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					                                                                          Conference Program

                   Ethiopian Economics Association

  Ninth International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy
                                        July 21 – 23, 2011
                       EEA Conference Center, Addis Ababa
                                    Conference Program




8:00-8:30      Registration

8:30-9:00      Opening Ceremony

Welcoming address by Dr. Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, President, Ethiopian Economics Association
Official Opening Statement by H.E. Ato Mekonnen Manyazewal, Minister, Ministry of Trade.


9:00 - 9:45 Presidential Address by Dr Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse President,
Ethiopian Economics Association


9:45 - 10:00 Presentation of Honorarium
Conference Room 1

10:00-10:30           TEA/COFEE BREAK
10:30 – 12:30         PLENARY SESSION I Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2
Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) of Ethiopia
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Assefa Admassie

MoFED
IFPRI
EEA




 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                              1
                                                                            Conference Program

12:30 – 14:00:         LUNCH
14:00-15:30            PLENARY SESSION II
2011 Economic Report by EEA
Water Management in the Nile Basin by Nile Co-operative Project

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu

Wolday Amha: Financial Sector Development, challenges and Policy
Seid Nuru: Explaining the High Growth – High Inflation Episode of the Ethiopian Economy
Tilahun Amede: Agricultural Water Management in the Nile Basin for improving livelihood and resilience of
     system


15:30-16:00            TEA/COFEE BREAK
16:00-17:30            PARALLEL SESSION I

Successful Farmers             Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2

Conference Room 1
Chairperson: Seid Nuru

Bethelehem Koru, Fanaye Tadesse and Ibrahim Worku: Poverty Decomposition
Bart Minten: Effects of roads on Poverty
Derek Headey: Food Crisis


Agriculture Water Management Technology, Irrigation and Marketing
Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Zenebe Gebreegziabher

Hagos, F., Awulachew, S. B., Erkossa, T. and Yilma: Determinants of Successful Adoption of Agricultural Water
    Management Technologies: Case of Ethiopia, A.D
Muleta Yirga, Yesuf , Mohamednur, Gebrehaweria Gebregziabher: Assessment and Analysis of the cost- benefit
    (CBA) of ground water irrigation investment in Raya valley and Kobo area of Northern Ethiopia
Guta Legesse: Asymmetric Farm-Retail Price Transmission in the Marketing of Vegetables in the Central and
    Eastern Ethiopia


 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                        2
                                                                            Conference Program
Getaw Taddesse: Clientelism among smallholders and Grain Traders in Ethiopia: Opportunity and Trait.


Aid and External Debt
Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Haile Kibret

Nega Ejigu: Foreign Aid and Economic Growth in Ethiopia: a Time Series Approach
Yohannes Ghebru Alemayehu: Impact Evaluation of Foreign Aid on Ethiopian Economy post 1991/92
Hailemariam Ayalew: The Impact Of External Debt On Economic Growth and Private Investment Of Ethiopia: A
     Vector Auto Regressive Approach


Export related issue
Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Amin Abdella

Yonannes Yebabe and Emmanuel G/Yohannes: The Structural Trend of the Export Trade of Ethiopia across
    Continents and over time
Oumer Berisso: Economic Efficiency of Export–oriented Livestock Production in Ethiopia: the case of Urban and
    Peri-Urban Cattle-Fattening Farms in Adama City and its Surroundings
Yonannes Yebabe and Emmanuel G/Yohannes: An Assessment of the Variation of the Export Trade of Ethiopia
    across Continents
Michael Tedla: Determinants of Trade in Services in Africa: a Gravity Model Approach


Performance of Banking and Microfinance
Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Tewodros Makonnen

Yemesrach Fisseha: Assessing Market Power and Abuse of Dominance in the Ethiopian Banking Industry
Yesuf Mohammednur and Zaid Negash: Effect of Microfinance Participation on Farmers’ Technical Efficiency:
    Panel Evidence from Tigray, Northern Ethiopia
Esubalew A. Assefa: Competition and Performance of Ethiopian Microfinance Institutions: The NBE Dilemma




 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                        3
                                                                          Conference Program




8:30-10:30            PLENARY SESSION III
Behavioral Economics                  Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Degnet Abebaw

