Jim Reinsch April 11_ 2005 - American Nuclear Society

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							      The Nuclear
      Renaissance:
      A Resurgence of
      Nuclear Energy

            Jim Reinsch
    President, Bechtel Nuclear Power
Board of Directors, Nuclear Energy Institute
President-Elect, American Nuclear Society




                                               6987-2/05-Michigan-1
Acknowlegements




                  Steve L. Stamm, P.E.
                  Nuclear Business Manager
                  Stone & Webster Power Division




                                            6987-2/05-Michigan-2
Outline

      ANS representation:
          Massachusetts Institute of Technology
          Shaw Stone & Webster
          Framatome ANP
          Seabrook Station
          University of Massachusetts, Lowell
      Resurgence of Nuclear Energy
      Role of American Nuclear Society



                                                   6987-2/05-Michigan-3
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

      Ranked 5th by U.S. News and
       World Report
      10,000 students
      900 faculty
      32 majors
      5 schools
      Milestones:
          Penicillin
          Vitamin A

                                     6987-2/05-Michigan-4
Shaw Stone & Webster

      Shaw Group formed in 1987
      One of Fortune's Top 500 companies
      Stone & Webster founded
       in 1889
      18,000 employees
      Provides multi-services
          Engineering
          Design
          Construction
          Maintenance


                                            6987-2/05-Michigan-5
Seabrook Station

      Majority owner— Florida
       Power and Light (FPL)

      C.O.— August 1990

      1,161 MW

      Largest reactor in New England

      Provides about 7 % of region’s electricity



                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-6
University of Massachusetts, Lowell

      Founded in 1894
      Member of the University of
       Massachusetts system, 1991
      12,000 students
      $300 million in annual research
      One of the 50 best universities in
       the world by Times of London



                                            6987-2/05-Michigan-7
Framatome ANP

      Jointly-owned subsidiary
       with AREVA and Siemens
      World leader in:
          Engineering design and construction
           of nuclear power plants and
           research reactors
          Modernization, maintenance and
           repair services
          Component manufacturing
          Supply of nuclear fuel
      Manufacturing facilities in over 40 countries
                                                       6987-2/05-Michigan-8
Resurgence of
Nuclear Energy




                 6987-2/05-Michigan-9
Worldwide Perspective




   NASA




                        6987-2/05-Michigan-10
World View

      Global electricity
       demand to increase
       50% by 2025
          1.6%/yr for industrial
           world
          3.6%/yr for                                           Demand
           developing world


                                    Trillion kWh

                                                   1850   1950   1990    2000   2050 2100

                                                                  Year


                                                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-11
Environment
                                      Global Average Temperature

                                 58 °F



                                                                                                                                                       Cause of
                                 57 °F
                                                                                                                                                       Disruption
                                                                                                                                                        Emissions from
 Nuclear                         56 °F                                                                                                                   CO2 from fossil
                                     1880 1894       1908    1922   1936    1950    1964 1978 1992 1999
  Limits                                                                        5-year surface annual mean                                              fuel
                                       Source: NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies
   greenhouse                                                                                                                                           Fossil fuel
   gas emissions                              Global Emissions and
                                                                                                                                                              80% of world’s
                                                  Atmospheric                                                                                             


                                              Concentration of CO2                                                                                            energy
                                                                                                                                                             80% of new
                                      7000                                                            400                                                     capacity brought
                                                                            Atmospheric




                                                                                                              Atmospheric Concentration (ppm)
                                                                           concentrations                                                                     on line in 2003
                   Emissions (MMTC)




                                      5000                                     measured
                                                                                                      350
                                                Atmospheric                      directly
                                              concentrations
                                      3000           derived
                                               from ice cores                                         300

                                      1000
                                                                                    Emissions
                                                                                                      250




                                                                                                                                                EPRI
                                         1790 1815 1840 1865        1890 1915 1940 1975 1990
                       Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center

                                                                                                                                                                   6987-2/05-Michigan-12
Environment

             2 x CO2                        4 x CO2
           of Existing                    of Existing
             Levels                         Levels




               2030                          2100           EPRI


                                          Temperature Rise
      -5   0    5     10   15   20   25




                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-13
Nuclear Drivers

      Why Nuclear:
          Safe
          Proven performance
          Affordable
          Energy security/energy
           independence
          Emission free
          Abundant fuel and stable prices


