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PPP Poll on NY-26

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PPP Poll on NY-26 Powered By Docstoc
					FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                      May 22, 2011

INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL
information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
OF THE PRESS RELEASE

                          Hochul leads Corwin by 6
Raleigh, N.C. – Democrat Kathy Hochul continues to appear poised for an upset victory
in Tuesday's special election for Congress in New York's 26th Congressional District.
She is polling at 42% to 36% for Republican nominee Jane Corwin and 13% for Tea
Party candidate Jack Davis.

Since a PPP poll of the race two weeks ago Hochul has gained 7 points of support and
Corwin has gained 5 while Davis has dropped by 11. It appears that Hochul has done a
good job of staying above the fray as the campaign has taken on an increasingly negative
tenor in its final days. Hochul's favorability is a +14 spread at 51/37, up 8 points from
the previous poll when it was +6 at 46/40. Corwin meanwhile has seen a 15 decline in
her net favorability. She was already unpopular at -3 (39/42) on our previous poll but
that is now much worse at -18 (34/52). Davis has seen the biggest decline in his image
though. Voters were evenly split 43/43 in their assessments of him two weeks ago. Now
his favorability spread is a horrid -39 with only 23% of voters rating him positively and
62% with a negative opinion.

There's still reason though to think Corwin could pull this race out. By a 41-39 margin
voters in the district would like their new member of Congress to caucus with the
Republicans rather than the Democrats in the House. Those planning to vote for Davis
hold that sentiment by an even wider margin at 48-20. Davis' support has been
plummeting and if that trend continues and conservatives who don't really like Corwin
hold their nose and end up voting for her anyway she still has a chance to win a narrow
victory.

“Kathy Hocul’s possible upset victory Tuesday is partially a reflection of an unusual
three way race,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But it’s also
indicative of the new Republican majority becoming very unpopular very fast. Barack
Obama is more popular in this district than John Boehner.”

PPP surveyed 1,106 likely NY-26 voters on May 21st and 22nd. The margin of error for
the survey is +/-2.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or
political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone
interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the
New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward
Republican candidates.
Public Policy Polling    Phone: 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.     Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Raleigh, NC 27604        Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
           New York 26th Congressional District Survey Results
Q1    The candidates in the special election for                                      Q6   If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
      Congress are Republican Jane Corwin, Tea                                             Republican, press 2. If you are an independent
      Party candidate Jack Davis, Democrat Kathy                                           or a member of another party, press 3.
      Hochul, and Green Party candidate Ian
                                                                                             Democrat ........................................................ 36%
      Murphy. If the election was today, who would
      you vote for?                                                                          Republican...................................................... 39%
         Jane Corwin.................................................... 36%                 Independent/Other .......................................... 25%
         Jack Davis ...................................................... 13%        Q7   If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
         Kathy Hochul .................................................. 42%                 White .............................................................. 90%

         Ian Murphy...................................................... 3%                 Other............................................................... 10%
                                                                                      Q8   If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
         Undecided....................................................... 5%
                                                                                           45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
Q2    Who did you vote for President in 2008?                                              older than 65, press 4.
         John McCain................................................... 42%                  18 to 29........................................................... 6%
         Barack Obama................................................ 47%                    30 to 45........................................................... 22%
         Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 11%                              46 to 65........................................................... 43%
Q3    Do you consider yourself to be a member of
                                                                                             Older than 65 .................................................. 29%
      the Tea Party?
                                                                                      Q9   Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
         Yes.................................................................. 16%         of Jane Corwin?
         No ................................................................... 76%          Favorable........................................................ 34%
        Not sure .......................................................... 8%               Unfavorable .................................................... 52%
Q4    Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
                                                                                             Not sure .......................................................... 13%
      somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
      conservative, or very conservative?                                             Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
                                                                                          of Jack Davis?
         Very liberal ...................................................... 7%
                                                                                             Favorable........................................................ 23%
         Somewhat liberal ............................................ 17%
                                                                                             Unfavorable .................................................... 62%
         Moderate......................................................... 30%
                                                                                             Not sure .......................................................... 15%
         Somewhat conservative.................................. 28%
                                                                                      Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
         Very conservative ........................................... 18%                of Kathy Hochul?
Q5    If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.                                        Favorable........................................................ 51%
         Woman ........................................................... 53%               Unfavorable .................................................... 37%
         Man................................................................. 47%            Not sure .......................................................... 12%




