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Calibration Data for Methane Emissions
Table 1. U.S. Baseline Methane Emissions, MMTCE
Sectors 1990 (hist.) 1995 (hist.) 2000 (prelim. est.) 56.9 21.2 35.8 9.4 35.1 16.6 175 2005 (proj.) 2010 (proj.) 2015 (proj.)
Landfills Coal Mines Natural Gas Manure Management Enteric Fermentation Other* Total
59.3 24 33 7.2 35.3 17.1 175.9
61 21.2 34 8.2 37.2 18.3 179.9
55.5 22.3 36.5 9.9 35.5 16.4 176.1
55.1 22.4 37.4 10.5 36 16.2 177.6
52 22.2 38.5 11.2 36.5 16.5 176.9
Table 1. U.S. Baseline Methane Emissions, Tg CH4
Sectors 1990 (hist.) 1995 (hist.) 2000 (prelim. est.) 9.93 3.70 6.25 1.64 6.13 2.90 30.56 2005 (proj.) 2010 (proj.) 2015 (proj.)
Landfills Coal Mines Natural Gas Manure Management Enteric Fermentation Other Total
10.35 4.19 5.76 1.26 6.16 2.99 30.71
10.65 3.70 5.94 1.43 6.50 3.20 31.41
9.69 3.89 6.37 1.73 6.20 2.86 30.75
9.62 3.91 6.53 1.83 6.29 2.83 31.01
9.08 3.88 6.72 1.96 6.37 2.88 30.89
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
Process\TimePeriod 1995 RNWLFML 5,686.01 RNWLFMM 6,971.09 RNWLFMSS 1,507.64 PBMANAL2 1,022.47 PBMANDR1 51.17 PBMANEM1 320 PCABHUDV1 0 PCABLUDV1 0 PCABMUDV1 0 PCRBLUDV1 0 PLFMNOMIT2 0.00 PMSWLFL1 0 PMSWLFM1 0 PMSWLFS1 0 PNGAD3 1,423.43 PNGADP1 1,480.73 PNGAPTS2 2,739.57 POILAOF1 34.55 POILAON1 191.85 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 1,133.18 50.1 321.13 0 0 64.46 32.43 0.00 0 0 0 1,423.43 1,675.48 2,739.57 31.75 124.87
Methane Calibration Run 10-15-04 Output She
2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 1,238.98 49.84 336.58 16.77 0 158.2 33.75 0.00 473.48 357.34 53.6 1,438.89 1,739.68 2,769.34 24.36 95.82 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 1,357.40 48.73 354.76 23.71 0 190.31 35.98 0.00 970.53 732.48 109.87 1,438.89 1,739.68 2,769.34 21.32 83.84 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 1,472.20 47.05 371.69 51.03 28.2 251.51 36.69 0.00 1,487.97 1,123.00 168.45 1,656.79 2,003.12 3,188.71 27.10 106.60
POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS MARKAL Base Case - Total Emissions otal T MARKAL Base Case - Coal Total MARKAL Base Case - Manure Total MARKAL Base Case - Landfills Total MARKAL Base Case - Natural gas Total MARKAL Base Case - Oil Total Ck Total
186.50 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0.00 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53 6 454 0 0 13.8 8.81 25,855 3,671 1,394 14,165 5,644 981 25,855
288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0.00 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 2.32 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54 6 454 0 0 0 14.56 27,815 3,762 1,504 15,685 5,838 1,025 27,815
335.80 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 172.69 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24 19 29 16 1 0 67 5 272 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 28,488 3,416 1,625 16,570 5,948 929 28,488
370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 29.61 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 423.84 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 34 18 29 13 1 0 78 5 272 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 27,154 3,683 1,761 14,884 5,948 879 27,154
344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 509.87 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 38 16 29 14 1 0 88 4 272 377.4 0 0 13.74 26,712 3,888 1,891 13,236 6,849 847 26,712
Table Name:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM Unit: kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2
Methane Options Run with Updated Mitigation Techs
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,783.89 -43.13 0 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -265.05 -1,720.24 -38.82 0
PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS
51.17 320 0 0.00 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 -2.56 0.00 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0.00 299.75 1,519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 53.25
50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.00 27.13 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 32.43 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 -2.56 0.00 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.20 0.00 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 1.45 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 54.17
49.84 336.58 2.19 0 0.00 108.07 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,434.80 1,734.47 2,761.05 -2.58 0.00 -35.41 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0.00 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 72.68 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.73 0.19 67.03
48.73 354.76 23.71 0 0.00 156.46 0 -17.71 0 0 35.98 -17.87 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,434.80 1,734.47 2,761.05 -2.58 0.00 -35.41 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 3.87 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 289.52 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.80 2.50 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.50 0.77 0.29 77.5
47.05 371.69 51.03 15.37 0.00 251.51 0 -45.46 0 0 36.69 -17.87 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,642.67 1,985.77 3,161.09 -2.96 0.00 -40.54 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 0 419.17 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.40 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.60 0.79 0.19 88.21
Reference - Total emissions Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 8.81 25,847 3,670 1,394 14,160 5,641 981 25,847
6.25 454.22 0 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,673 897 15,599 5,800 1025 26,994
4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 26,156 3,218 386 15,729 5,892 929 26,156
4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 23,143 3,367 403 12,601 5,892 879 23,143
4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 13.74 22,274 3,474 419 10,788 6,746 847 22,274
r Methane Emissions
2020 (proj.) Coal System UG Ventilations UG Degas Recovered/Used Total UG Surface Post mining Total billion ft3 1995 2000 (hist.) (hist.) 111 46 30 127 22 34 183 89 45 36 98 22 32 152 Gg CH4 1995 (hist.) 2000 (hist.)
47.6 21.3 39.8 11.7 37 16.9 174.3
2,135 885 577 2,442 423 654 3,519
1,712 865 692 1,885 423 615 2,923
2020 (proj.)
1995 (hist.) 14,165 3,212 308 3,519 1,583 2,904 1,572 6,059 1,723 1,122 26,588 25,855 -733
Calibration Data - Unmitigated Methane Emissions, Gg CH4 2000 2005 (proj.) 2010 (proj.) (hist.) 15,685 2,750 173 3,702 1,633 2,996 1,622 6,251 1,821 1,201 28,659 27,815 -844 15,572 15,460
8.31 3.72 6.95 2.04 6.46 2.95 30.43
EPA Baseline - Landfills Coal Mine Prod. Coal Mine Degas EPA Baseline - Coal NG Production NG Transmission NG Distribution EPA Baseline - Natural Gas EPA Baseline - Manure EPA Baseline - Oil Total
3,702 1,665 3,055 1,653 6,373 1,821 1,089 28,557 28,488 -68
3,702 1,706 3,130 1,694 6,530 1,833 1,076 28,601 27,154 -1,446
148 Run 10-15-04 Output Sheet (METHACAL)
2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 1,546.61 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 251.51 36.69 0.00 2,030.88 1,525.15 220.16 1,890.54 2,285.74 3,638.59 32.89 129.36 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 1,609.62 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 251.51 36.69 0.00 2,594.69 1,931.50 259.34 2,131.94 2,577.60 4,103.20 32.89 129.36 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 1,674.89 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 251.51 36.69 0.00 3,113.95 2,299.12 286.91 2,523.35 2,915.90 4,856.52 33.50 131.76 2035 0 0 0 1,731.86 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0 0.00 3,135.69 2,286.27 251.76 3,123.92 3,206.09 6,012.39 32.89 129.36
163
Table Name: Unit: ProcessSet COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALSURF COALUNDER
327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 99.15 276.66 920.7 673.84 18.88 4.75 41 10.18 3.85 0.45 2.17 80.33 54.11 41 15 29 15 1 0 93 5 272 384.77 0 0 13.23 26,478 4,220 1,980 11,619 7,815 844 26,478
333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 673.84 18.88 4.75 10.59 0 3.85 1.11 2.17 80.33 54.11 41 15 29 15 1 0 94 5 272 384.77 0 0.99 13.23 25,935 4,230 2,051 10,014 8,813 827 25,935
381.30 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 673.84 18.88 4.75 47.49 16.12 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41 15 29 15 1 0 76 5 272 384.77 0 8.11 13.23 25,936 4,274 2,128 8,314 10,296 925 25,936
316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 673.84 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41 15 29 15 1 0 31 5 272 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 24,842 3,837 2,196 5,674 12,342 793 24,842
COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER COALUNDER
18,000
16,000 Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000 2,000 0
Updated Mitigation Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -404.08 -1,492.49 0.00 0 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1,221.37 0.00 0 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -418.74 -919.72 0.00 0 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -586.34 0.00 0
MARKAL Base Case - Natural gas
44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0.00 251.51 0 -108.85 0 0 36.69 -62.34 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,876.10 2,267.75 3,609.97 -3.38 0.00 -46.3 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 54.05 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 43.85 8.63 3.85 0.53 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 90.43
40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.05 251.39 0 -105.85 0 0 36.69 -172.99 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,132.82 2,577.60 4,103.20 -3.84 0.00 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 7.73 0.00 3.85 1.90 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.97
37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.13 251.2 -0.03 -110.02 -14.04 0 36.69 -448.32 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,451.59 2,915.90 4,714.58 -4.41 0.00 -60.46 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.31 673.52 18.88 4.75 47.49 17.66 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 83.88
34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 0 -0.07 -108.13 -36.65 0 0 -385.98 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,091.61 3,164.82 5,946.69 -5.56 -3.76 -76.26 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.82 673.02 18.88 4.75 47.49 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 30.81
MARKAL Base Case - Total Emissions
100
90
80 Methane Emissions (MMTCE) 70 60
50
40 30
20
10 0
18,000 16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000
4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 21,829 3,661 433 9,187 7,704 844 21,829
4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 13.23 21,316 3,708 441 7,583 8,757 827 21,316
4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 13.23 20,986 3,740 453 5,852 10,017 925 20,986
4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 20,447 3,278 464 3,795 12,118 793 20,447
Methane Emissio
4,000 2,000 0
100
90
Methane Emissions (MMTCE)
80 70 60 50 40
30
20 10
0
32 25,855 1,394 14 81 981 28,356
31 27,815 1,504 81 1,025 29,319
nmitigated Methane Emissions, Gg CH4 2015 (proj.)
1995 Calibration Comments 2020 (proj.) 13,355 Calibration Deltas -14,165 Energy ratio Methane ratio
EPA
Model
14,590
3,702 1,756 3,222 1,744 6,722 1,956 1,063 28,032 26,712 -1,321
3,702 1,815 3,331 1,803 6,949 2,043 1,083 27,132 26,478 -654
-3,488 24,272 -1,511 -1,558 21,203 -1642 -141 1,768 28,356
23,761 19,616 19,616
29,344 20,179 23,157
81.0% 97.2% 84.7%
11115.7% 17965.4% 79.1%
CoalProd - U+S
PJ Commodity\TimePeriod 1995 2000 CABHS [High sulfur bituminous coal from App., surface] 504 504 CABLS [Low sulfur bituminous coal from App., surface] 1,299 1,299 CABMS [Med. sulfur bituminous coal from 2,869 surface] App., 2,869 CALMS [Med. sulfur, lignite coal from App., surface] 32 32 CDLMS [Med.sulfur, lignite coal from Dakota, surface] 535 535 CGLHS [High sulfur, lignite coal from Gulf Coast, surface] 398 398 CGLMS [Med. sulfur, lignite coal from Gulf Coast, surface] 529 529 CIBHS [High sulfur, bit. coal from Interior, surface] 1,044 1,044 CIBMS [Med. sulfur, bit. coal from Interior, surface] 252 252 CNSMS [Med. sulfur, sub-bit. coal from NW,128 surface] 117 CPSLS [Low sulfur, sub-bit. coal from PRB, surface] 7,854 7,988 CPSMS [Med. sulfur, sub-bit. coal from PRB, surface] 921 921 CRSLS [Low sulfur, sub-bit. coal, Rocky Mtns.,0surface] 29 CSBLS [Low sulfur, bit. coal, Southwest, surface] 497 497 CSSMS [Med. sulfur, sub-bit. coal, Southwest, surface] 449 449 Total 17,312 17,465 CABHU [High sulfur bituminous coal from App., undergrd] 1,409 1,409 2005 418 1,724 2,693 43 557 379 412 1,013 216 0 9,884 676 0 0 0 18,017 1,269 2010 388 716 2,437 43 561 20 332 885 182 0 11,430 695 0 0 0 17,688 1,294 2015 361 684 2,434 40 566 3 324 866 158 0 11,527 600 0 0 0 17,564 1,335 2020 367 919 2,648 45 567 319 319 1,042 185 0 10,267 716 0 0 363 17,758 1,458
CABLU [Low sulfur bituminous coal from App., undergrd.] 1,417 1,417 CABMU [Med. sulfur bituminous coal from 4,842 underground] App., 4,842 CAMLU [Low sulfur, metallurgical coal from App., underrd.] 173 185 CAMMU [Med.sulfur, metallurgical coal from743 underrd.] App., 31 CIBHU [High sulfur, bit. coal from Interior, 1,070 undergrd] 1,070 CIBMU [Med. sulfur, bit. coal from Interior, undergrd] 706 706 CPBLU [Low sulfur, bit. coal from PRB, undergrd] 7 7 CRBLU [Low sulfur, bit. coal, Rocky Mtns.,1,666 undergrd] 1,666 Total 12,032 11,333 29,344 28,798
949 5,141 136 0 1,134 653 4 2,244 11,530 29,546
245 4,664 0 0 1,275 556 4 2,295 10,332 28,020
735 4,739 0 0 1,332 570 3 2,381 11,096 28,660
1,266 5,079 0 0 1,384 649 2 2,408 12,246 30,004
Methane Sub-model Calibration to EPA Baseline Projections
EPA Baseline MARKAL Base Case
EPA Baseline MARKAL Base Case EPA Baseline MARKAL Base Case
EPA Baseline MARKAL Base Case EPA Baseline MARKAL Base Case
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
MMTCE Units EPA Baseline - Landfills EPA Baseline - Coal EPA Baseline - Natural Gas EPA Baseline - Manure EPA Baseline - Oil Total MARKAL Base Case - Landfills MARKAL Base Case - Coal MARKAL Base Case - Natural gas MARKAL Base Case - Manure
1995 81.1 20.2 34.7 9.9 6.4 152.3 81.1 21.0 32.3 8.0 2000 89.8 21.2 35.8 10.4 6.9 164.1 89.8 21.5 33.4 8.6 2005 89.2 21.2 36.5 10.4 6.2 163.6 94.9 19.6 34.1 9.3 2010 88.5 21.2 37.4 10.5 6.2 163.8 85.2 21.1 34.1 10.1 2015 83.6 21.2 38.5 11.2 6.1 160.5 75.8 22.3 39.2 10.8 2020 76.5 21.2 39.8 11.7 6.2 155.4 66.5 24.2 44.8 11.3
MARKAL Base Case - Oil MARKAL Base Case - Total Emissions
5.6 148.1
5.9 159.3
5.3 163.2
5.0 155.5
4.9 153.0
4.8 151.6
EPA Baseline - Landfills
MARKAL Base Case -
EPA Baseline - Natural Gas MARKAL Base Case EPA Baseline - Coal MARKAL Base Case EPA Baseline - Manure MARKAL Base Case EPA Baseline - Oil
MARKAL Base Case -
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Comparison of Base Case and Reference Scenario (Methane Options Permitted, But No Emission Constrai
18,000
Base Case
16,000
Reference
14,000 12,000
10,000
Base Case Reference Base Case Reference Base Case
8,000 6,000
4,000 2,000
Reference Base Case Reference
0 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year 2020 2025 2030
Base Case - Landfills Base Case - Natural Gas Base Case - Coal Base Case - Manure Base Case - Oil Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Oil 2000 89.3 33.2 21.0 5.1 5.9 154.6 2005 90.1 33.7 18.4 2.2 5.3 149.8
MMTCE Units
2010 72.2 33.7 19.3 2.3 5.0 132.5 2015 61.8 38.6 19.9 2.4 4.9 127.6 2020 52.6 44.1 21.0 2.5 4.8 125.0 2025 43.4 50.2 21.2 2.5 4.7 122.1
100
Base Case - Landfills
90
Reference - Landfills
80
Base Case - Natural Gas
70
Reference - Natural gas
60
Base Case - Coal
50
Reference - Coal
40
Base Case - Manure
30
Reference - Manure
20
Base Case - Oil
10
Reference - Oil
0 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year 2020 2025 2030
2000 Calibration Comments Calibration Deltas -15,685 Energy ratio Methane ratio Calibration Deltas -15,232
2005 Calibration Comments Energy ratio
EPA
Model
EPA
Model
-3,670 26,182 -1,492 -1,622 23,068 -1740 -176 1,797 30,456
23,761 19,616 19,616
28,798 20,765 23,687
82.5% 94.5% 82.8%
11766.0% 11214.5% 79.6%
-3,678 26,824 -1,429 -1,639 23,755 -1738 -160 2,948 31,504
23,761 19,616 19,616
29,546 22,440 27,726
80.4% 87.4% 70.7%
2025 367 919 2,648 45 567 319 319 1,042 185 0 12,153 716 0 158 408 19,847 1,458
2030 367 919 2,648 45 567 319 319 1,042 185 113 9,743 716 0 430 408 17,823 1,458
2035 367 919 2,648 45 567 319 319 1,042 185 151 12,688 716 0 430 408 20,805 1,458
1,266 5,079 0 0 1,384 649 2 2,408 12,246 32,093
1,266 5,079 0 0 1,384 649 2 2,408 12,246 30,069
1,266 5,079 0 0 1,384 649 2 2,408 12,246 33,051
EPA Baseline - Landfills
MARKAL Base Case - Landfills
EPA Baseline - Natural Gas
MARKAL Base Case - Natural gas
EPA Baseline - Coal
MARKAL Base Case - Coal
EPA Baseline - Manure
MARKAL Base Case - Manure
EPA Baseline - Oil
MARKAL Base Case - Oil
2025
2030
57.4 24.2 50.5 11.7
47.6 24.5 59.0 12.2
4.7 148.5
5.3 148.5
Landfills
AL Base Case - Landfills Natural Gas
AL Base Case - Natural gas
Coal
AL Base Case - Coal
Manure
AL Base Case - Manure
AL Base Case - Oil
d, But No Emission Constraint)
Base Case - Landfills Reference - Landfills Base Case - Natural Gas Reference - Natural gas Base Case - Coal Reference - Coal Base Case - Manure
Reference - Manure Base Case - Oil Reference - Oil
2030 33.5 57.4 21.4 2.6 5.3 120.2
Landfills Landfills Natural Gas Natural gas Coal
Coal
Manure Manure Oil
Oil
omments Methane ratio
15625.0% 11584.9% 89.4%
1990
2000 2002
2005
2015
2025
Crude Production in Mbpd L48 On L48 Off L48 Total 4.670 0.950 5.620 4.600 1.020 5.620 4.408 1.070 5.478 4.190 1.090 5.280 3.990 1.140 5.130 3.850 1.260 5.110 3.780 1.260 5.040 3.790 1.400 5.190 3.600 1.450 5.050 3.260 1.560 4.820 3.251 1.616 4.867 3.140 1.640 4.780 3.110 1.530 4.640 2.930 1.780 4.710 2.950 1.900 4.850 2.903 2.062 4.965 2.831 2.225 5.055 2.773 2.402 5.176 2.717 2.460 5.178 2.662 2.454 5.116 2.609 2.403 5.011 2.557 2.338 4.895 2.514 2.276 4.790 2.465 2.256 4.721 2.422 2.189 4.611 2.381 2.214 4.595 2.341 2.167 4.508 2.303 2.096 4.399 2.266 2.173 4.439 2.235 2.138 4.372 2.198 2.032 4.230 2.168 1.998 4.166 2.134 1.965 4.099 2.106 2.075 4.181 2.077 2.129 4.206 2.044 2.061 4.105
Alaska 1.770 1.800 1.710 1.580 1.560 1.480 1.400 1.300 1.175 1.050 0.967 0.963 0.985 0.979 0.947 0.895 0.880 0.912 0.934 0.938 0.922 0.923 0.923 0.935 0.953 0.935 0.908 0.870 0.824 0.766 0.724 0.674 0.627 0.579 0.541 0.509
Total 7.390 7.420 7.188 6.860 6.690 6.590 6.440 6.490 6.225 5.870 5.834 5.743 5.625 5.689 5.797 5.860 5.935 6.088 6.112 6.053 5.933 5.818 5.713 5.656 5.565 5.530 5.416 5.269 5.263 5.138 4.954 4.840 4.725 4.760 4.747 4.614
AEO 2004 Proje Petroleum Products Consumption in Mbpd %OFF Production Imports 0.128552 9.830 7.160 10.080 6.630 10.090 6.940 9.620 7.620 9.670 8.050 0.191199 9.830 7.890 9.810 8.500 9.460 9.160 9.160 9.760 9.610 9.910 0.276928 9.280 10.420 8.858 10.854 9.228 10.386 8.874 11.015 9.196 10.966 0.351848 9.313 11.531 9.419 11.875 9.627 12.061 9.688 12.402 9.645 12.733 0.404958 9.527 13.185 9.412 13.691 9.350 14.218 9.320 14.716 9.264 15.174 0.40041 9.252 15.548 9.138 15.986 9.040 16.419 9.107 16.670 9.038 17.047 0.410207 8.892 17.520 8.762 18.015 8.644 18.484 8.701 18.780 8.720 19.162 0.44674 8.592 19.707
AEO 2004 Projections ducts Consumption in Mbpd Consumption by sector Consumption Res & Comm Industrial Transportation Electric Generators 16.990 1.144 4.323 10.973 0.548 16.710 1.143 4.252 10.802 0.516 17.030 1.127 4.560 10.975 0.417 17.240 1.139 4.452 11.184 0.462 17.720 1.113 4.689 11.490 0.426 17.720 1.110 4.553 11.738 0.334 18.310 1.174 4.789 11.996 0.362 18.620 1.173 4.910 12.136 0.409 18.920 1.081 4.799 12.483 0.576 19.520 1.173 4.983 12.918 0.496 19.700 1.231 4.869 13.162 0.492 19.712 1.228 4.788 13.140 0.555 19.613 1.219 4.803 13.215 0.376 19.889 1.278 4.768 13.398 0.445 20.162 1.319 4.745 13.852 0.245 20.844 1.337 4.929 14.285 0.294 21.294 1.350 5.010 14.644 0.290 21.688 1.360 5.071 14.954 0.304 22.089 1.367 5.121 15.268 0.333 22.378 1.369 5.112 15.579 0.317 22.713 1.375 5.135 15.907 0.295 23.103 1.379 5.180 16.223 0.322 23.568 1.385 5.258 16.552 0.374 24.036 1.385 5.361 16.886 0.403 24.438 1.389 5.436 17.178 0.435 24.801 1.391 5.500 17.441 0.468 25.124 1.395 5.567 17.701 0.462 25.458 1.395 5.639 17.970 0.454 25.777 1.396 5.716 18.243 0.422 26.086 1.397 5.785 18.504 0.399 26.412 1.400 5.859 18.771 0.381 26.778 1.399 5.930 19.047 0.402 27.127 1.400 6.006 19.339 0.382 27.480 1.402 6.077 19.648 0.353 27.882 1.406 6.139 19.972 0.366 28.299 1.404 6.208 20.324 0.362