Fanaye Tadesse, Alemayehy Seyoum Taffesse, Ibrahim Worku: Formation of Aspiration
Bethelehem Koru, Fanaye Tadesse and Kibrom Tafere: Synthesis on Successful Farmers
Ruth Vargas-Hill and Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse: Weather Index Insurance


10:30-11:00           TEA/COFEE BREAK
11:00-12:30           PARALLEL SESSION II

Climate Change and Economic Growth
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Alemu Mekonnen

Seid Nuru: Climate Change and Economic Growth in a Rain-fed Economy: How Much Does Rainfall
    Variability Cost Ethiopia?
Daniel Gulti: Which Sector Should Lead in Ethiopia? Industry or Agriculture?
Solomon Retta: Does social Trust help for Effective Functioning of Free Market Economy?
Kassahun Aberra: The Impact of Climate Variability on Crop Production in Ethiopia: Which Crop Is
    More Vulnerable to Rainfall Variability?

Child welfare Determinants of Trade Balance                 Co-organized by the African Child
Policy Forum (ACPF) and EDRI
Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Fanaye Tadesse

Shimelis Tsegaye and Yehualashet Mekonen: Looking at the budget from a child wellbeing perspective
Yehualashet Mekonen and Shimelis Tsegaye: Child-friendly Budgeting
Alekaw Kebede and Frehiwot Fantaw: Investigating Determinants of Trade Balance in a Fast Growing Agrarian
     Economies: A case of Ethiopia.


 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                    4
                                                                             Conference Program
Tesfaye Abate Zewdu: Analysis of Child Poverty Dynamics and Vulnerability in Ethiopia



Smallholder Commercialization, Marketing and Risk Attitude
Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Befkadu Behute

Samuel G/Selassie: Smallholder Commercialization, Performance and Household Demographic Cycle: Some
     Results from Analysis of Exceptionally Performing Farm Households in Lume Wereda, Ethiopia
Assefa Admassie (EEA), Degnet Abebaw (EEA) and Mamo Girma: determinants of Smallholder Crop Farmers’
     Decision to Sell and for whom to sell: micro-level data evidence from Ethiopia
M. Raman & Kassie Dessie: the Commercialization of Agriculture in the Amahara Region
Mehari Hiluf Abay, Yesuf Mohammednur and Gebrhawaria Gebreegziabher : Farmers’ Risk Attitude and Demand
     for Weather Index Insurance (WII): Evidence from Rural Tigrai


Health and Social Issues
Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Workie Mitiku

Israel Fekade: A Study on the Feasibility of Health Insurance Schemes for Community Based Groups’ in Addis
     Ababa city.a Case Study on Iddir
Birtukan Bishaw Workie and Zenebe G.Egziabher: Household Demand for Improved Solid Waste Management
     service in Ethiopia; the case of Bahir Dar
Derek Headey and Fanaye Tadesse: Urbanization and Fertility in Ethiopia?

Social Protection and Children Welfare, Co-organized by Young Lives Study
Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Amdissa Teshome

Tassew Woldehanna and Yisak Tafere: Social protection and child welfare in rural Ethiopia
Yisak Tafere: Children’s Experiences and Changing Perceptions of Poverty: Some evidences from Young Lives
     Qualitative Study in Ethiopia
Workneh Abebe: Early Childhood Care and Education in Ethiopia
Tassew Woldehanna and Leyousew Gebremedhin: Malnutrition and achievement in primary education: the case
     of 20 sentinel sites in rural and urban Ethiopia




 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                     5
                                                                              Conference Program

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 15: 30 Plenary Session III
Innovations, Animal Healthcare and Conflict Management in Pastoral Areas
Co-organized by Future Agriculture Consortium and TUFTS University
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Assefa Admassie

Girma Kassa: Collaboration between government and Customary Institutions in mitigating conflict in pastoral
    areas: evidence from the field
Abdi Abdullahi Hussein: Pastoral Innovations - Town camels and milk villages: the growth of camel milk
    marketing in the Somali Region of Ethiopia
Berhanu Admassu: Primary animal healthcare in pastoralist areas: experiences with evidence-based policy
    reform


