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					Joerg Beutel                                           Objective 1 interventions                                             239




                The economic impact of objective 1 interventions for the period 2000 - 2006

                                                       Report to the
                                          Directorate-General for Regional Policy
                                                  European Commission

                                                           By
                                                     Joerg Beutel
                                         Konstanz University of Applied Sciences

                                                        April 14, 2002


                                                  7. Results for Germany


        File               Content

        1. Input-output table for base year

        deiot98a.xls       Input-Output table of Germany 1998 (P60)
        deiot98agg.xls     Aggregated input-output tables of Germany 1998 (P31)

        2. Projection of input-output tables at current prices

        deiot9800b.xls     Input-Output table of Germany 1998-2000 at current prices (P31)
        deiot9800b.sas     Projection of input-output tables 1998-2000

        3. Projection of input-output tables at constant prices of 1999

        deiot9906b.xls     Input-output tables of Germany 1999-2006 at 1999 basic prices
        deiot9906b.sas     Projection of input-output tables 1999-2006

        4. Input-output tables at constant prices of 1999 with intra EU and extra EU trade

        deiom9906b.xls     Input-output tables of Germany 1999-2006 with intra EU and extra EU imports and exports

        5. Evaluation of Objective 1 interventions

        defun9906c.xls     Financial tables 2000-2006
        detfund06c.sas     Evaluation of total Objective 1 interventions (Community, national public and national private)
        deefund06c.sas     Evaluation of Community Objective 1 interventions
        depfund06c.sas     Evaluation of public Objective 1 interventions (EU and national)
        deimp06c.xls       Results




6/24/2011                                     e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                       doc
Joerg Beutel                                                       Objective 1 interventions                                                             240



        Table 1: Financial programming of the Community Support Framework 2000-2006 in Germany
                                                                                                                                            1999 Euro

                                                                              Community         National public    National private
                                                                             contribution of    contribution of    participation of        Total
         Code Description                                                         CSF                CSF                 CSF



             100   Productive Environment                                                         0              0                0                  0
              10   Productive Environment                                                         0              0                0                  0
             110   Agriculture                                                                    0              0                0                  0
             111   Investments in agricultural holdings                               634 320 163      374 079 767    524 415 964       1 532 815 894
             112   Setting up young farmers                                                888 400         296 834         616 378           1 801 612
             113   Vocational training                                                 17 151 561        5 717 188     11 892 838          34 761 587
             114   Improving processing and marketing of agricultural products 268 536 367              98 633 503    190 945 810         558 115 680
              11   Agriculture                                                        920 896 491      478 727 292    727 870 990       2 127 494 773
             120   Forestry                                                                       0              0                0                  0
             121   Investments in forest                                               70 352 625       23 450 930     48 782 314         142 585 868
             122   Improving harvesting                                                 7 513 592        2 504 531       5 209 900         15 228 023
             123                                                                        3 681
                   Promoting new outlets for the use and marketing of forestry products 505              1 227 168       2 552 744           7 461 417
             124   Establishment of associations of forest holders                      2 431 158          810 386       1 685 757           4 927 301
             125                                                                        6 005 073        2 001 746       4 163 927         12 170 745
                   Restoring forestry production potential damaged by natural disasters and fire and introducing appropriate prevention instruments
             126   Afforestation of non-agricultural land                               4 760 331        1 586 777       3 300 798           9 647 906
             127                                                                        5
                   Improving/maintaining the ecological stability of protective forests836 300           1 945 490       4 046 901         11 828 691
             128   Training                                                                268 428          89 476         186 127             544 032
              12   Forestry                                                           100 849 010       33 616 504     69 928 468         204 393 982
             130   Promoting the adaptation and the development of rural areas                    0              0                0                  0
            1301   Land improvement                                                               0              0                0                  0
            1302   Reparcelling                                                       175 946 648       67 143 560    126 418 479         369 508 687
            1303   Setting up of farm relief and farm management services                         0              0                0                  0
            1304   Marketing of quality agricultural products                          14 461 181        4 820 393     10 027 336          29 308 910
            1305   Basic services for the rural economy and population                 37 191 060       20 127 639     29 808 451          87 127 150
            1306                                                                    1 347 339 667      603 heritage
                   Renovation and development of villages and protection and conservation of the rural051 648       1 014 296 323       2 964 687 637
            1307                                                                       23 972 428
                   Diversification of agricultural activities and activities close to agriculture        9 455 999     17 384 373          50 812 800
            1308   Agricultural water resources management                            295 809 409      174 389 803    244 525 972         714 725 184
            1309                                                                      191 542 310       87 195 072
                   Development and improvement of infrastructire connected with the development of agriculture        144 956 707         423 694 089
            1310   Encouragement for tourist activities                                34 474 342       18 622 454     27 612 861          80 709 657
            1311   Encouragement for craft activities                                 139 796 500      113 361 878    131 654 407         384 812 784
            1312   Preservation of the environment inconnection with land             119 155 076       54 661 676     90 392 985         264 209 738
            1313                                                                        disaters and     4 898 212     10 189 213          29
                   Restoring agricultural production potential damaged by natural14 694 636 introducing appropriate prevention instruments 782 061
            1314   Financial engineering                                                          0              0                0                  0
              13                                                                     areas
                   Promoting the adaptation and the development of rural 2 394 383 257               1 157 728 332  1 847 267 108       5 399 378 697
             140   Fisheries                                                                      0              0                0                  0
             141   Adjustment of the fishing effort                                               0              0                0                  0
             142   Renewal and modernisation of the fishing fleet                                 0              0                0                  0
             143   Processing                                                                     0              0                0                  0
             144   Aquaculture                                                                    0              0                0                  0
             145   Equipment of the fishing ports and protection of the coastal marine zones      0              0                0                  0
             146                                                                                                 0
                   Socio-economic measures (including aids to the temporary stopping and0compensation for technical restrictions) 0                  0
             147   Actions by professionals (including vocational training                        0              0                0                  0
             148   Measures financed by other Structural Funds (ERDF                              0              0                0                  0
              14   Fisheries                                                                      0              0                0                  0
             150   Assisting large business organisations                              27 628 496       27 628 496     28 736 266          83 993 257
             151   Investment in physical capital (plant and equipment                680 642 781      609 121 281    670 738 705       1 960 502 768
             152   Environment-friendly technologies                                              0              0                0                  0
             153   Business advisory services (including internationalisation                     0              0                0                  0
             154   Services to stakeholders (health and safety                                    0              0                0                  0
             155   Financial engineering                                                          0              0                0                  0
              15   Assisting large business organisations                             708 271 277      636 749 776    699 474 971       2 044 496 024
             160   Assisting SMEs and the craft sector                                 82 885 487       82 885 487     86 208 797         251 979 770
             161   Investment in physical capital (plant and equipment              2 271 081 693    1 968 889 349  2 204 986 765       6 444 957 808
             162   Environment-friendly technologies                                              0              0                0                  0
             163   Business advisory services (information                            137 803 861       68 671 164    107 376 841         313 851 865




6/24/2011                                              e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                          csf
Joerg Beutel                                                    Objective 1 interventions                                                        241



        Table 1: Financial programming of the Community Support Framework 2000-2006 in Germany
                                                                                                                                     1999 Euro

                                                                          Community        National public   National private
                                                                         contribution of   contribution of   participation of       Total
         Code Description                                                     CSF               CSF                CSF



