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Title
Figure 5.1: GHG emissions from buildings and industry in the context of total UK emissions (2008)
Figure 5.2: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from buildings (1990-2008)
Figure 5.3: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from industry (1990-2008)
Figure 5.4: Buildings and industry emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2020, 2050)
Figure 5.5: CCC reference projection for buildings (2008 - 2030)
Figure 5.6: CCC reference projection for industry, refineries and other energy supply (2008 - 2030)
Figure b5.7: Abatement costs of low-carbon heat technologies
Figure 5.7: Heat demand in different housing stock segments in the Medium scenario (2008 - 2030)
Figure 5.8: Remaining building fabric energy efficiency potential (2020)
Figure 5.9: CO2 abatement from renewable heat technologies in Low, Medium and High scenarios (2030)
Figure 5.10: CO2 abatement from renewable space heating technologies in the Medium scenario by sector (2020 and 2030)
Figure 5.11: Medium scenario for residential and non-residential buildings (2008, 2020 and 2030)
Figure 5.12: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from buildings (1990-2030)
Figure 5.13: Buildings emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2030, 2050)
Figure 5.14: Industry emissions by sector (2020)
Figure 5.15: Industry emissions by use in reference case (2030)
Figure 5.16: Emissions from refineries and other energy supply by end use (2008)
Figure 5.17: Marginal abatement cost curve for carbon intensive UK industry Medium Abatement scenario (2030)
Figure 5.18: Medium Abatement scenario in industry (2008, 2020 and 2030)
Figure 5.19: Industry emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2030, 2050)
Source
Source: NAEI (2010)
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010) Digest of UK Energy Statistics; CCC calculations.
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010) Digest of UK Energy Statistics; CCC calculations.
Source: NAEI (2010), CCC analysis
Source: CCC modelling; DECC (2010)
Source: CCC modelling; DECC (2010)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Source: CCC modelling
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Source: CCC modelling
Source: CCC modelling
Source: NAEI (2010), CCC analysis
Source: CCC modelling
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010); CCC calculations.
Source: NAEI (2010); CCC calculations.
Source: CCC modelling; AEA (2010)
Source: CCC modelling
Source: (NAEI 2010), CCC analysis.
Figure 5.1: GHG emissions from buildings and industry in the context of total UK emissions (2008) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010)
Note(s):
Residential direct CO2 80.70
Residential indirect (power) CO2 62.81
Residential non-CO2 3.65
Non-residential direct CO2 21.83
Non-residential indirect (power) CO2 53.40
Non-residential non-CO2 2.33
Industry direct CO2 88.01
Industry indirect (power) CO2 52.35
Industry non-CO2 33.13
Refineries and other energy supply CO2 36.90
Refineries and other energy supply non-CO2 8.71
Other CO2 136.84
Other non-CO2 46.95
Total 627.62
2008 GHG emissions: 628 MtCO2
Other non-CO2
8% Residential direct CO2
13%
Residential indirect (power) CO2
10%
Other CO2
22%
Residential non-CO2
1%
Non-residential direct CO2
3%
Refineries and other energy supply non -CO2
1%
Non-residential indirect (power) CO2
9%
Refineries and other energy supply CO2
6%
Non-residential non-CO2
0%
Industry non-CO2
5%
Industry direct CO2
14%
Industry indirect (power) CO2
8%
Figure 5.2: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from buildings (1990-2008) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010) Digest of UK Energy Statistics; CCC calculations.
Note(s): Non-residential includes public and commerical sector emissions.
