The 2011 Import and Export
Market for Aluminum Doors,
Windows, Door Thresholds,
and Window Frames in France
By
Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
Chaired Professor of Management Science
INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)
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About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.
Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.
About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.
Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.
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Contents v
Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 7
2 FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET 9
2.1 Imports in France in 2011 9
2.2 Exports from France in 2011 10
3 IMPORTS IN FRANCE 11
3.1 Africa 11
3.1.1 Egypt 11
3.1.2 Mauritius 11
3.1.3 South Africa 12
3.1.4 Tunisia 12
3.2 Asia 13
3.2.1 China 13
3.3 Europe 14
3.3.1 Austria 14
3.3.2 Belgium 15
3.3.3 Bulgaria 16
3.3.4 Czech Republic 16
3.3.5 Denmark 17
3.3.6 Finland 18
3.3.7 France 19
3.3.8 Germany 20
3.3.9 Greece 21
3.3.10 Hungary 22
3.3.11 Italy 23
3.3.12 Luxembourg 24
3.3.13 Poland 25
3.3.14 Portugal 26
3.3.15 Romania 26
3.3.16 Serbia and Montenegro 27
3.3.17 Spain 28
3.3.18 Sweden 29
3.3.19 Switzerland 30
3.3.20 the Netherlands 31
3.3.21 the United Kingdom 32
3.4 North America & the Caribbean 33
3.4.1 Canada 33
3.4.2 the United States 34
3.4.3 Trinidad and Tobago 35
3.5 the Middle East 35
3.5.1 the United Arab Emirates 35
3.5.2 Turkey 36
4 EXPORTS FROM FRANCE 37
4.1 Africa 37
4.1.1 Benin 37
4.1.2 Cameroon 37
4.1.3 Mauritius 38
4.1.4 Morocco 38
4.1.5 Senegal 39
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Contents vi
4.1.6 South Africa 39
4.2 Asia 40
4.2.1 China 40
4.2.2 Hong Kong 41
4.3 Europe 42
4.3.1 Austria 42
4.3.2 Belgium 43
4.3.3 Croatia 44
4.3.4 Finland 45
4.3.5 France 46
4.3.6 Germany 47
4.3.7 Hungary 48
4.3.8 Italy 49
4.3.9 Luxembourg 50
4.3.10 Malta 50
4.3.11 Norway 51
4.3.12 Poland 52
4.3.13 Romania 53
4.3.14 Russia 54
4.3.15 Spain 55
4.3.16 Switzerland 56
4.3.17 the Netherlands 57
4.3.18 the United Kingdom 58
4.4 North America & the Caribbean 59
4.4.1 the United States 59
4.5 Oceana 60
4.5.1 New Caledonia 60
4.6 the Middle East 60
4.6.1 Saudi Arabia 60
4.6.2 Turkey 61
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 62
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 62
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 63
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Aluminum Doors, Windows, Door Thresholds, and Window Frames in France 7
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on aluminum doors, windows,
door thresholds, and window frames in France face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying aluminum doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames to France? How
important is France compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of aluminum doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames vary
from one country of origin to another in France? On the supply side, France also exports
aluminum doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames. Which countries receive the
most exports from France? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value
of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for aluminum doors, windows, door
thresholds, and window frames in France. With the globalization of this market, managers can no
longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics
which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on
macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for aluminum doors, windows, door
thresholds, and window frames for those countries serving France via exports, or supplying from
France via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators
and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for
imported and exported aluminum doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames. The
total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for France in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that France is likely
to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize
France compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this
report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning
purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of aluminum doors,
windows, door thresholds, and window frames, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for
each major country of origin serving France. A “major” market is defined as a country where
France represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country
exporting to France, one can thus observe how important France is to that exporting country
compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of aluminum
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Aluminum Doors, Windows, Door Thresholds, and Window Frames in France 8
doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames originating from France, for each major
country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that France has in each major
market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for France. In all cases,
the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of aluminum
doors, windows, door thresholds, and window frames to and from France to and from all other
major countries in the world. "Aluminum Doors, Windows, Door Thresholds, and Window
Frames" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United
Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "aluminum doors,
windows, door thresholds, and window frames" is 69121 . For more information on this
definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=691 .
This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
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Aluminum Doors, Windows, Door Thresholds, and Window Frames in France 9
2 FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 IMPORTS IN FRANCE IN 2011
Imported Aluminum Doors, Windows, Door Thresholds, and Window Frames in
France, 2011
(Structure of Foreign Import Competition)
Country of Origin Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Italy 1 39,710 39.28 39.28
Czech Republic 2 13,662 13.52 52.80
Germany 3 9,664 9.56 62.36
Mauritius 4 6,441 6.37 68.73
Spain 5 5,946 5.88 74.61
the Netherlands 6 5,128 5.07 79.69
Belgium 7 3,746 3.71 83.39
China 8 3,447 3.41 86.80
Switzerland 9 3,213 3.18 89.98
Austria 10 2,206 2.18 92.16
Portugal 11 1,935 1.91 94.08
the United Kingdom 12 1,921 1.90 95.98
Sweden 13 642 0.64 96.61
Denmark 14 466 0.46 97.07
Finland 15 420 0.42 97.49
Poland 16