May 21-22, 2011                                        3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Survey of 1,106 likely voters                            Raleigh, NC 27604
                                          information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion                                 Q17 Do you think the Republicans are doing a
    of Ian Murphy?                                                                     better job than the Democrats did while in
                                                                                       charge of the House of Representatives, a
         Favorable........................................................ 12%
                                                                                       worse job, or is it about the same?
         Unfavorable .................................................... 34%
                                                                                          A better job ..................................................... 34%
         Not sure .......................................................... 54%
                                                                                          A worse job ..................................................... 38%
Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of President
    Barack Obama’s job performance?                                                       About the same............................................... 27%

         Approve .......................................................... 42%           Not sure .......................................................... 2%
                                                                                   Q18 Do you have more faith in Barack Obama or
         Disapprove...................................................... 51%
                                                                                       Congressional Republicans to lead the country
         Not sure .......................................................... 7%        in the right direction?
Q14 Do you approve or disapprove of the job John                                          Barack Obama................................................ 44%
    Boehner is doing?
                                                                                          Congressional Republicans ............................ 45%
         Approve .......................................................... 28%
                                                                                          Not sure .......................................................... 11%
         Disapprove...................................................... 45%
                                                                                   Q19 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
         Not sure .......................................................... 27%       Andrew Cuomo’s job performance?
Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of the job                                               Approve .......................................................... 62%
    Congressional Republicans are doing?
                                                                                          Disapprove...................................................... 17%
         Approve .......................................................... 26%
                                                                                          Not sure .......................................................... 21%
         Disapprove...................................................... 59%
                                                                                   Q20 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
         Not sure .......................................................... 15%       Chuck Schumer’s job performance?
Q16 Would you like the new Congressman from our                                           Approve .......................................................... 54%
    district to caucus with the Democrats or the
    Republicans in Congress?                                                              Disapprove...................................................... 34%

         Democrats ...................................................... 39%             Not sure .......................................................... 12%
                                                                                   Q21 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
         Republicans .................................................... 41%
                                                                                       Kirsten Gillibrand’s job performance?
         Not sure .......................................................... 20%
                                                                                          Approve .......................................................... 43%
                                                                                          Disapprove...................................................... 35%
                                                                                          Not sure .......................................................... 22%




May 21-22, 2011                                      3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Survey of 1,106 likely voters                          Raleigh, NC 27604
                                        information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                    Crosstabs


                                        2008 Vote                                                      2008 Vote
                                         John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                 John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                  Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                           Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         The candidates in th-                                             Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                      Favorable 34%      60%       10%             35%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                       Unfavorable 52%      27%       78%             45%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                       Not sure 13%      13%       12%             19%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                 Jane Corw in 36%        66%        9%             38%
                    Jack Davis 13%       15%        10%            18%
                 Kathy Hochul 42%        12%        73%            23%
                   Ian Murphy      3%     3%        3%              7%
                    Undecided      5%     4%        4%             14%




                                        2008 Vote                                                      2008 Vote
                                         John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                 John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                  Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                           Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         Davis Favorability                                                Hochul Favorability
                     Favorable 23%       24%        23%            22%                Favorable 51%      26%       80%             27%
                  Unfavorable 62%        63%        62%            60%              Unfavorable 37%      60%       13%             53%
                      Not sure 15%       14%        14%            19%                 Not sure 12%      15%       7%              19%




May 21-22, 2011                                             3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                 Raleigh, NC 27604
                                               information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                  Crosstabs


