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  • pg 1
									        “Climate Reality”
      A Tutorial Presentation
               February 2010
           Charles Battig, M.S., M.D.
        President, Piedmont Chapter
Virginia Scientists and Engineers for Energy
              and Environment
     Does/Did Our Planet Have A
•   Who has taken the temperature?
•   Where was it measured?
•   How was it measured?
•   Was the temperature record unusual?
•   Has any scientific study proved a
    measurable link to human activity? If so,
    what activity?
  What Was The Amount of Global
  Warming That Was Portrayed As
       Cause For Concern?
Over the 20th century it was a claimed rise of
0.75 Degrees Celsius = 1.8 Degrees Fahrenheit
In the U.S. most of this temperature increase was
   confined to urban areas; matched rural areas
             showed almost no increase
 The “Climategate” affair has cast doubt on the
         validity of this temperature record
   “Climategate”: A Betrayal of Trust
• Thousands of internal e-mails and documents from the
  UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
  advisory center… the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of East
  Anglia University U.K. were leaked or hacked late
  November 2009 to a Russian web-site
• The Russian Institute for Economic Analysis claimed that
  Russian temperature data had been tampered with to
  assert far more warming than had actually occurred
• Independent reviewers have since found a general
  pattern of shutting out dissenters, manipulating climate
  data to fit the IPCC global warming story line, and illegal
  dodging by a small, politically connected group of climate
  scientists of U.K. Freedom Of Information Act requests
          Hall of Shame, Continued:
• Prof. Trenberth: “The fact is that we can’t account for the
  lack of warming at the moment (October 2009) and it is a
  travesty that we can’t”; “The fact that we can not account
  for what is happening in the climate system makes any
  consideration of geoengineering quite hopeless as we will
  never be able to tell if it is successful or not”
• Prof. Tom Wigley, National Center for Atmospheric
  Research…lowered temperature blip for mid-20th century
• William Connolley, U.K. Green Party activist…since 2003
  rewrote 5,428 Wikipedia climate articles , turning it into
  the “missionary wing of the AGW movement” blocking
  access to contrary opinions; member of Realclimate.org
    Climategate “Science Hall Of Shame”
       Includes U.K. and U.S. Members
• Prof. Philip Jones, U.K Director CRU…resigned
• Prof. Michael Mann, Penn State University (prior UVA)…
  originator of the discredited “hockey stick” graph; under
  investigation; subject to fraud investigation by US Attorney
  General Office for possible misuse of public funds
• Dr. James Hansen, NASA/GISS…selective temperature
  sourcing and data “adjustments” producing a warming bias
• Prof. Kevin Trenberth, National Center for Atmospheric
  Research; IPCC lead author…promoted unsubstantiated
  claims of hurricane increases caused by global warming
                 More IPCC Shame
• Dr. Benjamin Santer (Lawrence Livermore National
  Laboratory): lead author of Chapter 8 of the 1995 IPCC
  Working group report now admits (January 2010) that he
  alone arbitrarily deleted the five original statements by the
  scientists in their finalized draft of that chapter which had
  stated that “there is no discernable human effect on global
  temperatures”, reflecting his, non-peer-reviewed opinion,
  and upholding the IPCC man-made climate change premise
• The IPCC was created to establish mankind’s influence on
  climate; not to be an independent climate research entity
• “Climategate” scientists appear to have let personal belief
  and advocacy to taint their impartial scientific analysis
       IPCC Melting Himalayan Glaciers 2035
            Prediction…Now Recanted
• The latest IPCC report (2007) claimed that the world’s
  glaciers were melting so fast that those in the Himalayas
  could vanish by 2035
• January 2010: IPCC admits that the claim was based on a
  single, non-peer reviewed, popular science magazine (New
  Scientist) article, then quoted by the World Wildlife Fund
  (WWF), and not expert reviewed by the IPCC
• The author of the article now admits his claim was made to
  support the politically correct view point of the IPCC
• The activist group Greenpeace is now revealed as the
  source for non-peer reviewed claims of coral reef and
  Amazon degradation, in that same IPCC report
Headline From U.K. Sunday Daily
   Mail, February 14, 2010
                • Data for “hockey stick
                  graph” has gone missing
                • There has been no
                  global warming since
                • Warming periods have
                  happened before, i.e. in
                  medieval times – but
                  NOT due to man-made
    More Doubt About IPCC Scientific
• Railroad engineer, Rajendra Pachauri, has been the
  chairman of the IPCC since 2002
• During January 2010, reports from Britain and India
  revealed his ties to a number of energy companies,
  including The Energy Research Institute (TERI), the Oil and
  Natural Gas Commission , Indian Oil Corporation, the
  National Thermal Power Corporation, and the TATA Group,
  some of which received funding based on these IPCC
  climate claims
• India has announced plans to leave the IPCC and form its
  own climate panel
Cooking The Climate Data
 Can We Trust The Data?
      Copenhagen December 2009
      Climate Conference “COP-15”
• A much hyped, follow-on to the Kyoto Protocol of 1997,
  which covered the period of 2008-2012, sponsored by Club
  of Madrid, the EU Commission, and the UN, amongst
  others…attended by thousands of activists and politicians
• The original 1997 Kyoto treaty was signed by President
  Clinton, but he never submitted it to the senate for
• The “Copenhagen Accord” calls for no 2020, nor 2050
  emission reductions and has attracted few signatories
• Political squabbling over wealth re-distribution and one-
  world governance replaced concerns over global climate

