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Programme

VIEWS: 15 PAGES: 3

									                   RA II/VI Regional Training Seminar on GDPFS and PWS in Support of
                                        Natural Disaster Reduction
                                Langen, Germany, 18 – 29 September 2006

                                         PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME
                                                 (Revised 27.09.06)

                   Reference: List of useful Internet accessible sites provided by participants.



                                                 Monday 18/09

                Opening welcome and introduction                                                     15 min
                  o WMO (WWW/APP)
                  o Local hosts and arrangements
                Introductory lectures : (subject matter, objectives, seminar programme, concepts).
8:30 – 12:30
                All lecturers involved, introduce selves
                     o Training Seminar goals/objectives, programme (Peter Chen)                     15 min
                     o Introduction to NWP and Operational Weather Forecasting (Paul Davies)         60 min
                     o Why do forecasts go wrong? (Anders Persson)                                   60 min
                     o Introduction to forecasting hazardous weather (Wilfried Jacobs)               60 min

12:30 – 13:30                                    LUNCH

                   o   Conceptual models of hazardous weather situations (Wilfried Jacobs)           120 min
13:30 – 18:00      o   WMO World Weather Watch / DPFS Programme (Peter Chen)                         60 min
                   o   Current weather discussion / Surfing the web (Wilfried Jacobs)                30 min
                   o   Open discussion and feedback, how to involve participants (All)               30 min

                                                Tuesday 19/09

                   o NWP products in relation to hazardous weather forecasting (Wilfried             90 min
8:30 – 12:30         Jacobs)
                   o Detecting and monitoring hazardous weather (Wilfried Jacobs)                    120 min
12:30 – 13:30                                    LUNCH

                NWP products in medium-range forecasting
                  o NWP and EPS products 1 (Paul Davies)                                   60 min
13:30 – 18:00     o Case study work (medium-range hazardous weather forecasting) (Wilfried 90 min
                     Jacobs)
                  o Current weather discussion / Surfing the Web (Paul Davies)             30 min
                  o Hazardous weather forecasting at NMHSs (all participants)              15 min x 4
                                              Wednesday 20/09

                   o   Uses of NWP “deterministic” versus EPS products (Anders Persson)              60 min
                   o   NWP and EPS products - 2 (Paul Davies)
8:30 – 12:30
                   o   Introduction to EPS, scientific concepts, formulation of operational EPS      60 min
                       (Anders Persson)                                                              90 min
 12:30 – 13:30                                 LUNCH

                   o Case study work – Use of NWP and EPS products (Paul Davies)                   90 min
                   o Open Forum: “Problems and solutions for hazardous weather forecasting”
                     o    - Primer 1 (Anders Persson)                                              10 min
 13:30 – 18:00       o    - Primer 2 (Paul Davies)                                                 10 min
                     o    - Discussion                                                             60 min
                   o Current weather discussion / Surfing the web (Paul Davies)                    30 min
                   o Hazardous weather forecasting at NMHSs (all participants)                     15 min x 4

                                              Thursday 21/09

                   o
                       Probabilities and probabilistic forecasting concepts - 1 (Anders Persson)   90 min
 8:30 – 12:30      o   NWP and weather forecasting in Hong Kong Observatory (Wing Mo Leung)        60 min
                   o   Probabilities and probabilistic forecasting concepts - 2 (Anders Persson)   60 min

 12:30 – 13:30                                 LUNCH

                   o Specialized NWP-based tools for hazardous weather forecasting (Wing Mo 60 min
                     Leung)
 13:30 – 18:00     o Case study work - short-range and severe weather forecasting (Wing Mo 90 min
                     Leung)
                   o Current weather discussion / Surfing the web (Anders Persson)          30 min
                   o Hazardous weather forecasting at NMHSs (All participants)              15 min x 4

                                               Friday 22/09

                   o   WMO Emergency Response Activities programme (Peter Chen)                    60 min
 8:30 – 12:30      o   NWP Verification and Performance (Anders Persson)                           90 min
                   o   Hazardous weather forecasting at NMHSs (All participants)                   15 min x 4


 12:30 – 13:30                                 LUNCH
                   o   Programme flexibility- perhaps a session dedicated to QPF and precipitation
                                                                                                   120 min
                       forecasting
                   o   Current weather discussion / Surfing the web (Wing Mo Leung)
 13:30 – 18:00                                                                                     30min
                   o   Open forum on the Training Seminar – conclusions/ recommendations
                                                                                                   60 min
                   o   Complete WMO Training Seminar Questionnaire (GDPFS)
                   o   Closing remarks (All)

                                              CLOSURE



Coffee breaks at 10:00 and 15:30 (about 30 minutes)

								
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