The margin of error for 1010 interviews is ± by DeanSampson

VIEWS: 5 PAGES: 6

									HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006

Study #6068--page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey

Interviews: 1,010 registered voters Dates: October 28-30, 2006 FINAL Study #6068 NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 28-30, 2006 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

48 Male 52 Female [109]

The margin of error for 1,010 interviews is ± 3.1%
Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

4.

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that George W. Bush is doing as president? 7/06 High 11/01 88 7 5 Low 4/06 36 57 5 [143]

10/2830/06+ Approve...................................... 39 Disapprove................................. 57 Not sure ................................... 4

10/1316/06+ 38 57 5

9/3010/2/06+ 39 56 5 6/06 All Adults 37 58 5 10/05 39 54 7 12/04 49 44 7 3/04 50 46 5 5/03+ 62 31 7 10/02+ 63 31 6

9/811/06+ 42 53 5

All Adults 39 56 5

Reg. Voters+ 40 55 5

Reg. Voters+ 38 57 5 9/05 40 55 5 10/04+ 49 47 4 1/04 54 41 6 4/03 71 23 6 9/02 64 30 6

4/06 36 57 7 7/05 46 49 5 9/04+ 47 48 5 12/14/03 58 34 9 3/2930/03 66 29 5 7/02 67 27 6

3/06 37 58 5 5/05 47 47 6 8/04+ 47 48 5 12/13/03 52 41 7 3/23/03 67 28 5 6/02 69 23 8

1/06 39 54 7 4/05 48 46 6 7/04+ 48 46 6 11/03 51 44 5 3/17/03 62 33 5 5/02 75 18 7

12/05 39 55 6 2/05 50 45 5 6/04+ 45 49 6 9/03 49 45 6 2/03 61 31 8
1

11/05 38 57 5 1/05 50 44 6 5/04+ 47 46 7 7/03 56 38 6 1/03 54 40 6 4/01 57 22 21

4/02 74 20 6

HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006
1

Study #6068--page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey

Overnight poll conducted after Colin Powell’s speech to the United Nations. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006

Study #6068--page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey

5a.

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job that George W. Bush is doing in handling the economy? 7/06 High 12/01 63 25 12 Low 11/05 34 60 6 [145]

10/2830/06+* Approve ........................................ 46 Disapprove ................................... 48 Not sure ......................................6

10/1316/06+ 44 52 4

9/3010/2/06+ 41 53 6 6/06

9/811/06+ 43 52 5

All Adults 41 53 6

Reg. Voters+ 43 52 5

All Adults 38 56 6 9/05 40 55 5 10/04+ 45 52 3 12/13/03 48 46 6 10/02+ 48 44 8 11/03 50 44 5 9/02 48 43 9

Reg. Voters+ 39 56 5 7/05 39 54 7 9/04+ 45 51 4 9/03 43 52 6 7/02 49 43 8

4/06 35 60 5 5/05 43 51 6 8/04+ 43 52 5 7/03 45 48 7 6/02 57 34 9

3/06 36 58 6 4/05 41 53 6 6/04+ 45 49 6 5/03+ 47 45 8 4/02 61 30 9

1/06 40 53 7 2/05 46 50 4 5/04+ 41 53 6 4/03 49 42 9 1/02 63 27 10

12/05 38 54 8 1/05 47 47 6 3/04 45 51 4 1/03 44 49 7 12/01 63 25 12

11/05 34 60 6 12/04 44 51 5 1/04 49 45 6 12/02 47 45 8 4/01 52 27 21

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A/C). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

8.

What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections––a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? 10/2830/06+ 37 52 11 10/1316/06+ 37 52 11 3/06+ 37 50 13 5/05+ 40 47 13 1/04 9/3010/2/06+ 39 48 13 1/06+ 38 47 15 10/04+ 43 44 13 12/13/03 9/811/06+ 39 48 13 12/05+ 38 46 16 9/04+ 42 46 12 10/02+ 7/06+ 38 48 14 11/05+ 37 48 15 6/04+ 42 44 14 9/02 6/06+ 38 49 13 10/05+ 39 48 13 5/04+ 41 44 15 7/02 4/06+ 39 45 16 7/05+ 40 45 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 6/02

Republican-controlled Congress....... Democrat-controlled Congress ......... Not sure ............................................

[154]

HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006 42 43 15 1/02 44 40 16 4/99 41 40 19 4/99 41 40 19 4/97 44 38 18
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Study #6068--page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey 42 42 16 12/01 42 40 18 3/99 37 43 20 2/98 41 37 22 1/96 41 38 21 43 42 15 12/99 40 44 16 10/98+ 41 43 16 1/98 40 42 18 12/95 42 41 17 42 42 16 10/99 39 41 20 9/98 40 39 21 12/97 41 37 22 10/94 44 38 18 43 41 16 7/99 39 43 18 7/98 41 40 19 9/97 41 39 20 42 41 17 6/99 42 41 17 6/98 39 40 21 7/97 45 39 16

11.