                                     2008 Vote                                                       2008 Vote
                                       John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                          Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         Murphy Favorability                                             Obam a Approval
                     Favorable 12%      8%       14%             14%                Approve 42%        7%        79%            19%
                  Unfavorable 34%      37%       32%             33%             Disapprove 51%       86%        15%            66%
                      Not sure 54%     55%       54%             52%                Not sure    7%     6%        6%             15%




                                     2008 Vote                                                       2008 Vote
                                       John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                          Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         Boehner Approval                                                Congressional GOP
                                                                         Approval
                      Approve 28%      47%       11%             31%
                                                                                    Approve 26%       50%        4%             28%
                   Disapprove 45%      24%       67%             31%
                                                                                 Disapprove 59%       31%        87%            49%
                      Not sure 27%     29%       22%             38%
                                                                                    Not sure 15%      19%        9%             22%




May 21-22, 2011                                           3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                               Raleigh, NC 27604
                                             information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                  Crosstabs


                                     2008 Vote                                                       2008 Vote
                                       John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                          Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         Should New                                                      Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                                    Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                              as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                                 A better job 34%     62%        7%             34%
                   Dem ocrats 39%       8%       74%             13%
                                                                                 A w orse job 38%      8%        70%            19%
                  Republicans 41%      73%       11%             38%
                                                                              About the sam e 27%     27%        22%            45%
                      Not sure 20%     19%       15%             49%
                                                                                    Not sure    2%     3%        1%              3%




                                     2008 Vote                                                       2008 Vote
                                       John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                          Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         More Faith in Obam a                                            Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                    Approve 62%       53%        73%            53%
                Barack Obam a 44%       8%       85%             19%
                                                                                  Disapprove 17%      22%        11%            19%
               Congressional 45%       80%       9%              53%
                                                                                    Not sure 21%      25%        16%            28%
                 Republicans
                      Not sure 11%     13%       6%              28%




May 21-22, 2011                                           3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                               Raleigh, NC 27604
                                             information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                   Crosstabs


                                      2008 Vote                                                        2008 Vote
                                       John Barack Som eone else/Don't                                   John Barack Som eone else/Don't
                                Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber                             Base McCain Obam a         rem em ber
         Schum er Approval                                                 Gillibrand Approval
                      Approve 54%         25%     83%             47%                  Approve 43%         19%     69%             22%
                   Disapprove 34%         60%     9%              39%               Disapprove 35%         55%     14%             47%
                      Not sure 12%        15%     8%              14%                  Not sure 22%        26%     17%             30%




                                           Tea Party ID                                                     Tea Party ID
                                                            Not                                                              Not
                                  Base      Yes         No sure                                     Base     Yes         No sure
         The candidates in th-                                             Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                       Favorable 34%        65%     27%    45%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                        Unfavorable 52%        24%     61%    27%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                        Not sure 13%        11%     12%    27%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                   Jane Corw in 36%        71%     28%    50%
                     Jack Davis 13%        16%     13%    13%
                  Kathy Hochul 42%          6%     52%    12%
                    Ian Murphy       3%     2%      4%     2%
                     Undecided       5%     6%      3%    23%




May 21-22, 2011                                              3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                  Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                             Crosstabs


                                       Tea Party ID                                                Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                         Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                     Base    Yes     No sure
         Davis Favorability                                          Hochul Favorability
                      Favorable 23%    21%    24%     25%                       Favorable 51%      17%    61%     24%
                    Unfavorable 62%    68%    62%     50%                     Unfavorable 37%      71%    29%     51%
                        Not sure 15%   11%    14%     25%                        Not sure 12%      11%    10%     25%




                                       Tea Party ID                                                Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                         Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                     Base    Yes     No sure
         Murphy Favorability                                         Obam a Approval
                      Favorable 12%     7%    13%     6%                         Approve 42%        7%    52%     17%
                    Unfavorable 34%    42%    33%     27%                     Disapprove 51%       90%    41%     74%
                        Not sure 54%   51%    54%     67%                        Not sure    7%     2%    8%      10%




May 21-22, 2011                                        3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                            Raleigh, NC 27604
                                          information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                             Crosstabs