                                             6987-2/05-Michigan-14
World View
   World nuclear generation sets record in 2004
         383,629 MW
         2,696 MMWh
         3.7% increase
   Led by:
         Record setting performance
           • U.S.
           • Sweden
         Restart of units in:
           • Japan
           • Canada
         Commissioning of new units
           • South Korea
           • Ukraine
                                                   6987-2/05-Michigan-15
World View


      440 nuclear power plants
      16% of world’s electricity
      Displaces 2 billion metric tons of CO2




                                                6987-2/05-Michigan-16
 The Renaissance Begins



                         5
                       Other     8
              3                Korea
            Russia
    30
 Projects         3
Underway       China             8
    in
                        3      Europe
                       Japan
  2004




                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-17
 Nuclear
Overview:
Pacific Basin




                6987-2/05-Michigan-18
Pacific Basin

      Asia fastest growing market

      East and South Asia
          100 plants in operation
          20 under construction
          40 to 60 planned
          Represents 36% of the world’s new capacity
           growth



                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-19
Pacific Basin

        Greatest
         growth
            China                          Pacific
                                            Ocean

            Japan

            South
             Korea

            India
                     Indian Ocean




                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-20
China Perspective




                    6987-2/05-Michigan-21
Quick Facts

      World’s largest population
          China = 1.3 billion
          U.S. = 0.3 billion
      Second largest energy
       consumer
          U.S. = 25% of world total
          China = 10% of world total




                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-22
Quick Facts

      2003
          10% increase in
           generation capacity
          17% increase in demand
          15,000 MW shortage
      2004
          9% increase in
           generation capacity
          16% increase in demand
          30,000 MW shortage


                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-23
Energy Portfolio

                 2%
             Nuclear

                               Total Electrical
                                 Generation
                      Hydro     Fuel     Percent

                              Coal         80
          Coal                Hydro        18
                              Nuclear      2




                                           6987-2/05-Michigan-24
China’s Plan

                                        Harbin 



                                                                WaFangDian 6x1000MW PWR


                            Beijing                        HaiYang 6x1000MW PWR

                                                            TianWan 6x1000MW VVER
                                                            Qinshan I 1x300MW PWR
                                                              Qinshan II 2x600MW PWR
            Chengdu                    Shanghai 
                                                              Qinshan III 2x665MW HWR
                                                              Qinshan IV 2x1000MW PWR
                                                                Sanmen 6x1000MW PWR

                                  Fuzhou                        HuiAn 6x1000MW PWR

                             Shenzhen
       Operation                        
                                        
                                                              Daya Bay 2x944MW PWR
                                                              LingAo 2x950MW PWR
       Under Construction               Hong Kong             LingDong 2x1000MW PWR

       Planning                    YangJiang 6x1000MW PWR
                                                                               6987-2/05-Michigan-25
Near-Term Plan

      PWR technology selected
      National Nuclear Steering Committee formed
      National Development and Reforming
       Commission (NDRC) has significant role




                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-26
Path Forward

    Nuclear power to be
     expanded
        6,600 MW to
         40,000 MW by 2020
    Near-term construction
        4 replication units
        4 Generation III+ units
         • 2 at Sanmen
         • 2 at Yangjiang

                                   6987-2/05-Michigan-27
Current Invitation to Bid (ITB)

                                                                     Heilongjiang
                                                                                                 Sea of
      RUSSIA                                                                                     Japan
                                                                            Jilin                         JAPAN


                                                                       Liaoning
                                                                                NORTH
                                                                                 KOREA
                                MONGOLIA                  Beijing
                                                                                           SOUTH
                                                                                           KOREA

                                                                                  Yellow
                                                                    Shandong       Sea
                                              Inner
                                           Mongolia
                                                                             Jiangsu
       Xinjiang
                                                              Henan
                                                                                           Shanghai               Sanmen
                                                                            Anhui
                                                                                                                  Nuclear Plant
    China
                                                                                      Zhejiang
                           Qinghai                                 Hubei
                                                                            Jiangxi
                                                                                      Fujian
                                               Sichuan              Hunan                      Taiwan

               Tibet
                                                          Guizhou
                                                                             Guangdong                            Yangjiang
                                                                                                                  Nuclear Plant
                                                               Guangxi                Hong Kong
                                                Yunnan
        NEPAL          BHUTAN

                                                         VIETNAM                           South China
                                     BURMA                            Hainan                   Sea
        INDIA                                         LAOS
                                                                                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-28
Status of ITB