Total 16.988 16.714 17.080 17.237 17.718 17.735 18.321 18.628 18.938 19.570 19.754 19.712 19.613 19.889 20.162 20.844 21.294 21.688 22.089 22.378 22.713 23.103 23.568 24.036 24.438 24.801 25.124 25.458 25.777 26.086 26.412 26.778 27.127 27.480 27.882 28.299
Oil Price Scenarios (200 Reference 27.63 22.50 20.99 18.07 16.52 17.81 21.58 19.57 12.45 17.40 28.50 23.16 24.54 27.29 24.36 22.75 22.89 23.13 23.28 23.47 23.61 24.11 23.98 24.18 24.41 24.56 24.78 24.97 25.43 25.39 25.82 25.78 26.28 26.54 26.50 26.72
Oil Price Scenarios (2002 US$/bbl) High oil price Low oil price
24.54 27.29 24.36 30.71 31.11 31.54 32.02 32.49 32.80 33.30 33.41 33.56 33.71 33.83 33.86 34.04 34.17 34.29 34.33 34.45 34.60 34.71 34.79 34.90
24.54 27.29 24.36 16.46 16.32 16.35 16.35 16.36 16.36 16.68 16.32 16.44 16.64 16.51 16.78 16.48 16.85 16.39 16.82 16.33 16.40 16.46 16.50 16.49
Oil Price Scenarios (2002 USM$/PJ) Reference High oil price Low oil price 4.76 3.88 3.62 3.11 2.85 3.07 3.72 3.37 2.15 3.00 4.91 3.99 4.23 4.23 4.23 4.70 4.70 4.70 4.20 4.20 4.20 3.92 5.29 2.84 3.95 5.36 2.81 3.99 5.44 2.82 4.01 5.52 2.82 4.05 5.60 2.82 4.07 5.66 2.82 4.16 5.74 2.88 4.14 5.76 2.81 4.17 5.79 2.83 4.21 5.81 2.87 4.24 5.83 2.85 4.27 5.84 2.89 4.30 5.87 2.84 4.38 5.89 2.91 4.38 5.91 2.83 4.45 5.92 2.90 4.44 5.94 2.82 4.53 5.97 2.83 4.58 5.98 2.84 4.57 6.00 2.84 4.61 6.02 2.84
High Oil Price Ratio
1.350
1.389
1.377
1.330
1.306
Total Methane Emissions
Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
Table Name:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
Unit:
Total Methane Emissions
High O&G Price - Coal High O&G Price - Manure High O&G Price - Landfills High O&G Price - Oil
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU
Methane Options Run with Updated Mitigation Techs 10
1995 5686.01 6971.09 1507.64 0 0 -4.31 1022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1480.68 2739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 2000 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 0 27.13 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 32.43 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1675.48 2739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 2005 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 2.19 0 0 108.07 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 72.68 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 2010 5556.01 6189.09 1325.92 -104.25 -1783.89 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 23.71 0 0 156.46 0 -17.71 0 0 35.98 -17.87 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 3.87 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 289.52 19 4.73 15.16 23.69
Total Methane Emissions
Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 8.81 25,847 3,670 1,394 14,160 5,641 981 25,847 1.00 1.00
3.63 1.45 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,673 897 15,599 5,800 1025 26,994 1.00 1.02
3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.73 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 26,156 3,218 386 15,729 5,892 929 26,156 0.99 1.10
3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0.77 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 23,143 3,367 403 12,601 5,892 879 23,143 1.05 1.09
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2
AEO High Oil Prices Scenario (OILPHIG
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0.00 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0.00 0 0 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.00 114.46 0 -3.2 0 -40.08 32.43 0 0 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 19.25 0 0.02 175.52 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,936.81 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 50.22 15.15 0.14 236.29 -0.01 -17.71 -6.66 0 35.98 -62.34 0
PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV
0 0 0.00 1,421.36 1,478.23 2,735.58 -2.56 0.00 0 34.55 191.85 186.63 568.94 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0.00 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0
0 0 0.00 1,421.36 1,675.48 2,735.31 -2.56 -1.73 -35.08 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.20 0.00 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 1.36 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0
372.91 281.44 42.22 1,421.43 1,718.30 2,735.31 -2.56 -1.73 -35.08 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0.00 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 306.65 18.94 4.45 13.76 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.81 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17
736.16 555.59 83.34 1,510.32 1,825.56 2,906.04 -2.72 -1.73 -37.27 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 33.99 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0.15 470.25 19 4.73 20.23 23.69 3.80 2.50 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.50 0.83 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97
SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS
Total Methane Emissions Total
0 12.59 8.81
25,837 3,669 1,394 14,160 5,633 982
0 0 14.56
27,075 3,762 897 15,599 5,793 1025
0.74 14.36 14.37
26,417 3,537 386 15,729 5,836 929
0 0 14.56
23,570 3,684 403 12,404 6,200 879
High O&G Price - Coal Total High O&G Price - Manure Total High O&G Price - Landfills Total High O&G Price - Natural gas Total High O&G Price - Oil Total
Ck Total
25,837
27,075
26,417
23,570
un with Updated Mitigation Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
2015 4444.81 4951.27 1060.73 -265.05 -1720.24 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 51.03 15.37 0 251.51 0 -45.46 0 0 36.69 -17.87 0 1128.44 851.65 127.75 1642.67 1985.77 3161.09 -2.96 0 -40.54 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 0 419.17 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 2020 3333.6 3713.46 795.55 -404.08 -1492.49 0 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0 251.51 0 -108.85 0 0 36.69 -62.34 0 1559.28 1170.79 168.78 1876.1 2267.75 3609.97 -3.38 0 -46.3 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 54.05 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 43.85 8.63 2025 2222.4 2475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1221.37 0 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.05 251.39 0 -105.85 0 0 36.69 -172.99 0 2033.93 1512.89 201.77 2132.82 2577.6 4103.2 -3.84 0 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 7.73 0 2030 1111.2 1237.82 265.18 -418.74 -919.72 0 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.13 251.2 -0.03 -110.02 -14.04 0 36.69 -448.32 0 2520.53 1857.38 227.61 2451.59 2915.9 4714.58 -4.41 0 -60.46 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.31 673.52 18.88 4.75 47.49 17.66 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -586.34 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -108.13 -36.65 0 0 -385.98 0 2642.84 1920.44 203.85 3091.61 3164.82 5946.69 -5.56 -3.76 -76.26 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.82 673.02 18.88 4.75 47.49 0
3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0.79 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 13.74 22,274 3,474 419 10,788 6,746 847 22,274 1.06 1.09
3.85 0.53 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 90.43 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 21,829 3,661 433 9,187 7,704 844 21,829 1.00 0.99
3.85 1.9 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.97 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 13.23 21,316 3,708 441 7,583 8,757 827 21,316 0.99 0.98
3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 83.88 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 13.23 20,986 3,740 453 5,852 10,017 925 20,986 0.97 0.96
3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 30.81 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 20,447 3,278 464 3,795 12,118 793 20,447 0.95 0.98
EO High Oil Prices Scenario (OILPHIGH)
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -265.05 -1,690.57 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -0.07 -45.46 -38.77 0 36.69 -172.99 0.00 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -414.2 -1,418.64 0.00 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -0.20 -108.01 -110.51 0 36.69 -448.32 0.00 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -420.19 -1,177.20 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -0.20 -110.67 -110.51 0 36.69 -403.85 0.00 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -411.12 -858.02 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -0.20 -106.63 -110.51 0 36.69 -770.79 0.00 2035 0 0 0 -409.77 -563.36 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 0 -0.20 -106.03 -110.58 0 0 -506.09 0.00
Impact of High Oil and Ga
Methane Emissions (MMTCE)
1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,735.45 2,097.19 3,338.45 -3.12 -1.73 -42.81 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 88.71 103.83 345.48 53.28 287.55 920.7 0.87 633.07 18.9 4.73 35.57 23.69 3.84 0.44 2.35 82.40 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.60 1.01 0.19 85.56 4.07 271.82 377.4
1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,886.37 2,278.36 3,626.85 -3.39 0.00 -46.51 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 40.40 2.60 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 81.09 4.86 271.82 384.77
2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,119.79 2,560.74 4,076.36 -3.81 -2.58 -52.28 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 23.69 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 82.32 4.86 271.82 384.77
2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,380.99 2,874.79 4,576.28 -4.28 -2.89 -58.69 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 21.32 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 74.54 4.86 271.82 384.77
2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 2,868.29 3,155.39 5,516.02 -5.16 -3.49 -70.74 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 10.85 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 58.79 4.86 271.82 384.77
18,000 16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0
2000 2005
100 90 80
70 60
50 40 30 20
10
0 0 13.74
22,846 3,794 419 10,662 7,123 847
0 1.56 13.23
21,512 3,618 433 8,875 7,742 844
0 8.83 13.23
21,008 3,646 441 7,396 8,698 827
0 13.95 13.23
20,341 3,607 453 5,591 9,766 925
0.19 13.95 13.23
19,617 3,202 464 3,698 11,460 793
0 2000 2005
22,846
21,512
21,008
20,341
19,617
Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Oil
2000 89.3 33.2 21.0 5.1 5.9
High O&G Price - Landfills High O&G Price - Natural gas High O&G Price - Coal High O&G Price - Manure High O&G Price - Oil
89.3 33.2 21.5 5.1 5.9
Impact of High Oil and Gas Prices on Methane Emissions
Reference - Landfills
High O&G Price - Landfills
Reference - Natural gas
High O&G Price - Natural gas
Reference - Coal
High O&G Price - Coal
Reference - Manure
High O&G Price - Manure
Reference - Oil
High O&G Price - Oil
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Reference - Landfills
High O&G Price - Landfills
Reference - Natural gas High O&G Price - Natural gas Reference - Coal High O&G Price - Coal Reference - Manure High O&G Price - Manure Reference - Oil High O&G Price - Oil
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Year
MMTCE Units
2005 90.1 33.7 18.4 2.2 5.3 2010 72.2 33.7 19.3 2.3 5.0 2015 61.8 38.6 19.9 2.4 4.9 2020 52.6 44.1 21.0 2.5 4.8 2025 43.4 50.2 21.2 2.5 4.7 2030 33.5 57.4 21.4 2.6 5.3
90.1 33.4 20.3 2.2 5.3
71.0 35.5 21.1 2.3 5.0
61.1 40.8 21.7 2.4 4.9
50.8 44.3 20.7 2.5 4.8
42.4 49.8 20.9 2.5 4.7
32.0 55.9 20.7 2.6 5.3
Natural gas
Methane Emissison Levels for Reference Case (Voluntary Programs
1995 2000 2005 2010
Reference Case
METHAREF Red. Factor 10% 20% 30% 50% Methane Emission Reduction Targets MTHL10 10% MTHL20 20% MTHL30 30% MTHL50 50%
25,846 1 1 1 1 25,846 25,846 25,846 25,846
26,994 1 1 1 1 26,994 26,994 26,994 26,994
26,156 0.983 0.967 0.958 0.917 25,720 25,284 25,066 23,976
23,143 0.967 0.933 0.917 0.833 22,371 21,600 21,214 19,286
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 1995 5686.01 6971.09 1507.64 0 0 -4.31 1022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1480.68 2739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56
Methane Options Run with Updated Mitigation Techs 1
2000 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 0 27.13 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 32.43 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1675.48 2739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 2005 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 2.19 0 0 108.07 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 2010 5556.01 6189.09 1325.92 -104.25 -1783.89 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 23.71 0 0 156.46 0 -17.71 0 0 35.98 -17.87 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17
Total Methane Emissions
Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 8.81 25,847 3,670 1,394 14,160 5,641 981 25,847
52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 1.45 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,641 897 15,599 5,800 1025 26,962
43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 72.68 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.73 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 26,156 3,184 386 15,729 5,892 929 26,122
43.36 212.13 3.87 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 289.52 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0.77 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 23,143 3,331 403 12,601 5,892 879 23,107
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2
Methane Reduction Run with 10% Forced reduction 1
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,021.64 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 527.29 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,852.69 -112.59 0
PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PBMANLS2 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN
51.17 320 0.35 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0 -2.56 0 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.20 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00
50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.00 0.05 25.54 0 0 -3.2 0 -41.85 32.43 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0 -2.56 0 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.20 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.46 3.63 1.42 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00
49.84 336.58 0 0 0.00 0.2 106.43 -77.13 -0.03 -6.55 -14.04 -259.33 33.75 0 -17.87 0.00 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,434.18 1,733.71 2,759.85 0 -2.58 0 -1.75 -35.39 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0.31 68.42 18.94 4.45 10.04 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25
48.73 354.76 0 23.71 0.00 0.25 146.07 -252.21 -0.1 -17.71 -56.3 -259.33 35.98 0 -62.34 0.00 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,434.36 1,733.71 2,759.85 0 -2.58 0 -1.75 -35.39 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 0 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 1.26 285.14 19.00 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.80 2.50 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97
SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 8.81 25,846 3,670 1,393 14,160 5,641 981 25,846
20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,672 899 15,599 5,800 1025 26,994
19.41 29.44 15.67 0.76 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 25,720 2,856 386 15,660 5,888 929 25,720
17.84 29.44 12.5 0.83 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 22,371 2,782 403 12,418 5,888 879 22,371
Total Methane Emissions
10% reduction - Coal 10% reduction - Manure 10% reduction - Landfills 10% reduction - Natural gas 10% reduction - Oil
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1
Methane Reduction Run with 20% Forced reduction 1
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 -0.48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 538.74 50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.05 32.14 0 0 -3.2 0 -42.03 32.43 -17.87 0 0 0 0 0 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 1.14 0 0.20 107.59 -425.63 -0.03 -6.55 -14.04 -273.18 33.75 -62.34 -17.87 0 0 372.91 281.44 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -93.23 -1,760.40 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 50.15 0 0.24 112.99 -888.89 -0.1 -17.71 -56.72 -272.7 35.98 -172.99 -62.34 -18.05 0 736.16 555.59
Total Methane Emissions
20% reduction - Coal 20% reduction - Manure 20% reduction - Landfills 20% reduction - Natural gas 20% reduction - Oil
PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total
0 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0.00 -2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.55 191.85 186.50 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0.00 0.00 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0.00 0 13.78 8.81 25,846 3,670 1,394 14,160 5,641 981
0 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0.00 -2.56 0.00 0.00 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0.00 299.75 1,519.98 0.00 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 1.42 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0.00 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,678 910 15,581 5,800 1025
42.22 1,426.56 1,724.50 2,745.18 0.00 -2.57 0.00 -1.74 -35.20 24.36 95.82 335.80 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0.00 296.52 920.7 0.31 86.11 18.94 4.45 10.04 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.76 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 25,284 2,514 386 15,598 5,857 929
83.34 1,426.73 1,724.50 2,745.18 0.00 -2.57 0.00 -1.74 -35.20 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 2.01 108.55 345.48 0.00 302.96 920.7 1.27 288.26 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.50 0.83 0.29 77.50 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 14.56 21,600 2,141 403 12,320 5,857 879
Ck Total
25,846
26,994
25,284
21,600
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDC1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMIOCAP2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGDEMF32 PNGDSRC35 PNGPFLR16 PNGPGCD13 PNGPPDB11 PNGTCAT23 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTFLR29C PNGTGTR25 PNGTHTS29F PNGTIME28 PNGTLPD21 PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAOFA2
Methane Reduction Run with 50% Forced reduction 1
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 -0.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,423.22 1,480.48 2,739.16 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0.00 -2.56 0 0 0 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.55 0.00 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -43.13 -43.13 554.58 50.1 321.13 0 0 0.00 0.05 9.45 0.00 0.00 -3.20 0.00 -30.34 32.43 -17.87 0.00 -21.45 -6.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.22 1,675.48 2,738.91 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 -2.56 0 0 0 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -35.09 31.75 0.00 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0.14 0 0 0.00 0.00 -1,019.41 -0.03 -6.55 -14.04 -344.81 33.75 -62.34 -17.87 -48.81 -21.63 0.00 250.43 388.43 1,423.29 1,347.49 2,738.89 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 -2.56 -23.61 0 0 -1.73 0.00 0.00 -35.09 24.36 0.00 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -1,836.07 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0.17 30.41 0 0.00 0.00 -1,019.41 -0.05 -17.71 -40.22 -337.37 35.98 -172.99 -62.34 -83.75 -60.02 0.00 250.43 975.90 1,422.28 1,237.18 2,736.15 0.00 0.00 -10.49 0 -19.24 0 -2.56 -23.58 -1.04 -62.64 -1.73 0.00 -1.95 -35.09 21.01 -18.89
Total Methane Emissions
50% reduction - Coal 50% reduction - Manure 50% reduction - Landfills 50% reduction - Natural gas 50% reduction - Oil
POILAON1 POILAONF2 POILDOF1 POILDOFA2 POILDON1 POILDONF2 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNC SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPBLUN SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
191.85 0 186.51 0 568.6 0 52.67 292.20 0 0.00 135.70 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0 0.34 0 52.98 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 10.09 25,846 3,670 1,394 14,160 5,640 982 25,846
124.87 0 288.15 0 579.77 0 52.67 292.20 0 0.00 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1,519.98 0 0.00 14.94 3.39 40.78 9.61 3.63 0.15 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0 0.34 0 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 14.56 26,994 3,690 926 15,553 5,800 1025 26,994
95.82 0 335.8 0 473.36 0 43.67 212.13 0 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0.31 25.32 18.94 4.45 63.89 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.81 0.19 0 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0 0 14.37 23,976 1,744 386 15,469 5,447 929 23,976
