Tuesday 28th June 2011 CONTENTS Market View Greek parliament to by ps94506


									                                                                                                                             Tuesday 28th June 2011

                                          Market View
                                          The strength in European and North American markets yesterday continued into Asia overnight and should
                                          see a positive start to today in Europe, Greek concerns notwithstanding. With international regulators agree-
Market View: Greek parliament to
discuss austerity today                   ing that the world‟s largest banks should hold extra reserves, there is an increased perception that past
                                          capital issues have now been dealt with and the financial sector is on a more solid footing. All eyes will be
                                          fixed on Greece today as parliament discusses the austerity measures required to release the next tranche
Standard Chartered: Impairment            of funding from the IMF ECB and EU. The debate takes place under less than auspicious conditions as the
charges continue to fall                  country is gripped in rolling 48 hour strikes. With last week‟s vote of confidence passing by a majority of four
                                          and the opposition pressing for re-negotiation, having rejected the Government‟s plan, the current vote will
                                          be a tight run thing, although the market is expecting acceptance. Current indications are that the vote will
Siemens: Positive Q3 trading              not be taken today but is more likely tomorrow, further drawing out the process. Concurrently, European
update expected                           bankers have been addressing debt-deal options indicating that there will be a private funding element to
                                          the new Greek bailout package. It is anticipated that they could have an outline plan on the table by the end
                                          of the coming weekend, but may not by then have finalised the details. On the economic data front today,
Nike: Strong Q4 revenue growth in         we are looking for the UK Q111 GDP final reading out at 9:30, with an unchanged 1.8% and 0.5% expected
North America                             for year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth, respectively. In the US, the two main data points will be the
                                          CaseShiller Home Price Index for April (previously 138.16) at 14:00 and consumer confidence at 15:00
                                          (61.0 expected, marginally up on the 60.8 reported previously).

                                          Standard Chartered - Buy                    Previous Close £15.65                                Target £19.00
IRISH PAPERS TODAY                        Standard Chartered released a pre-close update this morning, providing positive guidance. At the end of
                                          May the group saw income and profit growing by double digits compared to the same period in 2010. This
                                          trend is expected to continue into June with PBT to increase double digit numbers. Net Interest Margins are
Government cautious on initiative to      flat on 2010 levels with liability margins increasing “moderately” in the first half of the year, offset by asset
help Greece avert default                 margins which remain under some pressure. On costs, growth is expected to be broadly inline with income
(The Irish Times)                         growth in the first half of the year. Impairment charges are also running at lower levels than seen in the
                                          second half of 2010. On the individual businesses, Consumer Banking is expected to grow income at low
State to own 99pc of IL&P in weeks        double digits with Asia performing well. The division is expected to deliver positive jaws for the first half of
(The Irish Independent)                   the year. Wholesale Banking is expected to show single digit growth over the first half of 2010. Financial
                                          market client income has grown by double digits with FX, Capital Markets and Commodities all performing
Burton to tell cabinet of extra welfare   well. Expenses are expected to be higher than 2H10 due to the flow through of prior year investments with
costs for wage reform
                                          jaws to be negative, but significantly narrower than seen in 2010. The up-date this morning is positive as the
(The Irish Times)
                                          impairment charges continue to fall, costs are rising in line with income and the group‟s main markets con-
                                          tinue to perform. We remain buyers of the group due to its exposure to growth markets plus strong balance
                                          sheet. The group is currently trading at 1.6x 2011 TNAV and 12x 2011 earnings, both premiums to the
                                          European sector but the bank has a much better growth profile than these banks.
                                          Siemens - Buy                              Previous Close €92.72                                   Target €103
 Wen rails at Cameron’s criticism         Siemens, will provide a Q3 trading update this morning as part of its capital markets day. It is expected to
 (Financial Times)                        reiterate May‟s positive outlook of mid single digit increases in sales and that it expects full year profits to be
                                          €7.5bn or above. The capital markets day will focus on the group’s plan to expand its market share in
 Greece creditors wrestle with debt       emerging markets with the group stating that it „is excellently positioned to capture an above average share
 deal options                             of these markets‟. We reiterate our Buy recommendation on Siemens as we believe it benefits from a strong
 (Wall Street Journal)                    business model and it has the potential for significant earnings growth, particularly over the next three
 Cash-rich US companies take to
 using accelerated buy-backs              Nike - Q411 Results
 (Financial Times)
                                          Nike reported positive Q411 numbers last night, which saw its shares trade up 4.4% in after market trading.
                                          Group revenue came in at $5.77bn v $5.54bn expected while EPS came in at $1.24 v $1.17 expected.
                                          These results will be a relief for Nike investors after results for Q3 saw the group miss their profit target for
                                          the first time in three years. China was particularly strong for the group with revenue up 21% while Western
                                          Europe was up by only 5%. The highlight for the group however was North America which saw revenue
                                          growth of 21% with its online sales stronger than store sales. The results also highlighted the group‟s suc-
                                          cess in raising prices in response to soaring costs of cotton.
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