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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany

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On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets in Germany face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets to Germany? How important is Germany compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets vary from one country of origin to another in Germany? On the supply side, Germany also exports corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets. Which countries receive the most exports from Germany? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets in Germany. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets for those countries serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for imported and exported corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Germany in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served fro

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									  The 2011 Import and Export
  Market for Corrugated Paper
   and Paperboard in Rolls or
       Sheets in Germany




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                                                                              iii


                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                                                                   iv


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                                                 Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET                           9
    2.1     Imports in Germany in 2011                       9
    2.2     Exports from Germany in 2011                    10
3     IMPORTS IN GERMANY                                    11
    3.1      Asia                                           11
       3.1.1   China                                        11
    3.2      Europe                                         12
       3.2.1   Austria                                      12
       3.2.2   Belarus                                      12
       3.2.3   Belgium                                      13
       3.2.4   Czech Republic                               13
       3.2.5   Denmark                                      14
       3.2.6   France                                       14
       3.2.7   Hungary                                      15
       3.2.8   Italy                                        16
       3.2.9   Luxembourg                                   16
       3.2.10 Poland                                        17
       3.2.11 Slovakia                                      17
       3.2.12 Sweden                                        18
       3.2.13 Switzerland                                   18
       3.2.14 the Netherlands                               19
       3.2.15 the United Kingdom                            20
    3.3      North America & the Caribbean                  21
       3.3.1   the United States                            21
4     EXPORTS FROM GERMANY                                  22
    4.1      Africa                                         22
       4.1.1   South Africa                                 22
    4.2      Asia                                           23
       4.2.1   China                                        23
       4.2.2   Singapore                                    24
       4.2.3   South Korea                                  24
    4.3      Europe                                         25
       4.3.1   Austria                                      25
       4.3.2   Belgium                                      25
       4.3.3   Croatia                                      26
       4.3.4   Denmark                                      26
       4.3.5   Estonia                                      27
       4.3.6   Finland                                      27
       4.3.7   France                                       28
       4.3.8   Greece                                       28
       4.3.9   Hungary                                      29
       4.3.10 Ireland                                       29
       4.3.11 Italy                                         30
       4.3.12 Latvia                                        30
       4.3.13 Lithuania                                     31
       4.3.14 Luxembourg                                    31
       4.3.15 Norway                                        32


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                                                           Contents        vi

       4.3.16 Poland                                                  32
       4.3.17 Romania                                                 33
       4.3.18 Russia                                                  33
       4.3.19 Slovakia                                                34
       4.3.20 Slovenia                                                34
       4.3.21 Spain                                                   35
       4.3.22 Sweden                                                  35
       4.3.23 Switzerland                                             36
       4.3.24 the Netherlands                                         36
       4.3.25 the United Kingdom                                      37
    4.4      Latin America                                            37
       4.4.1    Ecuador                                               37
       4.4.2    Mexico                                                38
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            38
       4.5.1    Canada                                                38
       4.5.2    the United States                                     39
    4.6      the Middle East                                          39
       4.6.1    Israel                                                39
       4.6.2    Saudi Arabia                                          40
       4.6.3    Turkey                                                40
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          41
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  41
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  42




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                              Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany      7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on corrugated paper and
paperboard in rolls or sheets in Germany face a number of questions. Which countries are
supplying corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets to Germany? How important is
Germany compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do
the imports of corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets vary from one country of origin
to another in Germany? On the supply side, Germany also exports corrugated paper and
paperboard in rolls or sheets. Which countries receive the most exports from Germany? How are
these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries
are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for corrugated paper and paperboard
in rolls or sheets in Germany. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be
contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which
appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic
and trade models, to estimate the market for corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets
for those countries serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports. It does
so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for
imported and exported corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets. The total level of
imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Germany in particular, is estimated using
a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current
year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served
from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side
dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market
destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are
aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood
estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Germany is likely to receive this
year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Germany
compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are
forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of corrugated paper and
paperboard in rolls or sheets, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of
origin serving Germany. A “major” market is defined as a country where Germany represents a
substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to
Germany, one can thus observe how important Germany is to that exporting country compared to
other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of corrugated paper and
paperboard in rolls or sheets originating from Germany, for each major country of destination. In
doing so, one can discover the share that Germany has in each major market; this share value is


www.icongrouponline.com                                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                               Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany        8

often used as a measure of competitiveness for Germany. In all cases, the total dollar volume and
percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4
present a the total picture for imports and exports of corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or
sheets to and from Germany to and from all other major countries in the world. "Corrugated
Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets" as a category is defined in this report following the
definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the
Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that
defined "corrugated paper and paperboard in rolls or sheets" is 64164 . For more information on
this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=641 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany           9


2       GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN GERMANY IN 2011
 Imported Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Czech Republic                    1                    13,939               26.70                 26.70
Switzerland                       2                    12,318               23.59                 50.29
Austria                           3                     6,829               13.08                 63.37
Denmark                           4                     6,750               12.93                 76.30
the Netherlands                   5                     6,672               12.78                 89.08
France                            6                     3,095                5.93                 95.01
Poland                            7                     1,034                1.98                 96.99
Belgium                           8                       444                0.85                 97.84
Italy                             9                       442                0.85                 98.69
the United Kingdom               10                       305                0.58                 99.27
China                            11                        86                0.16                 99.44
the United States                12                        81                0.16                 99.59
Slovakia                         13                        79                0.15                 99.74
Belarus                          14                        78                0.15                 99.89
Sweden                           15                        30                0.06                 99.95
Hungary                          16                        22                0.04                 99.99
Luxembourg                       17                         4                0.01                100.00
Total                                                  52,208              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets in Germany         10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM GERMANY IN 2011
 Corrugated Paper and Paperboard in Rolls or Sheets Exports from Germany, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________
								
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