Forecasting and Aggregate Planning - Download Now PowerPoint

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							           Toyota Motor Manufacturing
                    (TMM)
                      A case on Just-in-time and
                      Total Quality Management




                                                   1
utdallas.edu/~metin
     TOYOTA - the Largest Car Manufacturer




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                             2
    Toyota Camry Then (1992) and Now (2007)




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                              3
                      To Cincinnati




                                         Toyota
                                       Georgetown
                                          Plant




                                      To Dallas
utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                    4
    Georgetown Plant




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                       5
      Georgetown Plant   www.toyotageorgetown.com




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                                                    6
                         History of the Plant
             –   Ground breaking, May 1986
             –   First Car, May 1988
             –   Fujio Cho named the second president, Dec 1988
             –   1 millionth Camry, Oct 1993
             –   2 millionth Camry, Apr 1997
             –   Camry #1 selling car in the US in 97, 98, 99, 00
             –   Gary Convis named fifth president, Apr 2001
             –   Camry #1 selling car in the US in 02, 03, 04, 05
             –   Sixth generation Camry starts, Feb 2006



utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                    7
     Overview of the Production Process
         ???? manufacturing, ????

         ????, used for panels, bumpers, connections, protections

         ????, shaping the steel coils into body parts
            – Uses ???? dies (analogous to cookie cutters)
         ???? of the body
         ????

         ????
            – Trim
                  » Heater, A/C, Wiring
                  » Bumpers, Headliners
            – Chassis, underbody work, engine marriage
            – Final line, air bags, instrument panels, seats
         Final test, ????
utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                     8
     What is Doug Friesen’s problem?




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                       9
     Doug Friesen’s problem
    A ???? run ratio of ??%: Number assembled actually / Number could be assembled
     Line is stopped due to defectives by pulling an andon cord
          – Too often or too rare?
       ????, defective car-seat combinations sent downstream
       Defectives are due to ???? rotation, product ????, ???? ????/????
        design
       A substantial number of cars off-line with ???? seats or ???? seats.
          – Some cars wait ???? days for seats in the ???? area although ???? commits
            to send seats in a single shift.
                » Is the reordering of Ex.9 form readable?
                » Cars served FIFO?
          – What is the problem with the seats?

utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                        10
                      What are the Seat Problems?




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                    11
                        Seat
                      Problems




            ????
            ????
            ????
            ????



utdallas.edu/~metin
                                 12
                      A Test of Japanese
           Andon
           Ikko-nagashi
           Heijunka
           Jidoka
           Kaizen               What is violated at TMM?
           Kanban
           Muda
           Poka-yoke
           Takotei-mochi
           Tsukurikomi

utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                            13
                      A Test of Japanese
         Ikko-nagashi: Lot size of one
         Heijunka: Production smoothing to end up with a level plan
         Jidoka: Do not pass the defects to downstream
         Takotei-mochi: Worker flexibility
         Tsukurikomi: Built-in quality inspection




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                       14
               1. Line Stoppage
        Setting of the stage: A worker pulls the andon cord,
          music starts, team leader comes.

        TL: - What is the problem?
        W: - ………….
        TL: Decides how long the line should stop: 1 Cycle=??
          seconds or more. If the problem is severe, TL calls
          the group leader.


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                                                                15
               Continue to violate Jidoka?
         Costs         of line stoppage
              – Stopping for 1 cycle of 57 seconds
                      » Loss of revenue by one car
                      » Loss of profit
              – Overtime can be used to recover




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                     16
               Continue to violate Jidoka?
         Costs         of line
              – Stopping for 1 cycle of ?? seconds
                      » Loss of revenue by one car, $??,???
                      » Deduct costs of ??%
                      » Loss of profit of $?,???
              – Overtime can be used to recover
                      » Cost of ?? seconds of overtime ??*??*??/????=$?.???/worker
                      » How many workers stop and do overtime?
                             1 team, 1 group, assembly line, paint line, …, entire plant?
                             Depends on the ????? inventory between work centers and the length
                              of the stoppage.
                                – Ikko-nagashi couples work centers: Stopping one is stopping all.


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                                                                                                     17
     2. Crowding in the overflow area
        Can you read the reorder form in Exhibit 9?
        Computerize the information flow between TMM and ???? ?
        What is the benefit of dedicating an ???? area specific to seat
         problems?



        Dealing with mistakes efficiently vs. Eliminating mistakes




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                                                                           18
     3. Assembly area
        Job rotation, a problem source or a fix?
           – Is Takotei-mochi possible without rotation?