Credit: Dr Fred Goldberg, Sweden
The Arctic Has Been Warmer In The
Past When CO₂ Levels Were Lower

 Figure by Arndt Bemaerts in “How Spitsbergen Heats the World”
       Earlier Arctic Ice Melts
Roald Amundsen 1903       USS Skate          1958

                      Image : US Navy Submarine Laboratory
    No History Of “Tipping Points”
  CO₂ And Temperatures From The Past

Slide: www.geocraft.com ,Temp: C.R. Sootese, CO2:R. A. Berner
        Global Temperature Record
• There has been an apparent period of global warming at
  an average baseline trend of 0.7 C per hundred years since
  the end of the “Little Ice Age” (A.D. 1300-1850), although
  the absolute validity of the surface temperature record is
  now questionable because of NOAA and GISS
  “adjustments”, and “loss” of original temperature data
• Why did “Little Ice Age” end around 1850, well before the
  beginning of the modern industrial age and major increases
  in carbon dioxide emissions beginning in the late 1940s?
• Why did the “Medieval Warm Period” occur during A.D.
  900-1300 and produce global temperatures several degrees
  warmer than now, even though carbon dioxide levels were
  very much lower than now?
   Global Temperatures, Past, Present &
 Future ? It All Depends Upon Your Chosen
      Starting Point And Time Period

Graph: Dr. Syun Akasofu-The Third Heartland Climate Conference, NYC, 2009
   The Troublesome Medieval Warm Period:
     “M. Mann Made” Global Warming?

Documentation Of Climate Cycles
               Dr. Singer is professor
               emeritus of environmental
               sciences at the University of
               Virginia; president of The
               Science and Environmental
               Policy Project (1990); served
               as the first director of the
               U.S. National Weather
               Service; and is co-founder of
               Virginia Scientists and
               Engineers for Energy and
The Natural History Of Climate
 Is One Of Constant Change

Climate Change Is The Normal
    State Of The Climate

Change Is The Normal State Of
   All Life And All Matter
    Is There Anything Unusual About The Global
   Temperature Record Since The Ending Of The
       “LITTLE ICE AGE” Around 150 Years Ago?
• Three similar periods of increased rates of warming: 1860-
  1880, 1910-1940, and 1975-1998
• In between these warming periods, global temperatures
  declined at about the same rate, but In the early 1970s,
  newspaper and magazine headlines proclaimed numerous
  scientific predictions of a coming ice age, world famine, and
  deaths; of course nothing of the sort happened
• For the past seven years the four major international global
  temperature monitoring agencies have documented a
  global cooling even as carbon dioxide increases: a non-
                                 1900 To Present
                                A Record Of Cycles

Source: www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/; www.c3headlines.com
       2009: Another Average Year