                                       Tea Party ID                                               Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                        Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                    Base    Yes     No sure
         Boehner Approval                                            Congressional GOP
                                                                     Approval
                        Approve 28%    51%    23%     37%
                                                                                Approve 26%       49%    21%     33%
                    Disapprove 45%     24%    52%     18%
                                                                             Disapprove 59%       33%    66%     39%
                        Not sure 27%   25%    25%     44%
                                                                                Not sure 15%      18%    13%     28%




                                       Tea Party ID                                               Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                        Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                    Base    Yes     No sure
         Should New                                                  Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                                Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                          as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                             A better job 34%     67%    25%     45%
                     Dem ocrats 39%     7%    49%     11%
                                                                            A w orse job 38%       8%    47%     14%
                   Republicans 41%     78%    31%     55%
                                                                         About the sam e 27%      25%    27%     29%
                        Not sure 20%   15%    20%     34%
                                                                                Not sure    2%     0%    1%      12%




May 21-22, 2011                                        3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                            Raleigh, NC 27604
                                          information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                             Crosstabs


                                       Tea Party ID                                               Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                        Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                    Base    Yes     No sure
         More Faith in Obam a                                        Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                 Approve 62%      49%    67%     43%
                 Barack Obam a 44%      8%    55%     16%
                                                                              Disapprove 17%      22%    15%     23%
                Congressional 45%      86%    32%     72%
                                                                                 Not sure 21%     29%    18%     34%
                  Republicans
                        Not sure 11%    6%    12%     12%




                                       Tea Party ID                                               Tea Party ID
                                                    Not                                                        Not
                                Base    Yes     No sure                                    Base    Yes     No sure
         Schum er Approval                                           Gillibrand Approval
                        Approve 54%    14%    65%     33%                        Approve 43%      11%    52%     19%
                    Disapprove 34%     75%    25%     39%                     Disapprove 35%      68%    28%     37%
                        Not sure 12%   11%    10%     28%                        Not sure 22%     21%    20%     45%




May 21-22, 2011                                        3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                            Raleigh, NC 27604
                                          information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                                     Crosstabs


                                       Ideology                                                                           Ideology
                                        Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                  Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                                 Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                          Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        The candidates in th-                                                                 Corw in Favorability
        e special election for
                                                                                                         Favorable 34%     18%         8%       19%          52%          63%
        Congress are Repu-
        blican Jane Corw in,                                                                           Unfavorable 52%     73%        80%       65%          34%          24%
        Tea Party candidate
                                                                                                          Not sure 13%      9%        12%       16%          13%          13%
        Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                Jane Corw in 36%       17%        10%       20%          56%          67%
                  Jack Davis 13%        6%        12%       13%          14%          16%
                Kathy Hochul 42%       69%        74%       58%          20%           5%
                  Ian Murphy      3%    6%         3%        4%           2%           4%
                  Undecided       5%    3%         2%        5%           7%           8%




                                       Ideology                                                                           Ideology
                                        Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                  Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                                 Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                          Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        Davis Favorability                                                                    Hochul Favorability
                   Favorable 23%       15%        21%       28%          24%          20%                Favorable 51%     73%        79%       69%          31%          16%
                 Unfavorable 62%       70%        65%       57%          61%          66%              Unfavorable 37%     21%        13%       19%          55%          69%
                    Not sure 15%       15%        14%       15%          15%          14%                 Not sure 12%      6%         8%       12%          14%          14%




May 21-22, 2011                                                      3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                          Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                        information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                                  Crosstabs


                                   Ideology                                                                            Ideology
                                     Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                 Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                              Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                         Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        Murphy Favorability                                                                Obam a Approval
                  Favorable 12%     21%        15%       13%           9%           7%                Approve 42%      74%        77%       56%          19%           7%
                Unfavorable 34%     39%        34%       30%          35%          38%             Disapprove 51%      24%        20%       34%          70%          92%
                   Not sure 54%     40%        51%       57%          56%          55%                Not sure    7%    2%         3%       11%          10%           2%