        Hook, now made of ???? as opposed to ????
           – Personal experience: ???? interior front door handles in my 94 Corolla
           – $50,000 to improve the hook design


        Build a seat safety inventory to reduce mismatches?




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                      19
     3. Assembly area
        Job rotation, a problem source or a fix?
           – Empowering the ????, ???? work force
           – Boredom is a source of errors, Reasonable ???? improve productivity


        Hook, now made of ???? as opposed to ????
           – $50,000 to improve the hook design
                 » Distribute the cost to cars
                 » (1 broken hook per shift)*(2 shifts per day)*(1000 days for this Camry
                   generation)
                 » Cost per car is $??, reasonable?
                 » What if the hook problem continues after the redesign?
                 » Investigate/respond to hook design change
                 » Why does not Japanese plant experience the same problem?
                         Does TPS work better in Japan? Does TPS work only in Japanese culture?
        Build a seat safety inventory to reduce mismatches
utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                                   20
     4. Supplier
        Seat quality coming down
           – At least for the new models
           – Addition of Camry Wagon and more types of seats


        Who is responsible for the seat defects
                 » The supplier?
                 » The transporter?
                 » The TMM receiving?
           – Sharing the responsibility to find the root cause of the seat defects




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                     21
     5. Seat Mismatches: RFID as a potential fix

            See Exhibit 6 for the layout

            ???? comes from main line
            ???? comes from a feeder line
            Both ???? and ???? are RFID tagged
            When the tags do not match, the workers are alerted
            This eliminates “some” errors

            Implemented in conjunction with a seat supplier according
             to ChainLink Research (www.chainlinkresearch.com)
             webinar on January 10, 2007.

utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                         22
               How much of TPS is culture?
               How much of it is science?




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                             23
            Toyota is worried of its culture being
             diluted with fast overseas growth

                                                “… the hardest thing for Toyota’s new
                                                American employees to accept: those
                                                colored bar [performance] charts against
                                                a white bulletin board, in plain view for all
                                                to see.”
                                                  Latondra Newton, Toyota Employee in Erlanger, KY
                                                                 New York Times Business Feb 15, 2007.




   Aspiring Toyota factory leaders attend
Toyota Technical Skills Academy (high
school) in Toyota City, Japan. They study
mechanical drawing/design .
   A separate institution, Toyota Institute,
prepares executives for Toyota Way. The
institute sends off its executives to offices
around the world as missionaries.
utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                                    24
                               NUMMI

                      based on a trip on Nov 19, 2002



                                                        25
utdallas.edu/~metin
                                      Railway Tracks
                                    To Oakland Harbor




To Fremont




utdallas.edu/~metin   To San Jose                       26
     History/Products
       Late 70’s oil crisis
       GM closes Fremont, CA plant firing 6000 in 1982
       Toyota approaches GM to set up Toyota production system at a GM plant,
        United Auto Workers accepts the deal
       GM and Toyota put together $400M in 1984.
          – GM is the landlord, it owns the infrastructure
          – Toyota is the tenant
       Nummi = New United Motor Manufacturing, Inc is born in 1984 as the
        unique example of a Toyota – GM joint venture
       Products: Toyota Corolla, Tacoma Trucks, Pontiac Vibe (Toyota bottom,
        GM top) and Toyota Voltz (Toyota bottom, GM top, sold in Japan) , GM
        Prism until 13/12/01



utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                 27
     Workers
                 Nummi has about 4500 unionized workers
                 Workers are under two types:
                   – Production, high school graduates
                   – Maintenance
                 Workers work in teams of 4-6
                 Workers in a team rotate the tasks every 1-3 hours
                 Team leader is responsible for the rotation.
                 Team leader withdraws parts from the inventory (every 1-2 hours) and
                  provides the tools as necessary
                 Workers make $17 per hour




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                         28
      Capacity
     Nummi has a cycle time of
       – 60 seconds for Corolla, 1 body
       – 82 seconds for Tacoma, 3 bodies
              » only cabin is produced at Nummi, the
                bottom and the back are bought from
                suppliers

     Nummi works in two shifts
       – I: 6:00-14:30, II: 16:30-1:00
       – Each shift has 1 hour lunch/dinner break
       – Starting the first shift at 6:00 workers
         avoid heavy morning traffic
       – Two hours between shifts I and II is to
         allow for overtime after the first shift when
         necessary

utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                         29
     Work Flow
       Stamping: Forming metal (side, back, front) panels with presses
       Body & Weld: Putting panels together
       Paint: Paint inspection is the current bottleneck
         – Primer body paint applied by robots (chemically hazardous task)
         – Door jambs painted manually
       Plastics: Making bumpers, inside panels

