CHAPTER 7 LECTURE

W
Document Sample
scope of work template
							  Real Estate Investment and
   Management (Lecture 1)



                2007. 9.12



              Prof. Byungho Oh
KDI School of Public Policy and Management
Contents

 I. Real Estate as an Investment

 II. Korean Real Estate Overview
What is Investment?
1. Investment Industry and Real Estate's Role
    - Investor Objectives and Concerns
    - Implications of Investor Heterogeneity
    - The general structure of Investment Product and
      Vehicles


2. Real Estate as an Asset Class
    - Four Major Investment Asset Classes
    - Historical Investment Performance
What is Investment ?

Investment is the act of putting
   money aside that would be
  used for current consumption
          expenditure.
WHY DO PEOPLE INVEST?...
Individuals:
   – THE 25-YR-OLD "YUPPY" ? . . .
   – THE 25-YR-OLD "DINC" COUPLE ? . . .
   – THE 35-YR-OLD "YOUNG FAMILY" ? . . .
   – THE 45-YR-OLD "MID-LIFE CRISIS" ? . . .
   – THE 65-YR-OLD "RETIREE" ? . . .
    DIFFERENT LIFE STYLES, LIFE CYCLES,
    PERSONAL GOALS, LEVELS OF WEALTH
WHY DO PEOPLE INVEST?...
Institutions:
   – LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES
   – PENSION FUNDS
   – MUTUAL FUNDS
   – BANKS
   – FOUNDATIONS
   DIFFERENT CONSTITUENCIES, EXPERTISE,
    LIABILITIES, REGULATIONS, SIZES
WHY DO PEOPLE INVEST?...

===> DIFFERENT TIME HORIZONS,
    RISK TOLERANCES,
    NEEDS FOR INCOME vs GROWTH

Therefore, . . . (implications for financial
 services industry)
     TWO MAJOR INVESTMENT
          OBJECTIVES:
1)   GROWTH (SAVINGS) -
     RELATIVELY LONG-TERM
     HORIZON (NO IMMEDIATE NEED);
2)   INCOME (CURRENT CASH FLOW) --
     SHORT-TERM & ON-GOING NEED
     FOR CASH.
         The investment objectives
⃗   growth(or savings) objectives:
    - typical of young to middle-aged individuals, of
     wealthy individuals of all ages, and institutions such
     as pension funds of growing company

⃗   income (or current cash flow) objectives:
    - retired individuals and institutions such as
     endowment funds or pension funds with more retired
     members than current contributors
        MAJOR CONSTRAINTS &
            CONCERNS:
-   RISK
-   LIQUIDITY
-   TIME HORIZON
-   MANAGEMENT BURDEN, EXPERTISE
-   AMOUNT OF FUNDS AVAILABLE FOR
    INVESTMENT (SIZE)
-   CAPITAL CONSTRAINT


    Therefore (again), . . . What?
     The major constraints and concerns
⃗   Risk: the possibility that future investment
     performance may vary over time in a manner
     that in not entirely predictable at the time when
     the investment is made
⃗ Liquidity: The ability to sell and buy investment
   assets quickly at full value and without much
   affecting the price of the assets.
⃗ Time Horizon: The future time over which the
   investor's objectives. constraints and concerns
   are relevant.
                                              continued 
 The major constraints and concerns
⃗ Investor Expertise and Management Burden:
   How much ability and desire the investor has
   to manage the investment process and the
   investment assets.
⃗ Size: How "big" the investor is in terms of the
   amount of capital in need of investment
⃗ Capital constraint: Does the investor face an
   absolute constraint on the amount of capital
   they have available to invest, or can additional
   capital be obtained relatively easily of good
   investment opportunities are available?
 UNDERLYING ASSETS vs INVESTMENT PRODUCTS
    an Example from traditional corporate finance




The main point of the sys of investment product is to provide investor with
different risk and return objectives in the same underlying asset
            Exhibit 7-2: A REAL ESTATE EXAMPLE of the
                          Investment System

