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JHSAT Status Briefing to IHST
September 25, 2006
Mark Liptak FAA ANE-110
Jack Drake HAI
JHSAT - October 2006
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JHSAT Status Briefing
Objective: background information and interim status
of the JHSAT activity to interested parties
JHSAT - October 2006
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JHSAT Goal
Provide intervention strategies to the IHST and
Joint Helicopter Safety Implementation Team (JHSIT)
that maximize the likelihood of reducing worldwide
helicopter accident rates by 80 percent by 2016.
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In the U.S., our focus was set by the
White House Commission on Aviation Safety
1.1 Government and industry
should establish a national
goal to reduce the aviation
fatal accident rate by a
factor of five within ten
years and conduct safety
research to support that
goal
1.2 The FAA should develop
standards for continuous
safety improvement, and
should target its regulatory
resources based on
performance against those
standards
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5.3-2
The National Civil Aviation Review
Commission (NCARC)
on Aviation Safety Provided Additional Direction
• FAA and the aviation
industry must develop a
strategic plan to improve
safety, with specific
priorities based on
objective, quantitative
analysis of safety
information and data
• Government should
expand on their programs
to improve aviation safety
in other parts of the world
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5.3-3
In Response
• Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) was
created, adopted concepts of Boeings Accident
Prevention Strategy (APS)
• APS refined for use with CAST problem set
• Ongoing Industry and FAA Safer Skies
initiatives were combined into CAST
• CAST supported by Government and Industry
with Worldwide Recognition
IHST initiative will be driven by the same
process that produced measurable success in
the part 121 arena
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CAST Goals
Reduce the U.S. commercial aviation fatal
accident rate by 80% by 2007
Work together with airlines, JAA, ICAO, IATA, FSF,
IFALPA, manufacturers, other international
organizations and appropriate regulatory/
government authorities to reduce worldwide
commercial aviation fatal accident rate
IHST initiative driving for same level of helicopter
accident reduction by 2017
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So how will this help helicopters?
• Mature and flexible process adapted for
analysis of helicopter accidents
• Utilize helicopter community experts
and stakeholders
• Process recognized internationally by industry
and regulators
• Proven track record in reducing hazardous
events
• Results tracked by targeted metrics
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JHSAT Team Members
Mark Liptak (FAA ANE) JHSAT co-chair Jack Drake (HAI) JHSAT co-chair
Barry Rohm (Rolls Royce) Ray Wall (Bristow)
Roy Fox (Bell) Tony Alfalla (Sikorsky)
Ed Stockhausen (Airmethods) Joe Syslo (Eurocopter)
Laura Iseler (IHST) Sandy Hart (NASA)
Clark Davenport (FAA ASW) Matt Rigsby (FAA ASW)
Ann Azevedo (FAA Risk consultant) Steve Gleason (Schweizer)
Ron Luhmann (Silver State Helicopters) Joan Gregiore (Turbomeca)
The JHSAT team membership represents the cross-section of interests and
expertise needed to adequately analyze accident data and recommend safety
improvements.
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Charter
Final charter developed and agreed to by team,
posted on JHSAT web site:
Goal: Provide a prioritized assessment of the most safety
critical hazards to commercial, private and military
rotorcraft in worldwide operations as derived from
selected rotorcraft data sources.
Provide intervention strategies to the IHST and Joint
Helicopter Safety Implementation Team (JHSIT) that maximize
the likelihood of reducing worldwide helicopter accident
rates by 80 percent by 2016.
Provide a JHSAT report documenting the team’s
findings to the IHST by 1Q 2007.
JHSAT - October 2006
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Web Site
The JHSAT has established a web site at
http://www.ihst.org/jhsat/jhsat_top.htm
Id=jhsat, password=helicoptersafe
This is an access controlled site, please limit to only the IHST and
those with a need to know.
The JHSAT is using it to post NTSB data, team analysis results,
meeting minutes, agendas, action lists, etc.
JHSAT - October 2006
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JHSAT Process
Modeled after the CAST/JSAT process
Basic tenets:
Engaging stakeholders/experts from the
helicopter community
Findings based on real world helicopter accident data
Recommendations ranked by a structured scoring method
JHSAT has successfully modified the basic CAST process for use
with helicopter data while upholding the basic tenets of the
process.
JHSAT - October 2006
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JHSAT Basic Process Flowchart
Review Develop
Charter Establish Select
NTSB Event
Development Team Data Set
Docket Data Sequence
Score
Score Identify Assign Std Identify
Problem
Intervention Intervention Problem Problems
Validity &
Ability/Usage Strategies Statements (what/why)
Importance
Yes
Technical
Prioritize by Review
No Report
Overall Conflicts? & IHST
Results
Effectiveness Expert
Validation
JHSIT
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JHSAT Dataset Selection
The initial dataset selected for JHSAT analysis is year 2000 NTSB
accidents. This will serve as the basis for the 1Q 07 report out.
