Quinnipiac NYC MAYOR Poll

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Quinnipiac NYC MAYOR Poll Powered By Docstoc
					Maurice Carroll, Director,
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
  FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 12, 2011

       NEW YORKERS FEEL MUCH BETTER ABOUT 9/11 RECOVERY,
               QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
        BLOOMBERG APPROVAL GETS A BIG GUST FROM IRENE
  Lower Manhattan recovery efforts are going “very well” or “somewhat well,” 60 percent of New
  York City voters say in a Quinnipiac University poll released today, up from 40 percent in an
  August 27, 2009, survey.
          New Yorkers are less skeptical about promised deadlines for completion of key Lower
  Manhattan projects, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds:
         42 percent believe One World Trade Center will be complete by December 2013,
          compared to 25 percent in August 2009;
         46 percent believe the World Trade Center Transit Hub will be ready by June 2014,
          compared to 41 percent two years ago;
         36 percent say the pace of development makes them proud to be a New Yorker, up from
          18 percent two years ago.
          New Yorkers say 43 – 34 percent that the Port Authority of New York & New Jersey has
  played a positive role in World Trade Center redevelopment, compared to a split 32 – 33 percent
  in an April 12, 2006, Quinnipiac University poll.
          By a larger 61 – 21 percent margin, voters say Mayor Michael Bloomberg played a
  positive role in redevelopment, compared to 67 – 19 percent April 12, 2006.
          “As the World Trade Center rebuilding moves along, New Yorkers are comfortable with
  the pace. But 74 percent say it‟s very important or somewhat important to see progress this
  year,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
          “And a lot of New Yorkers won‟t believe it until they see One World Trade Center and
  the Transit Hub up and running.”
                                                -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/September 12, 2011 – page 2
        “We think Mayor Michael Bloomberg played a positive role in the Ground Zero
rebuilding,” Carroll added. “The Port Authority gets more credit than five years ago. Note that
this survey was conducted right after the Port Authority announced a very unpopular toll hike.”
       Seventy percent of New York City voters plan to visit the 9/11 Memorial, which opens to
the public today, with consistent interest in every borough and racial group and among men and
women. And 75 percent plan to visit the 9/11 Memorial Museum, which opens next year.
       But voters say 71 – 23 percent that the Museum should not charge admission. Among
that 23 percent who favor admission, 84 percent say a proposed $25 ticket price is too high.
                                     Mayor Bloomberg’s Approval
       With the wind of Hurricane Irene in his sails, Mayor Bloomberg is cruising to a 54 – 35
percent job approval rating, up from 45 – 43 percent July 27 and Bloomberg‟s best score since
the Christmas blizzard.
       Democrats approve 57 – 31 percent, better than the Republican approval of 55 – 39
percent and the independent voter rating of 51 – 40 percent. The mayor‟s score ranges from a
negative 39 – 56 percent in Staten Island to a high of 65 – 24 percent in Manhattan.
       New York City voters approve 86 – 10 percent of Bloomberg‟s handling of preparations
for Hurricane Irene. Support is equally strong in all boroughs.
       And voters approve 90 – 8 percent of the mayor‟s decision to order evacuations in
advance of Hurricane Irene. Support is strong among all groups.
       Even voters in neighborhoods under the evacuation order approve of it 84 – 15 percent.
       “Maybe it was the decisive preparations for Irene – Bloomberg‟s job approval has moved
up nicely. As usual, Manhattan likes him best of all,” Carroll said.
       “This survey was conducted after Hurricane Irene and during the storm about Deputy
Mayor Stephen Goldsmith‟s arrest – but maybe that second storm is a tempest in a teapot.
       “The critics cried „overkill!‟ But most people agreed with the mayor, „better safe than
sorry.‟ Overwhelmingly, Bloomberg‟s handling of Irene gets high marks.”
       From September 1 – 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,282 registered voters with a
margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
       The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia
and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.


