A Nuclear Iran by pengxuebo


									     A Nuclear Iran

    The Best Course of Action
      for the United States

~ Kreagan Kennedy and Jacob Williams ~
           History with Iran

1968       1979     2002          2004              2006
Iran       Iranian Iran goes      Agreement         Russia provides
Ratifies   Hostage public; U.S.   with European     fuel; takes away
NPT        Crisis  refuses to     countries to      waste. IAEA
                   negotiate      keep uranium      inspectors
                                  enrichment to     allowed in with
                                  civilian levels   mixed findings.
Current U.S. Relations with
   After 9/11, Iran and U.S. interests in
   Iran helped us in Afghanistan post-9/11,
    assisting in over throw of Taliban.
   We only kept an eye on them because of
    developmental concerns due to terrorist
    groups friendly with Iran, such as
Protecting Our Interests

   Oil rich countries neighboring Iran are crucial to
    the United State’s economy.
   Our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan are close to
   Many of our European allies have economic
    interests in Iran.
   Israel, a chief ally of the United States, is not
    exactly on good terms with Iran.
Role of War on Terrorism

   Due to the war on terrorism, many U.S.
    troops are stationed in countries near
   Our soldiers are on Iran’s doorstep, not
    thousands of miles away.
   There are possible terrorists in Iran,
    Hezbollah included, who pose a threat if
    given nuclear capabilities.
The Current
Sites in Iran
Iran’s Motivations
   The Iranian government
    and people feel it is their
    right to have nuclear
   This doesn’t mean
    weapons but low-cost,
    higher technology energy
   Iran wants the diplomatic
    power that being a
    nuclear capable country
   Negotiate with Iran and allow them to have a
    nuclear program, but make sure it is closely
    supervised by the IAEA so that the enrichment
    level of the uranium remains civilian.
   Russia, the United States, and the European
    Union should be involved with the supervision
    and protection of a civilian nuclear program in
   If our relationship with Iran becomes positive,
    they will be less inclined to attempt to produce
    nuclear weapons.
Negatives of our Position

   With IAEA supervision, the Iranian facilities
    would be regulated for civilian use, but having
    supervisors doesn’t necessarily mean that Iran
    won’t be working towards nuclear weapons.
   Without decisive action, the Iranian enrichment
    programs could easily continue, unbeknownst to
    the foreign officials supposed to be carefully
    watching the program, to keep it civilian.
Faults of other Plans
   If strict sanctions were instated, European
    countries with interests in Iran would be greatly
    affected, and the world economy would be hurt.
    Our European allies would not appreciate harsh
    sanctions that affect them economically. It is
    also unlikely with these countries on the UN
    security council that sanctions will be approved.
    Furthermore, Iran has stated that the sanctions
    will not affect them, and that they will be
    undeterred, so they are a less powerful option.
Faults of other Plans…cont’d

   Military action would result in anti-
    American sentiment in the region.
    Casualties would likely occur, and our
    positions in Iraq and Afghanistan would
    be affected. By acting militarily the
    United States would be breaching
    international law.
Iran’s Priority Level
on Our Global Agenda
   The North Korean situation takes higher priority-
    threat more imminent.
   Unknown intentions in terms of nuclear
   If it is allowed to escalate, possibly another
    North Korea.
   Iran has been relatively open to foreign

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