The New York TimesCBS News Poll N=981

For release in paper of October 3, 2003 The New York Times/CBS News Poll September 28-October 1, 2003 N=981 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? 2/10-12/01 CBS 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 5/10-12/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 8/28-31/01 CBS 9/11-12/01 CBS 9/13-14/01 9/20-23/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/5-6/02 CBS 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 4/1-2/02 CBS 4/28-5/1/02 5/13-14/02 CBS 5/19-20/02 CBS 6/18-20/02 CBS 7/8-9/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 7/22-23/02 CBS 8/6-7/02 CBS 9/2-5/02 9/22-23/02 CBS 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/4-6/03 CBS 1/19-22/03 2/5-6/03 CBS 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/15-16/03 CBS 3/17/03 CBS 3/20/03 PANEL 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 3/26-27/03 CBS 4/2-3/03 CBS 4/11-13/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 8/11-12/03 CBS 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 Approve 53 60 53 56 57 53 50 72 84 89 87 86 84 82 82 78 77 73 77 71 70 74 70 65 66 63 66 63 62 65 64 59 63 54 56 58 56 59 64 67 67 68 71 70 69 68 67 73 67 67 54 55 55 52 51 Disapprove 21 22 35 29 30 34 38 15 9 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 17 18 16 18 20 19 20 27 25 28 27 29 28 27 28 35 28 38 35 32 37 34 31 31 26 26 23 26 25 26 26 21 24 26 41 35 37 39 42 DK/NA 26 18 12 15 13 13 12 13 8 5 5 4 6 7 6 8 6 9 7 11 10 6 9 8 9 9 7 8 10 9 8 6 9 8 9 10 6 7 5 2 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 6 9 7 5 10 8 9 7 2 2. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? 1/83 1 6/83 NYT 1 11/83 NYT 1 9/85 1 1/91 3/91 10/91 11/94 CBS 12/95 NYT 9/96 9/96 CBS 12/96 NYT 3/97 2 6/97 2 8/97 3 1/98 2 1/98 4 2/98 10/98A 10/98B 5/00 3/8-12/01 4/23-25/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/24-27/02 7/13-16/02 7/22-23/02 CBS 8/6-7/02 CBS 9/2-5/02 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 2/10-12/03 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/20-22/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 Right direction 34 47 47 46 57 51 33 30 25 44 41 39 34 37 39 44 61 54 46 52 48 40 37 42 61 64 52 42 39 41 43 42 41 41 35 53 50 52 56 46 37 Wrong track 59 44 43 44 31 42 60 65 64 47 48 51 62 60 57 50 34 36 47 42 44 54 58 53 29 27 35 48 53 51 49 48 52 49 56 41 40 41 36 49 56 DK/NA 7 9 10 11 12 7 7 5 10 9 11 11 4 3 4 6 5 9 7 7 7 6 5 5 10 10 12 10 8 8 8 10 8 10 9 6 10 7 9 5 7 1 Question read: DO YOU FEEL THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION TODAY, OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 2 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL. Question read: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 3 ABC NEWS POLL. Question read: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 4 WASHINGTON POST POLL, CONDUCTED 1/28-31, AFTER THE LEWINSKY SCANDAL BROKE. 3 3. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country? PRIOR TO 4/03, QUESTION READ: WHAT DO YOU THINK IS THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FOR THE GOVERNMENT THAT IS, THE PRESIDENT AND CONGRESS -- TO ADDRESS IN THE COMING YEAR? 6/1418/01 12/710/01 1/2124/02 7/1316/02 10/36/02 1/1922/03 4/1113/03 5/912/03 7/13- 9/2827/03 10/1/03 9/00D* 10/00* 3/01 Health Care Social Security 13 12 9 8 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 7 11 5 4 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 - - Budget Deficit 4 Education Medicare/ Medicaid Taxes Economy Defense Poverty Crime Busns crptn Foreign Policy Jobs Abortion Moral Values 1 Welfare War Stock market 2 Politicians/ Government Heating oil Crisis Environment Big Government 2 Osama Bin Laden Terrorism general Other DK/NA 15 13 11 10 7 10 8 15 3 1 1 1 2 1 8 20 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 12 1 1 7 5 1 2 5 1 6 14 3 12 7 13 3 12 1 3 2 5 2 5 2 3 2 4 1 4 1 4 2 3 2 4 10 7 4 2 1 1 8 6 5 4 1 1 2 18 13 2 2 4 6 8 2 1 2 1 2 21 2 2 - 2 5 20 2 1 - 2 2 13 3 2 1 6 3 1 20 7 2 1 2 1 3 20 2 - 1 2 23 1 4 1 1 1 2 29 1 3 1 1 1 1 26 2 2 1 1 1 16 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 - 3 2 1 2 9 - 1 7 - 1 4 1 4 2 8 - 2 10 1 2 11 3 12 - 3 16 3 2 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 10 5 - 1 1 - 13 20 14 14 17 14 17 17 14 14 17 11 7 24 10 7 18 9 8 24 6 8 25 8 4 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling foreign policy? Approve 52 48 53 53 47 74 75 73 70 65 65 62 63 63 59 64 68 54 58 57 54 54 56 52 59 47 51 51 51 52 50 47 44 Disapprove 18 34 31 24 31 16 13 14 14 22 23 26 25 25 27 23 22 26 34 33 34 33 35 41 34 44 41 39 42 39 40 44 45 DK/NA 30 18 16 23 22 10 12 13 16 13 12 12 12 12 14 13 10 11 8 11 12 13 9 8 7 9 8 10 7 9 10 9 11 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 5/10-12/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/07-10/01 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 4/1-2/02 CBS 4/15-18/02 CBS 5/13-14-02 CBS 5/19-20/02 CBS 6/18-20/02 CBS 7/8-9/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 9/22-23/02 CBS 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/4-6/03 CBS 1/19-22/03 2/5-6/03 CBS 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 7/13-27/03 Total 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 5 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/15-16/03 CBS 3/17/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/20/03 PANEL 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 3/26-27/03 CBS 4/2-3/03 CBS 4/11-13/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 Approve 53 52 54 53 63 51 70 69 72 75 71 72 69 67 79 75 74 Disapprove 42 44 39 44 32 42 27 25 23 22 24 24 27 26 17 19 21 DK/NA 5 4 7 3 5 6 3 6 5 3 4 4 4 7 4 6 5 5/27-28/03 CBS 7/8-9/03 CBS 8/11-12/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 72 58 57 46 47 20 32 33 47 48 8 10 10 7 6 6 6. How about the economy? Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 5/10-12/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/5-6/02 CBS 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 5/13-14/02 CBS 6/18-20/02 CBS 7/8-9/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 7/22-23/02 CBS 8/6-7/02 CBS 9/2-5/02 9/22-23/02 CBS 10/3-6/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/4-6/03 CBS 1/19-22/03 2/5-6/03 CBS 2/10-12/03 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 4/11-13/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 8/11-12/03 CBS 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 Approve 55 47 44 46 50 64 61 59 57 56 54 52 56 56 52 44 45 47 49 41 46 45 42 44 44 38 40 41 40 48 46 53 51 50 46 42 43 40 36 39 41 37 Disapprove 28 40 39 37 38 25 26 29 31 33 37 38 36 35 37 45 44 42 41 46 43 45 46 49 49 53 50 49 52 40 45 38 37 40 41 45 48 52 52 53 52 56 DK/NA 17 13 17 17 12 11 13 12 12 11 9 10 8 9 11 11 11 11 10 13 12 10 12 7 7 10 10 10 8 12 9 9 12 10 13 13 9 8 12 8 7 7 7 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 8/74 CBS 48 35 17 3/75 32 50 18 11/75 28 54 18 7/77 31 49 20 10/77 31 50 19 1/78 29 50 20 4/78 31 50 19 6/78 30 53 17 9/78 29 51 20 6/79 19 61 20 8/80 32 51 18 10/82 33 50 17 4/83 1 33 43 24 9/87 1 42 49 9 1/90 42 47 11 8/90 40 44 16 10/90 27 60 13 10/90B 23 69 8 1/91 49 41 10 3/91 39 47 14 8/91 30 57 13 10/91A 27 57 16 1/92B 17 71 11 2/92B 21 67 12 3/92 17 75 7 7/92 20 71 9 3/93 35 52 13 5/93B 27 61 12 6/93A 27 60 13 8/93 CBS 21 68 11 9/93 23 64 13 11/93 25 63 12 12/93 CBS 27 60 13 1/94 30 58 13 9/94 25 63 12 11/94 20 73 7 1/95 CBS 35 44 21 2/95 36 51 13 4/95 30 60 11 5/95 CBS 33 55 12 8/95 31 56 13 10/95 32 55 13 12/95 26 64 10 1/96 31 60 9 2/96 22 70 8 3/96 CBS 26 64 10 4/96 23 66 11 6/96 19 71 10 6/96 NYT 29 61 9 7/96 27 58 15 3/96 32 55 13 Approve 4/97 32 5/97 CBS 42 7/97 CBS 34 1/97 CBS 36 12/97 33 1/98 44 1/98B 47 2/98 50 9/98 CBS 49 9/98B 56 9/98C 48 10/98 CBS 47 10/98 CBS 46 10/98A 43 10/98B 41 11/98 CBS 41 12/98 44 12/17/98 45 12/19/98 43 12/20/98 41 1/99 CBS 41 1/99 CBS 45 1/99 45 2/99 CBS 46 3/24/99 CBS 43 3/28/99 CBS 41 4/4-5/99 43 6/99 CBS 41 8/99 CBS 43 8/99 CBS 42 10/99 CBS 38 10/99 CBS 36 11/99 37 2/00 39 5/00 38 7/00B 45 9/00D 49 3/8-12/01 50 4/4-5/01 CBS 50 4/23-25/01 CBS 44 5/10-12/01 CBS 45 6/14-18/01 45 10/25-28/01 67 12/07-10/01 57 1/21-24/02 47 2/24-26/02 CBS 50 6/18-20/02 CBS 43 7/13-16/02 49 9/22-23/02 CBS 48 10/3-6/02 42 10/27-31/02 45 5/9-12/03 35 7/13-27/03 39 9/28-10/1/03 37 Disapprove DK/NA 59 9 44 14 55 11 53 11 53 14 40 16 43 10 30 20 38 13 32 11 41 10 38 15 44 10 48 8 49 11 48 11 49 7 49 6 52 5 53 7 51 8 51 8 46 9 46 8 47 10 47 12 45 12 46 13 41 16 44 14 48 14 52 12 50 13 47 13 45 18 41 14 38 13 33 17 33 17 37 19 36 19 39 16 24 9 31 12 37 15 34 16 40 17 38 14 36 16 45 13 40 15 48 16 46 14 47 15 8 8. Which comes closer to your opinion about what the United States policy should be after the war with Iraq? The United States should not attack another country unless the U.S. is attacked first, OR the U.S. should be able to attack any country it thinks might attack the United States? U.S. should not attack 4/11-13/03 51 4/26-27/03 CBS 50 5/27-28/03 CBS 53 7/8-9/03 CBS 58 9/28-10/1/03 55 U.S. should attack 38 42 39 33 35 DK/NA 11 8 8 9 11 9 9. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 8/90 1 45 36 16 2 10/96C 6 61 21 10 3 10/90 1 29 42 25 2 11/96 6 64 21 6 2 10/90B 1 32 47 19 2 12/96 6 61 22 8 3 1/91 1 37 39 20 3 1/97 7 64 23 5 1 3/91 1 44 42 11 2 4/97 6 62 24 7 1 4/91 2 40 41 16 2 6/97 12 62 17 6 3 6/91 1 41 40 17 2 7/97 11 62 18 8 1 10/91D 1 31 45 20 3 11/97 14 63 16 5 2 11/91 1 23 41 32 2 12/97 17 63 15 4 2 1/92A 17 47 35 1 1/98 16 67 13 3 1 1/92B 1 20 46 32 1 2/98 21 67 9 3 1 2/92A 1 16 38 42 2 8/11-13/98 21 66 8 3 2 2/92B 1 16 40 41 1 8/19-20/98 25 61 9 3 2 3/92 1 18 39 40 1 10/98A 16 65 15 3 2 4/92 1 23 40 34 1 10/98B 16 68 11 3 2 7/92 21 41 37 1 2/00 28 60 8 3 1 8/92A 1 20 40 38 1 5/00 29 58 7 4 2 9/92A 1 19 37 39 3 9/00D* 26 64 7 2 1 10/92A 1 18 42 37 2 10/00 25 60 9 4 3 10/92C 2 21 40 37 1 11/00 26 63 7 3 2 10/92D 2 21 40 36 2 12/00 CBS 21 65 10 3 1 10/92E 1 22 39 36 2 1/01 CBS 14 70 11 4 10 12/92 1 31 39 28 2 2/01 CBS 7 65 20 6 2 1/93 1 34 41 22 2 3/8-12/01 6 68 19 5 2/93 2 33 36 26 3 4/01A CBS 3 65 24 6 2 3/93 1 33 41 22 2 4/01B CBS 3 58 29 7 3 6/93A 1 29 43 25 2 5/01 CBS 4 64 23 7 2 6/93B 1 33 40 23 2 6/14-18/01 3 67 22 6 2 8/93 3 28 45 23 1 9/20-23/01 3 50 33 11 2 9/93 1 31 44 23 1 10/25-28/01 3 53 33 9 2 11/93 2 40 38 18 2 12/07-10/01 3 52 35 8 2 12/93 1 43 39 15 2 1/5-6/02 CBS 3 49 36 8 4 12/93 1 43 39 15 2 1/15-17/02 CBS 2 49 36 11 2 1/94 2 45 38 14 1 1/21-24/02 2 50 36 10 1 1/94 1 49 34 14 1 2/24-26/02 CBS 1 52 38 7 2 2/94 2 50 34 12 2 5/13-14/02 CBS 4 62 27 7 4/94 3 51 33 11 2 6/18-20/02 CBS 3 56 30 9 2 6/94 3 51 32 11 3 7/8-9/02 CBS 3 53 31 12 2 7/94 3 50 35 11 1 7/13-16/02 2 47 36 13 2 9/94 2 51 33 13 2 7/22-23/02 CBS 3 42 39 14 2 9/94 3 50 34 11 2 8/6-7/02 CBS 2 45 38 13 2 11/94 2 53 33 10 1 9/2-5/02 3 47 36 14 1 1/95 3 57 28 11 1 9/22-23/02 CBS 3 48 37 10 2 2/95 5 53 29 12 2 10/3-6/02 4 39 42 14 2 3/95 3 52 29 13 3 10/27-31/02 1 44 38 15 1 7/95 3 58 26 11 2 11/20-24/02 2 46 37 13 2 10/95 3 54 32 10 1 1/4-6/03 CBS 1 40 43 14 2 12/95 4 54 27 13 2 1/19-22/03 1 42 43 12 1 1/96 2 49 33 14 2 2/10-12/03 2 37 42 18 2 2/96 3 50 30 15 3 3/20-21/03 3 47 34 15 1 6/96 2 53 32 11 2 3/22/03 3 44 37 14 2 6/96B 4 56 30 9 1 3/23/03 3 47 32 16 2 7/96 5 56 27 10 3/24/03 2 51 31 14 2 8/96 5 58 23 10 3 3/20-24/03 3 47 33 15 2 9/96 5 64 23 7 1 4/11-13/03 2 48 36 10 3 10/96 6 66 19 6 2 4/26-27/03 CBS 2 42 40 14 2 5/9-12/03 2 42 41 14 1 7/13-27/03 1 42 38 18 1 8/11-12/03 CBS 2 36 40 20 2 8/26-28/03 CBS 2 42 36 18 2 9/28-10/1/03 4 39 37 19 1 10 10. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/76 25 30 41 4 10/76A 18 36 44 2 10/76B 22 35 39 3 1/77 16 27 54 3 4/77 18 31 48 4 7/77 22 22 52 4 1/78 17 34 45 4 4/78 12 48 38 2 6/78 9 58 31 2 9/78 9 55 34 2 1/79 7 59 31 3 6/79 3 72 22 3 11/79 5 70 24 1 4/80 2 81 16 1 10/80A 14 46 37 4 11/80 8 58 33 2 1/81 4 58 35 3 3/82 16 48 34 2 1/83 21 39 39 1 10/86* 19 27 52 1 10/87A 12 37 47 3 10/87BNYT 11 39 46 4 11/87 11 41 46 3 1/88 12 35 51 2 5/88 21 34 42 3 9/88* 15 27 56 2 10/88A* 17 27 53 3 10/88A* 17 27 53 2 11/88B 14 25 58 2 1/90 8 36 53 2 8/90 4 55 40 1 10/90 2 69 28 2 10/90B 3 67 28 1 1/91 CBS 7 46 45 2 2/91 CBS 8 41 45 6 3/91 19 32 47 2 4/91 18 33 47 2 6/91 23 29 47 1 10/91D 14 40 44 2 11/91 8 44 46 2 1/92A 8 47 44 1 1/92B 9 45 44 1 2/92B 13 38 48 1 3/92 20 26 53 1 4/92 18 31 50 1 7/92 12 33 54 1 8/92A 10 36 53 1 9/92A 10 33 55 2 10/92A 9 38 51 1 10/92C 12 37 49 2 10/92D 17 33 48 2 10/92E 17 32 49 2 12/92 29 17 51 3 1/93 26 18 55 1 2/93 32 15 51 2 3/93 21 19 58 2 6/93A 13 26 60 1 Better 8/93 CBS 12 9/93 14 11/93 19 1/94 31 4/94 24 7/94 22 9/94 23 1/94 20 1/95 CBS 24 2/95 27 3/95 18 8/95 14 10/95 13 2/95 16 1/96 13 2/96 14 4/96 14 6/96 13 6/96 NYT 18 7/96 16 8/96C 17 9/96 23 10/96 26 11/96 24 12/96 19 1/97 24 4/97 16 7/97 CBS 27 11/97 CBS 23 12/97 29 1/98 32 10/98A 20 10/98B 23 2/00 30 1/01 CBS 11 2/01 CBS 8 3/8-12/01 7 4/01A CBS 10 4/01B CBS 9 5/01 CBS 10 6/14-18/01 9 9/20-23/01 8 10/25-28/01 14 12/07-10/01 19 1/5-6/02CBS 26 