The 2011 Import and Export Market for Plates, Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers in South Korea by ICONGroup

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									  The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Plates, Sheets,
   Film, Foil, and Strip Made
 from Vinyl Chloride Polymers
         in South Korea




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)


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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                   Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                             7
2     SOUTH KOREA AND THE WORLD MARKET                         9
    2.1     Imports in South Korea in 2011                     9
    2.2     Exports from South Korea in 2011                  10
3     IMPORTS IN SOUTH KOREA                                  11
    3.1      Asia                                             11
       3.1.1   China                                          11
       3.1.2   Hong Kong                                      12
       3.1.3   Indonesia                                      13
       3.1.4   Japan                                          14
       3.1.5   Singapore                                      15
       3.1.6   Taiwan                                         16
    3.2      Europe                                           17
       3.2.1   Austria                                        17
       3.2.2   Sweden                                         18
       3.2.3   Switzerland                                    19
       3.2.4   the Netherlands                                20
    3.3      North America & the Caribbean                    21
       3.3.1   Canada                                         21
       3.3.2   the United States                              22
4     EXPORTS FROM SOUTH KOREA                                23
    4.1      Africa                                           23
       4.1.1   Mauritius                                      23
       4.1.2   Morocco                                        24
       4.1.3   South Africa                                   25
       4.1.4   Uganda                                         26
    4.2      Asia                                             27
       4.2.1   China                                          27
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                      28
       4.2.3   India                                          29
       4.2.4   Indonesia                                      30
       4.2.5   Japan                                          31
       4.2.6   Malaysia                                       32
       4.2.7   Philippines                                    33
       4.2.8   Singapore                                      34
       4.2.9   Taiwan                                         35
       4.2.10 Thailand                                        36
    4.3      Europe                                           37
       4.3.1   Belarus                                        37
       4.3.2   Belgium                                        38
       4.3.3   Cyprus                                         39
       4.3.4   Denmark                                        40
       4.3.5   Finland                                        41
       4.3.6   France                                         42
       4.3.7   Georgia                                        43
       4.3.8   Germany                                        44
       4.3.9   Greece                                         45
       4.3.10 Hungary                                         46


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                                                           Contents        vi

       4.3.11 Ireland                                                 47
       4.3.12 Italy                                                   48
       4.3.13 Macedonia                                               49
       4.3.14 Poland                                                  50
       4.3.15 Romania                                                 51
       4.3.16 Russia                                                  52
       4.3.17 Slovakia                                                53
       4.3.18 Slovenia                                                54
       4.3.19 Spain                                                   55
       4.3.20 the Netherlands                                         56
       4.3.21 the United Kingdom                                      57
       4.3.22 Ukraine                                                 58
    4.4      Latin America                                            59
       4.4.1    Argentina                                             59
       4.4.2    Brazil                                                60
       4.4.3    Colombia                                              61
       4.4.4    Costa Rica                                            62
       4.4.5    Ecuador                                               63
       4.4.6    Guatemala                                             64
       4.4.7    Mexico                                                65
       4.4.8    Panama                                                66
       4.4.9    Peru                                                  67
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            68
       4.5.1    Canada                                                68
       4.5.2    the United States                                     69
    4.6      Oceana                                                   70
       4.6.1    Australia                                             70
       4.6.2    New Zealand                                           71
    4.7      the Middle East                                          72
       4.7.1    Bahrain                                               72
       4.7.2    Iran                                                  73
       4.7.3    Israel                                                74
       4.7.4    Jordan                                                75
       4.7.5    Pakistan                                              76
       4.7.6    Saudi Arabia                                          77
       4.7.7    Turkey                                                78
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          79
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  79
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  80




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          Plates, Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers in South Korea     7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on plates, sheets, film, foil, and
strip made from vinyl chloride polymers in South Korea face a number of questions. Which
countries are supplying plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers to
South Korea? How important is South Korea compared to others in terms of the entire global and
regional market? How much do the imports of plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl
chloride polymers vary from one country of origin to another in South Korea? On the supply
side, South Korea also exports plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride
polymers. Which countries receive the most exports from South Korea? How are these exports
concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the
largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip
made from vinyl chloride polymers in South Korea. With the globalization of this market,
managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-
of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology,
based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for plates, sheets, film, foil,
and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers for those countries serving South Korea via exports,
or supplying from South Korea via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of
key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where South Korea fits into the world market
for imported and exported plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers.
The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for South Korea in
particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and
projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world
market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both
demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across
each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for
each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that South Korea is
likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to
prioritize South Korea compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures
provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for
strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of plates, sheets, film,
foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for
each major country of origin serving South Korea. A “major” market is defined as a country
where South Korea represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each
major country exporting to South Korea, one can thus observe how important South Korea is to


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          Plates, Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers in South Korea     8

that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for
exports of plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers originating from
South Korea, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that
South Korea has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of
competitiveness for South Korea. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share
values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total
picture for imports and exports of plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride
polymers to and from South Korea to and from all other major countries in the world. "Plates,
Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers" as a category is defined in this
report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification
Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The
SITC code that defined "plates, sheets, film, foil, and strip made from vinyl chloride polymers" is
58224 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=582 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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           Plates, Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers in South Korea        9


2       SOUTH KOREA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN SOUTH KOREA IN 2011
 Imported Plates, Sheets, Film, Foil, and Strip Made from Vinyl Chloride Polymers
                                 in South Korea, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank          Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                  1                     7,209               32.36                   32.36
Taiwan                             2                     4,794               21.52                   53.88
Japan                              3                     3,670               16.47                   70.35
China                              4                     1,882                8.45                   78.80
Sweden                             5                     1,590                7.14                   85.93
Switzerland                        6                     1,482                6.65                   92.58
Germany                            7                       723                3.25                   95.83
the Netherlands                    8                       570                2.56                   98.39
Indonesia                          9                       147                0.66                   99.05
Hong Kong                         10                        73                0.33                   99.38
Belgium                           11                        61                0.27                   99.65
Italy                             12                        48                0.22                   99.87
Austria                           13                        20                0.09                   99.96
Canada                            14                         6                0.03                   99.98
the United Kingdom                15                         3                0.01                  100.00
Singapore                         16                         1                0.00                  100.00
Total                                                   22,279              100.00                  100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 
								
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