Underl. Asset:                        "Bricks & Mortar" (e.g., Grump Family Shopping Centers)
(Priv.Traded)                                     (Rent-producing Real Properties )




Private              e.g., Ltd Partnerships                                      Commercial Mortgages
Invest.           (or CREFs, Priv.REITs, etc)                                     Senior (debt) claims:
Products:           Own equtiy in properties:                                     Privately held & traded
                 LP Shares (units) privately held                                     ("whole loans")
                    & privately traded if at all


Public                   REITs                                                             CMBS
Invest.             ―UPREIT‖ Owns                                                     publicly traded
Products:               LP Units,                                                 securities based
                     Issues publicly                                              on a pool of mortgs
                     traded shares.
                 (May also directly own
                 Underl.Asset, or Mortgs
                        & CMBS)


Investors:       Small &                                Large                                                Small &
individual,      Large                               Investors                                                Large
institutional    Investors          (Wealthy Individuals, Developers, Institutions)                         Investors
                                       Exhibit 7-3:
           End of Year Public vs Private Asset Mkt Com m ercial R.E. Values:
                    (Indexes set to have Equal Avg Values 1974-98)

2.2


2.0

1.8


1.6

1.4


1.2

1.0
      74     76    78     80    82   84      86   88   90    92    94   96    98   2000
                        NAREIT (Unlevered)                  NCREIF (Unsmoothed)
                 Real Estate as an Asset Class
  Cash
  Stocks
  Bonds
  Real Estate
Stereotypical characterization of Major Investment Asset Class
  Investment         Stocks    Real Estate   Long-term     Cash(T-Bills)
   Concern                                     Bonds
      Risk           High      Moderate to   Moderate to      Lowest
                                 Low           Low
  Total Return       High      Moderate to    Moderate        Lowest
                                 High
  Current Yield      Low to       High          High         Moderate
                    Moderate
    Growth           High      Low-High         None           None
    Inflation        Good         Best          Bad            Bad
   Protection
Exhibit 7-4: Approxim ate Aggregate Value of Asset
         Classes, USA late 1990s ($Trillion)




                   2
       8

                                               Cash
                              11               Stocks
                                               Bonds
                                               Real Estate*



        12
Exhibit 7-6: HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE OF MAJOR INVESTMENT
   ASSET CLASSES, COMPARED TO INFLATION (CPI), 1969-2001

                          Value of $1 with Reinvestment: 1969-2001
    $50

    $45
                                                      Stocks $37.95
    $40                                               LT Bond 16.42
                                                      Real Est 15.99
    $35
                                                      TBills    7.68
    $30
                                                      CPI       4.68

    $25

    $20

    $15

    $10

    $5

    $0
          69   71   73    75   77     79    81   83    85     87   89   91   93   95   97   99   01

                    CPI             TBill             SP500             LGBond              RE
                     First half of the period…
                    Value of $1 with Reinvestment: 1969-85
$7

                                                Real Est   6.03
$6                                              Stocks     4.65
                                                Bonds      3.58
                                                TBills     3.35
$5                                              CPI        2.89


$4


$3


$2


$1


$0
     69   70   71   72   73     74    75   76   77   78    79   80    81   82   83   84    85

           CPI                TBill             SP500                LGBond               RE
                      Second half of the period…

                      Value of $1 with Reinvestment: 1985-2001
$12


                                                Stocks   $8.17
$10
                                                Bonds     4.59
                                                Real Est 2.65
$8                                              Tbills    2.29
                                                CPI       1.62
$6


$4


$2


$0
      85   86    87    88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   00   01

           CPI              TBill           SP500              LGBond              RE
      Exh.7-9a: Avg.Ann.Total Return (1970-2001)

14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%

2%
0%
        T Bills    G Bonds    Real Estate   Stocks
                   Income          Growth
      Exh.7-9b: Annual Volatility (1970-2001)

