The 2011 Import and Export Market for Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea

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					  The 2011 Import and Export
     Market for Propylene
 Copolymers in Primary Forms
        in South Korea




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                  Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                            7
2     SOUTH KOREA AND THE WORLD MARKET                        9
    2.1    Imports in South Korea in 2011                     9
    2.2    Exports from South Korea in 2011                  10
3     IMPORTS IN SOUTH KOREA                                 11
    3.1      Asia                                            11
       3.1.1   Japan                                         11
    3.2      Europe                                          12
       3.2.1   Germany                                       12
    3.3      North America & the Caribbean                   13
       3.3.1   Canada                                        13
       3.3.2   the United States                             14
4     EXPORTS FROM SOUTH KOREA                               15
    4.1      Africa                                          15
       4.1.1    Senegal                                      15
       4.1.2    South Africa                                 15
       4.1.3    Tanzania                                     16
       4.1.4    Uganda                                       16
    4.2      Asia                                            17
       4.2.1    China                                        17
       4.2.2    Hong Kong                                    18
       4.2.3    India                                        19
       4.2.4    Indonesia                                    20
       4.2.5    Japan                                        21
       4.2.6    Malaysia                                     22
       4.2.7    Philippines                                  23
       4.2.8    Singapore                                    24
       4.2.9    Taiwan                                       24
       4.2.10 Thailand                                       25
    4.3      Europe                                          26
       4.3.1    Belgium                                      26
       4.3.2    Bulgaria                                     27
       4.3.3    Italy                                        28
       4.3.4    Romania                                      29
       4.3.5    Russia                                       30
    4.4      Latin America                                   31
       4.4.1    Brazil                                       31
       4.4.2    Colombia                                     32
       4.4.3    Costa Rica                                   32
       4.4.4    Mexico                                       33
       4.4.5    Peru                                         34
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                   35
       4.5.1    the United States                            35
    4.6      Oceana                                          36
       4.6.1    Australia                                    36
       4.6.2    New Zealand                                  37
    4.7      the Middle East                                 38
       4.7.1    Iran                                         38


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                                                              Contents        vi

      4.7.2     Israel                                                   39
      4.7.3     Jordan                                                   39
      4.7.4     Oman                                                     40
      4.7.5     Pakistan                                                 41
      4.7.6     Saudi Arabia                                             42
      4.7.7     Turkey                                                   43
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS             44
    5.1       Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  44
    5.2       ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  45




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                                     Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea        7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on propylene copolymers in
primary forms in South Korea face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying
propylene copolymers in primary forms to South Korea? How important is South Korea
compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports
of propylene copolymers in primary forms vary from one country of origin to another in South
Korea? On the supply side, South Korea also exports propylene copolymers in primary forms.
Which countries receive the most exports from South Korea? How are these exports
concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the
largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for propylene copolymers in primary
forms in South Korea. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be
contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which
appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic
and trade models, to estimate the market for propylene copolymers in primary forms for those
countries serving South Korea via exports, or supplying from South Korea via imports. It does so
for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where South Korea fits into the world market
for imported and exported propylene copolymers in primary forms. The total level of imports
and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for South Korea in particular, is estimated using a
model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current
year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served
from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side
dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market
destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are
aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood
estimates of both the value of each market and the share that South Korea is likely to receive this
year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize South Korea
compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are
forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of propylene copolymers
in primary forms, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin
serving South Korea. A “major” market is defined as a country where South Korea represents a
substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to South
Korea, one can thus observe how important South Korea is to that exporting country compared to
other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of propylene copolymers
in primary forms originating from South Korea, for each major country of destination. In doing
so, one can discover the share that South Korea has in each major market; this share value is often


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                                       Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea         8

used as a measure of competitiveness for South Korea. In all cases, the total dollar volume and
percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4
present a the total picture for imports and exports of propylene copolymers in primary forms to
and from South Korea to and from all other major countries in the world. "Propylene Copolymers
in Primary Forms" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the
United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade
Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "propylene copolymers in
primary forms" is 57513 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following
web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=575 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                        Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea            9


2       SOUTH KOREA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN SOUTH KOREA IN 2011
       Imported Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                  1                    4,565               53.37                 53.37
Germany                            2                    1,477               17.27                 70.64
Japan                              3                    1,101               12.87                 83.51
Italy                              4                      595                6.96                 90.47
Belgium                            5                      437                5.11                 95.58
Canada                             6                      208                2.43                 98.01
the Netherlands                    7                      170                1.99                100.00
Total                                                   8,553              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                        Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in South Korea          10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM SOUTH KOREA IN 2011
      Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms Exports from South Korea, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China                             1                  269,467                53.84                 53.84
Japan                             2                   75,872                15.16                 69.00
Turkey                            3                   42,546                 8.50                 77.50
Indonesia                         4                   38,524                 7.70                 85.20
Iran                           
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on propylene copolymers in primary forms in South Korea face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying propylene copolymers in primary forms to South Korea? How important is South Korea compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of propylene copolymers in primary forms vary from one country of origin to another in South Korea? On the supply side, South Korea also exports propylene copolymers in primary forms. Which countries receive the most exports from South Korea? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for propylene copolymers in primary forms in South Korea. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for propylene copolymers in primary forms for those countries serving South Korea via exports, or supplying from South Korea via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where South Korea fits into the world market for imported and exported propylene copolymers in primary forms. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for South Korea in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin.
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