                                                                                                   2
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                                                                                     Union
                     Tot      Rep    Dem     Ind        Wht        Blk        Hisp   HsHld

Approve              54%      55%    57%     51%        62%        47%        47%    44%
Disapprove           35       39     31      40         29         41         39     46
DK/NA                11        6     12       9          9         13         14     10

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men        Wom

Approve              48%      53%    65%     51%        39%        50%        56%
Disapprove           39       35     24      37         56         39         32
DK/NA                13       12     11      13          5         11         12

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as
Mayor? (*High also 75% Oct 3 2008, Mar 2008, Jan 2007 & Nov 2005)

                                                                         APPROVE.......
                                                                         High    Low
                     Sep 12    Jul 27   May 11     Mar 16     Nov 23     Oct 21 Jul 02
                     2011      2011     2011       2011       2010       2008*   2003

Approve              54        45       40         39         55         75          31
Disapprove           35        43       49         51         35         20          60
DK/NA                11        12       10         10         11          6           8


2. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today?
Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Very satisfied        9%      10%    11%      8%        13%         6%         5%     5%
Smwht satisfied      45       39     46      47         50         37         41     39
Smwht dissatisfied   29       31     28      29         23         35         34     33
Very dissatisfied    15       18     13      16         13         21         16     22
DK/NA                 2        1      2       -          1          1          3      1

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men        Wom

Very satisfied        5%       8%    18%      7%         3%         9%         9%
Smwht satisfied      41       44     49      47         39         44         46
Smwht dissatisfied   32       32     23      29         32         31         27
Very dissatisfied    20       17      9      14         26         14         17
DK/NA                 1        1      2       3          1          2          1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City
today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very
dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT...
                                                             High    Low
                     Sep 12 Jul 27 May 11 Mar 16 Nov 23 Feb 11 Jul 02
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2010    1998    2003

Very satisfied        9         8        6          5          6         18           7
Smwht satisfied      45        45       44         41         44         58          23
Smwht dissatisfied   29        29       28         33         31         18          32
Very dissatisfied    15        17       20         20         19          5          38
DK/NA                 2         1        1          2          1          1           1




                                                                                             3
3. Regardless of how you feel about Michael Bloomberg's policies, would you say you like
or don't like Michael Bloomberg as a person?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Like                 59%      61%    62%      54%   60%     60%   57%   51%
Don't Like           21       24     19       25    23      20    19    28
DK/NA                20       15     19       21    17      20    23    21

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man      Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Like                 58%      61%    62%      58%   44%     58%   59%
Don't Like           22       21     16       23    33      23    20
DK/NA                20       18     22       19    24      19    21

TREND: Regardless of how you feel about Michael Bloomberg's policies, would you say you
like or don't like Michael Bloomberg as a person?

                     Sep 12    Jul 27
                     2011      2011

Like                 59        64
Don't Like           21        20
DK/NA                20        16


4. And regardless of how you feel about Michael Bloomberg as a person, would you say you
like or don't like most of Michael Bloomberg's policies?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht     Blk   Hisp   HsHld

Like                 52%      53%    56%      48%   60%     41%   48%   40%
Don't Like           39       43     35       42    32      49    43    51
DK/NA                 9        4      8       10     9      10     9     9

                     Brnx     Kngs      Man   Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Like                 52%      51%    59%      49%   40%     54%   50%
Don't Like           38       39     32       44    55      41    38
DK/NA                10       10     10        7     5       6    11

TREND: And regardless of how you feel about Michael Bloomberg as a person, would you say
you like or don't like most of Michael Bloomberg's policies?

                     Sep 12    Jul 27
                     2011      2011

Like                 52        49
Don't Like           39        45
DK/NA                 9         6


5. Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's handling of preparations for
Hurricane Irene?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Approve              86%      88%    88%      85%   88%     81%   86%   85%
Disapprove           10       11      8       10     8      15     8    10
DK/NA                 4        1      4        5     4       4     6     5

Cont’d


                                                                                           4
5. (cont’d) Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's handling of preparations for
Hurricane Irene?

