can be a threat to bridges during the storm,
              particularly those spanning the Intracoastal Waterway.
              •    Two moveable bridges over the Intracoastal Waterway were damaged in this way
                   during Hurricane Wilma. As a result, these bridges had to be closed to motor-
                   vehicle traffic.
              Train services in areas along the Atlantic coast may not be available because of
              washed out railways.
              Flooding from the dike breaches could last 22 days or more, causing substantial
              damage to inundated roadways.
              The Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) plans to open (at least one lane
              available for emergency vehicles) all State roads to traffic one day after the hurricane
              has passed.

                                                                                                                       Page 37

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


              •    This was achieved for Wilma except at locations where power lines were down
                   and, one instance, where a large building crane blocked the road, requiring a few
                   days for removal. Detours were set up to avoid these areas.
              Hurricane Ono will destroy traffic control devices (lights, signs), resulting in
              dangerous uncontrolled intersections post-landfall.
              Many of the buses and other public transit vehicles left in the storm’s path will be
              destroyed and unavailable post-landfall.

          Port Everglades
              Port Everglades annually serves 5,300 ships, including 1,900 cruise ships, container
              ships, tankers carrying one-fifth of Florida’s oil, and U.S. Navy and Coast Guard
              vessels.
              Port Everglades yields a total annual impact of $2 billion dollars on Broward County:
              •    $58 million in local tax revenue
              •    22,500 jobs creating $670 million in personal income
              The nearest port to the north that houses a large amount of fuel is Jacksonville (fuel
              would be carried in by truck).
              The Fuel Task Force monitors the fuel status and transportation.
              Hurricane Preparedness:
              •    This area has never been hit by a Category 5 storm.
              •    A Category 5 storm could destroy or contaminate tanks, rendering the fuel
                   unusable.
              •    Secondary power systems for security operations center, petroleum operations,
                   and administration are in place.
              •    There has been no historical damage causing release of chemicals.
              Hurricane Wilma:
              •    The U.S. Coast Guard mandated closing the port 24 hours before landfall, with all
                   ships evacuating at this time.
              •    The storm crippled the port, resulting in a power outage.
              •    All wires and infrastructures were destroyed, and no backup generators were
                   available for fuel tanks.
              •    All governments contracted with a third-person vendor for oil products, but there
                   were no available tankers to transport these products.
              •    Municipalities have purchased small 500-gallon tankers (all fuels) to move fuel
                   for responders.
              •    Did not plan for increased usage (24-hour operations).

Page 38

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


              •    The lack of drivers to transport the fuel was also an issue.

         Electric Power

         Types of Potential Damage
              Generation Capacity:
              •    Large Florida Power & Light (FP&L) power plants (fueled by natural gas or oil)
                   in Fort Lauderdale and Palm Beach
              •    FP&L Martin Plant northeast of Lake Okeechobee in western Martin County
              •    Tampa Electric and Progress Energy: Florida plants in Pinellas and Hillsborough
                   Counties
              •    FP&L nuclear plants (see the following section)
              Damage to Homes:
              •    Weatherheads, which connect homes to the electrical lines, are often damaged and
                   need to be repaired by an electrician.
                   o    Approximately 5,000 weatherheads were damaged following Hurricane
                        Wilma. This figure could easily exceed 50,000 for a storm like Ono.
              •    Electricians would be required from outside of the state to handle the demand
                   after this type of emergency.
              •    Electrical repairs normally need county inspection before reconnection, but this
                   requirement is sometimes waived.
              Transmission Infrastructure:
              •    FP&L has a 500 kV line that runs through the western parts of Palm Beach and
                   Broward counties, bringing a great deal of capacity into South Florida.
              Distribution Infrastructure:
              •    Distribution facility damage throughout Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach
                   counties would be extensive.