Fuel demand - twh 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Residential (electricity) 94 98 99 100 101 102 108 104 109 110 112 115 115 116 116 126 124 123 126
Residential (non-electricity) 380 423 413 429 410 394 452 416 427 426 433 445 432 439 450 430 417 399 409
Non-residential (electricity) 69 80 78 81 81 84 88 81 86 89 90 93 94 95 95 94 94 93 93.6
Non-residential (non-electricity) 139 147 150 145 143 147 152 153 148 143 145 149 122 122 129 130 118 112 111
Emissions intensity (KgCO2 per KWh)
electricity 0.77 0.75 0.7 0.62 0.61 0.58 0.56845 0.52448 0.52592 0.49345 0.52368 0.5411 0.52306 0.53859 0.53945 0.52665 0.55502 0.54303 0.545042
Non-electricity (residential) 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
0
Non-electricity (non-residential) .21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
Emissions
Residential (non-electricity) 80 88 86 90 85 81 92 85 87 86 87 89 86 87 88 85 82 78 80.70
Residential (electricity) 72.6 74 70 62 62 59 60 53 57 53 57 61 60 62 62 62 65 63 62.81
Non-residential (non-electricity) 25 28 27 27 26 26 28 26 26 26 25 26 22 23 23 23 21 21 21.83
Non-residential (electricity) 57.0 58 56 50 49 49 48 46 47 45 48 51 50 53 53 52 55 54 53.40
900
300
800
250
700
200
600
500 Non-residential (electricity)
MtCO2
Non-residential (electricity) 150 Non-residential (non-electricity)
TWh
Non-residential (non- Residential (electricity)
400 electricity) Residential (non-electricity)
Residential (electricity)
100
300 Residential (non-electricity)
200 50
100
-
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0.9
Emissions intensity (KgCO2 per
KWh) electricity
0.8 Non-electricity (residential)
0.7
0.6
Kg CO2 per KWh
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Figure 5.3: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from industry (1990-2008) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010) Digest of UK Energy Statistics; CCC calculations.
Note(s): Industry does not include process emission, refineries and other energy supply
TWh 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Electricity 101 100 95 97 94 101 105 107 107 111 114 111 113 113 116 116 115 114 109
Non-electricity 349 345 332 327 345 321 296 295 294 287 297 301 283 286 270 263 255 247 248
Emissions intensity (KgCO2 per KWh)
Electricity 0.77 0.75 0.70 0.62 0.61 0.58 0.57 0.52 0.53 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.56 0.54 0.55
Non-electricity 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
CO2
Direct 98 98 95 94 94 91 92 91 90 90 90 90 82 83 81 81 79 78 74
Indirect (electricity) 70 67 60 54 53 52 52 47 48 46 50 52 50 53 53 53 56 55 52.35
500
450
400
350
300
TWh
250 Non-electricity
Electricity
200
180
150
100 160
50
140
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 120
0.90 100
MtCO2
0.80 Direct
Electricity
80 Indirect (electricity)
0.70 Non-electricity
0.60 60
Kg CO2 per KWh
0.50
40
0.40
0.30 20
0.20
-
0.10 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
0.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Figure 5.4: Buildings and industry emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2020, 2050)
Source: NAEI (2010), CCC analysis
Note(s):
MtCO2 1990
Residential 79.75
non-residential 25.07
Industry 114.24
Refineries & other energy supply 38.62
Electricity- residential 72.62
Electricity - non-residential 57.03
Electricity - industry 70.41
other GHG 340.99
Indicative 2050 CO2
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
900
800
700
600
500
MtCO2e
400
300
200
100
100
0
1990
Back to contents
2020
2008 (assuming recommended implementation of measures)
80.70 58.43
21.83 13.37
88.01 82.02
36.63 34.51
62.81 36.20
53.40 32.43
52.35 40.01
273.88 229.96
2008 2020
(assuming recommended implementation of measures)
2050 (Target and indicative split)
63.4
55.0
41.0
Indicative 2050 International aviation an
Indicative 2050 Non
Indicative 2050 CO2
other GHG
Refineries & other energy supply
Electricity - industry
Industry
Electricity - non
non-residential
Electricity- residential
Residential
2050 (Target and indicative split)
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 CO2
other GHG
Refineries & other energy supply
Electricity - industry
Electricity - non-residential
residential
Electricity- residential
Residential
Figure 5.5: CCC reference projection for buildings (2008 - 2030) Back to contents
Source: CCC modelling; DECC (2010)
Note(s): Direct emissions only. This reference projection assumes recommended implementation of measures in CCC's Extended Ambition sce
MtCO2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Residential 80.70 75.25 76.11 74.88 73.12
Non-residential 21.83 17.66 18.57 19.17 19.34
120.00
Budget 1 Budget 2
100.00
80.00
MtCO2
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ntation of measures in CCC's Extended Ambition scenario.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
70.75 68.35 65.82 64.10 62.61 61.38 60.02 58.43 58.84
19.37 19.37 19.00 18.44 17.70 16.62 15.14 13.37 13.50
Budget 2 Budget 3 Budget 4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
59.42 59.95 60.40 60.84 61.23 61.39 61.72 62.15 62.53
13.62 13.71 13.81 13.91 14.01 14.11 14.21 14.30 14.39
Non-residential
Residential
2027 2028 2029 2030
Figure 5.6: CCC reference projection for industry, refineries and other energy supply (2008 - 2030)
Source: CCC modelling; DECC (2010)
Note(s): Direct emissions only. This reference projection assumes recommended implementation of measures in CCC's Extended Ambition sce
MtCO2 2008 2009 2010
Industry 88.01 79 78
Refineries 15.22 17 17
Other energy supply 21.41 20 19
140.00
Budget 1
120.00
100.00
80.00
MtCO2
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
2008 2009 2010
Back to contents
entation of measures in CCC's Extended Ambition scenario.
