Georgia Yesterday_ Today _ Tomorrow

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							           Georgia
Yesterday, Today & Tomorrow


   Workforce Information & Analysis
    Georgia Department of Labor
The Workforce
                           Total Population
                               Georgia
            9.5                                                      8.19
            8.5
            7.5                                              6.48
            6.5                                       5.46
                                               4.59
Millions




            5.5
                                        3.94
            4.5    2.91   3.12   3.44
            3.5
            2.5
            1.5
            0.5
           -0.5
                  1930    1940 1950     1960 1970 1980       1990 2000
                                          Year


                                                                    Bureau of the Census
       Live Births Per 1,000 Females - Georgia
                         Rate
             27.5%

             25.0%

             22.5%
Birth Rate




             20.0%

             17.5%

             15.0%

             12.5%
                     60   65        70       75       80       85        90       95
                                                   Year


                               Georgia Department of Human Resources, Division of Physical Health
                          Live Births - Georgia

           130,000
           120,000
           110,000
           100,000
# Births




            90,000
            80,000
            70,000
            60,000
            50,000
                     60   65      70      75       80       85       90       95
                                                Year


                           Georgia Department of Human Resources, Division of Physical Health
Components of Population Growth
    Georgia - 1950 to 1960




                        Natural
                        increase
                        100.0%


                               Bureau of the Census
    Components of Population Growth
        Georgia - 1970 to 1980

Net Migration
    50.0%




                                  Natural
                                  increase
                                   50.0%



                                Bureau of the Census
     Components of Population Growth
         Georgia - 1990 to 1999

                                   Natural
                                   increase
                                    40.6%

Domestic
migration
 51.3%



                            International
                              migration
                                8.1%


                                     Bureau of the Census
          Population Trend by County
             Georgia: 1980 - 1990




Lost Population
0 - 33%
34% - 66%
67% - 100%
> 100%
          Population Trend by County
             Georgia: 1990 - 2000




Lost Population
0 - 33%
34% - 66%
67% - 100%
> 100%
          Urban and Rural Population in GA
                    1900 - 1990
Percent
 100%
  90%
  80%                                                   36.8%
                                       44.7%
  70%
  60%                 78.7%
  50%                                                   63.2%
             84.4%
  40%
  30%                                  55.3%
  20%
  10%       15.6%     21.3%
   0%
             1900     1930             1960             1990

                         Urban       Rural
                              Year
                                               Georgia Department of Labor
                   Labor Force - Georgia
                       1970 - 2000
 Thousands
4500

4000

3500

3000

2500

2000

1500
  70

       72

             74

                  76

                       78

                            80

                                 82

                                      84

                                           86

                                                88

                                                     90

                                                          92

                                                               94

                                                                    96

                                                                         98

                                                                               00
                                                                              20
                                      Year                 Georgia Department of Labor
                     Labor Force - Georgia
                         1990 - 2000
 Thousands
4,500

4,250                                                     4.2 million

4,000

3,750

3,500

3,250
             3.3 million
3,000

2,750
        90      91   92    93   94      95   96   97      98     99    2000

                                     Year              Georgia Department of Labor
              Total Unemployment Rate
                      Georgia

       8.0%
                            7.0%
       7.0%
                                   5.8%
       6.0%   5.5%
                     5.0%                 5.2%
                                                 4.9%
                                                        4.6% 4.5%
       5.0%
Rate




                                                                    4.2% 4.0%
                                                                                3.7%
       4.0%
       3.0%
       2.0%
       1.0%
              90     91     92     93     94     95     96   97     98   99 2000
                                               Year


                                                                    Georgia Department of Labor
              Total Unemployment Rate
                Georgia, 1970 - 2000


       8.0%   8.6%         7.8%
                                           7.0%
Rate




       5.5%


                                                             3.7%
       3.0%
         70
         72
              74
              76
                     78
                     80
                          82
                          84
                               86
                               88
                                      90
                                      92
                                           94
                                           96
                                                     98
                                                    00
                                                  20
                               Year


