Catastrophic Disaster Planning Federal Emergency Management Agency Michel S Pawlowski FEMA Incident Response Section Chief FY - Articles, Papers and Presentations

Catastrophic Disaster Planning Federal Emergency Management Agency Fiscal Year 2007 Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Role of FEMA “The primary mission of FEMA is to reduce the loss of life and property and protect the Nation from all hazards, including natural disasters, acts of terrorism, and other man-made disasters, by leading and supporting the Nation in a risk-based, comprehensive emergency management system of preparedness, protection, response, recovery, and mitigation”. Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006 (Section 503) Catastrophic Disaster Planning 15 National Planning Scenarios Natural Disaster #9 Earthquake #10 Hurricane Chemical Attack #5 Blister #6 Toxic Industrial #7 Nerve Agent #8 Chlorine Biological Disease #2 Anthrax #3 Pandemic #4 Plague #13 Food #14 Animal Radiological/ Nuclear/ Explosive Attack #11 Radiological Attack (RDD) #1 Nuclear Detonation #12 Explosives Attack (IED) Cyber Attack #15 Cyber 3 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Current Focus • All hazards approach to “Notice” and “No Notice” disasters with detailed emphasis on: – Hurricanes • Regions I, II, III, IV, VI, and IX • Caribbean and Pacific Area Division Offices – Earthquakes • Central US: New Madrid Seismic Zone • US West Coast: California – Mass Evacuations 4 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Budget • 2006 – Evacuation Planning (Gulf Coast Recovery Office) – Mass Evacuee Support Planning – ESF-6 Regional Mass Care Planning – Florida Catastrophic Planning – New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning – Total • 2007 – New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning – California Catastrophic Planning – Florida Catastrophic Planning – Catastrophic Housing – National Shelter System – Debris Operations – Debris Technology – Public Assistance Program Management – Operational Planning Capability – Total $20.0M $20.0M 5 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Partnerships to Meet the Challenge • • • • • • • • • Federal, State, local and Tribal partnership DHS components FEMA HQ and Regions State Emergency Management Agencies Other State agencies Federal and Sector Specific Agencies (CI/KR) Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) Business, Industry and Voluntary Organizations Academia 6 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Scenario-Driven Catastrophic Planning –Combines planning and exercise phases –Includes operational and planning personnel –Incorporates wide range of site-specific scenarios –Built on scenario-driven workshops –Produces functional plans ready for immediate use –Addresses jurisdictional conflicts –Can be exercised rapidly after development • Unified Response Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State, Tribal Nations and other governmental entities 7 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Integration with the National Response Plan NATIONAL - STRATEGIC Concept of Operations 15 National Planning Scenarios HSPD 5 PANDEMIC Catastrophic Catastrophic INFLUENZA Catastrophic EARTHQUAKE CBRNE CONOPS CBRNE CONOPS CONOPS CONOPS REGIONAL - OPERATIONAL Operations Plan STATE & LOCAL - TACTICAL Emergency Operations Plan Incident Action Plans Regional HURRICANE OPLAN Regional Pandemic Influenza CONOPS 8 FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline October 2006 Oct 2006 Compile 2006 Season AAR Establish Working Groups to address AAR Issues Incorporate AAR corrective action into 2006/2007 CONOPS DoD JDOMS Hurricane Conf Lake Okeechobee Initiative June 2007 Nov 2006 Dec 2006 Hurricane Season Critique USACE/FEMA/ESF/States Distribute Director’s Guidance for Hurricane Season 2007 Issue 1st Draft of 2007 CONPLAN Jan 2007 1st Comment Period Feb 2007 Compile Initial Coordinating Draft (Interagency Input) ESFLG CONPLAN Synchronization Workshop Regional Planning Workshops PFO/FCO Training South Florida Regional Planning Conference 9 FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline October 2006 Mar 2007 Provide Director CONPLAN In Progress Review (IPR) Regional Hurricane Preparedness Exercises 2nd Comment Period June 2007 Apr 2007 National Hurricane Conference Program (NOLA) CONPLAN Final Coordinating Draft (Regional Input) NOC/NRCC Hurricane Tabletop Preparedness Exercise May 2007 Florida Governor’s Conference Hurricane Florida Hurricane Exercise NOC/NRCC Functional Exercise (CPX) Ardent Sentry Hurricane CONPLAN 2007 Published Jun 2007 START of HURRICANE SEASON 10 2007 Hurricane Season Regional Hurricane Exercises • Each Region will develop a regionspecific hurricane contingency plan. R-I Ardent Sentry 07 Hurricane Yvette Scenario R-II NYC Coastal Storm Plan R-IX Scenario NV NY ME VT NH MA CT RI NJ CA R-VI GCRO New Orleans Scenario AZ NM OK AR R-III Hampton Roads Chesapeake Bay Scenario PA MD DE WV VA CAD (PR/VI) Scenario R-IV FL South Florida Scenario KY NC TN SC TX HI