82.65 -80.92 343.59 -301.93 373.71 -362.25 43.36 212.13 0.59 0 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 0 19 4.73 16.57 23.69 3.80 1.91 2.81 88.88 0.00 88.08 17.84 0.00 41.94 0.99 0 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 0 14.56 19,286 1,619 403 11,970 5,237 57 19,286
Table Name:
METHSUM
Methane Reduction Run with 30% Forced reduction 1
Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PBMANLS2 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMIOCAP2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGPFLR16 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTFLR29C PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILAONF2 POILDOF1 POILDON1 POILDONF2 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,021.64 51.17 320 0.35 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0 0 -2.56 0.00 0 0 0 34.55 191.85 0.00 186.50 568.56 0.00 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0
2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 531.15 50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.00 0.05 43.21 0.00 0.00 -3.20 0.00 -24.07 32.43 -17.87 0.00 -21.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0 0 -2.56 0 0 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 0.00 288.15 579.77 0.00 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0
2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0 5.26 0.00 0.21 107.59 -572.55 -0.03 -6.55 -14.04 -320.21 33.75 -62.34 -17.87 -48.81 0.00 0.00 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,423.46 1,720.75 2,739.21 0 0 -2.56 0 0 -1.73 -35.13 24.36 95.82 0.00 335.80 473.36 0.00 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0
2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -26.56 -1,785.13 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0 36.58 0.00 0.24 113.01 -1,150.97 -0.10 -17.71 -57.32 -350.10 35.98 -172.99 -62.34 -83.75 -3.16 0.00 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,423.63 1,720.75 2,739.21 0 0 -2.56 0 0 -1.73 -35.13 21.32 83.84 0.00 370.67 403.17 0.00 43.36 212.13 9.3 108.55 345.48 0
Total Methane Emissions
30% reduction - Coal 30% reduction - Manure 30% reduction - Landfills 30% reduction - Natural gas 30% reduction - Oil
SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
299.75 1,519.98 0.00 0 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0.00 0.00 13.78 8.81 25,846 3,670 1,393 14,160 5,641 1000 25,864
299.75 1,519.98 0.00 0 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.46 3.63 1.42 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.00 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.56 26,994 3,707 902 15,560 5,800 1045 27,015
296.52 920.70 0.31 115.78 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.76 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 14.37 25,066 2,358 386 15,549 5,844 949 25,085
302.96 920.70 1.28 288.24 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.50 0.83 0.29 77.50 4.71 271.82 353.97 0.00 14.03 14.56 21,214 1,861 403 12,226 5,844 901 21,236
ce Case (Voluntary Programs) (kt)
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
22,274 0.950 0.900 0.875 0.750 21,161 20,047 19,490 16,706
21,829 0.933 0.867 0.833 0.667 20,373 18,918 18,191 14,552
21,316 0.917 0.833 0.792 0.583 19,539 17,763 16,875 12,434
20,986 0.9 0.8 0.75 0.5 18,888 16,789 15,740 10,493
20,447 0.9 0.8 0.75 0.5 18,402 16,357 15,335 10,223
un with Updated Mitigation Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
2015 4444.81 4951.27 1060.73 -265.05 -1720.24 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 51.03 15.37 0 251.51 0 -45.46 0 0 36.69 -17.87 0 1128.44 851.65 127.75 1642.67 1985.77 3161.09 -2.96 0 -40.54 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 2020 3333.6 3713.46 795.55 -404.08 -1492.49 0 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0 251.51 0 -108.85 0 0 36.69 -62.34 0 1559.28 1170.79 168.78 1876.1 2267.75 3609.97 -3.38 0 -46.3 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 2025 2222.4 2475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1221.37 0 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.05 251.39 0 -105.85 0 0 36.69 -172.99 0 2033.93 1512.89 201.77 2132.82 2577.6 4103.2 -3.84 0 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 2030 1111.2 1237.82 265.18 -418.74 -919.72 0 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.13 251.2 -0.03 -110.02 -14.04 0 36.69 -448.32 0 2520.53 1857.38 227.61 2451.59 2915.9 4714.58 -4.41 0 -60.46 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -586.34 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -108.13 -36.65 0 0 -385.98 0 2642.84 1920.44 203.85 3091.61 3164.82 5946.69 -5.56 -3.76 -76.26 32.89 129.36 316.52 314
CH
Reference Scenario CO2 MTHAIR GHG 10% CH4 Reduction CO2 MTHAIR GHG 20% CH4 Reduction CO2 MTHAIR GHG 30% CH4 Reduction CO2 MTHAIR GHG 50% CH4 Reduction CO2 MTHAIR GHG
40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 0 419.17 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0.79 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 13.74 22,274 3,438 419 10,788 6,746 847 22,238
38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 54.05 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 43.85 8.63 3.85 0.53 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 90.43 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 21,829 3,624 433 9,187 7,704 844 21,792
38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 7.73 0 3.85 1.9 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.97 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 13.23 21,316 3,671 441 7,583 8,757 827 21,279
38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.31 673.52 18.88 4.75 47.49 17.66 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 83.88 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 13.23 20,986 3,703 453 5,852 10,017 925 20,950
38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.82 673.02 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 30.81 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 20,447 3,278 464 3,795 12,118 793 20,447
n Run with 10% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (MTHL10P)
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -206.42 -1,621.10 -108.28 0 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -399.75 -1,356.99 -60.78 0 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1,080.24 0.00 0 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -419.21 -840.7 0.00 0 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -516.84 0.00 0
47.05 371.69 0 51.03 5.79 0.36 250.67 -767.51 -0.13 -45.46 -70.71 -168.15 36.69 0.00 -172.99 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,642.70 1,985.06 3,159.95 0 -2.96 0 -2 -40.52 27.10 106.60 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 1.58 391.34 18.90 4.73 14.25 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.40 54.11 37.91
44.13 388.9 0 51.03 42.01 0.4 250.59 -992.23 -0.18 -108.85 -100.06 0.00 36.69 -4.56 -448.32 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,872.91 2,262.08 3,600.93 0 -3.37 0 -2.28 -46.18 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 20.36 276.66 920.70 2.24 671.60 18.88 4.75 47.49 6.67 3.85 0.53 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47
40.87 400.28 0 51.03 42.01 0.4 250.59 -1,068.35 -0.2 -105.85 -110.51 0.00 36.69 -29.21 -881.44 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,135.59 2,577.60 4,103.20 0 -3.84 0 -2.59 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.70 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 7.73 0.00 3.85 1.93 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47
37.66 414.98 0 51.03 42.01 0.4 250.59 -1,452.43 -0.2 -110.23 -110.51 0.00 36.69 -90.54 -770.79 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,429.61 2,915.90 4,669.83 0 -4.37 -27.3 -2.95 -59.89 32.89 129.36 324.9 322.32 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.70 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 19.62 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47
34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 -1,435.97 -0.2 -108.13 -110.58 0.00 0.00 -243.17 -506.09 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,044.85 3,155.39 5,855.81 -49.06 -5.48 -50.47 -3.7 -75.10 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.70 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.46 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47
15.57 29.44 13.6 0.85 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 13.74 21,161 2,490 419 10,662 6,742 847 21,161
15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 91.36 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 20,373 2,541 433 8,871 7,684 844 20,373
15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.19 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 13.23 19,539 2,528 441 6,986 8,757 827 19,539
15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 79.31 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 13.23 18,888 2,187 453 5,518 9,921 809 18,888
15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 35.22 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 18,402 1,772 464 3,501 11,872 793 18,402
Methane Reduction Scenarios: 1
18,000 16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000 12,000
10,000
n Run with 20% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (MTHL20P)
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -146.12 -1,540.35 -94.74 0 47.05 371.69 24.37 0 0.29 186.94 -1,204.93 -0.12 -45.46 -67.43 -231.15 36.69 -448.32 -172.99 -44.49 0 1,128.44 851.65 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -369.24 -1,135.37 -60.78 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,279.17 -0.15 -108.85 -80.7 0.00 36.69 -1,118.42 -448.32 -44.49 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -409.74 -751.20 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,420.08 -0.2 -106.02 -110.51 0.00 36.69 -1,675.97 -909.94 -44.49 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -418.85 -343.67 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,451.20 -0.2 -110.07 -110.51 0.00 36.69 -2,661.94 -770.79 -26.43 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -15.74 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 0 -1,435.98 -0.2 -108.13 -110.58 0 0.00 -2,862.27 -506.09 0.00 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44
8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
127.75 1,620.81 1,958.46 3,117.83 -30.45 -2.92 -26.87 -1.97 -39.98 27.10 106.60 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 88.58 103.83 345.48 0.00 287.55 920.7 1.51 302.73 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.60 1.01 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.40 0 6.85 13.74 20,047 1,922 419 10,264 6,595 847
168.78 1,868.90 2,257.23 3,593.22 0.00 -3.36 -30.97 -2.27 -46.08 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 43.04 96.04 345.48 0.00 276.66 920.7 1.81 500.85 18.88 4.75 44.71 8.17 3.85 0.75 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 97.25 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 18,918 2,070 433 7,934 7,637 844
201.77 2,135.70 2,577.60 4,103.20 0.00 -3.84 -35.36 -2.59 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 10.59 0.00 3.85 1.71 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.77 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 17,763 2,178 441 5,595 8,722 827
227.61 2,438.13 2,915.90 4,686.23 0.00 -4.38 -40.39 -2.96 -60.10 32.89 129.36 324.90 322.32 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 18.13 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 75.14 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 2.27 13.23 16,789 2,178 453 3,417 9,932 809
203.85 3,070.99 3,155.39 5,906.11 -49.06 -5.52 -50.90 -3.73 -75.74 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 32.94 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 16,357 1,770 464 1,383 11,948 793
100 90
80 Methane Emissions (MMTCE)
70 60 50 40
30
20 10 0
2000
20,047
18,918
17,763
16,789
16,357
on Run with 50% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (MTHL50P)
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -1,479.43 -108.28 0.00 47.05 371.69 0.16 0 0 0.00 0.00 -895.34 -0.06 -45.46 -47.04 -295.95 36.69 -448.32 -172.99 -128.33 -155.54 0.00 250.43 1,610.32 1,385.68 1,098.72 2,664.88 -2.63 -3.95 -10.49 -0.21 -17.08 -3.12 -2.49 -22.97 -1.01 -62.64 -1.69 -0.35 -1.90 -34.17 27.10 -24.37 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -1,051.96 -69.46 0.00 44.13 388.9 0.23 0 0 0.00 0.00 -1,030.39 -0.05 -103.18 -43.63 -340.98 36.69 -1,133.42 -448.32 -185.23 -393.23 0.00 250.43 2,294.19 1,514.75 1,233.90 2,911.18 -2.87 -4.31 -11.78 -0.24 -19.19 -3.12 -2.72 -25.09 -1.11 -68.43 -1.84 -0.39 -2.08 -37.33 32.89 -29.57 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -434.45 0.00 0.00 40.87 400.28 0 51.03 42.01 0.42 250.53 -1,051.48 -0.08 -105.91 -43.63 -348.02 36.69 -2,838.19 -922.41 -257.84 -984.68 0.00 725.08 2,620.40 1,864.87 1,751.80 3,581.29 -3.54 -2.99 -16.72 0 -27.24 0.00 -3.35 -30.87 -1.36 -84.18 -2.26 0.00 -2.56 -45.93 32.89 -29.57 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 0 0 0.00 37.66 414.98 0.42 50.05 42.01 0.00 251.51 -1,423.21 -0.21 -101.64 -117.42 -470.18 36.69 -4,005.37 -726.74 -222.91 -1,797.98 0.00 1,211.68 2,941.52 2,105.72 1,984.07 4,046.18 -3.99 -6.00 -18.93 0 -30.85 0.00 -3.78 -34.87 -1.54 -95.11 -2.56 0.00 -2.89 -51.89 32.89 -29.57 2035 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 -1,415.25 -0.14 -100.65 -117.57 -467.65 0.00 -2,514.56 -462.84 -178.33 -1,797.98 0.00 1,456.47 2,866.83 2,299.21 2,204.47 4,420.45 -4.36 -6.55 -21.04 -0.42 -34.28 0 -4.13 -38.10 -1.68 -103.91 -2.79 -0.59 -3.16 -56.69 32.89 -29.57
Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Oil
10% reduction - Landfills 10% reduction - Natural gas 10% reduction - Coal 10% reduction - Manure 10% reduction - Oil
20% reduction - Landfills 20% reduction - Natural gas 20% reduction - Coal 20% reduction - Manure 20% reduction - Oil
50% reduction - Landfills 50% reduction - Natural gas 50% reduction - Coal 50% reduction - Manure 50% reduction - Oil
106.6 -104.37 344.03 -309.67 369.73 -362.25 40.33 212.13 0.69 53.71 103.83 0 0 287.55 920.7 0 0 18.9 4.73 0.00 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.40 0.00 92.02 15.57 0.00 43.04 1.01 0 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 14.04 13.74 16,706 1,431 419 9,825 4,985 47 16,706
129.36 -126.65 327.34 -294.65 354.62 -347.45 38.35 212.13 0.64 0 96.04 345.48 0 276.66 920.7 0 0.00 18.88 4.75 0.00 23.69 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 0.00 95.58 15.27 0.00 44.84 1.02 0 0.11 97.25 4.86 271.82 384.77 0.93 13.95 13.23 14,552 1,488 433 7,106 5,479 46 14,552
129.36 -126.65 333.51 -300.2 330.85 -324.16 38.35 212.13 0.95 0 96.04 345.48 0 276.66 920.70 0 0.00 18.88 4.75 47.49 23.69 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 0.00 95.58 15.27 0.00 44.84 1.02 0.11 0 95.71 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 1.17 13.23 12,434 1,834 441 3,136 6,977 46 12,434
129.36 -126.65 324.9 -292.45 322.32 -315.80 38.35 212.13 0 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.70 2.63 671.21 18.88 4.75 15.79 0.76 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 0.00 95.58 15.27 0.00 44.84 1.02 0.11 0 59.8 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.36 13.23 10,493 2,097 453 14 7,884 45 10,493
129.36 -126.65 316.52 -284.91 314 -307.65 38.35 212.13 1.73 88.39 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.70 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 0.00 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 0.00 95.58 15.27 0.00 44.84 1.02 0 0.11 41.6 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 13.23 10,223 1,699 464 -630 8,646 44 10,223
on Run with 30% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (MTHL30P)
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -26.56 -1,524.31 -94.74 0 47.05 371.69 0 24.37 0.00 0.19 43.48 -1,194.27 -0.12 -45.46 -65.44 -364.46 36.69 -448.32 -172.99 -128.33 -14.05 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,618.77 1,653.37 3,113.90 0 -25.71 -2.91 -26.84 0 -1.97 -39.93 27.1 106.60 0.00 344.03 369.73 0.00 40.33 212.13 64.6 103.83 345.48 0
2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -28.76 -1,105.57 -60.78 0 44.13 388.9 0 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,103.05 -0.09 -108.18 -49.68 -331.93 36.69 -1,133.42 -448.32 -185.23 -41.16 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,837.82 2,011.78 3,533.39 0 -31.28 -3.3 -30.45 -1.34 -2.23 -45.31 32.89 129.36 0.00 327.34 354.62 0.00 38.35 212.13 43.04 96.04 345.48 0
2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -51.96 -560.22 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 0 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,436.36 -0.20 -108.13 -110.51 -414.99 36.69 -2,560.79 -909.94 -157.86 -41.16 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,135.70 2,577.60 4,103.20 0 0 -3.84 -35.36 0.00 -2.59 -52.62 32.89 129.36 0.00 333.51 330.85 0.00 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73
2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -89.31 -146.03 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 0 51.03 42.01 0.40 250.59 -1,438.49 -0.20 -108.41 -110.51 -372.95 36.69 -3,598.45 -770.79 -122.93 -108.62 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,416.56 2,915.90 4,644.72 0 0 -4.34 -40.03 0.00 -2.94 -59.56 32.89 129.36 0.00 324.90 322.32 0.00 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73
2035 0 0 0 -89.31 0 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1,435.98 -0.20 -108.13 -110.58 -372.23 0.00 -2,866.17 -506.09 -78.34 -276.49 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,022.59 3,128.48 5,812.97 -29.86 -48.65 -5.44 -50.1 0.00 -3.68 -74.55 32.89 129.36 -126.65 316.52 314.00 -307.65 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73
287.55 920.70 1.46 302.77 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.60 1.01 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.40 0.00 6.58 13.74 19,490 1,753 419 10,182 6,289 861 19,503
276.66 920.70 1.15 116.48 18.88 4.75 4.1 23.69 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 97.25 4.86 271.82 384.77 0.00 0.00 13.23 18,191 1,878 433 7,767 7,269 850 18,197
276.66 920.70 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85 0.64 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.92 4.86 271.82 384.77 0.00 0.00 13.23 16,875 2,138 441 4,747 8,722 832 16,880
276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 2.6 3.85 1.82 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 76.87 4.86 271.82 384.77 0.00 2.54 13.23 15,740 2,135 453 2,473 9,870 815 15,745
276.66 920.7 2.47 671.36 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 31.04 4.86 271.82 384.77 0.00 13.95 13.23 15,335 1,721 464 1,040 11,752 364 15,340
CH4 Only Emission Reduction Scenarios
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
ce Scenario 1,647 147 1,795 1,731 154 1,885 1,821 149 1,970 1,913 132 2,045 2,033 128 2,160 2,146 125 2,271 2,234 121 2,355 2,323 121 2,443 2,366 117 2,483
4 Reduction 1,647 147 1,795 1,725 154 1,879 1,820 147 1,967 1,913 128 2,041 2,032 121 2,152 2,150 116 2,266 2,238 111 2,350 2,371 108 2,479 2,429 105 2,534
4 Reduction 1,647 147 1,795 1,725 154 1,879 1,820 144 1,964 1,915 123 2,038 2,057 114 2,171 2,174 108 2,282 2,266 101 2,367 2,380 96 2,476 2,427 93 2,520
4 Reduction 1,647 147 1,795 1,725 154 1,879 1,822 143 1,965 1,920 121 2,041 2,053 111 2,165 2,149 104 2,253 2,265 96 2,361 2,383 90 2,473 2,462 87 2,549
4 Reduction 1,647 147 1,795 1,725 154 1,879 1,840 137 1,977 1,939 110 2,049 2,017 95 2,112 2,165 83 2,248 2,261 71 2,332 2,412 60 2,471 2,582 58 2,640
ne Reduction Scenarios: 10%, 20% and 50% Reductions
10% Methane Reduction
18,000 16,000
20% Methane Reduction
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000
4,000
2,000 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2000 2005
Year
50% Methane Reduction
18,000 16,000 Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000
0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
10% Methane Reduction
100 90 80 Methane Emissions (MMTCE) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2000
2005
Year
100
50% Methane Reduction
90 80 Methane Emissions (MMTCE) 70 60
50
40 30
20
10 0
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
MMTCE Units
2000 89.3 33.2 21.0 5.1 5.9 2005 90.1 33.7 18.4 2.2 5.3 2010 72.2 33.7 19.3 2.3 5.0 2015 61.8 38.6 19.9 2.4 4.9 2020 52.6 44.1 21.0 2.5 4.8 2025 43.4 50.2 21.2 2.5 4.7 2030 33.5 57.4 21.4 2.6 5.3
89.3 33.2 21.0 5.1 5.9
89.7 33.7 16.4 2.2 5.3
71.1 33.7 15.9 2.3 5.0
61.1 38.6 14.3 2.4 4.9
50.8 44.0 14.6 2.5 4.8
40.0 50.2 14.5 2.5 4.7
31.6 56.8 12.5 2.6 4.6