                                       Georgia Department of Labor
                   Unemployment Rate
                     Southeast 2000
  Annual Average
7.0%
                                        5.7%
6.0%
       4.6%
5.0%
                               4.1%
                                                         3.9%    3.9%
              3.6%    3.7%                     3.6%
4.0%

3.0%

2.0%

1.0%
       AL     FL     Georgia   KY       MS     NC        SC      TN

                                State
                                                      US Department of Labor
                    Employment - Georgia
                        1990 - 2000
 Thousands
4,000                                            4,018,900


3,500



3,000

             2,991,800
2,500
        90     91   92   93   94      95   96   97       98     99      00

                                   Year              Georgia Department of Labor
 Employment Growth
    1988 - 1998

               Percent
Rank State     Growth
  1 Nevada      59
  2 Utah         42
  3 Arizona     40
  4 Idaho       38
  5 Colorado    35
  6 Washington  33
  7 Alaska      32
  8 Georgia     30
  Employment Growth
last six years (1994-2000)


                  Percent
Rank   State      Growth
  1    Nevada       39.4
  2    Arizona      32.9
  3    Colorado     26.1
  4    Utah         25.3
  5    Georgia      22.3
  Employment Growth
last six years (1994-2000)


                    Numeric
Rank   State        Growth*
  1    California    2,359.1
  2    Texas         1,693.4
  3    Florida       1,277.0
  4    New York        800.9
  5    Georgia         727.4




                               * Thousands
                                Industry Mix
                                Georgia - 1970

                 Government            Mining
                   19.10%                             Construction
                                       0.47%            5.16%

           Services
                                                                         Manufacturing
           11.71%
                                                                             30.00%




                FIRE                                                 TCPU
                5.02%          Trade                                 6.77%
                              21.78%


FIRE = Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
TCPU = Transportation, Communication & Public Utilities          Georgia Department of Labor
                                Industry Mix
                                Georgia - 1980


                                     Mining           Construction
                      Government     0.37%
                        13.46%                          5.42%
           Services
           19.07%                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                             24.81%



                                                                            TCPU
                                                                            7.31%
                    FIRE
                    5.41%    Retail trade                  Wholesale trade
                              16.58%                          7.57%


FIRE = Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
TCPU = Transportation, Communication & Public Utilities              Georgia Department of Labor
                                 Industry Mix
                                 Georgia - 1990


                                     Mining          Construction
                  Government         0.30%             4.90%
                    17.78%                                             Manufacturing
                                                                          18.78%

          Services
          21.18%                                                              TCPU
                                                                              6.69%


                                                                    Wholesale trade
                         FIRE                     Retail trade         7.19%
                         5.49%                     17.68%

FIRE = Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
TCPU = Transportation, Communication & Public Utilities             Georgia Department of Labor
                                   Industry Mix
                                   Georgia - 2000


                                      Mining         Construction
                      Government      0.20%            5.17%      Manufacturing
                        15.11%
                                                                         14.71%
                                                                               TCPU
                                                                               6.71%
           Services
          28.36%

                                                                         Wholesale trade
                                                                            6.50%
                                                          Retail trade
                                   FIRE
                                                           18.09%
                                   5.17%

FIRE = Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
TCPU = Transportation, Communication & Public Utilities           Georgia Department of Labor
                  Employment - Georgia
                      1990 - 2000
 Thousands
4,000


3,000

                            Service Producing
2,000


1,000

                            Goods Producing
   0
        90   91   92   93    94      95   96   97      98     99    2000

                                  Year              Georgia Department of Labor
Occupational Trends
                  Projected Industry Growth
                          1998 - 2008