             164   Shared business services (business estates                   133 725 379        99 976 075    121 535 880       355 237 335
             165   Financial engineering                                            3 294 853       1 261 335      2 369 435         6 925 622
             166                                                                    6 442 000
                   Services in support of the social economy (providing care for dependents         6 442 000      6 700 293        19 584 293
             167   Vocational training                                            16 527 393        9 685 560     13 631 983        39 844 936
              16   Assisting SMEs and the craft sector                        2 651 760 665     2 237 810 969  2 542 809 994     7 432 381 629
             170   Tourism                                                                    0             0              0                 0
             171   Physical investment (information centres                     221 323 014       202 650 475    220 486 396       644 459 885
             172                                                                      651 488
                   Non-physical investments (development and provision of tourist2services          1 565 979      2 193 283         6 410 750
             173                                                                    2 651 488
                   Shared services for the tourism industry (including promotional activities       1 565 979      2 193 283         6 410 750
             174   Vocational training                                                        0             0              0                 0
              17   Tourism                                                      226 625 989       205 782 434    224 872 962       657 281 385
             180   Research                                                                   0             0              0                 0
             181                                                                347
                   Research projects based in universities and research institutes 627 939        264 858 926    318 522 324       931 009 189
             182   Innovation and technology transfers                          916 350 473       414 924 519    692 326 365     2 023 601 357
             183   RTDI Infrastructure                                          316 404 396       228 082 887    283 159 305       827 646 588
             184   Training for researchers                                                   0             0              0                 0
              18   Research                                                   1 580 382 808       907 866 332  1 294 007 994     3 782 257 134
               1   Productive Environment                                     8 583 169 497     5 658 281 640  7 406 232 487    21 647 683 623
             200   Human Resources                                                            0             0              0                 0
              20   Human Resources                                                            0             0              0                 0
             210   Labour market policy                                       2 061 771 031     1 082 356 933  1 635 096 202     4 779 224 165
              21   Labour market policy                                       2 061 771 031     1 082 356 933  1 635 096 202     4 779 224 165
             220   Social inclusion                                           1 257 067 506       607 152 430    969 483 104     2 833 703 040
              22   Social inclusion                                           1 257 067 506       607 152 430    969 483 104     2 833 703 040
             230   Developing educational and vocational training (persons      950 341 059       497 309 656    752 847 280     2 200 497 995
              23   Developing educational and vocational training (persons 950 341 059            497 309 656    752 847 280     2 200 497 995
             240   Workforce flexibility                                      1 268 945 106       598 915 170    971 376 254     2 839 236 530
              24   Workforce flexibility                                      1 268 945 106       598 915 170    971 376 254     2 839 236 530
             250   Positive labour market actions for woman                     563 434 311       281 595 322    439 455 633     1 284 485 266
              25   Positive labour market actions for woman                     563 434 311       281 595 322    439 455 633     1 284 485 266
               2   Human Resources                                            6 101 559 012     3 067 329 511  4 768 258 473    13 937 146 997
             300   Basic Infrastructure                                                       0             0              0                 0
              30   Basic Infrastructure                                                       0             0              0                 0
             310   Transport infrastructure                                         2 723 886       2 694 580      2 817 861         8 236 327
             311   Rail                                                         718 687 837       395 730 029    579 550 337     1 693 968 203
             312   Roads                                                      1 504 545 795       736 342 814  1 165 368 744     3 406 257 353
            3121   National roads                                                             0             0              0                 0
            3122   Regional/local roads                                         330 626 624       330 627 495    343 883 618     1 005 137 737
            3123   Cycle tracks                                                   14 037 984       14 038 080     14 600 890        42 676 954
             313   Motorways                                                    564 200 000       552 530 000    580 752 757     1 697 482 757
             314   Airports                                                         4 825 557       4 825 590      5 019 056        14 670 203
             315   Ports                                                            4 100 036       4 100 036      4 264 428        12 464 499
             316   Waterways                                                      19 356 350        9 733 900     15 128 315        44 218 565
             317   Urban Transport                                                            0             0              0                 0
             318   Multimodal Transport                                             6 000 000       2 004 000      4 162 461        12 166 461
             319   Intelligent Transport Systems                                    4 000 000       1 336 000      2 774 974         8 110 974
              31   Transport infrastructure                                   3 173 104 069     2 053 962 524  2 718 323 438     7 945 390 031
             320   Telecommunications infrastructure and information society      64 113 790       40 902 510     54 613 475       159 629 775
             321   Basic infrastructure                                           10 093 847        9 872 316     10 383 355        30 349 517
             322                                                                  61 723 409       39 746 020
                   Information and Communication Technology (including security and safe transmission measures) 52 768 933         154 238 362
             323   Services and applications for the citizen (health              21 054 309       15 336 519     18 924 963        55 315 791
             324                                                                   transactions
                   Services and applications for SMEs (electronic commerce and15 123 182           12 664 848     14 451 099        42 239 129
              32                                                                172
                   Telecommunications infrastructure and information society 108 537              118 522 213    151 141 824       441 772 574
             330   Energy infrastructures (production                                         0             0              0                 0
             331   Electricity                                                                0             0              0                 0




6/24/2011                                           e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                     csf
Joerg Beutel                                                      Objective 1 interventions                                                            242



        Table 1: Financial programming of the Community Support Framework 2000-2006 in Germany
                                                                                                                                         1999 Euro

                                                                             Community         National public   National private
                                                                            contribution of    contribution of   participation of       Total
         Code Description                                                        CSF                CSF                CSF



            332   Renewable sources of energy (solar power                        11 683 659        8 890 344        10 699 461         31 273 464
            333   Energy efficiency                                                        0                0                 0                  0
             33   Energy infrastructures (production                              11 683 659        8 890 344        10 699 461         31 273 464
            340   Environmental infrastructure (including water)                  29 024 886       11 357 886        21 000 964         61 383 737
            341   Air                                                             37 938 744       29 338 640        34 987 442        102 264 826
            342   Noise                                                                    0                0                 0                  0
            343                                                                   waste)
                  Urban and industrial waste (including hospital and dangerous237 004 859         126 774 338       189 182 498        552 961 695
            344   Drinking water (collection                                     230 210 753      140 003 345       192 528 953        562 743 051
            345   Sewerage and purification                                      714 198 358      301 137 642       528 023 050      1 543 359 051
             34   Environmental infrastructure (including water)               1 248 377 601      608 611 851       965 722 908      2 822 712 360
            350   Planning and rehabilitation                                              0                0                 0                  0
            351   Upgrading and Rehabilitation of industrial and military sites 439 345 113       369 993 361       420 894 531      1 230 233 004
            352   Rehabilitation of urban areas                                  506 340 999      311 522 142       425 327 764      1 243 190 904
            353   Protection                                                       1 702 189          969 161         1 389 229          4 060 579
            354   Maintenance and restoration of the cultural heritage                     0                0                 0                  0
             35   Planning and rehabilitation                                    947 388 301      682 484 664       847 611 524      2 477 484 488
            360   Social infrastructure and public health                            283 698          161 527           231 538            676 763
             36   Social infrastructure and public health                            283 698          161 527           231 538            676 763
              3   Basic Infrastructure                                         5 552 945 864    3 472 633 124     4 693 730 693     13 719 309 681
            400   Miscellaneous                                                            0                0                 0                  0
             40   Miscellaneous                                                            0                0                 0                  0
            410   Technical assistance and innovative actions (ERDF              119 959 800       38 946 603        82 638 894        241 545 297
            411   Preparation                                                    170 376 289       63 501 078       121 627 363        355 504 730
            412   Evaluation                                                      25 094 468       10 728 561        18 629 681         54 452 710
            413   Studies                                                         23 942 086       10 627 071        17 977 607         52 546 764
            414   Innovative actions                                               9 028 667        4 562 652         7 068 133         20 659 452
            415   Information to the public                                       15 646 616        7 399 389        11 985 020         35 031 025
             41   Technical assistance and innovative actions (ERDF              364 047 927      135 765 354       259 926 697        759 739 978
              4   Miscellaneous                                                  364 047 927      135 765 354       259 926 697        759 739 978
                                                                              20 601 722 300   12 334 009 628    17 128 148 351     50 063 880 279

