Q Poll 06292011

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Q Poll 06292011 Powered By Docstoc
					Maurice Carroll, Director,
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
  FOR RELEASE: JUNE 29, 2011

       CATHOLIC NEW YORKERS APPROVE OF CUOMO 3-1,
             QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
   CUOMO TOPS OTHER GOVERNORS, OVER CHRISTIE BY 20 POINTS
  New York State voters approve 64 – 19 percent of the job Gov. Andrew Cuomo is doing, 20
  points better than New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie and leading governors in other states
  surveyed by Quinnipiac University. White Catholic voters approve 62 – 22 percent.
          Gov. Cuomo’s approval rating matches his 64 – 16 percent score April 13, the highest
  New York scores since Gov. George Pataki’s 66 – 18 percent July 2, 2002. Scores for other
  governors surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University are:
         Virginia’s Bob McDonnell, 55 – 26 percent June 29;
         New Jersey’s Christopher Christie, 44 – 47 percent June 21;
         Connecticut’s Dannel Malloy, 38 – 44 percent June 15;
         Pennsylvania’s Tom Corbett, 39 – 38 percent June 14;
         Florida’s Rick Scott, 29 – 57 percent May 25;
         Ohio’s John Kasich, 38 – 49 percent May 18.
          In today’s survey, Cuomo’s approval is 53 – 26 percent among Republicans, 75 – 13
  percent among Democrats, 61 – 19 percent among independent voters and 63 – 20 percent
  among voters in union households.
          In two separate questions about Cuomo, New York State voters say:
         They like him as a person 64 – 12 percent, no matter what they think of his policies;
         They like his policies 62 – 24 percent, no matter what they think of him personally.
          “It’s up, up and away for super-Andrew after the close of the legislative session. Gov.
  Cuomo’s job approval is high, even among Republicans, and almost 3-1 among Catholics,” said
  Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
          “Cuomo has the same economic problems as governors in other states polled by
  Quinnipiac University, but somehow he outscores them all. He is a Democratic governor in a
  Democratic state, but so is Gov. Malloy in Connecticut.”
                                                -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/June 29, 2011 – page 2
       New York State voters rate Cuomo more liberal than conservative. On a scale of 1 to
100, where 100 is totally liberal, Cuomo gets a mean score of 63.4 (not a percent).
       “Is Andrew Cuomo, son of liberal icon Mario Cuomo, a liberal or a conservative? Most
New Yorkers think he is on the liberal side, a little more liberal than the voters,” Carroll said.
       But only 37 percent say he has opened up the Albany decision making process to more
legislators while 38 percent say the “three-men-in-a-room” style of doing business continues.
       New York State voters approve 54 – 33 percent of their local State Senator and approve
of their State Assembly member 45 – 38 percent.
       But voters disapprove 62 – 26 percent of the State Legislature, compared to 62 – 25
percent June 1. Voters disapprove 43 – 29 percent of the job Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver
is doing and disapprove 35 – 25 percent, with 40 percent undecided, of State Senate Majority
Leader Dean Skelos.
       “The governor’s job approval is more than double the level of the legislature. As usual,
voters are inclined to like the Assembly members and senators from their neighborhood – but not
the legislature as a whole or its leaders,” Carroll added.
                            Obama, Schumer, Gillibrand Approval Ratings
       President Barack Obama gets a 57 – 38 percent approval rating in New York, compared
to 60 – 35 percent June 1. Voters say 56 – 39 percent that President Obama deserves reelection
and would vote for him 53 – 30 percent over an unnamed Republican challenger.
       Obama’s approval is 82 – 12 percent among Democrats and 49 – 45 percent among
independent voters. Republicans disapprove 74 – 23 percent.
       U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer gets a 64 – 24 percent approval, his highest score in years.
       New York State voters approve 54 – 22 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is
doing, matching her highest score ever.
       From June 20 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,317 registered voters with a margin
of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
       The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia
and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.