         Estimated Effects on Electricity Availability
              Approximately 2.5 to 3 million customers would be without power from Miami-Dade
              County to Indian River County on the east coast and Manatee/Sarasota Counties on
              the west coast. Estimates of residential customers without power by county are
              provided in Table 28.
              Customers are approximately 88% residential, 11% commercial, and 1% industrial.
              Effect on Casualties:
              •    Electrocution by downed power lines
              •    Asphyxiation due to improper use of portable generators
                                                                                                                       Page 39

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                   o    2004 hurricane season: Six deaths and 167 people treated due to carbon
                        monoxide poisoning

          Recovery Time
              Recovery time will be affected by the amount of outside assistance that FP&L can get
              from other utilities. Tampa Electric & Florida Progress will also likely be seeking
              assistance. Utilities along the Gulf Coast may need assistance (or be hesitant to give
              up their own crews) due to damage there as well.
              Order of Repairs:
              •    Feeder circuits serving critical infrastructure facilities (hospitals, 911 centers,
                   police/fire stations) would be restored first.
              •    Remaining feeder circuits would then be restored.
              •    Neighborhood restoration would then take place, ultimately resulting in individual
                   service wires to each affected home being repaired.
              In Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Jeanne, and Katrina, approximately 75–80% of South
              Florida customers were restored by Day 3, with all South Florida customers receiving
              full power within 8–13 days. For Wilma, approximately 40% were restored by Day 3,
              and approximately 60% by Day 5. All power was restored within 18 days. However,
              recovery time for Ono would likely be much longer than in these storms, lasting for
              weeks or months. Repairs to infrastructure or homes in inundated areas could not
              occur until the floodwaters have subsided; this is expected to take at least 22 days for
              areas flooded by the HHD breaches.

          Effects of Damage on FP&L Employees
              FP&L has measures in place to minimize the effect that damage to employees’ homes
              will have on the recovery process. These procedures were effective in the aftermath
              of Hurricane Andrew.
              “Ramp up” of the repair process may be a little slower due to evacuation of some
              employees. Experiences with damage from recent storms, like Wilma, may make this
              effect stronger than it has been in the past.

          Nuclear Power Plants
              Two nuclear plants, St. Lucie (in southern St. Lucie County) and Turkey Point (in
              southern Miami-Dade County), could be impacted by a storm with a size and track
              similar to that of Ono. Both plants receive hurricane-force winds as a result of
              Hurricane Ono. St. Lucie also lies in the storm surge zone of Hurricane Ono, while
              Turkey Point could be affected by the storm surge of a hurricane making landfall
              further south along the coast.
              Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) policy states that any nuclear power plant
              that will be affected by hurricane force winds must be shut down.

Page 40

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


              Both sites have been shut down before during past hurricanes, including Hurricane
              Wilma.
              •    Hurricane Andrew hit Turkey Point in 1992. The onsite damage included loss of
                   all offsite power for more than five days, complete loss of communication
                   systems, closing of the access road, and damage to the fire protection and security
                   systems and warehouse facilities. However, onsite damage was limited to fire
                   protection, security, and several non-safety-related systems and structures. There
                   was no damage to the safety-related systems and no radioactive release to the
                   environment. The units remained in stable condition and functioned as designed.
              Nuclear plant restart requires NRC permission that involves the following:
              •    Inspecting the power plant for damage
              •    Inspecting local infrastructure for its capability to support nuclear power output
              •    Inspecting the surrounding 10-mile radius for alert and evacuation capabilities
              One nuclear plant that was shut down during Katrina did not restart for two weeks
              after hurricane landfall.

         Water Control System
              2% of water treatment facilities in the study region will be flooded by dike breaches.
              11% of water treatment facilities are located in the storm surge zone.
              Storm surge will inundate extant water systems including wells and water mains,
              causing breakage and contamination. Loss of electricity will prevent water and
              sewage pumping in much of South Florida. All water for human and pet use will
              require boiling. Public health authorities will have to coordinate public notification of
              boil water notices. Considerable gastrointestinal illness may be observed if
              contaminated water is consumed.
              The breaches in the Herbert Hoover Dike, a primary reservoir of fresh water for
              South Florida, will take weeks to be completely blocked.
              Potable water production and distribution may be affected by the dike break, but also
              by commercial power outages, if generator power does not exist or is insufficient.

         Telecommunications

         Landline Telephone Service
              Loss of landline telephone service and jammed circuits will reduce the ability of
              residents to call for help or information.

