The 2011 Import and Export Market for Silicon in France by ICONGroup

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On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on silicon in France face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying silicon to France? How important is France compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of silicon vary from one country of origin to another in France? On the supply side, France also exports silicon. Which countries receive the most exports from France? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for silicon in France. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for silicon for those countries serving France via exports, or supplying from France via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for imported and exported silicon. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for France in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world tota

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Silicon in France




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                                                 Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET                            9
    2.1     Imports in France in 2011                        9
    2.2     Exports from France in 2011                     10
3     IMPORTS IN FRANCE                                     11
    3.1      Africa                                         11
       3.1.1   South Africa                                 11
    3.2      Asia                                           12
       3.2.1   China                                        12
       3.2.2   Japan                                        13
       3.2.3   Philippines                                  13
       3.2.4   South Korea                                  14
       3.2.5   Taiwan                                       14
    3.3      Europe                                         15
       3.3.1   Belgium                                      15
       3.3.2   Czech Republic                               15
       3.3.3   France                                       16
       3.3.4   Germany                                      17
       3.3.5   Italy                                        18
       3.3.6   Luxembourg                                   18
       3.3.7   Norway                                       19
       3.3.8   Russia                                       20
       3.3.9   Spain                                        20
       3.3.10 the Netherlands                               21
       3.3.11 Ukraine                                       22
    3.4      Latin America                                  23
       3.4.1   Brazil                                       23
    3.5      North America & the Caribbean                  24
       3.5.1   Canada                                       24
       3.5.2   the United States                            25
4     EXPORTS FROM FRANCE                                   26
    4.1      Africa                                         26
       4.1.1   Madagascar                                   26
    4.2      Asia                                           27
       4.2.1   China                                        27
       4.2.2   Japan                                        28
       4.2.3   South Korea                                  29
    4.3      Europe                                         30
       4.3.1   Austria                                      30
       4.3.2   Belgium                                      30
       4.3.3   Czech Republic                               31
       4.3.4   France                                       32
       4.3.5   Germany                                      33
       4.3.6   Greece                                       34
       4.3.7   Ireland                                      34
       4.3.8   Italy                                        35
       4.3.9   Norway                                       36
       4.3.10 Russia                                        36


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                                                           Contents        vi

       4.3.11 Slovakia                                                37
       4.3.12 Slovenia                                                37
       4.3.13 Sweden                                                  38
       4.3.14 the Netherlands                                         38
    4.4      North America & the Caribbean                            39
       4.4.1    Canada                                                39
       4.4.2    the United States                                     40
    4.5      the Middle East                                          41
       4.5.1    Israel                                                41
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS          42
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  42
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  43




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                                                                          Silicon in France      7


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on silicon in France face a number
of questions. Which countries are supplying silicon to France? How important is France
compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports
of silicon vary from one country of origin to another in France? On the supply side, France also
exports silicon. Which countries receive the most exports from France? How are these exports
concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the
largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for silicon in France. With the
globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can
managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have
developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for
silicon for those countries serving France via exports, or supplying from France via imports. It
does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric
models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where France fits into the world market for
imported and exported silicon. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and
those for France in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key
country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a
percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of
origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are
then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import
and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so,
we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the
share that France is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to
allow managers to prioritize France compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the
figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information
sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of silicon, Chapter 3 goes
into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving France. A “major” market is
defined as a country where France represents a substantially large share of either imports or
exports. For each major country exporting to France, one can thus observe how important France
is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same,
but for exports of silicon originating from France, for each major country of destination. In doing
so, one can discover the share that France has in each major market; this share value is often used
as a measure of competitiveness for France. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage
share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the
total picture for imports and exports of silicon to and from France to and from all other major


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                                                                            Silicon in France       8

countries in the world. "Silicon" as a category is defined in this report following the definition
given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard
International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined
"silicon" is 52223 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web
site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=522 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                                                                               Silicon in France        9


2       FRANCE AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN FRANCE IN 2011
                                Imported Silicon in France, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
China                             1                    14,726               21.16                   21.16
Germany                           2                    11,511               16.54                   37.71
Brazil                            3                    11,122               15.98                   53.69
Japan                             4                     4,998                7.18                   60.87
Norway                            5                     4,752                6.83                   67.70
Italy                             6                     4,412                6.34                   74.04
Belgium                           7                     3,738                5.37                   79.41
the United States                 8                     3,131                4.50                   83.91
the Netherlands                   9                     2,290                3.29                   87.20
Spain                            10                     2,065                2.97                   90.17
Russia                           11                     1,631                2.34                   92.52
South Africa                     12                     1,607                2.31                   94.82
Luxembourg                       13                     1,191                1.71                   96.54
Czech Republic                   14                       922                1.33                   97.86
Canada                           15                       896                1.29                   99.15
Ukraine                          16                       349                0.50                   99.65
Philippines                      17                       226                0.32                   99.98
France                           18                         7                0.01                   99.99
South Korea                      19                         6                0.01                   99.99
Taiwan                           20                         4                0.01                  100.00
Total                                                  69,584              100.00                  100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                                                               Silicon in France       10


2.2         EXPORTS FROM FRANCE IN 2011
                               Silicon Exports from France, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany                           1                   86,326                53.52                   53.52
Italy          
								
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