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Developing the LLWR’s
Environmental Safety Case
Dr Richard Cummings
LLWR ESC Project Manager
Date: 20th May 2010
2010 Customer Forum
Presentation
• What is an ESC?
• Project history and importance
• Examples of progress over last year
• Implications for Waste Acceptance Criteria
• Timescales for new authorisation for disposal
2010 Customer Forum
What is an ESC?
2010 Customer Forum
Definition of an ESC
• “The collection of arguments, provided by the
developer or operator of a disposal facility, that seeks
to demonstrate that the required standard of
environmental safety is achieved”
2010 Customer Forum
GRA
• GRA: Near-surface Disposal
Facilities on Land for Solid
Radioactive Waste - Guidance
on Requirements for
Authorisation
• Revised GRA issued February
2009
• 132 pages
• 5 Principles and 14
Requirements
2010 Customer Forum
GRA Principles
1. Level of protection against radiological hazards at
the time of disposal and in the future
2. Optimisation (ALARA)
3. Level of protection against non-radiological hazards
at the time of disposal and in the future
4. Reliance on human action
5. Openness and inclusivity
2010 Customer Forum
GRA Requirements
1. Process by agreement 8. Optimisation
2. Dialogue with local communities 9. Environmental radioactivity
and others 10. Protection against non-radiological
3. Environmental safety case hazards
4. Environmental safety culture and 11. Site investigation
management system 12. Use of site and facility design,
5. Dose constraints during the period construction, operation and closure
of authorisation 13. Waste acceptance criteria
6. Risk guidance level after period of 14. Monitoring
authorisation
7. Human intrusion after period of
authorisation
2010 Customer Forum
The challenge
• Must address post-
authorisation phase – 1000+
years in future
• Long-term safety must be
passive - cannot rely on
future human action
• Levels of protection in the
future same as now
• Risk guidance level of one in
a million per year
2010 Customer Forum
Project History and Importance
2010 Customer Forum
Current Authorisation and Planning Permission
• Last ESC submitted 2002
• Not accepted by EA
• 2006 Authorisation only allows disposal until Vault 8 full
• Planning permission for Vault 9 only allows storage
• Future of LLWR depends on successful ESC
2010 Customer Forum
LLWR Response
• New project set up in 2006
• Project re-planned and costed in 2008 when new
PBO took over
• New PM and team
2010 Customer Forum
Project Schedule
• Data freeze/ready for final assessment milestone 1st May 2010
• Revised ESC required by EA by 1st May 2011
Project Phases Timings
Planning April – September 2008
Development Phase 1 October 2008 – March 2009
Development Phase 2 April 2009 – April 2010
Execution From May 2010
2010 Customer Forum
Regulatory Liaison
• Liaising closely with Environment Agency to ensure
2011 ESC meets their requirements
• For example:
– Monthly Project progress and technical liaison meetings
– Methodology notes exchanged
– Discussions with EA policy team
2010 Customer Forum
Examples of Progress Over
Last year
2010 Customer Forum
2011 ESC Documentation
• Started to plan and develop
• 17 top-level documents, ~1600 pages
• Hundreds of key underpinning documents
2010 Customer Forum
ESC Documentation Concept
• Level 1 - The ESC
– presents the safety arguments
Arguments
• Level 2 - ESC topic reports
– present the evidence, Evidence
evaluations etc.
• Level 3 - supporting reports
– technical and external reports Basis
2010 Customer Forum
Improvements to Inventory
• „Recall‟ exercise – assessing implications
• Using most up-to-date data for future disposals –
Widram 09
• Have been working with consignors on accuracy of
data for key radionuclides and wastestreams
2010 Customer Forum
Source-term
• Developing NNL „General Repository Model‟
• Models:
– Evolution of chemical environment (pH, Eh)
– Behaviour of U
– Release of C-14 to gas and groundwater pathways
• Effects of heterogeneity in waste disposals
• Experimental studies of U release and sorption
2010 Customer Forum
Stage 6 Boreholes
• 14 off-site boreholes drilled
• Close liaison with
environmental regulators to
ensure SSSI protected
• Innovative approaches
reduced impact and saved
money
• Data being used to revise
geological and
hydrogeological models
2010 Customer Forum
Hydrogeological Modelling
• Better calibrated
hydrogeological model of
repository and locality
developed
2010 Customer Forum
Optimisation of Engineering Design
• Current design
2010 Customer Forum
Optimisation of Engineering Design
• Iterative and evidence-based
• Single dome cap – more resilient to erosion
• Vault design changed to reduce „bath-tubbing‟
• No need for drains
• Depth of cut-off walls reduced
• Better overall environmental performance for less
cost
2010 Customer Forum
Reduced Cut-off Wall Depth
2010 Customer Forum
New Vault Design
2010 Customer Forum
Coastal Erosion Studies
2010 Customer Forum
Improvement to Assessment Methodologies
• Assessments: • Wells assessment:
– Groundwater pathway – Inventory key radionuclides
– Non-radiological impact – Kinetic source-term models
– Non-human species – Probability
– Gas assessment – Type of well (dilution)
– Coastal erosion – Exposed groups
– Human intrusion
2010 Customer Forum
Implications for Waste
Acceptance Criteria
2010 Customer Forum
Current LLWR WAC
• Radiological limits:
– Specific activity limits based on
definition of LLW
– Annual limits for key
radionuclides based on 1988
NRPB assessment
• Other criteria developed in an ad
hoc way
• Have been reviewed in recent years
to provide reassurance that they are
sufficiently protective
• Not derived from an accepted safety
case
2010 Customer Forum
Revised LLWR WAC
• There will be new WAC rigorously derived from 2011 ESC
• Ideas developing – not discussed yet with EA
• More flexible
• Radiological limits:
– Retain 4 and 12 GBq/te
– Manage overall capacity of repository for key radionuclides –
complex process but transparent to consignors
– Trigger levels rather than annual limits
2010 Customer Forum
Timescales for New Authorisation
for Disposal
2010 Customer Forum
Future timescales
• Revised ESC submitted by 1st May 2011
• EA review of ESC completed and new authorisation
for disposal by 31st March 2013 (LLWR target)
• I.e. two vs. four years last time
2010 Customer Forum
Summary
2010 Customer Forum
Summary
• On-going work programme to obtain authorisation for
disposal in 2013
• Close liaison with EA
• New WAC based on 2011 ESC
2010 Customer Forum
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