Sharing Climate Adaptation Tools
Geneva April 11-12, 2007 John Furlow
USAID/Global Climate Change Team
http://www.usaid.gov/our_work/environment/climate/index.html
Development Planning and Climate Change
Philosophy
• Improve Adaptive Capacity Through Economic Development • Stakeholder Involvement Essential • Climate Change is a stressor, not a competing sector
Approach
• Identify Sensitivities To Climate Change • Identify Adaptation Options
• Assess Impacts Of Climate Change, Feasibility Of Adaptation Options
• Develop Implementation Plan
Integrating Climate Info Into Development Planning • Three Approaches
– Adaptation Guidance Manual – Climate Mapping Tool – Communication tools
Adapting to Climate Variability and Change USAID Adaptation Goals:
•Educate project planners
– Provide climate change information for non-experts
•Increase resilience of projects
– Identify opportunities for adaptation
•Improve planning processes
– Incorporate adaptation into project planning
Adaptation Guidance Manual • Six Steps
– – – – – – 1. Simple Screen 2. Identify Adaptation Options 3. Analyze Climate Impacts, Options 4. Select Action 5. Develop Implementation Plan 6. Evaluate
Climate Mapping Tool
• Aims:
– – – – Facilitate Access To Climate Information To Make Adaptation Simple, Quick, Cheap Make Information Available To Project Planners Create A Useful Portal For Anyone To Use
SERVIR Viz and Climate
An open source, webenabled, freely available, 3D visualization tool.
Viewing Raster Model Output in SERVIR Viz
Opacity
Models to be added to SERVIR-Viz
• Monthly global climate data set (can be run with any local data as well. All these model are directly linked to run with the latest CGM models AR4 with a variety of interpolation routines. • The models are
– WATBAL – Soil Moisture and Runoff model – PETMOD- a series of 5 different models of POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION – RESEVAP – A reservoir Evalporation model – CROPWAT – FAO Irrigation Water demand model – CROPWAT-RF – IFPRI Extension of Cropwat for Rainfed – CROPYIELD - IFPRI Extension of FAO56 Crop yield model – FLOOD – A FLOOD RISK MODEL – SEDMOD – RUSLM – Revised universal soil Loss model
LOW STREAMFLOW 2050 AFRICA-WIDE 85% of BASE
Ratio of 2050 to Base
HIGH STREAMFLOW 2050 AFRICA-WIDE 105% of BASE
Ratio of 2050 to Base
0.5 - 0.8 0.8 - 0.9 0.9 - 1 1 - 1.1 1.1 - 1.2 1.2 - 2.7
N
0.5 - 0 0.8 - 0 0.9 - 1 1 - 1.1 1.1 - 1 1.2 - 2
N
W
1000 0 1000 2000 Miles
E
W
S
1000 0 1000 2000 Miles
S
Current year % of grid cell with irrigation equipment.
EGYPT CROP YIELDS
Irrigation Potential 0 - 0.5 0.5 - 1 1- 2 3- 5 6 - 10 11 - 20 21 - 40 41 - 60 61 - 100 No Data
N
Climate Change Mapping Tool Next Steps • Moving into Africa, Caribbean, S. America • Identifying host organizations • Identifying models, data to share
Communicating Information and Success • RANET: Radio and Internet in remote areas
– Disseminates locally produced weather forecasts via distributed, rural radio stations – Operates in 7 countries in Africa – Partners: ACMAD, UNDP, MeteoFrance, NGOs – Gathering “success stories” for rebroadcast
Thank You
John Furlow USAID Washington jfurlow@usaid.gov