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
78 78 78 80 81 81 82 82 82
17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18
19 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17
Budget 1 Budget 2 Budget 3
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
82.02 83 83 83 83 83 83 84 84
18.15 19 19 20 21 21 21 21 21
16.36 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15
Budget 4
Other energy supply
Refineries
Industry
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
2029 2030
84 84.44
21 21.47
15 14.92
Figure b5.7: Abatement costs of low-carbon heat technologies
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Note(s):
£/tCO2 ASHP Air to air
maximum 29
average -18
minimum -58
150
100
50
0
£/tCO2
ASHP Air to air ASHP Air To water ASHP Air To water Biogas
storage
-50
-100
-150
-200
Back to contents
ASHP Air To water ASHP Air To water storage Biogas Biomass boilers
103 23 85 69
28 -3 56 18
-66 -45 25 -155
maximum
Biogas Biomass boilers GSHP GSHP storage average
minimum
GSHP GSHP storage
74 106
7 -3
-81 -49
Figure 5.7: Heat demand in different housing stock segments in the Medium scenario (2008 - 2030)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Note(s):
TWh 2010 2011 2012
New build 0 2 4
Post-1990 38 37 37
Pre-1990 183 180 175
Solid walls 132 130 128
400
350
300
250
TWh
200
150
100
50
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Back to contents
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
7 8 14 10 12 16 18 19 21
36 36 35 36 35 35 35 35 35
169 164 157 159 158 157 156 156 156
126 124 119 122 120 116 114 111 110
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
23 24 26 28 29 31 32 34 36
35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
155 155 155 154 154 154 153 153 153
108 107 106 104 103 102 101 100 98
New build
Post-1990
Solid walls
Pre-1990
2030
Figure 5.8: Remaining building fabric energy efficiency potential (2020) Back to contents
Source: CCC modelling
Note(s):
MtCO2
Cavity wall insulation 0.5
Solid wall insulation 9.8
Loft insulation 0.6
Floor insulation 2.1
Door insulation 1.1
Glazing 5.5
Other 1.7
Cavity wall insulation
Total emissions: 21 MtCO2 2%
Other
8%
Glazing
26%
Solid wall insulation
46%
Door insulation
5% Floor insulation
10%
Loft insulation
3%
Figure 5.9: CO2 abatement from renewable heat technologies in Low, Medium and High scenarios (2030)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Note(s):
MtCO2 ASHP ATA ASHP ATW
2.731006
Low abatement scenario 3.234011
4.212894 8.980773
Medium abatement scenario
4.37
High abatement scenario 11.46
50
45
40
35
30
MtCO2
25
20
15
10
5
0
Low abatement scenario
nd High scenarios (2030) Back to contents
Biomass GSHP
ASHP ATW storage boilers Solar
GSHP storage thermalDH Biogas
1.607326 2.233399 3.755289 3.940403 0.827329 1.336549 5.359559972
1.692021 3.978859 7.146236 3.518431 0.827329 1.336549 5.359559972
1.59 5.59 6.72 3.41 0.83 4.966477 8.51379545
Medium abatement scenario High abatement scenario
Biogas
DH
Solar thermal
GSHP storage
GSHP
Biomass boilers
ASHP ATW storage
ASHP ATW
ASHP ATA
abatement scenario
Figure 5.10: CO2 abatement from renewable space heating technologies in the Medium scenario by sector (2020 and 2030)
Source: CCC modelling; NERA (2010)
Note(s):
MtCO2 ASHP ATA ASHP ATW ASHP ATW storage Biogas
Residential 2020 0 1.1051002 0 1.35
Residential 2030 0 8.9807734 0 4.0852052
1.6487366
Non-residential 2020 0 0 0.40
4.2128942
Non-residential 2030 0 1.692021468 1.2743548
25
20
15
MtCO2
10
5
0
Residential 2020 Residential 2030
sector (2020 and 2030) Back to contents
DH
Biomass boilers GSHP S
GSHP storageolar thermal
0.1585172 0.3799878 1.3050154 0 0.6223595
1.9270353 0.6682746 4.4602825 0.3099271 0.6223595
1.887508 0.3799878 1.626165 0 0.2049692
2.0518242 0.6682746 2.6859534 3.2085041 0.2049692
Non-residential 2020 Non-residential 2030
Solar thermal
GSHP storage
GSHP
DH
Biomass boilers
Biogas
ASHP ATW storage
ASHP ATW
ASHP ATA
residential 2030
Figure 5.11: Medium scenario for residential and non-residential buildings (2008, 2020 and 2030)
Source: CCC modelling
Note(s): Direct emissions only.
