The 2011 Import and Export Market for New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in Indonesia by ICONGroup

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									  The 2011 Import and Export
  Market for New Pneumatic
 Rubber Tires for Cars, Station
  Wagons, and Racing Cars in
           Indonesia




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)


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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                 Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     INDONESIA AND THE WORLD MARKET                         9
    2.1     Imports in Indonesia in 2011                     9
    2.2     Exports from Indonesia in 2011                  10
3     IMPORTS IN INDONESIA                                  11
    3.1      Asia                                           11
       3.1.1   Malaysia                                     11
       3.1.2   Singapore                                    12
       3.1.3   Thailand                                     13
    3.2      Europe                                         14
       3.2.1   Belarus                                      14
    3.3      Oceana                                         14
       3.3.1   Australia                                    14
4     EXPORTS FROM INDONESIA                                15
    4.1      Africa                                         15
       4.1.1   Cote d'Ivoire                                15
       4.1.2   Egypt                                        16
       4.1.3   Ethiopia                                     17
       4.1.4   Kenya                                        18
       4.1.5   Mauritius                                    19
       4.1.6   South Africa                                 20
       4.1.7   Uganda                                       21
    4.2      Asia                                           22
       4.2.1   China                                        22
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                    23
       4.2.3   Japan                                        24
       4.2.4   Malaysia                                     25
       4.2.5   Seychelles                                   26
       4.2.6   Singapore                                    27
       4.2.7   South Korea                                  28
       4.2.8   Thailand                                     29
    4.3      Europe                                         30
       4.3.1   Belarus                                      30
       4.3.2   Belgium                                      31
       4.3.3   Croatia                                      32
       4.3.4   Cyprus                                       33
       4.3.5   Czech Republic                               34
       4.3.6   Denmark                                      35
       4.3.7   Estonia                                      36
       4.3.8   Finland                                      37
       4.3.9   France                                       38
       4.3.10 Georgia                                       39
       4.3.11 Germany                                       40
       4.3.12 Greece                                        41
       4.3.13 Ireland                                       42
       4.3.14 Italy                                         43
       4.3.15 Latvia                                        44
       4.3.16 Lithuania                                     45


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       4.3.17 Malta                                                   46
       4.3.18 Norway                                                  47
       4.3.19 Romania                                                 48
       4.3.20 Sweden                                                  49
       4.3.21 the Netherlands                                         50
    4.4      Latin America                                            51
       4.4.1    Argentina                                             51
       4.4.2    Brazil                                                52
       4.4.3    Colombia                                              53
       4.4.4    Ecuador                                               54
       4.4.5    El Salvador                                           55
       4.4.6    Guatemala                                             56
       4.4.7    Honduras                                              57
       4.4.8    Mexico                                                58
       4.4.9    Peru                                                  59
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            60
       4.5.1    Barbados                                              60
       4.5.2    Canada                                                61
       4.5.3    Jamaica                                               62
       4.5.4    the United States                                     63
    4.6      Oceana                                                   64
       4.6.1    Australia                                             64
       4.6.2    Fiji                                                  65
       4.6.3    New Caledonia                                         66
       4.6.4    New Zealand                                           67
    4.7      the Middle East                                          68
       4.7.1    Armenia                                               68
       4.7.2    Azerbaijan                                            69
       4.7.3    Bahrain                                               70
       4.7.4    Israel                                                71
       4.7.5    Jordan                                                72
       4.7.6    Kyrgyzstan                                            73
       4.7.7    Pakistan                                              74
       4.7.8    Saudi Arabia                                          75
       4.7.9    Turkey                                                76
       4.7.10 Yemen                                                   77
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          78
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  78
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  79




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           New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in Indonesia      7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in Indonesia face a number of questions. Which countries
are supplying new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to Indonesia?
How important is Indonesia compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market?
How much do the imports of new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars
vary from one country of origin to another in Indonesia? On the supply side, Indonesia also
exports new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. Which countries
receive the most exports from Indonesia? How are these exports concentrated across buyers?
What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for new pneumatic rubber tires for
cars, station wagons, and racing cars in Indonesia. With the globalization of this market,
managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-
of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology,
based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for new pneumatic rubber tires
for cars, station wagons, and racing cars for those countries serving Indonesia via exports, or
supplying from Indonesia via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key
historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Indonesia fits into the world market for
imported and exported new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars. The
total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Indonesia in particular, is
estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects
these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market.
This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand-
and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each
country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each
country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain
maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Indonesia is
likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to
prioritize Indonesia compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures
provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for
strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of new pneumatic rubber
tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each
major country of origin serving Indonesia. A “major” market is defined as a country where
Indonesia represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major
country exporting to Indonesia, one can thus observe how important Indonesia is to that exporting
country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of


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            New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in Indonesia       8

new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars originating from Indonesia,
for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Indonesia has
in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for
Indonesia. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading
partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and
exports of new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars to and from
Indonesia to and from all other major countries in the world. "New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for
Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars" as a category is defined in this report following the
definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the
Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that
defined "new pneumatic rubber tires for cars, station wagons, and racing cars" is 6251 . For
more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=625 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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            New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in Indonesia           9


2       INDONESIA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN INDONESIA IN 2011
Imported New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars
                              in Indonesia, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thailand                          1                     9,851               41.77                 41.77
Japan                             2                     8,704               36.91                 78.68
South Korea                       3                     1,347                5.71                 84.39
Taiwan                            4                     1,065                4.52                 88.90
China                             5                       835                3.54                 92.44
Malaysia                          6                       656                2.78                 95.23
Philippines                       7                       473                2.01                 97.23
Singapore                         8                       358                1.52                 98.75
Australia                         9                        82                0.35                 99.10
Belarus                          10                        77                0.33                 99.42
the United States                11                        60                0.25                 99.68
Germany                          12                        53                0.22                 99.90
Brazil                           13                        15                0.06                 99.97
Spain                            14                         8                0.03                100.00
Total                                                  23,584              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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            New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars in Indonesia         10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM INDONESIA IN 2011
 New Pneumatic Rubber Tires for Cars, Station Wagons, and Racing Cars Exports
                              from Indonesia, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                 1                  232,067                33.98                 33.98
Japan                             2                  171,307                25.08                 59.06
Malaysia                          3                   43,410                 6.36                 65.42
Germany                           4                   36,507                 5.35                 70.76
Thailand                          5                   24,935                 3
								
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