                  2000                                                       2 959 652 900      1 709 796 028     2 596 522 359      7 265 971 287
                  2001                                                       2 980 889 800      1 772 456 783     2 483 608 438      7 236 955 021
                  2002                                                       3 022 046 500      1 834 161 687     2 541 565 678      7 397 773 865
                  2003                                                       3 068 564 300      1 887 954 379     2 501 518 017      7 458 036 696
                  2004                                                       2 814 567 200      1 737 157 180     2 377 909 197      6 929 633 577
                  2005                                                       2 870 533 800      1 700 345 479     2 310 444 451      6 881 323 730
                  2006                                                       2 885 467 800      1 692 138 092     2 316 580 211      6 894 186 103
                  2000-06                                                   20 601 722 300     12 334 009 628    17 128 148 351     50 063 880 279



                                                                                                       In percent of GDP

                  2000                                                                  0.15              0.08               0.13               0.36
                  2001                                                                  0.15              0.09               0.12               0.35
                  2002                                                                  0.15              0.09               0.12               0.36
                  2003                                                                  0.15              0.09               0.12               0.35
                  2004                                                                  0.13              0.08               0.11               0.32
                  2005                                                                  0.13              0.08               0.10               0.31
                  2006                                                                  0.13              0.07               0.10               0.30
                  2000-06                                                               0.14              0.08               0.11               0.34




6/24/2011                                             e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                         csf
Joerg Beutel                                                     Objective 1 interventions                                                                243



  Table 2.1: Macroeconomic projection for Germany
                                                                                                                                         Mio1999 Euro

  Category                                1999        2000        2001         2002            2003          2004           2005            2006



  STRUCTURAL CHANGE
    Agriculture, forestry and fishery      21 713      21 671       21 204       20 632          20 400       20 134         19 841           19 549
    Fuel and power                          3 735       3 495        3 515        3 514           3 587        3 652          3 706            3 761
    Manufacturing                         449 110     473 929      471 372      469 952         479 188      487 729        496 134          504 661
    Building and construction             100 605      97 839       98 301       98 420         100 158      102 241        105 107          108 036
    Private services                      869 115     908 137      918 719      929 741         960 905      991 666      1 022 005        1 053 109
    Government services                   394 357     399 487      404 780      409 055         421 149      433 406        446 781          460 678
  Value added                           1 838 635   1 904 558    1 917 891    1 931 314       1 985 387    2 038 828      2 093 574        2 149 794
    VAT on products                       135 425     124 333      125 205      126 082         129 610      133 096        136 669          140 341
  Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 028 891    2 043 096    2 057 396       2 114 997    2 171 924      2 230 243        2 290 135

  ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Private consumption                 1 149 531   1 166 210    1 183 703    1 190 811       1 212 242    1 241 338      1 271 748        1 302 908
    Government consumption                378 432     383 095      388 459      393 507         398 626      405 399        412 291          419 299
    Gross fixed capital formation         426 008     435 603      423 842      422 567         438 205      456 612        475 788          495 770
    Change in stocks                        3 560       7 114      - 9 089       - 602            9 481        9 159          8 685            8 070
    Exports less imports                   16 529      36 869       56 181       51 113          56 443       59 416         61 731           64 088
  Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 028 891    2 043 096    2 057 396       2 114 997    2 171 924      2 230 243        2 290 135

  FOREIGN TRADE
    Exports to EU countries              330 076     373 747      391 691       396 392        422 554       450 017        478 147         508 027
    Exports to third countries           256 174     290 058      303 980       307 622        327 919       349 236        371 059         394 245
  Exports of goods and services          586 250     663 805      695 671       704 014        750 473       799 253        849 206         902 272
    Imports from EU countries            308 793     339 794      346 604       353 874        376 172       400 995        426 827         454 298
    Imports from third countries         260 928     287 142      292 886       299 027        317 858       338 842        360 648         383 886
  Imports of goods and services          569 721     626 936      639 490       652 901        694 030       739 837        787 475         838 184

  CAPITAL
    Equipment                           1 749 874   1 795 878    1 820 476    1 848 882       1 880 651    1 917 068      1 956 741        1 997 315
    Buildings                           7 914 875   8 098 368    8 251 868    8 414 843       8 588 345    8 782 250      8 988 663        9 199 840
  Capital stock                         9 664 749   9 894 246   10 072 344   10 263 725      10 468 996   10 699 318     10 945 404       11 197 155

  LABOUR (1.000 persons)
    Wage and salary earners               34 067      34 652       34 694        34 578         34 868        35 108         35 388           35 672
    Self-employed                          3 948       3 982        3 956         3 936          3 950         3 979          4 012            4 042
  Occupied population                     38 015      38 634       38 650        38 514         38 818        39 087         39 400           39 714



  Source:
  Eurostat: National Accounts (Newcronos)
  Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs: Economic Trends (Oct/Nov 2001); Medium-term projection 2000-2005 (June 2001)




6/24/2011                                             e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                          mac99
Joerg Beutel                                                Objective 1 interventions                                                         244



  Table 2.2: Growth in Germany
                                                                                                             Annual real growth rate in %

  Category                              2000      2001       2002         2003          2004       2005         2006         Average



  STRUCTURAL CHANGE
    Agriculture, forestry and fishery     -0.19     -2.15       -2.70        -1.12         -1.30     -1.46         -1.47           -1.49
    Fuel and power                        -6.43      0.57       -0.03         2.08          1.81      1.48          1.48            0.10
    Manufacturing                          5.53     -0.54       -0.30         1.97          1.78      1.72          1.72            1.68
    Building and construction             -2.75      0.47        0.12         1.77          2.08      2.80          2.79            1.02
    Private services                       4.49      1.17        1.20         3.35          3.20      3.06          3.04            2.78
    Government services                    1.30      1.32        1.06         2.96          2.91      3.09          3.11            2.25
  Value added                              3.59      0.70        0.70         2.80          2.69      2.69          2.69            2.26
    VAT on products                       -8.19      0.70        0.70         2.80          2.69      2.68          2.69            0.51
  Gross domestic product                   2.78      0.70        0.70         2.80          2.69      2.69          2.69            2.14

  ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Private consumption                   1.45      1.50         0.60         1.80         2.40       2.45          2.45           1.81
    Government consumption                1.23      1.40         1.30         1.30         1.70       1.70          1.70           1.48
    Gross fixed capital formation         2.25     -2.70        -0.30         3.70         4.20       4.20          4.20           2.19
    Change in stocks                        -         -            -            -            -          -             -              -
    Exports less imports                123.06     52.38        -9.02        10.43         5.27       3.90          3.82          21.36
  Gross domestic product                  2.78      0.70         0.70         2.80         2.69       2.69          2.69           2.14