18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
      T Bills    G Bonds     Real Estate    Stocks
The Real Estate as an Investment
Investment Analysis
Investment Performance
Concept and Definition


From Greer and Kolbe, Chapter 1. “The
 Real Estate Investment Decision”
       State of the Investment
             Analysis Art
   Historically lagged behind mainstream
    finance and investment thought; great
    strides recently

   Treats real estate as capital asset
    desired for stream of benefits
    – Real estate investment as special case of
      modern capital budgeting
Real Estate as an Investment
   Investors Passive or Active
    – Active investors acquire direct title to real
      property; either oversee property themselves or
      hire management firms

    – Passive investors place assets with professional
      money managers who acquire interests in real
      property; may acquire shares in corporations or
      partnerships that hold real property interests;
      make no operating decisions
Real Estate as an Investment
   Investors take equity or debt position

    – Distinction between investors in real assets
      and investors in financial assets

    – While both are investors, exclude
      mortgage lenders from this study of
      investment analysis and decision making
Figure 1.1 Real Estate Investments
       Who Are the Investors?
 Private investors
 Institutions, such as REITs and pension funds
 Small level of foreign holdings
    – Concentrated in locales and types of properties
    – Surged during early 1980s and later moderated
    – Level shifts with foreign exchange rates
    – Level impacted by relative interest rates
Figure 1.2 REIT
       Real Estate Investment
            Performance
 Data for investment comparisons scarce, but
  frequently concluded that real estate
  generates returns roughly comparable to
  common stock, with greater predictability of
  returns
 More data for investment return comparisons
  available recently, but heavily influenced by
  period from which data are drawn
 Brueggeman, Chen and Thibodeau analysis--
  real estate funds outperformed Standard’s
  and Poor’s 500 stock index and Ibbotson
  Associates bond index
       Real Estate Investment
            Performance
 Giliberto compared REIT yields with Standard
  and Poor’s 500 stock index, 1978 – 1989;
  found advantage in common stocks
 Zerbst and Cambon (1984) analyzed earlier
  studies; found real estate tends to outperform
  stocks during periods of inflation
 Clayton and MacKinnon (2001) find REIT
  returns now closely correspond to returns on
  small capitalization stocks
      Concepts and Definitions
   Most Probable Selling Price—
    Probabilistic estimate of the price at
    which a future transaction will occur

   Investment Value —Value of a property
    as an investment to a present or
    prospective owner
        Concepts and Definitions
   Transaction Investment value from the present
    owner’s perspective sets the lower end of the range
    of possible transaction prices. Investment value from
    the perspective of the most likely buyer determines
    the upper end of the range.

    – To be motivated to sell, seller must conclude most
      probable selling price is greater than investment value

    – To be motivated to buy, buyer must conclude
      investment value is greater than most probable selling
      price

    – For transaction to be possible, investment value from
      prospective buyer’s point of view must be greater than
      from the prospective seller’s point of view
Figure 1.3 Value Relationships
Figure 1.4
Figure 1.5
Estimating Investment Value:
                      An Overview
   Investor who buys property buys set of assumptions
    about ability of property to generate cash flows over
    the expected holding period and likely market value
    of property at end of proposed holding period.
    Analysis:

    – Estimate the stream of expected benefits

    – Adjust for timing differences in expected streams of benefits
       from investment alternatives

    – Adjust for differences in perceived risk associated with
       alternatives

    – Rank alternatives according to relative desirability of the
       perceived risk-return combinations they embody
Estimating Investment Value:
                An Overview
   Value of an investment property is sum
    of the debt and equity positions

    – Investment can be expressed as present
      value of the equity position plus the
      present value of debt position
Figure 1.6 Cash-Flow & Value
Figure 1.7
Investors Disagree on Investment
             Values
   Investors unlikely to arrive at same investment
    value conclusions as they differ on:

    – Future stream of rental revenue and operating
        expenses
    –   Perceived levels of risks
    –   Willingness to defer immediate consumption in
        interest of future benefits
    –   Desire for precisely determinable future
    –   Investors in higher-income brackets benefit more
        from tax-deductible losses
Investor Objectives and Risk
– Seek financial return as reward for committing
  resources and as compensation for bearing risk

– Emotional temperament plays a large role in an
  investor’s attitude

– Relate expected return to risk; accept additional
  perceived risk only if accompanied by additional
  expected return

– Tend to become increasingly averse to additional
  risk as total perceived risk increases
Real Estate Investment Climate in
 Korean Real Estate Market
Real Estate Investment Climate in Korea
  Demand - More diverse investors are entering the market.
   (Indirect investment vehicles, pension funds)
   Supply - Overall supply is limited. But redevelopment
   projects may be good investment opportunities.


- REITs and Real Estate Funds have become active tool for commercial
  real estate investors.
- National Pension Service started investing in real estate market.
  (Office buildings and Development Projects)
- Redevelopment projects in Seoul offer more investment opportunities.
- Interest rates are showing an upward trend.
       Economic & Investment Climate
 Korea’s real estate market has been completely liberalized since market
opening in 1998.
     – No regulations on the transfer of capital gains and discrimination against foreign
     investors in terms of ownership and operation
     – Proven high yield rate (6~8%) & High capital gains for foreign investors (at least
     30~40%)
     – Diverse deal structure for tax benefits (reduction of acquisition & registration tax
     and retaining tax)
   Seoul, Asia’s Most Preferred Investment Market (Source: BHPK, DTZ)
                                                       Score
              Variables
                                 Seoul       HK        Tokyo      China     Singapore
     Political Stability           3          3          4          2           4
     Capacity of Government        3          4          4          2           4
     Regulatory Enviornment        3          4          4          1           4
     Market Transparency           4          4          2          1           2
     Liquidity (RE Market)         4          4          3          3           2
     Currency Convertibility       4          4          3          1           4
     Availability Products         4          2          3          3           2
     Lease Structure               3          2          2          3           3
     Total Score                  28         27         25         16          25
     Economic & Investment Climate
    Seoul’s Importance in Korea

 Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA: Seoul, Kyonggi, & Incheon)
accounts for 48.5% of national population and 48% of GDP.
 56.2% of corporations, 76% of listed companies, 91%
of HQ of top 100 companies, 56.4% of manufacturers,
83.2% of HQ of public enterprises, and 83.6% of
government organizations are located in SMA.
 More than 95% of foreign investment is concentrated in
SMA.
              Trend of Land & Housing Price
  (%)
40


30                 Soaring Land Price
                  (’86 AG, ’88 Olympic)

                                                                                                                Introduction
20                                                                                                               of RE Fund



10
                                                                                           NPL Market
                                                                                            Formed

 0
        87   88     89     90     91      92     93    94     95      96   97    98   99       00       01   02      03 04E
-10                                              Adoption of                                     Introduction
                                          Anti-Speculation Measures                                of REITs
                                                                                Economic
                                                                                  Crisis
-20

                         Land Price Increase Rate                           Housing Price Increase Rate
         Economic & Investment Climate
              Economic Recovery
 Real estate has been most fast recovered and steady increased investment
 Housing price increased most in 2001 to 2003 and office rent in 2000.

 Comparison
                     End of   End of   End of   End of   End of   End of     End of End of
                      ‘97      ‘98      ‘99      ‘00      ‘01      ‘02        ‘03    ‘04

  KOSPI (Stock)      390.3    524.7    984.5    526.4    666.0    699.8      801.1   873.1

