The 2011 Import and Export Market for Silicon in Italy by ICONGroup

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
    Market for Silicon in Italy




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                 Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     ITALY AND THE WORLD MARKET                             9
    2.1     Imports in Italy in 2011                         9
    2.2     Exports from Italy in 2011                      10
3     IMPORTS IN ITALY                                      11
    3.1      Africa                                         11
       3.1.1    South Africa                                11
    3.2      Asia                                           12
       3.2.1    China                                       12
       3.2.2    India                                       13
       3.2.3    Japan                                       13
       3.2.4    Philippines                                 14
       3.2.5    South Korea                                 14
       3.2.6    Thailand                                    15
    3.3      Europe                                         15
       3.3.1    Austria                                     15
       3.3.2    Belgium                                     16
       3.3.3    Bosnia and Herzegovina                      16
       3.3.4    France                                      17
       3.3.5    Germany                                     18
       3.3.6    Macedonia                                   19
       3.3.7    Romania                                     19
       3.3.8    Spain                                       19
       3.3.9    the Netherlands                             20
       3.3.10 Ukraine                                       21
    3.4      Latin America                                  22
       3.4.1    Brazil                                      22
    3.5      North America & the Caribbean                  22
       3.5.1    the Bahamas                                 22
       3.5.2    the United States                           23
    3.6      Oceana                                         24
       3.6.1    Australia                                   24
    3.7      the Middle East                                24
       3.7.1    Turkey                                      24
4     EXPORTS FROM ITALY                                    25
    4.1      Africa                                         25
       4.1.1   Tunisia                                      25
    4.2      Asia                                           26
       4.2.1   China                                        26
       4.2.2   Japan                                        27
       4.2.3   Malaysia                                     28
       4.2.4   South Korea                                  29
    4.3      Europe                                         30
       4.3.1   Austria                                      30
       4.3.2   Belarus                                      30
       4.3.3   Bosnia and Herzegovina                       31
       4.3.4   France                                       31
       4.3.5   Germany                                      32


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       4.3.6    Macedonia                                             32
       4.3.7    Romania                                               33
       4.3.8    Russia                                                33
       4.3.9    the Netherlands                                       34
    4.4      North America & the Caribbean                            35
       4.4.1    the United States                                     35
    4.5      the Middle East                                          36
       4.5.1    Saudi Arabia                                          36
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          37
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  37
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  38




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                                                                             Silicon in Italy      7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on silicon in Italy face a number of
questions. Which countries are supplying silicon to Italy? How important is Italy compared to
others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of silicon
vary from one country of origin to another in Italy? On the supply side, Italy also exports silicon.
Which countries receive the most exports from Italy? How are these exports concentrated across
buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for silicon in Italy. With the
globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can
managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have
developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for
silicon for those countries serving Italy via exports, or supplying from Italy via imports. It does
so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Italy fits into the world market for
imported and exported silicon. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and
those for Italy in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key
country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a
percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of
origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are
then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import
and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so,
we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the
share that Italy is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow
managers to prioritize Italy compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures
provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for
strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of silicon, Chapter 3 goes
into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Italy. A “major” market is
defined as a country where Italy represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports.
For each major country exporting to Italy, one can thus observe how important Italy is to that
exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for
exports of silicon originating from Italy, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one
can discover the share that Italy has in each major market; this share value is often used as a
measure of competitiveness for Italy. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share
values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total
picture for imports and exports of silicon to and from Italy to and from all other major countries
in the world. "Silicon" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the
United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade


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                                                                              Silicon in Italy      8

Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "silicon" is 52223 . For
more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=522 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                                                                                 Silicon in Italy        9


2       ITALY AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN ITALY IN 2011
                                 Imported Silicon in Italy, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
France                            1                   40,382                23.02                    23.02
Brazil                            2                   39,042                22.26                    45.28
the Netherlands                   3                   26,794                15.28                    60.56
Bosnia and Herzegovina            4                   24,310                13.86                    74.42
the United States                 5                   10,895                 6.21                    80.63
China                             6                    6,020                 3.43                    84.06
Spain                             7                    4,850                 2.77                    86.83
Germany                           8                    4,081                 2.33                    89.15
Philippines                       9                    3,577                 2.04                    91.19
Austria                          10                    3,435                 1.96                    93.15
Australia                        11                    3,215                 1.83                    94.98
Macedonia                        12                    2,074                 1.18                    96.17
South Africa                     13                    1,902                 1.08                    97.25
Ukraine                          14                    1,254                 0.71                    97.97
Romania                          15                      931                 0.53                    98.50
Belgium                          16                      725                 0.41                    98.91
the Bahamas                      17                      620                 0.35                    99.26
South Korea                      18                      614                 0.35                    99.61
Thailand                         19                      418                 0.24                    99.85
Japan                            20                      136                 0.08                    99.93
Turkey                           21                      121                 0.07                   100.00
India                            22                        3                 0.00                   100.00
Total                                                175,399               100.00                   100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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2.2         EXPORTS FROM ITALY IN 2011
                                Silicon Exports from Italy, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China      
								
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