  FOREIGN TRADE
    Exports to EU countries              13.23      4.80         1.20         6.60         6.50       6.25          6.25           6.35
    Exports to third countries           13.23      4.80         1.20         6.60         6.50       6.25          6.25           6.35
  Exports of goods and services          13.23      4.80         1.20         6.60         6.50       6.25          6.25           6.35
    Imports from EU countries            10.04      2.00         2.10         6.30         6.60       6.44          6.44           5.67
    Imports from third countries         10.05      2.00         2.10         6.30         6.60       6.44          6.44           5.67
  Imports of goods and services          10.04      2.00         2.10         6.30         6.60       6.44          6.44           5.67

  CAPITAL
   Equipment                              2.63      1.37         1.56         1.72         1.94       2.07          2.07           1.91
   Buildings                              2.32      1.90         1.98         2.06         2.26       2.35          2.35           2.17
  Capital stock                           2.37      1.80         1.90         2.00         2.20       2.30          2.30           2.12

  LABOUR (1.000 persons)
    Wage and salary earners               1.72       0.12       -0.33         0.84         0.69       0.80          0.80           0.66
    Self-employed                         0.86      -0.65       -0.51         0.36         0.73       0.83          0.75           0.34
  Occupied population                     1.63       0.04       -0.35         0.79         0.69       0.80          0.80           0.63




6/24/2011                                         e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                  mac99
Joerg Beutel                                                   Objective 1 interventions                                                    245



 Table 3.1: Macroeconomic projection for Germany without total structural expenditure 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                                  Mio1999 Euro

 Category                                1999        2000        2001         2002           2003         2004         2005         2006



 STRUCTURAL CHANGE
   Agriculture, forestry and fishery      21 713      21 496       21 031       20 455         20 221       19 972       19 680        19 391
   Fuel and power                          3 735       3 486        3 507        3 504          3 576        3 642        3 697         3 753
   Manufacturing                         449 110     472 294      469 761      468 332        477 610      486 305      494 766       503 332
   Building and construction             100 605      95 259       95 655       95 713         97 476       99 771      102 667       105 604
   Private services                      869 115     905 208      915 826      926 745        957 854      988 814    1 019 177     1 050 261
   Government services                   394 357     396 688      401 993      406 197        418 258      430 725      444 113       457 995
 Value added                           1 838 635   1 894 431    1 907 771    1 920 946      1 974 995    2 029 229    2 084 099     2 140 336
   VAT on products                       135 425     124 179      125 050      125 920        129 445      132 942      136 515       140 185
 Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 018 610    2 032 821    2 046 866      2 104 440    2 162 171    2 220 614     2 280 521

 ECONOMIC GROWTH
   Private consumption                 1 149 531   1 165 585    1 183 082    1 190 186      1 211 619    1 240 765    1 271 182     1 302 344
   Government consumption                378 432     379 688      385 034      389 973        395 062      402 077      408 983       415 976
   Gross fixed capital formation         426 008     427 616      415 871      414 367        429 958      448 966      468 209       488 188
   Change in stocks                        3 560       7 100      - 9 108       - 609           9 473        9 152        8 690         8 064
   Exports less imports                   16 529      38 621       57 941       52 949         58 327       61 211       63 551        65 949
 Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 018 610    2 032 821    2 046 866      2 104 440    2 162 171    2 220 614     2 280 521

 FOREIGN TRADE
   Exports to EU countries              330 076     373 671      391 611      396 309        422 466      449 931      478 057       507 932
   Exports to third countries           256 174     290 013      303 932      307 573        327 867      349 185      371 006       394 189
 Exports of goods and services          586 250     663 683      695 543      703 882        750 332      799 116      849 063       902 121
   Imports from EU countries            308 793     338 610      345 409      352 629        374 890      399 771      425 583       453 021
   Imports from third countries         260 928     286 452      292 193      298 304        317 116      338 134      359 929       383 151
 Imports of goods and services          569 721     625 062      637 602      650 933        692 005      737 905      785 512       836 172

 CAPITAL
   Equipment                           1 749 874   1 787 979    1 812 554    1 840 689      1 872 536    1 909 641    1 949 470     1 990 129
   Buildings                           7 914 875   8 054 578    8 208 016    8 369 259      8 542 628    8 739 971    8 946 940     9 158 187
 Capital stock                         9 664 749   9 842 557   10 020 571   10 209 948     10 415 165   10 649 612   10 896 410    11 148 315

 LABOUR (1.000 persons)
   Wage and salary earners               34 067      34 457       34 499        34 379        34 671       34 928       35 213         35 500
   Self-employed                          3 948       3 960        3 935         3 914         3 929        3 960        3 993          4 024
 Occupied population                     38 015      38 417       38 433        38 293        38 600       38 888       39 206         39 523




6/24/2011                                            e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                              tot99
Joerg Beutel                                                 Objective 1 interventions                                                      246



 Table 3.2: Growth in Germany without total structural expenditure 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                  Annual real growth rate in %

 Category                              2000      2001          2002              2003       2004       2005       2006           Average



 STRUCTURAL CHANGE
   Agriculture, forestry and fishery     -1.00      -2.17          -2.74            -1.14      -1.23      -1.46      -1.47              -1.60
   Fuel and power                        -6.67       0.59          -0.07             2.06       1.85       1.51       1.51               0.07
   Manufacturing                          5.16      -0.54          -0.30             1.98       1.82       1.74       1.73               1.64
   Building and construction             -5.31       0.42           0.06             1.84       2.35       2.90       2.86               0.70
   Private services                       4.15       1.17           1.19             3.36       3.23       3.07       3.05               2.74
   Government services                    0.59       1.34           1.05             2.97       2.98       3.11       3.13               2.16
 Value added                              3.03       0.70           0.69             2.81       2.75       2.70       2.70               2.19
   VAT on products                       -8.30       0.70           0.70             2.80       2.70       2.69       2.69               0.49
 Gross domestic product                   2.26       0.70           0.69             2.81       2.74       2.70       2.70               2.08

 ECONOMIC GROWTH
   Private consumption                   1.40       1.50            0.60            1.80       2.41       2.45        2.45              1.80
   Government consumption                0.33       1.41            1.28            1.31       1.78       1.72        1.71              1.36
   Gross fixed capital formation         0.38      -2.75           -0.36            3.76       4.42       4.29        4.27              1.97
   Change in stocks                        -          -               -               -          -          -           -                 -
   Exports less imports                133.66      50.02           -8.62           10.16       4.94       3.82        3.77             21.86
 Gross domestic product                  2.26       0.70            0.69            2.81       2.74       2.70        2.70              2.08

 FOREIGN TRADE
   Exports to EU countries              13.21       4.80           1.20             6.60       6.50       6.25        6.25              6.35
   Exports to third countries           13.21       4.80           1.20             6.60       6.50       6.25        6.25              6.35
 Exports of goods and services          13.21       4.80           1.20             6.60       6.50       6.25        6.25              6.35
   Imports from EU countries             9.66       2.01           2.09             6.31       6.64       6.46        6.45              5.63
   Imports from third countries          9.78       2.00           2.09             6.31       6.63       6.45        6.45              5.64
 Imports of goods and services           9.71       2.01           2.09             6.31       6.63       6.45        6.45              5.63

