The 2011 Import and Export Market for Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing Thread in Bulgaria

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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing Thread in Bulgaria Powered By Docstoc
					   The 2011 Import and Export
      Market for Wholesale
    Synthetic Yarn Containing
     Less Than 85% Synthetic
     Staple Fibers by Weight
   Excluding Sewing Thread in
             Bulgaria




www.icongrouponline.com   ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




www.icongrouponline.com                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                                                                                  iii




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                                                                    v


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                                                            Contents        vi


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                      7
2     BULGARIA AND THE WORLD MARKET                                     9
    2.1     Imports in Bulgaria in 2011                                 9
    2.2     Exports from Bulgaria in 2011                              10
3     IMPORTS IN BULGARIA                                              11
    3.1      Asia                                                      11
       3.1.1    Indonesia                                              11
    3.2      Europe                                                    12
       3.2.1    Austria                                                12
       3.2.2    Belgium                                                13
       3.2.3    Czech Republic                                         14
       3.2.4    Denmark                                                15
       3.2.5    France                                                 16
       3.2.6    Germany                                                17
       3.2.7    Greece                                                 18
       3.2.8    Italy                                                  19
       3.2.9    Romania                                                20
       3.2.10 Spain                                                    21
       3.2.11 the Netherlands                                          22
       3.2.12 the United Kingdom                                       23
    3.3      the Middle East                                           24
       3.3.1    the United Arab Emirates                               24
       3.3.2    Turkey                                                 25
4     EXPORTS FROM BULGARIA                                            26
    4.1      Europe                                                    26
       4.1.1    Croatia                                                26
       4.1.2    France                                                 27
       4.1.3    Germany                                                28
       4.1.4    Italy                                                  29
       4.1.5    Lithuania                                              30
       4.1.6    Poland                                                 31
       4.1.7    Romania                                                32
    4.2      North America & the Caribbean                             33
       4.2.1    Canada                                                 33
       4.2.2    the United States                                      34
    4.3      the Middle East                                           35
       4.3.1    Turkey                                                 35
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS           36
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  36
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  37




www.icongrouponline.com                                 ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing
Thread in Bulgaria                                                                          7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on wholesale synthetic yarn
containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread in Bulgaria
face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying wholesale synthetic yarn containing
less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread to Bulgaria? How
important is Bulgaria compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How
much do the imports of wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers
by weight excluding sewing thread vary from one country of origin to another in Bulgaria? On
the supply side, Bulgaria also exports wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85%
synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread. Which countries receive the most
exports from Bulgaria? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of
these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for wholesale synthetic yarn
containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread in Bulgaria.
With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view.
Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the
fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate
the market for wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by
weight excluding sewing thread for those countries serving Bulgaria via exports, or supplying
from Bulgaria via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical
indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Bulgaria fits into the world market for
imported and exported wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers
by weight excluding sewing thread. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis,
and those for Bulgaria in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150
key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a
percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of
origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are
then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import
and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so,
we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the
share that Bulgaria is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to
allow managers to prioritize Bulgaria compared to other major country markets. In this way, all
the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information
sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of wholesale synthetic
yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread, Chapter
3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Bulgaria. A “major”

www.icongrouponline.com                                                        ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing
Thread in Bulgaria                                                                          8

market is defined as a country where Bulgaria represents a substantially large share of either
imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Bulgaria, one can thus observe how
important Bulgaria is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter
4 does the same, but for exports of wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic
staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread originating from Bulgaria, for each major
country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Bulgaria has in each major
market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Bulgaria. In all cases,
the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of wholesale
synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread
to and from Bulgaria to and from all other major countries in the world. "Wholesale Synthetic
Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing Thread"
as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations
Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification,
Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "wholesale synthetic yarn containing less
than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread" is 65184 . For more
information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=651 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                        ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing
Thread in Bulgaria                                                                          9


2       BULGARIA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN BULGARIA IN 2011
    Imported Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple
              Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing Thread in Bulgaria, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Italy                             1                     7,474               47.26                 47.26
Germany                           2                     2,818               17.82                 65.07
Turkey                            3                     1,889               11.94                 77.02
Spain                             4                     1,128                7.13                 84.15
France                            5                     1,086                6.87                 91.02
Indonesia                         6                       498                3.15                 94.16
Romania                           7                       216                1.37                 95.53
Czech Republic                    8                       187                1.18                 96.71
the Netherlands                   9                       157                0.99                 97.70
Denmark                          10                       125                0.79                 98.50
the United Arab Emirates         11                       103                0.65                 99.15
Belgium                          12                        61                0.39                 99.53
Greece                           13                        39                0.25                 99.78
the United Kingdom               14                        15                0.09                 99.87
India                            15                        12                0.08                 99.95
Austria                          16                         8                0.05                100.00
Total                                                  15,816              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
     Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by Weight Excluding Sewing
Thread in Bulgaria                                                                         10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM BULGARIA IN 2011
  Wholesale Synthetic Yarn Containing Less Than 85% Synthetic Staple Fibers by
            Weight Excluding Sewing Thread Exports from Bulgaria, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Italy                             1                     8,583               66.44                 66.44
Turkey                            2                     2,028               15.70                 82.13
Romani
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread in Bulgaria face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread to Bulgaria? How important is Bulgaria compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread vary from one country of origin to another in Bulgaria? On the supply side, Bulgaria also exports wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread. Which countries receive the most exports from Bulgaria? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread in Bulgaria. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for wholesale synthetic yarn containing less than 85% synthetic staple fibers by weight excluding sewing thread for those countries serving Bulgaria via exports, or supplying from Bulgaria via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Bulgaria fits into the world market for imported and exported wholesale syn
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