    Agriculture                     13.0%
        Mining     0.01%
  Construction                              18.7%
Manufacturing        1.5%
         TCPU                                        27.4%
Wholesale trade                         16.1%
   Retail trade                                 22.7%
         FIRE                   10.0%
       Services                                                     39.2%
   Government                       12.0%
              0.0%          10.0%       20.0%       30.0%       40.0%        50.0%

                                      Percent Change
                                                             Georgia Department of Labor
                    Fastest Growing Occupations
                             1998 - 2008

    Computer scient.                                                               258.7%
  Sales reps, services                                 164.1%
 Computer engineers                                  156.7%
     System analysts                                 154.7%
       Health techns.                           137.1%
Sales agents,business.         77.0%
    Technical writers          75.3%
 Computer program.            73.5%
    Sales agents,advt.        73.1%
            Paralegal        69.6%
                    40.0%   80.0%      120.0%    160.0%   200.0%        240.0%      280.0%

                                        Percent Growth
                                                              Georgia Department of Labor
              Occupations with Most Openings
                        1998 - 2008

Gen. Mgrs. & Execs.                                                                  40,452
           Cashiers                                               32,249
        Retail Sales                           23,339
 Gen. Office Clerks                           22,732
   Systems Analysts                         22,079
Janitors & Cleaners                17,773
            Guards                 17,695
  Registered Nurses            15,516
   Sales Supervisor          14,446
 Reception, Inform.         13,772
                 10,000   15,000   20,000   25,000      30,000    35,000    40,000     45,000

                                        Numeric Growth
                                                                 Georgia Department of Labor
                            Declining Occupations
                                 1998 - 2008

  Sewing mach. oprs.         -7,076
 Textile mach. setters                     -4,628
          Bank tellers                                        -1,315
   Prod. insp.,graders                                          -1,033
  Telephone repairers                                              -804
 Computer operators                                                 -698
Mach.tool cutting ops.                                                -433
 Directory asst. oper.                                                 -414
Mail Mach. Operators                                                   -401
  Paste-Up Operators                                                    -365
                   -9,000         -7,000    -5,000   -3,000         -1,000

                                           # Jobs
                                                     Georgia Department of Labor
 Occupations with the Greatest Retiree
    Replacement Needs, 1998-2008
                             Annual   Annual         % Due To
               Occupation    Openings Replacements   Replacements
               Secretaries      2,690       1,415         52.6%
     Truck Drivers, Heavy       1772          729         41.1%
     Teachers, elementary       1,964         952         48.5%
      Janitors & Cleaners       3,080       1,303         42.3%
      Teachers, secondary       2,055         960         46.7%
        Registered Nurses       2,405         853         35.5%
Bookkeeping & Accounting        1,153         461         40.0%
 Administrators, education        533         261         49.0%
                 Farmers          184         122         66.3%
                   Average Weekly Wage
                   All Industries - Georgia
  Dollars

$700                                                                     $653
                                                                  $622
                                                           $592
$600                                                $558
                                             $529
                                      $506
                               $487
$500                 $468 $478
              $445
       $425

$400

$300

$200
       90     91     92   93   94     95     96     97     98     99     2000

                                    Year
                                                           Georgia Department of Labor
                   Average Annual Wage
              All Industries - Southeast 1999
    Dollars
$35,000                     $32,339
                                                          $29,453             $29,516
$30,000   $28,069 $28,911             $27,748                       $27,124
                                                $24,392
$25,000


$20,000


$15,000


$10,000
           AL     FL   Georgia        KY         MS       NC         SC        TN

                                       State
                                                               US Department of Labor
      Forces Shaping the Next Decade
Aging Baby Boomers Reach Retirement
     - “Brain Drain”
     - Incentives to continue work
     - Part-time and Flexible
     - No Penalty Pension Plans
     - Mentoring
                       The Age of Biotech Finally Arrives
                               - Longer life
                               - More Healthcare
                               - Higher costs?
The Second World Becomes a Force
     - Mexico, South America, Asia, India
     - Better Infrastructure
     - Further Decline in US Manufacturing

						
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