         ITB issued
          September 28, 2004
         PWR technology
             Westinghouse
             AREVA
             Atomstroyexport
         Construction award
          December 2005


                                6987-2/05-Michigan-29
Westinghouse – AP 1000

       Passive safety systems permit
        simplification and improve safety
       Modularization reduces construction
        to 36 months
       NRC design certification provides
        regulatory certainty:
           AP 600 — December 1999            Westinghouse

           AP 1000 — August 2005



                                                 6987-2/05-Michigan-30
AREVA/Framatome ANP — EPR


      Four loop RCS design
      Four train safety systems
      In-containment borated
       water storage
      RCS depressurization system
      Separate buildings for safety trains
      Advanced “cockpit” control room
      48 months from first concrete to CO

                                              6987-2/05-Michigan-31
Atomstroyexport (Russian)
VVER-1000

       “Evolutionary” design
        incorporating safety
        improvements
       Standardization based on
        components that performed well
        on earlier plants
        (VVER-440)
       Four loop RCS design
       Horizontal steam generators
       Redesigned fuel assemblies
                                         6987-2/05-Michigan-32
World Reactor Technologies

       Gen III+          Gen IV




    Today’s Designs   Future Designs



                                        6926-1/05-Purdue-33
                                       6987-2/05-Michigan-33
Future Designs

      Generation IV advanced nuclear reactors (ARS)
          Six candidates:
                                                   December 2002
            • Very High Temperature
              Reactor (VHTR)
            • Gas-cooled Fast Reactor (GFR)
            • Lead-cooled Fast Reactor (LFR)
            • Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor (SFR)
            • Molten Salt Reactor (MSR)
            • Supercritical Water-cooled         http://nuclear.gov/nerac/
                                                 FinalRoadmapforNERACReview.pdf
              Reactor (SCWR)

                                                               6987-2/05-Michigan-34
Future Designs — Generation IV - ARS
      Technology
          Top priority  Next Generation
                          Nuclear Plant
            •   High temperature
            •   Passive safety
            •   Improved economics
            •   Demonstrates hydrogen production
            •   High efficiency direct-cycle electricity production
            •   Nonproliferation
          Technology suppliers
            • PBMR (Pty) Ltd.      Pebble Bed (PBMR)
            • AREVA/Framatome ANP  ANTARES
            • General Atomics      GT-MHR
                                                                      6987-2/05-Michigan-35
Future Designs —
Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP)

       PBMR (Pty) Ltd. — Pebble
        Bed Modular Reactor
           High temperature (900 °C)
            helium-cooled reactor
           TRISO-coated particle fuel
            in spherical fuel elements
           On-line refueling
           Direct cycle gas turbine
           Inherent passive safety
            design

                                         6987-2/05-Michigan-36
Future Designs — NGNP

      AREVA/Framatome ANP — ANTARES design
          Prismatic core
            • Low cost
            • Maximum core design flexibility
            • Minimum core design uncertainty
          Indirect cycle
            • Simplified design
          Innovative CCGT-based power generation system
            • Developed with MHI and confirmed by EdF
            • Maximizes use of existing technology
            • Combined Brayton and Rankine cycles give high
              efficiency
          Readily adaptable to H 2 production
                                                              6987-2/05-Michigan-37
Future Designs — NGNP

    General Atomics — Gas Turbine — Modular Helium
     Reactor (GT-MHR)
         Helium cooled reactor
           • Nonradioactive
           • High heat capacity
         Gas turbine
           • Brayton cycle vs. steam cycle
           • High efficiency ~ 50%
           • Modern gas turbine technology
         Ceramic fuel particles
           –   High temperature capability > 1600 °C
           –   Stable graphite core/moderator
           –   High fuel burnup capability
           –   High proliferation resistance
                                                       6987-2/05-Michigan-38
Today’s Design — Generation III+

   Advanced Light Water Reactors (ALWRs)

      Simplified design
      Passive systems to enhance safety and
       reduce cost
      Standardized designs based on modularization
       producing shorter construction schedules
      Enhanced resistance to proliferation


                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-39
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      General Electric  ESBWR
                         ABWR+

      BNFL/
       Westinghouse      AP 1000

      Atomic Energy
       Canada Limited  ACR-700
       (AECL)