89.2 33.2 21.1 5.2 5.9
89.3 33.5 14.4 2.2 5.3
70.6 33.5 12.3 2.3 5.0
58.8 37.8 11.0 2.4 4.9
45.4 43.7 11.9 2.5 4.8
32.0 50.0 12.5 2.5 4.7
19.6 56.9 12.5 2.6 4.6
89.1 33.2 21.1 5.3 5.9
88.6 31.2 10.0 2.2 5.3
68.6 30.0 9.3 2.3 0.3
56.3 28.5 8.2 2.4 0.3
40.7 31.4 8.5 2.5 0.3
18.0 40.0 10.5 2.5 0.3
0.1 45.2 12.0 2.6 0.3
91,069 94.5% 5,972 5.5% 97,041
91,630 94.9% 5,680 5.1% 97,310
0.92749 1.078179
92,060 95.3% 5,404 4.7% 97,463
0.950885 1.051652
92,138 95.4% 5,265 4.6% 97,404
0.967999 1.033059
92,945 96.3% 4,575 3.7% 97,519
20% Methane Reduction
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Reference - Landfills
50% reduction - Landfills
Reference - Natural gas
50% reduction - Natural gas Reference - Coal 50% reduction - Coal Reference - Manure 50% reduction - Manure Reference - Oil
50% reduction - Oil
20% Methane Reduction
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Reference - Landfills 50% reduction - Landfills Reference - Natural gas
50% reduction - Natural gas Reference - Coal
50% reduction - Coal Reference - Manure 50% reduction - Manure
Reference - Oil 50% reduction - Oil
Combined CO2 and Methane Emission Scenarios
GHG Emission Level (Mt) Reference Case Results Reduction Factors 10% 20% 30% GHG Emission Reduction Targets GHGCAP10 10% GHGCAP20 20% GHGCAP30 30% Reference Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR GHG 10% GHG Reduction Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR GHG 20% GHG Reduction Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR GHG 30% GHG Reduction Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR GHG
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1,795 1 1 1 1,795 1,795 1,795
1,879 1 1 1 1,879 1,879 1,879
1,970 0.983 0.967 0.950 1,937 1,904 1,871
2,046 0.967 0.933 0.900 1,977 1,909 1,841
2,160 0.950 0.900 0.850 2,052 1,944 1,836
1,647 148 1,795
1,725 155 1,879
1,821 150 1,970
1,914 133 2,046
2,033 128 2,160
1,648 147 1,795
1,726 153 1,879
1,792 145 1,937
1,856 121 1,977
1,939 113 2,052
1,648 147 1,795
1,726 153 1,879
1,767 137 1,904
1,787 122 1,909
1,828 116 1,944
1,648 147 1,795
1,726 153 1,879
1,731 140 1,871
1,717 124 1,841
1,719 117 1,836
CO2 Only Emission Reduction Scenarios
CO2 Emission Level (Mt) Reference Case Results Reduction Factor 10% 20% CO2 Emission Reduction Targets CO2CAP10 10% CO2CAP20 20% 10% CO2 Reduction Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR GHG 20% CO2 Reduction Scenario Results CO2 MTHAIR
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1,647 1 1 1,647 1,647
1,725 1 1 1,725 1,725
1,821 0.983 0.967 1,790 1,760
1,914 0.967 0.933 1,850 1,786
2,033 0.950 0.900 1,932 1,830
1,647 147 1,794
1,725 153 1,878
1,790 147 1,937
1,850 129 1,979
1,932 120 2,052
1,647 147
1,725 153
1,760 146
1,786 131
1,830 124
GHG
1,794
1,878
1,906
1,917
1,954
GHG Reduction Scenarios - 10%, 20% and 30% Reductions
18,000 10% GHG Reduction 16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000
8,000
14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000
4,000 2,000
6,000
4,000
2,000 0 2000 2005
18,000
Methane Emissi
2,000 0
2010
2015 Year
2020
2025
2030
30% GHG Reduction
16,000 14,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
100 10% GHG Reduction
90
100 90 Methane Emissions (MMTCE) 2000 2005 100 30% GHG Reduction 90
Methane Emissions (MMTCE) 80
Methane Emissions (MMTCE)
80 70 60 50 40 30
20
80 70
60
50 40
30
20 10 0
10 0 2010 2015 Year 2020 2025 2030
2000
70 60 50 40 30 20
Methane Emission
20 10 0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
MMTCE Units
Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Oil 2000 89.3 33.2 21.0 5.1 5.9 2005 90.1 33.7 18.4 2.2 5.3 2010 72.2 33.7 19.3 2.3 5.0 2015 61.8 38.6 19.9 2.4 4.9 2020 52.6 44.1 21.0 2.5 4.8 2025 43.4 50.2 21.2 2.5 4.7
10% GHG reduction - Landfills 10% GHG reduction - Natural gas 10% GHG reduction - Coal 10% GHG reduction - Manure 10% GHG reduction - Oil
89.2 33.2 20.5 5.1 5.9
89.3 33.5 15.4 2.2 5.3
70.2 34.5 9.2 2.3 5.0
59.0 38.8 8.6 2.4 4.9
45.5 44.3 7.8 2.5 4.8
26.4 50.0 8.0 2.5 4.7
20% GHG reduction - Landfills 20% GHG reduction - Natural gas 20% GHG reduction - Coal 20% GHG reduction - Manure 20% GHG reduction - Oil
89.1 33.2 20.1 5.1 5.9
89.0 31.0 9.7 2.2 5.3
69.6 39.8 6.0 2.3 5.0
58.1 47.5 4.1 2.4 4.9
44.1 48.5 5.5 2.5 4.8
23.8 55.4 3.6 2.5 4.7
30% GHG reduction - Landfills 30% GHG reduction - Natural gas 30% GHG reduction - Coal 30% GHG reduction - Manure 30% GHG reduction - Oil
89.1 33.2 20.1 5.1 5.9
89.0 35.4 9.2 2.2 5.3
69.4 44.7 3.2 2.3 5.0
57.7 51.6 1.3 2.4 4.9
43.0 55.0 1.3 2.5 4.8
21.1 60.4 0.6 2.5 3.0
on Scenarios
2020 2025 2030 2035
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
2,273 0.933 0.867 0.800 2,122 1,970 1,819
2,363 0.917 0.833 0.750 2,166 1,969 1,772
2,474 0.9 0.8 0.7 2,226 1,979 1,732
2,499 0.9 0.8 0.7 2,250 2,000 1,750
2,149 125 2,273
2,241 122 2,363
2,354 120 2,474
2,383 117 2,499
91,336 5,985 97,292
97,321
2,018 104 2,122
2,075 91 2,166
2,141 85 2,226
2,156 94 2,250
86,752 5,268 92,020
92,020
1,865 105 1,970
1,879 90 1,969
1,899 80 1,979
1,922 78 2,000
81,607 5,138 86,745
86,745
1,713 106 1,819
1,685 87 1,772
1,661 71 1,732
1,677 73 1,750
76,378 5,097 81,475
81,475
Scenarios
2020 2025 2030 2035
2,149 0.933 0.867 2,006 1,862
2,241 0.917 0.833 2,054 1,868
2,354 0.9 0.8 2,119 1,883
2,383 0.9 0.8 2,145 1,906
2,006 115 2,121
2,054 110 2,164
2,119 112 2,231
2,145 113 2,258
86,340 5,734 92,074
92,074
1,862 117
1,868 111
1,883 110
1,906 110
81,335 5,744
87,079
1,979
1,979
1,993
2,016
87,079
-334 10,547
-3.2%
Total Methane Emissions Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
20% GHG Reduction
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Reference - Landfills 30% GHG reduction - Landfills Reference - Natural gas 30% GHG reduction - Natural gas Reference - Coal 30% GHG reduction - Coal Reference - Manure 30% GHG reduction - Manure Reference - Oil 30% GHG reduction - Oil
2030
Total Methane Emissions 10% GHG reduction - Coal 10% GHG reduction - Manure 10% GHG reduction - Landfills
10% GHG reduction - Natural gas 10% GHG reduction - Oil
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
20% GHG Reduction
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Year
Reference - Landfills 30% GHG reduction - Landfills
Reference - Natural gas
30% GHG reduction - Natural gas Reference - Coal 30% GHG reduction - Coal Reference - Manure 30% GHG reduction - Manure
30% GHG reduction - Manure
Reference - Oil 30% GHG reduction - Oil
2030 33.5 57.4 21.4 2.6 5.3
11.3 57.3 9.2 2.6 4.6
7.1 63.5 2.7 2.6 4.6
Total Methane Emissions 20% GHG reduction - Coal 20% GHG reduction - Manure 20% GHG reduction - Landfills 20% GHG reduction - Natural gas 20% GHG reduction - Oil
1.4 66.6 0.5 2.6 0.4
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
Total Methane Emissions 30% GHG reduction - Coal 30% GHG reduction - Manure 30% GHG reduction - Landfills 30% GHG reduction - Natural gas 30% GHG reduction - Oil
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS
Methane Options Run with Updated Mitigation Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
1995 5686.01 6971.09 1507.64 0 0 -4.31 1022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1480.68 2739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 2000 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 0 27.13 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 32.43 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1675.48 2739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 2005 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 2.19 0 0 108.07 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 72.68 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2010 5556.01 6189.09 1325.92 -104.25 -1783.89 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 23.71 0 0 156.46 0 -17.71 0 0 35.98 -17.87 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 3.87 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 289.52 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2015 4444.81 4951.27 1060.73 -265.05 -1720.24 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 51.03 15.37 0 251.51 0 -45.46 0 0 36.69 -17.87 0 1128.44 851.65 127.75 1642.67 1985.77 3161.09 -2.96 0 -40.54 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 0 419.17 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2020 3333.6 3713.46 795.55 -404.08 -1492.49 0 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0 251.51 0 -108.85 0 0 36.69 -62.34 0 1559.28 1170.79 168.78 1876.1 2267.75 3609.97 -3.38 0 -46.3 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 54.05 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 43.85 8.63 3.85
SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
1.24 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 25,838 4,230 1,394 14,160 5,641 413 25,838
1.45 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 26,979 4,206 897 15,631 5,836 410 26,979
2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.73 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 26,141 3,643 386 15,721 5,970 421 26,141
2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0.77 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 23,128 3,719 403 12,554 6,011 440 23,128
2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0.79 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 22,261 3,794 419 10,697 6,914 437 22,261
0.53 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 90.43 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 21,815 3,965 433 9,055 7,919 443 21,815
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMIOCAP2
GHG Reduction Run with 10% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (GHGCAP1P)
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0.00 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0.04 0.00 0 0 -3.2 0 -42.14 20.17 -17.87 0 0 0 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0 0.04 0.00 0 -0.02 -6.55 -11.42 -188.41 15.07 -62.34 -17.87 0 0 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,839.92 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0 0.04 0.00 -865.36 -0.02 -17.71 -11.42 -188.41 8.2 -172.99 -62.34 0 0 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -255.89 -1,548.86 -94.74 0 47.05 371.69 0 0.02 0.00 -865.36 -0.02 -45.46 -11.42 -5.27 0 -448.32 -172.99 0.00 0 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -250.25 -1,128.22 -69.46 0 44.13 388.9 0 0.04 0.00 -865.36 -0.01 -108.83 -4.71 0.00 0.00 -1,133.42 -448.32 -21.45 0.00
PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0 -2.56 -0.21 0 0 12.09 67.17 228.86 697.68 52.67 292.20 0 128.17 551.93 299.75 1,519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.66 3.63 2.25 2.88 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 16.12 7.33 25,864 3,664 1,394 14,160
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0 -2.56 -0.31 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.20 0 117.84 514.53 299.75 1,519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.46 3.63 2.70 3.59 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 5.53 12.35 26,885 3,583 897 15,581
0.00 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,423.46 1,720.75 2,739.21 0 -2.56 0 -1.73 -35.13 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 296.52 920.7 0.26 0 18.94 4.45 10.04 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.55 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 211.58 0.93 14.36 14.37 25,442 2,684 386 15,598
0.00 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,467.41 1,773.67 2,823.45 0 -2.64 0 -1.79 -36.21 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 0 108.55 345.48 302.96 920.7 0.26 0 19.00 4.73 12.32 23.69 3.80 2.50 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 158.04 0 14.03 14.56 21,166 1,601 403 12,258
0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,648.71 1,992.34 3,171.54 0 -2.97 0 -2.01 -40.67 27.10 106.60 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 0 103.83 345.48 287.55 920.7 0.26 0 18.90 4.73 14.26 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.40 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 86.02 0 14.04 13.74 19,841 1,508 419 10,300
0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,892.07 2,285.08 3,637.80 -35.53 -3.4 0 -2.3 -46.65 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 0 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.70 0.11 0.00 18.88 4.75 41.31 9.83 3.85 1.74 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0 0.11 97.25 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 13.23 18,311 1,366 433 7,941
Total Total Ck Total
5,641 1006 25,864
5,800 1025 26,885
5,844 929 25,442
6,024 879 21,166
6,767 847 19,841
7,727 844 18,311
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDC1 PCABMUDC1 PCAMMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMIOCAP2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTHTS29F PNGTLPD21 PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILAONF2 POILDOF1 POILDON1 POILDONF2 SCCABHS
GHG Reduction Run with 20% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (GHGCAP20P)
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0.00 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0.00 -2.56 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.09 67.17 0.00 228.86 697.68 0 52.67 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0.00 0.01 0 0 -3.2 0 -24.32 -17.87 0 -21.45 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0.00 -2.56 -1.57 0.00 0.00 -35.13 31.75 124.87 0.00 288.15 579.77 0 52.67 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0 0 0.01 -698.67 -0.01 -6.55 -2.53 -252.78 -62.34 -17.87 -48.81 -3.43 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,423.46 1,294.27 2,739.21 0.00 -2.56 0 -1.73 0.00 -35.13 24.36 95.82 0.00 335.8 473.36 0 43.67 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,854.96 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0 0 0.01 -698.67 -0.01 -17.71 -2.53 -111.58 -172.99 -62.34 -83.75 -14.73 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,716.95 2,008.24 3,303.68 -31.23 -3.09 0 -2.09 0.00 -42.37 21.32 83.84 0.00 370.67 403.17 0 34.66 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -194.89 -1,510.78 -108.28 0 47.05 371.69 0 0.01 0.00 -675.18 -0.01 -45.46 -1.71 0 -448.32 -172.99 -128.33 -42.84 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 2,112.90 2,210.85 4,064.82 -34.38 -3.80 0 -2.57 0.00 -52.13 27.10 106.60 0.00 344.03 369.73 0 26.02 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -201.68 -1,096.89 -69.46 0 44.13 388.9 0 0.02 0.00 -698.67 -0.01 -88.16 -3.28 0.00 -1,133.42 -448.32 -185.23 -112.80 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 2,113.97 2,381.96 4,064.82 -37.04 -3.80 0.00 -2.57 0.00 -52.13 32.89 129.36 0.00 327.34 354.62 0 28.87
SCCABHU SCCABHUNC SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCAMMUNC SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
292.20 0.00 128.17 551.93 299.75 1,519.98 0.00 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.66 0 3.63 2.7 2.88 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0.00 16.12 5.19 25,863 3,662 1,394 14,160 5,641 1006 25,863
292.20 0.00 105.49 451.33 299.75 1,519.98 0 14.94 3.39 0.00 31.46 0 3.63 2.7 3.36 80.53 73.92 0.00 20.85 48.78 0.00 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0.00 16.12 11.47 26,794 3,514 897 15,560 5,799 1025 26,794
212.13 0 205.07 345.48 296.52 920.7 0 16.13 4.45 9.97 23.69 0.04 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 0.93 14.36 12.70 23,977 1,698 386 15,545 5,418 929 23,977
212.13 0 0.00 0.00 220.1 920.7 0 0 4.15 11.75 23.69 0.04 3.8 2.5 2.25 63.12 54.11 27.38 12.49 29.44 3.12 0.22 77.50 4.71 271.82 0.00 11.07 0.00 21,433 1,056 403 12,145 6,950 879 21,433
175.89 0 0.00 0.00 0 911.63 0 0 0 14.15 23.69 0.04 3.84 1.29 1.77 0.00 54.11 20.30 8.88 29.44 0.31 0.10 88.21 4.07 271.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 20,433 718 419 10,153 8,296 847 20,433
199.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 188.36 920.7 0.07 0 0 47.07 6.72 0 3.85 2.00 1.89 53.37 54.11 34.32 10.64 29.44 5.33 0.10 97.25 4.86 271.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 18,406 968 433 7,695 8,465 844 18,406
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCAMLUDC1 PCAMMUDC1
GHG Reduction Run with 30% Forced reduction 10-20-04 (GHGCAP30P)
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0.00 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0.01 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0 0.01 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -48.77 -1,854.96 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0.01 0 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -48.77 -1,510.78 -108.28 0 47.05 371.69 0 0 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -43.14 -1,096.89 -69.46 0 44.13 388.9 0 0
PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH1 PLFMIOCAP2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGDEMF32 PNGDSRC35 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTGTR25 PNGTHTS29F PNGTLPD21 PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAOFA2 POILAON1 POILAONA2 POILDOF1 POILDOFA2 POILDON1 POILDONF2 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMLUNC SCCAMMU SCCAMMUNC SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN
0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.56 -0.22 0 0 0 0.00 12.09 0 67.17 0 228.86 0.00 697.68 0.00 52.67 292.20 128.17 551.93 299.75 1,519.98 14.94 3.39 0 0.00 31.66 0.00 3.63 2.70 2.88 80.53 73.92 0
0.00 0.00 -3.20 0.00 -24.28 -17.87 0.00 -21.45 -3.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.56 -1.64 0 0 0 -35.13 31.75 0 124.87 0 288.15 0.00 579.77 0.00 52.67 292.20 102.72 451.33 299.75 1,519.98 14.94 3.39 0.00 0.00 31.62 0.00 3.63 2.70 3.36 80.53 73.92 0
-313.06 0.00 -6.55 -1.91 -199.45 -62.34 -17.87 -48.81 -15.72 0.00 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,614.71 1,525.37 3,107.26 0.00 0.00 -23.72 -2.91 0.00 0 -1.96 0 -39.85 24.36 0 95.82 0 335.80 0.00 473.36 0.00 38.06 207.09 133.42 0 249.21 920.7 0 4.45 10.30 0.00 23.69 0.03 3.78 2.57 2.64 69.38 54.11 24.25
-313.06 0.00 -17.71 -1.91 -48.37 -172.99 -62.34 -83.75 -45.32 0.00 736.16 555.59 83.34 2,010.77 2,008.24 3,869.11 0.00 0.00 -31.23 -3.62 0.00 0 -2.45 0 -49.62 21.32 0 83.84 0 370.67 0.00 403.17 0.00 30.26 187.62 0 0 154.1 84.23 0 0 11.74 0.00 23.69 0.03 3.8 0.49 0 0 54.11 21.14
-174.82 0.00 -22.23 -0.58 -2.41 -448.32 -172.99 -128.33 -118.97 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 2,329.55 2,301.09 4,481.77 0.00 0.00 -35.78 -4.19 0.00 0 -2.83 0 -57.48 27.1 0.00 106.60 0 344.03 0.00 369.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 39.71 0.05 9.67 0 3.84 1.86 0 0 54.11 7.03
-148.01 0.00 -19.17 0.00 0.00 -1,133.42 -448.32 -185.23 -302.23 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 2,467.32 2,490.08 4,744.83 0.00 0.00 -38.72 -4.44 0.00 0 -3 0 -60.85 32.89 0.00 129.36 0.00 327.34 0.00 354.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 47.49 0.00 6.5 0 3.85 1.53 0 0 2.51 0
SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
20.85 48.78 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 16.12 5.19 25,863 3,662 1,394 14,160 5,641 1006 25,863
20.85 48.78 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0.83 16.12 11.47 26,789 3,513 897 15,556 5,799 1025 26,789
15.24 29.44 5.63 0.16 67.03 4.59 271.82 0.1 14.36 0 24,632 1,605 386 15,533 6,179 929 24,632
11.33 29.44 1.91 0.19 77.5 4.71 271.82 0 11.9 0 21,748 550 403 12,114 7,801 879 21,748
0 4 0 0.07 88.21 4.07 271.82 0 0 0 20,591 236 419 10,077 9,012 847 20,591
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.25 4.86 271.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 18,604 225 433 7,506 9,595 844 18,604
Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
2025 2222.4 2475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1221.37 0 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.05 251.39 0 -105.85 0 0 36.69 -172.99 0 2033.93 1512.89 201.77 2132.82 2577.6 4103.2 -3.84 0 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 7.73 0 3.85 2030 1111.2 1237.82 265.18 -418.74 -919.72 0 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.13 251.2 -0.03 -110.02 -14.04 0 36.69 -448.32 0 2520.53 1857.38 227.61 2451.59 2915.9 4714.58 -4.41 0 -60.46 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.31 673.52 18.88 4.75 47.49 17.66 3.85 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -586.34 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -108.13 -36.65 0 0 -385.98 0 2642.84 1920.44 203.85 3091.61 3164.82 5946.69 -5.56 -3.76 -76.26 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.82 673.02 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85
1.9 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.97 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 21,302 3,989 441 7,418 9,012 443 21,302