       Assembly: Putting in tires, engine, seats, bumpers, harnessing. Cars , trucks on
        2 km , 0.8 km conveyors
       Cars contain Building manifest = BOM = Ingredients list at every step of these
        operations




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                           30
     Just in time
       Kaizen: continuous improvement
       Kanban: replenishment every 1-2 hours
       Jidoka: Assure 100% quality. Otherwise pull the Andon chord
          – 1000 times per shift
          – 9% of line stops are longer than 30 seconds
          – Line stops longer than an hour once every month
       Muda: Waste to be eliminated
       Genchi Genbutsu: Go to the source to learn and to solve the problems
       This Japanese terminology is all over the boards in the plant




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                               31
     Creative Tool / Work Place Design
                 Die change at the stamping in 3 hours
                 Tilted storage bins for ease of access
                 Collapsing storage boxes when empty
                      – To reduce the empty box storage requirements in trucks returning
                        to suppliers, say in Indiana
                      – These boxes save about $10M annually
                      – The worker who suggested the boxes earned several thousand
                        points. 1 point = $1.
                 More info www.nummi.com




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                           32
                              To San Antonio by I-35



 I-35 & I-410 Intersection      I-410 Loop
Southwest of San Antonio




                             Home of Tundra in San Antonio




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                             33
        Toyota Way of Finishing a Class: - ?????? !




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                      34
                              Appendix

                      Where is your favorite brand
                           manufactured?


                                                     35
utdallas.edu/~metin
      All of Toyota Plants in the North America


                                                                    Toyota. Cambridge
                                                                Corolla, Matrix, Lexus, Rav4




                                                           Toyota-Subaru. LaFayette
                                                                    Camry

  Nummi: Toyota-GM. Freemont.
  Corolla, Tacoma, Pontiac Vibe
                                                             Toyota. Princeton
                                                          Tundra, Suquoia, Sienna

                                                                Toyota. Georgetow n
                                                               Avalon, Camry, Solara




  Toyota. Long Beach
          Hino                                          Toyota. Blue Springs
                                                            Highlander



 Toyota. Tijuana, Mexico
        Tacoma




                                  Toyota. San Antonio
                                        Tundra




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                               36
     All of Honda Plants in the North America

                                                               Honda. Alliston, Ca.
                                                             Civic, Acura, Odyssey,
                                                                  Pilot, Ridgeline




                                            Honda. Decatur
                                             TBO in 2008
                                                             Honda. Marysville
                                                              Accord, Acura




                                                Honda. Lincoln
                                                Odyssey, Pilot




                      Honda. El Salto, Me
                           Accord




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                                      37
     All of Nissan Plants in the North America




                                          Nissan. Smyrna
                                       Frontier, Xterra, Altima,
                                         Maxima, Pathfinder




                                      Nissan. Canton
                                     Quest, Armada,
                                   Titan, Infiniti, Altima




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                   38
     All of Hyundai-Kia Plants in the North America




                                                   Kia. LaGrange
                                                    TBO in 2009
                                         Hyundai. Montgomery
                                           Sonata, Santa Fe




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                   39
All of Mercedes and BMW Plants in the North America




                                                        BMW. Spartanburg
                                                            Z4, X5, X6
                                                        M roadster, coupes


                                     Mercedes. Tuscaloosa
                                         M, R classes




utdallas.edu/~metin
                                                                             40
                 All of Ford Plants in the North America

                           Ford. Dearborn                 Ford. Oakville, Ca.
                        F-150, Lincoln Mark LT            Edge, Lincoln MKX
                                                                                                            Ford. Saint Paul
                                                                                                         Ranger, Mazda B series
                                                          Ford. Saint Thomas, Ca.
                         Ford. Flat Rock               Crow n Victoria, Grand Marquis
                        Mustang, Mazda 6

                                     Ford. Wayne
                          Focus, Expedition, Lincoln Navigator
    Ford. Chicago
Taurus, Mercury Sable
                                                                 Ford. Avon Lake
                                                                  Ford E Series



                                                                                                          Ford. Kansas City
                                                                                                       Escape, Escape Hybrid,
                                                                                                           Mazda Tribute,             Ford. Louisville
                                                                                                       Mercury Mariner, F-150     F-250, F-550, Explorer,
                                                                                                                                   Mercury Mountaineer




                                                       Ontario, Michigan, Illinois,
                                                        Indiana, Ohio in Focus

