The 2011 Import and Export Market for Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Germany by ICONGroup


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									  The 2011 Import and Export
  Market for Halogen or Sulfur
  Compounds of Nonmetals in

                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)                                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.

                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.

Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.

                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                 Contents        v

Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                           7
2     GERMANY AND THE WORLD MARKET                           9
    2.1     Imports in Germany in 2011                       9
    2.2     Exports from Germany in 2011                    10
3     IMPORTS IN GERMANY                                    11
    3.1      Asia                                           11
       3.1.1   China                                        11
       3.1.2   India                                        12
       3.1.3   Japan                                        13
    3.2      Europe                                         13
       3.2.1   Austria                                      13
       3.2.2   Belgium                                      14
       3.2.3   Czech Republic                               14
       3.2.4   France                                       15
       3.2.5   Italy                                        16
       3.2.6   Poland                                       16
       3.2.7   Russia                                       17
       3.2.8   Sweden                                       17
       3.2.9   Switzerland                                  18
       3.2.10 the Netherlands                               19
       3.2.11 the United Kingdom                            20
       3.2.12 Ukraine                                       20
    3.3      North America & the Caribbean                  21
       3.3.1   the United States                            21
4     EXPORTS FROM GERMANY                                  22
    4.1      Africa                                         22
       4.1.1   Morocco                                      22
       4.1.2   South Africa                                 22
       4.1.3   Sudan                                        23
    4.2      Asia                                           23
       4.2.1   China                                        23
       4.2.2   Hong Kong                                    24
       4.2.3   India                                        24
       4.2.4   Indonesia                                    25
       4.2.5   Japan                                        25
       4.2.6   Malaysia                                     26
       4.2.7   Singapore                                    26
       4.2.8   South Korea                                  27
       4.2.9   Taiwan                                       28
       4.2.10 Thailand                                      28
    4.3      Europe                                         29
       4.3.1   Austria                                      29
       4.3.2   Belarus                                      29
       4.3.3   Belgium                                      30
       4.3.4   Croatia                                      30
       4.3.5   Denmark                                      31
       4.3.6   Finland                                      31
       4.3.7   France                                       32                      ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                                           Contents        vi

       4.3.8    Georgia                                               32
       4.3.9    Greece                                                33
       4.3.10 Hungary                                                 33
       4.3.11 Ireland                                                 33
       4.3.12 Italy                                                   34
       4.3.13 Norway                                                  34
       4.3.14 Poland                                                  35
       4.3.15 Romania                                                 35
       4.3.16 Russia                                                  35
       4.3.17 Slovakia                                                36
       4.3.18 Spain                                                   36
       4.3.19 Sweden                                                  37
       4.3.20 Switzerland                                             37
       4.3.21 the Netherlands                                         38
       4.3.22 the United Kingdom                                      38
       4.3.23 Ukraine                                                 39
    4.4      Latin America                                            39
       4.4.1    Argentina                                             39
       4.4.2    Brazil                                                40
       4.4.3    Mexico                                                40
    4.5      North America & the Caribbean                            41
       4.5.1    Canada                                                41
       4.5.2    the United States                                     41
    4.6      Oceana                                                   42
       4.6.1    Australia                                             42
    4.7      the Middle East                                          42
       4.7.1    Iran                                                  42
       4.7.2    Israel                                                43
       4.7.3    Pakistan                                              43
       4.7.4    Qatar                                                 44
       4.7.5    Saudi Arabia                                          44
       4.7.6    Turkey                                                45
    5.1    Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  46
    5.2    ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  47                                ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                     Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Germany        7

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals in Germany face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying halogen or
sulfur compounds of nonmetals to Germany? How important is Germany compared to others in
terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals vary from one country of origin to another in Germany? On the supply
side, Germany also exports halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals. Which countries receive
the most exports from Germany? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the
value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for halogen or sulfur compounds of
nonmetals in Germany. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be
contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which
appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic
and trade models, to estimate the market for halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals for those
countries serving Germany via exports, or supplying from Germany via imports. It does so for
the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Germany fits into the world market for
imported and exported halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals. The total level of imports and
exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Germany in particular, is estimated using a model
which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year.
From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that Germany is likely to receive this year. From
these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Germany compared to other
major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can
be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of
origin serving Germany. A “major” market is defined as a country where Germany represents a
substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to
Germany, one can thus observe how important Germany is to that exporting country compared to
other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals originating from Germany, for each major country of destination. In
doing so, one can discover the share that Germany has in each major market; this share value is
often used as a measure of competitiveness for Germany. In all cases, the total dollar volume and                                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                       Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Germany          8

percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4
present a the total picture for imports and exports of halogen or sulfur compounds of nonmetals to
and from Germany to and from all other major countries in the world. "Halogen or Sulfur
Compounds of Nonmetals" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given
by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International
Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "halogen or sulfur
compounds of nonmetals" is 5224 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the
following web site: .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.                                                       ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                                        Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Germany             9

2.1         IMPORTS IN GERMANY IN 2011
       Imported Halogen or Sulfur Compounds of Nonmetals in Germany, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
the Netherlands                   1                    14,681               30.04                 30.04
the United States                 2                    13,152               26.91                 56.94
Belgium                           3                     4,793                9.81                 66.75
Switzerland                       4                     3,993                8.17                 74.92
Austria                           5                     3,270                6.69                 81.61
Russia                            6                     3,222                6.59                 88.20
France                            7                     2,788                5.70                 93.90
the United Kingdom                8                     1,593                3.26                 97.16
Italy                             9                       524                1.07                 98.23
Czech Republic                   10                       467                0.96                 99.19
Japan                            11                       122                0.25                 99.44
Sweden                           12                        87                0.18                 99.62
Ukraine                          13                        77                0.16                 99.77
India                            14                        69                0.14                 99.92
China                            15                        36                0.07                 99.99
Poland                           16                         5                0.01                100.00
Total                                                  48,879              100.00      
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