15:30 – 16:00          TEA/COFEE BREAK
16:00 – 17:30          PARALLEL SESSION IV
Evidence- based Constructive Engagement of CSOs for pro-poor policies: the
experience of PANE co-organized by PANE
Conference Room 1
Chairperson: Degnet Abebaw

Eshetu Bekele and Mamusha Lemma: Evidence-Based Policy Input Making Process: Experiences and Lessons of
     Poverty Action Network in Ethiopia (PANE)
Zinash Kefale: Tools for improving Pro-poor Service Delivery: The case of PANE’s CRC surveys
Tamiru Sebsibe: the impact of climate change on PASDEP and MDGs implementation in Ethiopia


Education and Health
Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Habtamu Tadesse

Teferi Daba Lemma: Demand for Traditional Health Care in Rural Ethiopia
Stefano Mainardi: Disparities in public service provision in Niger: Cross-department evidence on primary schools
     and healthcare



 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                           6
                                                                             Conference Program
Adugna Lemi: Multilateral Agreements and Trade in Education Services: Implications for Ethiopia


Energy and Climate Change
Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Kassahun Abera

Zenebe Gebreegziabher, G. Cornelis van Kooten and Daan P. van Soest: Stove adoption, Land degradation, and
    climate change mitigation: the case of Ethiopia
Muluwork Kahsay: Techno-economic Standing of Solar
Zenebe Gebreegziabher and Alemu Mekonnen: Sustainable financing of Ethiopia’s energy infrastructure: an
    economic analysis


Intergovernmental Grants, Economic Growth and Monetary Policy
Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Bethelehem Koru

Emerta Asaminew: Inflation and Economic Growth: An Estimate of threshold level of Inflation for Ethiopia
Fitsum Z. Mulugeta and Naod Mekonnen: Manufacturing industries to Accelerate Economic Growth and Reduce
     Volatility in Ethiopia
Gashaw Tsegaye: Monetary Policy Shocks Transmission to Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Ergete Assefa Ferede: The Effects of Intergovernmental Grants in a Federation: International Lessons for
     Ethiopia


Networking, Resettlement and Financial Market Development
Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Getachew Ahmed

Teferi Mequaninte and Paul Thangata: The role of networks in knowledge management and innovations in
     Ethiopia and Rwanda
Jemal Ahmed, Alemat Hagos, Alem Araya, Gebre-egziabher Gebreyohannes: Impact of Resettlement on Food
     Security: The Case of Kafta Humera in Tigray, Ethiopia
Haile Kibret Fantaqye and Kassahun Aberra: Linkages between Financial Market Development and Economic
     Growth in Ethiopia
Tewodros Makonnen and Seneshaw Tamru: Ethio-China Trade in the Face of Free Trade Negotiations: A CGE
     Analysis




 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                     7
                                                                                Conference Program




8:30 – 10:30 PARALLEL SESSION VI
Co-organized by World Bank
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu


The Dynamics of Poverty
Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Zinash Kefale

Yonas Alem: the dynamics and persistence of urban poverty: Panel data evidence from Ethiopia
Kelemework Geleta: Dynamics of Child Poverty and Its Determinants: Longitudinal Evidence from Ethiopia
Syed Ali: Poverty Alleviation through Capacity Building by the Self-help Groups – a Study in Kapiri Mposhi District
    of Zambia
Getachew Ahmed: Vulnerability to Poverty and Policy Responses: The Effectiveness of Social Protection in
    Ethiopia


Large-Scale Land Transfers, Rural Poverty Reduction and Climate Change
Co-organized by FSS
Conference Room 3
Chairperson: Samuel G/Selassie

Dessalegn Rahmato: Land to Investors: Large-Scale Land Transfers in Ethiopia
Abeje Berhanu & Ezana Amdework: Peasant Entrepreneurship and Rural Poverty Reduction: The Case of Model
    Farmers in Bure Wereda, West Gojjam Zone
Alebachew Adem: Climate Change and Rural Livelihoods in Northern Ethiopia: Impacts, Local Adaptation
    Strategies and Implications for Institutional Interventions.

