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Quinnipiac Same-Sex Marriage Poll

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Quinnipiac Same-Sex Marriage Poll Powered By Docstoc
					Maurice Carroll, Director,
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
  FOR RELEASE: JUNE 28, 2011

    AGE, RELIGIOUS GAP IN NEW YORK GAY MARRIAGE APPROVAL,
               QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
      VOTERS BACK CUOMO PLAN TO GET TOUGH ON TEXTERS
  New York State voters support 54 – 40 percent a law allowing same-sex couples to marry, with
  voters under 35 supporting the measure 70 – 26 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University
  poll released today. Voters 35 to 64 years old also support the measure, while voters over 65
  oppose it 57 – 37 percent. Support remained consistent before and after passage of the bill.
          White Catholics split 48 – 48 percent on same-sex marriage. Jews support it 67 – 30
  percent, while white Protestants oppose the measure 54 – 40 percent, the independent Quinnipiac
  (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Voters who say they have no religion support the
  measure 78 – 17 percent.
          Voters split 47 – 46 percent on whether a same-sex marriage bill will pressure religious
  groups to perform such marriages. There will be pressure, white Protestants say 52 – 39 percent.
  White Catholics split 50 – 48 percent and Jews say no pressure 55 – 38 percent.
          Opposition from religious leaders to same-sex marriage does not affect their attitudes on
  the issue, 70 percent of New York State voters say. Because of this opposition, 17 percent of
  white Protestants, 21 percent of white Catholics and 17 percent of Jews are less likely to support
  same-sex marriage.
          “Throughout the down-to-the-wire drama and the narrow margin in the State Senate,
  voter support for same-sex marriage has been consistent,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the
  Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
          “On gay marriage, many of the people in the pews split with their bishops.
          “Opponents had worried that churches might be pressured to perform same-sex marriages
  and a substantial number of voters think that’s still a valid problem.”
                                                -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/June 28, 2011 – page 2
       New York State voters support 62 – 29 percent rent regulation controlling the amount a
landlord can charge a tenant. Support is 73 – 20 percent among Democrats, 48 – 42 percent
among Republicans and 59 – 31 percent among independent voters.
       Support ranges from 51 – 37 percent among upstate voters to 63 – 25 percent among
suburban voters to 73 – 23 percent among New York City voters.
                                 Ban on Texting While Driving
       Voters also support 94 – 5 percent Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s proposal to ban texting or
typing while driving. Support tops 90 percent among all groups, even young voters.
       The appropriate penalty for someone caught texting while driving is a $100 reckless
driving ticket and points on the driver’s license, voters say 79 – 19 percent, again with no serious
dissent.
       Voters reject more severe penalties:
      51 – 46 percent against suspending a texter’s driver’s license;
      59 – 39 percent against police confiscating the smart phone, or other offending device.
       “Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s proposed ban on texting-while-driving is one of those apple-pie-
and-motherhood things. And New Yorkers love their apple pie,” Carroll said.
       “When the Quinnipiac University poll first asked about banning cell phones while
driving, New York State voters supported the ban 87 – 10 percent on March 29, 2001. A few
months later, New York became the first state in the nation to ban the use of hand-held cell
phones while driving.”
       New York State should have an independent commission to draw legislative district lines,
42 percent of voters say, while 34 percent want a commission that has some input from the State
Legislature and 14 percent favor the current system where the State Legislature draws the lines.
       “Former New York City Mayor Ed Koch got a lot of politicians to promise they’d reform
how legislative district lines are drawn, but it didn’t get done,” Carroll said. “Actually, there’s
no pressure to make the fix until next year. New Yorkers still want some reform 5 -1.
       “Wait until next year – or a special session.”
       From June 20 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,317 registered voters with a margin
of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
       The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia
and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.
                                                                                                      2
22. Who do you think should draw the district lines by which members of the state
legislature and Congress are elected - the state legislature or a commission that has no
connection to the state legislature or an independent commission with some legislative
input?

                       Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

State legislature      14%      16%       17%     8%      13%   15%
Commissn/No connect    42       37        39     53       45    38
Commissn/legis input   34       37        36     29       33    34
DK/NA                  10       11         8     10        8    12

                                                 Union
                       UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

State legislature      12%      17%       15%    12%
Commissn/No connect    45       41        38     52
Commissn/legis input   34       32        37     26
DK/NA                  10       11        11     10

TREND: Who do you think should draw the district lines by which members of the state
legislature and Congress are elected: the state legislature, a commission that has no
connection to the state legislature, or an independent commission with some legislative
input?

                       Jun 28    Jun 02     Apr 14
                       2011      2011       2011

State legislature      14        13         12
Commissn/No connect    42        46         51
Commissn/legis input   34        31         29
DK/NA                  10        10          7


23. Do you support or oppose rent regulation, which controls the amount of rent a landlord
can charge a tenant?

                       Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind      Men   Wom

Support                62%      48%       73%    59%      60%   63%
Oppose                 29       42        20     31       31    28
DK/NA                   9       10         7     10        9     9

                                                 Union
                       UpStat NYC         Sub    HsHlds

Support                51%      73%       63%    67%
Oppose                 37       23        25     26
DK/NA                  12        4        12      7

TREND: Do you support or oppose rent regulation, which controls the amount of rent a
landlord can charge a tenant?

