The 2011 Import and Export Market for Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey by ICONGroup

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Neutral Sodium
      Carbonate (Disodium
      Carbonate) in Turkey




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                               Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                         6
2     TURKEY AND THE WORLD MARKET                                          8
    2.1        Imports in Turkey in 2011                                   8
    2.2        Exports from Turkey in 2011                                 8
3     IMPORTS IN TURKEY                                                    9
    3.1      Europe                                                        9
       3.1.1   Bosnia and Herzegovina                                      9
       3.1.2   Bulgaria                                                   10
       3.1.3   Germany                                                    11
       3.1.4   Romania                                                    12
       3.1.5   Russia                                                     13
       3.1.6   Slovenia                                                   13
       3.1.7   the United Kingdom                                         14
       3.1.8   Ukraine                                                    15
4     EXPORTS FROM TURKEY                                                 16
    4.1        Africa                                                     16
       4.1.1      Mauritius                                               16
       4.1.2      South Africa                                            16
    4.2        Asia                                                       17
       4.2.1      Japan                                                   17
    4.3        Europe                                                     17
       4.3.1      Albania                                                 17
       4.3.2      Greece                                                  18
       4.3.3      Ireland                                                 18
       4.3.4      Italy                                                   19
       4.3.5      the United Kingdom                                      19
       4.3.6      Ukraine                                                 20
    4.4        Latin America                                              20
       4.4.1      Colombia                                                20
    4.5        the Middle East                                            21
       4.5.1      Israel                                                  21
       4.5.2      Jordan                                                  21
       4.5.3      Yemen                                                   22
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS              23
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  23
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  24




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                                  Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey       6


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on neutral sodium carbonate
(disodium carbonate) in Turkey face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying
neutral sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate) to Turkey? How important is Turkey compared
to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of neutral
sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate) vary from one country of origin to another in Turkey?
On the supply side, Turkey also exports neutral sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate). Which
countries receive the most exports from Turkey? How are these exports concentrated across
buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for neutral sodium carbonate
(disodium carbonate) in Turkey. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer
be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which
appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic
and trade models, to estimate the market for neutral sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate) for
those countries serving Turkey via exports, or supplying from Turkey via imports. It does so for
the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Turkey fits into the world market for
imported and exported neutral sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate). The total level of imports
and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Turkey in particular, is estimated using a model
which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year.
From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that Turkey is likely to receive this year. From these
figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Turkey compared to other major
country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be
combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of neutral sodium
carbonate (disodium carbonate), Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country
of origin serving Turkey. A “major” market is defined as a country where Turkey represents a
substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to
Turkey, one can thus observe how important Turkey is to that exporting country compared to
other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of neutral sodium
carbonate (disodium carbonate) originating from Turkey, for each major country of destination.
In doing so, one can discover the share that Turkey has in each major market; this share value is
often used as a measure of competitiveness for Turkey. In all cases, the total dollar volume and


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                                   Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey          7

percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4
present a the total picture for imports and exports of neutral sodium carbonate (disodium
carbonate) to and from Turkey to and from all other major countries in the world. "Neutral
Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate)" as a category is defined in this report following the
definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the
Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that
defined "neutral sodium carbonate (disodium carbonate)" is 52372 . For more information on this
definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=523 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                                       Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey          8


2       TURKEY AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN TURKEY IN 2011
      Imported Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank           Value (000 US$)            % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Bulgaria                           1                   48,432               79.61                 79.61
Ukraine                            2                    5,126                8.43                 88.03
Russia                             3                    2,304                3.79                 91.82
Bosnia and Herzegovina             4                    2,298                3.78                 95.60
Romania                            5                    2,265                3.72                 99.32
Germany                            6                      192                0.32                 99.64
Slovenia                           7                      132                0.22                 99.85
the United Kingdom                 8                       90                0.15                100.00
Total                                                  60,839              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2         EXPORTS FROM TURKEY IN 2011
    Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) Exports from Turkey, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank           Value (000 US$)            % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Italy                             1                    25,974               73.06                 73.06
Israel                            2                     4,873               13.71                 86.77
Greece                            3                     1,948                5.48                 92.25
Colombia                          4                       865                2.43                 94.68
Mauritius                         5                       552                1.55                 96.23
South Africa                      6                       357                1.00                 97.24
Ukraine                           7                       327                0.92                 98.15
the United Kingdom                8                       279                0.78                 98.94
Japan                             9                       113                0.32                 99.26
Jordan                           10                       106                0.30                 99.56
Albania                          11                        61                0.17                 99.73
Yemen                            12                        51                0.14                 99.87
Ireland                          13                        46                0.13                100.00
Total                                                  35,552              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                      Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) in Turkey           9


3       IMPORTS IN TURKEY
3.1         EUROPE
3.1.1          Bosnia and Herzegovina
      Neutral Sodium Carbonate (Disodium Carbonate) Exports from Bosnia and
                                  Herzegovina, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank          Value (000 US$)             % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Turkey                            1                     2,298               22.01                 22.01
Croatia   
								
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