WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM – EARLY LUNG CANCER DETECTION PROGRAM
Occupational lung carcinogens among DOE workers:
• • • • • • • Uranium Asbestos Beryllium Nickel Silica Transuranics Cigarette smoking
Current Lung Cancer Statistics • Leading cause of cancer death for both men and women
• Deaths from lung cancer (estimated, 2002)
World United States 1.18 million 160,000
CA 53:1-2003 Globoscan, IARC
Lung cancer: Diagnosis and Survival
1. 2.
Current stage at diagnosis – localized disease 15% No change in five year survival of lung cancer in 30 years:
• • 1975 - 1977 – 13% five year survival 1996 - 2002 – 16% five year survival
3.
Five year survival of Stage I lung cancer: 70%-80%
Comparison of Survival Rates, Major Cancer Sites* 1975-1977 vs. 1984-1986 vs. 1996-2002
100
1975-1977
90
1984-1986
1996-2002
100
89
80
Five Year Survival Rate (%)
79
70 60
75 69 65 59
76
50 40 30 20 10 0 Breast
51
13
13
16
Colon
Prostate
Lung
Type of Cancer
*Jemal A, Siegel R, Ward E, Murray T, Xu J, Thun MJ. Cancer Statistics, 2007. CA Cancer J Clin 2007;2007 57; 43-66
Estimated Cancer Deaths, U.S., 2007 Men
89, 510 Prostate 27, 050 Colon/Rectum 26, 000 Pancreas 16, 840 Leukemia 12, 320
Lung
Women
Lung 70, 880 Breast 40,460 Colon/Rectum 26,180
82,210 66,640
Total Lung Cancer Deaths
= 160,390
Total “Other Cancer” Deaths = 148,850
Average age of people with lung cancer: 60
Screening, Leading Causes of Cancer Deaths, U.S. (> 30,000 deaths/year) Is screening available? Yes Lung Colon/Rectum Breast Prostate Pancreas No
USW/Queens College
Worker Health Protection Program Early Lung Cancer Detection Program
CT Scanner Mobile Unit
Low-Dose High-Resolution CT Scanner
Visit of former Assistant DOE Secretary John Shaw to ELCD CT scanner Oak Ridge, TN April 15, 2005
Early Lung Cancer Detection Unit, ORNL/Y-12 Oak Ridge, TN
Early Lung Cancer Detection Unit, ORNL/Y-12 Oak Ridge, TN
Early Lung Cancer Detection Ribbon-cutting Ceremony August 16, 2006 Oak Ridge, TN
Early Lung Cancer Detection Ribbon-cutting Ceremony August 16, 2006 Oak Ridge, TN
GDP ELCD Eligibility Criteria ANY AGE
SCARRING OF LUNG or PLEURA RELATED TO ASBESTOS/SILICA
45 – 49 YEARS OLD
SMOKED FOR > 20 YEARS AND QUIT 15 YEARS AGO OR LESS
> 50 YEARS OLD
SMOKED FOR > 10 YEARS AND QUIT 15 YEARS AGO OR LESS
AND/ OR
AND/ OR
AT LEAST ONE POSITIVE Be LPT
DOE PROD., MAINT. OR LAB WORKER >5 YEARS
(EXPOSURE BEGAN PRIOR TO 1986)
DOE PROD., MAINT. OR LAB WORKER >5 YEARS
AND
AND
AND
% PREDICTED FEV1 >40%, NO CA UNDER ACTIVE OBSERVATION
% PREDICTED FEV1 >40%, NO CA UNDER ACTIVE OBSERVATION
% PREDICTED FEV1 >40%, NO CA UNDER ACTIVE OBSERVATION
Current ATLC ELCD Eligibility Criteria
≥
45-85 YEARS OLD
≥
50-85 YEARS OLD
SCARRING OF LUNG OR PLEURA RELATED TO ASBESTOS/SILICA
SMOKING HISTORY OF AT LEAST 10 PACK-YEARS AND QUIT 20 YEARS AGO OR LESS
AND/ OR
AT LEAST ONE POSITIVE Be LPT
DOE PROD., MAINT. OR LAB WORKER ≥ 2 YEARS
(EXPOSURE BEGAN PRIOR TO 1992)
AND % PREDICTED FEV1 >40%, NO CA UNDER ACTIVE OBSERVATION
AND % PREDICTED FEV1 >40%, NO CA UNDER ACTIVE OBSERVATION
ELCD Productivity at GDP’s November 2000 – July 2006
# people with Initial Scans # people with Incidence Scans # scans total # CT scanner coach trips # miles on CT scanner coach 6,224 3,116 16,807 139 50,029
Helical CT Scan for Lung Cancer Screening Elements
1. 2. 3. Low dose full chest helical CT scan Suspicious nodules sent for diagnosis and treatment High resolution follow-up scan of indeterminate nodules at 3 or 6 months Repeat low dose full chest helical CT scan at periodic intervals (eg – 12 or 18 months)
4.