 CAPITAL
  Equipment                              2.18       1.37           1.55             1.73       1.98       2.09        2.09              1.85
  Buildings                              1.77       1.90           1.96             2.07       2.31       2.37        2.36              2.11
 Capital stock                           1.84       1.81           1.89             2.01       2.25       2.32        2.31              2.06

 LABOUR (1.000 persons)
   Wage and salary earners               1.14        0.12          -0.35            0.85       0.74       0.81        0.81              0.59
  Buildings                              0.31       -0.65          -0.52            0.37       0.79       0.85        0.76              0.27
 Occupied population                     1.06        0.04          -0.36            0.80       0.75       0.82        0.81              0.56




6/24/2011                                        e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                  tot99
Joerg Beutel                                                Objective 1 interventions                                                 247



 Table 3.3: Change induced in Germany by total structural expenditure 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                           Mio1999 Euro

 Category                              1999       2000        2001           2002         2003         2004      2005        2006



 STRUCTURAL CHANGE
   Agriculture, forestry and fishery          0      175           173            177         179          162      161            158
   Fuel and power                             0        9             8             10          11           10        9              8
   Manufacturing                              0    1 635         1 611          1 620       1 578        1 424    1 368          1 329
   Building and construction                  0    2 580         2 646          2 707       2 682        2 470    2 440          2 432
   Private services                           0    2 929         2 893          2 996       3 051        2 852    2 828          2 848
   Government services                        0    2 799         2 787          2 858       2 891        2 681    2 668          2 683
 Value added                                  0   10 127        10 120         10 368      10 392        9 599    9 475          9 458
   VAT on products                            0      154           155            162         165          154      154            156
 Gross domestic product                       0   10 281        10 275         10 530      10 557        9 753    9 629          9 614

 ECONOMIC GROWTH
   Private consumption                        0       625          621            625         623          573       566           564
   Government consumption                     0     3 407        3 425          3 534       3 564        3 322     3 308         3 323
   Gross fixed capital formation              0     7 987        7 971          8 200       8 247        7 646     7 579         7 582
   Change in stocks                           0        14           19              7           8            7       - 5             6
   Exports less imports                       0   - 1 752      - 1 760        - 1 836     - 1 884      - 1 795   - 1 820       - 1 861
 Gross domestic product                       0    10 281       10 275         10 530      10 557        9 753     9 629         9 614

 FOREIGN TRADE
   Exports to EU countries                    0       76            80             83          88           86       90             95
   Exports to third countries                 0       45            48             49          52           51       53             56
 Exports of goods and services                0      122           128            132         141          137      143            151
   Imports from EU countries                  0    1 184         1 195          1 245       1 282        1 224    1 244          1 277
   Imports from third countries               0      690           693            723         742          708      719            735
 Imports of goods and services                0    1 874         1 888          1 968       2 025        1 932    1 963          2 012

 CAPITAL
   Equipment                                  0    7 899         7 922          8 193       8 115        7 427    7 271          7 186
   Buildings                                  0   43 790        43 852         45 584      45 717       42 279   41 723         41 653
 Capital stock                                0   51 689        51 773         53 777      53 831       49 706   48 994         48 840

 LABOUR (1.000 persons)
   Wage and salary earners                    0      195           195              199          197      180       175             172
   Self-employed                              0       22            21               22           21       19        19              18
 Occupied population                          0      217           217              221          218      199       194             191




6/24/2011                                         e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                           tot99
Joerg Beutel                                                  Objective 1 interventions                                                          248



 Table 3.4: Deviation in Germany from baseline level without total structural expenditure in real terms
                                                                                                                                In percent of total

 Category                              1999       2000          2001            2002           2003        2004       2005            2006



 STRUCTURAL CHANGE
   Agriculture, forestry and fishery     0.00         0.81           0.82           0.86            0.88      0.81       0.81                0.81
   Fuel and power                        0.00         0.26           0.24           0.28            0.30      0.26       0.24                0.21
   Manufacturing                         0.00         0.34           0.34           0.34            0.33      0.29       0.28                0.26
   Building and construction             0.00         2.64           2.69           2.75            2.68      2.42       2.32                2.25
   Private services                      0.00         0.32           0.31           0.32            0.32      0.29       0.28                0.27
   Government services                   0.00         0.70           0.69           0.70            0.69      0.62       0.60                0.58
 Value added                             0.00         0.53           0.53           0.54            0.52      0.47       0.45                0.44
   VAT on products                       0.00         0.12           0.12           0.13            0.13      0.12       0.11                0.11
 Gross domestic product                  0.00         0.51           0.50           0.51            0.50      0.45       0.43                0.42

 ECONOMIC GROWTH
   Private consumption                   0.00         0.05           0.05           0.05            0.05       0.05      0.04                 0.04
   Government consumption                0.00         0.89           0.88           0.90            0.89       0.82      0.80                 0.79
   Gross fixed capital formation         0.00         1.83           1.88           1.94            1.88       1.67      1.59                 1.53
   Change in stocks                        -            -              -              -               -          -         -                    -
   Exports less imports                  0.00        -4.75          -3.13          -3.59           -3.34      -3.02     -2.95                -2.90
 Gross domestic product                  0.00         0.51           0.50           0.51            0.50       0.45      0.43                 0.42

 FOREIGN TRADE
   Exports to EU countries               0.00         0.02           0.02           0.02            0.02      0.02       0.02                0.02
   Exports to third countries            0.00         0.02           0.02           0.02            0.02      0.01       0.01                0.01
 Exports of goods and services           0.00         0.02           0.02           0.02            0.02      0.02       0.02                0.02
   Imports from EU countries             0.00         0.35           0.34           0.35            0.34      0.31       0.29                0.28
   Imports from third countries          0.00         0.24           0.24           0.24            0.23      0.21       0.20                0.19
 Imports of goods and services           0.00         0.30           0.30           0.30            0.29      0.26       0.25                0.24

 CAPITAL
   Equipment                             0.00         0.44           0.44           0.44            0.43      0.39       0.37                0.36
   Buildings                             0.00         0.54           0.53           0.54            0.53      0.48       0.46                0.45
 Capital stock                           0.00         0.52           0.51           0.52            0.51      0.46       0.45                0.44

 LABOUR (1.000 persons)
   Wage and salary earners               0.00         0.56           0.56           0.58            0.56      0.51       0.49                0.48
   Self-employed                         0.00         0.54           0.54           0.55            0.54      0.49       0.47                0.45
 Occupied population                     0.00         0.56           0.56           0.57            0.56      0.51       0.49                0.48




6/24/2011                                         e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                     tot99
Joerg Beutel                                                     Objective 1 interventions                                                         249



   Table 4.1: Macroeconomic projection for Germany without Community contribution 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                                    Mio1999 Euro

   Category                                1999        2000         2001        2002           2003         2004         2005          2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery      21 713      21 594       21 126       20 553         20 319       20 063       19 768        19 479
     Fuel and power                          3 735       3 491        3 512        3 510          3 582        3 647        3 702         3 758
     Manufacturing                         449 110     473 269      470 706      469 296        478 544      487 154      495 567       504 106
     Building and construction             100 605      96 788       97 210       97 315         99 055      101 237      104 089       107 018
     Private services                      869 115     906 940      917 528      928 520        959 653      990 507    1 020 830     1 051 914
     Government services                   394 357     398 288      403 574      407 827        419 898      432 265      445 615       459 502
   Value added                           1 838 635   1 900 369    1 913 656    1 927 020      1 981 050    2 034 874    2 089 570     2 145 776
     VAT on products                       135 425     124 268      125 139      126 014        129 540      133 032      136 603       140 274
   Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 024 637    2 038 796    2 053 034      2 110 590    2 167 906    2 226 173     2 286 050