          1934 the hottest

Data source: National Climate Data Center; Graph: World Climate Report
           Thirty Year Satellite Global
              Temperature Record

www.drroyspencer.com , monthly satellite temperature data
    Surface Temperature Record Problems
• Surface temperature data accuracy susceptible to faulty placement of
  recording instruments, urban heat island bias, in addition to
  investigator “warming” bias at CRU, NASA/GISS, and NOAA
• By 1990 NOAA dropped 4, 550 of its 6,000 global thermometers,
  preferentially retaining those in warmer urban sites, retaining only
  one above the Arctic Circle
• Only 3 % of US temperature sites(865 out of 1,221) meet the Class 1
  quality rating of the National Administration’s National Weather
  Service for a technically correct location
• Land surface stations can only monitor 30% of the earth; the rest of
  the earth is water covered
• A large number of temperature monitoring sites in Russia have been
  abandoned; most were in cold areas; their loss produced a warming
  bias in the world data
         A Global Warming “Source”

Image: NOAA USHCN COOP Station , Hanksville, UT, Credit: www.wattsupwiththat.com
   Different Siberian Tree Core Data,
Different Temperature Reconstructions

          IS NOT
        CAUSED BY
         CAUSED BY
December 24, 1979
      Fear Global Cooling, Not Global
•History of more deaths in cool periods because of
disease and famine resulting from crop failures
• More cardiovascular and respiratory deaths in
winter, particularly for women
• More falls and broken bones in winter
• More winter related traffic and pedestrian deaths
• Many climatologists now forecast 20 more years of
global cooling, as cooling/warming cycles have
averaged 30 years each in the recent past
     What Created The Current Fixation
     With Global Warming And Climate
• Enron Energy was early to promote green energy and
  natural gas in the 1990s as a new profit making
  scheme; coal was an energy competitor and was
  demonized by Ken Lay’s company
• Enron lobbying in Clinton/Gore era
• Gore film Inconvenient Truth and “The Hockey Stick”
• Earth Day in Rio 1992: anti-capitalists+environmental
  activists; Canadian oil magnate Maurice Strong
• IPCC formation in 1988 and the 1997 Kyoto protocol
• United Nations’ One-World-Government Solutions
           Global Warming Agenda
• Club of Rome: “The common enemy of humanity is man;
  we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of
  global warming…would fit the bill”
• Prof. Stephen Schneider, Stanford Climatologist: “we have
  to offer up scary scenarios…make little mention of
  doubts…decide the right balance between being effective
  and being honest”
• Paul Watson, co-founder of Greenpeace: “it doesn’t matter
  what is true, it only matters what people believe”
• Maurice Strong, UN Environment Program: “The U.S. is the
  greatest threat to the global environment…isn’t it the only
  hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations
  collapse? “ IPCC formed to find mankind’s climate impact
         “The Science Is Settled”
•A falsehood – true science is never settled and is
always open to a better explanation:
  The sun revolves about the earth; the earth is flat;
  peptic ulcers are caused by excess acid; Euclidian
  geometry; Newtonian physics…all disproved or revised
•Saying something is so does not make it so;
traditional science does not depend on consensus
•Arguments to authority are not scientific proof
•A cowardly position taken by those unwilling or
unable to engage in open, scientific debate
        The Science Is Settled?
• January 2010: IPCC contributor Susan
  Solomon now reports that water vapor levels
  in the stratosphere had dropped in the past