2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 83.88 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 20,973 4,068 453 5,661 10,305 486 20,973
2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 30.81 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 20,434 3,578 464 3,591 12,398 403 20,434
tion 10-20-04 (GHGCAP1P)
2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -250.59 -518.12 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 0 0.11 0.00 -866.51 -0.02 -108.97 -4.71 0.00 25.11 -2,838.19 -961.65 -48.81 0.00 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -284.62 0 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 24.37 0.23 108.35 -984.69 -0.06 -109.06 -26.61 0.00 36.69 -4,400.85 -770.79 -83.75 0.00 2035 0 0 0 -336.8 0 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0.00 0.00 -1,166.31 -0.12 -106.37 -63.74 0.00 0.00 -2,816.19 -506.09 -128.33 -6.20
0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,142.84 2,577.60 4,116.55 -40.08 -3.85 0 -2.6 -52.79 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 0 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.70 0.23 0.00 18.88 4.75 47.49 7.84 3.85 0.03 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0 0.11 93.53 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 13.23 16,004 1,389 441 4,610
0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,510.66 2,789.30 4,825.81 -43.37 -4.51 0 -3.05 -61.89 32.89 129.36 324.9 322.32 38.35 212.13 0 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.70 0.69 0.00 18.88 4.75 47.49 8.62 3.85 0.56 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0 0.11 81.63 4.86 271.82 263.33 0 0 13.23 14,851 1,612 453 1,964
0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,185.04 3,206.09 6,125.60 -49.85 -5.73 0 -3.87 -78.56 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 43.04 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.70 1.43 290.30 18.88 4.75 16.70 0.00 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 21.68 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 1.16 13.23 16,480 1,534 464 1,310
8,738 827 16,004
10,013 809 14,851
12,379 793 16,480
ion 10-20-04 (GHGCAP20P)
2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -170.28 -478.12 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 0 0.02 0.00 -589.13 -0.01 -73.41 -4.1 0.00 -2,838.19 -961.65 -257.84 -286.89 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,463.60 2,577.60 4,733.82 -40.08 -4.43 0.00 -2.99 0.00 -60.71 32.89 129.36 0.00 333.51 330.85 0 24.72 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -134.25 0 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 0.02 0 0.00 -463.53 -0.01 -56.93 -4.39 0.00 -4,134.08 -770.79 -350.53 -720.08 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,836.60 2,915.90 5,453.07 -45.34 -5.10 0.00 -3.45 0.00 -69.93 32.89 129.36 0.00 324.9 322.32 0 0 2035 0 0 0 -200.16 0 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0.00 -693.52 -0.01 -86.49 -4.71 0.00 -2,552.51 -506.09 -392.00 -1,797.98 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,100.64 3,174.93 5,963.14 -49.37 -5.58 0.00 -3.77 -4.26 -76.47 32.89 129.36 -126.65 316.52 314 -215.87 35.83
194.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 666.7 0.09 0 0 41.56 10.93 0 3.85 0.72 2.17 0.00 54.11 41.47 9.64 29.44 8.03 0.11 97.25 4.86 271.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,714 625 441 4,154 9,667 827 15,714
194.42 0.00 0 0 0 378.77 0.1 0 0 47.49 8.53 0 3.85 0.13 2.17 0.00 54.11 41.47 0.00 29.44 11.60 0.11 84.56 4.86 271.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 14,062 474 453 1,244 11,082 809 14,062
212.13 0.07 71.48 0 244.67 920.7 0 0 4.03 17.62 0.00 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 75.37 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0.11 15.03 4.86 271.82 0.00 7.06 10.95 13,603 1,071 464 -481 12,099 450 13,603
ion 10-20-04 (GHGCAP30P)
2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -7.97 -478.12 0.00 0 40.87 400.28 0 0 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 0 -17.8 0.00 0 37.66 414.98 0 0 2035 0 0 0 -1.75 0 0.00 0 34.32 429.67 0 0
-27.28 0.00 -3.55 0.00 0.00 -2,838.19 -961.65 -257.84 -758.26 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,726.65 2,694.59 5,240.02 0.00 0.00 -41.90 -4.90 0.00 0 -3.31 -3.74 -67.20 32.89 0.00 129.36 0.00 333.51 0.00 330.85 -307.65 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 47.49 0.00 7.73 0 3.85 0.74 0 0 0.00 0
-42.32 0.00 -5.50 0.00 -14.18 -4,041.02 -770.79 -350.53 -1,797.98 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 3,017.59 3,085.46 5,800.38 0.00 0.00 -47.98 -5.42 0.00 -136.34 -3.67 -4.14 -74.39 32.89 -29.57 129.36 -122.93 324.90 -284.91 322.32 -307.65 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 22.25 0 22.16 0 3.85 0 0 0 0.00 0
-5.97 0.00 -0.78 0.00 0.00 -2,475.70 -506.09 -468.81 -1,797.98 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,329.80 3,378.42 6,403.08 -6.32 -9.48 -52.53 -5.99 0.00 -150.51 -4.05 -4.57 -82.11 32.89 -29.57 129.36 -122.93 316.52 -284.91 314.00 -307.65 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 6.65 0 3.71 0 2.64 0 0 0 0.00 0
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.65 4.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,288 105 441 3,683 10,540 519 15,288
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.27 4.86 32.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 12,471 81 453 242 11,631 64 12,471
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.82 4.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12,856 30 464 -481 12,796 48 12,856
CO2 Emission under the Methane Reduction Runs
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference 1995 1,647 102,859 684,327 253,563 17,101 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1 2000 1,728 79,784 690,348 269,585 20,015 112,194 556,862 1,729 -1 2005 1,829 66,615 725,313 291,325 22,925 113,159 610,175 1,830 -1 New METHACAL Run 8-23-04 2010 2015 2020 1,927 2,042 2,164 70,350 75,094 80,420 739,389 802,340 858,676 326,196 353,818 389,031 24,511 26,919 30,361 115,031 116,688 119,851 652,209 668,139 686,437 1,928 2,043 2,165 -1 -1 -1 METHRF7 2015 2,033 75,094 806,151 346,512 20,731 116,689 668,139 2,033 -1 MTHL10Z 2015 2,031 75,094 803,979 346,368 21,238 116,702 668,139 2,032 -1 MTHL20Z 2015 2,053 75,094 806,447 345,663 41,776 116,702 668,139 2,054 -1 MTHL30Z 2015 2,052 75,094 805,785 2025 2,256 86,491 894,800 430,432 35,106 123,665 686,519 2,257 -1 2030 2,348 93,109 908,541 466,591 41,429 127,599 711,852 2,349 -1
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 691,261 271,249 20,068 112,194 556,862 1,731 -1
2005 1,821 66,615 721,601 286,520 23,743 113,159 610,175 1,822 -1
2010 1,913 70,350 733,516 320,213 22,453 115,032 652,209 1,914 -1
2020 2,146 80,420 860,955 380,325 18,568 119,851 686,437 2,147 -1
2025 2,234 86,491 901,644 420,488 16,250 123,665 686,519 2,235 -1
2030 2,323 93,109 924,358 455,440 11,994 127,599 711,852 2,324 -1
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 691,261 271,248 20,068 112,194 556,862 1,731 -1
2005 1,821 66,615 721,307 286,190 24,024 113,159 610,175 1,821 -1
2010 1,913 70,350 733,121 320,075 22,863 115,045 652,209 1,914 -1
2020 2,146 80,420 861,679 380,069 18,931 119,851 686,437 2,147 -1
2025 2,234 86,491 901,682 420,378 16,442 123,665 686,519 2,235 -2
2030 2,343 93,109 929,503 455,133 27,283 127,599 711,852 2,344 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 691,207 271,250 20,069 112,194 556,862 1,731 -1
2005 1,821 66,615 721,239 286,479 24,302 113,159 610,175 1,822 -1
2010 1,914 70,350 733,351 319,993 23,315 115,045 652,209 1,914 -1
2020 2,171 80,420 862,866 380,016 42,337 119,851 686,437 2,172 -1
2025 2,261 86,491 902,695 420,411 43,015 123,665 686,519 2,263 -2
2030 2,353 93,109 922,860 455,561 44,087 127,599 711,852 2,355 -2
CO2 COC COE
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306
2000 1,731 79,784 691,202
2005 1,823 66,615 722,420
2010 1,919 70,350 738,943
2020 2,146 80,420 837,708
2025 2,260 86,491 901,162
2030 2,352 93,109 921,515
COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
271,237 20,071 112,194 556,862 1,731 -1
286,333 24,453 113,159 610,175 1,823 -1
319,841 23,541 115,045 652,209 1,920 -1
345,538 41,637 116,702 668,139 2,053 -1 MTHL50Z 2015 2,013 75,348 764,139 339,633 50,252 116,702 668,134 2,014 -1 GHGCAP1Z 2015 1,939 75,094 736,776 345,783 21,243 116,702 644,091 1,940 -1 GHGCAP2Z 2015 1,828 74,608 631,417 348,055 21,051 116,702 637,139 1,829 -1 GHGCAP3Z 2015 1,719 75,094 543,607 349,306 20,569 116,702 614,618 1,720 -1
379,645 42,788 119,851 686,437 2,147 -1
420,354 43,050 123,665 686,519 2,261 -2
455,507 44,078 127,599 711,852 2,354 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,648 102,859 684,115 253,908 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 692,810 269,748 20,066 112,194 556,862 1,731 -1
2005 1,840 66,615 722,395 286,147 42,297 113,159 610,166 1,841 -1
2010 1,946 70,350 740,123 319,085 50,129 115,045 652,209 1,947 -1
2020 2,154 79,902 847,138 371,735 50,269 119,851 686,437 2,155 -1
2025 2,259 86,123 900,041 411,714 53,199 123,665 686,519 2,261 -2
2030 2,383 92,215 947,281 447,684 58,204 127,599 711,852 2,385 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 691,257 271,847 20,069 112,194 556,862 1,732 -1
2005 1,793 66,615 693,997 286,067 23,918 113,159 610,175 1,794 -1
2010 1,856 70,350 687,971 319,670 23,277 115,077 640,586 1,857 -1
2020 2,015 79,344 774,026 377,255 18,767 119,851 646,515 2,016 -1
2025 2,068 85,327 775,552 417,366 16,105 123,665 651,625 2,070 -2
2030 2,112 91,990 760,608 451,900 12,240 127,599 669,768 2,114 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 690,801 271,830 20,066 112,194 556,862 1,732 -1
2005 1,768 66,615 668,648 285,864 24,494 113,159 610,175 1,769 -1
2010 1,787 70,350 627,512 315,571 23,107 115,077 636,045 1,788 -1
2020 1,864 78,858 651,017 377,885 18,601 119,851 619,501 1,866 -1
2025 1,877 84,206 614,313 416,517 15,821 123,665 624,578 1,879 -2
2030 1,881 90,869 559,961 450,884 12,075 127,599 641,824 1,883 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 690,801 271,830 20,066 112,194 556,862 1,732 -1
2005 1,734 66,615 634,616 285,861 24,455 113,159 610,146 1,735 -1
2010 1,717 70,350 570,364 315,883 23,002 115,077 623,221 1,718 -1
2020 1,710 78,390 523,823 377,761 17,988 119,851 593,656 1,711 -1
2025 1,680 80,315 454,356 413,064 15,296 123,665 595,687 1,682 -2
2030 1,637 80,748 397,648 440,616 11,441 127,599 613,167 1,671 -35
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 691,262 271,846 20,068 112,194 556,862 1,732 -1
2005 1,791 66,615 691,772 286,132 23,743 113,159 610,175 1,792 -1
2010 1,849 70,350 681,339 319,951 22,378 115,077 640,571 1,850 -1
CO2CAP1Z 2015 1,931 75,094 729,568 345,795 20,587 116,702 644,077 1,932 -1 CO2CAP2Z 2015 1,829 75,094 631,645 348,930 20,544 116,702 637,139 1,830 -1
2020 2,003 79,344 764,422 377,981 18,118 119,851 644,459 2,004 -1
2025 2,048 85,327 758,028 417,508 15,524 123,665 649,584 2,050 -2
2030 2,091 91,990 741,670 452,181 11,591 127,599 667,727 2,093 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total Difference
1995 1,647 102,859 684,306 253,561 17,103 104,703 485,440 1,648 -1
2000 1,731 79,784 690,805 271,843 20,068 112,194 556,862 1,732 -1
2005 1,761 66,615 661,633 286,255 23,774 113,159 610,175 1,762 -1
2010 1,786 70,350 626,494 316,428 22,400 115,077 636,045 1,787 -1
2020 1,860 79,344 645,719 378,792 18,080 119,851 619,501 1,861 -1
2025 1,862 84,400 598,110 417,633 15,446 123,665 624,578 1,864 -2
2030 1,858 91,063 536,230 451,638 11,499 127,599 641,824 1,860 -2
2035 2,394 100,316 889,482 499,687 43,559 131,677 730,670 2,395 -1
2035 2,366 100,316 910,043 487,680 6,987 131,677 730,670 2,367 -2 Difference (MTHL10Z - METHRF7) 2005 2010 2015 2020 0 0 -2 1 0 0 0 0 -294 -395 -2,172 724 -330 -138 -144 -256 280 410 507 363 0 13 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 1
2035 2,408 100,316 913,341 487,478 46,329 131,677 730,670 2,410 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total
1995 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2000 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0
2025 0 0 39 -110 193 0 0 0
2035 2,410 100,316 914,628 487,727 46,360 131,677 730,670 2,411 -2
CO2 COC COE COI COM COR COT Sector Total
1995 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2000 0 0 -54 1 2 0 0 0
Difference (MTHL10Z - METHRF7) 2005 2010 2015 2020 0 0 20 25 0 0 0 0 -362 -165 296 1,911 -41 -220 -848 -309 559 861 21,045 23,769 0 13 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 25
2025 27 0 1,051 -77 26,765 0 0 28
2035 2,447 100,316 930,482
CO2 COC COE
1995 0 0 0
2000 0 0 -59
Difference (MTHL10Z - METHRF7) 2005 2010 2015 2020 1 6 19 0 0 0 0 0 819 5,427 -366 -23,248
2025 26 0 -482
487,049 68,392 131,677 730,670 2,449 -2
COI COM COR COT Sector Total
0 0 0 0 0
-12 3 0 0 0
-187 710 0 0 1
-372 1,087 13 0 6
-974 20,906 13 0 20
-680 24,220 0 0 0
-134 26,800 0 0 26
2035 2,438 99,478 926,592 483,079 68,195 131,677 730,670 2,440 -2
2035 2,141 99,240 731,364 483,487 7,559 131,677 689,670 2,143 -2
18,000
16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000 12,000 10,000
8,000
2035 1,932 98,605 550,792 481,659 7,958 131,677 663,203 1,934 -2
6,000 4,000 2,000
0
2035 1,683 86,376 387,382 469,172 6,163 131,677 637,110 1,718 -35
2000
2005
2035 2,129 99,240 720,344 483,012 6,774 131,677 689,670 2,131 -2
18,000 16,000
14,000
2035 1,893 98,313 512,983 482,642 6,745 131,677 662,422 1,895 -2
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000
4,000
2,000 0
2000
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABHUDV1 PCABLUDV1 PCABMUDC1 PCABMUDV1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABHUNV SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABLUNV SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCABMUNV SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS
Methane Options Run with Updated Miti
1995 5686.01 6971.09 1507.64 0 0 -4.31 1022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1480.68 2739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 1.24 3.59 80.53 2000 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 0 27.13 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 32.43 0 0 0 0 0 1423.39 1675.48 2739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 0 135.7 551.93 0 299.75 1519.98 0 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 1.45 3.59 80.53 2005 6667.21 7426.91 1591.1 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 2.19 0 0 108.07 0 -6.55 0 0 33.75 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 0 205.07 345.48 0 296.52 920.7 0 72.68 18.94 4.45 13.75 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25
F7) 2030 20 0 5,145 -306 15,290 0 0 20 2035 42 0 3,298 -202 39,343 0 0 42
F7) 2030 30 0 -1,498 121 32,094 0 0 31 2035 44 0 4,584 47 39,373 0 0 44
F7) 2030 29 0 -2,843 2035 81 0 20,439
68 32,085 0 0 29
-631 61,405 0 0 81
SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCNSMS SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 13.78 25846.53 3670.01 1393.64 14160.43 5640.99 981.46 25846.53
73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0 0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 0 26993.97 3673.31 896.76 15598.96 5800.4 1024.54 26993.97
54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.73 0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 340.17 0.93 14.36 26155.58 3218.13 386.42 15729.36 5892.33 929.34 26155.58
Total Methane Emissions Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas Reference - Oil
18,000 10% CO2 Reduction 16,000
Methane Emissions (Gg CH4)
14,000
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0
2005
2010
2015
Year
2020
2025
2030
2000
2005
Reference - Landfills Reference - Natural gas
Reference - Natural gas Reference - Coal Reference - Manure Reference - Oil
20% Reduction Runs
20% GHG reduction
20% CO2 reduction
20% GHG reduction
20% CO2 reduction
20% GHG reduction
20% CO2 reduction
20% GHG reduction
20% CO2 reduction
20% GHG reduction
20% CO2 reduction
2000
2005
2010
2015 Year
2020
2025
2030
Options Run with Updated Mitigation Techs 10-15-04 (METHAREF)
2010 5556.01 6189.09 1325.92 -104.25 -1783.89 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 23.71 0 0 156.46 0 -17.71 0 0 35.98 -17.87 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1434.8 1734.47 2761.05 -2.58 0 -35.41 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 3.87 108.55 345.48 0 302.96 920.7 0 289.52 19 4.73 15.16 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 2015 4444.81 4951.27 1060.73 -265.05 -1720.24 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 51.03 15.37 0 251.51 0 -45.46 0 0 36.69 -17.87 0 1128.44 851.65 127.75 1642.67 1985.77 3161.09 -2.96 0 -40.54 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 41.87 103.83 345.48 0 287.55 920.7 0 419.17 18.9 4.73 14.15 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 2020 3333.6 3713.46 795.55 -404.08 -1492.49 0 0 44.13 388.9 51.03 42.01 0 251.51 0 -108.85 0 0 36.69 -62.34 0 1559.28 1170.79 168.78 1876.1 2267.75 3609.97 -3.38 0 -46.3 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 54.05 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 43.85 8.63 3.85 0.53 2.17 80.33 2025 2222.4 2475.64 530.37 -409.37 -1221.37 0 0 40.87 400.28 51.03 42.01 0.05 251.39 0 -105.85 0 0 36.69 -172.99 0 2033.93 1512.89 201.77 2132.82 2577.6 4103.2 -3.84 0 -52.62 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0 673.84 18.88 4.75 7.73 0 3.85 1.9 2.17 80.33 2030 1111.2 1237.82 265.18 -418.74 -919.72 0 0 37.66 414.98 51.03 42.01 0.13 251.2 -0.03 -110.02 -14.04 0 36.69 -448.32 0 2520.53 1857.38 227.61 2451.59 2915.9 4714.58 -4.41 0 -60.46 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.31 673.52 18.88 4.75 47.49 17.66 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 2035 0 0 0 -414.48 -586.34 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -108.13 -36.65 0 0 -385.98 0 2642.84 1920.44 203.85 3091.61 3164.82 5946.69 -5.56 -3.76 -76.26 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 90.12 96.04 345.48 147.73 276.66 920.7 0.82 673.02 18.88 4.75 47.49 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33
Table Name: Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0.77 0.29 77.5 4.71 271.82 353.97 0 14.03 23142.88 3366.84 403.49 12601.22 5892.33 879 23142.88
54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0.79 0.19 88.21 4.07 271.82 377.4 0 0 22274.26 3474.31 418.74 10787.72 6746.03 847.46 22274.26
54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 90.43 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 21828.62 3660.61 433.03 9186.63 7704.14 844.21 21828.62
54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 88.97 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0.99 21315.64 3708.08 441.15 7582.64 8757.16 826.61 21315.64
54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 83.88 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 8.13 20986.42 3740.08 452.64 5851.68 10017.2 924.82 20986.42
54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 1.02 0.11 30.81 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 13.95 20446.73 3277.62 463.99 3794.81 12117.54 792.77 20446.73
Total Methane Emissions 10% CO2 reduction - Coal 10% CO2 reduction - Manure 10% CO2 reduction - Landfills 10% CO2 reduction - Natural gas 10% CO2 reduction - Oil
20% CO2 Reduction
2010
Landfills Natural gas
2015
Year
2020
2025
2030
20% CO2 reduction - Landfills 20% CO2 reduction - Natural gas
Natural gas Coal
Manure
20% CO2 reduction - Natural gas 20% CO2 reduction - Coal
20% CO2 reduction - Manure
Oil
20% CO2 reduction - Oil
20% GHG reduction - Landfills
20% CO2 reduction - Landfills
20% GHG reduction - Natural gas
20% CO2 reduction - Natural gas
20% GHG reduction - Coal
20% CO2 reduction - Coal
20% GHG reduction - Manure
20% CO2 reduction - Manure
20% GHG reduction - Oil
20% CO2 reduction - Oil
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PCRBLUDV1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN SCCPBLU
CO2CAP1P