                                   Ideology                                                                            Ideology
                                     Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                 Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                              Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                         Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        Boehner Approval                                                                   Congressional GOP
                                                                                           Approval
                   Approve 28%      15%        11%       15%          40%          54%
                                                                                                      Approve 26%       5%         6%       14%          41%          52%
                 Disapprove 45%     69%        68%       57%          27%          20%
                                                                                                   Disapprove 59%      92%        88%       73%          36%          30%
                   Not sure 27%     16%        22%       28%          33%          25%
                                                                                                      Not sure 15%      3%         6%       13%          23%          19%




May 21-22, 2011                                                   3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                       Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                     information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                                   Crosstabs


                                    Ideology                                                                            Ideology
                                      Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                 Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                               Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                         Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        Should New                                                                          Cong. GOP Doing
        Congressm an                                                                        Better/Worse/Sam e
        Caucus w ith Dem s                                                                  as Dem s?
        or GOP?
                                                                                                    A better job 34%    16%        10%       16%          51%          65%
                 Dem ocrats 39%      75%        71%       53%          18%           4%
                                                                                                   A w orse job 38%     70%        66%       51%          19%           7%
                Republicans 41%      18%        16%       20%          60%          77%
                                                                                                About the sam e 27%     14%        23%       32%          28%          24%
                   Not sure 20%       7%        13%       26%          22%          20%
                                                                                                       Not sure    2%     -         0%        2%           2%           3%




                                    Ideology                                                                            Ideology
                                      Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                 Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                               Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                         Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        More Faith in Obam a                                                                Cuom o Approval
        or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                                       Approve 62%      86%        70%       69%          59%          40%
              Barack Obam a 44%      82%        80%       61%          20%           8%
                                                                                                    Disapprove 17%       6%        15%       15%          14%          28%
             Congressional 45%       15%        15%       25%          64%          84%
                                                                                                       Not sure 21%      8%        15%       16%          27%          31%
               Republicans
                   Not sure 11%       3%         6%       14%          16%           9%




May 21-22, 2011                                                    3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                        Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                      information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                                Crosstabs


                                  Ideology                                                                          Ideology
                                   Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very                                 Very Som ew hat             Som ew hat        Very
                            Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative                         Base liberal    liberal Moderate conservative conservative
        Schum er Approval                                                                Gillibrand Approval
                   Approve 54%    78%        84%         76%         36%         10%                 Approve 43%     67%        70%         57%         28%          9%
                Disapprove 34%    15%        11%         13%         50%         73%              Disapprove 35%     17%        18%         19%         45%         68%
                   Not sure 12%    7%         5%         11%         15%         16%                 Not sure 22%    17%        12%         24%         28%         22%




                                              Gender                                                                             Gender
                                     Base Wom an               Man                                                      Base Wom an               Man
         The candidates in th-                                                           Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                                         Favorable 34%                33%     35%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                                         Unfavorable 52%                 51%     54%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                                           Not sure 13%               16%     11%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                   Jane Corw in 36%                34%     39%
                      Jack Davis 13%               12%     15%
                   Kathy Hochul 42%                44%     39%
                     Ian Murphy         3%         4%          3%
                      Undecided         5%         6%          4%




May 21-22, 2011                                                 3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                     Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                   information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Gender                                                    Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                        Base Wom an    Man
         Davis Favorability                                         Hochul Favorability
                      Favorable 23%     23%     24%                            Favorable 51%      53%     48%
                    Unfavorable 62%     59%     66%                          Unfavorable 37%      33%     43%
                        Not sure 15%    19%     10%                             Not sure 12%      14%     9%




                                       Gender                                                    Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                        Base Wom an    Man
         Murphy Favorability                                        Obam a Approval
                      Favorable 12%     11%     13%                             Approve 42%       43%     41%
                    Unfavorable 34%     29%     40%                          Disapprove 51%       49%     54%
                        Not sure 54%    61%     47%                             Not sure    7%     9%     5%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Gender                                                   Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                       Base Wom an    Man
         Boehner Approval                                           Congressional GOP
                                                                    Approval
                        Approve 28%     26%     31%
                                                                               Approve 26%       25%     28%
                    Disapprove 45%      41%     49%
                                                                            Disapprove 59%       58%     60%
                        Not sure 27%    33%     20%
                                                                               Not sure 15%      18%     12%