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                 1 149 531   1 165 948    1 183 441    1 190 549      1 211 979    1 241 099    1 271 506     1 302 666
     Government consumption                378 432     381 636      386 975      391 989        397 085      403 980      410 840       417 837
     Gross fixed capital formation         426 008     432 379      420 590      419 249        434 844      453 537      472 656       492 626
     Change in stocks                        3 560       7 098      - 9 111       - 611           9 472        9 151        8 688         8 062
     Exports less imports                   16 529      37 576       56 901       51 857         57 210       60 139       62 483        64 859
   Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 024 637    2 038 796    2 053 034      2 110 590    2 167 906    2 226 173     2 286 050

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries              330 076     373 714      391 656      396 356        422 515      449 979      478 106       507 984
     Exports to third countries           256 174     290 038      303 959      307 601        327 896      349 214      371 035       394 220
   Exports of goods and services          586 250     663 752      695 615      703 956        750 411      799 193      849 142       902 204
     Imports from EU countries            308 793     339 316      346 115      353 369        375 650      400 502      426 313       453 769
     Imports from third countries         260 928     286 859      292 599      298 730        317 552      338 553      360 346       383 577
   Imports of goods and services          569 721     626 176      638 714      652 099        693 201      739 055      786 659       837 345

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                           1 749 874   1 792 614    1 817 164    1 845 492      1 877 266    1 914 010    1 953 668     1 994 269
     Buildings                           7 914 875   8 080 125    8 233 407    8 395 818      8 569 149    8 764 706    8 970 934     9 182 057
   Capital stock                         9 664 749   9 872 739   10 050 571   10 241 310     10 446 416   10 678 716   10 924 601    11 176 326

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               34 067      34 571       34 612       34 495         34 785       35 034       35 314         35 598
     Self-employed                          3 948       3 973        3 947        3 927          3 941        3 971        4 004          4 034
   Occupied population                     38 015      38 544       38 559       38 422         38 727       39 005       39 318         39 633




6/24/2011                                             e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                    eur99
Joerg Beutel                                                  Objective 1 interventions                                                        250



   Table 4.2: Growth in Germany without Community contribution 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                Annual real growth rate in %

   Category                              2000       2001        2002         2003         2004       2005          2006         Average



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery     -0.55      -2.16        -2.71        -1.14        -1.26      -1.47         -1.46           -1.54
     Fuel and power                        -6.53       0.59        -0.06         2.05         1.83       1.50          1.51            0.09
     Manufacturing                          5.38      -0.54        -0.30         1.97         1.80       1.73          1.72            1.66
     Building and construction             -3.79       0.44         0.11         1.79         2.20       2.82          2.81            0.89
     Private services                       4.35       1.17         1.20         3.35         3.22       3.06          3.04            2.76
     Government services                    1.00       1.33         1.05         2.96         2.95       3.09          3.12            2.21
   Value added                              3.36       0.70         0.70         2.80         2.72       2.69          2.69            2.23
     VAT on products                       -8.24       0.70         0.70         2.80         2.70       2.68          2.69            0.50
   Gross domestic product                   2.56       0.70         0.70         2.80         2.72       2.69          2.69            2.12

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                   1.43       1.50          0.60         1.80        2.40       2.45           2.45           1.80
     Government consumption                0.85       1.40          1.30         1.30        1.74       1.70           1.70           1.43
     Gross fixed capital formation         1.50      -2.73         -0.32         3.72        4.30       4.22           4.22           2.10
     Change in stocks                        -          -             -            -           -          -              -              -
     Exports less imports                127.34      51.43         -8.86        10.32        5.12       3.90           3.80          21.57
   Gross domestic product                  2.56       0.70          0.70         2.80        2.72       2.69           2.69           2.12

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries              13.22       4.80         1.20          6.60        6.50       6.25           6.25           6.35
     Exports to third countries           13.22       4.80         1.20          6.60        6.50       6.25           6.25           6.35
   Exports of goods and services          13.22       4.80         1.20          6.60        6.50       6.25           6.25           6.35
     Imports from EU countries             9.88       2.00         2.10          6.31        6.62       6.44           6.44           5.65
     Imports from third countries          9.94       2.00         2.10          6.30        6.61       6.44           6.45           5.66
   Imports of goods and services           9.91       2.00         2.10          6.30        6.61       6.44           6.44           5.66

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                             2.44       1.37         1.56          1.72        1.96       2.07           2.08           1.89
    Buildings                              2.09       1.90         1.97          2.06        2.28       2.35           2.35           2.14
   Capital stock                           2.15       1.80         1.90          2.00        2.22       2.30           2.30           2.10

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               1.48        0.12        -0.34         0.84        0.71       0.80           0.81           0.63
    Buildings                              0.63       -0.66        -0.51         0.36        0.76       0.83           0.75           0.31
   Occupied population                     1.39        0.04        -0.36         0.79        0.72       0.80           0.80           0.60




6/24/2011                                          e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                eur99
Joerg Beutel                                                  Objective 1 interventions                                                        251



   Table 4.3: Change induced in Germany by Community contribution 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                               Mio1999 Euro

   Category                              1999        2000       2001         2002         2003         2004        2005           2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery          0        77          78            79          81           71         73               70
     Fuel and power                             0         4           3             4           5            5          4                3
     Manufacturing                              0       660         666           656         644          575        567              555
     Building and construction                  0     1 051       1 091         1 105       1 103        1 004      1 018            1 018
     Private services                           0     1 197       1 191         1 221       1 252        1 159      1 175            1 195
     Government services                        0     1 199       1 206         1 228       1 251        1 141      1 166            1 176
   Value added                                  0     4 189       4 235         4 294       4 337        3 954      4 004            4 018
     VAT on products                            0        65          66            68          70           64         66               67
   Gross domestic product                       0     4 254       4 300         4 362       4 407        4 018      4 070            4 085

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                        0       262         262           262         263          239         242             242
     Government consumption                     0     1 459       1 484         1 518       1 541        1 419       1 451           1 462
     Gross fixed capital formation              0     3 224       3 252         3 318       3 361        3 075       3 132           3 144
     Change in stocks                           0        16          22             9           9            8         - 3               8
     Exports less imports                       0    - 707       - 720         - 744       - 767        - 723       - 752           - 771
   Gross domestic product                       0     4 254       4 300         4 362       4 407        4 018       4 070           4 085

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries                    0       33          35            36              39       38          41              43
     Exports to third countries                 0       20          21            21              23       22          24              25
   Exports of goods and services                0       53          56            58              62       60          64              68
     Imports from EU countries                  0      478         489           505             522      493         514             529
     Imports from third countries               0      283         287           297             306      289         302             309
   Imports of goods and services                0      760         776           802             829      782         816             839

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                                  0     3 264       3 312        3 390        3 385        3 058      3 073            3 046
     Buildings                                  0    18 243      18 461       19 025       19 196       17 544     17 729           17 783
   Capital stock                                0    21 507      21 773       22 415       22 580       20 602     20 803           20 829

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners                    0       81             82           83            83          74          74             74
     Self-employed                              0        9              9            9             9           8           8              8
   Occupied population                          0       90             91           92            91          82          82             81