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 128.17 551.93 299.75 1,519.98 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 3.63 2.7 2.88 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0.34 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 17.41 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 117.84 502.37 299.75 1,519.98 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 3.63 2.7 3.59 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 0.34 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -43.13 0 49.84 336.58 0 0 -6.55 0 0 3.18 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,423.46 1,720.76 2,739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 205.07 345.48 296.52 920.7 0 18.94 4.45 10.04 23.69 3.78 2.57 3.48 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 0.19 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,690.57 -43.13 0 48.73 354.76 0 0 -17.71 0 0 0.23 -62.34 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,494.12 1,805.97 2,874.87 -2.69 0 -36.87 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 43.36 212.13 108.55 345.48 302.96 920.7 0 19 4.73 12.32 23.69 3.8 2.5 2.81 88.88 54.11 33.97 17.84 29.44 12.5 0.29 2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -249.73 -1,690.57 -38.82 0 47.05 371.69 0 0 -45.46 0 0 0 -172.99 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 1,652.99 1,997.52 3,179.78 -2.97 0 -40.78 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 40.33 212.13 103.83 345.48 287.55 920.7 0 18.9 4.73 14.26 23.69 3.84 2.25 2.35 82.4 54.11 37.91 15.57 29.44 13.6 0.19 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -250.24 -1,418.64 0 0 44.13 388.9 0.02 0 -108.83 0 0 0 -448.32 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 1,913.30 2,310.91 3,678.66 -3.44 -2.33 -47.18 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 38.35 212.13 89.65 345.48 276.66 920.7 0 0 4.75 39.7 10.7 3.85 0 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0.11 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -250.54 -1,085.82 0 0 40.87 400.28 0.05 -0.01 -108.96 -4.71 0 0 -881.44 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,177.11 2,577.60 4,183.09 -3.91 -2.64 -53.64 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 38.35 212.13 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.7 0.11 13.2 4.75 47.49 7.73 3.85 0 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0.11 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -250.6 -858.02 0 0 37.66 414.98 0.13 -0.03 -108.98 -4.71 0 36.69 -770.79 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,590.54 2,915.90 4,979.54 -4.66 -3.15 -63.86 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 38.35 212.13 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.7 0.32 18.88 4.75 47.49 7.87 3.85 1.88 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0.11
SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRBLUNV SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Total Total Total Total Total Ck Total
53.25 6.25 454.22 0 0 16.12 5.19 25,838 3,662 1,394 14,160 5,641 981 25,838
54.17 6.25 454.22 0 0 6.69 12.35 26,890 3,569 897 15,599 5,800 1025 26,890
67.03 4.59 271.82 182.63 0.93 14.36 14.37 25,734 2,843 386 15,729 5,846 929 25,734
77.5 4.71 271.82 33.38 0 14.03 14.56 22,601 2,533 403 12,650 6,135 879 22,601
88.21 4.07 271.82 2.41 0 14.04 13.74 21,027 2,312 419 10,662 6,787 847 21,027
97.25 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 9.17 20,206 2,204 433 8,875 7,850 844 20,206
89.58 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 9.78 19,372 2,217 441 7,010 8,878 827 19,372
75.37 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 13.23 19,633 2,250 453 5,591 10,414 925 19,633
Table Name:
2035 0 0 0 -294.39 -563.36 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 -0.07 -106.46 -36.71 0 0 -506.09 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,184.86 3,206.09 6,125.25 -5.73 -3.87 -78.55 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 38.35 212.13 96.04 345.48 276.66 920.7 0.82 18.88 4.75 18.31 0 3.85 2.16 2.17 80.33 54.11 41.47 15.27 29.44 15.41 0.11
Unit:
ANSWER Filter MTHAIR Breakdown
METHSUM kT
RNWLFML RNWLFMM RNWLFMSS ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 PBMANAL2 PBMANDR1 PBMANEM1 PCABMUDC1 PCAMMUDC1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH1 PLFGNGS2 PLFMNOMIT2 PMSWLFL1 PMSWLFM1 PMSWLFS1 PNGAD3 PNGADP1 PNGAPTS2 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E POILAOF1 POILAON1 POILDOF1 POILDON1 SCCABHS SCCABHU SCCABLS SCCABLU SCCABMS SCCABMU SCCABMUNC SCCAGHS SCCALMS SCCAMLU SCCAMMU SCCAMMUNC SCCDLMS SCCGLHS SCCGLMS SCCIBHS SCCIBHU SCCIBHUN SCCIBMS SCCIBMU SCCIBMUN
CO2CAP2P
1995 5,686.01 6,971.09 1,507.64 0 0 -4.31 1,022.47 51.17 320 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,480.68 2,739.48 -2.56 0 0 34.55 191.85 186.5 568.56 52.67 292.2 128.17 551.93 299.75 1,519.98 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.66 0 3.63 2.7 2.88 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 2000 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -5.64 -43.13 -43.13 525.53 50.1 321.13 0 0 0 -3.2 0 -41.72 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,423.39 1,675.48 2,739.22 -2.56 0 -35.13 31.75 124.87 288.15 579.77 52.67 292.2 105.49 451.33 299.75 1,519.98 0 14.94 3.39 0 31.46 0 3.63 2.7 3.36 80.53 73.92 0 20.85 48.78 0 2005 6,667.21 7,426.91 1,591.10 -26.56 -591.43 -112.59 0 49.84 336.58 0 0 0 -6.55 0 0 -17.87 0 372.91 281.44 42.22 1,462.94 1,768.49 2,815.21 -2.63 0 -36.1 24.36 95.82 335.8 473.36 43.67 212.13 180.12 345.48 296.52 920.7 0 13.24 4.45 10.04 23.69 0 3.78 2.57 2.88 83.25 54.11 24.25 19.41 29.44 15.67 2010 5,556.01 6,189.09 1,325.92 -104.25 -1,671.81 -112.59 0 48.73 354.76 0 0 0 -17.71 0 0 -62.34 0 736.16 555.59 83.34 1,791.89 2,008.24 3,447.92 -3.22 0 -44.22 21.32 83.84 370.67 403.17 32.65 205.93 0 0 220.1 920.7 0 0 4.01 11.82 23.69 0 3.8 2.19 1.82 41.32 54.11 16.39 11.33 29.02 0
31.89 4.86 271.82 384.77 0 0 13.23 19,828 2,445 464 3,698 12,428 793 19,828
SCCPBLU SCCPSLS SCCPSMS SCCRBLU SCCRSLS SCCSBLS SCCSSMS Total Methane Emissions Total 20% CO2 reduction - Coal Total 20% CO2 reduction - Manure Total 20% CO2 reduction - Landfills Total 20% CO2 reduction - Natural gas Total 20% CO2 reduction - Oil Total Ck Total
0.34 53.25 6.25 454.22 0 16.12 5.19 25,838 3,662 1,394 14,160 5,641 981 25,838
0.34 54.17 6.25 454.22 0 16.12 11.47 26,818 3,497 897 15,599 5,800 1025 26,818
0.19 67.03 4.59 271.82 0.93 14.36 8.37 25,603 2,620 386 15,660 6,008 929 25,603
0.16 77.5 4.71 271.82 0 11.04 0 22,905 1,822 403 12,599 7,201 879 22,905
CO2CAP2P
2015 4,444.81 4,951.27 1,060.73 -193 -1,621.10 -108.28 0 47.05 371.69 0 0 0 -45.46 -0.58 0 -172.99 0.00 1,128.44 851.65 127.75 2,180.24 2,210.85 4,194.41 -3.92 -2.65 -53.79 27.1 106.6 344.03 369.73 26.02 175.89 0 0 0 916.19 0 0 0 13.77 23.69 0.01 3.84 1.77 0 0 54.11 7.03 0 24.31 0 2020 3,333.60 3,713.46 795.55 -201.31 -1,349.18 -69.46 0 44.13 388.9 0 0 0 -88.9 -0.58 0 -448.32 0.00 1,559.28 1,170.79 168.78 2,181.31 2,381.96 4,194.41 -3.92 -2.65 -53.79 32.89 129.36 327.34 354.62 28.87 212.13 0 0 201.02 920.7 0.01 0 0 40.68 10.17 0 3.85 2.02 1.63 10.75 54.11 22.39 9.64 29.44 1.54 2025 2,222.40 2,475.64 530.37 -183.68 -1,080.37 0 0 40.87 400.28 0 0 0 -82.06 -0.58 0 -909.94 0.00 2,033.93 1,512.89 201.77 2,546.26 2,577.60 4,893.28 -4.58 -3.09 -62.75 32.89 129.36 333.51 330.85 0 94.65 0 0 0 920.7 0.01 0 0 47.49 7.73 0 3.85 0 0 0 54.11 7.03 0 25.31 0 2030 1,111.20 1,237.82 265.18 -167.41 -858.02 0 0 37.66 414.98 0.02 0 0 -75.27 0 0 -770.79 0.00 2,520.53 1,857.38 227.61 2,875.02 2,915.90 5,527.00 -5.17 -3.49 -70.88 33.5 131.76 381.3 378.26 0 0 0 0 0 920.7 0 0 0 47.49 8.39 0 3.85 0 0 0 54.11 0 0 0 0 2035 0 0 0 -235.99 -563.36 0 0 34.32 429.67 0 0 -0.01 -102.9 -4.1 0 -506.09 0.00 2,642.84 1,920.44 203.85 3,148.31 3,206.09 6,054.90 -5.66 -3.83 -77.65 32.89 129.36 316.52 314 33.41 212.13 66.01 283.78 232.52 920.7 0.09 0 4.03 18.31 0 0 3.85 1.98 1.89 61.63 54.11 41.47 11.92 29.44 8.03
0.07 88.21 4.07 271.82 0 0 0 21,825 1,372 419 10,662 8,525 847 21,825
0.07 97.25 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 20,481 1,632 433 8,875 8,697 844 20,481
0.04 97.25 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 19,470 1,269 441 6,987 9,947 827 19,470
0 85.24 4.86 271.82 0 0 0 19,361 1,154 453 5,591 11,238 925 19,361
0.11 14.35 4.86 271.82 0 4.48 0 19,215 1,938 464 3,698 12,322 793 19,215
Continuous Marginal Methane Abatement Cost Curves
Scenario Description Disc. Total System Cost (m$1995) 24,717,028 24,562,038 24,563,362 24,566,302 24,571,180 24,668,760 Change in System Cost (m$1995) 0 -154,990 1,324 4,264 9,142 106,722 Cumulative Methane Emissions (kt) 19952035 1,196,068 1,044,952 996,470 947,990 923,755 802,550 Equivalent MTCE 6,850 5,985 5,707 5,429 5,291 4,596 GHG Equivalent MTCE METHACAL METHARFEF CO2CAP1Z CO2CAP2Z METHARFEF GHGCAP1Z GHGCAP2Z GHGCAP3Z METHARFEF MTHL10P MTHL20P MTHL30P MTHL50P 24,717,028 24,562,038 24,631,393 24,804,832 24,562,038 24,627,817 24,803,922 25,101,576 24,562,038 24,563,362 24,566,302 24,571,180 24,668,760 98,501 97,292 92,073 87,079 97,292 92,020 86,745 81,475 97,292 97,310 97,463 97,404 97,519
METHACAL METHARFEF MTHL10P MTHL20P MTHL30P MTHL50P
EPA Base Calibration Methane Reference 10% Reduction 20% Reduction 30% Reduction 50% Reduction
242,794 65,779 241,884 539,538 1,324
0.988%
910 0.38%
0.985%
0.005%
100,000
Total GHG Emissions (MMTCE)
95,000
90,000 Methane Reduction (10%, 20%, 30%, 50%) CO2 Reduction (10%, 20%) GHG Reduction (10%,20%) 85,000 24,500,000 24,550,000 24,600,000 24,650,000 24,700,000 24,750,000 24,800,000
Total Discounted System Cost (1995 million $US)
-1.00
Marginal cost of CO2 reduction (1995 M$/kt)
Scenario CO2 Reduction by 10% CO2 Reduction by 20% GHG Reduction by 10% GHG Reduction by 20% 10% 20% 2005 -22.18 -64.72 -19.34 -59.09 0.87 0.91 0.84 1.00 2010 -32.58 -64.50 -29.64 -70.25 0.91 1.09 2015 -29.06 -74.36 -27.60 -73.09 0.95 0.98 2020 -74.48 -89.23 -64.38 -90.94 0.86 1.02
Ratio of GHG to CO2 scenario marginal cost
Marginal cost of CO2 reduction (1995 $/MTCE)
Scenario CO2 Reduction by 10% CO2 Reduction by 20% GHG Reduction by 10% GHG Reduction by 20% 2005 3,873 11,300 3,377 10,317 2010 5,689 11,262 5,175 12,266 2015 5,074 12,983 4,819 12,762 2020 13,004 15,580 11,241 15,878
ement Cost Curves
Reduction Marginal Average Cost 2020 reduction cost (m$1995/kt) ($2000/t CH4) 0 0 0.13 0.26 2.2 10.9 CO2 MTCE 1117.54 -29.76 -47.92 -82.19 -479.72 CH4 Equivalent MTCE 6,850 5,985 5,761 5,772 5,985 5,293 5,163 5,121 5,985 5,707 5,429 5,291 4,596 Average reduction cost ($2000/TCE)
Continuous Methan
1,100,000 1,050,000
Total Methane Emissions (kt)
195.1 -5.2 -8.4 -14.4 -83.8 Cumulative Methane Emissions (kt) 19952035 1,044,952 1,005,862 1,007,721 1,044,952 924,222 901,427 894,204 GHG ratios 11.6% CH4 red 5.0% CO2 red 6.2% CH4/CO2
Reference Case
10%
1,000,000 950,000 900,000 850,000 800,000
750,000
20%
91,683 91,336 86,340 81,335 91,336 86,752 81,607 76,378 91,336 91,630 92,060 92,138 92,944
700,000 650,000 24,540,000 24,560,000
Continuous Methane E
Average reduction cost ($2000/TCE) CO2CAP1Z CO2CAP2Z GHGCAP1Z GHGCAP2Z -14.48 -25.90 -13.60 -24.99
1,100,000
Reference Case
1,050,000
Total Methane Emissions (kt)
1,000,000 950,000 900,000
850,000
10% 20% 30%
Methane Reductions GHG Reductiions Methane Reduction (10%, 20%, 30%, 50%) CO2 Reduction (10%, 20%) GHG Reduction (10%,20%)
24,800,000 24,850,000
800,000 750,000 700,000 650,000
650,000
24,500,000 24,600,000
Total Discounted Sys
uction (1995 M$/kt)
2025 -105.22 -184.52 -76.30 -192.76 0.73 1.04 2030 -134.42 -273.65 -95.16 -267.14 0.71 0.98
ario marginal cost
ction (1995 $/MTCE)
2025 18,372 32,218 13,322 33,656 2030 23,470 47,780 16,615 46,643
Continuous Methane Emission Re
Continuous Methane Emission Reduction Cost Curve
6,500
Reference Case Cumulative Methane Emissions (MMTCE)
6,000
Reference Case
10% 20% 30%
5,500
50%
5,000
4,500
24,560,000
24,580,000
24,600,000
24,620,000
24,640,000
24,660,000
24,680,000
4,000
24,540,000 24,560,000
Total Discounted System Cost (1995 million $US)
Continuous Methane Emission Reduction Cost Curve
Methane Reductions GHG Reductiions
Reference Case
10% 20% 30%
50%
24,700,000
24,800,000
24,900,000
25,000,000
25,100,000
25,200,000
Total Discounted System Cost (1995 million $US)
us Methane Emission Reduction Cost Curve
Reference Case
10%
20%
30%
50%
24,560,000
24,580,000
24,600,000
24,620,000
24,640,000
24,660,000
24,680,000
Total Discounted System Cost (1995 million $US)
Incremental and Cum
Table Name: Methane Reduction - CLR for METH_AIR + METH_DUM TimePeriod Process EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PLFGNGS2 PMSWAD1 PNGTDCC24 PNGTRDB29E
2000 2000 2000 2005 2005 2005
Scenario METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z METHR7Z
Cost (M$) 1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 0 0 0.665 0 0 0 -6.1212 4.29
kt CH4 5.54 4.15 4.15 5.64 43.13 43.13 0.00 97.54 0.00 0.00 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56 35.13
kt/M$ Cost (M$) 4.390 1.1458 4.301 4.552 3.230 1.8181 1.780 14.9191 1.804 327.805 1.869 23.0722 0.000 295.09 0.143 1055.4619 0.000 0 0.000 0 4.806 1.3632 0.000 0 0.000 3.0081 0.000 37.28 -0.418 -6.1845 8.188 4.3343
kt CH4 2.77 19.58 5.87 26.56 591.44 43.13 72.12 124.49 0.00 0.00 6.55 0.00 17.87 90.19 2.59 35.49
kt/M$ 2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.000 0.000 4.806 0.000 5.941 2.419 -0.418 8.188
MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G MTHL10G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PMSWAD1 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 1.6795 0 0 0.665 0 0 0 0 0 -6.1212 0 4.29
5.54 4.15 4.15 5.64 43.13 43.13 0.00 97.54 0.12 0.00 0.00 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56 0.00 35.13
4.390 1.1458 4.301 4.552 3.230 1.8181 1.780 14.9191 1.804 327.805 1.869 60.2302 0.000 295.0867 0.143 1055.4619 0.070 6.7274 0.000 8.1056 0.000 0.0038 4.806 1.3632 0.000 3.1832 0.000 16.3175 0.000 0 0.000 3.0081 0.000 37.2766 -0.418 -6.1801 0.000 0.4509 8.188 4.3313
2.77 19.58 5.87 26.56 591.44 112.59 72.12 124.49 0.47 62.40 0.03 6.55 14.04 259.22 0.00 17.87 90.19 2.59 1.75 35.47
2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.070 7.698 6.658 4.806 4.411 15.886 0.000 5.941 2.420 -0.418 3.877 8.188
MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722
5.540 4.155 4.155 5.636 43.130 43.130
4.390 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869
1.1458 4.552 1.8181 14.9191 327.805 60.2302
2.770 19.580 5.873 26.560 591.435 112.591
2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869
MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G MTHL20G
EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E
0 679.9738 1.6795 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 0 0 0 -6.1212 0 0 4.29
0.000 97.537 0.117 0.000 0.000 3.196 0.000 0.000 17.870 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.561 0.000 0.000 35.128
0.000 295.0867 0.143 1055.4619 0.070 6.7427 0.000 56.8077 0.000 0.0038 4.806 1.3632 0.000 3.1832 0.000 16.332 7.659 8.1393 0.000 3.0081 0.000 0 0.000 37.2766 0.000 0 -0.418 -6.1802 0.000 0 0.000 0.4509 8.188 4.3313
72.123 124.485 0.471 437.308 0.025 6.552 14.041 259.449 62.338 17.870 0.000 90.193 0.000 2.586 0.000 1.748 35.466
0.244 0.118 0.070 7.698 6.658 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 0.000 2.420 0.000 -0.418 0.000 3.877 8.188
MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABHUDC1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PLFMIOCAP2 PMSWAD1 PNGDEMF32 PNGDSRC35 PNGPFLR16 PNGPGCD13 PNGPPDB11 PNGTCAT23 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTFLR29C PNGTGTR25 PNGTHTS29F PNGTIME28
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 0 1.6795 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 8.0624 9.1804 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.1167 0 0 0 0.0062 0
5.540 4.155 4.155 5.636 43.130 43.130 0.000 97.537 0.000 0.117 0.000 0.000 3.196 0.000 0.000 17.870 0.000 17.870 6.200 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2.5595 0 0 0 0.0241 0
4.390 1.1458 2.770 4.301 4.552 19.580 3.230 1.8181 5.873 1.780 9.2283 16.429 1.804 327.805 591.435 1.869 60.2302 112.591 0.000 295.0867 72.123 0.143 1055.4619 124.485 0.000 4.8212 0.336 0.070 0 0.000 0.000 132.3776 1019.047 0.000 0.0038 0.025 4.806 1.3632 6.552 0.000 3.1832 14.041 0.000 20.0546 318.587 7.659 8.1393 62.338 0.000 3.0081 17.870 2.217 18.3523 40.678 0.675 32.0241 21.627 0.000 37.2766 90.193 0.000 0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000 -0.418 -6.1167 2.5595 0.000 3.8182 23.5911 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 3.887 0.4451 1.7258 0.000 0 0
2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.070 0.000 7.698 6.658 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.000 0.000 3.877 0.000
MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G MTHL50G
PNGTLPD21 PNGTRDB29E POILAOFA2 POILAONF2 POILDOFA2 POILDONF2
0 4.2756 0 0 0 0
0 35.01 0 0 0 0
0.000 8.188 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0 4.2756 0 0 0 0
0 35.01 0 0 0 0
0.000 8.188 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G MTHL30G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PLFMIOCAP2 PMSWAD1 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTFGB22 PNGTFLR29C PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 1.6795 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 8.0624 0 0 0 -6.1212 0 0 0 4.29
5.5395 4.1546 4.1546 5.6356 43.1297 43.1297 0 97.5372 0.1172 0 0 3.1961 0 0 17.8704 0 17.8704 0 0 0 2.5614 0 0 0 35.1279
4.390 1.1458 2.7697 4.301 4.552 19.5804 3.230 1.8181 5.8731 1.780 14.9191 26.5603 1.804 327.805 591.435 1.869 60.2302 112.5906 0.000 295.0867 72.1228 0.143 1055.4619 124.485 0.070 6.8655 0.4791 0.000 72.738 559.9396 0.000 0.0038 0.0253 4.806 1.3632 6.5515 0.000 3.1832 14.0411 0.000 20.1525 320.1406 7.659 8.1393 62.3377 0.000 3.0081 17.8704 2.217 18.3523 40.6781 0.000 0 0 0.000 37.2766 90.193 0.000 0 0 -0.418 -6.1212 2.5614 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0.4466 1.7317 8.188 4.29 35.1279
2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.070 7.698 6.658 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.000 2.420 0.000 -0.418 0.000 0.000 3.878 8.188
Incremental and Cumulative Methane Abatement Cost Curves
2010 2010 2010 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020 2020
Cost (M$) 1.0297 15.3234 1.4454 58.5591 988.7297 23.0722 295.09 994.2223 0 0 3.6843 0 3.0081 59.44 -6.1845 4.3343
kt CH4 0.00 31.32 0.00 104.25 1783.89 43.13 72.12 111.75 0.00 0.00 17.71 0.00 17.87 143.82 2.59 35.49
kt/M$ 0.000 2.044 0.000 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.112 0.000 0.000 4.806 0.000 5.941 2.420 -0.418 8.188
Cost (M$) 0 36.4245 0.4365 148.8793 983.3496 20.765 295.09 932.9827 0 0 9.4599 0 3.0081 59.44 -7.0761 4.9592
kt CH4 0.00 34.29 0.21 265.05 1720.24 38.82 72.12 99.01 0.00 0.00 45.46 0.00 17.87 129.88 2.96 40.61
kt/M$ 0.000 0.941 0.492 1.780 1.749 1.869 0.244 0.106 0.000 0.000 4.806 0.000 5.941 2.185 -0.418 8.188
Cost (M$) 0 88.6824 0 230.2222 943.8395 0 0 871.7539 1.6795 0 22.649 0 10.493 73.37 -8.1004 5.6771
kt CH4 0.00 37.22 0.00 409.86 1492.49 0.00 0.00 86.27 0.12 0.00 108.85 0.00 62.34 177.53 3.39 46.49
kt/M$ 0.000 0.420 0.000 1.780 1.581 0.000 0.000 0.099 0.070 0.000 4.806 0.000 5.941 2.420 -0.418 8.188
1.0297 15.3234 1.4454 58.5591 1026.861 60.2302 295.0867 1510.902 8.4575 25.3247 0.0153 3.6843 12.7508 16.3175 0 10.493 59.4425 -6.1801 0.4509 4.3313
0.00 31.32 0.00 104.25 1852.69 112.59 72.12 158.88 0.59 194.95 0.10 17.71 56.24 259.22 0.00 62.34 143.83 2.59 1.75 35.47
0.000 2.044 0.000 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.105 0.070 7.698 6.634 4.806 4.411 15.886 0.000 5.941 2.420 -0.418 3.877 8.188
0 36.4245 0.4365 105.8619 1007.286 57.923 295.0867 2068.052 11.9687 88.0811 0.0193 9.4599 16.03 16.3175 0 29.1181 59.4425 -7.0731 0.5161 4.9571
0.00 34.29 0.21 188.46 1621.10 108.28 72.12 202.77 0.84 678.05 0.13 45.46 70.71 188.69 0.00 172.99 129.88 2.96 2.00 40.59
0.000 0 0.941 88.6824 0.492 0 1.780 224.5405 1.609 964.762 1.869 36.6273 0.244 0 0.098 2754.824 0.070 13.2183 7.698 122.3948 6.611 0.0273 4.806 22.6487 4.411 22.6848 11.564 0 0.000 0.1116 5.941 75.4632 2.185 73.3736 -0.418 -8.0625 3.877 0.5883 8.188 5.6505
0.00 37.22 0.00 399.75 1357.70 60.78 0.00 258.80 0.92 942.20 0.18 108.85 100.06 0.00 0.85 448.32 177.53 3.37 2.28 46.27
0.000 0.420 0.000 1.780 1.407 1.659 0.000 0.094 0.070 7.698 6.615 4.806 4.411 0.000 7.656 5.941 2.420 -0.418 3.877 8.188
1.0297 0.000 15.3234 31.323 1.4454 0.000 58.5591 104.252 978.9354 1766.223 60.2302 112.591
0.000 0 0.000 2.044 36.4245 34.289 0.000 0.4365 0.215 1.780 82.1494 146.250 1.804 960.2741 1545.445 1.869 57.0956 94.743
0.000 0 0.000 0.941 88.6824 37.222 0.492 0 0.000 1.780 207.5795 369.551 1.609 906.1137 1144.370 1.659 36.6273 60.778
0.000 0.420 0.000 1.780 1.263 1.659
295.0867 1510.902 8.3112 114.5997 0.0154 3.6843 12.7798 16.332 22.5864 10.493 0 59.4425 0 -6.1802 0 0.4509 4.3313
72.123 158.878 0.580 882.192 0.102 17.706 56.371 259.449 172.987 62.338 0.000 143.825 0.000 2.586 0.000 1.748 35.466
0.244 295.0867 72.123 0.105 2068.052 202.773 0.070 9.6765 0.675 7.698 158.0307 1216.525 6.610 0.019 0.125 4.806 9.4599 45.463 4.411 15.7526 69.484 15.886 16.332 234.753 7.659 58.5354 448.316 5.941 29.1181 172.987 0.000 8.0624 17.870 2.420 59.4425 129.880 0.000 16.7542 30.765 -0.418 -7.0386 2.945 0.000 4.3937 27.147 3.877 0.5136 1.991 8.188 4.9329 40.393
0.244 0 0.000 0.098 2754.824 258.795 0.070 13.2183 0.922 7.698 166.3106 1280.264 6.600 0.0221 0.146 4.806 22.6489 108.848 4.411 18.3404 80.899 14.374 0 0.000 7.659 143.3618 1097.992 5.941 75.4632 448.316 2.217 8.0624 17.870 2.185 73.3736 177.532 1.836 0 0.000 -0.418 -8.0552 3.371 6.179 5.0282 31.067 3.877 0.5877 2.279 8.188 5.6454 46.227