         Cell Phone Infrastructure
              Power outage will cause isolation and degradation.


                                                                                                                       Page 41

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


              •    Cell phone sites that operate on battery backup will lose power in about eight
                   hours.
              •    Sites with generator power will have power for several days as long as they are
                   not flooded.
              The cell phone structure will be barely operational because of wind damage to
              microwave units and some flooding damage. Microwave units may be ripped off or
              be out of alignment.
              The cell phone system may be isolated from the cell phone infrastructure outside of
              the hurricane impact area.
              Individual geographical sections of the system will be isolated from each other so that
              customers will only be able to reach other customers within the same area.
              Floodwaters can damage circuits and replacements, and drown generator units.
              Repairs cannot be made in areas where water remains. The areas where water recedes
              will be eligible for immediate repairs and replacements.
              Because landline phone service will be limited, remnants of the cell phone system
              will be overloaded.

          Television
              Most broadcast stations have at least one generator. For the most part, these stations
              have been able to continue broadcasting without interruption during past hurricanes.
              In three recent cases, stations switched to 24-hour weather coverage and did not
              broadcast with closed captioning, which is against FCC regulations.
              Most stations feel that a Category 5 strike could damage their antennae, and few or
              none have backup or portable antennae.
              Power loss would interrupt broadcasts of cable television and limit the ability of
              viewers to operate their televisions.

Volunteer and Donations Management

          Types of Volunteers
              Affiliated: Trained first responders (e.g., Red Cross, Salvation Army, etc.)
              Unaffiliated: Untrained volunteers who arrive hoping to help
              •    Often require shelter and food

          Past Volunteer Figures
              2004 Hurricane Season:
              •    Volunteer Florida handled 120,000 volunteers overall (both affiliated and
                   unaffiliated)
Page 42

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
                                                                                             Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                 Consequence Projections


              •    The American Red Cross:
                   o    Overall: 35,000 volunteers
                        –    Charley: 1,400 volunteers
                        –    Frances: 4,100 volunteers and staff
              The American Red Cross had 1,900 initial volunteers and staff and 250 vehicles for
              Katrina.

         Past Donations
              Katrina, Rita, and Wilma: Over $2 billion
              •    Relief organizations received more clothing than they could manage.
              September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks: $2.2 billion

         Other Issues
              Wilma caused $6.5 million in losses to Florida nonprofits, with at least 100 nonprofits
              affected.




                                                                                                                       Page 43

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections



A p p e n d i x A : P o p u l a t i o n P r o f i l e s o f M u n i c i pa l i t i e s
                                                                       Table 54: Broward County25

        Municipality                  Total             Total            Population        Households         Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                    Population       Households            65 and              with            without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                            older            Income               Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                            <$15,000                              Units           Units

Coconut Creek                            48,997             22,229             12,031               1,882              1,317           5,571         16,636          1,392               0
Cooper City                              29,810               9,726              2,499                372                217             895           8,826           132               0
Coral Springs                           132,454             44,320               9,329              3,005              1,907         15,294          29,075          1,432             423
Dania Beach                              21,635               9,756              3,674              1,594              1,032           4,103           5,687         1,184            1,425
Davie                                    82,628             31,155               9,048              3,377              1,355           7,448         23,670          1,739             513
Deerfield Beach                          65,330             31,667             18,606               5,207              4,685           9,340         22,310          3,468            1,184
Fort Lauderdale                         156,876             70,225             24,859             10,423               8,731         30,910          39,322          8,131            9,058
Hallandale                               34,335             18,054             11,899               3,821              3,399           6,035         12,005          4,091            1,301
Hillsboro Beach                            2,059              1,222              1,171                132                  26            116           1,107           501               0
Hollywood                               142,922             60,736             24,800               9,131              7,251         22,545          38,176          5,616            1,643
Lauderdale Lakes                         32,628             12,318               5,359              2,670              1,945           4,630           7,672         1,352              64
Lauderhill                               59,723             23,827               9,216              4,053              3,235           9,519         14,294          2,061             314
Lauderdale-by-the-Sea                      2,736              1,610                902                164                156             618             998           464             619
Lazy Lake                                      35                 11                  2                  1                  1               4               7             1              0
Lighthouse Point                         10,596               5,045              2,568                469                331             817           4,239           456               0