3 –year Corporate
Bond Yield (Year-    24.3%    8.3%     9.9%     8.1%     7.1%     5.9%       5.6%    3.7%
       end)
Land Price Index
                     100.0     86.4     88.4     89.1     90.4     99.1      102.5   106.2
  (Nationwide)
  Housing Price
                     100.0     87.6     90.6     91.0    100.0    116.4      127.4   124.7
Index (Nationwide)
Office Rent Index
                     100.0     86.1     91.5    103.1    106.2    108.4      110.8   112.1
  (Seoul Prime)
 Real Estate Investment Climate in Korea
   Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
           Average Yield is around 10%, 2~3%p higher than initial projection
                       2002         2003                          2004           2005                          Total
No. of REITs             4            4                              2              2                            12
Property Type    Office,        Office                        Office       Office, Retail
                 Residential,
                 MXD
Asset Value      US$ 549.5      US$ 580.1                     US$ 286.2    US$ 427.0                       US$ 1,842.8
                 million        million                       million      million                         million
REITs Type       CR-REITs       CR-REITs                      CR-REITs     CR-REITs, K-
                                                                           REITs

                                                         80                                                              30

                                                         70                                                     72

   – Real Estate Funds (REFs)
                                                                                                                         25
                                                         60                                       61
                                                                                                                         20
                                                         50
                                           #. of Funds




            Project Financing (PF)




                                                                                                                              US$ mil.
                                                        40                                                              15

            Type (75%)                                   30

                                                         20
                                                                              30
                                                                                                                         10



            Asset Operation Type
                                                                                                                         5
                                                         10
                                                                  3

            (25%)                                        0
                                                                Jun-04     Dec-04               Aug-05         Nov-05
                                                                                                                         0



                                                                          Asset Size(US mil.)   No. of Funds
              Office Market: Stock & Market Size
Office buildings with 11 stories or more are 720 in Seoul.
 And prime buildings are 95 in Seoul.
   Total Office Stock in Korea (6 stories or more)                                         (Unit: As of 2005, US$=1,000 KRW)

                               No. of Buildings                    GFA             Capital Value
       Nationwide                      8,324                   517 mill. SQF       US $ 242 Bill.
          Seoul                        5,394                   366 mill. SQF       US $ 223 Bill.
       % of Seoul                     64.8%                       70.5%                 91.9%
       (Source: Ministry of Construction and Transportation)


   Large Office Stock in Seoul (11 stories or more)                                       (Unit: mil. SQF)

                            CBD                TBD               YBD           Others       Total
       No. Bldg             278                236               138            101          753
        GFA                 78.5               63.9              42.0           23.4        207.7
          %                37.8%              30.8%             20.2%          11.2%        100%

   Prime Office Stock in Seoul (International Grade A)                                          (2005, Source: BHPK)

                                    Grade A                Grade B        Prime (Grade A + Grade B)
            CBD                       15                     25                      40
            TBD                       17                     19                      36
            YBD                        9                     10                      19
            Total                     41                     54                      95
                                                                                                               (Source: BHPK)
       Office Market : Three Major Business Districts
     Office buildings in the three major districts account for about 90% of the
      total with 11 stories or more.
 There are three major districts in the office market in Seoul.
                                                               CBD:
                                                               Central Business District
                                                               - Traditional Business
                                                               Core
                              CBD
                                                               TBD (also called GBD):
                                                               Tehran-road Business
                                                               District
                    YBD                                        - Hub for Information-
                                       TBD                       Technology Firms

                                                               YBD:
                                                               Yoido Business District
                                                                Major Securities Firms
                                                               - “Broadcasting Town”
                                  Office Market: Investment Market
          Domestic players are aggressive in the market. However,
           foreign investors remain strong as well.