0.000 0.094 0.070 7.698 6.606 4.806 4.411 0.000 7.659 5.941 2.217 2.420 0.000 -0.418 6.179 3.877 8.188
1.0297 0.000 15.3234 31.323 1.4454 0.000 8.844 8.215 1020.352 1840.948 60.2302 112.591 295.0867 72.123 1510.902 158.878 5.3077 0.370 0 0.000 132.3776 1019.047 0.0074 0.049 3.6843 17.706 9.1191 40.224 20.6368 327.835 22.5864 172.987 10.493 62.338 31.4851 69.787 88.8666 60.016 59.4425 143.825 0 0.000 0 0.000 14.6717 10.647 0 0.000 10.4438 19.177 0 0.000 -6.1006 2.5528 3.8082 23.5291 2.349 1.0372 0 0 0.4451 1.7258 0 0
0.000 2.044 0.000 0.929 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.105 0.070 0.000 7.698 6.649 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.000 0.000 0.726 0.000 1.836 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.442 0.000 3.877 0.000
0 0.000 36.4365 34.504 0.4229 0.000 23.9525 0.000 990.3265 1485.723 57.923 108.278 295.0867 72.123 2068.052 202.773 5.2299 0.364 0 0.000 132.3776 880.562 0.0082 0.054 9.4599 45.463 10.0393 44.283 20.6368 291.008 58.5354 448.316 29.1181 172.987 48.2463 106.938 230.3089 155.539 59.4425 129.880 13.2938 2.655 22.8367 3.987 14.6717 10.647 2.0507 0.213 9.4476 17.348 39.5714 3.156 -6.0154 2.5171 3.755 23.2004 2.3162 1.0227 183.0946 63.2739 0.4389 1.7017 3.6982 0.3561
0.000 0.947 0.000 0.000 1.500 1.869 0.244 0.098 0.070 0.000 6.652 6.610 4.806 4.411 14.101 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.185 0.200 0.000 0.086 0.104 1.836 0.080 -0.418 6.179 0.442 0.346 3.877 0.096
0 0.000 88.6824 37.222 0 0.000 62.5033 0.000 934.8226 1068.753 36.6273 60.778 0 0.000 2754.824 258.795 5.8473 0.407 0 0.000 133.8514 1030.392 0.0081 0.053 21.4693 103.179 9.892 43.633 21.4636 340.969 147.9881 1133.424 75.4632 448.316 69.6382 154.354 582.2625 393.230 73.3736 177.532 14.4073 2.877 24.7496 4.321 16.2613 11.800 2.2728 0.236 10.4712 19.228 39.5714 3.156 -6.5149 2.7261 4.0668 25.127 2.5086 1.1076 198.2986 68.5281 0.4754 1.843 4.0053 0.3857
0.000 0.420 0.000 0.000 1.143 1.659 0.000 0.094 0.070 0.000 7.698 6.593 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.200 0.040 0.038 0.104 1.836 0.080 -0.418 6.179 0.442 0.346 3.877 0.096
4.9517 1.9499 4.2756 35.01 47.806 18.893 122.3238 80.918 775.3221 301.9269 556.8835 362.2507
0.394 4.8825 1.9227 8.188 4.2158 34.521 0.395 61.6628 24.3692 0.662 157.78 104.3725 0.389 795.2161 309.674 0.650 556.8835 362.2507
0.394 5.288 2.0823 8.188 4.5659 37.3876 0.395 74.8268 29.5716 0.662 191.4633 126.6543 0.389 795.2161 294.649 0.650 556.8835 347.4471
0.394 8.188 0.395 0.662 0.371 0.624
1.0297 15.3234 1.4454 32.3447 968.141 60.2302 295.0867 1510.902 7.828 148.6372 0.0157 3.6843 13.0126 20.1525 22.5864 10.493 31.4851 3.6823 59.4425 0 -6.1212 0 0 0.4466 4.29
0 31.3228 0 57.5828 1746.747 112.5906 72.1228 158.8779 0.5463 1144.214 0.1036 17.7064 57.3983 314.713 172.9865 62.3377 69.7871 2.4868 143.825 0 2.5614 0 0 1.7317 35.1279
0.000 2.044 0.000 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.105 0.070 7.698 6.599 4.806 4.411 15.617 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.000 -0.418 0.000 0.000 3.878 8.188
0 36.4245 0.4365 32.3447 949.6854 57.0956 295.0867 2068.052 6.1485 155.1394 0.0179 9.4599 14.8368 20.7063 58.5354 29.1181 48.2463 18.343 59.4425 14.5442 -6.9685 4.3499 0 0.5085 4.8838
0 34.2887 0.2148 57.5828 1528.404 94.7429 72.1228 202.7729 0.4291 1194.267 0.1181 45.4632 65.4447 328.9387 448.3161 172.9865 106.9383 12.3879 129.8796 26.7068 2.9159 26.8763 0 1.9714 39.9904
0.000 0.941 0.492 1.780 1.609 1.659 0.244 0.098 0.070 7.698 6.598 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.185 1.836 -0.418 6.179 0.000 3.877 8.188
0 88.6824 0 83.6495 894.1853 36.6273 0 2754.824 13.2183 155.1394 0.014 22.5094 11.6536 12.1781 147.9881 75.4632 69.6382 54.8237 73.3736 17.0835 -7.9109 4.9381 3.0461 0.5772 5.5442
0 37.2215 0 148.9201 1111.478 60.7783 0 258.7953 0.9224 1100.267 0.0928 108.1776 49.1719 193.4603 1133.424 448.3161 154.3538 37.025 177.532 31.3694 3.3103 30.5108 1.345 2.2379 45.3984
0.000 0.420 0.000 1.780 1.243 1.659 0.000 0.094 0.070 7.092 6.629 4.806 4.219 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 1.836 -0.418 6.179 0.442 3.877
2025
2025
2025
2030
2030
2030
2000 to 2030 Totals
Cost (M$) 0 142.441 0 229.9452 676.9484 0 0 810.5143 4.3843 0.0038 22.0259 3.1832 29.1181 56.79 -9.1692 6.4261
kt CH4 0.00 39.96 0.00 409.37 1221.37 0.00 0.00 73.54 0.31 0.03 105.85 14.04 172.99 137.41 3.84 52.62
kt/M$ 0.000 0.281 0.000 1.780 1.804 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.070 6.658 4.806 4.411 5.941 2.420 -0.418 8.188
Cost (M$) 0 228.9464 0 235.2086 509.7594 0 0 436.6845 8.7405 0.01 22.8931 8.3098 75.4632 56.79 -10.816 7.5802
kt CH4 0.00 43.05 0.00 418.74 919.72 0.00 0.00 39.68 0.61 0.07 110.02 36.65 448.32 49.44 4.53 62.07
kt/M$ Cost (M$) kt CH4 0.000 17.2 41.55 0.188 2586.7 1047.88 0.000 24.9 51.21 1.780 4604.5 8197.33 1.804 22271.7 38861.42 0.000 449.9 841.03 0.000 4426.4 1081.80 0.091 28908.0 3161.32 0.070 74.0 5.17 6.620 0.1 0.46 4.806 413.7 1988.21 4.411 57.5 253.48 5.941 620.5 3686.26 0.871 1715.6 3641.35 -0.418 -268.3 112.25 8.188 188.0 1539.48
M$/kt 0.414 2.468 0.487 0.562 0.573 0.535 4.092 9.144 14.330 0.151 0.208 0.227 0.168 0.471 -2.390 0.122
0 142.441 0 230.1515 683.9036 0 0 3609.991 13.2183 141.3811 0.0301 22.06 25.0532 0 2.6109 148.3691 56.7905 -9.1692 0.669 6.4261
0.00 39.96 0.00 409.74 1082.00 0.00 0.00 330.30 0.92 1088.36 0.20 106.02 110.51 0.00 20.00 881.44 137.41 3.84 2.59 52.62
0.000 0.281 0.000 1.780 1.582 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.070 7.698 6.628 4.806 4.411 0.000 7.659 5.941 2.420 -0.418 3.877 8.188
0 228.9464 0 235.4742 468.3915 0 0 4597.239 13.2271 186.159 0.0301 22.9367 25.0532 0 8.83 129.744 56.7905 -10.5476 0.7696 7.3922
0.00 43.05 0.00 419.21 845.09 0.00 0.00 421.55 0.92 1433.06 0.20 110.23 110.51 0.00 67.63 770.79 49.44 4.41 2.98 60.53
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 1.804 0.000 0.000 0.092 0.070 7.698 6.628 4.806 4.411 0.000 7.659 5.941 0.871 -0.418 3.877 8.188
17.2 41.55 2586.7 1047.88 24.9 51.21 4363.4 7768.04 22514.6 36965.72 1190.4 2186.83 4426.3 1081.84 81382.2 7971.57 342.5 23.90 2857.2 21995.05 0.6 4.17 414.1 1990.07 523.8 2310.37 244.8 3535.65 57.8 442.40 1981.0 11768.70 1715.6 3641.38 -266.7 111.59 17.2 66.78 186.9 1530.35
0.414 2.468 0.487 0.562 0.609 0.544 4.091 10.209 14.330 0.130 0.151 0.208 0.227 0.069 0.131 0.168 0.471 -2.390 0.258 0.122
0 142.441 0 230.1515 615.1388 0
0.000 39.957 0.000 409.736 748.980 0.000
0.000 0 0.281 228.9464 0.000 0 1.780 235.2714 1.218 202.9754 0.000 0
0.000 43.051 0.000 418.851 366.214 0.000
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 1.804 0.000
17.2 41.55 2586.7 1047.88 24.9 51.21 4159.0 7404.18 20075.7 31028.98 1186.3 2119.16
0.414 2.468 0.487 0.562 0.647 0.560
0 0.000 3609.991 330.296 13.2183 0.922 184.4728 1420.077 0.0301 0.200 22.06 106.018 25.0532 110.509 0 0.000 223.8184 1714.200 153.1659 909.937 8.0624 17.870 56.7905 137.408 0 0.000 -9.1692 3.837 5.7236 35.364 0.669 2.594 6.4261 52.620
0.000 0 0.000 0.091 4597.239 421.550 0.070 13.2271 0.923 7.698 188.5163 1451.204 6.628 0.0301 0.200 4.806 22.9034 110.071 4.411 25.0532 110.509 0.000 0 0.000 7.659 333.293 2552.654 5.941 134.5408 770.791 2.217 8.0624 17.870 2.420 56.7905 49.437 0.000 0 0.000 -0.418 -10.514 4.400 6.179 6.5631 40.551 3.877 0.7672 2.974 8.188 7.3686 60.337
0.000 0.092 0.070 7.698 6.628 4.806 4.411 0.000 7.659 5.729 2.217 0.871 0.000 -0.418 6.179 3.877 8.188
4426.3 1081.84 81382.2 7971.57 330.4 23.05 4343.7 33437.85 0.6 3.99 413.9 1989.27 500.8 2209.07 245.0 3768.26 3960.3 30331.79 2028.9 11911.19 161.2 357.41 1715.6 3641.38 83.8 153.82 -266.3 111.43 108.5 670.64 17.2 66.67 186.6 1528.19
4.091 10.209 14.330 0.130 0.151 0.208 0.227 0.065 0.131 0.170 0.451 0.471 0.545 -2.390 0.162 0.258 0.122
0 0.000 142.441 39.957 0 0.000 104.0957 11.363 624.9582 449.886 0 0.000 0 0.000 3609.991 330.296 0 0.000 11.0772 0.773 135.3152 1041.660 0.009 0.060 21.7744 104.645 11.0597 43.625 20.8814 331.720 370.575 2838.193 156.3566 928.892 96.9404 214.869 1458.036 984.681 56.7905 137.408 17.6828 3.531 0 0.000 22.9883 16.682 0 0.000 14.803 27.182 0 0.000 -7.9898 3.3433 4.9874 30.8152 3.0764 1.3584 243.1893 84.0415 0.583 2.2603 0 0
0.000 0.281 0.000 0.109 0.720 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.000 0.070 7.698 6.633 4.806 3.944 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.200 0.000 0.726 0.000 1.836 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.442 0.346 3.877 0.000
0 228.9464 0 185.1097 0 0 0 4597.239 0 13.2271 170.7365 0.0253 21.8593 20.995 20.8814 536.4069 137.7315 83.8076 3637.24 56.7905 21.5968 19.9126 29.3776 0 18.9172 0 -9.7649 6.0955 3.7599 297.2192 0.7125 0
0.000 43.051 0.000 329.549 0.000 0.000 0.000 421.550 0.000 0.923 1314.334 0.167 105.053 92.609 57.130 4108.281 738.038 185.760 2456.401 49.437 4.313 3.476 21.318 0.000 34.737 0.000 4.0861 37.6615 1.6602 102.7132 2.7624 0
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.092 0.000 0.070 7.698 6.609 4.806 4.411 2.736 7.659 5.359 2.217 0.675 0.871 0.200 0.175 0.726 0.000 1.836 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.442 0.346 3.877 0.000
17.2 2586.7 24.9 1984.5 19610.8 1190.4 4426.3 81382.2 106.0 129.9 4185.2 0.3 401.4 321.4 622.8 5732.8 2060.9 1782.7 30189.6 1715.6 334.9 337.5 489.9 21.6 320.4 395.7 -243.1 132.7 70.1 4609.0 15.5 38.5
41.55 1048.95 50.14 1855.95 27399.37 2186.83 1081.84 7971.57 7.38 9.07 31525.21 2.05 1928.97 1392.07 8336.24 43907.04 11842.21 3951.29 20388.46 3641.38 66.88 58.92 355.47 2.25 588.36 31.56 101.72 819.62 30.93 1592.78 60.22 3.71
0.414 2.466 0.496 1.069 0.716 0.544 4.091 10.209 14.359 14.330 0.133 0.151 0.208 0.231 0.075 0.131 0.174 0.451 1.481 0.471 5.008 5.728 1.378 9.623 0.545 12.539 -2.390 0.162 2.265 2.894 0.258 10.385
6.485 2.5537 5.5996 45.8513 74.8268 29.5716 191.4633 126.6543 770.8911 300.2013 498.3278 324.1604
0.394 7.9258 3.1211 8.188 6.8436 56.0382 0.395 74.8268 29.5716 0.662 191.4633 126.6543 0.389 750.9971 292.4542 0.650 498.3278 315.795
0.394 8.188 0.395 0.662 0.389 0.634
147.7 170.3 1669.7 4272.5 19438.2 13336.5
58.15 1394.14 659.89 2826.27 7494.53 8559.52
2.539 0.122 2.530 1.512 2.594 1.558
0 142.441 0 137.8839 589.2105 0 0 3609.991 13.2183 186.5879 0.0301 22.5004 25.0532 12.1781 344.453 153.1659 59.3483 54.8237 56.7905 0 -9.1692 5.7236 0 0.669 6.4261
0 39.957 0 245.473 550.4582 0 0 330.2957 0.9224 1436.359 0.1995 108.1343 110.5094 193.4603 2638.127 909.9366 131.5462 37.025 137.4082 0 3.8368 35.3641 0 2.5939 52.6198
0.000 0.281 0.000 1.780 0.934 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.070 7.698 6.628 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.000 3.877 8.188
0 228.9464 0 225.2289 89.2591 0 0 4597.239 13.2271 186.8648 0.0301 22.5583 25.0532 11.6243 462.2657 134.5408 46.2155 145.5993 56.7905 0 -10.3798 6.4793 0 0.7574 7.2746
0 43.051 0 400.9723 161.0438 0 0 421.5503 0.923 1438.491 0.1995 108.4124 110.5094 16.1806 3540.442 770.7906 102.4372 98.3301 49.4373 0 4.3434 40.033 0 2.9364 59.5669
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 1.804 0.000 0.000 0.092 0.070 7.698 6.628 4.806 4.411 1.392 7.659 5.729 2.217 0.675 0.871 0.000 -0.418 6.179 0.000 3.877 8.188
17.2 2586.7 24.9 2647.7 19211.0 1186.3 4426.3 81382.2 310.9 4525.5 0.6 413.7 464.0 485.0 5231.5 2028.9 1406.7 1386.4 1715.6 158.1 -264.0 107.5 15.2 17.0 185.0
41.55 1047.88 51.21 4713.63 28663.48 2119.16 1081.84 7971.57 21.70 34367.69 3.69 1988.21 2035.37 6834.47 40067.52 11911.19 3118.06 936.27 3641.38 290.38 110.45 663.92 6.73 66.02 1514.80
0.414 2.468 0.487 0.562 0.670 0.560 4.091 10.209 14.330 0.132 0.151 0.208 0.228 0.071 0.131 0.170 0.451 1.481 0.471 0.545 -2.390 0.162 2.265 0.258 0.122
Years per period
5
Sorted Period Totals for 2000 to 2030
Reference PNGTDCC24 PNGTRDB29E PCBMGGUC2 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 EBMANBC2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 ELFGPRG2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 10% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PCBMFLR2 PLFGFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 ELFGPRG2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 20% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PCBMFLR2 PLFGFLR2 PCBMGGUC2
Emission (kt) 112.25 1539.48 0.46 3686.26 1988.21 253.48 41.55 3641.35 51.21 841.03 8197.33 38861.42 1047.88 1081.80 3161.32 5.17 Emission (kt) 111.6 3,535.7 1,530.3 21,995.1 442.4 4.2 11,768.7 1,990.1 2,310.4 66.8 41.5 3,641.4 51.2 2,186.8 7,768.0 36,965.7 1,047.9 1,081.8 7,971.6 23.9 Emission (kt) 111.4 3,768.3 1,528.2 33,437.8 30,331.8 4.0
Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE M$1995/kt Cum Cost (M$) -268.3 0.6 -2.39 -268.3 188.0 9.5 0.12 -80.3 0.1 9.5 0.15 -80.2 620.5 30.6 0.17 540.3 413.7 42.0 0.21 954.0 57.5 43.4 0.23 1,011.5 17.2 43.7 0.41 1,028.7 1,715.6 64.5 0.47 2,744.2 24.9 64.8 0.49 2,769.1 449.9 69.6 0.53 3,219.1 4,604.5 116.6 0.56 7,823.5 22,271.7 339.1 0.57 30,095.2 2,586.7 345.1 2.47 32,681.9 4,426.4 351.3 4.09 37,108.3 28,908.0 9.14 74.0 14.33 Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE M$1995/kt Cum Cost (M$) -266.7 0.6 -2.39 -266.7 244.8 20.9 0.07 -21.9 186.9 29.7 0.12 165.0 2,857.2 155.6 0.13 3,022.2 57.8 158.2 0.13 3,080.0 0.6 158.2 0.15 3,080.6 1,981.0 225.6 0.17 5,061.6 414.1 237.0 0.21 5,475.7 523.8 250.2 0.23 5,999.5 17.2 250.6 0.26 6,016.7 17.2 250.8 0.41 6,033.9 1,715.6 271.7 0.47 7,749.4 24.9 272.0 0.49 7,774.4 1,190.4 284.5 0.54 8,964.8 4,363.4 329.0 0.56 13,328.1 22,514.6 540.7 0.61 35,842.7 2586.678 546.7 2.47 38,429.4 4,426.3 552.9 4.09 42,855.7 81,382.2 10.21 342.5 14.33 Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE M$1995/kt Cum Cost (M$) -266.3 0.6 -2.39 -266.3 245.0 22.2 0.07 -21.3 186.6 31.0 0.12 165.3 4,343.7 222.5 0.13 4,509.0 3,960.3 396.2 0.13 8,469.3 0.6 396.2 0.15 8,469.9
PNGTFGB22 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 PNGPPDB11 ELFGPRG2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 50% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PLFGFLR2 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PNGTFGB22 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 ELFGPRG2 PNGPPDB11 ELFGCOG2 ECBMCOG2 PNGPFLR16 PLFMIOCAP2 POILAONF2 POILDONF2 PNGTFLR29C EBMANBW2 POILAOFA2 PNGTLPD21 POILDOFA2 PNGTGTR25 EMSWAD1 PNGDEMF32 PNGDSRC35
670.6 11,911.2 1,989.3 2,209.1 66.7 41.5 357.4 3,641.4 51.2 153.8 2,119.2 7,404.2 31,029.0 1,047.9 1,081.8 7,971.6 23.1 Emission (kt) 101.722 8,336.2 1394.1405 43,907.0 31,525.2 2.0 819.6215 11,842.2 1,929.0 1,392.1 60.2155 41.5 3,951.3 3,641.4 50.1 2,186.8 588.4 27,399.4 1,856.0 355.5 20,388.5 2826.267 8559.5195 30.9305 1,049.0 659.885 58.1485 7494.527 1592.7835 1,081.8 66.9 58.9
108.5 2,028.9 413.9 500.8 17.2 17.2 161.2 1,715.6 24.9 83.8 1,186.3 4,159.0 20,075.7 2,586.7 4,426.3 81,382.2 330.4
400.1 468.3 479.7 492.3 492.7 492.9 495.0 515.9 516.1 517.0 529.2 571.6 749.3 755.3 761.5
0.16 0.17 0.21 0.23 0.26 0.41 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.65 2.47 4.09 10.21 14.33
8,578.5 10,607.4 11,021.4 11,522.2 11,539.4 11,556.6 11,717.8 13,433.4 13,458.3 13,542.1 14,728.4 18,887.3 38,963.1 41,549.8 45,976.1
Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE M$1995/kt Cum Cost (M$) -243.095 0.6 -2.39 -243.1 622.8 48.3 0.07 379.7 170.2585 56.3 0.12 549.9 5,732.8 307.8 0.13 6,282.8 4,185.2 488.3 0.13 10,467.9 0.3 488.3 0.15 10,468.2 132.6555 493.0 0.16 10,600.9 2,060.9 560.9 0.17 12,661.8 401.4 571.9 0.21 13,063.1 321.4 579.9 0.23 13,384.6 15.531 580.2 0.26 13,400.1 17.2 580.5 0.41 13,417.3 1,782.7 603.1 0.45 15,200.0 1,715.6 624.0 0.47 16,915.5 24.9 624.2 0.50 16,940.4 1,190.4 636.8 0.54 18,130.8 320.4 640.1 0.54 18,451.2 19,610.8 797.1 0.72 38,062.1 1,984.5 807.7 1.07 40,046.6 489.9 809.7 1.38 40,536.4 30,189.6 926.5 1.48 70,726.0 4272.4685 942.7 1.51 74,998.5 13336.5305 991.7 1.56 88,335.0 70.0505 991.9 2.26 88,405.1 2,586.7 997.9 2.47 90,991.8 1669.746 1,001.7 2.53 92,661.5 147.665 1,002.0 2.54 92,809.2 19438.2125 1,044.9 2.59 112,247.4 4609.0085 1,054.0 2.89 116,856.4 4,426.3 1,060.2 4.09 121,282.7 334.9 1,060.6 5.01 121,617.6 337.5 1,061.0 5.73 121,955.1
PNGPGCD13 EMSWPP1 PNGTIME28 PNGTCAT23 PCABMUDC1 PCABHUDC1 30% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PLFGFLR2 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PNGTFGB22 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 PNGPPDB11 ELFGPRG2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 PLFMIOCAP2 PNGTFLR29C EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1
2.2 7,971.6 3.709 31.6 9.1 7.4 Emission (kt) 110.453 6834.4675 1514.796 40067.5185 34367.6895 3.694 663.921 11911.1895 1988.2075 2035.374 66.015 41.546 3118.0555 3641.3755 51.2125 290.381 2119.1605 4713.6345 28663.4805 936.274 6.725 1047.88 1081.842 7971.5715 21.6975
21.6 81,382.2 38.5175 395.7 129.9 106.0
9.62 10.21 10.38 12.54 14.36 14.33
Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE M$1995/kt Cum Cost (M$) -263.96 0.6 -2.390 -264.0 484.959 39.8 0.071 221.0 184.9935 48.5 0.122 406.0 5231.506 277.9 0.131 5,637.5 4525.5335 474.8 0.132 10,163.0 0.558 474.8 0.151 10,163.6 107.4545 478.6 0.162 10,271.0 2028.9455 546.8 0.170 12,300.0 413.7025 558.2 0.208 12,713.7 463.963 569.9 0.228 13,177.7 17.0265 570.2 0.258 13,194.7 17.1865 570.5 0.414 13,211.9 1406.7405 588.3 0.451 14,618.6 1715.581 609.2 0.471 16,334.2 24.9305 609.5 0.487 16,359.1 158.1385 611.1 0.545 16,517.3 1186.2775 623.3 0.560 17,703.5 2647.682 650.3 0.562 20,351.2 19210.9555 814.4 0.670 39,562.2 1386.36 819.8 1.481 40,948.5 15.2305 819.8 2.265 40,963.8 2586.678 825.8 2.468 43,550.4 4426.3005 832.0 4.091 47,976.7 81382.216 10.209 310.926 14.330
PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PLFGFLR2 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PNGTFGB22 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 ELFGPRG2 PNGPPDB11 ELFGCOG2 ECBMCOG2 PNGPFLR16 PLFMIOCAP2 POILAONF2 POILDONF2 PNGTFLR29C EBMANBW2 POILAOFA2 PNGTLPD21 POILDOFA2 PNGTGTR25 EMSWAD1 PNGDEMF32 PNGDSRC35 PNGPGCD13 EMSWPP1 PNGTIME28 PNGTCAT23 PCABMUDC1 PCABHUDC1
Mitigation Technology Cost Effectiveness (M$1995/kt) and Mitigation Amount (Cumulative k Description M$1995/kt Mitigation amount (cu Reference 10% Reduction Dry Seals on Centrifugal Compressors (P&T) -2.39 112.3 111.6 On/Off site Process Heat 0.07 3,535.7 Redesign Blowdown/ESD (Trans&Stor) 0.12 1,539.5 1,530.3 Landfill Gas Flaring 0.13 442.4 Coal Mine Methane Flaring 0.13 21,995.1 Gob Gas Upgrade - New Captured Mines 0.15 0.5 4.2 Fuel Gas Blowdown Valve (P&T) 0.16 Landfill Gas to Pipeline Quality Gas 0.17 3,686.3 11,768.7 Gob Gas Upgrade - Existing Mines 0.21 1,988.2 1,990.1 Gob Gas Upgrade - New Vented Mines 0.23 253.5 2,310.4 Hot Taps (Trans&Stor) 0.26 66.8 Farm Scale Digesters-B (cool climate) 0.41 41.5 41.5 Offset Fuel (direct use going to boilers, etc.) 0.45 MSW Anaerobic Digestion 1 - Process Heat 0.47 3,641.4 3,641.4 Centralized Digesters (cool climate) 0.50 51.2 51.2 Landfill Gas Electricity Generation 0.54 841.0 2,186.8 Low-bleed pneumatic devices (Prod) 0.54 Landfill Gas Co-Generation 0.72 38,861.4 36,965.7 Coal Mine Methane Co-generation 1.07 8,197.3 7,768.0 Natural Gas Production Flaring 1.38 Landfill Increased Oxidiation Cap 1.48 Oil Production-Alaska (On-shore) Flaring 1.51 Oil Production-Lower 48 (On-shore) Flaring 1.56 Natural Gas Transmission and Storage Flaring 2.26 Farm Scale Digesters-B (warm climate) 2.47 1,047.9 1,047.9 Oil Production-Alaska (Off-shore) Utilization 2.53 Low-bleed pneumatic devices (P&T) 2.54 Oil Production-Lower 48 (Off-shore) Utilization 2.59 Gas turbines replace reciprocating engines (P&T) 2.89 MSW Anaerobic Digestion 2 - Electricity 4.09 1,081.8 1,081.8 Electronic Monitor at Lg Surface Fac. (Distrib) 5.01 Use smart regulators/clocking solenoids (D) 5.73 Reduce Glycol Circulation Rates in Dehydr (Prod) 6.73 MSW Power Plant 1 7.73 3,161.3 7,971.6 P&T-D I&M (Compressor Stations: Enhanced) 8.73 Catalytic Converter (P&T) 9.73 DEGAS Capture: New Coal--App., Bit., MSU 10.73 5.2 23.9 DEGAS Capture: New Coal--App., Bit., HSU 11.73
Incremental Methane Mitigation Cost Curve - 2000 to 2030
7.00 6.00
10% Reduction
5.00
50% Reduction
Mitigation Unit Cost (1995 M$/kt)
4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 0 -1.00
-2.00
200
400
600
800
-3.00
Cummulative Reduction (MMTCE)
Cumulative Methane Mitigation Cost Curve - 2000 to 2030
140,000
Reference
120,000
10% Reduction 20% Reduction
Mitigation Cumulative Cost (1995 M$)
100,000
30% Reduction 50% Reduction
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
Mitigation Cu
0
0 200 400 600 800
-20,000
Cummulative Reduction (MMTCE)