                                                                                                     2
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom        Wht   Blk

Approve              64%      53%       75%    61%        67%        62%        64%   64%
Disapprove           19       26        13     19         19         19         20    21
DK/NA                17       21        12     21         14         19         16    15

                                               Union                 WHITE......
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds                Prot   Cath      Jew

Approve              59%      67%       68%    63%                   60%        62%   76%
Disapprove           24       14        19     20                    24         22    13
DK/NA                17       19        13     16                    16         16    11


TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as
Governor?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23
                     2011      2011       2011       2011

Approve              64        61         64         56
Disapprove           19        18         16         15
DK/NA                17        21         21         29


2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as
United States Senator?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              64%      48%       81%    56%        64%        64%
Disapprove           24       40         7     36         27         22
DK/NA                12       12        12      8          9         14

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              59%      68%       66%    68%
Disapprove           26       20        28     23
DK/NA                15       12         6      9

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as
United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001)

                                                                APPROVE.......        DIS...
                                                                High    Low           High
                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Dec 08 Apr 15         Jul 28
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2004*   1999          2010

Approve              64        60         55         60         69         51         55
Disapprove           24        28         32         26         16         22         33
DK/NA                12        12         13         14         15         28         12




                                                                                               3
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as
United States Senator?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              54%      33%       67%    54%        52%        56%
Disapprove           22       39        11     22         25         19
DK/NA                24       28        22     24         23         25

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              52%      58%       51%    57%
Disapprove           26       16        25     19
DK/NA                22       26        24     24

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as
United States Senator? (*High also 54% Feb 2011)

                                                                           APPROVE.......
                                                                           High    Low
                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Jan 27     Jun 29 Feb 17
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2011       2011*   2009

Approve              54        53         49         54         48         54         28
Disapprove           22        22         26         20         21         22         10
DK/NA                24        25         26         26         31         24         62


4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom        Wht    Blk

Approve              57%      23%       82%    49%        57%        56%        46%    89%
Disapprove           38       74        12     45         39         38         49      6
DK/NA                 5        3         6      6          4          6          5      5

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              49%      67%       53%    60%
Disapprove           45       27        45     36
DK/NA                 5        6         2      4

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
President?

                                                                           APPROVE......
                                                                           High    Low
                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Jan 27     Feb 19 Dec 08
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2011       2009    2010

Approve              57        60         54         53         53         72         48
Disapprove           38        35         42         41         40         17         43
DK/NA                 5         5          4          6          7         10          9




                                                                                             4
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              26%      17%       36%    19%        26%        26%
Disapprove           62       71        53     68         63         62
DK/NA                12       12        11     13         11         13

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              23%      28%       27%    26%
Disapprove           68       58        61     64
DK/NA                10       14        12     10

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                APPROVE......       DIS...
                                                                High    Low         High
                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Apr 04 Sep 01       Jun 23
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2007    2010        2010

Approve              26        25         29         20         34         15       16
Disapprove           62        62         58         65         43         75       76
DK/NA                12        12         13         15         23          9        7


6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your state assembly member is handling their
job?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              45%      43%       53%    37%        45%        46%
Disapprove           38       44        29     47         40         36
DK/NA                17       13        18     16         16         18

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              45%      46%       45%    42%
Disapprove           43       32        41     42
DK/NA                13       22        14     16

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way your state assembly member is handling
their job?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Dec 20     Aug 11   Jun 17
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2005       2004     2004

Approve              45        42         41         35         55         48       54
Disapprove           38        39         40         42         22         26       24
DK/NA                17        19         19         22         15         19       17




                                                                                             5
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your state senator is handling their job?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              54%      49%       61%    50%        52%        56%
Disapprove           33       38        25     38         36         30
DK/NA                13       13        14     12         12         14

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              48%      59%       56%    55%
Disapprove           39       27        32     32
DK/NA                13       15        12     13

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way your state senator is handling their job?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Dec 20     Aug 11   Jun 17
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2005       2004     2004

Approve              54        51         49         49         63         54       58
Disapprove           33        34         36         32         22         27       25
DK/NA                13        16         15         18         15         19       17


8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as
State Assembly Speaker?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              29%      22%       41%    16%        30%        28%
Disapprove           43       53        32     51         47         39
DK/NA                28       25        27     32         23         33

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              21%      39%       26%    34%
Disapprove           47       35        48     43
DK/NA                32       25        26     23

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State
Assembly Speaker?

