The 2011 Import and Export Market for Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in Hong Kong

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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in Hong Kong Powered By Docstoc
					   The 2011 Import and Export
   Market for Semi-Bleached or
    Bleached Chemical Wood
      Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate
   Excluding That of Dissolving
      Grades in Hong Kong




                                          By
                          Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D.


www.icongrouponline.com                                        ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
                      Chaired Professor of Management Science
                    INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)




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                                                                                                                  iii




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                                About the Author
Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at
INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy
since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA,
UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books
on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics”
which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and
physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic
Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals,
including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International
Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of
Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational
Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of
Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals.

Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University
of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille)
and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology
and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in
Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.



                                 About this Series
This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a
substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition.
The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the
direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation,
Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic
growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial
or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.



                               Acknowledgements
Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the
R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional
editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also
acknowledged.



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                           About ICON Group Ltd.
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                                                               Contents        vi


Table of Contents
1     INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY                                         7
2     HONG KONG AND THE WORLD MARKET                                       9
    2.1        Imports in Hong Kong in 2011                                9
    2.2        Exports from Hong Kong in 2011                              9
3     IMPORTS IN HONG KONG                                                10
    3.1      Asia                                                         10
       3.1.1   China                                                      10
       3.1.2   Taiwan                                                     11
4     EXPORTS FROM HONG KONG                                              12
    4.1        Asia                                                       12
       4.1.1      India                                                   12
       4.1.2      Indonesia                                               13
       4.1.3      Malaysia                                                14
       4.1.4      Philippines                                             15
       4.1.5      Thailand                                                16
    4.2        Europe                                                     17
       4.2.1      Finland                                                 17
       4.2.2      France                                                  18
    4.3        Oceana                                                     19
       4.3.1      Australia                                               19
    4.4        the Middle East                                            20
       4.4.1      Pakistan                                                20
5     DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS              21
    5.1        Disclaimers & Safe Harbor                                  21
    5.2        ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions                  22




www.icongrouponline.com                                    ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Hong Kong                                                                                    7


1       INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on semi-bleached or bleached
chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Hong Kong face a
number of questions. Which countries are supplying semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood
pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades to Hong Kong? How important is Hong
Kong compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the
imports of semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of
dissolving grades vary from one country of origin to another in Hong Kong? On the supply side,
Hong Kong also exports semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate
excluding that of dissolving grades. Which countries receive the most exports from Hong Kong?
How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which
countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and
import/export managers who are concerned with the market for semi-bleached or bleached
chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Hong Kong. With the
globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can
managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have
developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for
semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving
grades for those countries serving Hong Kong via exports, or supplying from Hong Kong via
imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and
econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Hong Kong fits into the world market
for imported and exported semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate
excluding that of dissolving grades. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis,
and those for Hong Kong in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over
150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country
represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive
countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country
of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a
volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world
totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each
market and the share that Hong Kong is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings
are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Hong Kong compared to other major country
markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined
with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of semi-bleached or
bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades, Chapter 3 goes
into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Hong Kong. A “major”

www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Hong Kong                                                                                    8

market is defined as a country where Hong Kong represents a substantially large share of either
imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Hong Kong, one can thus observe how
important Hong Kong is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world.
Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda,
or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades originating from Hong Kong, for each major
country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Hong Kong has in each major
market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Hong Kong. In all
cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of semi-bleached
or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades to and from
Hong Kong to and from all other major countries in the world. "Semi-Bleached or Bleached
Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades" as a category is
defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division
Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC,
Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or
sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades" is 2515 . For more information on this definition,
please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=251 .

This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version,
please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com.

Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical
records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact
that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures
should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth
disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly
affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such
cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed
might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting
regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.




www.icongrouponline.com                                                          ©2011 ICON Group Ltd.
Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in
Hong Kong                                                                                    9


2       HONG KONG AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1           IMPORTS IN HONG KONG IN 2011
      Imported Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate
                Excluding That of Dissolving Grades in Hong Kong, 2011
                              (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin             Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
the United States                  1                      451               78.43                 78.43
China                              2                       97               16.87                 95.30
Taiwan                             3                       27                4.70                100.00
Total                                                     575              100.00                100.00
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2011, www.icongrouponline.com



2.2           EXPORTS FROM HONG KONG IN 2011
 Semi-Bleached or Bleached Chemical Wood Pulp, Soda, or Sulfate Excluding That
                of Dissolving Grades Exports from Hong Kong, 2011
Country of Destination        Rank         Value (000 US$)              % Share        Cumulative %
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Indonesia                          1                      390               33.59                 33.59
Malaysia                           2                      258               22.22                 55.81
France                             3                      193               16.62                 72.44
Finland                            4                       95         
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Hong Kong face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades to Hong Kong? How important is Hong Kong compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades vary from one country of origin to another in Hong Kong? On the supply side, Hong Kong also exports semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades. Which countries receive the most exports from Hong Kong? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades in Hong Kong. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or sulfate excluding that of dissolving grades for those countries serving Hong Kong via exports, or supplying from Hong Kong via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Hong Kong fits into the world market for imported and exported semi-bleached or bleached chemical wood pulp, soda, or su
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