"DCCC NY-9 Tracker Memo"
MEMORANDUM TO: Interested Parties FROM: Global Strategy Group RE: NY 09 Tracking Survey Results DATE: September 2, 2011 If the upcoming special election for Congress in New York’s Ninth District was held today, Democrat David Weprin would defeat Republican Bob Turner and hold the seat for his party, according to our latest poll of 400 likely special election voters in the district. The poll was conducted August 30-31, 2011 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. KE Y FI NDI NG S Weprin Leading and Nearing Majority Support Democrat David Weprin currently leads Republican Bob Turner by an eight-point margin, 47% to 39%, with 14% still undecided in the special election contest. Weprin Ahead Despite Being Less Known Turner is familiar to 66% of voters in the district thanks to his previous run for the seat, with 40% rating him favorably and 26% unfavorably. Weprin is familiar to fewer voters (59%), with 35% rating him favorably and 24% unfavorably. District Prefers Democrat as Representative By a wide, 14-point margin, voters here prefer a generic Democratic candidate for Congress (46%) over a generic Republican candidate (32%). Times Endorsement Catapults Weprin to Solid Win After voters are informed about the New York Times endorsement in the race, Weprin’s support increases by 10 points and his lead increases to 23 points over Turner, 57% to 34%. The description read to voters: “As you may have seen, the New York Times endorsed David Weprin in the special election, saying he would quote "represent the district with far more expertise, sensitivity and fiscal rationality." The endorsement also noted that Weprin has "promoted education and civil rights and fought to protect senior citizens," while Bob Turner's budget plan would force a reduction in benefits for those on Social Security and Medicare” NEW YORK WASHINGTON, D.C. HARTFORD 895 Broadway, Fifth Fl. 1000 Potomac Street, Suite 500 36 Trumbull Street, Third Fl. New York, NY 10003 Washington, DC 20007 Hartford, CT 06103 T 212.260.8813 T 202.469.7805 T 860.547.1414 F 212.260.9058 F 202.298.6115 F 860.548.0842