                                                                           APPROVE.......
                                                                           High    Low
                     Jun 29    Sep 01     Jul 28     Jun 23     Apr 14     Dec 24 Apr 14
                     2011      2010       2010       2010       2010       2008    2010

Approve              29        28         26         26         25         38       25
Disapprove           43        43         44         39         40         34       40
DK/NA                28        29         30         34         35         38       35




                                                                                             6
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dean Skelos is handling his job as
State Senate Majority Leader?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Approve              25%      25%       27%    22%        28%        22%
Disapprove           35       34        35     39         41         30
DK/NA                40       42        38     39         32         48

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Approve              21%      26%       31%    25%
Disapprove           37       35        32     41
DK/NA                42       39        37     34


10. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State
today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very
dissatisfied?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom

Very satisfied        4%       3%        6%     1%         3%         5%
Smwht satisfied      34       24        46     27         38         31
Smwht dissatisfied   34       29        33     41         35         33
Very dissatisfied    27       43        15     29         24         29
DK/NA                 1        1         -      1          -          1

                                               Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Very satisfied        3%       4%        5%     3%
Smwht satisfied      25       45        35     33
Smwht dissatisfied   34       34        34     35
Very dissatisfied    37       16        25     28
DK/NA                 1        1         1      -

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State
today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very
dissatisfied?

                                                                           VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                                           High    Low
                     Jun 29    Jun 01     Apr 13     Feb 23     Jan 26     Feb 25 Jun 23
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2011       1998    2010

Very satisfied        4         3          2          2          2         13      1
Smwht satisfied      34        34         32         29         26         60     18
Smwht dissatisfied   34        32         34         34         37         20     33
Very dissatisfied    27        29         31         33         33          7     47
DK/NA                 1         1          1          2          2          1      1




                                                                                            7
11. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President...
If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for
Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Obama                53%      11%       84%   46%      53%   53%
Republican           30       71         8    29       30    31
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 11       13         5    17       12    10
DK/NA                 5        5         4     9        5     6

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Obama                42%      68%       49%   57%
Republican           37       21        34    26
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13        7        13    12
DK/NA                 8        4         4     5

TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for
President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the
Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01
                     2011      2011

Obama                53        55
Republican           30        27
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 11        11
DK/NA                 5         7


12. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President...
Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not
deserve to be reelected?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Yes/Deserves         56%      19%       84%   45%      56%   56%
No/Does not          39       77        14    44       40    38
DK/NA                 5        4         2    11        4     6

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Yes/Deserves         46%      68%       53%   58%
No/Does not          47       27        44    38
DK/NA                 7        5         3     4

TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama
deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

                     Jun 29    June 01
                     2011      2011

Yes/Deserves         56        57
No/Does not          39        36
DK/NA                 5         6




                                                                                           8
13. Regardless of how you feel about Andrew Cuomo's policies, would you say you like or
don't like Andrew Cuomo as a person?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Like                 64%      59%       70%   60%      65%   63%
Don't Like           12       15        10    12       13    11
DK/NA                24       26        20    28       22    26

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Like                 59%      67%       66%   63%
Don't Like           12       10        15    11
DK/NA                29       23        19    25

TREND: Regardless of how you feel about Andrew Cuomo's policies, would you say you like or
don't like Andrew Cuomo as a person?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01
                     2011      2011

Like                 64        61
Don't Like           12        13
DK/NA                24        26


14. And regardless of how you feel about Andrew Cuomo as a person, would you say you like
or don't like most of Andrew Cuomo's policies?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Like                 62%      53%       71%   59%      66%   58%
Don't Like           24       31        16    27       22    25
DK/NA                14       15        13    14       12    17

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Like                 60%      64%       63%   60%
Don't Like           25       21        26    27
DK/NA                16       15        11    12

TREND: And regardless of how you feel about Andrew Cuomo as a person, would you say you
like or don't like most of Andrew Cuomo's policies?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01
                     2011      2011

Like                 62        61
Don't Like           24        23
DK/NA                14        16




                                                                                          9
15. What letter grade would you give him for the job he has been doing as governor; A, B,
C, D, or F?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

A                    13%    10%    17%    10%      13%   12%
B                    48     40     53     51       48    48
C                    26     32     21     24       25    26
D                     7     10      4     10        7     7
F                     2      5      1      1        3     2
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4        4     4