   Amount of Investment for Office Buildings:                                                    Major Investors
    - US$ 2.6 Billion (2004)                                                                    Year      Investor Type       Major Investors
    - US$ 2.2 Billion (2005)                                                                                            Goldman Sachs, Lendlease,
                                                                                                                        Lehman Brothers, Carlyle
                                Office Building Transactions (By Nationality)                             Opportunistic
                                                                                              1998-2000                 Group,
                                                                                                             Funds
    (Unit:US$ bil ion)                                                                                                  Morgan Stanley, Westbrook,
                                                                                                                        Lone Star
    3.0
                     foreign                                                                                            Macquarie, Ascendas,
    2.5                                                                                                                 La Salle Inv., Pricoa,
                     domestic
                                                                                              2001-2003   Value-added GIC, Lendlease, Carlyle
    2.0                                                                                                                 Group,
                                                                                                                        Alpha Investment
    1.5                                                                                                                 MAPS, National Pension
                                                                                                                        Fund,
    1.0                                                                                                   Core/ Pension Samsung Life Insurance,
                                                                                                             Funds/     Koramco,
    0.5                                                                                         2004-
                                                                                                           Domestic     DEKA, Kyobo Life
                                                                                                             Funds      Insurance,
    -
                                                                                                                        DBRE, Ascendas, GIC,
              1998       1999        2000        2001        2002       2003    2004   2005
                                                                                                                        Pramerica, ING
                            Residential Market
             Strongly Regulated Market by Government
   Housing Price Doubled for the Recent 5 Years
      – Increased floating money due to low interest rate

      – Floating money has flowed into housing market  the government’s anti-speculation policy

   Apartment Price in Gangnam: US$ 6,655/sq.m (two-fold the price of prime
office space)
      – The housing supply ratio in 2004 is 102% nationwide, 94% in SMA, and 89% in Seoul.

      – Lack of land for residential development (Seoul plans to build 25 new towns via
        redevelopment, 5 balanced development areas, Sewoon Plaza redevelopment area).
      – The government aims to supply 500,000 units every year (about 5% of total housing stock).

   High Price Growth Rate of Large Luxury Housing Units
      – Large luxury housings for upper income citizens are not common (since the government plans
        to supply small size housing units first to low-income citizens).
      – Increased consumer preference for large luxury housing until recent revised Housing Act .
                         Residential Market
                            Housing Stock by Type
 Housing Type (Nationwide)

 100%
                1.9               7.0
  90%
                                               13.5
  80%                                                    22.7
  70%
                                                                      37.5
  60%                                                                             47.7
  50%
                92.6             87.5
  40%                                          77.3
                                                         66.0
  30%
                                                                      47.1
  20%                                                                             37.1
  10%
   0%
               1975              1980          1985      1990        1995         2000
              Single Family          Apartment    Townhouse     Small Townhouse    Etc.
   Source: Korea National Statistical Office

   Noticeably, the proportion of apartment in the housing stock has increased while that of
    detached houses has been reduced across the nation.
                             Residential Market
                                 Housing Size (Net Area Basis)
  Housing Size (Nationwide)

  100
   90
   80
   70
   60                                                                   Net: 63 ~ 96 ㎡ (19~29 py)
(%)




   50
   40
   30
   20
   10
    0
               1975               1980             1985               1990            1995          2000
             ~46㎡(14py)                  ~63㎡(19py)                  ~96㎡(29py)               ~129㎡(39py)
             ~162㎡(49py)                 ~228㎡(69py)                 228㎡~
        1py = 3.3058 sqm, 35.583 sq.ft   Source: Korea National Statistical Office

 The proportion of larger units is on a gradual increase along with rising
  income and higher profits for private developers.
         Korean Retail Market                   Retail Industry Overview
                                                                         Sales
            Store          Corporate               Department Store   KRW 19.3 trillion
                                                    Discount Store    KRW 17.5 trillion
                                                     Supermarket       KRW 5.3 trillion
                                                         CVS           KRW 2.7 trillion
                                                       Specialty

                                                     Open Market      KRW 100.0 trillion
                         Non-Corporate
                                                    Neighborhood,
Retail                                             community retail

                                                   Online Shopping     KRW 2.6 trillion
                        Direct Marketing                CATV           KRW 4.2 trillion
                                                      Catalogue        KRW 1.4 trillion
          Non-Store
                                                    Direct Selling     KRW 1.7 trillion
                         Direct Selling
                                                  Network Marketing    KRW 1.9 trillion