1/15-17/02 CBS 20 1/21-24/02 18 5/13-14/02 CBS 31 7/13-16/02 14 10/3-5/02 13 10/27-31/02 17 11/20-24/02 19 1/4-6/03 CBS 15 1/19-22/03 17 4/11-13/03 17 4/26-27/03 CBS 19 5/9-12/03 22 7/13-27/03 22 8/11-12/03 CBS 23 8/26-28/03 CBS 25 9/28-10/1/03 24 Worse Same DK/NA 30 56 2 26 58 1 24 57 1 17 51 1 25 50 1 21 56 1 27 50 1 26 53 1 22 53 1 20 53 1 27 53 2 27 58 1 27 57 2 26 56 2 31 54 2 29 55 2 32 53 2 29 57 1 22 58 1 27 55 2 23 57 3 21 54 2 19 53 2 19 55 2 21 57 2 19 56 1 25 57 1 20 52 1 19 55 3 18 51 2 13 55 1 26 53 2 21 53 2 15 52 2 39 49 1 46 44 2 41 49 2 43 44 3 48 41 2 44 44 2 40 50 1 55 35 2 37 46 2 34 45 2 27 44 3 33 45 2 33 48 1 18 51 41 44 2 39 46 2 34 48 1 30 50 2 36 48 1 39 44 1 31 49 2 28 52 1 28 49 1 31 46 1 27 49 1 31 43 1 29 46 1 11 11. Should the United States try to change a dictatorship to a democracy where it can, OR should the United States stay out of other countries' affairs? Change 28 29 26 17 21 29 24 21 Stay out 62 60 51 60 59 48 58 61 Depends(vol.) DK/NA 10 11 5 4 4 7 7 7 4/86 5/89 1/90 3/91 10/5-7/91 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 18 19 16 16 11 10 12. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven=t you heard enough about George W. Bush yet to have an opinion? Favorable 40 38 32 31 27 34 37 32 42 35 40 40 44 48 45 42 43 44 49 48 48 45 44 42 42 40 41 37 40 64 55 46 46 43 Not Fav. 13 17 16 17 19 24 26 33 32 30 28 29 26 22 27 28 30 30 30 33 32 36 30 24 19 29 26 29 29 21 25 32 32 34 Undecided 23 22 21 24 30 25 21 22 20 21 21 18 19 17 17 19 19 16 14 12 14 13 17 16 17 13 18 16 17 13 14 17 16 13 DK enough 24 22 30 27 24 17 16 12 5 12 10 13 10 12 10 9 9 8 5 5 5 4 8 16 21 17 13 18 13 2 6 5 4 8 Refused 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 4/99 CBS 6/99 CBS* 7/99 CBS* 9/99 CBS* 10/99 CBS* 11/99* 12/99* CBS 2/00* 3/00* CBS 4/00* CBS 5/00* 7/00* 7/00B* 8/00* CBS 8/00* CBS 9/00A* 9/00D* 10/00* CBS 10/00* 10/00* CBS 11/00* 11/00L* 1/15-17/01 CBS 2/10-12/01 CBS 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 8/28-31/01 CBS 7/13-16/02 11/20-24/02 7/13-27/03 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 12 13. Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren’t you? Yes 82 No 18 DK/NA - 9/28-10/1/03 14. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2004 Presidential campaign--a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot 10 15 18 Some 30 34 41 Not much 32 29 29 None 27 21 12 DK/NA 1 1 - 7/8-9/03* CBS 8/26-28/03* CBS 9/28-10/1/03* SPLIT HALF - FOR QUESTIONS 15-24, RESPONDENTS ASKED ALL QUESTIONS WITH TITLES OR ALL QUESTIONS WITHOUT TITLES. 15. I’m going to name some possible Presidential candidates and ask what you think of them. If you haven’t heard much about someone I name, just tell me. Is your opinion of Carol Mosley Braun favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Carol Moseley Braun yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 16 11 Haven’t heard enough 67 68 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 5 9/28-10/1/03DPV 8 Undecided 12 13 Refused 16. Is your opinion of former Senator Carol Moseley Braun favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about former Senator Carol Mosley Braun yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 16 7 Haven’t heard enough 60 58 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 6 9/28-10/1/03DPV 9 Undecided 17 26 Refused 17. Is your opinion of Wesley Clark favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Wesley Clark yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 12 5 Haven’t heard enough 55 61 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 16 9/28-10/1/03DPV 18 Undecided 17 16 13 Refused - 18. Is your opinion of General Wesley Clark favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about General Wesley Clark yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 17 10 Haven’t heard enough 41 41 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 15 9/28-10/1/03DPV 19 Undecided 27 31 Refused 19. Is your opinion of Howard Dean favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Howard Dean yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 12 17 5 Haven’t heard enough 61 50 59 Favorable 8/26-28/03* CBS 11 9/28-10/1/03* 13 9/28-10/1/03DPV 17 Undecided 16 20 19 Refused - 20. Is your opinion of Dr. Howard Dean favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Dr. Howard Dean yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 18 4 Haven’t heard enough 53 54 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 12 9/28-10/1/03DPV 19 Undecided 18 22 Refused - 21. Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John Edwards yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 10 10 8 Haven’t heard enough 69 67 67 8/26-28/03* CBS 9/28-10/1/03* 9/28-10/1/03DPV Favorable 6 7 9 Undecided 15 16 16 Refused 22. Is your opinion of Senator John Edwards favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Senator John Edwards yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 11 4 Haven’t heard enough 60 58 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 9 9/28-10/1/03DPV 13 Undecided 20 26 Refused 0 14 23. Is your opinion of Richard Gephardt favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Richard Gephardt yet to have an opinion? Not Haven’t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 5/87 7 7 14 71 1 10/87 9 7 16 68 1 11/87 8 10 17 64 1 3/88 12 27 24 36 1 2/95* 17 9 23 50 1 8/96C* 10 14 21 54 1 8/26-28/03* CBS 17 21 21 40 1 9/28-10/1/03* 17 26 28 29 9/28-10/1/03DPV 23 8 35 34 24. Is your opinion of Congressman Richard Gephardt favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Congressman Richard Gephardt yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 26 12 Haven’t heard enough 31 28 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 17 9/28-10/1/03DPV 26 Undecided 26 33 Refused 25. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Democratic presidential primary or caucus, or a Republican primary or caucus, or aren’t you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? Dem. 39 39 40 Rep. 35 32 36 Won’t vote 15 20 15 DK/NA 11 10 9 6/99* CBS 11/4-7/99* 9/28-10/1/03 26. How often do you vote in primaries or caucuses -- always, most of the time, occasionally, or never? Always 44 Most of the time 27 Occ. 20 Never 9 DK/NA 1 9/28-10/1/03 SPLIT HALF – FOR QUESTIONS 27-36, RESPONDENTS ASKED ALL QUESTIONS WITH TITLES OR ALL QUESTIONS WITHOUT TITLES. 