Residential Remaining emissions Abatement from renewable heat
2008 80.70 -
2020 58.43 5.01
2030 41.4371 24.75
Non-residential
2008 21.83 -
2020 13.37 6.93
2030 4.1615 17.16
Back to contents
Abatement from efficiency
-
90.00
8.37
10.02
80.00
-
5.01
5.01
70.00
60.00
50.00
MtCO2
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
-
2008
Residential
Non-residential
2008 2020 2030 2008 2020 2030
Abatement from efficiency
Abatement from renewable heat
Remaining emissions
2030
Figure 5.12: Energy consumption, carbon intensity and CO2 emissions from buildings (1990-2030) Back to contents Back to contents
Source: CCC modelling
Note(s): Non-residential includes public and commerical sector emissions.
Fuel demand - twh 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Residential (electricity) 93.8 98 99 100 101 102 108 104 109 110 112 115 115 116 116 126 124 123 125.81 122.54 113.49 110.78 109.30 108.90 108.82 108.84 109.07 109.06 109.34 109.40 109.45 111.22 113.44 115.88 118.61 121.87 126.02 132.04 137.41 140.86 144.18
Residential (non-electricity) 380.2 423 413 429 410 394 452 416 427 426 433 445 432 439 450 430 417 399 409.20 383.81 391.04 385.39 376.77 364.93 352.96 340.68 332.85 326.66 322.66 318.62 314.39 314.20 313.35 312.82 309.52 304.91 299.68 291.17 283.04 275.53 267.87
Non-residential (electricity) 69 80 78 81 81 84 88 81 86 89 90 93 94 95 95 94 94 93 93.61 89.26 90.72 92.70 93.85 94.91 95.69 96.24 96.60 96.93 97.32 97.70 98.06 98.84 99.57 100.26 100.92 101.53 102.13 102.70 103.26 103.78 104.27
Non-residential (non-electricity) 139 147 150 145 143 147 152 153 148 143 145 149 122 122 129 130 118 112 111.24 103.51 107.48 110.36 111.01 111.11 110.60 108.89 106.36 102.80 98.03 92.12 85.10 81.58 78.02 74.02 70.36 66.81 62.89 59.24 55.51 51.78 48.00
Emissions intensity (KgCO2 per KWh) electricity 0.77 0.75 0.70 0.62 0.61 0.58 0.57 0.52 0.53 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.56 0.54 0.55 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.42 0.42 0.38 0.34 0.33 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.16 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.06 0.04
Non-electricity (residential) 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15
Non-electricity (non-residential) 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09
Emissions
Residential (non-electricity) 79.75 88.38 85.84 89.78 85.44 81.12 92.24 85.19 87.18 86.29 86.95 89.15 85.92 86.83 88.37 84.67 81.54 78.20 80.70 75.25 76.11 74.88 73.12 70.75 68.35 65.82 64.10 62.61 61.38 60.02 58.43 57.84 57.30 55.78 54.70 53.31 50.73 48.46 46.17 43.87 41.4371
Residential (electricity) 72.62 73.60 69.88 62.33 61.52 59.36 59.99 52.85 56.67 53.34 57.12 61.39 59.51 62.11 62.01 61.61 64.78 62.64 62.81 60.74 56.52 55.95 54.32 52.16 50.06 49.20 46.03 45.92 41.66 37.63 36.20 32.92 29.64 26.25 22.75 19.15 16.88 14.63 12.05 9.09 5.97
Non-residential (non-electricity) 25.07 27.82 27.28 26.79 26.17 26.30 28.33 26.23 25.72 26.08 25.44 26.06 22.02 22.64 23.17 22.52 21.30 20.58 21.83 17.66 18.57 19.17 19.34 19.37 19.37 19.00 18.44 17.70 16.62 15.14 13.37 12.54 11.71 10.58 9.71 8.86 7.74 6.86 5.96 5.07 4.1615
Non-residential (electricity) 57.03 57.75 56.45 50.45 48.81 48.55 48.48 46.40 46.64 44.63 48.17 51.47 50.31 52.85 52.61 52.44 55.29 54.01 53.40 44.25 45.18 46.81 46.65 45.46 44.02 43.50 40.77 40.81 37.08 33.61 32.43 29.26 26.02 22.72 19.36 15.95 13.68 11.38 9.05 6.70 4.32
900.0
300.00
800.0
700.0 250.00
Non-residential (electricity)
600.0