LA MS AL GA PAD Scenario FL 11 Florida Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges • Impact of 2004 Florida Hurricanes • History of severe storms including 3 with category 5 status at landfall over the last 80 years A category 5 hurricane could severely impact Miami area, population approximately 6M Catastrophic failure of the Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) around Lake Okeechobee: “... will impact the lives and livelihoods of thousands of Floridians. It would be devastating to our economy, environment and quality of life. While preparing for the impacts of a dike failure is critical to prevent the loss of life, the priority should be preventing such a failure from ever occurring….” –Former Governor Jeb Bush 12 Florida Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Planning Process: County to FL Regions – FEMA is providing contract support directly to the state of FL • 7 senior emergency planners in Florida • 1 senior emergency planner in FEMA Region IV • 2 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ – State generates guidance (templates) for annexes – Counties develop concept plan on how to complete annex template – State reviews/approves concept plans – Regional Workshops: • Scenario driven with Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) data collection • Integrates county annexes to develop a State regional plan that includes State and Federal support 13 New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges • No notice event not commonly recognized • Consequences eclipse Katrina • Large impact area - 126,575 Sq Miles • 44M people in eight-State region (12M in high risk area) • Multiple jurisdictions with multiple governors IL MO Approximately 12 million people at high risk IN • Significant infrastructure impacts • Response problems during multiple aftershocks St. Louis 1.5-2 Million KY TN AR • Estimated building loss -- $70B • Severe weather & significant evacuation issues MS AL Rural Pop. 8-9 million 160–200 Cities Memphis 1-1.5 Million Directly Impacted States Indirectly Impacted States 14 New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Planning Process: State to Region to Federal – FEMA is providing contract support directly to the NMSZ states/Regions • 12 senior emergency planners in states/Regions (AL, AR, IL, IN, KY, MS, MO, TN, Regions IV, V, VI, VII) • 3 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ – State generates guidance (templates) for annexes – State reviews/approves concept plans – Regional Workshops: • Scenario driven • Integration of local, State Regional, State and Federal response plans • Unified Response – Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State and other governmental entities 15 New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning New Madrid Interim Contingency Plan • Fills immediate need-manage Federal response to catastrophic NMSZ Earthquake • Defines what Federal response should be if event occurs in immediate future • Modeling used to provide estimate of damages and losses • Identifies difference between projected losses and capabilities • Provides organizational architecture for direction and control • Outlines logistics concept of operations • Annexes contain checklists • Developed in parallel to NMSZ Catastrophic Planning Project 16 California Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges •Major impact to large metropolitan areas •Consequences would eclipse Katrina •Large area of impact - 155,959 Sq. Miles •Highly populated areas - 36M •Significant earthquake risk throughout State •Tsunami risk •Mass Evacuation •Significant infrastructure impacts •Response problems due to roadway collapse/blockage •Estimated building loss -- > $69B 17 California Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Proven Regional, State and Local Emergency plans in effect – Los Angeles Venue to the NRP Catastrophic Incident Supplement – City of Los Angeles Health Emergency Response Plan – San Francisco Bay Area Regional Emergency Coordination Plan – Sacramento Valley Levee Response Plan – Golden Guardian Annual Earthquake exercise 18 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Pandemic Influenza • Assisted in development of DHS Pandemic Influenza Contingency Plan • Working with the DHS Incident Management Planning Team on PI planning Improvised Nuclear Devices & Radiological Dispersal Devices • Component contingency plan and interagency annex • Updating policy and procedures to support NRP’s nuclearradiological response annex • Maintaining representation on NSPD-28 Nuclear Command and Control System Support Staff • Active in exercise support 19 Catastrophic Disaster Planning Mass Evacuations • Projects and Products: – – – – – National Response Plan Support Annex Catastrophic Incident Supplement Appendix Contingency Plan Annex Evacuation Operations Manual Recovery – Evacuee Support & Shelter Management • Authorities and References: – Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act 2006 – Nationwide Plan Review – Hurricane Katrina Lessons Learned 20 21