on Amount (Cumulative kt, CH4) Mitigation amount (cumulative kt CH4) 20% Reduction 30% Reduction 50% Reduction 111.4 110.5 101.7 3,768.3 6,834.5 8,336.2 1,528.2 1,514.8 1,394.1 30,331.8 40,067.5 43,907.0 33,437.8 34,367.7 31,525.2 4.0 3.7 2.0 670.6 663.9 819.6 11,911.2 11,911.2 11,842.2 1,989.3 1,988.2 1,929.0 2,209.1 2,035.4 1,392.1 66.7 66.0 60.2 41.5 41.5 41.5 357.4 3,118.1 3,951.3 3,641.4 3,641.4 3,641.4 51.2 51.2 50.1 2,119.2 2,119.2 2,186.8 153.8 290.4 588.4 31,029.0 28,663.5 27,399.4 7,404.2 4,713.6 1,856.0 355.5 936.3 20,388.5 2,826.3 8,559.5 6.7 30.9 1,047.9 1,047.9 1,049.0 659.9 58.1 7,494.5 1,592.8 1,081.8 1,081.8 1,081.8 66.9 58.9 2.2 7,971.6 7,971.6 7,971.6 3.7 31.6 23.1 21.7 9.1 7.4
M$1995/MMTCE -417.26 13.04 21.32 22.80 23.18 26.38 28.26 30.39 36.33 40.32 45.03 72.23 78.77 82.26 86.58 95.05 95.09 124.97 186.70 240.61 258.54 263.95 272.05 395.43 430.57 441.81 443.39 452.86 505.24 714.38 874.36 1000.19 1174.79 1349.40 1524.00 1698.60 1873.20 2047.81 Reference 0.6 8.8
0.0 21.1 11.4 1.5 0.2 20.9 0.3 4.8 222.6 46.9
Mitigation amount (cumulative MMT 10% Reduction 0.6 20.2 8.8 2.5 126.0 0.0 67.4 11.4 13.2 0.4 0.2 20.9 0.3 12.5 211.7 44.5
6.0
6.0
6.2
6.2
18.1
45.7
0.0
0.1
000 to 2030
1,000
1,200
1,000
1,200
on amount (cumulative MMTCE) 30% Reduction 50% Reduction 0.6 0.6 39.1 47.7 8.7 8.0 229.5 251.5 196.8 180.6 0.0 0.0 3.8 4.7 68.2 67.8 11.4 11.0 11.7 8.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 17.9 22.6 20.9 20.9 0.3 0.3 12.1 12.5 1.7 3.4 164.2 156.9 27.0 10.6 0.0 2.0 5.4 116.8 0.0 16.2 0.0 49.0 0.0 0.2 6.0 6.0 3.8 0.3 42.9 9.1 6.2 6.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 45.7 45.7 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Incremental and
Table Name: Methane Reduction - CLR for METH_AIR + METH_DUM TimePeriod Process EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PMSWAD1 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E
2000 2000 2000
-1
2005 2005 2005
Scenario GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G GHG10G
Cost (M$) 1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 1.2871 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 0 0 0 -6.1212 0.4466 4.29
kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) 5.5395 4.390 1.1458 4.1546 4.301 4.552 4.1546 3.230 1.8181 5.6356 1.780 14.9191 43.1297 1.804 327.805 43.1297 1.869 60.2302 0 0.000 295.0867 97.5372 0.143 1055.4619 0.0898 0.070 1.2871 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0.0029 3.1961 4.806 1.3632 0 0.000 2.4395 0 0.000 11.6808 17.8704 7.659 8.1393 0 0.000 3.0081 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 37.2766 0 0.000 0 2.5614 -0.418 -6.1212 1.7317 3.878 0.4466 35.1279 8.188 4.29
kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) 2.7697 2.417 19.5804 4.301 5.8731 3.230 26.5603 1.780 591.435 1.804 112.5906 1.869 72.1228 0.244 124.485 0.118 0.0898 0.070 0 0.000 0.0194 6.690 6.5515 4.806 10.7606 4.411 185.5601 15.886 62.3377 7.659 17.8704 5.941 0 0.000 90.193 2.420 0 0.000 2.5614 -0.418 1.7317 3.878 35.1279 8.188
GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G GHG20G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 PCAMMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PLFMIOCAP2 PMSWAD1 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 0.3021 0 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 8.0624 9.1804 0 0 -6.1212
5.5395 4.1546 4.1546 5.6356 43.1297 43.1297 0 97.5372 0.0211 0 0 0 3.1961 0 0 17.8704 0 17.8704 6.1999 0 0 2.5614
4.390 1.1458 4.301 4.552 3.230 1.8181 1.780 14.9191 1.804 327.805 1.869 60.2302 0.000 295.0867 0.143 1055.4619 0.070 0 0.000 0.3021 0.000 90.4007 0.000 0.0007 4.806 1.3632 0.000 0.5726 0.000 15.912 7.659 8.1393 0.000 3.0081 2.217 18.3523 0.675 32.0241 0.000 37.2766 0.000 0 -0.418 -6.1212
2.7697 19.5804 5.8731 26.5603 591.435 112.5906 72.1228 124.485 0 0.0199 695.907 0.0046 6.5515 2.5256 252.7768 62.3377 17.8704 40.6781 21.6274 90.193 0 2.5614
2.417 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.000 0.066 7.698 6.571 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 0.000 -0.418
GHG20G GHG20G
PNGTHTS29F PNGTRDB29E
0 4.29
0 35.1279
0.000 8.188
0.4466 4.29
1.7317 35.1279
3.878 8.188
GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G GHG30G
EBMANBC2 EBMANBW2 EBMANCD2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 ELFGPRG2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCAMLUDC1 PCAMMUDC1 PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PCBMPRH2 PLFGFLR2 PLFGNGS2 PLFGPRH2 PLFMIOCAP2 PMSWAD1 PNGPPDB11 PNGTDCC24 PNGTGTR25 PNGTHTS29F PNGTLPD21 PNGTRDB29E POILAOFA2 POILAONA2 POILDOFA2 POILDONA2 POILDONF2
1.2618 0.9659 1.2861 3.1656 23.9048 23.0722 0 679.9738 0 0.296 0 0 0.665 0 0 2.3333 0 8.0624 9.1804 0 0 -6.1212 0 0 0 4.29 0 0 0 0 0
5.5395 4.1546 4.1546 5.6356 43.1297 43.1297 0 97.5372 0 0.0195 0 0 3.1961 0 0 17.8704 0 17.8704 6.1999 0 0 2.5614 0 0 0 35.1281 0 0 0 0 0
4.390 1.2178 4.301 4.552 3.230 1.2861 1.780 14.9191 1.804 327.805 1.869 60.2302 0.000 295.0867 0.143 1055.4619 0.000 0 0.066 0.296 0.000 90.328 0.000 0.0009 4.806 1.3632 0.000 0.561 0.000 12.5517 7.659 8.1393 0.000 3.0081 2.217 18.3523 0.675 32.0241 0.000 37.2766 0.000 12.76 -0.418 -6.8778 0.000 0 0.000 0.5018 0.000 0 8.188 4.8202 0.000 0 0.000 0 0.000 0 0.000 0 0.000 0
4.4882 19.5804 4.1546 26.5603 591.435 112.5906 72.1228 124.485 0 0.0195 695.3479 0.0056 6.5515 2.4745 199.3962 62.3377 17.8704 40.6781 21.6274 90.193 23.4305 2.878 0 1.9457 0 39.4698 0 0 0 0 0
3.685 4.301 3.230 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.118 0.000 0.066 7.698 6.222 4.806 4.411 15.886 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 1.836 -0.418 0.000 3.877 0.000 8.188 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Incremental and Cumulative Methane Abatement Cost Curves
2010 2010 2010 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020
Cost (M$) kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) kt CH4 1.0297 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 15.3234 31.3228 2.044 36.4365 34.5035 0.947 88.6824 37.2215 1.4454 0 0.000 0.4229 0 0.000 0 0 58.5591 104.2521 1.780 143.7389 255.8966 1.780 140.5733 250.261 1019.7842 1839.9235 1.804 995.1823 1548.8642 1.556 940.16 1137.5909 60.2302 112.5906 1.869 57.0956 94.7429 1.659 36.6273 60.7783 299.9339 73.3075 0.244 299.9339 73.3075 0.244 60.6434 14.822 994.2223 111.7471 0.112 932.9827 99.0092 0.106 871.7539 86.2735 1.2871 0.0898 0.070 0.5634 0.0393 0.070 0.5634 0.0393 112.4131 865.3593 7.698 112.4131 865.3593 7.698 112.4131 865.3593 0.0029 0.0194 6.690 0.0029 0.0194 6.690 0.0013 0.0085 3.6843 17.7064 4.806 9.4599 45.4632 4.806 22.6456 108.8323 2.4395 10.7606 4.411 2.4395 10.7606 4.411 1.0679 4.7103 11.6808 185.5601 15.886 11.6808 4.0936 0.350 0 0 22.5864 172.9865 7.659 58.5354 448.3161 7.659 147.9881 1133.4244 10.493 62.3377 5.941 29.1181 172.9865 5.941 75.4632 448.3161 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 8.0624 17.8704 78.4329 189.7733 2.420 96.0767 232.4635 2.420 138.5539 335.2399 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 19.4294 35.677 -6.3417 2.6537 -0.418 -7.1031 2.9723 -0.418 -8.1625 3.4156 0.4627 1.7941 3.877 0.5183 2.0094 3.877 0.5956 2.3091 4.4445 36.3936 8.188 4.9782 40.7631 8.188 5.7206 46.8426
1.0297 0 15.3234 31.3228 1.4454 0 58.5591 104.2521 1029.5981 1857.6299 60.2302 112.5906 299.9339 73.3075 994.2223 111.7471 0 0 0.3021 0.0199 90.4007 695.907 0.0009 0.0058 3.6843 17.7064 0.5726 2.5256 15.912 110.6499 22.5864 172.9865 10.493 62.3377 31.4851 69.7871 88.8666 60.0158 78.4329 189.7733 17.0058 31.2268 -7.413 3.102
0.000 2.044 0.000 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.112 0.000 0.066 7.698 6.444 4.806 4.411 6.954 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 1.836 -0.418
0 0 36.4365 34.5035 0.4229 0 109.3652 194.7015 1000.626 1514.8693 57.923 108.2776 299.9339 73.3075 932.9827 99.0092 0.3927 0.0274 0 0 90.4007 674.5173 0.0009 0.0058 9.4599 45.4632 0.5726 1.6185 15.912 0 58.5354 448.3161 29.1181 172.9865 48.2463 106.9383 230.3089 155.5385 96.0767 232.4635 18.7215 34.3773 -9.1114 3.8127
0.000 0.947 0.000 1.780 1.514 1.869 0.244 0.106 0.070 0.000 7.461 6.444 4.806 2.827 0.000 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 1.836 -0.418
0 0 88.6824 37.2215 0 0 112.9302 201.0483 945.5361 1102.7954 37.158 69.4609 850.1676 207.7914 871.7539 86.2735 0.4195 0.0293 0 0 90.4788 696.5084 0.0009 0.0059 18.2859 87.8797 0.7443 3.2832 0 0 147.9881 1133.4244 75.4632 448.3161 69.6382 154.3538 582.2625 393.2295 58.8001 142.2705 20.1705 37.038 -9.1114 3.8127
0.5409 5.1954
2.0971 42.5416
3.877 8.188
0.6648 6.3857
2.5776 52.2883
3.877 8.188
0.6648 6.3857
2.5776 52.2883
1.0297 0 15.3234 31.3228 1.0225 0 18.3185 32.6123 1029.5981 1857.6299 60.2302 112.5906 707.3616 172.8879 994.2223 111.7471 0.296 0.0195 0 0 90.328 316.093 0.0009 0.0056 3.6843 17.7064 0.561 2.4745 12.5517 67.8799 22.5864 172.9865 10.493 62.3377 31.4851 69.7871 88.8666 60.0158 37.2766 90.193 17.0058 31.2268 -8.6135 3.6043 0 0 0.6285 2.4367 0 0 6.0367 49.4306 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.000 2.044 0.000 1.780 1.804 1.869 0.244 0.112 0.066 0.000 3.499 6.222 4.806 4.411 5.408 7.659 5.941 2.217 0.675 2.420 1.836 -0.418 0.000 3.877 0.000 8.188 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0 0 36.4365 34.5035 0 0 18.3185 32.6123 1000.626 1514.8693 57.923 108.2776 882.0264 215.5781 932.9827 99.0092 0 0 0 0 90.328 173.0416 0.0009 0.0056 4.5789 22.0056 0.561 0.5823 12.5517 20.3252 58.5354 448.3161 29.1181 172.9865 48.2463 106.9383 230.3089 155.5385 37.2766 90.193 19.4857 35.7804 -10.0152 4.1908 0 0 0.7308 2.8333 0 0 7.019 57.4746 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.000 0 0 0.947 88.6824 37.2215 0.000 0 0 1.780 15.1088 26.0322 1.514 945.5361 1102.7954 1.869 37.158 69.4609 0.244 1432.2601 350.062 0.106 871.7539 86.2735 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 1.916 90.328 89.2877 6.222 0 0 4.806 3.8807 11.5717 1.038 0 0 1.619 0 0 7.659 147.9881 1133.4244 5.941 75.4632 448.3161 2.217 69.6382 154.3538 0.675 582.2625 393.2295 2.420 0 0 1.836 21.0861 38.7191 -0.418 -10.736 4.4924 0.000 0 0 3.877 0.7834 3.0372 0.000 0 0 8.188 7.5242 61.6111 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0
2020
2025
2025
2025
2030
2030
2030
2000 to 2030 Totals
Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) kt CH4 Sort(kt/M$) Cost (M$) kt CH4 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 17.2 41.55 0.420 142.441 39.957 0.281 228.9464 43.051 0.188 2586.7 1048.95 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 24.9 50.14 1.780 140.7459 250.5682 1.780 140.548 250.2159 1.780 3211.2 5716.95 1.210 630.3757 519.6727 0.824 33.6508 60.7137 1.804 19854.3 28706.65 1.659 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 1186.3 2119.16 0.244 445.987 109.0047 0.244 1013.3532 247.676 0.244 12074.7 2951.20 0.099 810.5143 73.5356 0.091 436.6845 39.6767 0.091 28908.0 3161.32 0.070 1.6833 0.1175 0.070 4.3905 0.3064 0.070 55.3 3.86 7.698 112.5549 866.4512 7.698 112.3998 865.2568 7.698 2811.0 21638.93 6.538 0.0013 0.0085 6.538 0.0038 0.0254 6.684 0.1 0.50 4.806 22.6748 108.9724 4.806 22.6398 108.8044 4.806 415.7 1997.63 4.411 1.0679 4.7103 4.411 3.1905 4.7103 1.476 63.2 232.06 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.000 175.2 1876.07 7.659 370.575 2838.1929 7.659 534.9971 4097.4828 7.659 5725.8 43853.05 5.941 161.8697 961.6445 5.941 143.2446 770.7906 5.381 2116.0 12169.73 2.217 18.3523 40.6781 2.217 31.4851 69.7871 2.217 289.5 641.68 2.420 117.8625 285.1756 2.420 100.2187 183.6529 1.833 2842.1 6582.49 1.836 21.8272 40.08 1.836 23.6198 43.3718 1.836 324.4 595.64 -0.418 -9.2111 3.8544 -0.418 -11.3229 4.738 -0.418 -271.9 113.78 3.877 0.6721 2.6058 3.877 0.8262 3.2032 3.877 19.8 76.93 8.188 6.4555 52.8603 8.188 7.9356 64.9795 8.188 190.6 1560.47
0.000 0 0 0.420 142.441 39.957 0.000 0 0 1.780 101.1767 180.1237 1.166 635.8759 486.3452 1.869 0 0 0.244 1612.7685 394.1805 0.099 810.5143 73.5356 0.070 0.4195 0.0293 0.000 0 0 7.698 80.995 623.5018 6.556 0.001 0.0063 4.806 16.2861 78.2693 4.411 0.795 3.5068 0.000 0 0 7.659 370.575 2838.1929 5.941 161.8697 961.6445 2.217 96.9404 214.8693 0.675 1458.0359 984.6807 2.420 17.6438 0 1.836 21.8272 40.08 -0.418 -10.5801 4.4272
0.000 0 0 0.281 228.9464 43.051 0.000 0 0 1.780 112.6192 200.4946 0.765 54.7412 98.7657 0.000 0 0 0.244 1764.7596 431.329 0.091 436.6845 39.6767 0.070 0.5634 0.0393 0.000 0 0 7.698 90.2299 694.5926 6.300 0.001 0.0063 4.806 18.3309 88.0964 4.411 0.795 2.6153 0.000 0 0 7.659 480.0019 3676.281 5.941 143.2446 770.7906 2.217 131.7856 292.1042 0.675 3637.2403 2456.4007 0.000 0 0 1.836 24.6919 45.3404 -0.418 -12.1857 5.0991
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 1.804 0.000 0.244 0.091 0.070 0.000 7.698 6.300 4.806 3.290 0.000 7.659 5.381 2.217 0.675 0.000 1.836 -0.418
17.2 2586.7 24.9 2563.7 20090.4 1193.1 25613.3 28908.0 10.5 3.0 2664.5 0.0 340.4 20.3 238.7 5450.8 2116.0 2022.6 30189.6 1441.2 512.1 -303.2
41.55 1048.95 50.14 4564.08 28474.85 2230.25 6260.19 3161.32 0.73 0.20 20404.67 0.17 1635.81 80.38 1817.13 41747.05 12169.73 4483.01 20388.46 3273.50 940.31 126.88
3.877 8.188
0.772 7.4149
2.9931 60.7164
3.877 8.188
0.8891 8.5402
3.4473 69.9307
3.877 8.188
19.9 212.5
77.12 1740.11
0.000 0 0 0.420 142.441 39.957 0.000 0 0 1.723 3.3995 6.052 1.166 635.8759 486.3452 1.869 0 0 0.244 1612.7685 394.1805 0.099 810.5143 73.5356 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 0.988 2.6982 20.7705 0.000 0 0 2.982 1.2675 2.6997 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 7.659 370.575 2838.1929 5.941 161.8697 961.6445 2.217 96.9404 214.8693 0.675 1458.0359 984.6807 0.000 0 0 1.836 23.1845 42.5724 -0.418 -11.9118 4.9845 0.000 0 0 3.877 0.8692 3.3698 0.000 9.6684 3.8073 8.188 8.3483 68.359 0.000 74.8268 29.5716 0.000 0 0 0.000 750.9971 292.4542 0.000 0 0 0.000 12.5282 8.1495
0.000 0 0 0.281 228.9464 43.051 0.000 0 0 1.780 4.6105 8.208 0.765 152.8066 245.9238 0.000 0 0 0.244 1764.7596 431.329 0.091 436.6845 39.6767 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 7.698 3.6328 27.9657 0.000 0 0 2.130 0.7584 3.6449 0.000 0 0 0.000 0 0 7.659 379.5767 2907.1359 5.941 143.2446 770.7906 2.217 131.7856 292.1042 0.675 3637.2403 2456.4007 0.000 0 0 1.836 26.1277 47.9768 -0.418 -13.0138 5.4456 0.000 396.1093 136.8877 3.877 0.9496 3.6816 0.394 10.5629 4.1595 8.188 9.1206 74.6832 0.395 74.8268 29.5716 0.000 393.0726 122.9342 0.389 750.9971 292.4542 0.000 973.284 298.1183 0.650 12.5282 8.1495
0.000 0.188 0.000 1.780 1.609 0.000 0.244 0.091 0.000 0.000 7.698 0.000 4.806 0.000 0.000 7.659 5.381 2.217 0.675 0.000 1.836 -0.418 0.346 3.877 0.394 8.188 0.395 0.313 0.389 0.306 0.650
17.5 2586.7 18.0 389.2 20580.8 1193.1 33471.3 28908.0 1.5 3.0 1838.2 0.0 81.0 8.4 188.3 4948.7 2116.0 2022.6 30189.6 559.1 598.2 -336.4 1980.5 22.3 101.2 235.8 748.3 1965.4 7510.0 4866.4 125.3
50.14 1048.95 41.55 688.56 29210.64 2230.25 8180.80 3161.32 0.10 0.20 6612.53 0.08 336.88 27.66 1438.01 37901.32 12169.73 4483.01 20388.46 1352.90 1098.53 140.79 684.44 86.52 39.83 1930.78 295.72 614.67 2924.54 1490.59 81.50
Years per period
Period Total
5
00 to 2030 Totals
M$/kt 0.414 2.466 0.496 0.562 0.692 0.560 4.091 9.144 14.331 0.130 0.150 0.208 0.272 0.093 0.131 0.174 0.451 0.432 0.545 -2.390 0.258 0.122
10% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PCBMPRH2 PNGTRDB29E PCBMFLR2 PLFGFLR2 PCBMGGUC2 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PNGTHTS29F PCBMGGUV2 EBMANBC2 PMSWAD1 PLFGPRH2 EBMANCD2 PNGPPDB11 ELFGPRG2 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCABMUDC1 20% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PNGTRDB29E PLFGFLR2 PCBMFLR2 PCBMPRH2 PCBMGGUC2 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PCBMGGUV2 PNGTHTS29F EBMANBC2 PMSWAD1 PLFGPRH2 EBMANCD2 ELFGPRG2 PNGPPDB11 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 PLFMIOCAP2 EBMANBW2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1
Emission (kt) 113.8 1876.1 1560.5 21638.9 43853.1 0.5 12169.7 1997.6 76.9 232.1 41.5 6582.5 641.7 50.1 595.6 2119.2 5716.9 28706.6 1049.0 2951.2 3161.3 3.9 Emission (kt) 126.9 1740.1 41747.0 20404.7 1817.1 0.2 12169.7 1635.8 80.4 77.1 41.5 3273.5 4483.0 50.1 2230.2 940.3 4564.1 28474.9 20388.5 1049.0 6260.2 3161.3
Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE -271.9 0.7 175.2 11.4 190.6 20.3 2811.0 144.3 5725.8 395.4 0.1 395.4 2116.0 465.1 415.7 476.6 19.8 477.0 63.2 478.3 17.2 478.6 2842.1 516.3 289.5 520.0 24.9 520.2 324.4 523.7 1186.3 535.8 3211.2 568.5 19854.3 732.9 2586.7 738.9 12074.7 755.9 28908.0 55.3 Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE -303.2 0.7 212.5 10.7 5450.8 249.8 2664.5 366.7 238.7 377.1 0.0 377.1 2116.0 446.8 340.4 456.1 20.3 456.6 19.9 457.0 17.2 457.3 1441.2 476.0 2022.6 501.7 24.9 502.0 1193.1 514.8 512.1 520.1 2563.7 546.3 20090.4 709.4 30189.6 826.1 2586.7 832.1 25613.3 868.0 28908.0
M$1995/kt -2.39 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.21 0.26 0.27 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.50 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.69 2.47 4.09
0.414 2.466 0.496 0.562 0.706 0.535 4.091 9.144 14.325 15.181 0.131 0.156 0.208 0.252 0.131 0.131 0.174 0.451 1.481 0.440 0.545 -2.390
M$1995/kt -2.39 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.21 0.25 0.26 0.41 0.44 0.45 0.50 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.71 1.48 2.47 4.09
0.258 0.122
PCABMUDC1 PCAMMUDC1 30% Reduction PNGTDCC24 PNGTRDB29E PLFGFLR2 PCBMPRH2 PCBMGGUC2 PLFGNGS2 PCBMGGUE2 PNGTHTS29F PCBMFLR2 PCBMGGUV2 EBMANBC2 PMSWAD1 EBMANCD2 PLFGPRH2 ELFGPRG2 PNGPPDB11 ECBMCOG2 ELFGCOG2 PLFMIOCAP2 POILDONF2 EBMANBW2 POILAOFA2 PNGTLPD21 POILDOFA2 PNGTGTR25 POILAONA2 POILDONA2 EMSWAD1 EMSWPP1 PCAMLUDC1 PCAMMUDC1
0.7 0.2 Emission (kt) 140.785 1930.782 37901.3 1438.0 0.1 12169.7 336.9 86.5215 6612.5 27.7 50.1 1352.9 41.5 4483.0 2230.2 1098.53 688.6 29210.6 20388.5 81.495 1049.0 295.716 39.834 2924.542 684.4385 614.671 1490.5915 8180.8 3161.3 0.1 0.2
10.5 3.0 Cost (M$) Cum MMTCE -336.4465 0.8 235.795 11.9 4948.7 228.9 188.3 237.2 0.0 237.2 2116.0 306.9 81.0 308.8 22.3165 309.3 1838.2 347.2 8.4 347.3 17.5 347.6 559.1 355.4 18.0 355.6 2022.6 381.3 1193.1 394.1 598.249 400.3 389.2 404.3 20580.8 571.6 30189.6 688.4 125.282 688.8 2586.7 694.8 748.268 696.5 101.1565 696.8 7509.971 713.5 1980.5465 717.4 1965.363 720.9 4866.42 729.5 33471.3 776.3 28908.0 1.5 3.0 M$1995/kt -2.39 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.35 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.53 0.54 0.57 0.70 1.48 1.54 2.47 2.53 2.54 2.57 2.89 3.20 3.26 4.09
0.350 2.466 0.433 0.565 0.705 0.535 4.091 9.144 15.179 15.179 0.278 0.161 0.240 0.304 0.131 0.131 0.174 0.451 1.481 0.413 0.545 -2.390 2.894 0.258 2.539 0.122 2.530 3.197 2.568 3.265 1.537
Mitigation Unit Cost (1995 M$/kt CH4)
Cum Cost (M$) -271.9 -96.7 93.9 2,904.8 8,630.6 8,630.7 10,746.7 11,162.3 11,182.2 11,245.4 11,262.6 14,104.7 14,394.2 14,419.0 14,743.4 15,929.7 19,141.0 38,995.3 41,582.0 53,656.7
Incremental Methane Mitigation Cost Curve - 2000 to 2030 (GHG Scenario
5.00
10% Reduction
4.00
20% Reduction 30% Reduction
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Cum Cost (M$) -303.2 -90.7 5,360.1 8,024.6 8,263.3 8,263.3 10,379.3 10,719.7 10,739.9 10,759.8 10,777.0 12,218.2 14,240.7 14,265.6 15,458.7 15,970.7 18,534.4 38,624.8 68,814.4 71,401.2 97,014.4
0 -1.00
100
200
300
400
500
600
-2.00
-3.00 Cummulative Reduction (kt CH4))
Cumulative Methane Mitigation Cost Curve - 2000 to 2030 (GHG Scenario)
140,000
10% Reduction
120,000
20% Reduction 30% Reduction
30% Reduction
Cum Cost (M$) -336.4 -100.7 4,848.0 5,036.3 5,036.3 7,152.3 7,233.3 7,255.6 9,093.8 9,102.2 9,119.8 9,678.9 9,696.9 11,719.4 12,912.5 13,510.8 13,900.0 34,480.7 64,670.3 64,795.6 67,382.3 68,130.6 68,231.8 75,741.7 77,722.3 79,687.6 84,554.1 118,025.4
Mitigation Cumlative Cost (1995 M$)
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0 0 -20,000 Cummulative Reduction (MMTCE) 100 200 300 400 500 600
2000 to 2030 (GHG Scenario)
600
700
800
900
1,000
duction (kt CH4))
2000 to 2030 (GHG Scenario)
600
700
800
900
1,000
Reduction (MMTCE)
Conversion Factors 1 Gg CH4 = 0.05484 1 Tg = 52 1 Bcf = 1.0546 1 Tg = 5.7273 1 MMT MSW = 11 1 m3 CH4 = 37 0.10444 1 $/TCE = 1 kg CH4 = 21 Model Monetary Units 1 short ton coal = 20.0 1 million short ton coal = 21.1 ft3 CH4/short ton coal = 0.000911 1 m3 CH4 = 0.662 1 GW = 31.536 M$/PJ(lfg) = 66.1 1 million barrels oil = 5.8 Emission Factors 1 PJ CH4 released = 18.2351 1 PJ CH4 burned = 0.0561 1 PJ MSW burned = 0.07333 1 kt CH4 burned = 2.75 GDP Deflators 1992 91.84 1993 94.05 1994 96.01 1995 98.1 1996 100 1997 101.95 1998 103.2 1999 104.69 2000 106.89 2001 109.42 2002 110.5
PJ Bcf PJ MMTCE PJ MJ m$/PJ kg CO2 eq. 1995$US M Million Btu PJ kt/PJ kg CH4 PJa M$/PJ(msw) PJ
1 ft3= 1 kg CH4=
0.0283 m3 1.4716 m3
carbon, not CO2 kt CH4
0.0057273 MMTCE
kt CH4 kt CO2 mt CO2 kt CO2
Conversion to US$1995
1.0682 1.0431 1.0218 1.0000 0.9810 0.9622 0.9506 0.9371 0.9178 0.8965 0.8878
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