The 2011 Import and Export Market for Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France by ICONGroup


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									 The 2011 Import and Export
 Market for Sodium and Other
   Alkali Metals in France

                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.

                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.

Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                               Contents        v

Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                         6
2     FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET                                          8
    2.1        Imports in France in 2011                                   8
    2.2        Exports from France in 2011                                 9
3     IMPORTS IN FRANCE                                                   10
    3.1        Asia                                                       10
       3.1.1      China                                                   10
       3.1.2      Japan                                                   11
    3.2        Europe                                                     11
       3.2.1      Austria                                                 11
       3.2.2      Belgium                                                 11
       3.2.3      France                                                  12
       3.2.4      Germany                                                 12
       3.2.5      Italy                                                   13
       3.2.6      Russia                                                  13
       3.2.7      Spain                                                   13
    3.3        North America & the Caribbean                              14
       3.3.1      the United States                                       14
    3.4        the Middle East                                            14
       3.4.1      Turkey                                                  14
4     EXPORTS FROM FRANCE                                                 15
    4.1        Asia                                                       15
       4.1.1      China                                                   15
       4.1.2      Japan                                                   15
       4.1.3      Malaysia                                                16
       4.1.4      South Korea                                             16
       4.1.5      Thailand                                                16
    4.2        Europe                                                     17
       4.2.1      Belgium                                                 17
       4.2.2      Czech Republic                                          17
       4.2.3      Denmark                                                 17
       4.2.4      France                                                  18
       4.2.5      Germany                                                 18
       4.2.6      Italy                                                   19
       4.2.7      Russia                                                  19
       4.2.8      the Netherlands                                         19
    4.3        Latin America                                              20
       4.3.1      Argentina                                               20
       4.3.2      Brazil                                                  20
    4.4        North America & the Caribbean                              21
       4.4.1      the United States                                       21
    4.5        the Middle East                                            22
       4.5.1      Saudi Arabia                                            22
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  23
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  24                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                  Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France      6

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on sodium and other alkali metals
in France face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying sodium and other alkali
metals to France? How important is France compared to others in terms of the entire global and
regional market? How much do the imports of sodium and other alkali metals vary from one
country of origin to another in France? On the supply side, France also exports sodium and other
alkali metals. Which countries receive the most exports from France? How are these exports
concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the
largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for sodium and other alkali metals in
France. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local
view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after
the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to
estimate the market for sodium and other alkali metals for those countries serving France via
exports, or supplying from France via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety
of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for
imported and exported sodium and other alkali metals. The total level of imports and exports on
a worldwide basis, and those for France in particular, is estimated using a model which
aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From
there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that France is likely to receive this year. From these
figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize France compared to other major
country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be
combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of sodium and other
alkali metals, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving
France. A “major” market is defined as a country where France represents a substantially large
share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to France, one can thus
observe how important France is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the
world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of sodium and other alkali metals originating
from France, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that
France has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness
for France. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading                                                     ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                    Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France        7

partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and
exports of sodium and other alkali metals to and from France to and from all other major
countries in the world. "Sodium and Other Alkali Metals" as a category is defined in this report
following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry
using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code
that defined "sodium and other alkali metals" is 52228 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site: .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                      Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France          8

2.1         IMPORTS IN FRANCE IN 2011
                Imported Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
Germany                           1                       785               18.75                 18.75
Russia                            2                       752               17.96                 36.72
Italy                             3                       642               15.34                 52.05
France                            4                       528               12.61                 64.67
Japan                             5                       363                8.67                 73.34
China                             6                       308                7.36                 80.70
Spain                             7                       218                5.21                 85.91
Belgium                           8                       195                4.66                 90.56
Austria                           9                       150                3.58                 94.15
Turkey                           10                       134                3.20                 97.35
the United States                11                       111                2.65                100.00
Total                                                   4,186              100.00                100.00
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011,                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                      Sodium and Other Alkali Metals in France          9

2.2         EXPORTS FROM FRANCE IN 2011
               Sodium and Other Alkali Metals Exports from France, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
the United States                 1                    18,566               33.69                 33.69
Germany                           2                    16,542               30.01                 63.70
Japan                             3                    12,509               22.70                 86.39
Italy                             4                     2,025                3.67                 90.07
Denmark                           5                     1,520                2.76                 92.83
Czech Republic                    6                     1,151                2.09                 94.91
Brazil                            7                       661                1.20                 96.11
Thailand                          8                       583                1.06                 97.17
France                            9                       528                0.96                 98.13
Russia                           10                       318                0.58                 98.71
South Korea                      11                       262                0.48                 99.18
the Netherlands                  12                       229                0.42                 99.60
Saudi Arabia                     13                       128                0.23                 99.83
Argentina                        14                        34                0.06                 99.89
Belgium                          15 
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