25
  Data was not available for Southwest Ranches or West Park at the time the document was produced. These municipalities will be added in future versions of
the Consequence Projections document.
Page 44

   These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
 scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                             planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                   Consequence Projections


       Municipality                  Total             Total            Population        Households         Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households            65 and              with            without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                           older            Income               Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                              Units           Units

Margate                                 54,644             22,971             11,043               3,007              2,389           4,625         18,350          1,688               0
Miramar                                107,121             34,029               7,985              2,504              1,583           7,905         26,125          2,805              94
North Lauderdale                        33,917             11,477               2,493              1,250                634           4,106           7,366           463               0
Oakland Park                            31,890             13,873               3,526              2,002              1,029           6,519           7,379           816             535
Parkland                                22,140               6,825              1,275                  91                 36          1,213           5,552           180             139
Pembroke Park                             7,588              3,179              1,194                796                546           1,546           1,628           827              57
Pembroke Pines                         166,256             63,198             28,049               5,284              4,616         13,800          49,405          2,768             152
Plantation                              83,965             33,548             11,958               2,634              1,661           9,541         24,027          1,346            2,154
Pompano Beach                           81,382             35,801             17,810               5,667              4,043         13,387          22,389          5,387            1,309
Sea Ranch Lakes                           1,286                643                509                  69                 42              68            566           289             167
Sunrise                                 88,722             34,183             14,766               4,479              3,653           9,026         25,157          1,970             563
Tamarac                                 60,814             30,141             21,733               4,439              3,119           6,354         23,742          1,883             642
Weston                                  65,531             21,603               5,143                940                401           4,531         17,058          2,095             934
Wilton Manors                           12,027               5,523              1,965                706                458           2,364           3,161           405               0




                                                                                                                                                                         Page 45

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                                                                       Table 55: Glades County

      Municipality                 Total              Total           Population        Households         Households           Renter          Owner         Vacant          Transient
                                 Population        Households           65 and              with            without a          Occupied        Occupied       Housing         Population
                                                                         older            Income               Car             Housing         Housing         Units
                                                                                         <$15,000                               Units           Units

      Moore Haven                    1,635              572                245               101                  52               153             430            94                  0



                                                                       Table 56: Hendry County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

          Clewiston                   6,738             2,268               837                316                190              763            1,512           188                114

           Labelle                    5,057             1,749              1,057               245                136              439            1,292           175                78




Page 46

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                   Consequence Projections


                                                                         Table 57: Lee County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

      Bonita Springs                 43,856             19,787            16,359              1,258               681             3,735          16,032          4,744           1,127

        Cape Coral                   149,159            57,731            29,429              4,858              1,631           12,028          45,528          3,529               129

        Fort Myers                   52,045             20,695             7,451              4,378              3,560           11,597           8,880          2,388           1,711

    Fort Myers Beach                  6,445             3,349              2,811               365                152              803            2,545          1,996           1,173

          Sanibel                     6,154             3,085              2,929               162                 52              446            2,624          1,289               630



                                                                       Table 58: Martin County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

       Jupiter Island                  720               332                349                 17                  9               26             295            118                0

   Ocean Breeze Park                   503               349                289                 63                 50               44             307            156                0

      Sewall's Point                  1,933               754               446                 25                  2               39             711             61                0

           Stuart                    15,168             7,359              4,513              1,133               925             2,841           4,493           978                484




                                                                                                                                                                         Page 47

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections


                                                                   Table 59: Miami-Dade County26

        Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                    Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                           older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                            <$15,000                             Units           Units

           Aventura                   29,535             16,278             9,704              1,878              1,678            4,995          11,285          3,968           1,459

         Bal Harbour                   2,582             1,460               853                222                140              738             726            684            1,116

     Bay Harbor Islands                4,401             2,221               928                345                297             1,045           1,180           278                59

       Biscayne Park                   3,320             1,302               383                146                 41              364             933             57                 0

        Coral Gables                  42,793             17,192             6,915              1,412              1,115            6,023          11,145           812            1,843