Will your vote for Congress this November be a vote to send a signal of support for President Bush, a signal of opposition to President Bush, or not a signal either way about President Bush? 10/2830/06+ 22 37 38 1 2 10/1316/06+ 22 38 38 2 9/3010/2/06+ 28 39 31 2 9/811/06+ 25 37 36 2 7/06+ 21 38 39 2 6/06+ 21 38 39 2 Bill Clinton 10/98+2 28 23 49 NA -

A vote to send signal of support for Bush......... A vote to send signal of opposition to Bush ..... Not a signal either way about Bush .................. Do not plan to vote (VOL) ............................... Not sure............................................................

[159]

4/06+ 21 31 45 3
1

3/06+ 20 37 41 2

11/05+ 21 39 36 1 3

10/02+1 31 19 49 1

In October 2002, the question was phrased, “Is your vote for Congress this November a vote to send a signal of support for President Bush, a signal of opposition to President Bush, or not a signal either way about President Bush? 2 In October 1998, the question was phrased, “Is your vote for Congress this November a vote to send a signal of support for Bill Clinton, a signal of opposition to Bill Clinton, or not a signal either way about Bill Clinton?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

12a.

Has what you have seen and heard over the past few weeks made you feel more favorable, less favorable, or had no effect on your feelings about possibly having the Democrats become the majority party in Congress? 10/2830/06+ More favorable........................................................ 34 Less favorable ........................................................ 25 No effect.................................................................. 38 Have not seen/heard enough to say (VOL) ........ 1 10/1316/06+ 37 22 37 2 9/3010/2/06+ 34 23 37 4

[167]

HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006 Not sure ................................................................

Study #6068--page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey 2 2 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

12b.

Has what you have seen and heard over the past few weeks made you feel more favorable, less favorable, or had no effect on your feelings about possibly having the Republicans maintain the majority in Congress? 10/2830/06+ 19 40 38 1 2 10/1316/06+ 14 47 35 2 2 9/3010/2/06+ 18 41 35 4 2

More favorable................................................... Less favorable ................................................... No effect............................................................. Have not seen/heard enough to say (VOL) ... Not sure ...........................................................

[168]

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART/MCINTURFF October 28-30, 2006

Study #6068--page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Pre-election Survey

Turning to the war in Iraq . . . 18. When it comes to the war in Iraq, do you think that removing Saddam Hussein from power was or was not worth the number of U.S. military casualties and the financial cost of the war? 6/06 10/2830/06+ Worth it.......................................... 37 Not worth it.................................... 54 Depends (VOL) .......................... 3 Not sure ...................................... 6 12/05 41 49 5 5 2/05 44 49 3 4 6/04+ 40 51 5 4 All Adults 40 52 4 4 11/05 40 52 5 3 1/05 40 52 3 5 5/04+ 42 47 5 6 Reg. Voters+ 41 51 4 4 10/05 40 51 4 5 12/04 43 48 6 3 3/04 50 45 1 4 4/06 40 52 4 4 9/05 37 51 5 7 10/04+ 41 50 4 5 1/04 52 40 2 5 3/06 39 51 6 4 7/05 44 49 4 3 9/04+ 40 52 3 5 12/14/03 53 37 5 5 1/06 42 48 5 5 5/05 40 51 4 5 8/04+ 43 49 4 4 12/13/03 45 42 6 6

[177]

4/05 44 48 4 4 7/04+ 43 47 4 6 11/03 45 46 3 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

19.

And do you feel more confident or less confident that the war in Iraq will come to a successful conclusion? 7/06 6/06 All Adults 38 53 5 4 10/05 35 56 4 5 12/04 41 48 6 5 Reg. Voters+ 39 52 4 5 7/05 36 55 5 4 10/04+ 46 41 8 5 4/06 33 57 5 5 5/05 40 50 6 4 9/04+ 37 53 5 5 [178]

More confident.................................... Less confident .................................... Depends/some of both (VOL) ......... Not sure ............................................

10/2830/06+ 27 61 6 6

9/06+ 32 57 6 5 3/06 32 57 6 5 4/05 44 45 6 5

All Adults 32 58 4 6 12/05 39 50 6 5 2/05 47 43 5 5

Reg. Voters+ 32 58 4 6 11/05 32 58 6 4 1/05 41 48 6 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


								
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