  decade coincident with the observed global
  cooling, even as CO2 levels continued to rise
• January 2010: Swiss Federal Research Institute
  now reports that atmospheric CO2
  amplification of global warming is 80% less
  than previously assumed
         Saturated Fat Causes
        Cardiovascular Disease
    “The Science is Settled”…Really?
• A 2009 analysis of 21 epidemiological studies
  monitoring 350,000 people found “no association
  between saturated fat and risk of CHD or stroke”
• A 2008 report from the World Health Organization
  and Food and Agriculture Organization of the US
  found that “intake of saturated fatty acids was not
  associated with CHD events or mortality; fatal CHD
  were not reduced by low-fat diets”
      Huge Government Subsidies
          Political Opportunism
       Commercial Opportunism
 Massively Funded One-Sided “Science”
The Rise of “Post-Normal” Bogus Science
  Environmentalism Dogma In Place Of
   Impartial Evidence-Based Science
                 Dirty Money?
Environmentalists claim that science funded by “dirty oil
money” is corrupt and to be disregarded, yet:
 – Canadian oil magnate, avowed socialist, Maurice
   Strong, together with the U.N.’s Kofi Ann, was one of
   the founding fathers of the Intergovernmental Panel on
   Climate Change (IPCC) 1988
 – The Pew Charitable Trusts were founded on Sun Oil
   money; the Sierra Club receives funding from the Pew
 – Standard Oil fortunes funded the Rockefeller Institute
 – Cities Service Oil fortunes funded the Alton Jones and
   Blue Moon foundations; the Sierra Club receives
   funding from Blue Moon
• A popularized, fictional allusion to a garden
  greenhouse although the Earth does not have a
  glass house roof and walls, but is open to outer
• The Greenhouse Hypothesis supposes that the
  mixture of atmospheric gases hinders the loss of
  heat energy from the Earth out into space; that a
  warmer Earth evaporates more water vapor to the
  atmosphere, causing more heat trapping,
  amplifying the small, non-linear effect of carbon
  dioxide in a positive feedback cycle
• Space measurements suggest negative feedback
 What Are The Atmospheric
• Nitrogen comprises about 78%
• Oxygen comprises about 20%
• Greenhouse gases comprise
  about 2%
Relative Contributions Of The
     Green House Gases
  Man Made Carbon Dioxide vs.
Naturally Occurring Carbon Dioxide
           What Is The Source For
        Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide?
• Naturally occurring sources of carbon dioxide are estimated to
  make up about 96% of total carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
  , +/-186 billion tons
• All man-made sources, called anthropogenic sources, are
  estimated to contribute about 3.25% to the total carbon
  dioxide in the atmosphere, +/- 6-7 billion tons
• By taking the 3.25% manmade contribution of total carbon
  dioxide emissions and applying that fraction to the 3.6% of the
  total carbon dioxide greenhouse effect, (0.0325 x 0.036 =
  0.117%, approximately) one sees that the human contribution
  of carbon dioxide is responsible for about   0.117% of the
  total so called greenhouse gas effect
  The Expenditure Of Tens Of Billions Of
 Governmental Funding Has Not Proved A
 Link Between Global Warming And Man
          Made Carbon Dioxide
• IPCC global temperature/greenhouse gas
  computer models predict that there should
  be an increased rate of warming of the
  atmosphere around six miles above the
  earth’s surface
• Thirty years of satellite temperature records
  fail to show it---”the missing fingerprint”
The Missing Greenhouse Gas “Hot Spot”
All The IPCC Computer Models Predict It;
Real World Measurements Do Not Find It

