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					Some Preliminary
Numbers on the
Preliminary Maps


      Eric McGhee
Competitive seats: current
                                                                           Old Plan
                              18                                           New Plan

                              16


                              14   Total Assembly
Number of Competitive Seats




                                     Seats: 80                          Total House
                              12
                                          11                             Seats: 53
                                                    Total Senate*            10
                              10
                                    9                 Seats: 40

                               8
                                                           7

                               6

                                                                    4
                               4
                                                    3

                               2


                               0
                                   Assembly          Senate             House

                                                                                      2
Competitive seats: first draft
                                   Total Assembly
                                                                          Old Plan
                              18
                                     Seats: 80                            New Plan
                                           16
                              16


                              14
Number of Competitive Seats




                              12                                       Total House
                                                                        Seats: 53
                                                    Total Senate
                              10
                                    9                Seats: 40                 9

                               8
                                                           7

                               6

                                                                   4
                               4
                                                    3

                               2


                               0
                                    Assembly        Senate             House

                                                                                     3
 Partisan effects: current
                                                    Assembly   Senate   House



Change in number of Democratic-leaning seats          +1        +0       +6
Change in number of Republican-leaning seats           -1        -0      -6


Number of incumbents sharing a seat with at least
one incumbent of same party:
   Democrats                                           --        --       --
   Republicans                                         --        --       --


Average registration change
(+ = favors incumbent):
   Democrats                                           --        --       --
   Republicans                                         --        --       --

                                                                                4
 Partisan effects: first draft
                                                    Assembly   Senate   House



Change in number of Democratic-leaning seats          +2        +1       +5
Change in number of Republican-leaning seats           -2        -1      -5


Number of incumbents sharing a seat with at least
one incumbent of same party:
   Democrats                                          14         4       14
   Republicans                                         5         2       6


Average registration change
(+ = favors incumbent):
   Democrats                                          +0%       -2%      -3%
   Republicans                                        -3%       -5%      -6%

                                                                                5
Congress: draft vs. current
     June 10 Draft      Current




                                  6
7
8
9
10
11
Some Preliminary
Numbers on the
Preliminary Maps


      Eric McGhee

				
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posted:7/22/2011
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