Full CT Scan Protocol for Participants with Indeterminate Nodules Initial Scan
• 3 or 6 month scan
Incidence Scan (12-18 months)
• Follow-up scans for new nodules
Stage of Lung Cancers Detected Through the Early Lung Cancer Detection Program, Gaseous Diffusion Plant Workers
Stage I Stage II Limited stage: small cell carcinoma Stage III or IV TOTAL
26 6 4 9 45
58% 13% 9% 20% 100%
Early Lung Cancer Detection Program, Gaseous Diffusion Plant Workers
(November 1st, 2000 – July 31st , 2006)
Number of People Scanned Total Lung Cancers Detected Number of Lung Ca Detected at Stage I, Stage II or Limited Small Cell Cancer 7 (88%)
Site
Paducah, Kentucky Portsmouth, Ohio Oak Ridge, Tennessee
1,738
8
2,048
18
14 (78%)
2,438
19
15 (79%)
TOTAL
6,224
45
36 (80%)
Early Lung Cancer Detection Program, Gaseous Diffusion Plant Workers
(November 1st, 2000 – July 31st , 2006) Number of People Initially Scanned
1,738
Site
Number of People Who Received Incidence Scan
911
Number of Follow-up CT Scans Completed
1,983
Total Number of Scans Completed
4,632
PAD POR OAK TOTAL
2,048
1,031
2,550
5,629
2,438 6,224
1,174 3,116
2,934 7,467
6,546 16,807
Early Lung Cancer Detection Program, Gaseous Diffusion Plant Workers
(November 1st, 2000 – July 31st , 2006) Number of Lung Cancers Detected on Initial vs. Follow-up Scan(s)
Number of Initial Scans Number of Lung Cancers on Initial Scan or f/u Scan Number of Incidence Scans 911 Number of Lung Cancers on Incidence Scan or f/u Scan Total Lung Cancers
PAD POR OAK TOTAL
1,738
5 12 16 33
3 6 3 12
8 18 19 45
2,048
1,031
2,438 6,224
1,174 3,116
USW/QUEENS COLLEGE WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM
R.C. 61 year old man, ex-smoker, 40 years K-25 chemical operator, 5 years
7/99 WHPP Chest x-ray Negative
7/00
PMD CT scan, chest
Negative
6/01
PMD Chest x-ray
Negative
10/01
WHPP low-dose helical CT Scan
1.7 cm x 1.4 cm nodule,RUL
11/01
R.C. undergoes right lobectomy
Stage 1A lung cancer
R.C. – 1.6 cm RUL mass
USW/QUEENS COLLEGE WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM
M.W. 57 year old woman, smoker, 40 years K-25, Y-12 controller, 26 years
5/01 12/01 1/02 WHPP Chest x-ray WHPP low-dose helical CT Scan WHPP conventional dose thin section CT scan PET scan Surgery; left upper lobectomy Negative 1.2 x 0.8 cm mass, LUL 1.3 x 1.0 cm mass; “relatively suspicious appearing” Positive; no metastases Negative lymph nodes; “no need for chemotherapy or radiotherapy”
1/02 1/02
M.W.