                         Fastfood, Family Restaurant, Pizza, Coffee
         Food Service                                                  KRW 5.0 trillion
                                Take-out, Catering Service
                                  Retail Market: Market Volume & Major Player
            Rapid growth of major retailers
            Discount stores are expanding rapidly.
     Rapid Growth of Market Share of Major Retailers  expected to exceed 60% by 2010
       100%

           80%

           60%
                                                                                                                 Korean Retail Market Size
           40%

           20%
                                                                                                                 (2005)
           0%                                                                                                     - US$ 180 billion   Major 3
                    1991      1995        1998           2000      2002            2003      2004   2010E

                                          Non-corporate Retailer     Corporate Retailer
                                                                                                                 (Estimation)         Market
                                                                                                                                              Share 78%

          Growth of Discount Stores (Annual Sales: expanding stores across the nation)
    US$ Billion                                                                                     Department Store Store Annual Sales
      30
                                                                                                         Lotte         22 US$ 7.6 billion
      25                                                                                                                                         Major 3
                                                                                                            Hyundai    13   US$ 4.0 billion
      20                                                                                                                                         Market
                                                                                                         Shinsegae     7    US$ 2.2 billion     Share 75%
      15
                                                                                                    Discount Store          Annual Sales
      10                                                                                                 Shinsegae     71   US$ 7.2 billion
       5                                                                                                 Tesco         31   US$ 3.9 billion
       0
                                                                                                         Lotte         63   US$ 4.4 billion
             1995   1996   1997    1998    1999   2000     2001    2002     2003    2004   2005E


                                   Department Store                       Discount Store
Korean Retail Market: Major Foreign Investments
 Discount Stores Seeking Investment
           Actively seeking investors for the opening of new stores
            (25~35 stores every year)
           Un-levered yields estimated at around 8~10%
           2001 Outlet (Investor: GIC RE)
           TESCO (Investor: Local / International Investors)

   Shopping Mall Development by Foreign Investors
        AIG’s Destination Shopping Mall Project (99-year lease

         on the land of Seoul City Government)
        Y22’s Parc1 Shopping Mall Project (99 year lease on the

         land of Unification Church)
        Rodamco (Rodamco Plaza in Bucheon, SMA)



                                   - 21 -
             Korean Retail Market: Public Policy Issues

 5-day Workweek
    The commercial area in major office districts may see a slight drop in sales.
    The so-called weekend commercial area in proximity to large apartment complexes, universities,
     subway stations and major entertainment districts will see a rise in sales.

 Retail Tenant Protection Act
    A legal system designed to protect small retail tenants
    Guaranteed deposit in the amount of KRW 240 million for Seoul, KRW 190 million for
     overpopulation control area, KRW150 million for designated large cities except for Incheon and
     KRW 140 million for other provinces
    Ban more than 12% of rent increase a year. Allow the lease contract to be renewed for 5 years
    This legal protection would spark more small start-ups.
 Support for Small and Medium-Sized Distribution Companies
    Expansion and improvement of logistical facilities
    Expansion of financial support and tax benefits for distribution and logistics industry


 Promotional Measures for Conventional Markets
    Provision of various incentives by the government and local autonomous governments
    Softening the regulations on FAR and redevelopment, simplification of urban planning procedures,
     reduction of congestion levies, exemption of transfer and local taxes, expansion of financial support
                                                                  Seoul Real Estate Market
                                                                                          Major Areas by Property Type

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                Jungdong                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Pundang
                                                                                                                                                                                        Pyongchon