            Cutler                    18,112             5,924              2,138               236                 70              777            5,142           117                108

        Cutler Ridge                  26,400             8,961              3,223              1,113               730             2,804           6,141           301                520

             Doral                    30,066             11,135             2,126               826                279             4,722           6,417          1,439           3,901

           El Portal                   2,426               805               291                100                 62              180             611             37                 0

          Florida City                10,035             2,881               842                988                622             1,629           1,237           253                227

       Golden Beach                    1,629               504               254                 26                  3               94             406             84                 0

           Hialeah                    229,901            71,820            42,335             14,805              9,734           35,139          36,704           944                967

      Hialeah Gardens                 22,702             6,615              2,764               816                518             1,690           4,912           135                341




26
  Data was not available for Palmetto Bay at the time the document was produced. This municipality will be added in future versions of the Consequence
Projections document.
Page 48

   These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
 scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                             planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                   Consequence Projections



       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

        Homestead                    41,850             13,785             3,741              2,577              2,198            7,945           5,838           957                375

       Indian Creek                     37                16                  8                  3                  0                1              14             11                 0

          Islandia                       9                 4                  0                  4                  0                1               0              2                 4

       Key Biscayne                  10,875             4,449              1,941               351                106             1,329           3,130          1,186               394

          Medley                      1,114               361               190                 59                 50              107             253             20                209

           Miami                     374,098           139,177            66,680             39,496             36,603           88,219          50,994          9,888           9,309

       Miami Beach                   83,944             44,071            15,061             10,455             14,262           27,788          16,340          6,239          19,634

      Miami Gardens                   2,662               811               287                123                 92              142             653             39                 0

       Miami Lakes                   26,524             9,432              3,195               563                397             2,687           6,713           486                621

      Miami Shores                   10,220             3,544              1,362               283                227              444            3,110           154                0

      Miami Springs                  13,526             5,034              2,219               517                309             1,798           3,211           142            1,077

    North Bay Village                 5,851             2,710               731                381                307             1,929            785            443                243

       North Miami                   58,221             19,791             5,816              4,123              2,702            9,685          10,153          1,204               66

   North Miami Beach                 39,418             13,612             4,735              2,532              1,790            5,199           8,422          1,020               592

         Opa-locka                   14,690             4,877              1,415              1,782              1,451            3,144           1,726           371                0

     Opa-locka North                  6,486             1,581               578                226                161              524            1,053            73                 0

                                                                                                                                                                         Page 49

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections



       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

          Pinecrest                  19,415             6,379              2,312               229                111             1,172           5,202           157                 0

       South Miami                   10,833             4,321              1,575               716                535             1,691           2,637           183                143

    Sunny Isles Beach                17,778             9,488              5,247              1,398              1,856            3,929           5,556          2,893               864

          Surfside                    5,340             2,463              1,349               182                274              718            1,746           655                584

        Sweetwater                   14,314             4,301              2,184               823                631             2,199           2,100            53                 0

     Virginia Gardens                 2,313              883                357                 91                 80              434             445             25                 2

        West Miami                    5,562             1,957              1,462               285                181              636            1,322            43                 0



                                                                      Table 60: Monroe County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

  Islamorada, Village of              5,918             2,728              1,219               212                104              787            1,950           794                622
         Islands

    Key Colony Beach                   762                408               328                 48                 11              112             294            337                108

          Key West                   23,779             10,361             3,271              1,151              1,658            5,525           4,820          1,508           3,952

           Layton                      138                62                 31                 16                  1               23              42             22                 9

Page 50

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                   Consequence Projections



       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

         Marathon                     5,919             2,710              1,199               507                241              997            1,710           741                418



                                                                   Table 61: Okeechobee County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

       Okeechobee                     5,324             1,829              1,056               371                225              575            1,267           183                0



                                                                   Table 62: Palm Beach County

       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

          Atlantis                    2,227             1,136              1,148                64                  0               50            1,086            83                 0

        Belle Glade                  14,902             4,861              1,590              1,370              1,269            2,811           2,036           326                220

