The 2011 Import and Export
Market for Halogen or Sulfur
Compounds of Nonmetals in
Russia
By
Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
Chaired Professor of Management Science
INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)
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About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.
Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.
About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.
Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.
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Contents v
Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 6
2 RUSSIA AND THE WORLD MARKET 8
2.1 Imports in Russia in 2011 8
2.2 Exports from Russia in 2011 8
3 IMPORTS IN RUSSIA 9
3.1 Asia 9
3.1.1 China 9
3.1.2 India 10
3.2 Europe 11
3.2.1 Germany 11
3.2.2 Italy 12
3.2.3 Ukraine 12
4 EXPORTS FROM RUSSIA 13
4.1 Asia 13
4.1.1 China 13
4.1.2 Japan 13
4.1.3 Taiwan 14
4.2 Europe 14
4.2.1 Belarus 14
4.2.2 Belgium 15
4.2.3 Bulgaria 15
4.2.4 Finland 16
4.2.5 France 16
4.2.6 Germany 17
4.2.7 Slovakia 17
4.2.8 the Netherlands 18
4.2.9 Ukraine 18
4.3 North America & the Caribbean 19
4.3.1 Canada 19
4.3.2 the United States 19
4.4 the Middle East 20
4.4.1 Iran 20
4.4.2 Israel 20
4.4.3 Turkey 21
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 22
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 22
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 23
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Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Russia 6
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals in Russia face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals to Russia? How important is Russia compared to others in terms of the
entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals vary from one country of origin to another in Russia? On the supply side, Russia also
exports halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals. Which countries receive the most exports
from Russia? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these
exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals in Russia. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented
with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear
several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade
models, to estimate the market for halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals for those countries
serving Russia via exports, or supplying from Russia via imports. It does so for the current year
based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Russia fits into the world market for
imported and exported halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals. The total level of imports and
exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Russia in particular, is estimated using a model which
aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From
there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that Russia is likely to receive this year. From these
figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Russia compared to other major
country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be
combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of
origin serving Russia. A “major” market is defined as a country where Russia represents a
substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Russia,
one can thus observe how important Russia is to that exporting country compared to other
countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of halogen or sulfur compounds
of nonmetals originating from Russia, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can
discover the share that Russia has in each major market; this share value is often used as a
measure of competitiveness for Russia. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share
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Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Russia 7
values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total
picture for imports and exports of halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals to and from Russia
to and from all other major countries in the world. "Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals"
as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations
Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification,
Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals" is 5224 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web
site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=522 .
This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.
Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
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Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Russia 8
2 RUSSIA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 IMPORTS IN RUSSIA IN 2011
Imported Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Russia, 2011
(Structure of Foreign Import Competition)
Country of Origin Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany 1 2,160 39.89 39.89
Italy 2 1,570 28.99 68.88
Ukraine 3 937 17.30 86.19
China 4 468 8.64 94.83
India 5 280 5.17 100.00
Total 5,415 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com
2.2 EXPORTS FROM RUSSIA IN 2011
Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals Exports from Russia, 2011
Country of Destination Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany 1 3,222 20.69 20.69
the United States 2 3,118 20.02 40.71
Japan 3 1,990 12.78 53.48
China 4 1,296 8.32 61.80
Finland 5 1,243 7.98 69.78
France 6 940 6.04 75.82
Belarus 7 847 5.44 81.26
Belgium 8 587 3.77 85.03
Ukraine 9 435 2.79 87.82
Taiwan 10 363 2.33 90.15
Bulgaria 11 361 2.32 92.47
Turkey 12 331 2.13 94.59
Slovakia 13 310 1.99 96.58
Canada 14 191 1.23 97.81
Israel 15 145 0.93 98.74
Iran 16 117 0.75 99.49
the Netherlands 17 79 0.51 100.00
Total 15,575 100.00 100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com
www.icongrouponline.com ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Russia 9
3 IMPORTS IN RUSSIA
3.1 ASIA
3.1.1 China
Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals Exports from China, 2011
Country of Destination Rank Value (000 US$) % Share Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Taiwan 1 10,387 32.75 32.75
South Korea 2 6,198 19.54 52.29
India 3 4,579 14.44 66.73
Japan 4 4,239 13.37 80.09
the United States 5 2,035 6.42 86.51
Malaysia 6 1,431 4.51 91.02
Singapore 7 869 2.74 93.76
Russia 8 468 1.48 95.24
South Africa 9 322 1.02 96.25
Poland 10 195 0.61 96.87
Saudi Arabia 11 158 0.50 97.36
Canada 12 157 0.50 97.86
Spain 13 153 0.48