Non-residential (non-electricity)
200.00
Residential (electricity)
500.0
Residential (non-electricity)
TWh
Non-residential
MtCO2
150.00
400.0 (electricity)
Non-residential (non-
300.0 electricity)
100.00
Residential (electricity)
200.0
Residential (non-
electricity) 50.00
100.0
0.0 0.00
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
0.90
Emissions intensity (KgCO2 per KWh) electricity
0.80
Non-electricity (residential)
0.70
0.60 Non-electricity (non-residential)
Kg CO2 per KWh
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
Figure 5.13: Buildings emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2030, 2050) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010), CCC analysis
Note(s):
2020
(Extended
Ambition
MtCO2 1990 2008 scenario)
Residential 79.75 80.70 58.43
Non-residential 25.07 21.83 13.37
Electricity - residential 72.62 62.81 36.20
Electricity - non-residential 57.03 53.40 32.43
Other GHG 564.26 450.88 386.50
Indicative 2050 CO2
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
900.00
800.00
700.00
600.00
500.00
MtCO2e
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
1990 2008 2020
(Extended Ambition scenario)
Back to contents
2030
(Medium
Abatement
scenario) 2050 (Target and indicative split)
41.67
4.1615
5.97
4.32
290.73
63.42
54.99
41.00
Indicative 2050 International aviation and s
Indicative 2050 Non
Indicative 2050 CO2
Other GHG
Electricity - non-residential
Non-residential
Electricity - residential
Residential
2020 2030 (Medium Abatement scenario) 2050 (Target and indicative split)
(Extended Ambition scenario)
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 CO2
non-residential
residential
residential
Figure 5.14: Industry emissions by sector (2020) Back to contents
Source: CCC modelling
Note(s):
Iron & steel and non ferrous metals direct
indirect (electricity)
Minerals direct
indirect (electricity)
Chemicals direct
indirect (electricity)
Food, drink and tobacco direct
indirect (electricity)
Construction direct
indirect (electricity)
Vehicle engineering direct
indirect (electricity)
Refineries
Other energy supply
Other direct
indirect (electricity)
2020 CO2 emissions: 157 MtCO2
Other indirect
(electricity)
5%
Other direct
12%
Other energy supply
10%
Refineries
12%
Vehicle engineering
indirect (electricity)
6%
Vehicle engineering
direct
5%
12.99
2.82
12.85
3.09
12.52
6.77
9.39
3.54
7.47
7.09
7.65
8.79
18.15
16.36
19.14
7.92
Other indirect Iron & steel and non ferrous metals
(electricity) indirect (electricity)
5% Iron & steel and non ferrous metals 2%
direct
8%
Minerals direct
8%
Minerals indirect (electricity)
2%
Chemicals direct
8%
Chemicals indirect (electricity)
4%
Food, drink and tobacco direct
6%
Construction direct Food, drink and tobacco indirect
Construction (electricity)
Vehicle engineering 5%
indirect 2%
direct (electricity)
5% 5%
nerals indirect (electricity)
Figure 5.15: Industry emissions by use in reference case (2030) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010); DECC (2010); CCC calculations.
Note(s):
MtCO2
High and low grade heat 40.00
Space heat 6.60
Refineries 21.47
Indirect emissions (electricity) 28
Other energy supply 14.92
Process 16.13
Other 21.71
2030 CO2 emissions: 149 MtCO2
Other
15%
High and low grade heat
27%
Process
11%
Space heat
Other energy supply 4%
10%
Refineries
14%
Indirect emissions (electricity)
19%
Figure 5.16: Emissions from refineries and other energy supply by end use (2008) Back to contents
Source: NAEI (2010); CCC calculations.