27. Is your opinion of Bob Graham favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Bob Graham yet to have an opinion? Not Haven’t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* 10 12 21 57 9/28-10/1/03DPV 8 7 22 63 15 28. Is your opinion of Senator Bob Graham favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Senator Bob Graham yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 12 11 Haven’t heard enough 47 42 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 11 9/28-10/1/03 DPV 12 Undecided 29 35 29. Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John Kerry yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 13 17 6 Haven’t heard enough 57 43 46 8/26-28/03* CBS 9/28-10/1/03* 9/28-10/1/03DPV Favorable 14 13 22 Undecided 16 27 26 Refused 0 30. Is your opinion of Senator John Kerry favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Senator John Kerry yet to have an opinion? Not Haven’t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough 9/28-10/1/03* 21 16 24 38 9/28-10/1/03DPV 31 3 29 37 31. Is your opinion of Dennis Kucinich favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Dennis Kucinich yet to have an opinion? Not Haven’t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* 7 7 7 78 1 9/28-10/1/03DPV 7 4 7 81 32. Is your opinion of Congressman Dennis Kucinich favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Congressman Dennis Kucinich yet to have an opinion? Not Haven’t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough 9/28-10/1/03* 3 8 14 75 9/28-10/1/03DPV 6 8 20 65 16 33. Is your opinion of Joe Lieberman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Joe Lieberman yet to have an opinion? Is your opinion of Joe Lieberman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Joe Lieberman yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 6 6 10 8 12 11 20 21 25 19 Haven’t heard enough 45 42 42 42 30 35 31 27 19 21 8/00* CBS 8/00* CBS 9/00A* 9/00D* 10/00* CBS 10/00* 11/00L* 8/26-28/03* CBS 9/28-10/1/03* 9/28-10/1/03DPV Favorable 33 35 31 32 39 37 29 28 21 26 Undec. 16 15 17 18 18 16 19 23 35 33 Refused 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 34. Is your opinion of Senator Joe Lieberman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Senator Joe Lieberman yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 28 16 Haven’t heard enough 21 26 9/28-10/1/03* 9/28-10/1/03DPV Favorable 24 33 Undecided 26 25 35. Is your opinion of Al Sharpton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Al Sharpton yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 41 34 Haven’t heard enough 30 29 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 7 9/28-10/1/03DPV 7 Undecided 21 30 Refused - 36. Is your opinion of Reverend Al Sharpton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Reverend Al Sharpton yet to have an opinion? Not Fav. 50 40 Haven’t heard enough 27 30 Favorable 9/28-10/1/03* 5 9/28-10/1/03DPV 4 Undecided 19 26 17 SPLIT HALF – ASK EITHER QUESTION 37 OR 38. 37. Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004--Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, Bob Graham, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Lieberman, Carol Moseley-Braun, Al Sharpton, or someone else? (NAMES WERE ROTATED.) Democratic Primary Voters 9/28-10/1/03* 14 9 1 5 3 4 1 5 7 3 27 21 8/26-28/03* CBS1 Clark Dean Edwards Gephardt Graham Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Moseley-Braun Sharpton Other (vol.) DK/NA 1 11 2 10 4 5 14 2 5 15 32 9/28-10/1/03* 10 7 4 6 3 2 1 10 4 2 23 28 QUESTION DID NOT INCLUDE CLARK WHO ENTERED THE RACE IN SEPTEMBER. 38. Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004 -- General Wesley Clark, Dr. Howard Dean, Senator John Edwards, Congressman Richard Gephardt, Senator Bob Graham, Senator John Kerry, Congressman Dennis Kucinich, Senator Joe Lieberman, former Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, Reverend Al Sharpton, or someone else? (NAMES WERE ROTATED.) Democratic Primary Voters 9/28-10/1/03* 9/28-10/1/03* Clark 12 10 Dean 7 9 Edwards 2 3 Gephardt 12 15 Graham 3 3 Kerry 11 11 Kucinich 1 1 Lieberman 10 13 Moseley-Braun 2 1 Sharpton 5 4 Other (vol.) 13 10 DK/NA 23 20 18 SPLIT HALF – ASK EITHER QUESTION 39 OR 40. 39. Which of these Democratic candidates do you think would have the best chance of winning the election in November 2004 if nominated -- Wesley Clark, Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, Bob Graham, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Lieberman, Carol Moseley-Braun, Al Sharpton, or someone else? (NAMES WERE ROTATED.) Democratic Primary Voters 9/28-10/1/03* 17 7 2 11 4 6 10 1 1 14 27 8/26-28/03* CBS1 Clark Dean Edwards Gephardt Graham Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Moseley-Braun Sharpton Other (vol.) DK/NA 1 11 3 14 5 12 21 2 1 9 24 9/28-10/1/03* 15 12 1 11 2 4 12 1 1 14 27 QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF WHICH CANDIDATE YOU SUPPORT FOR THE 2004 NOMINATION, WHICH OF THESE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES DO YOU THINK WOULD HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF WINNING THE ELECTION IN NOVEMBER 2004 IF NOMINATED--HOWARD DEAN, JOHN EDWARDS, RICHARD GEPHARDT, BOB GRAHAM, JOHN KERRY, DENNIS KUCINICH, JOE LIEBERMAN CAROL MOSELEY-BRAUN), AL SHARPTON, OR SOMEONE ELSE? 40. Which of these Democratic candidates do you think would have the best chance of winning the election in November 2004 if nominated -- General Wesley Clark, Dr. Howard Dean, Senator John Edwards, Congressman Richard Gephardt, Senator Bob Graham, Senator John Kerry, Congressman Dennis Kucinich, Senator Joe Lieberman, former Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, Reverend Al Sharpton, or someone else? Democratic Primary Voters 9/28-10/1/03* 14 9 3 17 4 11 0 12 3 7 20 Clark Dean Edwards Gephardt Graham Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Moseley-Braun Sharpton Other (vol.) DK/NA 9/28-10/1/03* 16 8 2 15 3 10 11 1 2 10 21 19 41. If George W. Bush runs for re-election in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for George W. Bush, or probably vote for the Democratic candidate? Can't say Bush Democrat Don't know until chosen (vol.) DK/NA 9/28-10/1/03* 44 44 7 1 4 42. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2004, who do you expect to finally win the 2004 presidential election --- the democratic candidate or George W. Bush? Democrat 35 Bush 50 Depends (vol.) 4 DK/NA 11 9/28/-10/1/03* 43. Would you prefer the Democratic nominee for President be someone who supported the war in Iraq, someone who opposed the war in Iraq, or would this not matter to you? Supported 8/26-28/03* CBS 28 9/28-10/1/03* REG DEM PRIM VTRS 25 Opposed Doesn't matter 40 28 29 41 DK/NA 4 5 44. Compared to when George W. Bush took office, do you think the nation's economy is better today, worse today, or about the same as it was when George W. Bush took office? Better 12 Worse 59 About the same 26 DK/NA 3 9/28-10/1/03 RELATED TREND: COMPARED TO TWO YEARS AGO, DO YOU THINK THE NATION'S ECONOMY IS BETTER TODAY, WORSE TODAY, OR ABOUT THE SAME AS IT WAS TWO YEARS AGO? 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 1/19-22/03 5/9-12/03 7/8-9/03 CBS 8/11-12/03 CBS BETTER 10 5 6 9 13 13 15 WORSE 58 70 66 62 58 55 55 ABOUT THE SAME 31 24 27 28 28 30 28 DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 20 45. Is your family financially better off today than it was before George W. Bush became president, is it worse off financially or is it about the same as it was before George W. Bush became president? Better 18 Worse 29 About the same 53 DK/NA 1 9/28-10/1/03 46. How serious a problem do you think the current budget deficit is for the country -- very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious or not at all serious? Very 50 Somewhat 36 Not too 9 Not at all 3 DK/NA 3 9/28-10/1/03 47. Do you have confidence in George W. Bush’s ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence 46 46 46 46 40 45 46 45 43 52 48 47 42 53 55 66 45 Uneasy 44 41 43 44 47 46 47 45 45 40 46 47 52 43 42 31 50 DK/NA 9 13 11 10 13 10 7 10 12 7 6 6 6 5 4 3 5 7/00B* 8/00* CBS 8/00* CBS 9/00* 10/00* CBS 10/00* 11/00* 1/15-17/01 2/10-12/01 3/8-12/01 4/4-5/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 11/20-24/02 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 9/28-10/1/03 48. Compared to when George W. Bush took office, are relations today between the United States and its European allies, better today, worse today or about the same as they were when George W. Bush took office? Better 9 Worse 55 About the same 31 DK/NA 5 9/28-10/1/03 RELATED TREND: COMPARED TO TWO YEARS AGO, ARE RELATIONS TODAY BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND ITS EUROPEAN ALLIES BETTER, WORSE, OR ABOUT THE SAME? 10/3-5/02 1/19-22/03 4/11-13/03 5/9-12/03 BETTER 18 14 12 9 WORSE 30 31 54 51 ABOUT THE SAME 49 52 29 33 DK/NA 3 3 5 7 21 49. How much do you think George W. Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself -- a lot, some, not much or none at all? 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 1/21-24/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 A Lot 33 23 34 32 28 33 29 25 Some 34 37 42 32 38 34 32 33 Not Much 20 21 16 22 20 20 22 21 None at all 11 16 7 12 13 12 15 19 DK/NA 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 50. How much do you think George W. Bush cares about the needs and problems of blacks -- a lot, some, not much or none at all? A lot 30 18 27 24 23 Some 31 37 35 42 36 Not much 22 19 20 19 20 None at all 11 15 11 9 14 DK/NA 5 11 7 6 7 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 9/28-10/1/03 VARIED WORDING: DO YOU THINK GEORGE W. BUSH CARES ABOUT THE NEEDS AND PROBLEMS OF BLACKS AND OTHER MINORITIES? YES NO DK/NA 8/00 CBS* 55 28 17 2/01 CBS 54 33 13 51. How much do you think George W. Bush cares about the problems of Hispanics --- a lot, some, not much or none at all? A lot 25 Some 36 Not much 22 None at all 10 needs and 9/28-10/1/03 DK/NA 6 22 52. Do you think George W. Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not? 10/28-30/99 3/19-21/00* CBS 5/10-13/00* 7/20-23/00B* 8/18-20/00* CBS 9/9-11/00* 9/27-10/1/00* 10/6-9/00* CBS 10/18-21/00* 1/15-17/01 CBS 2/10-12/01 CBS 4/23-25/01 CBS 6/14-18/01 9/11-12/01 CBS 9/13-14/01 9/20-23/01 1/21-24/02 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 Yes 67 68 63 66 69 65 67 65 70 57 59 58 54 55 70 83 82 70 63 No 18 23 28 24 23 25 27 26 24 35 31 36 38 27 19 14 16 26 35 DK/NA 15 9 10 10 8 10 6 9 6 8 10 6 8 18 11 3 3 4 2 53. Do you think George W. Bush has the same priorities for the country as you have, or not? Has 44 59 45 54 48 41 Does not have 46 32 52 39 46 56 DK/NA 10 9 3 7 6 3 1/15-17/01 CBS 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/19-22/03 2/5-6/03 CBS 4/26-27/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 54. Do you think George W. Bush has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? Yes 41 39 48 53 No 38 46 38 38 DK/NA 21 15 14 9 10/99 CBS 5/00* 10/18-21/00* 9/28-10/1/03 23 IF ANSWERED “NO” OR “DK/NA” TO QUESTION 54, ASK: 55. Do you think George W. Bush has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life, or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life? Less 14 Same 30 DK/NA 3 9/28-10/1/03 56. Do you have confidence in George W. Bush's ability to make the right decisions about the nation's economy, or are you uneasy about his approach? 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 4/11-13/03 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 Confidence 47 47 54 47 40 Uneasy 48 50 42 49 56 DK/NA 5 2 4 4 4 VARIED WORDING: HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE DO YOU HAVE IN GEORGE W. BUSH'S ABILITY TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISIONS ABOUT THE NATION'S ECONOMY -- A LOT, SOME, NOT MUCH, OR NONE AT ALL? 1/21-24/02 A LOT 39 SOME 42 NOT MUCH 13 NONE AT ALL 5 DK/NA 1 57. Do you think leaders of other countries around the world have respect for George W. Bush, or not? Have respect 37 67 49 45 47 47 Do not 44 22 39 45 42 44 DK/NA 19 11 12 11 11 9 6/14-18/01 2/24-26/02 CBS 2/24-25/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 9/28-10/1/03 58. Do you think the reductions in federal taxes enacted since 2001 have been good for the economy, bad for the economy or haven’t they made much difference? Good 19 24 Bad 12 20 Not much difference 63 50 DK/NA 6 6 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 24 59. Which do you think is better way to improve the national economy: cutting taxes or reducing the federal budget deficit? Cut taxes 36 32 31 32 28 Lower deficit 56 54 58 55 59 Neither (vol.) 2 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 6 11 9 11 11 1/19-22/03 4/26-27/03 CBS 5/9-12/03 5/27-28/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 60. Are George W. Bush=s policies more conservative than you had expected they would be, less conservative or are they about what you expected? More 10 13 Less 11 22 About expected 75 62 DK/NA 5 3 6/14-18/01 9/28-10/1/03 61. In general, do you think the policies of the Bush administration favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or do they treat all groups the same? Rich 57 50 53 55 59 58 54 60 Middle class 8 14 18 14 11 10 14 10 Poor 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 All same 27 28 24 25 23 26 22 26 DK/NA 6 7 5 4 5 5 8 3 6/14-18/01 1/21-24/02 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 1/4-6/03 CBS 1/19-22/03 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 62. Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have increased the number of jobs in the United States, decreased the number of jobs, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the number of jobs in the U.S.? Increased 12 Decreased 51 No effect 29 DK/NA 9 9/28-10/1/03 63. Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made the cost of prescription drugs more expensive, less expensive, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the cost of prescription drugs? More 35 Less 5 No effect 39 DK/NA 21 9/28-10/1/03 25 64. Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made the United States safer from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the U.S.' safety from terrorism? Safer 60 Less safe 18 No effect 18 DK/NA 4 9/28-10/1/03 65. Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made the nation's schools better, worse, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the nation's schools? Better 23 Worse 26 No effect 41 DK/NA 11 9/28-10/1/03 66. Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made your taxes go up, go down, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected your taxes? Go up 29 Go down 19 No effect 47 DK/NA 4 9/28-10/1/03 67. Do you think the Bush Administration has brought more honesty and integrity to the workings of the White House, less honesty and integrity or about the same amount of honesty and integrity as other Administrations? More 35 Less 18 Same 43 DK/NA 4 9/28-10/1/03 26 ROTATE BETWEEN QUESTIONS 68 AND 69. 68. In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable? Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT 58 29 14 12/17 33 57 10 11/88B 57 34 10 12/19 36 59 5 1/90 63 28 9 12/20 36 58 6 4/90 58 34 8 1/99 CBS 38 55 7 6/91 62 28 10 1/99 41 52 8 5/92 CBS 46 45 9 2/99 CBS 40 49 11 6/92 49 43 8 6/99 CBS 41 47 12 7/92* 46 47 7 9/99 CBS 43 45 12 8/92* 47 48 5 11/99 48 43 9 1/94 52 36 12 2/00 49 41 10 9/94 52 36 10 5/00* 53 40 8 11/94 54 39 7 7/00B* 54 41 5 11/94 CBS 59 33 8 9/00D* 49 44 7 1/95 CBS 53 38 9 11/00L 49 44 7 2/95 54 37 8 3/8-12/01 54 39 7 4/95 54 40 6 6/14-18/01 46 47 8 8/95 54 37 9 1/21-24/02 58 33 9 4/96* 43 51 7 7/13-16/02 53 38 8 8/96* 46 47 7 10/3-5/02 53 39 8 8/96B* CBS 47 43 10 10/27-31/02 54 35 11 8/96C* 52 42 6 11/20-24/02 51 39 10 8/96D* CBS 48 43 9 1/19-22/03 50 41 9 9/96* 48 44 7 5/9-12/03 53 40 7 1/97 50 41 9 7/13-27/03 46 45 9 12/98 42 51 8 9/28-10/1/03 51 43 5 69. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable? Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT 59 27 14 12/17 56 35 8 11/88B 54 36 10 12/19 65 31 5 1/90 58 32 10 12/20 60 34 5 4/90 54 35 11 1/99 CBS 61 32 7 6/91 52 34 13 1/99 56 37 6 5/92 CBS 46 43 10 2/99 57 32 11 6/92 49 40 11 6/99 51 36 13 7/92* 49 43 8 9/99 53 37 10 8/92* 57 37 6 11/99 52 39 9 1/94 49 40 12 2/00 61 31 9 9/94 48 44 8 5/00* 54 40 6 11/94 44 48 8 7/00B* 56 39 5 11/94 CBS 40 52 8 9/00D* 58 36 6 1/95 CBS 47 47 6 11/00L 56 37 7 2/95 47 45 8 3/8-12/01 55 38 7 4/95 48 45 7 6/14-18/01 56 36 9 8/95 47 45 8 1/21-24/02 58 34 8 4/96* 46 47 6 7/13-16/02 53 36 11 8/96* 55 39 6 10/3-5/02 53 39 8 8/96B* CBS 52 39 9 10/27-31/02 55 36 9 8/96C* 53 40 6 11/20-24/02 45 44 11 8/96D* CBS 57 36 7 1/19-22/02 52 39 9 9/96* 56 39 5 5/9-12/03 46 45 8 1/97 55 39 7 7/13-27/03 49 42 9 12/98 56 36 8 9/28-10/1/03 53 39 7 27 70. Do you think the Republicans have a clear plan for the country, or don't the Republicans have a clear plan for the country? 10/27-31/02*1 11/20-24/02 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 1 Yes 42 46 53 47 No 39 39 37 40 DK/NA 18 15 10 13 VARIED WORDING: REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU INTEND TO VOTE, DO YOU THINK THE REPUBLICANS HAVE A CLEAR PLAN FOR THE COUNTRY IF THEY GAIN CONTROL OF CONGRESS THIS FALL, OR DON'T THE REPUBLICANS HAVE A CLEAR PLAN FOR THE COUNTRY? 71. Do you think the Democrats have a clear plan for the country, or don't the Democrats have a clear plan for the country? 1 10/27-31/02* 11/20-24/02 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 1 Yes 31 31 40 38 No 49 52 49 48 DK/NA 20 17 11 14 VARIED WORDING: REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU INTEND TO VOTE, DO YOU THINK THE DEMOCRATS HAVE A CLEAR PLAN FOR THE COUNTRY IF THEY GAIN CONTROL OF CONGRESS THIS FALL, OR DON'T THE DEMOCRATS HAVE A CLEAR PLAN FOR THE COUNTRY? 28 SPLIT HALF – ASK EITHER QUESTION 72 OR 73. 72. Do you think removing Saddam Hussein from power is worth the potential loss of American life and the other costs of attacking Iraq, or not? Worth it 46 54 57 53 49 51 52 54 60 50 61 62 66 66 63 64 62 68 64 65 62 54 51 Not worth it 43 35 33 37 38 40 38 40 34 43 30 30 27 28 29 29 28 22 29 28 31 39 41 DK/NA 11 11 10 9 13 8 10 6 6 7 8 8 7 6 9 7 10 10 7 7 7 7 8 8/6-7/02 CBS 9/2-5/02 9/22-23 CBS 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 2/10-12/03 3/4-5/03 CBS 3/15-16/03 CBS 3/17/03 CBS 3/7-9/03 3/20/03 PANEL 3/20-21/03 3/22/03 3/23/03 3/24/03 3/20-24/03 3/26-27/03 CBS 4/2-3/03 CBS 4/11-13/03 5/27-28/03 CBS 6/12-13/03 CBS 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 73. Do you think the result of the war with Iraq was worth the loss of American life and other costs of attacking Iraq or not? Worth it 46 46 43 41 Not worth it 45 46 47 53 DK/NA 9 8 10 6 8/11-12/03 CBS 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 74. Has the war in Iraq been longer than you expected, shorter than you expected, or has it been about what you expected? Longer 45 Shorter 13 About expected 40 DK/NA 2 9/28-10/1/03 29 75. Has the war in Iraq cost the United States more money than you expected, less than you expected, or has it been about what you expected? More 66 Less 2 About expected 26 DK/NA 6 9/28-10/1/03 76. So far, do you think the Bush Administration has developed a plan for rebuilding Iraq after the war, or hasn't it developed one yet? Has a clear plan 3/7-9/03 29 3/20-21/03 46 3/22/03 43 3/23/03 37 3/24/03 36 3/20-24/03 41 4/11-13/03 42 9/15-16/03 CBS 22 9/28-10/1/03 29 Not done that yet 49 42 44 50 50 46 45 64 59 DK/NA 22 12 13 14 13 13 13 14 12 77. Do you think the Bush Administration has clearly explained how long