        Boca Raton                   74,588             31,693            15,864              2,473              1,328            7,689          24,038          3,442           1,995

      Boynton Beach                  63,327             27,684            15,993              3,152              2,219            7,578          20,124          2,973               193

      Briny Breezes                    426               276                287                 29                 10               21             255            133                0

                                                                                                                                                                         Page 51

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections



       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

          Cloud Lake                   160                60                 15                  7                  3               30              33              3                 0

       Delray Beach                  61,413             27,381            15,587              3,154              2,378            8,253          19,125          3,182               641

          Glen Ridge                   264                93                 39                 12                  4               13              75              7                 0

             Golf                      280                145               156                  1                  2                6             138             20                 0

        Greenacres                   32,510             14,348             7,814              1,546               809             4,035          10,275          1,508                0

        Gulf Stream                    735                348               275                 36                 10               31             312            132                 0

           Haverhill                  1,816               662               225                 63                 26              130             530             13                47

     Highland Beach                   3,868             2,256              2,230                90                105              333            1,923           791                141

          Hypoluxo                    2,477             1,362               635                151                 67              490             873            332                 0

        Juno Beach                    2,980             1,648              1,308               140                130              434            1,200           518                116

            Jupiter                  49,112             20,895             9,544              1,226               620             4,202          16,695          2,882               404

   Jupiter Inlet Colony                349               170                147                 14                 15               10             161             29                0

   Lake Clarke Shores                 3,894             1,590               830                102                 63              157            1,422            51                 0

          Lake Park                   8,546             3,216              1,019               464                288             1,624           1,539           245                 0

        Lake Worth                   35,102             13,798             5,055              2,484              1,731            6,436           7,355          1,553               63

           Lantana                    9,775             3,973              1,353               435                312             1,233           2,743           419                178

Page 52

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
                                                                                                                                               Florida Catastrophic Planning
                                                                                                                                                   Consequence Projections



       Municipality                  Total             Total           Population         Households        Households          Renter          Owner          Vacant        Transient
                                   Population       Households           65 and               with           without a         Occupied        Occupied        Housing       Population
                                                                          older             Income              Car            Housing         Housing          Units
                                                                                           <$15,000                             Units           Units

        Manalapan                      339               176                152                  5                  0                7             167             94                90

      Mangonia Park                   1,431              509                114                 87                 68              231             272             47                96

    North Palm Beach                 11,599             5,892              3,630               459                280             1,343           4,528           776                152

       Ocean Ridge                    1,659              882                609                 92                 21              126             755            254                 0

         Pahokee                      6,316             1,814               623                503                439              735            1,083           162                 0

       Palm Beach                     9,885             5,481              5,301               467                412              906            4,563          1,803           1,349

  Palm Beach Gardens                 44,457             19,725            10,274              1,175               701             4,347          15,269          2,217               625

   Palm Beach Shores                  1,341               738               436                 82                 76              235             493            276                380

       Palm Springs                  11,432             5,050              1,907               583                342             1,769           3,262           453                 0

      Riviera Beach                  32,692             12,360             5,609              2,290              1,793            4,837           7,631          1,685               724

    Royal Palm Beach                 31,829             11,167             4,114               665                323             1,633           9,483           470                 0

         South Bay                    3,743               779               248                229                154              324             461             93                29

   South Palm Beach                    658                425               362                 46                 25               62             363            166                14

         Tequesta                     5,746             2,546              1,526               217                124              467            2,085           353                 0

        Wellington                   50,217             17,175             5,330               633                271             3,322          13,801          1,697                0

    West Palm Beach                  91,816             39,454            15,673              5,912              5,226           17,713          21,742          5,051           1,560

                                                                                                                                                                         Page 53

  These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project. Consequence projections are derived from the
scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific
                                                                            planning needs are defined.
Florida Catastrophic Planning
Consequence Projections




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Page 54

 These products represent a hypothetical scenario intended to encourage discussion for the Florida Catastrophic Planning Project.
Consequence projections are derived from the scenario using scientific methods based on extensive research. They will continue to
   be updated and refined as new information from the FLCP effort becomes available and specific planning needs are defined.

				
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