                                                                                                                  Sanbon
region     population   # of         Persons     Persons
                        household    per         per
                                     Dept.       Dist.
                                     store       store
Seoul      10,331,244    3,570,228     356,250     240,261
Incheon     4,046,837    1,327,919     674,473     149,883
Gyeongg     8,967,424    2,993,647     560,464     151,990
i
Gangwo      1,087,115      369,254   1,087,115     362,372
n
Chungbu       952,721      313,112     476,361     136,103
k
Chungna     1,928,088      653,610   1,928,088     321,348
m
Daejeon     1,408,809      450,489     234,802     176,101
Gyeongb     2,153,231      722,617     717,744     239,248
uk
Daegu       2,539,587      815,709     507,917     158,724
Gyeongn     2,543,062      811,593     635,766     254,306
am
Busan       3,786,033    1,210,902     757,207     157,751
ulsan       1,060,378      331,502     265,095     132,547
Jeonbuk     1,604,791      514,543     802,396     229,256
Jeonnam     1,081,294      348,822   1,081,294     180,216
Gwangju     1,387,360      439,620     462,453     115,613
Jeju          369,627      122,712     369,627     184,814
Nationwi   48,289,173   16,080,992     492,747     198,721
de
           Major redevelopment projects initiated by
            Seoul Metropolitan Government (SMG)
                                                                                          Category       No     Project Name   Area(ha)
                                                                                                          1      Eunpyong       359.3
                                                                                                          2       Gileum         95.0
                                                                                                          3     Wangsimni        32.4
                                                                                                          4       Gyonam         22.8
                                                                                                          5       Hannam        110.7
                                                                                                          6      Jeonnong        90.2
                                                                                        Mini Newtown      7       Jungwha        50.9
                                                                                                          8         Mia          62.1
                                                                                        - Residential
                                                                                       Redevelopment      9        Gajwa        118.0
                                                                                                         10       Ahhyun        115.7
                                                                                                         11       Sinjeong       87.6
                                                                                                         12      Bangwha         48.9
                                                                                                         13    Youngdengpo       26.1
                                                                                                         14      Noryangjin      76.4
                                                                                                         15       Cheonho        41.3
                                                                                                         A     Cheongyangni      37.4
                                                                                       Balanced Infill
                                                                                        Development      B          Mia          47.9
                                                                                       Promotion Zone
                                                                                                         C        Hongje         18.8
                                                                                        - Commercial     D       Hapjeong        26.1
                                                                                       Redevelopment
                                                                                                          E      Garibong        27.8
                                                                                       Cheonggyecheon
                                                                                         Restoration      F    Community Redevelopment
                                                                                           Project

•   With the groundbreaking of first newtown in June 2005, 25 newtown(10 newtowns will be designated soon) projects will be
    completed by 2012. Total investment including public and private sector amount to US$ 25.4 billion.
•   The five infill development promotion zones’ development will start in 2006 and 10 additional infill development promotion zones
    will be designated by 2012.
  Innovative cities (with the relocation of state
       organizations) & Corporate Cities
Chungbuk (12 Organizations)                   Gangwon (13 Organizations)
• BT, IT & Communication, HR                  • Mining, Healthcare & Bio
  development, Scientific                       technology, Tourism
  technology
New Administrative City                       Wonju Corporate City
• 41 Organizations                            • Knowledge-based industry

Muju Corporate City                           Chungju Corporate City
• Tour & Leisure industry                     • Knowledge-based industry

Jeonbuk (13 Organizations)                    Gyeongbuk (13 Organizations)
• Land development, Agricultural              • Transportation, Agricultural
  industry, Food                                technology, Electric power
                                                technology
Gwangju (3 Organizations)                     Daegu (12 Organizations)
• Electric power industry                     • Industrial promotion, Education &
                                                academic development, Gas
Muan Corporate City
• Trade industry                              Wulsan (11 Organizations)
                                              • Energy, Labor & welfare, Safety
Jeonnam (15 Organizations)
• IT & Communication,                         Busan (12 Organizations)
  Agricultural indsutry, culture &            • Maritime affairs & fisheries,
  art                                           Finance industry, Film industry
Cheju (9 Organizations)
• International business, Education   Gyeongnam (12 Organizations)
  & trainning, National tax
  management                          • Housing construction, SME
                                        promotion, National pension fund

						
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