The JHSAT will conduct a detailed analysis of these accidents.
There are approximately 190 accidents to be analyzed.
This NTSB dataset is nearly fully populated with final narrative
causal/factual information. Also, less likely to encounter litigation
constraints with this dataset.
Consideration of accident causal factor trends for the last 24
years gives the team high confidence that detailed analysis
of year 2000 events will yield high value recommendations
that will mitigate long standing trends (see next slides)
Future JHSAT activity will target year 2001, 2002, etc.
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24,294 Worldwide Civil Helicopters
Source: Rotor Roster 2006
JHSAT - October 2006
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Worldwide Helicopter Accidents/Year
1980 - 2005
800
700
600
Accidents/year
500
400
300
200
100
0
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
04
US Civil Registry Non-US Civil & Military US Military & USCG (ABC)
JHSAT - October 2006
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24 year look back – Relative stability in helicopter
24 Years - Little Change
accident causal factors
100%
90%
80%
Final
70% causal
data
60% not yet
fully
50% developed
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Aircraft Powerplant Auxilary Equipment Human Performance Environment / Facilities Unknown
US dataset represents 50% of worldwide fleet
JHSAT - October 2006
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Coordinating JHSAT US, International and Military Sources
The IHST safety targets are worldwide. We must interact effectively
with the worldwide community to be able to meet the targeted 80%
reduction in accidents.
The JHSAT team is starting to develop contacts and coordinate this
activity. Matt Rigsby from FAA-ASW will be acting as the contact point
for identifying overseas and military partners.
Any entity that possess large helicopter accident datasets that could
be processed by the JHSAT method should be considered.
EASA and Canada moving toward partnering with us in this process.
On-going effort to identify other partners from Asia, South America,
Oceania, etc.
JHSAT - October 2006
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IHST Safety Initiative
Analysis, Implementation and Metrics Management Structure
IHST
Process
Executive Need to maintain a strong
development Committee communication/feedback loop
using between IHST – JHSAT - JHSIT
US NTSB data
represents 48%
of
worldwide fleet
Measure Measure
JHSAT Accident Reductions Implementation JHSIT
Lead Group Effectiveness Effectiveness Lead Group
JHSAT sends recommendations to JHSIT
Canada EASA JHSAT/JHSIT Canada EASA Region X, Y, Z
Others?
JHSAT JHSAT JHSIT JHSIT JHSIT
cross-talk
US/CAN/EASA/X,Y,Z
Implementation
US/CAN/EASA Results
Consolidated
Recommendations
Regions X, Y, Z defined as those pockets of operation not able
to staff a full JHSAT team and are willing to work implementation
of US/CAN/EASA findings to benefit their fleets
JHSAT - October 2006
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Coordinating JHSAT US and International Efforts
US Civil
Dataset JSAT Process Expert
Selection JHSAT Tech
Understanding Review/
(1/2 of Analysis Review
Refining Validation
helicopters 1Q 07
Worldwide) May-Dec 06 Jan 07
Jan 07
May/June 06 First Set
Mar/Apr 06
US Mitigation
FCAA & Military Recs
Train FCAA
Partners
Identify &
conduct Mitigation
FCAA & Military 1Q 08
JHSAT Recs
Military Partners Mitigation
analyses FCAA & Mil
Partners in JHSAT Recs - Global
on their
Process
Sept 06 accident data
TBD 07
TBD 06/07
TBD 07
IHST
JHSAT - October 2006
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Using Existing Safety Reports
JHSAT is reviewing the recommendations of the following reports:
NASA - U.S. Civil Rotorcraft Accidents, 1963 Through 1997
NASA - Analysis of US Civil Rotorcraft Accidents from 1990 to 1996 and Implications for a Safety Program
NASA - ASRS Rotorcraft Incident Study - Draft Data Summary Aviation Safety Reporting System
NASA - Helicopter Accident Analysis Team
AMPA - A Safety Review and Risk Assessment in Air Medical Transport
CRS - Report for Congress - Military Aviation Safety
OGP - Safety Performance of Helicopter Operations in the Oil and Gas Industry - 2000 Data
TSB Canada - Lessons Learned from TSB Investigation of Helicopter Accidents (1994 - 2003)
Bell Textron - History of Helicopter Safety
Other NTSB and international reports may be considered.
Status: The team has extracted what it believes to be the most
important recommendations from the above reports. We are currently
drafting narrative statements that give background and context to the
recommendations. Our intent is to pass these recommendations to
the IHST in November so that the JHSIT will have several well founded
general recommendations to work with while the JHSAT completes its
accident analysis work.
JHSAT - October 2006
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Please forward questions to Mark Liptak, JHSAT co-chairperson.
This document was prepared in September 2006
JHSAT - October 2006
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