6/24/2011                                           e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                  eur99
Joerg Beutel                                                 Objective 1 interventions                                                          252



   Table 4.4: Deviation in Germany from baseline level without Community contribution in real terms
                                                                                                                          In percent of total

   Category                              1999      2000         2001          2002           2003       2004       2005           2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery     0.00       0.36         0.37           0.38           0.40      0.35       0.37             0.36
     Fuel and power                        0.00       0.11         0.09           0.13           0.15      0.13       0.11             0.09
     Manufacturing                         0.00       0.14         0.14           0.14           0.13      0.12       0.11             0.11
     Building and construction             0.00       1.07         1.11           1.12           1.10      0.98       0.97             0.94
     Private services                      0.00       0.13         0.13           0.13           0.13      0.12       0.11             0.11
     Government services                   0.00       0.30         0.30           0.30           0.30      0.26       0.26             0.26
   Value added                             0.00       0.22         0.22           0.22           0.22      0.19       0.19             0.19
     VAT on products                       0.00       0.05         0.05           0.05           0.05      0.05       0.05             0.05
   Gross domestic product                  0.00       0.21         0.21           0.21           0.21      0.19       0.18             0.18

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                   0.00       0.02          0.02          0.02           0.02       0.02      0.02             0.02
     Government consumption                0.00       0.38          0.38          0.39           0.39       0.35      0.35             0.35
     Gross fixed capital formation         0.00       0.74          0.77          0.79           0.77       0.67      0.66             0.63
     Change in stocks                        -          -             -             -              -          -         -                -
     Exports less imports                  0.00      -1.92         -1.28         -1.46          -1.36      -1.22     -1.22            -1.20
   Gross domestic product                  0.00       0.21          0.21          0.21           0.21       0.19      0.18             0.18

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries               0.00       0.01         0.01           0.01           0.01      0.01       0.01             0.01
     Exports to third countries            0.00       0.01         0.01           0.01           0.01      0.01       0.01             0.01
   Exports of goods and services           0.00       0.01         0.01           0.01           0.01      0.01       0.01             0.01
     Imports from EU countries             0.00       0.14         0.14           0.14           0.14      0.12       0.12             0.12
     Imports from third countries          0.00       0.10         0.10           0.10           0.10      0.09       0.08             0.08
   Imports of goods and services           0.00       0.12         0.12           0.12           0.12      0.11       0.10             0.10

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                             0.00       0.18         0.18           0.18           0.18      0.16       0.16             0.15
     Buildings                             0.00       0.23         0.22           0.23           0.22      0.20       0.20             0.19
   Capital stock                           0.00       0.22         0.22           0.22           0.22      0.19       0.19             0.19

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               0.00       0.23         0.24           0.24           0.24      0.21       0.21             0.21
     Self-employed                         0.00       0.23         0.23           0.23           0.23      0.20       0.20             0.19
   Occupied population                     0.00       0.23         0.24           0.24           0.24      0.21       0.21             0.21




6/24/2011                                         e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                  eur99
Joerg Beutel                                                     Objective 1 interventions                                                          253



   Table 5.1: Macroeconomic projection for Germany without public contribution 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                                    Mio1999 Euro

   Category                                1999        2000          2001          2002        2003         2004         2005          2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery      21 713      21 559         21 090       20 515       20 280       20 028       19 734        19 445
     Fuel and power                          3 735       3 489          3 510        3 507        3 579        3 645        3 700         3 756
     Manufacturing                         449 110     472 878        470 309      468 888      478 138      486 793      495 224       503 777
     Building and construction             100 605      96 181         96 562       96 643       98 375      100 618      103 486       106 421
     Private services                      869 115     906 252        916 819      927 775      958 878      989 791    1 020 129     1 051 216
     Government services                   394 357     397 686        402 948      407 176      419 225      431 645      445 009       458 897
   Value added                           1 838 635   1 898 045      1 911 238    1 924 504    1 978 476    2 032 520    2 087 281     2 143 512
     VAT on products                       135 425     124 234        125 103      125 976      129 501      132 995      136 567       140 237
   Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 022 279      2 036 341    2 050 480    2 107 976    2 165 515    2 223 848     2 283 750

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                 1 149 531   1 165 808      1 183 296    1 190 401    1 211 828    1 240 961    1 271 372     1 302 534
     Government consumption                378 432     380 906        386 209      391 187      396 257      403 217      410 093       417 093
     Gross fixed capital formation         426 008     430 470        418 607      417 182      432 722      451 590      470 753       490 737
     Change in stocks                        3 560       7 099        - 9 110       - 610         9 472        9 152        8 689         8 063
     Exports less imports                   16 529      37 996         57 339       52 320       57 696       60 596       62 941        65 324
   Gross domestic product                1 974 060   2 022 279      2 036 341    2 050 480    2 107 976    2 165 515    2 223 848     2 283 750

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries              330 076      373 698       391 638      396 337      422 495      449 960      478 087       507 964
     Exports to third countries           256 174      290 029       303 949      307 590      327 884      349 203      371 024       394 208
   Exports of goods and services          586 250      663 727       695 587      703 927      750 379      799 163      849 111       902 172
     Imports from EU countries            308 793      339 033       345 818      353 055      375 319      400 191      426 000       453 450
     Imports from third countries         260 928      286 698       292 430      298 552      317 364      338 376      360 170       383 398
   Imports of goods and services          569 721      625 731       638 248      651 607      692 684      738 567      786 170       836 848

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                           1 749 874   1 790 797      1 815 269    1 843 500    1 875 252    1 912 187    1 951 910     1 992 544
     Buildings                           7 914 875   8 070 202      8 223 050    8 384 895    8 557 947    8 754 456    8 960 962     9 172 187
   Capital stock                         9 664 749   9 860 999     10 038 319   10 228 395   10 433 199   10 666 643   10 912 872    11 164 731

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               34 067       34 526         34 566      34 447       34 737       34 990       35 272         35 557
     Self-employed                          3 948        3 968          3 942       3 922        3 936        3 966        4 000          4 030
   Occupied population                     38 015       38 494         38 508      38 369       38 673       38 956       39 271         39 587




6/24/2011                                            e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                     pub99
Joerg Beutel                                                   Objective 1 interventions                                                      254



   Table 5.2: Growth in Germany without public contribution 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                               Annual real growth rate in %

   Category                              2000        2001          2002         2003       2004      2005         2006         Average



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery     -0.71       -2.17          -2.73        -1.15     -1.24     -1.47         -1.46           -1.56
     Fuel and power                        -6.58        0.59          -0.06         2.05      1.84      1.50          1.51            0.08
     Manufacturing                          5.29       -0.54          -0.30         1.97      1.81      1.73          1.73            1.65
     Building and construction             -4.40        0.40           0.08         1.79      2.28      2.85          2.84            0.81
     Private services                       4.27        1.17           1.20         3.35      3.22      3.07          3.05            2.75
     Government services                    0.84        1.32           1.05         2.96      2.96      3.10          3.12            2.19
   Value added                              3.23        0.70           0.69         2.80      2.73      2.69          2.69            2.22
     VAT on products                       -8.26        0.70           0.70         2.80      2.70      2.69          2.69            0.50
   Gross domestic product                   2.44        0.70           0.69         2.80      2.73      2.69          2.69            2.10