                                                                        EVAC AREA
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl   Men   Wom      Yes Q7

Approve              85%    87%    85%    85%    89%     82%   89%      78%
Disapprove            9     10     10     11     10      13     7       18
DK/NA                 6      3      5      4      1       4     4        5


6. Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's decision to order the evacuation of
several New York City neighborhoods in preparation for Hurricane Irene?

                                                                        Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht     Blk   Hisp     HsHld

Approve              90%    93%    93%    84%    90%     89%   89%      89%
Disapprove            8      6      5     13      7       8     9        7
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      3       3     2        3

                                                                        EVAC AREA
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl   Men   Wom      Yes Q7

Approve              93%    88%    89%    89%    90%     86%   92%      84%
Disapprove            6      8      8      8      8      11     5       15
DK/NA                 1      4      3      2      1       3     2        1


7. Do you live in a neighborhood which was under an evacuation order?

                                                                        Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht     Blk   Hisp     HsHld

Yes                  11%    10%    10%    10%    11%      9%   11%      12%
No                   88     89     89     90     88      90    89       87
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1       1     -        1

                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                   6%    13%    13%     8%    14%     12%    9%
No                   92     86     86     92     85      87    90
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1       1     1


8. How would you rate the job New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has done helping
New York City recover from the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center on
September 11th, 2001 - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                                                        Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht     Blk   Hisp     HsHld

Excellent            18%    21%    17%    17%    24%     13%   13%      12%
Good                 50     54     54     45     52      52    49       47
Not so good          17     16     15     19     11      19    21       22
Poor                  8      4      6     12      6       8    10       11
DK/NA                 7      4      7      6      6       9     7        8




Cont’d


                                                                                           5
8. (cont’d) How would you rate the job New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has done
helping New York City recover from the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center on
September 11th, 2001 - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men    Wom

Excellent            15%      22%    21%     12%        12%        19%    17%
Good                 59       46     49      55         45         48     52
Not so good          12       14     17      19         30         17     16
Poor                 10        9      5       7         11         10      6
DK/NA                 4       10      8       7          3          6      8

TREND: How would you rate the job Mayor Michael Bloomberg has done helping New York City
recover from the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center on September 11th, 2001 -
excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                     Sep 12    Mar 28
                     2011      2002

Excellent            18        13
Good                 50        54
Not so good          17        16
Poor                  8         4
DK/NA                 7        13


15. What is your impression of how well the redevelopment of lower Manhattan is going?
Would you say very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly?

                                                                                 Union
                     Tot      Rep    Dem     Ind        Wht        Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Very well            17%      13%    20%     19%        16%        18%    22%    16%
Somewhat well        43       48     46      36         44         50     41     38
Somewhat badly       20       15     21      22         21         18     17     27
Very badly           12       18      6      16         13          8      9     13
DK/NA                 8        6      6       7          6          7     11      6

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men    Wom

Very well            19%      18%    18%     16%        13%        15%    19%
Somewhat well        42       49     44      38         36         41     46
Somewhat badly       20       17     23      19         27         24     17
Very badly           12       11      6      17         17         14     10
DK/NA                 7        5      9      10          8          6      9

TREND: What is your impression of how well the redevelopment of lower Manhattan is going?
Would you say very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly? (*Low also 40% Jul
2006)

                                                                         VERY+SMWHT....
                                                                         High    Low
                     Sep 12    Aug 27   Nov 15     Jul 12     Apr 12     Mar 28 Aug 27
                     2011      2009     2006       2006       2006       2002    2009*

Very well            17         8       11          9          8         28       8
Somewhat well        43        32       39         31         36         50      32
Somewhat badly       20        28       28         30         27         12      28
Very badly           12        25       17         22         20          2      25
DK/NA                 8         7        6          9          9          9       7