      AREVA/            EPR
       Framatome         SWR 1000
                                     6987-2/05-Michigan-40
                                              6900-12/04-40
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      General Electric — ESBWR
          Simplified the design
            • Less equipment and buildings
            • Shorter construction times
            • Reduced operation and
              maintenance costs
          Improved plant performance and
           safety
            • Gives operational flexibility
            • Easier to get regulatory approval
          Designed to U.S. and European
           requirements
                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-41
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      Westinghouse — AP 1000
          Passive safety systems permit
           simplification and improve safety
          Modularization reduces construction
           to 36 months
          NRC design certification provides
           regulatory certainty:
            • AP 600 — December 1999
            • AP 1000 — August 2005              Westinghouse




                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-42
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      Atomic Energy Canada Limited
       (AECL) — ACR-700
          Evolution of CANDU 6 design
           (Qinshan)
          Safe, economical design
          40 months from first concrete
           to fuel load for 1st unit
          Currently in NRC
           pre-application review


                                           6987-2/05-Michigan-43
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      AREVA/Framatome ANP — EPR
          Four loop RCS design
          Four train safety systems
          In-containment borated
           water storage
          RCS depressurization system
          Separate buildings for safety trains
          Advanced ―cockpit‖ control room
          48 months from first concrete to CO
                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-44
Today’s Design — Generation III+ ALWR

      AREVA/Framatome
       ANP — SWR 1000
          Improved safety margin
          Improved availability
          Uses existing technology
          Reduced construction time
          60-year service life
          European utility involvement

                                          6987-2/05-Michigan-45
United States Perspective




                            6987-2/05-Michigan-46
U.S. Nuclear Energy
    Quick facts
      103 nuclear plants
      20% of the nation’s electricity




            Displaces 680 million
             metric tons of CO2
            Equivalent to 131 million
             passenger cars
                                         6987-2/05-Michigan-47
U.S. Nuclear Drivers

    Safe
    Proven nuclear plant performance
    Cost effective
    Affordable
    Energy security/energy independence
    Provides base load generation/grid
     stability
    Emission free
                                           6987-2/05-Michigan-48
Proven Performance

                                                                             90.7%




   Source: Energy Information Administration/Nuclear Regulatory Commission
                                                                                 6987-2/05-Michigan-49
Affordable             ($ per MWh)



                                   Nuclear      Coal      Gas


              No assistance          $45-$71   $33-$41   $35-$45


         Engineering costs
                      paid           $31-$46   $33-$41   $35-$45


        Limited production,
                investment           $25-$45   $33-$41   $35-$45
                  tax credit



   Source: University of Chicago
                                                          6987-2/05-Michigan-50
Cost Effective
(in constant cents/kWh)



                                                             Oil 5.53
                                                             Gas 5.77
                                                             Coal 1.8
                                                             Nuclear 1.72




        Source: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission /EUCG
                                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-51
Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival

Congress       Energy Policy Act
                   Supports nuclear energy as a major component
                    of national energy policy
                   Supports
                     • Uprates/license renewals
                     • Licensing of new plants
  DOE
               Nuclear Power 2010 program
                   Deploys at least one new advanced
                    nuclear plant by 2010
Utilities
               Three utility-led consortiums formed to
                develop COL applications for new
                U.S. reactors                               6987-2/05-Michigan-52
Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival

   Increasing Public Support


                                     Keep the    Definitely    Accept
  Important         Favor use          option      build        new
   for our          of nuclear        to build      nuclear    reactors
   energy           energy             nuclear     plants in    at nearest
   future                               plants    future        plant


  80%              67%               71%         60%           62%


    Source: Bisconti Research Inc.


                                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-53
Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival —
License Renewals
                                                             32
          30                                                Not
                                                         Announced
         Granted
                                          25
         
                                                           Renewal
                                                          Application
              Renewal
             Application
                                         Renewal          Renewal
                                                         Application
                                          Intent
                                            Renewal


                            16
                                           Application




                           In NRC
                           Review
                            Renewal
                           Application




                                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-54
Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival

      Browns Ferry #1
       restart
          Tennessee Valley
           Authority
           • 1,280 MWe
           • Applied for 20-
             year license
             renewal
           • Ahead of
             schedule
           • Under budget
                                   6987-2/05-Michigan-55
Evidence of U.S. Nuclear Revival

      Utility consortiums formed in response to DOE’s
       NP-2010 solicitation
          NuStart Energy Development, LLC
          Dominion-led
          TVA-led