M.W., RO, Mass, Left Upper Chest
USW/QUEENS COLLEGE WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM
J.W. 68 year old man, ex-smoker, 50 years Paducah GDP Cascade Operator, 35 years
7/99 5/01 8/01 10/01
WHPP Chest x-ray WHPP low-dose helical CT Scan WHPP 3 month CT scan Surgery; Right lower lobectomy
Negative 0.9 x 0.9 cm mass 1.4x 1.4 cm mass; Negative lymph nodes; “no chemo or radiation needed”
J.W., Initial WHPP CT Scan, May 2001
J.W., Initial WHPP CT Scan, May 2001
J.W., 3 Month WHPP CT Scan, August 2001
J.W., 3 Month WHPP CT Scan, August 2001
Early Lung Cancer Detection Program Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Y-12 Workers
August 8, 2006 to January 31, 2008
Site
Number of People Who Received Baseline Scan
408
Number of People Who Received Annual Scan
215
Number of Follow-up CT Scans Completed
148
Total Number of Scans Completed
771
ORNL Y-12 TOTAL
1305 1713
499 714
432 580
2236 3007
Early Lung Cancer Detection Program Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Y-12 Workers
August 8, 2006 to January 31, 2008
Site
Number of People Who Received Baseline Scan
408
Number of People with Suspicious Nodules
8
Number of Lung Cancer Cases
2
Number of Early Lung Cancers*
0 of 6
ORNL Y-12 TOTAL
1305
13
4
4 of 6
1713
21
6
4 of 6
*Early cancer is defined as Stage I or II non-small cell, or limited small cell.
Stage of Lung Cancers Detected Through the Early Lung Cancer Detection Program ORNL and Y-12 Workers
August 6th, 2006 to January 31, 2008
Stage I Stage II Limited stage: small cell carcinoma Stage III or IV TOTAL
4 0 0 2 6
67 % 0% 0% 33% 100%
ATLC/QUEENS COLLEGE WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM
J.H.W., 74 year old man pipefitter for 24 years, Y-12 exposed to radiation, asbestos, beryllium
ex-smoker, quit in 1980
September 2005 WHPP Chest x-ray Limited pleural scarring; heart surgery 1.8 cm suspicious nodule; pleural plaques Positive Stage I lung cancer
October 2006
WHPP CT Scan
November 2006 January 2007
PET Scan Surgery; one lung lobe removed
J.H.W., Baseline WHPP CT Scan, October 2006 1.4 cm mass in right upper lung
J.H.W., WHPP X-Ray, September 2005
ATLC/QUEENS COLLEGE WORKER HEALTH PROTECTION PROGRAM
I.H., 72 year old man utilities worker for 45 years, Y-12 exposed to radiation, asbestos, beryllium current smoker, 52 years
September 2005 October 2006 November 2006
WHPP Chest x-ray WHPP CT Scan Surgery; one lung lobe removed
Emphysema 1.4 cm suspicious nodule Stage I lung cancer
I.H., Baseline WHPP CT Scan, September 2005 1.4 cm mass in right upper lung
I.H., WHPP X-Ray, September 2005
Longitudinal Follow-up of Indeterminate Nodules Identified at Baseline
• 764 participants with at least one indeterminate nodule (11/00 – 3/03) 751 (98.3%) participants with 12 month follow-up
(95.9% with 12 month CT scan follow-up)
•
•
3 of the 751 people (0.39%) subsequently developed a lung cancer during the 12 month follow-up. All 3 > 5 mm in size at baseline. All 3 lung cancers were Stage I disease.
•
Conclusions
1. Helical CT screening can detect early stage lung cancers in a real world setting. Occupational cohorts with exposure to lung carcinogens allow a coherent and feasible method to enroll highly motivated people in rational screening programs. Indeterminate lung nodules are uncommonly malignant and can be managed with limited interval CT scanning.
2.
3.
Conclusions (continued)
4. Radiologists can designate nodules that are suspicious for lung cancer with a high degree of sensitivity and specificity. Radiation exposure of low dose CT scanning and follow-up scans is limited. Problem of false positives in low dose helical CT scanning is limited and, in combination with PET scanning, can be rationally managed.
5.
6.
Helical CT Scanning for Early Lung Cancer Detection
Risks and Benefits Risks: 1. 2. 3. 4.
Radiation exposure Anxiety Costs Unnecessary surgery
Benefits: May reduce lung cancer mortality
ELCD: Estimated radiation dose
Initial and incidence low dose full chest CT scans: 125 mrem for men 150 mrem for women Thin section interval CT scans: 20 mrem per nodule examined
Helical CT Scanning for Early Lung Cancer Detection
Risks and Benefits Risks: 1. 2. 3. 4.
Radiation exposure Anxiety Costs Unnecessary surgery
Benefits: May reduce lung cancer mortality
USW/Queens College Worker Health Protection Program Costs
ELCD Program costs, 2000-2004:$6.4 million Cost per scan: Cost per person: Cost per lung cancer: $525 $1,300 $194,000
Ten Year Survival for 484 Participants of Early Lung Cancer Action Program with Lung Cancer Detected on Screening CT Scan.