                                                                                           6
16. How important is it to you that there be visible progress in the development of Ground
Zero this year - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important
at all?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Very important       43%      54%    44%     41%        39%        43%   52%    45%
Smwht important      31       29     33      31         35         32    27     29
Not too important    14       11     15      13         16         15    10     14
Not important at all 9         4      8      13         10          9     5      9
DK/NA                 2        3      1       2          1          2     5      3

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men   Wom

Very important       50%      42%    35%     47%        51%        47%   41%
Smwht important      30       33     31      30         32         27    35
Not too important    12       14     20      13          8         14    15
Not important at all 5        10     11       7          7         10     8
DK/NA                 3        1      3       2          2          2     2

TREND: How important is it to you that there be visible progress in the development of
Ground Zero this year - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not
important at all?
                     Sep 12 Aug 27 Jul 12 Apr 12 Mar 9
                     2011    2009    2006    2006    2006

Very important       43        46       40         43         42
Smwht important      31        31       31         31         36
Not too important    14        15       18         15         14
Not important at all 9          7       10          9          6
DK/NA                 2         2        2          2          2


17. Does the pace of development at Ground Zero make you feel proud to be a New Yorker,
ashamed to be a New Yorker, or don't you feel either of these ways?

                                                                                Union
                     Tot      Rep    Dem     Ind        Wht        Blk   Hisp   HsHld

Proud                36%      37%    40%     27%        29%        45%   39%    33%
Ashamed              13       18      8      20         14          7    12     11
Not either           49       42     50      51         55         45    45     52
DK/NA                 3        3      3       2          3          3     5      4

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns        StIsl      Men   Wom

Proud                42%      37%    29%     35%        36%        31%   39%
Ashamed              10       10     10      18         23         19     8
Not either           43       49     59      44         39         46    51
DK/NA                 4        4      2       3          1          4     2

TREND: Does the pace of development at Ground Zero make you feel proud to be a
New Yorker, ashamed to be a New Yorker, or don't you feel either of these ways?

                     Sep 12    Aug 27   Jul 12     Apr 12
                     2011      2009     2006       2006

Proud                36        18       21         20
Ashamed              13        25       16         17
Not either           49        55       60         59
DK/NA                 3         2        3          3



                                                                                          7
18. Do you believe the Port Authority's promise that One World Trade Center, The Freedom
Tower, will be built by December 2013?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Yes                  42%      45%    43%   42%   43%     42%   45%    39%
No                   45       49     42    48    44      44    43     49
DK/NA                14        6     15    10    13      14    13     12

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man   Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                  42%      47%    42%   35%   42%     45%   40%
No                   48       41     39    52    47      44    45
DK/NA                10       12     20    12    11      12    15

TREND: Do you believe the Port Authority's promise that One World Trade Center, the
Freedom Tower, will be built by December 2013? (* Aug 2009 does not state "One World Trade
Center")
                     Sep 12 Aug 27
                     2011    2009*

Yes                  42        25
No                   45        63
DK/NA                14        12


19. Do you believe the Port Authority's promise that the World Trade Center Transit Hub
will be ready by June 2014?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Yes                  46%      49%    48%   43%   45%     49%   44%    44%
No                   39       40     36    45    38      35    38     43
DK/NA                15       12     16    12    16      16    18     13

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man   Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                  49%      51%    45%   40%   40%     47%   45%
No                   39       32     38    47    45      37    40
DK/NA                12       17     17    13    15      16    15

TREND: Do you believe the Port Authority's promise that the World Trade Center Transit Hub
will be ready by June 2014?

                     Sep 12    Aug 27
                     2011      2009

Yes                  46        41
No                   39        47
DK/NA                15        13


20. Based on what you've heard or read, has Mayor Bloomberg played a positive or negative
role in the development of Ground Zero?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Positive             61%      59%    68%   52%   60%     68%   55%    57%
Negative             21       25     16    27    18      20    28     28
DK/NA                18       16     16    20    22      13    17     15

Cont’d


                                                                                           8
20. (cont’d) Based on what you've heard or read, has Mayor Bloomberg played a positive or
negative role in the development of Ground Zero?