  • Te

Sources: (A) Assessment Report 4, IPCC 2007; (B) Synthesis and Assessment Report 1.1 CCSP, 2006
Real World Data From The Earth
 Radiation Budget Experiment

Satellite data from the real world contradicts eleven theoretical climate
                            computer models
    CO2 Up, But Temperature Down

Graph credit: J. D’Aleo 2008
    Misleading Terminology By
        Climate Alarmists
1. “Global Warming” was rebranded as “Climate
   Change” to cover warming and cooling events so as
   to become the universal environmentalism
2. The term “Carbon Pollution” was crafted in an
   attempt to taint life-sustaining carbon dioxide with
   the image of generic pollution (NOx, SO₂, lead, CO)
3. Since 1980, the EPA reports that emissions of the
   actual six “principle pollutants” have declined 49
4. Carbon dioxide was not a “principle pollutant”
    “Climate Change”…A Problem?
• Whose climate needs to be changed?
• What is the universally “correct” climate ?
• Who shall decide the “correct” climate?
• What group and mechanism shall be used
  to change the climate?
• Who will be responsible if the climate
  change results in harm to some but benefits
The “Climate Change” Language Of Fear,
 Media Sound Bites In Place of Science
•   If current trends continue…
•   Unprecedented…
•   According to computer studies…
•   Not experienced since…
•   There is a XX% chance…
•   Scientists agree…
•   We must act now…
•   In my opinion…
    The Supreme Court ruled it a “pollutant”
  based on existing EPA automobile emission
   regulations, not on independent scientific
 With all due credit to Charles Dickens “If the
law supposes that…the law is an ass…an idiot”
   Your Life Depends On Plant Life;
Plant Life Depends On Carbon Dioxide
    The Basic Equation of Plant Life
    6CO₂ + 6H₂O → C₆H₁₂O₆ + 6O₂
        chlorophyll + light + nutrients
               In Words:
 Plants Convert Atmospheric Carbon
  Dioxide Plus Water In The Presence
        of Plant Chlorophyll Into
      Carbohydrates And Oxygen
    The Benefits Of Increased CO₂ To
      Plant Life…And To Your Life
• Increased atmospheric CO₂ promotes increased
  plant growth…a free fertilizer
• Increased atmospheric CO₂ enables plants to resist
  stress and use less water
• Plant nurseries increase their CO₂ levels 3 to 4 times
  over normal atmospheric levels to promote growth
• NASA reports a 6.2% in Earth biomass over 20
  years…the Amazon rainforest is increasing
• Eastern U.S. forests are growing the fastest in 225
  years as CO₂ levels increased 12% over 22 years
    What Is The Source For All The Claims Of
        Impending Climate Disasters?
• Computer models are used to try to predict future
  climate states; none have been able to accurately
  predict past climate changes nor predict beyond a
  few days
• Computers reflect the knowledge, prejudices,
  assumptions, guesses, and desired outcome biases
  of the modeler
• The IPCC issues only make believe, “what if”
  scenarios and projections, which the media and
  politicians falsely portray as predictions
  When Does Weather Become
     In 1964, Edward Lorenz, American
   meteorologist, mathematician, and early
    computer analyst published his paper
       “Does a Climate Exist?”
Lorenz was also the founder of “chaos theory”
  and considered the mathematical possibility
  that there is no long term average weather;
 therefore there is no stable climate; therefore
  weather/climate is always changing on some
                    time scale
       Climate Computers Can Not
           Predict the Climate
•Claims of climate catastrophes, disease spread , species
extinction and the like in 2020, 2050, or 2100 are computer
fictions generated by biased, incomplete understanding,
and/or faulty assumptions
•The absence of a full understanding of all the climatic
factors, their interactions, their precise initial measurements,
and their non-linear relationships dooms long term climate
   •The complex interaction of low level clouds, high level clouds, ice
   particles, cosmic ray particles, aerosol and soot particles, and
   humidity changes with altitude are poorly understood
•The past seven years of global cooling were not predicted by
the UN climate models, in much the same way that the most
sophisticated financial computers failed to predict the
financial collapse of the past several years
                    The United Nations’
                IPCC Does Not Make Climate
Third IPCC Assessment Report (2001), Chapter 14, page 774

774 Advancing Our Understanding (continued):
the magnitude and pattern of the response. Furthermore, many
groups have now performed model integrations using similar
radiative forcings. This allows ensembles of model results to be
constructed (see Chapter 9, Section 9.3; see also the end of
Chapter 7, Section 7.1.3 for an interesting question about
ensemble formation).
In sum, a strategy must recognise what is possible. In climate
research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing
with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the
long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible
       ARGO Ocean Temperature Data:
      3,000 Automated Recording Buoys

www.wattsupwiththat.com/2009/05/06: William DiPuccio “The Global Warming Hypothesis…
    Evidence Of Long Term Ocean

Graph: Dr. Roy Spencer, University of Alabama
              Arctic Sea Ice 2002-2010
                By Satellite Imagery

www.wattsupwiththat.com monthly IARC-JAXA Information System update
 If Manmade CO2 Is Not A Significant
Driving Force Of The Climate, What Is?
• Natural rhythms of ocean circulations
  – North Atlantic Decadal Oscillation (ADO)
  – Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
  – Arctic Oscillation (AO)
  – Thermohaline Circulation/Ocean Conveyor Belt
  – El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
  – El Nino warming/La Nina cooling pattern
• Natural surface volcanic activity releasing
  dust and gases into the atmosphere
• Natural under-ocean volcanic activity
 The Sun, More Than Just Sunshine