                                       Gender                                                   Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                       Base Wom an    Man
         Should New                                                 Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                               Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                         as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                            A better job 34%     30%     38%
                     Dem ocrats 39%     40%     37%
                                                                           A w orse job 38%      39%     37%
                   Republicans 41%      37%     45%
                                                                        About the sam e 27%      29%     24%
                        Not sure 20%    22%     18%
                                                                               Not sure    2%     3%     1%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Gender                                                  Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                       Base Wom an   Man
         More Faith in Obam a                                       Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                Approve 62%     59%     65%
                 Barack Obam a 44%      45%     43%
                                                                             Disapprove 17%     16%     18%
                Congressional 45%       42%     47%
                                                                                Not sure 21%    25%     18%
                  Republicans
                        Not sure 11%    13%     10%




                                       Gender                                                  Gender
                                Base Wom an     Man                                       Base Wom an   Man
         Schum er Approval                                          Gillibrand Approval
                        Approve 54%     58%     49%                             Approve 43%     44%     41%
                    Disapprove 34%      29%     41%                          Disapprove 35%     30%     41%
                        Not sure 12%    13%     10%                             Not sure 22%    26%     18%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                        Crosstabs


                                        Party                                                               Party
                                  Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                          Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         The candidates in th-                                                  Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                           Favorable 34%        11%        59%               30%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                            Unfavorable 52%        76%        30%               54%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                            Not sure 13%        13%        12%               16%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                 Jane Corw in 36%           11%          61%            34%
                   Jack Davis 13%               8%       16%            17%
                 Kathy Hochul 42%           74%          16%            36%
                   Ian Murphy      3%           3%        3%             5%
                   Undecided       5%           4%        4%             9%




                                        Party                                                               Party
                                  Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                          Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         Davis Favorability                                                     Hochul Favorability
                    Favorable 23%           23%          23%            24%                Favorable 51%        81%        29%               41%
                  Unfavorable 62%           64%          62%            58%              Unfavorable 37%        13%        57%               42%
                     Not sure 15%           12%          15%            18%                 Not sure 12%            6%     14%               17%




May 21-22, 2011                                                   3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                       Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                     information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                      Crosstabs


                                     Party                                                                Party
                                Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                         Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         Murphy Favorability                                                  Obam a Approval
                    Favorable 12%        16%         6%               14%                Approve 42%          73%       17%               35%
                 Unfavorable 34%         33%        37%               31%             Disapprove 51%          21%       76%               56%
                     Not sure 54%        51%        57%               54%                Not sure    7%           6%     7%                9%




                                     Party                                                                Party
                                Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                         Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         Boehner Approval                                                     Congressional GOP
                                                                              Approval
                     Approve 28%         12%        47%               23%
                                                                                         Approve 26%              6%    50%               19%
                  Disapprove 45%         64%        24%               48%
                                                                                      Disapprove 59%          84%       33%               64%
                     Not sure 27%        24%        28%               29%
                                                                                         Not sure 15%         11%       17%               17%




May 21-22, 2011                                             3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                 Raleigh, NC 27604
                                               information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                      Crosstabs


                                     Party                                                                Party
                                Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                         Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         Should New                                                           Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                                         Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                                   as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                                      A better job 34%        12%       58%               27%
                  Dem ocrats 39%         75%          12%             30%
                                                                                     A w orse job 38%         66%       14%               36%
                 Republicans 41%         10%          70%             39%
                                                                                  About the sam e 27%         21%       26%               35%
                     Not sure 20%        15%          18%             31%
                                                                                         Not sure    2%           1%     2%                3%




                                     Party                                                                Party
                                Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                         Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         More Faith in Obam a                                                 Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                         Approve 62%          73%       54%               58%
               Barack Obam a 44%         78%          17%             40%
                                                                                      Disapprove 17%          10%       21%               20%
               Congressional 45%         14%          72%             43%
                                                                                         Not sure 21%         17%       25%               22%
                 Republicans
                     Not sure 11%            8%       11%             17%