                              Ford. Hermosillo, Mex.
                               Ford Fusion, Lincoln
                               MKZ, Mercury Milan




utdallas.edu/~metin                                                                         Ford. Cuatitlan, Mex.                                           41
                                                                                        F-150, 250, 350, 450, 550,Ikon
            All of Chrysler Plants in the North America
                 Chrysler. Sterling Heights
              Dodge Avenger, Chrysler Sebring
                                                           Chrysler. Brampton, Ca
                     Chrysler. Warren                          Chrysler 300,
            Dodge Ram, Dakota, Mitsubishi Raider             Dodge Challenger,
                                                              Dodge Charger
               Chrysler. Detroit-Jefferson North
            Jeep Grand Cherokee and Commander

             Chrysler. Detroit-Conner Ave.             Chrysler. Windsor, Ca
            Dodge Viper, SRT 10 Roadster        Dodge Grand Caravan, Chrysler Tow n

                                                                                                                                           Chrysler. New ark
                                                                                                                                     Dodge Durango, Chrysler Aspen
                                                                                                          Chrysler. Belvidere              Will close in 2009
                                   Chrysler. Toledo                                                       Dodge Caliber, Jeep
                               Jeep Liberty, Dodge Nitro                                                 Compass, Jeep Patriot


                                                                                                            Chrysler. Fenton-North
                                                                                                                 Dodge Ram
                                                                                                            Chrysler. Fenton-South
                                                                                                            Grand Voyager, Grand
                                                                                                             Caravan, Cargo Van




                                                   Ontario, Michigan, Illinois,
                                                    Indiana, Ohio in Focus




                                                                  Chrysler. Saltillo, Mex.
                                                                       Dodge Ram




utdallas.edu/~metin                                                        Chrysler. Toluca, Mex.                                                            42
                                                                     Chrysler PT Cruise, Dodge Journey
                All of GM Plants in the North America
                                                                       GM. Oshaw a, Ca
                                                                   Chevy Impala, Buick Allure,
                                           GM. Orion              Chevy Silverado, GMC Sierra.
           GM. Lansing-Grand River        Pontiac G6,               Trucks w ill stop in 2009.
               Cadillac E-SRX           Chevrolet Malibu
   GM. Lansing-Delta Tow nship             GM. Flint
     Buick Enclave, Saturn        GMC Sierra, Chevy Silverado,
     Outlook, GMC Acadia          Chevy - GMC medium trucks.

                           GM. Pontiac                GM. Detroit                                                     GM. Janisville
                   Chevy Silverado, GMC Sierra       Buick Lucerne,                                                  Chevy Tahoe,
                                                      Cadillac DTS                                                Suburban, GMC Yukon
                                                                                                                    Will stop in 2010
                                                                                                                                                                      GM. Wilmington
                                                                                                                                                                      Saturn L series,
               GM. Fort Wayne                                                                                                                                         Pontiac Solstice
               Chevy Silverado,
                 GMC Sierra
                                                                                                           GM. Fairfax
                                                                                                          Chevy Malibu,
                                                                                                          Malibu Maxx,                       GM. Bow ling Green
                             GM. Moraine                                                                                                       Cadillac XLR,
                        Chevy Trailblazer, GMC                                                             Saturn Aura                        Chevy Corvette
                      Envoy, Oldsmobile Bravada,                                                                            GM. Wentzville
                                                                    GM. Lordstow n                                          Chevy Express,
                      Isuzu Ascender, Saab 9-7X                   Chevy Cobalt, Pontiac                                      GMC Savana          GM. Spring Hill
                           Will stop in 2010                         Pursuit, G4, G5                                                           Saturn Ion and Vue
                                                                                                                                                Currently dow n

                                                                                                                                                     GM. Doraville
                                                                                                                                                    Chevy Uplander,
                                                                                                                                                    Pontiac Montana

                                                                                              GM. Arlington
                                         Ontario, Michigan, Illinois,                          Chevy Tahoe,           GM. Shreveport
                                                                                                 Suburban,            Chevy Colorado,
                                          Indiana, Ohio in Focus                                GMC Yukon,
                                                                                              Cadillac Escalade
                                                                                                                       GMC Canyon,
                                                                                                                       Isuzu brands,
                                                                                                                        Hummer H3




                                                                               GM. Ramos Arizpe, Mex.
                                                                       Pontiac Aztek, Chevy Cavalier, Chevrolet
                                                                      Checy, Pontiac Sunfire, Buick Rendezvous

                                                                GM. Silao, Mex.
                                                   Chevrolet Suburban, Chevrolet Avalanche,
                                                        GMC Yukon, Cadillac Escalade

                                                                           GM. Toluca, Mex.
utdallas.edu/~metin                                                      Chevrolet Kodiak Truck                                                                                  43
                                                                           Stopping in 2008

						
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