Note(s):
MtCO2
Residential 2.17
Non-residential 0.39
Industry 4.03
Road transport 14.25
Other transport 1.55
Agriculture and land use change 0.45
Exports 14.06
Non-residential
Total emissions: 37 MtCO2 1%
Residential
6%
Industry
11%
Exports
38%
Road transport
39%
Agriculture and land use
change
1% Other transport
4%
Figure 5.17: Marginal abatement cost curve for carbon intensive UK industry Medium Abatement scenario (2030) Back to contents
Source: CCC modelling; AEA (2010)
Note(s): Renewable heat and short payback energy effciency measures are addtional. For a full list of technologies see supporting data on the CCC website.
Cumulative Abatement at 2030 (MtCO2) Abatement Cost (£/tCO2)
cement Belite Aluminate Clinker System 0.212225255 -4.017281275
refineries Separation Technologies 0.216750563 12.71333682
iron & steel EAF - Increased Recycling 4.753000626 22.0313581
CCS Ammonium A CCS 0.49190648 32.22
iron & steel Incremental Imp 0.05273908 32.32138562
cement Clinker Substitution 1.426531487 34.10587385
CCS Ammonium B CCS 0.596551182 34.90
CCS Hydrogen B CCS 0.231604817 44.64
CCS Iron and Steel A CCS 3.688368731 47.31
glass Pre-heating of Cullet 0.016145108 81.87820883
refineries Whole Refinery Optimisation 3.490410369 95.55661187
refineries Reduced Fouling 0.22993201 108.2393365
food & drink Membrane Technology 0.186329406 114.3726543
food & drink LT Heat Recovery 0.057535127 123.4768101
food & drink HT Heat Recovery 0.095891878 133.2225125
glass Submerged Combustion 0.006310831 139.5150446
glass Waste Heat Recovery 0.031526421 146.719649
glass Oscillating Combustion 0.035467223 146.719649
glass Batch Reformulation 0.037864984 146.719649
glass Batch Consolidation 0.056797476 153.9242535
iron & steel EAF - Incremental Imp 0.003902532 160.2895398
chemicals Improved Distillation 0.394674086 189.878697
chemicals Bio processing 0.328895071 286.7445462
cement 0.003089889
Install ORC to recover waste heat from clinker cooler 289.0389981
iron & steel EAF - Continous Charging 0.006457286 335.5374554
chemicals Chlor Alkali 0.108561893 357.3959606
iron & steel EAF - Endless Strip 0.011776607 358.285709
Figure 5.18: Medium Abatement scenario in industry (2008, 2020 and 2030)
Source: CCC modelling
Note(s): Direct emissions only. Industry includes refineries and other energy supply
MtCO2 Remaining emissions Renewable heat
2008 124.65 0.0
2020 116.52 5.7
2030 90.18 19.57
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
MtCO2
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
2008
Back to contents
Options industry
Conventional energy efficiency within carbon-intensive Refineries CCS
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
4.26 7.79 3.94 5.01
CCS
Refineries
Options within carbon-intensive industry
Conventional energy efficiency
Renewable heat
Remaining emissions
2020 2030
Figure 5.19: Industry emissions in the context of UK greenhouse gas emissions (1990-2030, 2050)
Source: (NAEI 2010), CCC analysis.
Note(s):
2020
(Extended
Ambition
MtCO2 1990 2008 scenario)
Industry 114.24 88.01 82.02
Industry electricity 70.41 52.35 40.01
Refineries and other energy supply 38.62 36.63 34.51
Other GHG 575.46 492.62 370.40
Indicative 2050 CO2
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
900.00
800.00
700.00
600.00
500.00
MtCO2e
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1990 2008
Back to contents
2030
(Medium
Abatement
scenario) 2050 (Target and indicative split)
57.72
6.01
32.46
250.66
63.42
54.99
41.00
2008 2020 2030 (Medium Abatement scenario) 2050 (Target and indicative split)
(Extended Ambition scenario)
Indicative 2050 International aviation and shipping
Indicative 2050 Non-CO2
Indicative 2050 CO2
Other GHG
Refineries and other energy supply
Industry electricity
Industry
50 (Target and indicative split)