May 21-22, 2011                                                3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                    Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                  information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                      Crosstabs


                                     Party                                                                Party
                                Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other                         Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
         Schum er Approval                                                    Gillibrand Approval
                     Approve 54%          78%       33%               53%                 Approve 43%         68%        23%              38%
                  Disapprove 34%          11%       51%               40%              Disapprove 35%         15%        48%              44%
                     Not sure 12%         11%       15%                7%                 Not sure 22%        18%        29%              18%




                                             Race                                                                 Race
                                    Base White Other                                                     Base White Other
         The candidates in th-                                                Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                           Favorable 34%          35%    31%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                           Unfavorable 52%           52%    52%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                            Not sure 13%          13%    17%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                   Jane Corw in 36%          36%    34%
                     Jack Davis 13%          13%    16%
                  Kathy Hochul 42%           43%    33%
                    Ian Murphy       3%       3%    7%
                     Undecided       5%       5%    10%




May 21-22, 2011                                              3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                                  Raleigh, NC 27604
                                                information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Race                                                      Race
                                Base White Other                                           Base White Other
         Davis Favorability                                         Hochul Favorability
                      Favorable 23%    23%    22%                              Favorable 51%     50%    54%
                    Unfavorable 62%    63%    55%                            Unfavorable 37%     38%    33%
                        Not sure 15%   14%    23%                               Not sure 12%     12%    13%




                                       Race                                                      Race
                                Base White Other                                           Base White Other
         Murphy Favorability                                        Obam a Approval
                      Favorable 12%    12%    12%                               Approve 42%      42%    42%
                    Unfavorable 34%    33%    41%                            Disapprove 51%      52%    48%
                        Not sure 54%   55%    47%                               Not sure    7%    7%    11%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Race                                                     Race
                                Base White Other                                          Base White Other
         Boehner Approval                                           Congressional GOP
                                                                    Approval
                        Approve 28%    29%    26%
                                                                               Approve 26%      27%    21%
                    Disapprove 45%     45%    44%
                                                                            Disapprove 59%      59%    57%
                        Not sure 27%   27%    30%
                                                                               Not sure 15%     14%    22%




                                       Race                                                     Race
                                Base White Other                                          Base White Other
         Should New                                                 Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                               Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                         as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                            A better job 34%    35%    24%
                     Dem ocrats 39%    39%    36%
                                                                           A w orse job 38%     37%    42%
                   Republicans 41%     41%    36%
                                                                        About the sam e 27%     26%    29%
                        Not sure 20%   19%    28%
                                                                               Not sure    2%    2%    5%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                            Crosstabs


                                       Race                                                    Race
                                Base White Other                                          Base White Other
         More Faith in Obam a                                       Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                Approve 62%    63%    52%
                 Barack Obam a 44%     44%    44%
                                                                             Disapprove 17%    16%    25%
                Congressional 45%      45%    37%
                                                                                Not sure 21%   21%    23%
                  Republicans
                        Not sure 11%   11%    18%




                                       Race                                                    Race
                                Base White Other                                          Base White Other
         Schum er Approval                                          Gillibrand Approval
                        Approve 54%    54%    48%                               Approve 43%    43%    38%
                    Disapprove 34%     34%    37%                            Disapprove 35%    34%    43%
                        Not sure 12%   11%    15%                               Not sure 22%   23%    18%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                                Crosstabs


                                         Age                                                        Age
                                         18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                    18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                  Base      29    45    65 than 65                           Base      29    45    65 than 65
         The candidates in th-                                        Corw in Favorability
         e special election for
                                                                                 Favorable 34%      52%   32%   33%    35%
         Congress are Repu-
         blican Jane Corw in,                                                  Unfavorable 52%      31%   55%   55%    51%
         Tea Party candidate
                                                                                  Not sure 13%      17%   13%   12%    15%
         Jack Davis, Dem oc...
                   Jane Corw in 36%      47%   41%   34%    33%
                     Jack Davis 13%      9%    20%   12%    11%
                  Kathy Hochul 42%       25%   31%   47%    45%
                    Ian Murphy     3%    6%    4%     3%     3%
                     Undecided     5%    13%   3%     4%     8%