                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

A                    13%    13%    12%    13%
B                    42     53     50     48
C                    28     23     25     26
D                     9      5      7      7
F                     3      2      3      3
DK/NA                 5      4      3      4


16. What letter grade would you give the state legislature for the job it has been doing;
A, B, C, D, or F?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

A                     2%     2%     2%     1%       2%    2%
B                    23     19     28     16       22    23
C                    34     33     39     29       29    39
D                    20     19     14     30       23    16
F                    16     22     11     18       18    13
DK/NA                 7      5      7      6        7     7

                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

A                     2%     1%     2%     1%
B                    18     27     23     22
C                    30     37     35     33
D                    23     17     18     20
F                    21     10     16     18
DK/NA                 6      7      7      6


17. Do you think Andrew Cuomo will make New York state a better place in which to live or
not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

Yes                  65%    55%    75%    63%      65%   65%
No                   24     33     15     26       24    24
DK/NA                11     12     10     11       10    11

                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

Yes                  59%    69%    70%    63%
No                   29     19     22     28
DK/NA                12     11      8      9



                                                                                       10
18. Thinking of a scale of 0 to 100, where 0 is totally conservative and 100 is totally
liberal, how would you rate Governor Cuomo?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men    Wom

0-13                  3%     1%     5%     2%       4%     2%
14-25                 1      2      1      1        1      1
26-38                 2      5      1      3        2      2
39-50                23     26     19     26       21     25
51-100               61     57     65     60       63     58
DK                    9     10      9      8        8     11

Mean numeric score   63.4   62.6   65.2   62.0     62.2   64.6


                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

0-13                  4%     4%     1%     4%
14-25                 1      1      1      2
26-38                 3      2      2      3
39-50                25     20     25     25
51-100               55     63     66     61
DK                   11     10      6      6

Mean numeric score   61.2   64.9   64.8   61.5


19. And how about yourself? On a scale of 0 to 100, where 0 is totally conservative and
100 is totally liberal, how would you rate yourself?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind      Men    Wom

0-13                  9%    20%     3%     7%      12%     7%
14-25                 6     15      1      5        7      4
26-38                 4      9      -      4        4      3
39-50                28     31     20     36       24     31
51-100               51     23     71     47       49     52
DK                    3      2      3      2        3      2

Mean numeric score   58.2   39.8   71.3   54.5     55.6   60.5


                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds

0-13                 12%     6%    11%     9%
14-25                 8      4      6      6
26-38                 3      3      6      2
39-50                31     23     29     27
51-100               42     62     46     54
DK                    4      2      2      2

Mean numeric score   53.5   65.4   54.2   59.8




                                                                                          11
20. Historically, the Governor, the Senate Majority Leader, and the Assembly Speaker have
made all the big decisions in Albany with little input from state legislators. Do you
think that with Andrew Cuomo as governor - The 3 men in a room approach to decision making
has continued or Other legislators have been more involved in decision making?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

3 men continued      38%      36%       37%   42%      45%   32%
Others involved      37       35        40    33       36    37
DK/NA                25       28        23    25       19    31

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

3 men continued      44%      36%       32%   43%
Others involved      33       38        40    35
DK/NA                23       26        28    22

TREND: Historically, the Governor, the Senate Majority Leader, and the Assembly Speaker
have made all the big decisions in Albany with little input from state legislators. Do you
think that with Andrew Cuomo as governor - The three men in a room approach to decision
making has continued or other legislators have been more involved in decision making?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01
                     2011      2011

3 men continued      38        32
Others involved      37        40
DK/NA                25        28


21. Do you think Governor Cuomo has been accessible enough to the news media or do you
think he should be more accessible to the news media?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem   Ind      Men   Wom

Accessible enough    52%      52%       51%   54%      51%   53%
More accessible      39       40        41    37       40    39
DK/NA                 9        8         8     9        9     9

                                              Union
                     UpStat NYC         Sub   HsHlds

Accessible enough    57%      46%       52%   51%
More accessible      33       46        40    40
DK/NA                11        8         8     9

TREND: Do you think Governor Cuomo has been accessible enough to the news media or do you
think he should be more accessible to the news media?

                     Jun 29    Jun 01
                     2011      2011

Accessible enough    52        52
More accessible      39        38
DK/NA                 9        10




                                                                                         12

				
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