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                   1.42         1.50           0.60        1.80       2.40      2.45          2.45           1.80
     Government consumption                0.65         1.39           1.29        1.30       1.76      1.71          1.71           1.40
     Gross fixed capital formation         1.05        -2.76          -0.34        3.72       4.36      4.24          4.25           2.04
     Change in stocks                        -            -              -           -          -         -             -              -
     Exports less imports                129.87        50.91          -8.75       10.27       5.03      3.87          3.79          21.69
   Gross domestic product                  2.44         0.70           0.69        2.80       2.73      2.69          2.69           2.10

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries              13.22         4.80           1.20        6.60       6.50      6.25          6.25           6.35
     Exports to third countries           13.22         4.80           1.20        6.60       6.50      6.25          6.25           6.35
   Exports of goods and services          13.22         4.80           1.20        6.60       6.50      6.25          6.25           6.35
     Imports from EU countries             9.79         2.00           2.09        6.31       6.63      6.45          6.44           5.64
     Imports from third countries          9.88         2.00           2.09        6.30       6.62      6.44          6.45           5.65
   Imports of goods and services           9.83         2.00           2.09        6.30       6.62      6.45          6.45           5.65

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                             2.34         1.37           1.56        1.72       1.97      2.08          2.08           1.87
    Buildings                              1.96         1.89           1.97        2.06       2.30      2.36          2.36           2.13
   Capital stock                           2.03         1.80           1.89        2.00       2.24      2.31          2.31           2.08

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               1.35         0.11          -0.34        0.84       0.73      0.81          0.81           0.61
    Buildings                              0.51        -0.66          -0.51        0.36       0.78      0.84          0.76           0.29
   Occupied population                     1.26         0.03          -0.36        0.79       0.73      0.81          0.80           0.58




6/24/2011                                          e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                              pub99
Joerg Beutel                                                    Objective 1 interventions                                                 255



   Table 5.3: Change induced in Germany by public contributions 2000 - 2006
                                                                                                                          Mio1999 Euro

   Category                              1999         2000          2001         2002       2003      2004      2005         2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery          0        112             114         117        120       106      107            104
     Fuel and power                             0          6               5           7          8         7        6              5
     Manufacturing                              0      1 051           1 063       1 064      1 050       936      910            884
     Building and construction                  0      1 658           1 739       1 777      1 783     1 623    1 621          1 615
     Private services                           0      1 885           1 900       1 966      2 027     1 875    1 876          1 893
     Government services                        0      1 801           1 832       1 879      1 924     1 761    1 772          1 781
   Value added                                  0      6 513           6 653       6 810      6 911     6 308    6 293          6 282
     VAT on products                            0         99             102         106        109       101      102            104
   Gross domestic product                       0      6 612           6 755       6 916      7 021     6 409    6 395          6 385

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                        0         402            407         410        414       377       376           374
     Government consumption                     0       2 189          2 250       2 320      2 369     2 182     2 198         2 206
     Gross fixed capital formation              0       5 133          5 235       5 385      5 483     5 022     5 035         5 033
     Change in stocks                           0          15             21           8          9         7       - 4             7
     Exports less imports                       0     - 1 127        - 1 158     - 1 207    - 1 253   - 1 180   - 1 210       - 1 236
   Gross domestic product                       0       6 612          6 755       6 916      7 021     6 409     6 395         6 385

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries                    0         49              53          55         59        57       60             63
     Exports to third countries                 0         29              31          32         35        33       35             37
   Exports of goods and services                0         78              84          87         94        90       95            100
     Imports from EU countries                  0        761             786         819        853       804      827            848
     Imports from third countries               0        444             456         475        494       466      478            488
   Imports of goods and services                0      1 205           1 242       1 294      1 346     1 270    1 305          1 336

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                                  0      5 081           5 207       5 382      5 399     4 881    4 831          4 771
     Buildings                                  0     28 166          28 818      29 948     30 398    27 794   27 701         27 653
   Capital stock                                0     33 247          34 025      35 330     35 797    32 675   32 532         32 424

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners                    0        126            128         131        131       118       116           115
     Self-employed                              0         14             14          14         14        13        12            12
   Occupied population                          0        140            142         145        145       131       129           127




6/24/2011                                           e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                            pub99
Joerg Beutel                                                    Objective 1 interventions                                                         256



   Table 5.4: Deviation in Germany from baseline level without public contribution in real terms
                                                                                                                            In percent of total

   Category                              1999        2000           2001         2002          2003        2004      2005           2006



   STRUCTURAL CHANGE
     Agriculture, forestry and fishery     0.00          0.52           0.54         0.56          0.59       0.53      0.54             0.53
     Fuel and power                        0.00          0.17           0.15         0.19          0.21       0.18      0.16             0.14
     Manufacturing                         0.00          0.22           0.23         0.23          0.22       0.19      0.18             0.18
     Building and construction             0.00          1.69           1.77         1.81          1.78       1.59      1.54             1.49
     Private services                      0.00          0.21           0.21         0.21          0.21       0.19      0.18             0.18
     Government services                   0.00          0.45           0.45         0.46          0.46       0.41      0.40             0.39
   Value added                             0.00          0.34           0.35         0.35          0.35       0.31      0.30             0.29
     VAT on products                       0.00          0.08           0.08         0.08          0.08       0.08      0.07             0.07
   Gross domestic product                  0.00          0.33           0.33         0.34          0.33       0.30      0.29             0.28

   ECONOMIC GROWTH
     Private consumption                   0.00          0.03           0.03         0.03           0.03      0.03      0.03             0.03
     Government consumption                0.00          0.57           0.58         0.59           0.59      0.54      0.53             0.53
     Gross fixed capital formation         0.00          1.18           1.24         1.27           1.25      1.10      1.06             1.02
     Change in stocks                        -             -              -            -              -         -         -                -
     Exports less imports                  0.00         -3.06          -2.06        -2.36          -2.22     -1.99     -1.96            -1.93
   Gross domestic product                  0.00          0.33           0.33         0.34           0.33      0.30      0.29             0.28

   FOREIGN TRADE
     Exports to EU countries               0.00          0.01           0.01         0.01          0.01       0.01      0.01             0.01
     Exports to third countries            0.00          0.01           0.01         0.01          0.01       0.01      0.01             0.01
   Exports of goods and services           0.00          0.01           0.01         0.01          0.01       0.01      0.01             0.01
     Imports from EU countries             0.00          0.22           0.23         0.23          0.23       0.20      0.19             0.19
     Imports from third countries          0.00          0.15           0.16         0.16          0.16       0.14      0.13             0.13
   Imports of goods and services           0.00          0.19           0.19         0.20          0.19       0.17      0.17             0.16

   CAPITAL
     Equipment                             0.00          0.28           0.29         0.29          0.29       0.25      0.25             0.24
     Buildings                             0.00          0.35           0.35         0.36          0.35       0.32      0.31             0.30
   Capital stock                           0.00          0.34           0.34         0.34          0.34       0.31      0.30             0.29

   LABOUR (1.000 persons)
     Wage and salary earners               0.00          0.36           0.37         0.38          0.38       0.34      0.33             0.32
     Self-employed                         0.00          0.35           0.36         0.36          0.36       0.32      0.31             0.30
   Occupied population                     0.00          0.36           0.37         0.38          0.37       0.33      0.33             0.32




6/24/2011                                         e45d256c-7da3-4f50-9482-8854d54d79bc.xls                                                   pub99

				
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