                       Jun 28    Jun 02     Apr 14
                       2011      2011       2011

Support                62        62         59
Oppose                 29        31         33
DK/NA                   9         6          8




                                                                                           3
24. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom    Wht    Blk

Support             54%       30%       67%    56%        53%        55%    55%    42%
Oppose              40        63        28     39         42         39     40     50
DK/NA                5         7         4      4          5          6      5      9

                                               AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

Support             49%       60%       52%    70%        57%        59%    37%
Oppose              43        36        43     26         39         36     57
DK/NA                7         4         4      4          4          5      6

                     WHITE......               No     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME....
                     Prot   Cath        Jew    Relign <30    30-50 50-100 >100K

Support             40%       48%       67%    78%        51%        45%    61%    64%
Oppose              54        48        30     17         47         51     34     31
DK/NA                6         5         3      5          2          5      4      5

                     COLLEGE DEGREE
                     No     Yes

Support             46%       67%
Oppose              49        27
DK/NA                5         5

TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?

                                                                           SUPPORT...
                                                                           High    Low
                     Jun 28    Jun 02     Apr 14     Feb 24     Jan 27     Jun 02 Apr 15
                     2011      2011       2011       2011       2011       2011    2004

Support             54         58         56         54         56         58     37
Oppose              40         36         38         39         37         36     66
DK/NA                5          6          5          7          7          6      8


25. Do you think New York State's proposed same-sex marriage law will create pressure on
religious organizations to perform same-sex marriages?

                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom    Wht    Blk

Yes                 47%       58%       42%    47%        49%        46%    46%    60%
No                  46        37        52     46         46         47     48     34
DK/NA                6         6         6      7          5          7      6      6

                                               AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC         Sub    18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

Yes                 46%       48%       49%    43%        45%        48%    51%
No                  46        47        46     53         51         49     38
DK/NA                7         6         5      4          4          4     11



Con’t




                                                                                           4
25. (con’t) Do you think New York State's proposed same-sex marriage law will create
pressure on religious organizations to perform same-sex marriages?

                      WHITE......            No     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME....
                      Prot   Cath      Jew   Relign <30    30-50 50-100 >100K

Yes                   52%   50%        38%   33%   53%    51%    48%    42%
No                    39    48         55    60    39     45     46     54
DK/NA                  9     2          8     7     8      4      6      3


                      COLLEGE DEGREE
                      No     Yes

Yes                   53%   39%
No                    41    56
DK/NA                  6     5


26. Does opposition to same-sex marriage by religious leaders make you more likely to
support same-sex marriage, less likely to support same-sex marriage, or doesn't it make a
difference?

                      Tot    Rep       Dem   Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk

More likely           10%    3%        15%    9%   11%    10%    11%    10%
Less likely           16    30         11    13    16     16     16     20
Doesn't make a diff   70    65         70    75    70     70     71     65
DK/NA                  4     2          4     3     3      4      2      5

                                             AGE IN YEARS............
                      UpStat NYC       Sub   18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

More likely           10%   12%         6%   12%    9%    11%    10%
Less likely           17    15         16    14    15     14     23
Doesn't make a diff   70    67         76    73    73     73     63
DK/NA                  3     5          2     2     3      2      4

                      WHITE......            No     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME....
                      Prot   Cath      Jew   Relign <30    30-50 50-100 >100K

More likely            9%    6%        13%   18%    8%     9%    10%    11%
Less likely           17    21         17     3    20     23     11     12
Doesn't make a
 difference           72    70         66    76    65     66     76     76
DK/NA                  1     3          4     3     6      3      3      1


                      COLLEGE DEGREE
                      No     Yes

More likely            8%   13%
Less likely           20    10
Doesn't make a diff   68    75
DK/NA                  4     2




                                                                                        5
27. Governor Cuomo has proposed extending driving restrictions to ban texting or typing
while driving. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind     Men     Wom

Good idea            94%    91%    96%    94%     91%     96%
Bad idea              5      8      3      5       7       3
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -       2       1

                                         AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    18-34   35-49   50-64   65+

Good idea            92%    95%    94%    93%     92%     96%     94%
Bad idea              6      4      5      5       7       4       4
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2       -       -       1


28a. Do you think - Having their driver's license suspended would be an appropriate
penalty for someone caught texting or typing while driving or not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind     Men     Wom

Yes                  46%    46%    49%    42%     41%     50%
No                   51     51     48     56      56      46
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3       3       3

                                         AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    18-34   35-49   50-64   65+

Yes                  44%    50%    45%    34%     44%     42%     61%
No                   54     48     52     66      52      56      36
DK/NA                 3      3      4      -       5       2       4


28b. Do you think - Being charged with reckless driving, with a $100 ticket plus points on
their license would be an appropriate penalty for someone caught texting or typing while
driving or not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind     Men     Wom

Yes                  79%    83%    80%    77%     76%     83%
No                   19     15     18     21      22      15
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2       2       2

                                         AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    18-34   35-49   50-64   65+

Yes                  77%    78%    86%    74%     82%     80%     83%
No                   19     22     12     25      17      19      14
DK/NA                 4      -      2      1       1       1       3




                                                                                          6
28c. Do you think - Police confiscating their computer, phone, or device being used would
be an appropriate penalty for someone caught texting or typing while driving or not?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind     Men     Wom

Yes                  39%    43%    41%    31%     33%     44%
No                   59     53     58     65      66      52
DK/NA                 3      4      1      4       2       4

                                         AGE IN YEARS............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    18-34   35-49   50-64   65+

Yes                  41%    39%    34%    23%     38%     41%     51%
No                   56     60     62     77      60      58      45
DK/NA                 3      1      4      -       2       1       5




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