Image credit: NASA
       Where Have All The Sunspots

Image credit: Wikipedia
      Other Causes, Continued, Solar
• Solar Activity:
  – Sunspot activity, a nominal 11 year cycle, nearing a
    hundred year low in 2009 with over 590 cumulative
    days of spotless days; activity finally up in January 2010
  – Sporer-Maunder-Dalton sun spot minimums spanning
    1400s to 1800 coincided with the Little Ice Age
  – Modern solar Grand Maximum State of 20th century has
    come to an abrupt end
  – Solar and Earth magnetic field changes
  – Solar emissions of various high energy particles and
    solar wind at 55 year low
  – Solar/Earth magnetosphere/ionosphere energy transfer
  – Solar brightness
     Interaction Between The Solar Wind
     And Cosmic Ray Particles And Cloud
        Formation Theory (Svensmark)
• As the solar wind blows past the Earth, it deflects
  incoming cosmic ray particles
• These cosmic ray particles are thought to be responsible
  for the formation of moisture particles in the atmosphere,
  which subsequently coalesce to form low level, cooling
• Increased solar wind activity thereby results in fewer
  cooling clouds = global warming
• Decreased solar wind activity results in more cooling
  clouds = global cooling
 “Anthropogenic Global Warming
         Theory Is A Lie”
  Former NASA employee, Dr. Ferenc Miskolczi,
an atmospheric physicist, has a formalized proof
                      for his claim
     His theory and proof demonstrate a self
       regulating mechanism which balances
   atmospheric water vapor and carbon dioxide
      keeping the earth’s greenhouse effect in
 The chief causes of global warming are changes
        in reflected sunlight and solar energy
           More Other Causes
• Natural changes in the orbit, tilt, and wobble
  of the earth’s axis in relationship to the sun
• Natural changes in the solar system geometry
  and dynamics; other planets in our solar
  system have also shown evidence of
  simultaneous warming
• Changes in land use patterns: farming
  practices, irrigation practices, urbanization
• Manmade aerosols and soot
• Legislated prohibition of brush clearing in
  known fire zones, e.g. Australia and California
                Al Gore Spotlight
• In response to a law suit by a father of an English school
  child, a British Judge found in his 2007 ruling that “An
  Inconvenient Truth” was political propaganda and had
  erred in 9 of its 12 claims
• Mr. Gore featured the discredited “hockey stick” graph of
  climatologist M. Mann, attempting to show that the 20th
  century warming was linked to human industrial activities
  and unprecedented. The “hockey stick” graph had
  eliminated the Medieval Warm Period (A.D. 900-1300),
  when temperatures were as warm or warmer than now,
  and CO2 levels much lower. The graph was shown to be a
  statistical artifact by independent researchers.
     British Court Rules “Inconvenient Truth” –
     Partisan Political View, Citing Nine Errors
                                         • Sea level rise of 20 feet
                                         • Pacific Atolls Inundated
                                         • Shutting Down of Ocean
                                           Conveyor Belt
                                         • CO₂ and Temperature
                                           Charts Not Linked
                                         • The Snows of Kilimanjaro
                                         • Lake Chad
                                         • Hurricane Katrina
                                         • Death of Polar Bears
Image: Heartland Institute publication
                                         • Coral Reefs
      Mr. Gore’s Financial Links
• He is a investor-partner in the California
  venture capital firm Kleiner-Perkins, which
  specializes in energy and environmentally
  oriented investments
• He is co-founder of the London based, carbon
  trading firm Generation Investment
• To date, Mr. Gore refuses to openly debate the
  science of his proclaimed climate crisis
Polar Bear Populations; Not One But
     20 Significant Populations

Source: IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group, 1997
      Polar Bears; The Numbers
• Worldwide, there are now 22,000 to 25,000; 50
  years ago there were 8,000 to 10,000
• The most significant factor in control of polar
  bear populations has been the regulation of
  hunting permits
• Polar bears have been around for over 100,000
  years and have survived higher temperatures
  than at present
• Mr. Gore’s publicity film falsely implied an
  epidemic of drowning polar bears; in fact there
  were four polar bears found dead following an
  unusually strong Beaufort Sea Storm in 2004
    Carbon Dioxide Emissions Up,
      Hurricane Activity Down

Credit: Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University
              Long Term Ocean Levels

