The 2011 Import and Export Market for Ferromanganese in France

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					The 2011 Import and Export
Market for Ferromanganese in
           France




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                 Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET                            9
    2.1    Imports in France in 2011                         9
    2.2    Exports from France in 2011                      10
3     IMPORTS IN FRANCE                                     11
    3.1      Africa                                         11
       3.1.1   South Africa                                 11
    3.2      Asia                                           12
       3.2.1   China                                        12
       3.2.2   South Korea                                  13
    3.3      Europe                                         14
       3.3.1   Belgium                                      14
       3.3.2   France                                       15
       3.3.3   Germany                                      16
       3.3.4   Italy                                        17
       3.3.5   Luxembourg                                   17
       3.3.6   Norway                                       18
       3.3.7   Russia                                       19
       3.3.8   Spain                                        20
       3.3.9   Sweden                                       21
       3.3.10 the Netherlands                               21
       3.3.11 the United Kingdom                            22
    3.4      Latin America                                  23
       3.4.1   Brazil                                       23
       3.4.2   Mexico                                       24
4     EXPORTS FROM FRANCE                                   25
    4.1      Africa                                         25
       4.1.1   Morocco                                      25
    4.2      Europe                                         25
       4.2.1   Austria                                      25
       4.2.2   Belgium                                      26
       4.2.3   Bulgaria                                     26
       4.2.4   Finland                                      27
       4.2.5   France                                       27
       4.2.6   Germany                                      28
       4.2.7   Greece                                       29
       4.2.8   Italy                                        29
       4.2.9   Luxembourg                                   30
       4.2.10 Poland                                        30
       4.2.11 Spain                                         31
       4.2.12 Sweden                                        31
       4.2.13 Switzerland                                   32
       4.2.14 the Netherlands                               32
       4.2.15 the United Kingdom                            33
    4.3      Latin America                                  33
       4.3.1   Mexico                                       33
       4.3.2   Peru                                         34
    4.4      North America & the Caribbean                  34


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                                                            Contents        vi

       4.4.1    Canada                                                 34
       4.4.2    the United States                                      35
    4.5      the Middle East                                           35
       4.5.1    Qatar                                                  35
       4.5.2    Saudi Arabia                                           36
       4.5.3    Turkey                                                 36
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS           37
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  37
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  38




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                                                                 Ferromanganese in France         7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on ferromanganese in France face
a number of questions. Which countries are supplying ferromanganese to France? How
important is France compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of ferromanganese vary from one country of origin to another in France?
On the supply side, France also exports ferromanganese. Which countries receive the most
exports from France? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of
these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for ferromanganese in France. With
the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can
managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have
developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for
ferromanganese for those countries serving France via exports, or supplying from France via
imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and
econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for
imported and exported ferromanganese. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide
basis, and those for France in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over
150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country
represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive
countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country
of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a
volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world
totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each
market and the share that France is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are
calculated to allow managers to prioritize France compared to other major country markets. In
this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal
information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of ferromanganese,
Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving France. A
“major” market is defined as a country where France represents a substantially large share of
either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to France, one can thus observe how
important France is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4
does the same, but for exports of ferromanganese originating from France, for each major country
of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that France has in each major market; this
share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for France. In all cases, the total dollar
volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters
3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of ferromanganese to and from France


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                                                                   Ferromanganese in France         8

to and from all other major countries in the world. "Ferromanganese" as a category is defined in
this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification
Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The
SITC code that defined "ferromanganese" is 6714 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=671 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                                                                     Ferromanganese in France           9


2       FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN FRANCE IN 2011
                          Imported Ferromanganese in France, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Norway                            1                    22,530               42.30                 42.30
South Africa                      2                    18,660               35.03                 77.33
Spain                             3                     3,996                7.50                 84.84
Germany                           4                     2,088                3.92                 88.76
Italy                             5                     1,798                3.38                 92.13
China                             6                     1,371                2.57                 94.71
the Netherlands                   7                     1,122                2.11                 96.81
Belgium                           8                     1,082                2.03                 98.85
Luxembourg                        9                       291                0.55                 99.39
Russia                           10                       126                0.24                 99.63
the United Kingdom               11                        78                0.15                 99.77
France                           12                        67                0.13                 99.90
Brazil                           13                        26                0.05                 99.95
Mexico                           14                        10                0.02                 99.97
Sweden                           15                        10                0.02                 99.99
South Korea                      16                         7                0.01                100.00
Total                                                  53,262              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                                                     Ferromanganese in France         10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM FRANCE IN 2011
                         Ferromanganese Exports from France, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany                           1                    30,088               30.46                 30.46
Belgium                           2                    22,672               22.95                 53.41
the Netherlands                   3                    10,722               10.85                 64.27
Sweden                            4                     8,838                8.95                 73.22
Italy                             5                     6,242                6.32                 79.54
the United Kingdom                6                     5,218                5.28                 84.82
Turkey                            7                     3,925                3.97                 88.79
the United States                 8                     2,992                3.03                 91.82
Spain                             9                     2,205                2.23                 94.05
Canada                           10                     1,513                1.53                 95.58
Saudi Arabia                     11                     1,388                1.41                 96.99
Austria                          12                     1,139                1.15                 98.14
Luxembourg                       13                       967                0.98                 99.12
Finland                          14                       189                0.19                 99.31
Morocco                          15                       156                0.16                 99.47
Poland                           16                       131                0.13                 99.60
Switzerland                      17                       118          
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on ferromanganese in France face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying ferromanganese to France? How important is France compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of ferromanganese vary from one country of origin to another in France? On the supply side, France also exports ferromanganese. Which countries receive the most exports from France? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for ferromanganese in France. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for ferromanganese for those countries serving France via exports, or supplying from France via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for imported and exported ferromanganese. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for France in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each coun
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