                                         Age                                                        Age
                                         18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                    18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                  Base      29    45    65 than 65                           Base      29    45    65 than 65
         Davis Favorability                                           Hochul Favorability
                      Favorable 23%      28%   26%   22%    22%                  Favorable 51%      45%   44%   54%    52%
                    Unfavorable 62%      52%   63%   64%    61%                Unfavorable 37%      48%   43%   34%    35%
                        Not sure 15%     21%   11%   14%    17%                   Not sure 12%      7%    13%   12%    13%




May 21-22, 2011                                         3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                             Raleigh, NC 27604
                                           information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                              Crosstabs


                                       Age                                                       Age
                                       18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                   18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                Base      29    45    65 than 65                          Base      29    45    65 than 65
         Murphy Favorability                                        Obam a Approval
                      Favorable 12%    18%   14%   11%    10%                  Approve 42%       39%   34%   44%    44%
                    Unfavorable 34%    36%   34%   35%    33%               Disapprove 51%       57%   62%   48%    47%
                        Not sure 54%   46%   52%   55%    57%                  Not sure    7%    4%    4%     8%     9%




                                       Age                                                       Age
                                       18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                   18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                Base      29    45    65 than 65                          Base      29    45    65 than 65
         Boehner Approval                                           Congressional GOP
                                                                    Approval
                        Approve 28%    25%   32%   28%    27%
                                                                               Approve 26%       29%   26%   25%    28%
                    Disapprove 45%     50%   39%   47%    45%
                                                                            Disapprove 59%       57%   57%   61%    57%
                        Not sure 27%   25%   29%   25%    28%
                                                                               Not sure 15%      14%   16%   14%    16%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                              Crosstabs


                                       Age                                                        Age
                                       18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                    18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                Base      29    45    65 than 65                           Base      29    45    65 than 65
         Should New                                                 Cong. GOP Doing
         Congressm an                                               Better/Worse/Sam e
         Caucus w ith Dem s                                         as Dem s?
         or GOP?
                                                                             A better job 34%     39%   38%   33%    31%
                     Dem ocrats 39%    32%   34%   42%    41%
                                                                             A w orse job 38%     25%   28%   43%    40%
                   Republicans 41%     43%   45%   41%    38%
                                                                          About the sam e 27%     32%   33%   23%    26%
                        Not sure 20%   25%   21%   18%    22%
                                                                                Not sure    2%    4%    1%     2%     2%




                                       Age                                                        Age
                                       18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                    18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                Base      29    45    65 than 65                           Base      29    45    65 than 65
         More Faith in Obam a                                       Cuom o Approval
         or Cong. GOP?
                                                                                Approve 62%       44%   49%   65%    72%
                 Barack Obam a 44%     44%   35%   47%    47%
                                                                              Disapprove 17%      15%   31%   14%    10%
                Congressional 45%      48%   55%   43%    39%
                                                                                Not sure 21%      41%   21%   21%    18%
                  Republicans
                        Not sure 11%   7%    10%   10%    15%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
                                                              Crosstabs


                                       Age                                                       Age
                                       18 to 30 to 46 to Older                                   18 to 30 to 46 to Older
                                Base      29    45    65 than 65                          Base      29    45    65 than 65
         Schum er Approval                                          Gillibrand Approval
                        Approve 54%    44%   41%   56%    63%                   Approve 43%      44%   29%   48%    45%
                    Disapprove 34%     37%   45%   34%    26%                Disapprove 35%      37%   46%   35%    27%
                        Not sure 12%   19%   14%   10%    11%                   Not sure 22%     19%   25%   18%    28%




May 21-22, 2011                                       3020 Highwoods Blvd.
survey of 1,106 likely voters                           Raleigh, NC 27604
                                         information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

				
DOCUMENT INFO
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posted:5/23/2011
language:English
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