U.S. military forces will have to remain in Iraq, or haven’t they done that yet? Clearly explained 17 Haven’t done that yet 76 DK/NA 7 9/28-10/1/03 78. So far, do you think the Bush Administration has clearly explained what the total financial cost will be to the United States to rebuild Iraq, or haven’t they done that yet? Clearly explained 16 Haven’t done that yet 76 DK/NA 8 9/28-10/1/03 79. From what you have seen or heard about the situation in Iraq, what should the United States do--should the U.S. increase the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, keep the same number of U.S. troops in Iraq as there are now, or decrease the number of U.S. troops in Iraq? Increase 22 20 Keep the same 41 34 Decrease 31 39 DK/NA 6 7 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 30 80. George W. Bush has asked Congress for an additional $87 billion for the next year for military and reconstruction efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan. Do you think the United States should or should not spend this amount of money? Should 34 Should not 61 DK/NA 5 9/28-10/1/03 81. Who should have the lead responsibility for setting up a new government in Iraq after the war is over — the United Nations or the United States? 5/9-12/03 8/26-28/03 CBS 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 United Nations 45 69 64 68 United States 13 25 26 26 Neither (vol.) 2 2 5 2 DK/NA 1 4 5 4 82. If other countries make a major contribution to the financial costs of rebuilding Iraq, do you think they should also have a major role in making decisions about the rebuilding process, or should the United States remain in control of the rebuilding of Iraq? Other countries 9/15-16/03 CBS 63 9/28-10/1/03 65 1 1 U.S. remain in control 30 28 DK/NA 7 7 VARIED WORDING: IF THE U.S. ALLIES MAKE A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE FINANCIAL COSTS OF REBUILDING IRAQ, DO YOU THINK THEY SHOULD ALSO HAVE A MAJOR ROLE IN MAKING DECISIONS ABOUT THE REBUILDING PROCESS, OR SHOULD THE UNITED STATES REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REBUILDING OF IRAQ? 83. What do you think was the main reason for the United States taking military action in Iraq --- 1. Removing Saddam Hussein from power, or 2. Stopping Iraq from manufacturing weapons, or 3. Protecting the supply of oil to the United States? Removing Hussein 46 Stopping weapons 17 Protecting oil 24 All (vol.) 7 None (vol.) DK/NA 3 4 9/28-10/1/03 RELATED TREND: IN THE WAR AGAINST IRAQ, WHAT DO YOU THINK GEORGE W. BUSH IS MOST INTERESTED IN -1. REMOVING SADDAM HUSSEIN FROM POWER, OR 2. STOPPING IRAQ FROM MANUFACTURING WEAPONS OR 3. PROTECTING THE SUPPLY OF OIL TO THE UNITED STATES? HUSSEIN 36 WEAPONS 29 OIL 21 ALL (VOL.) 9 NONE (VOL.) 1 DK/NA 4 4/11-13/03 RELATED TREND: WHEN IT COMES TO POSSIBLY TAKING MILITARY ACTION IN IRAQ, WHAT IS GEORGE W. BUSH MOST INTERESTED IN -— 1. REMOVING SADDAM HUSSEIN FROM POWER, OR 2. STOPPING IRAQ FROM MANUFACTURING WEAPONS OR 3. PROTECTING THE SUPPLY OF OIL TO THE UNITED STATES? HUSSEIN 45 WEAPONS 25 OIL 19 ALL (VOL.) 6 NONE (VOL.) 1 DK/NA 4 3/7-9/03 31 84. Do you think of the war with Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, or do you think of it as separate from the war on terrorism? IF ANSWERED “PART OF WAR ON TERRORISM”, ASK: Is it a major part of the war on terrorism, or a minor part of the war on terrorism? 4/2-3/02 CBS 4/11-13/03 5/9-12/03 9/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 Major part 51 53 51 43 47 Minor part 11 13 14 9 10 Not part 31 30 32 43 37 DK/NA 7 4 3 5 5 85. Do you think the war in Iraq is still going on or is the war over? Still going on 87 Over 10 Depends (vol.) 1 DK/NA 2 9/28-10/1/03 86. Do you think Saddam Hussein was personally involved in the September 11th, 2001 terrorist attacks against the World Trade Center and the Pentagon? 9/22-23/02 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/2-3/03 CBS 4/11-13/03 5/9-12/03 9/28-10/1/03 Yes 51 42 45 53 53 52 43 No 33 42 40 34 38 38 42 DK/NA 16 16 15 13 9 11 15 87. How concerned are you that you or someone else in your household will lose their job in the next year? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not concerned at all? Very 25 25 26 Somewhat 20 21 18 Not very 24 21 22 Not at all 32 32 33 DK/NA 1 5/9-12/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 RELATED TREND: HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU THAT IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD MIGHT BE OUT OF WORK AND LOOKING FOR A JOB -- VERY CONCERNED, SOMEWHAT CONCERNED, OR NOT CONCERNED AT ALL? VERY SOMEWHAT NOT AT ALL DK/NA 10/3-5/02 31 20 48 1 RELATED TREND: HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD MIGHT BE OUT OF WORK AND LOOKING FOR A JOB -- VERY WORRIED, SOMEWHAT WORRIED, OR NOT WORRIED AT ALL? VERY SOMEWHAT NOT AT ALL DK/NA 12/95 15 31 52 2 4/96 17 27 55 1 8/6-7/02 CBS 13 27 59 1 32 88. How important is religion in YOUR daily life? Is it extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important? 9/27-10/1/00 3/15-16/03 CBS 9/28-10/1/03 Extremely 25 28 26 Very 35 32 36 Somewhat 30 31 30 Not at all 9 8 7 DK/NA 1 1 - 89. Do you think of yourself as part of the conservative Christian political movement, also known as the religious right? Yes 17 No 78 DK/NA 6 9/28-10/1/03 90. Regardless of what you think about George Bush now, looking back to 2000, would you say George W. Bush legitimately won the 2000 presidential election, or not? Legitimately won 12/00 CBS 53 51 1/15-17/01 CBS1 1 3/8-12/01 56 5/9-12/03 54 9/28-10/1/03 56 1 1 Did not win legitimately 40 43 37 38 39 DK/NA 7 6 7 7 5 QUESTION DID NOT INCLUDE “REGARDLESS…TO 2000”. 33 These last few questions are for background only. Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep 29 28 32 30 30 30 30 33 29 26 28 27 28 28 29 29 28 28 28 30 28 26 29 29 31 26 29 30 28 30 32 27 28 31 31 30 30 30 28 31 32 27 29 30 31 27 26 31 32 30 29 28 28 28 28 29 29 Dem 35 32 37 33 38 38 33 33 34 38 33 32 35 34 35 36 37 38 39 36 36 37 34 34 37 36 38 30 33 34 32 35 36 34 32 33 30 35 33 35 35 33 35 35 36 39 37 34 41 34 36 40 37 38 39 32 36 Ind 31 35 27 32 27 27 31 29 32 28 33 33 29 33 31 31 31 29 28 28 30 30 29 32 27 32 29 34 32 29 30 31 34 29 29 32 34 29 30 27 26 33 31 31 28 29 32 29 24 28 29 25 27 28 24 33 26 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 8 5 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 5 5 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 3 6 7 5 6 6 9 7 6 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 3 8 6 7 7 7 9 6 8 Rep 27 26 31 28 28 28 26 26 27 24 27 27 25 30 28 28 31 29 31 31 28 29 27 31 31 27 32 30 28 33 28 29 27 31 29 29 28 29 31 27 31 Dem 34 35 32 31 32 35 37 35 35 37 39 37 37 34 37 37 34 33 36 33 37 35 36 34 35 36 37 32 34 37 34 35 38 34 32 32 34 32 30 32 35 Ind 30 31 30 33 30 30 29 31 32 32 28 30 33 28 30 28 27 29 26 27 27 30 29 28 29 30 23 30 31 23 33 26 28 28 31 33 31 30 32 34 30 DK/NA 8 7 8 8 10 7 8 7 6 7 6 6 5 7 5 6 7 9 7 9 8 7 9 7 5 7 8 8 7 8 5 10 7 7 8 6 6 9 6 7 4 1/92A 1/92B 2/92A 2/92B 3/92 4/92 5/92A 6/92 7/92 7/92B 8/92A 8/92D 8/92E 9/92A 10/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 12/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 5/93A 6/93A 6/93B 9/93 11/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 7/94 9/94 11/94 12/94 2/95 4/95 8/95 9/95 10/95 12/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 6/96 6/96 NYT 7/96 8/96 8/96C 9/96 10/96 10/96C 11/96 12/96 1/97 4/97 1/98 1/98B 2/98 4/98 6/98 7/98 8/98 9/98B 9/98C 10/98A 10/98B 12/98 1/99 4/99 11/99 2/00 5/00 7/00 7/00B 9/00A 9/00D 10/00 11/00 11/00L 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 10/25-28/01 12/7-10/01 1/21-24/02 4/28-5/1/02 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 34 Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican party or to the Democratic party? PERCENTAGES INCLUDE THE RESULTS OF THE PREVIOUS QUESTION 1/92A 1/92B 2/92A 2/92B 3/92 4/92 5/92A 6/92 7/92 7/92B 8/92A 8/92D 8/92E 9/92A 10/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 12/92 1/93 3/93 5/93A 6/93A 6/93B 9/93 11/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 7/94 9/94 11/94 12/94 2/95 4/95 8/95 9/95 10/95 12/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 6/96 6/96 NYT 7/96 8/96 8/96C 9/96 10/96 10/96C 11/96 12/96 Rep 40 39 43 41 42 41 42 44 40 39 44 39 40 40 41 40 39 39 39 41 35 39 40 42 38 41 44 39 42 45 41 42 44 46 42 45 44 41 42 43 40 41 45 44 37 40 42 41 42 40 38 40 39 38 Dem 48 49 47 47 49 50 46 46 47 49 49 45 49 50 48 48 52 51 50 49 52 49 49 48 49 49 43 45 46 45 49 50 47 42 49 44 46 44 50 48 48 50 47 48 53 49 48 51 48 50 53 50 52 50 DK/NA 12 11 9 12 10 9 12 10 12 12 7 16 11 10 11 11 9 10 11 10 13 12 10 10 13 10 13 16 13 10 10 9 9 12 9 10 10 15 8 9 12 9 9 8 10 11 10 8 10 9 10 10 9 12 1/97 4/97 12/97 1/98 1/98B 2/98 4/98 6/98 7/98 8/98 9/98 9/98C 10/98A 10/98B 12/98 1/99 4/99 11/99 2/00 5/00 7/00 7/00B 9/00A 9/00D 10/00 11/00 11/00L 3/8-12/01 6/14-18/01 9/20-23/01 1/15-17/02 CBS 1/21-24/02 2/24-26/02 CBS 7/13-16/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 Rep 43 39 40 36 38 42 40 39 39 39 40 38 37 38 38 37 43 40 38 42 40 43 43 40 41 40 43 44 38 40 44 42 43 40 40 43 42 42 38 42 46 40 43 Dem 46 49 49 48 51 47 44 45 49 47 48 51 50 54 52 53 46 51 52 46 45 48 44 49 47 48 46 47 51 47 40 47 45 49 51 47 45 48 50 45 45 50 48 DK/NA 11 12 11 16 11 11 15 16 12 14 13 11 13 8 11 10 11 9 10 12 15 9 13 11 11 12 11 9 12 13 16 12 12 11 10 10 13 10 11 13 10 11 9 35 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib 19 21 19 20 20 18 21 23 20 21 20 22 21 19 22 21 21 20 18 23 22 21 19 19 19 21 17 18 21 19 20 20 18 19 19 19 20 32 27 16 17 15 20 17 18 19 16 20 17 18 16 16 18 15 17 Mod 41 43 39 43 47 44 40 39 42 41 45 44 43 46 39 39 40 41 45 41 39 41 43 44 43 41 44 41 38 42 42 41 40 39 42 40 39 35 33 44 46 46 42 45 47 46 48 42 47 43 44 47 45 48 40 Con 34 30 36 31 30 33 34 32 32 30 30 27 27 31 34 33 33 34 32 31 34 33 32 31 34 33 34 34 35 33 35 35 36 37 34 35 33 26 33 34 33 34 35 34 31 29 32 34 30 33 34 31 32 32 35 DK/NA 6 5 6 6 4 4 4 6 6 8 6 7 9 4 5 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 5 6 7 5 6 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 7 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 4 3 6 6 6 7 6 6 8 Lib 17 19 21 19 19 21 18 20 20 21 21 21 21 20 20 20 19 22 21 21 22 22 20 20 23 22 22 21 20 18 20 20 19 21 18 19 22 19 Mod 46 42 42 40 45 42 42 39 42 43 41 45 41 41 41 45 46 43 44 41 38 43 42 42 39 44 38 44 39 45 38 44 45 41 45 45 40 42 Con 33 34 33 33 30 33 35 34 33 31 34 31 31 33 34 30 29 31 31 34 33 30 32 32 33 29 35 32 36 34 37 30 32 35 35 33 34 34 DK/NA 4 5 5 7 5 4 5 7 5 5 5 3 6 5 5 4 6 5 4 4 7 5 6 5 4 5 6 4 5 3 5 6 3 3 3 3 5 5 1/92A 1/92B 2/92A 2/92B 3/92 4/92 5/92A 6/92 7/92 7/92B 8/92A 8/92D 8/92E 9/92A 10/92C 10/92D 10/92E 2/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 5/93A 6/93A 6/93B 9/93 11/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 9/94 11/94 12/94 2/95 4/95 8/95 9/95 12/95 12/95 10/95 12/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 4/96 6/96 6/96 7/96 8/96 8/96C 9/96 10/96 10/96C 11/96 12/96 1/97 4/97 12/97 1/98 1/98B 2/98 4/98 6/98 7/98 8/98 9/98 9/98C 10/98A 10/98B 12/98 1/99 4/99 11/99 2/00 5/00 7/00 7/00B 9/00A 9/00D 12/7-10/01 1/21-24/02 4/28-5/1/02 7/13-16/02 9/2-5/02 10/3-5/02 10/27-31/02 11/20-24/02 1/19-22/03 2/10-12/03 3/7-9/03 4/11-13/03 7/13-27/03 9/28-10/1/03 36 Did you vote in the 2000 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for Al Gore, George W. Bush, Pat Buchanan, or Ralph Nader? Voted, Didn't Gore Bush Buchanan Nader won't say vote DK/NA 9/28-10/1/03 27 38 2 2 28 2 91. Are you or any member of your household – that is any other adult living in your home or apartment --- a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that person you or someone else? No 83 Yes, self 9 Yes, other 8 DK/NA - 9/28-10/1/03 Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never Married Widowed Divorced Separated married DK/NA 9/28-10/1/03 56 7 10 3 23 1 What is your religious preference today? Protestant 55 Catholic 23 Jewish 1 Other 7 None 10 DK/NA 4 Do you ever 9/28-10/1/03 Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. think of yourself in either of these ways? Yes 32 No 67 DK/NA 2 9/28-10/1/03 What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a H.S. grad 9 Some college 26 College grad Post Grad 13 9 9/28-10/1/03 How old are you? 9/28-10/1/03 H.S. grad 41 DK/NA 1 18-29 19 30-44 34 45-64 29 Over 64 17 Refused 1 Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? 9/28-10/1/03 Hispanic 5 Not Hispanic 94 DK/NA 1 Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? 9/28-10/1/03 White 80 Black 12 Asian 2 Other 4 Refused 1 Was your total family income in 2002 UNDER or OVER $30,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under or over $15,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $30,000 and $50,000, or between $50,000 and $75,000 or was it over $75,000? Under $15,000 11 $15,000- $30,000- $50,000Over $29,999 $49,999 $75,000 $75,000 22 27 18 18 9/28-10/1/03 Refused 5 37