Image Credit: Global Warming Art; www.wattsupwiththat.com February 4, 2010
Ancient Mass Hysteria
          Published in 1841
          • The Mississippi Scheme
          • The South-Sea Bubble
          • Tulipomania
          • The Alchemists
          • Fortune-Telling
          • The Magnetizers
          • The Crusades
          • The Witch Mania
      Modern Hysteria And Scams
•   DDT
•   Disappearing U.S. farmland
•   Disappearing rain forests
•   Year 2000 computer scare
•   Long Term Capital scam
•   Bernard Madoff and Ponzi investment scams
•   Housing market bubble
•   Perpetual environmental disasters
•   Run away/tipping point global warming
•   Autism and vaccines
True In 1999; True In 2009
           • False “Bad News”
           • Bad news sells papers, raises
             campaign donations, and
             research grants
           • Paul Ehrlich prophet of doom ;
             population bomb; climate doom
           • Peak Oil
           • Acid Rain
           • Vanishing Farmland Scam
           • Endless imagined environmental
           • Past irrationally viewed as
             better than present
J. Simon’s “Media-Shaped Opinion”
           Feedback Loop
1. The media carry stories about environmental
2. People therefore become frightened
3. Polls then show people to be worried
4. The worry then is cited as support for policies
   to initiate actions about the supposed scares
5. These policies raise the level of public
   concern further, which the media report
   again…back to step 1
                    Energy Sources
• Windmills and solar energy sources provide about 1-2% of
  our energy needs ,gobble up huge tracts of land and water
  resources, and disrupt native habitat…one 1,000MW coal
  plant replacement takes 600 sq. miles of wind turbines, and
  require backup, inefficiently operated electric power plants
   – In Spain, windmill “green jobs” cost 9 jobs for every 4
     new ones at a cost of $750,000 per green job, but
     collapsed following the withdrawal of lavish
     governmental subsidies
• Fossil fuels “the original biofuels” coal, oil, and gas provide
  about 85% of our energy
• Nuclear power provides about 8-9%
• Hydroelectric plants supply about 3%
    Solar And Wind Power Receive
     Huge Governmental Taxpayer
      On a dollar per megawatt hour basis:
•Solar receives       $24.34
•Wind receives        $23.37
•Nuclear receives     $ 1.59
•Hydro receives       $ .67
•Coal receives        $ .44
•Oil receives         $ .25
 Data: U.S. Energy Information Administration 2008
  Wind And Solar As Alternate Power?
• Less than 1% of U.S. electricity is generated from petroleum
• Petroleum represents less than 40% of total U.S. energy use
• Two thirds of imported oil comes from Canada and Mexico,
  not the Middle East
• China and other foreign countries have supplied 65% of
  U.S. wind installations; 80% of 2 billion of your tax dollars
• China is the world manufacturing center for solar power
  panels, a technology producing a variety of toxins
• China is the source for rare earth metal ores used in electric
  car batteries and electric motors
• Britain reported that this winter, wind power failed to
  deliver during the cold and snowy conditions…lack of wind
       Green Energy ?– Clean Energy?
• If it is “green”, is it supported in practice by environmental
   – Carbon free nuclear power is opposed by the Sierra club
         • France generates 80-85% of its electric power by nuclear
         • China is adding 100 new nuclear plants over the next 20
   – Carbon free hydropower, wind power, and desert solar farms
       are opposed by environmentalists
• Green energy/clean energy is by political mandate, needlessly
  more expensive energy
• Discouraging domestic oil and coal energy development
  reduces domestic energy security and results in more
  importation of foreign oil
• Ethanol from corn has increased food prices, reduced car
  mileage, and increased pollution
Oil Pollution in Our Off-Shore
Waters? Nature Does It “Best”
   Is The U.S. An Out Of Line Polluter?
• In 2008, the U.S. accounted for 30% of the world’s
  gross domestic product
• In 2008, the U.S. accounted for 19% of global
  greenhouse gas emissions
• Between 1980 and 2008, the EPA reported double
  digit declines in the six major pollutants ( carbon
  monoxide, ground level ozone, lead, nitrogen
  dioxide, particulate matter, and sulfur dioxide) even
  as fossil fuel use increased
• The U.S. manages to produce more goods and
  simultaneously reduce levels of pollution
      Are You Worried About Your
           Carbon Footprint?
• By one estimate, it takes 1,767,250,000,000 metric
tons of carbon dioxide to raise global temperature 1
degree Centigrade.

• If you stopped driving your car for one year, you
would save about 5.5 metric tons of carbon dioxide.
Divide 5.5 by the above number, and that is your
contribution to global warming reduction.