                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-56
New U.S. Licensing Process

                 Early site approval


                           1




                 2                3
    Design certification        Combined license for
                                  construction and
                                  operation (COL)



                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-57
Early Site Permits

        1        Site approval obtained
                  before company decides
                  to build
                 Company “banks” site
                  up to 20 years
                 Decision made, design
                  chosen later
                 Greater certainty in
                  moving forward
                                         6987-2/05-Michigan-58
Design Certification

        2         Advance NRC
                  approval for design
                  Lengthy delays
                  avoided before site
                  preparation,
                  construction
                  Four designs
                  approved to date


                                     6987-2/05-Michigan-59
Combined Construction and Operating
License
        3

                    One license for operating/
                     building plant
                    Early focus of public
                     comment
                    Greater regulatory
                     certainty




                                           6987-2/05-Michigan-60
Old Licensing Process
                    15 years
  Construction
     Permit
   Application



                  Operating License
  Construction
                     Application




                  Operating License
                                      Operations
                       Issued
 Public Comment
   Opportunity


                                            6987-2/05-Michigan-61
New Licensing Process
                          7 years
    Early Site
     Permit



    Combined                      Construction
     License       Construction   Acceptance     Operation
                                    Criteria


     Design
   Certification



 Public Comment
   Opportunity


                                                    6987-2/05-Michigan-62
What Needs To Be Done

                  Spent Fuel
                 Management



    Financials                  Regulatory
                                 Certainty
                 Build New
                  Nuclear
                  Plants
    Public and
    Bipartisan                 Infrastructure
     Support


                   Proven
                 Technology



                                          6987-2/05-Michigan-63
 What Needs To Be Done — New
 Nuclear Plants

  Proven      Finalize a competitive approved design
Technology
              Ensure designs met new capacity needs


              Create advantageous business conditions
Financials      Acceptable financials return
                Financial incentives



Regulatory    Resolve uncertainties in licensing
 Certainty     and regulations
                                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-64
  What Needs To Be Done — New
  Nuclear Plants

 Spent Fuel       Completion of Yucca Mountain
Management
                  Long-term solution

                  Re-establishment of the nuclear infrastructure
Infrastructure
                    Utilities   Universities
                    Vendors     Government
                    Labor       Investors

                  Renew public confidence
  Public and
  Bipartisan
   Support
                  Need to maintain high-performance standards
                  Need national energy policy
                                                            6987-2/05-Michigan-65
    Role of
  American
Nuclear Society




                   6926-1/05-Purdue-66
                  6987-2/05-Michigan-66
Role of American Nuclear Society

      Provides professional home for
       pioneers leading the industry



      Promotes members’
       contributions in the expansion
       of nuclear technology




                                        6987-2/05-Michigan-67
Role of American Nuclear Society

      Provides forum to develop
       and apply technology
       to benefit all humanity
      Serves as credible voice for exchange of
       nuclear information




                                                  6987-2/05-Michigan-68
Role of American Nuclear Society
      Through ANS professional
       divisions
          Members demonstrate the
           peaceful power of the atom
          Members push the science
           forward at topical meetings and
           workshops
      Through ANS public policy
       and federal affairs
          Members assist:
            • Government in developing
              sound policies
            • Renewal of public confidence
                                             6987-2/05-Michigan-69
  Tomorrow’s Vision Coming into Focus
                                                         40 nuclear
                      EBR-1               U.S.S.           plants                     New Build Consortiums
                     Reactor              Nautilus                                     NuStart
 Periodic                                                                              TVA
  table                                                                                Dominion
                                          1960
                                                                                          Gen III+
               1900
                                                                                                           Space

                                                                             2004
                                Medical
                               Isotopes        Pioneer
                                                 10

                                                                NP 2010
                                                                             Gen IV
                                                                                                     2050
            X-rays                                              Initiative
Cathode
rays
                                                                                         Medical




                                                                              The Faces of
                                                                               Tomorrow

                                                                                                      6987-2/05-Michigan-70
Questions
Answers




            6987-2/05-Michigan-71
      The Nuclear
      Renaissance:
      A Resurgence of
      Nuclear Energy

            Jim Reinsch
    President, Bechtel Nuclear Power
Board of Directors, Nuclear Energy Institute
President-Elect, American Nuclear Society




                                               6987-2/05-Michigan-72

						
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