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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium in Ukraine

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On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium in Ukraine face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium to Ukraine? How important is Ukraine compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium vary from one country of origin to another in Ukraine? On the supply side, Ukraine also exports unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium. Which countries receive the most exports from Ukraine? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium in Ukraine. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium for those countries serving Ukraine via exports, or supplying from Ukraine via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Ukraine fits into the world market for imported and exported unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Ukraine in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the cur

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
     Market for Unwrought
      Tungsten (Wolfram),
   Molybdenum, Tantalum, and
     Magnesium in Ukraine




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)


www.icongrouponline.com                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                                                  ii




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                                                                                              iii


                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



www.icongrouponline.com                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                                   iv


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                                                            Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                      6
2     UKRAINE AND THE WORLD MARKET                                      8
    2.1     Imports in Ukraine in 2011                                  8
    2.2     Exports from Ukraine in 2011                                8
3     IMPORTS IN UKRAINE                                                9
    3.1      Europe                                                     9
       3.1.1    Belarus                                                 9
       3.1.2    Bulgaria                                                9
       3.1.3    Latvia                                                  9
       3.1.4    Norway                                                 10
       3.1.5    Poland                                                 10
       3.1.6    Russia                                                 11
       3.1.7    Sweden                                                 12
       3.1.8    the Netherlands                                        13
    3.2      the Middle East                                           14
       3.2.1    Uzbekistan                                             14
4     EXPORTS FROM UKRAINE                                             15
    4.1      Europe                                                    15
       4.1.1   Switzerland                                             15
    4.2      North America & the Caribbean                             16
       4.2.1   the United States                                       16
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS           17
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  17
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  18




www.icongrouponline.com                                 ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
           Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium in Ukraine           6


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on unwrought tungsten (wolfram),
molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium in Ukraine face a number of questions. Which countries
are supplying unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium to
Ukraine? How important is Ukraine compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional
market? How much do the imports of unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum,
and magnesium vary from one country of origin to another in Ukraine? On the supply side,
Ukraine also exports unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium.
Which countries receive the most exports from Ukraine? How are these exports concentrated
across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for unwrought tungsten (wolfram),
molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium in Ukraine. With the globalization of this market,
managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-
of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology,
based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for unwrought tungsten
(wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium for those countries serving Ukraine via
exports, or supplying from Ukraine via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety
of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Ukraine fits into the world market for
imported and exported unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium.
The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Ukraine in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Ukraine is
likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to
prioritize Ukraine compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided
in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic
planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of unwrought tungsten
(wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for
each major country of origin serving Ukraine. A “major” market is defined as a country where
Ukraine represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major
country exporting to Ukraine, one can thus observe how important Ukraine is to that exporting
country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of


www.icongrouponline.com                                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
           Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium in Ukraine             7

unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium originating from
Ukraine, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that
Ukraine has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness
for Ukraine. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading
partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and
exports of unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium to and from
Ukraine to and from all other major countries in the world. "Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram),
Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium" as a category is defined in this report following the
definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the
Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that
defined "unwrought tungsten (wolfram), molybdenum, tantalum, and magnesium" is 6891 . For
more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=689 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
            Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium in Ukraine                8


2       UKRAINE AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN UKRAINE IN 2011
       Imported Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and
                           Magnesium in Ukraine, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Russia                            1                     1,617               59.91                 59.91
China                             2                       629               23.30                 83.22
Belarus                           3                        85                3.15                 86.37
Poland                            4                        74                2.74                 89.11
Latvia                            5                        67                2.48                 91.59
Sweden                            6                        62                2.30                 93.89
Bulgaria                          7                        59                2.19                 96.07
the Netherlands                   8                        49                1.82                 97.89
the United States                 9                        45                1.67                 99.56
Norway                           10                         9                0.33                 99.89
Uzbekistan                       11                         2                0.07                 99.96
Germany                          12                         1                0.04                100.00
Total                                                   2,699              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2         EXPORTS FROM UKRAINE IN 2011
Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium Exports
                              from Ukraine, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                  1                    2,410               91.57                 91.57
Switzerland                        2                      113                4.29                 95.86
the United Kingdom                 3                      109                4.14                100.00
Total                                                   2,632              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
            Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium in Ukraine                9


3       IMPORTS IN UKRAINE
3.1         EUROPE
3.1.1          Belarus
Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium Exports
                              from Belarus, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Ukraine                            1                       85               77.98                 77.98
Germany                            2                       24               22.02                100.00
Total                                                     109              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com


3.1.2          Bulgaria
Unwrought Tungsten (Wolfram), Molybdenum, Tantalum, and Magnesium Exports
                              from Bulgaria, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany                            1                      372               63.59                 63.59
Austria                            2                      154               26.32                 89.91
Ukraine                            3                       59               10.09                100.00
Total                                                     585              100.00                100.00
_________________________________
								
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