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Positive             67%      62%    63%     58%   51%     54%   66%
Negative             22       19     17      24    32      27    17
DK/NA                11       19     20      18    17      18    17

TREND: Based on what you've heard or read, has Mayor Bloomberg played a positive or
negative role in the development of Ground Zero?

                     Sep 12    Apr 12   Mar 9
                     2011      2006     2006

Positive             61        67       65
Negative             21        19       21
DK/NA                18        15       14


21. Based on what you've heard or read, has the Port Authority played a positive or
negative role in the development of Ground Zero?

                                                                        Union
                     Tot      Rep    Dem     Ind   Wht     Blk   Hisp   HsHld

Positive             43%      41%    47%     36%   34%     53%   52%    42%
Negative             34       42     31      39    41      29    28     40
DK/NA                22       17     22      24    24      18    20     18


                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Positive             52%      45%    44%     37%   36%     43%   44%
Negative             36       31     31      35    53      38    31
DK/NA                12       23     25      28    11      19    25

TREND: Based on what you've heard or read, has the Port Authority played a positive or
negative role in the development of Ground Zero?

                     Sep 12    Apr 12   Mar 9
                     2011      2006     2006

Positive             43        32       29
Negative             34        33       36
DK/NA                22        35       35


22. The 9/11 Memorial opens this September 12th and is free. Do you plan on visiting it
some time, or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Yes                  70%      70%    70%     72%   69%     70%   71%    74%
No                   26       29     26      24    28      28    23     22
DK/NA                 4        1      4       4     3       2     5      4

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man     Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                  66%      73%    71%     68%   74%     72%   69%
No                   29       23     25      28    23      25    27
DK/NA                 4        4      5       3     3       4     4


                                                                                          9
23. Turning to the 9/11 Memorial Museum, which will open in September of next year - Do
you plan on visiting the museum some time, or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld

Yes                  75%      80%    74%   77%   73%     74%   79%    75%
No                   22       17     23    21    23      23    18     21
DK/NA                 4        2      4     3     5       3     3      4

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man   Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                  83%      75%    70%   72%   79%     74%   75%
No                   14       19     27    25    18      22    21
DK/NA                 2        6      3     3     3       4     4


24. Do you think people should have to pay to visit the 9/11 Memorial Museum or not?

                                                                      Union
                     Tot      Rep    Dem   Ind   Wht     Blk   Hisp   HsHld

Yes                  23%      28%    22%   19%   25%     22%   19%    22%
No                   71       65     72    74    67      75    73     74
DK/NA                 7        7      6     7     9       3     8      5

                     Brnx     Kngs   Man   Qns   StIsl   Men   Wom

Yes                  20%      27%    23%   21%   14%     18%   26%
No                   73       68     68    72    83      76    67
DK/NA                 7        5      9     7     3       6     7

TREND: Do you think people should have to pay to visit the 9/11 Memorial Museum or not?

                     Sep 12    Jul 28
                     2011      2011

Yes                  23        20
No                   71        75
DK/NA                 7         5


25. (If "Yes" q24) The September 11 Museum is considering charging admission of up to $25.
Do you think $25 would be too much to charge, too little, or about right?

                     Yes Shld Pay Q24

Too much             84%
Too little            1
About right          14
DK/NA                 1

TREND: (If "Yes") The September 11 Museum is considering charging admission of up to $25.
Do you think $25 would be too much to charge, too little, or about right? (* “National”
September 11 Museum)

                     YES SHOULD PAY
                     Sep 12 Jul 28
                     2011    2011*

Too much             84        86
Too little            1         3
About right          14         9
DK/NA                 1         2

                                                                                          10

				
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