• If the entire state of Virginia were to completely shut
down all fossil fuel consumption, it would take only 50
days for that saving to be replaced by global growth.
Page One Of Three Pages OF EPA
 Instructions For CFL Handling

            Waxman-Markey Bill
        Kerry-Boxer Clean Energy Bill
        Both Are Disguised TAX BILLS
•In spite of the attempt to camouflage the fact with changing
terminology, both of these bills are governmentally imposed,
arbitrary TAX BILLS on energy, dispensing tax payer monies to
politically favored industries and lobbying groups
•Even if carbon dioxide emissions are impacted by these bills,
temperature change by 2050 would be less than one tenth of
a degree
•The true cost to the consumers of this energy tax has been
estimated at $1,500 to $3,500 per family, per year with no
measurable benefit to the global climate
            Why Not A Carbon Tax?
• A straight forward carbon tax could be implemented by the
• Wall Street banks, investment banks, and commodity
  trading investors do not support a tax because they would
  be left out of the money loop, being deprived of the huge
  trading profits that they wish to skim off from a multi-
  trillion dollar “cap and trade” marketplace…subprime
  morgtage/Bernard Madoff redux?
• Carbon trading credits (cap and trade) represent a uniquely
  fictitious commodity having no physical existence; a form
  of fiat money and ripe for fraud as already demonstrated in
            Taxpayer Money Tree
• Follow the money…approximately $79 BILLION has
  been spent by the U.S. government funding global
  warming/“climate change” projects since
  1989…based on the predetermined premise that
  manmade CO2 is a climate change problem
  requiring immediate solution
• “Everyone” has learned how to make a buck from
  the “incurable problem” of natural climate
  change---the invented disaster that keeps on
  giving university grant money, favored federal
  subsidies, Wall Street profits, media scare stories,
  activist funding, and political control
• Federal make-work, giveaways of taxpayer money
  to a chosen scientific/industrial complex is akin to
  the make-work WPA programs of the 1930s
      What Your Federal Government
      And The Media Suggest You Do
• Andrew Revkin, NY Times environmental writer: “single
  most substantive thing an American could do is not turning
  off a light or driving a Prius, it’s having fewer children”
• John Holdren, President Obama’s Federal science advisor:
  “families contribute to general social deterioration by
  overproducing children; a planetary regime might be given
  responsibility for determining optimum population for the
• Victoria University (Australia): Brenda and Robert Vale ,
  sustainable living specialists, publish: “Time To Eat The
  Dog”; calculating that feeding a dog for a year produces
  more carbon emissions than a SUV; feeding a cat produces
  the emissions of a VW golf
               What To Do ?
• The current state of climate understanding
  does not justify a radical restructuring of the
  industrialized world
• The current state of impartial scientific
  evidence does not support claims of
  impending global climate disasters
• A new era of open and unbiased climate
  research, divorced from political and
  agenda driven activists, is needed
               What Can You Do?
• Educate yourself beyond the biased media; it takes
• Find out what your children and grandchildren are
  being taught in school; demand unbiased science, not
  the politically correct dogma of advocacy groups
• Realize the basic fact of modern life: that control of
  energy and its cost is control of your and your families’
• Realize that energy companies will pass onto you any of
  their mandated increased costs of energy production
• Voluntary energy conservation is, and has always been,
• Question the motives of the politicians and special
  interest groups and let them know your views
               In Closing

H.L. Menken’s insight from the early 1900s, is
 still valid: “The whole aim of practical politics
  is to keep the populace alarmed , and hence
 clamorous to be led to safety , by menacing it
   with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of
                  them imaginary
       Climate Information Web Sites,
             Some Suggestions
• www.climatedepot.com …updates from multiple news
  sources, with links to the original sources
• www.theclimatescam.com …in Swedish
• www.cornwallalliance.org ...a faith based view
• www.green-agenda.com ...learn about the common
  “one world government” ambitions of the founders of
  the United Nations and supporting environmentalists
• www.icecap.us ... updated daily by meteorologist Joe
  D’Aleo , with links to the original sources
• www.junkscience.com founded by Green Hell author
  Steve Milloy, daily updates with links to original
                More Web Sites
• www.PlantsNeedCO2.org …Plant scientists
  demonstrate the very positive benefits from more CO2
• www.scienceandpublicpolicy.org …in depth essays
  including those by Lord Christopher Monckton, former
  science advisor to Margaret Thatcher
• www.sepp.org ...UVA’s Professor S. Fred Singer,
  updates under his “The Week That Was” (TWTW)
• www.wattsupwiththat.com …San Diego meteorologist
  Anthony Watts, with science publications
• www.worldclimatereport.com …long running, factual
  analysis web site
• www.undueinfluence.com ...follow the oil money trail
  supporting your favorite “green” organization

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