The 2011 Import and Export Market for Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics in Germany

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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics in Germany Powered By Docstoc
					  The 2011 Import and Export
  Market for Woven Fabrics of
  Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip,
     Used for Apparel and
     Furnishing Fabrics in
           Germany




                                          By
                          Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.


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                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                           Contents        vi


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                     7
2     GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET                                     9
    2.1    Imports in Germany in 2011                                  9
    2.2    Exports from Germany in 2011                               10
3     IMPORTS IN GERMANY                                              11
    3.1      Asia                                                     11
       3.1.1   China                                                  11
       3.1.2   India                                                  12
       3.1.3   Japan                                                  13
       3.1.4   South Korea                                            14
       3.1.5   Taiwan                                                 15
    3.2      Europe                                                   15
       3.2.1   Austria                                                15
       3.2.2   France                                                 16
       3.2.3   Hungary                                                16
       3.2.4   Italy                                                  17
       3.2.5   Switzerland                                            17
       3.2.6   the Netherlands                                        18
       3.2.7   the United Kingdom                                     18
4     EXPORTS FROM GERMANY                                            19
    4.1      Asia                                                     19
       4.1.1    India                                                 19
    4.2      Europe                                                   19
       4.2.1    Austria                                               19
       4.2.2    Belgium                                               20
       4.2.3    Denmark                                               20
       4.2.4    France                                                21
       4.2.5    Hungary                                               21
       4.2.6    Italy                                                 22
       4.2.7    Poland                                                22
       4.2.8    Slovakia                                              23
       4.2.9    Spain                                                 23
       4.2.10 Switzerland                                             24
       4.2.11 the Netherlands                                         24
       4.2.12 the United Kingdom                                      25
    4.3      North America & the Caribbean                            25
       4.3.1    the United States                                     25
    4.4      the Middle East                                          26
       4.4.1    Turkey                                                26
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          27
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  27
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  28




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Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics in Germany   7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on woven fabrics of metal thread,
yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics in Germany face a number of questions.
Which countries are supplying woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and
furnishing fabrics to Germany? How important is Germany compared to others in terms of the
entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of woven fabrics of metal thread,
yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics vary from one country of origin to another
in Germany? On the supply side, Germany also exports woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or
strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics. Which countries receive the most exports from
Germany? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports
and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for woven fabrics of metal thread,
yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics in Germany. With the globalization of this
market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented
with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a
methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for woven
fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics for those countries
serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports. It does so for the current
year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for
imported and exported woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and
furnishing fabrics. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for
Germany in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country
markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of
the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based
on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then
calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and
export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we
are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share
that Germany is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow
managers to prioritize Germany compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the
figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information
sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of woven fabrics of metal
thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics, Chapter 3 goes into detail on
imports, but for each major country of origin serving Germany. A “major” market is defined as a
country where Germany represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For
each major country exporting to Germany, one can thus observe how important Germany is to


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Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics in Germany   8

that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for
exports of woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics
originating from Germany, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover
the share that Germany has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of
competitiveness for Germany. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values
by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for
imports and exports of woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and
furnishing fabrics to and from Germany to and from all other major countries in the world.
"Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics" as a
category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics
Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3
(SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used
for apparel and furnishing fabrics" is 65491 . For more information on this definition, please
refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=654 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and Furnishing Fabrics in Germany       9


2       GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN GERMANY IN 2011
    Imported Woven Fabrics of Metal Thread, Yarn, or Strip, Used for Apparel and
                        Furnishing Fabrics in Germany, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Switzerland                       1                       377               30.43                 30.43
India                             2                       275               22.20                 52.62
Italy                             3                       207               16.71                 69.33
the Netherlands                   4                       131               10.57                 79.90
China                             5                        74                5.97                 85.88
South Korea                       6                        71                5.73                 91.61
France                            7 
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics in Germany face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics to Germany? How important is Germany compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics vary from one country of origin to another in Germany? On the supply side, Germany also exports woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics. Which countries receive the most exports from Germany? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics in Germany. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics for those countries serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for imported and exported woven fabrics of metal thread, yarn, or strip, used for apparel and furnishing fabrics. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis,
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