Exchange Rate and Trade
Conference Room 4


 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                              8
                                                                             Conference Program

Chairperson: Kassie Dessie

Hailemariam Ayalew: the Effect of Devaluation of Birr on Trade Balance of Ethiopia
Dessalegn Lencho: The Response of Export to Exchange Rate Movement in Ethiopia
Tigineh Mersha, Haile Yeshanew and Yonathan Gebre: Customer Perceived Quality of Ethiopian Banks: A
     Preliminary Study
Shoeb Ahmad: Economic Growth of Ethiopia


10:30-11:00 TEA/COFEE BREAK
11:00 – 12:30 PARALLEL SESSION V

Livestock Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSPII
Conference Room 1
Chairperson: Samuel G/Selassie

Ayele Gelan, Ermias engda and Stefano Caria: A study on Livestock based on a CGE analysis
Fantu Nisraneand Seneshaw Tamiru: Spatial Integration of the Livestock Market in Ethiopia

Resource Mobilization and Economic Growth
Conference Room 2
Chairperson: Emerta Asaminew

Giulia Mascagni: Domestic resource mobilization in Ethiopia: A cointegration approach
Befekadu Mulatu: Mobilization of Domestic Saving: Lessons Learned from China
Marshall W. Thompson: Foreign Capital and National Capital in Natural Resources Exploitation: Prospects for
     Capital Accumulation and Development in the Global South


Entrepreneurship and Commercial Contracts Enforcement
Conference Room 3
Chairperson: Ibrahim Worku

Guush Berhane and Derek Headey: Entrepreneurship in Ethiopia
Tigineh Mersha and Ven Sriram: Skills, Resources and Entrepreneurial Performance: a Preliminary Study from
     Ethiopia
Tigineh Mersha and Ven Sriram: Social Entrepreneurship as a Vehicle of Social Change: Generating Profits to
     Make a Difference in Peoples’ Lives


 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                      9
                                                                           Conference Program
Daniel Alemu Woldegiorgis: Commercial Contracts Enforcement in Ethiopia


Rural Development Road Transport and Foreign Trade
Conference Room 4
Chairperson: Fitsum Zewdu

Berhanu G/Mariam: Rural –Urban migration in Ethiopia: Cause, impacts, and linkages to Rural Development: -
    the case of Wolliso Woreda, Southwest Shewa Zone of the Oromia Regional State, Ethiopia
Temesgen Aklilu: Road transport and traffic system, and safety problems in Ethiopia: The two decades
    Experiences
Yonannes Yebabe: An Econometric Modeling of the Net Payment of the Foreign Trade of Ethiopia


Technical Efficiency in Rural Farm Household and Non-farm Income
Conference Room 5
Chairperson: Seneshaw Tamru

Kidanemariam G. Egziabher, Erik Mathijs, Miet Maertens, Jozef Deckers, and Hans Bauer: Is non-farm income
     relaxing marginal farms’ farm investment liquidity constraints? , a double hurdle approach
Abebe Ejigu Alemu, Erik Mathijs, Miet Maertens, Seppe Deckers, Kidane G/egziabher, Hans Baur: Vertical
     Coordination And Honey Production In Tigray: Motivation And Income Effects
Getachew Ahmed: Cereal Productivity in Ethiopia: An Analysis based on ERHS data (1999 and 2009)
Mohammed Adem: Comparative Analysis of Technical Efficiency in rural farm household evidence from northern
     Ethiopia, Tigray, Stochastic Frontier Approach


12:30 – 14:00          LUNCH
14:00 – 15:30           PLENARY SESSION IV
Agriculture   Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2
Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu

Fantu Nisrane: Trends in total Factor Productivity in the Agriculture Sector: A Growth Accounting Approach
Fantu Nisrane, Alemayehu Seyoum Tafesse: Agricultural Productivity in Ethiopia Challenges to Further Growth:
     Synthesis of Findings, Implication and Further Research
Ayele Gelan, Ermias, Stephanos Caria and Fantu: Synthesis on Livestock


15:30 -16:00           Closing

 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                                                      10
                                                   Conference Program

16:00 – 19:30   Cocktail Reception at EEA Atrium




 July 21 – 23, 2011                                                     11

				
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