The 2011 Import and Export Market for Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium by ICONGroup

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									   The 2011 Import and Export
     Market for Reclaimed,
     Unhardened Rubber in
             Belgium




                                         By
                         Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                            Contents        v


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                      6
2     BELGIUM AND THE WORLD MARKET                                      8
    2.1     Imports in Belgium in 2011                                  8
    2.2     Exports from Belgium in 2011                                8
3     IMPORTS IN BELGIUM                                                9
    3.1      Asia                                                       9
       3.1.1    China                                                   9
       3.1.2    India                                                  10
    3.2      Europe                                                    10
       3.2.1    Finland                                                10
       3.2.2    France                                                 11
       3.2.3    Germany                                                12
       3.2.4    Italy                                                  13
       3.2.5    Luxembourg                                             13
       3.2.6    the Netherlands                                        14
    3.3      the Middle East                                           15
       3.3.1    Turkey                                                 15
4     EXPORTS FROM BELGIUM                                             16
    4.1      Asia                                                      16
       4.1.1   China                                                   16
    4.2      Europe                                                    16
       4.2.1   Germany                                                 16
       4.2.2   Norway                                                  17
       4.2.3   the Netherlands                                         17
    4.3      North America & the Caribbean                             18
       4.3.1   the United States                                       18
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS           19
    5.1     Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  19
    5.2     ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  20




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                                                 Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium        6


1      INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on reclaimed, unhardened rubber
in Belgium face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying reclaimed, unhardened
rubber to Belgium? How important is Belgium compared to others in terms of the entire global
and regional market? How much do the imports of reclaimed, unhardened rubber vary from one
country of origin to another in Belgium? On the supply side, Belgium also exports reclaimed,
unhardened rubber. Which countries receive the most exports from Belgium? How are these
exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are
the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for reclaimed, unhardened rubber in
Belgium. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local
view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after
the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to
estimate the market for reclaimed, unhardened rubber for those countries serving Belgium via
exports, or supplying from Belgium via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety
of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Belgium fits into the world market for
imported and exported reclaimed, unhardened rubber. The total level of imports and exports on a
worldwide basis, and those for Belgium in particular, is estimated using a model which
aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From
there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a
number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics,
market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination.
These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to
regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of
both the value of each market and the share that Belgium is likely to receive this year. From
these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Belgium compared to other
major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can
be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of reclaimed, unhardened
rubber, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving
Belgium. A “major” market is defined as a country where Belgium represents a substantially
large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Belgium, one can
thus observe how important Belgium is to that exporting country compared to other countries of
the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of reclaimed, unhardened rubber originating
from Belgium, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that
Belgium has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness
for Belgium. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading


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                                                   Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium          7

partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and
exports of reclaimed, unhardened rubber to and from Belgium to and from all other major
countries in the world. "Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber" as a category is defined in this report
following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry
using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code
that defined "reclaimed, unhardened rubber" is 23221 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=232 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




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                                                     Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium            8


2       BELGIUM AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1         IMPORTS IN BELGIUM IN 2011
               Imported Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
France                             1                    4,121               54.99                 54.99
the Netherlands                    2                    1,265               16.88                 71.87
Germany                            3                      937               12.50                 84.37
India                              4                      827               11.04                 95.41
Finland                            5                      172                2.30                 97.70
China                              6                       79                1.05                 98.76
Luxembourg                         7                       63                0.84                 99.60
Turkey                             8                       23                0.31                 99.91
Italy                              9                        7                0.09                100.00
Total                                                   7,494              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2         EXPORTS FROM BELGIUM IN 2011
              Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber Exports from Belgium, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Germany                            1                      697               54.11                 54.11
the Netherlands                    2                      369               28.65                 82.76
the United States                  3                      113                8.77                 91.54
China                              4                       65                5.05                 96.58
Norway                             5                       44                3.42                100.00
Total                                                   1,288              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com




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                                                     Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber in Belgium            9


3       IMPORTS IN BELGIUM
3.1         ASIA
3.1.1          China
                Reclaimed, Unhardened Rubber Exports from China, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                 1                    17,726               44.64                 44.64
Canada                            2                     4,473               11.26                 55.90
Thailand                          3                     4,077               10.27                 66.17
South Korea                       4                     3,380                8.51                 74.68
Indonesia                         5                     3,125                7.87                 82.55
Japan                             6                     2,968      
								
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