CNN OPINION POLL HILLARY OR OBAMA

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					Interviews with 1,033 adult Americans conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on January 9-10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, JANUARY 11 At 4 PM

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON 397 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS. 2. Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for President. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Arizona Senator John McCain, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson? (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Republicans Jan. 9-10 2008 McCain Huckabee Giuliani Romney Thompson Paul Hunter No opinion 34% 21% 18% 14% 6% 5% 1% 2% Oct. 12-14 2007 McCain Huckabee Giuliani Romney Thompson Paul Hunter No opinion 17% 5% 27% 13% 19% 2% 3% 11% Dec. 6-9 2007 13% 22% 24% 16% 10% 6% 2% 6% Sep. 7-9 2007 15% 5% 28% 11% 27% 1% 1% 8% Nov. 2-4 2007 16% 10% 28% 11% 19% 5% 4% 5% Aug. 6-8 2007 16% 3% 29% 12% 22% 2% * 10% June 22-24 2007 19% 2% 31% 11% 21% 2% * 10% May 4-6 2007 24% 3% 25% 11% 15% 1% 2% 8% Apr. 10-12 2007 24% 1% 30% 10% 12% 1% * 13% Mar. 9-11 2007 19% 2% 38% 10% N/A 2% * 17% Jan. 19-21 2007 27% 1% 35% 8% N/A 1% 1% 16%

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON 397 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS. 3. Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year? Jan 9-10 2008 McCain Huckabee Romney Giuliani Paul Hunter Thompson No opinion 4. 45% 18% 18% 15% 2% * * 2% Oct.12-14 2007 13% 1% 9% 50% 1% * 11% 11%

Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee? (RANDOM ORDER) Enthusiastic John McCain January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 Rudy Giuliani January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 Mike Huckabee January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 Mitt Romney January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 31% 18% 21% 27% 20% 15% 14% 15% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 46% 49% 49% 48% 52% 43% 50% 52% Dissatisfied but not upset Upset 18% 21% 21% 17% 20% 31% 27% 26% 5% 11% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% No opinion * * * 1% 1% 5% 2% 3%

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON 443 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 5. Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for President. New York Senator Hillary Clinton, former North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich, Illinois Senator Barack Obama, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, or Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel? (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Democrats Jan. 9-10 2008 Clinton Obama Edwards Kucinich Gravel No opinion 49% 36% 12% 1% * 2% Oct. 12-14 2007 Clinton Obama Edwards Kucinich Gravel No opinion 51% 21% 15% 1% 1% 7% Dec. 6-9 2007 40% 30% 14% 2% * 4% Sep. 7-9 2007 46% 23% 16% 3% 1% 3% Nov. 2-4 2007 44% 25% 14% 2% 1% 5% Aug. 6-8 2007 44% 24% 16% 2% * 6% June 22-24 2007 43% 25% 17% 2% * 5% May 4-6 2007 41% 27% 14% 1% * 6% Apr. 10-12 2007 36% 28% 15% 2% N/A 8% Mar. 9-11 2007 44% 23% 14% 1% NA 10% Jan. 19-21 2007 37% 18% 16% 2% N/A 6%

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON 443 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 6. Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president this year? Jan. 9-10 2008 Clinton Obama Edwards Gravel Kucinich No opinion 7. 55% 38% 4% * * 3% Oct.12-14 2007 64% 16% 5% 1% 1% 6%

Next I'm going to read the names of some of those candidates and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Democratic presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset if that person were the Democratic nominee? (RANDOM ORDER) Enthusiastic Hillary Clinton January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 Barack Obama January 9-10, 2008 November 2-4, 2007 45% 39% 38% 30% Satisfied but not enthusiastic 39% 39% 38% 46% Dissatisfied but not upset Upset 9% 13% 16% 15% 7% 8% 7% 8% No opinion * * 1% 1%

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Suppose the only Democratic candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Which of those two would you support? Jan 9-10 2008 Clinton Obama Neither (vol.) No opinion 53% 44% 3% 1%

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON 443 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. QUESTION 9 AND 10 COMBINED 9. 10. Do you think Barack Obama does or does not have a clear plan for handling each of the following issues? (RANDOM ORDER) Do you think Hillary Clinton does or does not have a clear plan for handling each of the following issues? (RANDOM ORDER) Economy Hillary Clinton Yes, has clear plan No, does not No opinion Barack Obama Yes, has clear plan No, does not No opinion 71% 27% 2% 59% 37% 3% War In Iraq 62% 33% 4% 51% 44% 5% Health Care 76% 22% 2% 59% 38% 4%

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January 9-10, 2008

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And please tell me whether you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely that each of the following would be elected president in November if they win their party's nomination? (RANDOM ORDER) Very Likely Hillary Clinton Barack Obama John McCain Rudy Giuliani Mike Huckabee Mitt Romney 43% 36% 24% 14% 11% 9% Somewhat Likely 31% 38% 38% 26% 31% 27% Somewhat Unlikely 11% 10% 19% 26% 28% 26% Very Unlikely 15% 15% 18% 33% 29% 37% No Opinion * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

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Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president? (RANDOM ORDER) Jan. 9-10 2008 Economy War in Iraq Health care Illegal immigration Terrorism Other (vol.) No opinion 35% 25% 18% 10% 9% 2% * Dec. 6-9 2007 29% 23% 20% 14% 10% 2% 2% Nov. 2-4 2007 29% 28% 18% 10% 12% 1% 1% Oct. 12-14 2007 22% 28% 20% 15% 12% 2% 1% June 22-24 2007 23% 31% 17% 15% 10% 3% 2%

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January 9-10, 2008

BASED ON ENTIRE SAMPLE OF 1,033 RESPONDENTS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS. 33. Do you think the economy is now in a recession, or not? Jan.9-10 2008 Yes No No opinion 61% 37% 3% Dec. 6-9 2007 57% 42% 1% Oct. 12-14 2007 46% 51% 3%

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS
Yes 2004 Jan 2-5 2003 Apr 22-23 2003 Mar 24-25 2002 Nov 22-24 2002 Oct 3-6 ^ 2002 Jul 29-31 2002 Jun 28-30 2002 May 6-9 2002 Apr 8-11 2002 Mar 8-9 ^ 2001 Nov 8-11 2001 Oct 11-14 2001 Sep 21-22 2001 Sep 7-10 2001 May 10-14 2001 Apr 6-8 2001 Mar 5-7* 2001 Feb 1-4* 1994 May 20-22 1994 Feb. 26-28 1993 Dec 4-6 1992 Sept 11-15 1992 Jan. 3-6 1991 March * Asked of a half sample. 32 56 41 52 55 46 52 45 45 56 59 49 52 51 33 42 31 44 35 34 45 79 84 81 No 66 41 54 45 40 50 45 53 52 38 38 49 43 43 62 52 64 49 61 62 50 19 14 16 No opinion 2 3 5 3 5 4 3 2 3 6 3 2 5 6 5 6 5 7 4 4 5 2 2 4

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January 9-10, 2008